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Probability Test - Denton Independent School District

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AP Statistics <strong>Probability</strong> Block Name:<br />

In an AP Stats class, 57% of students eat breakfast in the morning and 80% of students floss their teeth. Forty-six percent of<br />

students eat breakfast and also floss their teeth.<br />

1. What is the probability that a student from this class eats<br />

breakfast but does not floss their teeth?<br />

2. What is the probability that a student from this class eats<br />

breakfast or flosses their teeth?<br />

3. Five juniors and four seniors have applied for two open student council positions. <strong>School</strong> administrators have decided to<br />

pick the new members randomly. What is the probability the council positions become both juniors or both seniors?<br />

4. You are playing Rock-Paper-Scissors with a friend, in the desert, next to a cactus. When you win you get to stick a cactus<br />

needle into your friends arm. Assume nobody is cheating and you are playing a fair game. Your friend has 17 needles in<br />

his/her arm and you only have 5 needles in yours. What does the “Law of Large Numbers” say about the this scenario?<br />

5. According to the National Telecommunication and Information Administration, 56.5% of U.S. households owned a<br />

computer in 2001. What is the probability that of three randomly selected U.S. households at least one owned a<br />

computer in 2001?<br />

6. According to the National Telecommunication and Information Administration, 50.5% of U.S. households had Internet<br />

access in 2001. What is the probability that four randomly selected U.S. households all had Internet access in 2001?<br />

A person has three quarters, two dimes, a nickel and four pennies in his pocket. This person reaches into his pocket and<br />

randomly pulls out three coins, one at a time.<br />

7. What is the probability that he has exactly 55 cents? 8. What is the probability that he has at least one quarter?<br />

9. Insurance company records indicate that 12% of all teenage drivers have been ticketed for speeding and 9% for going<br />

through a red light. If 4 % have been ticketed for both, what is the probability that a teenage driver has been issued a<br />

ticket for speeding but not for running a red light?<br />

10. Below are pairs of events. Circle the all the pairs of events which are most likely to be independent.<br />

A) Being a senior; wearing red socks to class B) Registering to vote; being left handed<br />

C) Having a car accident; having a learners permit D) Doing the Statistics homework; getting an A on this test<br />

E) Having 3 inches of snow in the morning; getting to school on time


10. Below are pairs of events. Circle the all the pairs of events which are most likely to be disjoint.<br />

A) Being a senior; Being a freshman B) Being male; Being left handed<br />

C) Having a car accident; Being drunk D) Taking this Stat test today; Being absent today<br />

E) Building a snowman in your yard; Living in the Sahara Desert<br />

11. A poll of 120 Ithacans found that 30 had visited the Museum of the Earth and that 80 had been to Home Depot. Fifteen<br />

of those polled had never been to either. Assuming that Home Depot and the Museum of the Earth are independent<br />

events, what percent of those polled had been to both?<br />

12. Six Republicans and four Democrats have applied for two open positions on a planning committee. Since all the<br />

applicants are qualified to serve, the City Council decides to pick the two new members randomly. What is the<br />

probability that both come from the same party?<br />

13. Fifteen percent of sports fans have purchased a football ticket and a basketball ticket in the past year. Fifty-five<br />

percent have purchased exactly one or the other. Thirty percent have purchased a football ticket. What percent have<br />

purchased a basketball ticket?<br />

23% of Americans are overweight. 72% of overweight Americans have high blood pressure. 28% of non-overweight<br />

Americans have high blood pressure.<br />

14. What % of Americans have high blood pressure? 15. Of those that have high blood pressure, what % are<br />

overweight?<br />

16. Pepsi is running a sales promotion in which 12% of all bottles have a “FREE” logo under the cap. What is the probability<br />

that you find two free ones in a 6-pack?<br />

17. A supermarket claims that their checkout scanners correctly price 99.8% of the items sold. If you have 60 items that<br />

are to be scanned, what is the probability that at least one of them is scanned incorrectly?


You are up for your annual job performance review. You estimate there’s a 30% chance you’ll get a promotion, a 40%<br />

chance of a raise, and a 20% chance of getting both a raise and a promotion.<br />

Use this space to build a picture of the information:<br />

19. If you get the promotion, what is the probability you get<br />

a raise?<br />

21. Do you think getting a raise and getting a promotion are<br />

independent events? Explain. (Simply “Yes” or “No” will<br />

not receive any credit.)<br />

18. What is the probability that you get a raise or a<br />

promotion?<br />

20. What is the probability that you get neither a raise nor a<br />

promotion?<br />

22. Do you think getting a raise and getting a promotion are<br />

disjoint? Explain. (Simply “Yes” or “No” will not receive<br />

any credit.)<br />

A particular class has 20 seniors and 10 juniors. Three of the seniors are male and four of the juniors are female.<br />

Use this space to build some kind of picture:<br />

24. Of the males, what % are seniors?<br />

23. If one student were selected randomly, what is the<br />

probability they are male?<br />

25. Of the seniors, what % are males?<br />

26. The probability of being a Jibber and a Jabber is 42%. The probability of being a Jibber is 52.5%. The probability of<br />

being a Jabber is 80%. Are the probabilities of being a Jibber and/or Jabber independent events? Explain.


Peter, Paul and Mary are playing the card game “Go Hunting”. Below are the hands. (I am showing you the hands but the<br />

players cannot see each others’ cards)<br />

Mary Peter Paul<br />

27. Mary gets to select 1 card from Peter. What is the<br />

probability it will be a 2?<br />

29. Assume the cards are as shown again. What is the<br />

probability that Paul has exactly 1 seven in his hand?<br />

31. One dark and stormy night while visiting your<br />

grandmother’s house a bunch of poison-dart blowing<br />

Ninja’s cut off your electricity and stick you in the neck<br />

with a poison dart. You only have three minutes to go to<br />

the medicine cabinet and find the anti-poison-dart pills.<br />

You find out that your grandmother stores all her pill in<br />

one bottle to save space! Oh no!! It’s dark and you can’t<br />

tell the pills apart. The bottle contains 6 Tylenol, 4<br />

Ibuprofen and 4 anti-poison-dart pills. You only have<br />

enough time left to swallow 3 pills. What is the<br />

probability you will not die?<br />

Administer<br />

? ?<br />

28. Assume the cards are as shown again. Paul gets to<br />

select 2 cards from Mary. What is the probability<br />

exactly one of them is a 5?<br />

30. Assume the cards are as shown again. What is the<br />

probability that Paul has at least 1 queen in his hand?<br />

32. You go hiking in Colorado and bring along a 6-chamber<br />

.44 magnum pistol in case you meet up with a maneating<br />

bear. Before you left you forgot to buy bullets so<br />

you put your only remaining bullet in the chamber and<br />

spun the chamber like John Wayne. You didn’t bother<br />

looking to see where the bullet ended up. Along the<br />

trail you noticed a Ranger guide that alerted you that if<br />

you shoot a man-eating bear with a .44 magnum pistol<br />

you only have a 30% chance of killing it.<br />

Oh no!! You have stumbled upon a man-eating bear<br />

and it is charging at you at full speed. You only have<br />

time to shoot 4 times. What is the probability you will<br />

not die?<br />

?<br />

?

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