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Study Guide for Come Into My Trading Room - Forex Factory

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184 CASE STUDIES<br />

Trade 6: Vimpel Communications VIP—Entry Answer<br />

VIP—Rubles to Dollars<br />

Chart A6-a<br />

We can apply technical analysis to markets in all countries because of the<br />

essential similarity of human beings. The veneer of civilization gives us<br />

different appearances, but underneath we are all wired the same way.<br />

When people feel stressed, their behavior patterns are remarkably similar<br />

across cultural divides. Technical analysis picks up the behavior of people<br />

under stress. If you had not known that VIP was a Russian stock, you<br />

would have analyzed it in the same way as any other stock on your list.<br />

VIP had its IPO in the high 20’s and then twice stabbed at the 60 level<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e sinking in the 2000–2001 bear market. Once it slid below 20,<br />

several technical patterns began to emerge, which eventually coalesced<br />

into a trading signal at the right edge of the chart.<br />

MACD-Histogram has traced a long-term bullish divergence A, followed<br />

by a bullish divergence B of MACD-lines. Prices have traced a<br />

“saucer bottom” that held all the declines, and a flat top that knocked<br />

back rallies. Finally, at point D, prices broke through that resistance.<br />

EMAs, MACD-Histogram, and MACD-lines turned higher at that point.<br />

At the right edge of the daily chart, VIP has broken above its August<br />

peak and is holding that level, refusing to decline. The breakout was<br />

A<br />

B<br />

C<br />

D

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