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Study Guide for Come Into My Trading Room - Forex Factory

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188 CASE STUDIES<br />

Trade 7: International Business Machines IBM—Entry Answer<br />

IBM—Steady Green from Big Blue<br />

Chart A7-a<br />

Even a quick glance at this chart reveals that IBM has spent the past<br />

several years in a broad trading range. Whenever it declines below<br />

90, it is time to look <strong>for</strong> a bottom, and whenever it rallies towards 120,<br />

it is time to look <strong>for</strong> a top.<br />

At the right edge of the chart, in area A, IBM has recoiled from support<br />

and is headed higher. This rally is confirmed by the uptick of<br />

weekly MACD-Histogram. Note that there is no bullish divergence,<br />

simply an upside reversal of prices and the indicator. The fast EMA has<br />

already turned up, confirming the rally and giving an Impulse buy signal,<br />

while the slower EMA has gone flat, a normal behavior at an early<br />

stage of a rally.<br />

The daily chart of IBM shows increased volatility following the<br />

September interruption of trading on the NYSE. By the end of that<br />

month, Force Index traces a bullish divergence A—a more shallow<br />

bottom of the indicator during a deeper price bottom. The new high of<br />

Force Index in area B calls <strong>for</strong> higher prices ahead; this message is confirmed<br />

by the uptrend of MACD in area C. The uptrend is further<br />

A

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