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Education program on climate change and biodiversity<br />

conservation in the Albertine Rift<br />

Climate change risks to ecosystems and<br />

biodiversity in Ruvubu National park, Burundi<br />

Dr Tatien MASHARABU,<br />

University of Burundi<br />

UDSM / IRA, Dar es Salaam, November 15-16, 2011


Study area (1/2)<br />

Temperature (°C)<br />

- Ruvubu National Park (RNP)<br />

- Covers an area of 50800 ha<br />

- Altitudes: 1350-1836 m<br />

- Tropical climate classified as (AW3)s<br />

- RNP established since 1980<br />

- Category II according to UICN (1994)<br />

- Main ecosystems types: savannahs<br />

(~85%), forest galeries and swamps<br />

- Little study and data on climate change<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

J F M A M J J A S O N D<br />

Month<br />

200<br />

160<br />

120<br />

80<br />

40<br />

0<br />

Rainfall (mm)<br />

Rainfall<br />

Temperature<br />

2


Study area (2/2)<br />

(c) Bucorvus leadbeateri<br />

(Bucerotidae)<br />

(a) Syncerus caffer<br />

(Bovidae)<br />

(b) Kobus ellipsiprymnus defassa<br />

(Bovidae)<br />

(d) Cercopithecus aethiops<br />

(Cercopithecidae)<br />

Last refugia of large mammals in Burundi; Important Bird<br />

Area, Ten bird species on IUCN redlist, Potential Ramsar<br />

Site.<br />

Victim of poaching<br />

3


Objectives<br />

General aim:<br />

To assess impacts of climate change and climate variability on the flora<br />

and vegetation of the RNP.<br />

Specific aims:<br />

To assess trends in rainfall and temperature variations recorded for a 10<br />

years period (1997-2006)<br />

To check out the RNP plant diversity with emphasis on invasive and<br />

ruderal species, as invasive and ruderal species (nitrophilic and<br />

heliophilic) don’t likely occur in naturally disturbed or climax communities<br />

To assess trends of non-climatic stressors as they may be influenced by<br />

climate change<br />

4


Methodology<br />

Data collection<br />

- Meteorological data (rainfall, temperature): 1997-2006 , from IGEBU<br />

- Vegetation and flora survey using Braun-Blanquet method<br />

- Interview park managers for monitoring trends of non climatic stressors<br />

Data analysis<br />

Quantitative analysis<br />

Occurrence of exotic, invasive (Global Invasive Species Database, 2005)<br />

and ruderal species was checked out.<br />

Cluster analysis<br />

SciViews - R and MVSP: to examine trends and seasonal shifts of rainfall<br />

and temperature based on monthly and yearly mean.<br />

5


RESULTS<br />

Yearly mean rainfall and temperature<br />

trends in the RNP (1997-2006)<br />

Sum Sq Df F value Pr(>F)<br />

Province 47911 2 3.2194 0.04124 *<br />

Year 103748 9 1.5492 0.12961<br />

Province: Year 48765 18 0.3641 0.99279<br />

Minimum variance<br />

7200 6000 4800 3600 2400 1200 0<br />

Squared Euclidean<br />

Karuzi<br />

Cankuzo<br />

Muyinga<br />

The park recorded much variability in terms of rainfall. Droughts and floodings<br />

have been coupled during that period and there’s evidence that biodiversity should<br />

have been affected by the changing climate.<br />

There’s a significant difference in terms of rainfall distribution per province (Karuzi,<br />

Muyinga and Cankuzo) but the annual rainfalls fluctuation is a reality even if there’s<br />

no significant difference between provinces, an evidence that all provinces have<br />

been affected by climate variability and indirectly the RNP has been affected.<br />

Temperatures (°C)<br />

750,0<br />

700,0<br />

650,0<br />

600,0<br />

550,0<br />

500,0<br />

450,0<br />

400,0<br />

350,0<br />

300,0<br />

250,0<br />

200,0<br />

150,0<br />

100,0<br />

50,0<br />

0,0<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

Years<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

1500,0<br />

1400,0<br />

1300,0<br />

1200,0<br />

1100,0<br />

1000,0<br />

900,0<br />

800,0<br />

700,0<br />

600,0<br />

500,0<br />

400,0<br />

300,0<br />

200,0<br />

100,0<br />

0,0<br />

Rainfall (mm/year)<br />

Rainfall<br />

Temperatures<br />

6


Vulnerabilities and non-climatic stressors<br />

The main issues that the park is facing are: Poaching, Fire & Livestock<br />

grazing ;<br />

… Mining activities (NICKEL) in upcoming years with impacts on<br />

biodiversity, water quality and availability,…<br />

Some fire tolerant and propagated species found in the RNP are:<br />

Combretum collinum (Combretaceae), Combretum molle (Combretaceae),<br />

Protea madiensis (Proteaceae), Cussonia arborea (Araliaceae), Entada<br />

abyssinica (Mimosaceae), Hymenocardia acida (Euphorbiaceae), Parinari<br />

curatellifolia (Chrysobalanaceae)<br />

Along animals corridors and in their resting space, appearance of<br />

nitrophilic species indicating disturbance : Bidens steppia , Guizotia<br />

scabra, Leonotis nepetifolia, Emilia caespitosa, Ageratum conyzoides,<br />

Achyranthes aspera, Conyza floribunda, Gutenbergia cordifolia, Bidens<br />

7<br />

pilosa


Exotic & Invasive species<br />

The major exotic plant found in the RNP is Eucalyptus sp (Myrtaceae):<br />

Eucalyptus plantations are found to be located in the park where people<br />

have been moved out in the 80s.<br />

Lantana camara (Verbenaceae) and Mimosa pigra (Mimosaceae) are the<br />

most potential harmful as they are established not far to the Ruvubu River<br />

and roadsides. Rivers and roads are best corridors for migratory<br />

movements and colonisation.<br />

Other invasive species recorded are Asystasia gangetica (Acanthaceae),<br />

Pennisetum polystachion (Poaceae), Commelina benghalensis<br />

(Commelinaceae), Dioscorea bulbifera (Dioscoreaceae), Imperata<br />

cylindrica (Poaceae) and Melinis minutiflora (Poaceae). They should have<br />

potential invasive effects in the RNP, but for the moment, they are found<br />

as individuals without substantial effects on native species.<br />

8


Conservation implications<br />

• Safeguard of biodiversity, mitigation of climatic and non<br />

climatic stressors on RNP biodiviversity should include<br />

(1) implication of local communities in the park<br />

management; (2) promotion of poverty alleviation<br />

through development initiatives in the RNP<br />

surroundings; and (3) transboundary conservation<br />

initiatives including climatic and non-climatic threats.<br />

• Role of Government (s) and partners, scientific<br />

community, local communities, individuals, NGOs<br />

9


THANK YOU FOR YOUR<br />

ATTENTION<br />

10

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