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Climate Change, Human Health and National Security - adelphi

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1st day.<br />

a.m.<br />

Chair: Dr. H.J.S. Fern<strong>and</strong>o<br />

NATO Advanced Research Workshop<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

28 – 30 April 2011<br />

Dubrovnik, Croatia<br />

DRAFT<br />

0845 – 0900 WELCOME, Dr. Vincenzo Costigliola, President, European Medical Association, Brussels, Belgium,<br />

vincenzo@emanet.org<br />

0900 – 0950 Keynote Address: <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Risks, Lord Julian Hunt, University College London,<br />

Engl<strong>and</strong>, UK, jcrh@cpom.ucl.ac.uk<br />

0950 – 1010 Megacities: Urban Environment, Air Pollution, <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong> Interactions, Dr.<br />

Alex<strong>and</strong>er Baklanov, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark, alb@dmi.dk<br />

1010 – 1030 Urban Environments Meet <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Dr. Harindra J. Fern<strong>and</strong>o, Environmental Fluid Dynamics<br />

Group, Department of Civil Engineering <strong>and</strong> Geological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame,<br />

IN, USA, Harindra.J.Fern<strong>and</strong>o.10@nd.edu<br />

1030 – 1050 Break<br />

Chair: Dr. Alex<strong>and</strong>er Baklanov<br />

1050 – 1110 Atmospheric boundary layers – features controlling air quality <strong>and</strong> human health, Dr. Sergej Zilintinkevich,<br />

Professor, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Finl<strong>and</strong>, Sergej.Zilitinkevich@fmi.fi<br />

1110 – 1130 <strong>Climate</strong> variation or climate change? Evidence in favour in the Northern Adriatic Area, Croatia, Dr. Ana<br />

Alebic-Juretic, Air Pollution Division, Teaching Institute of Public <strong>Health</strong>, Rijeka, Croatia,<br />

alebic@rijeka.riteh.hr<br />

1130 – 1150 ENSO forcing of climate variability over the North Atlantic/European region in a warmer climate conditions,<br />

Dr. Ivana Herceg Bulić, Andrija Mohorovičić Geophysical Institute, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

iherceg@mail.irb.hr<br />

1150 – 1210 Vector-borne diseases <strong>and</strong> climate change, Dr. Jean-Claude Andre, European Centre for Research <strong>and</strong><br />

Advanced Training in Scientific Computing, France, <strong>and</strong>re@cerfacs.fr<br />

p.m.<br />

Chair: Dr. Cristina Mammarela<br />

1330 – 1415 Keynote Address: Large scale solar radiation dimming <strong>and</strong> brightening <strong>and</strong> its importance for climate change,<br />

Dr. Christos Zerefos, President, <strong>National</strong> Observatory of Athens, Greece, zerefos@geol.uoa.gr<br />

1415 – 1435 Atmospheric aerosol climatology over the globe: emphasis on dust storms, Dr. Harry D. Kambezidis, <strong>National</strong><br />

Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece, harry@meteo.noa.gr<br />

1435 – 1455 Influence of meteorological conditions on the fine particles (PM1.0) levels in urban atmosphere, Dr. Zvjezdana<br />

Klaic, Professor, Andrija Mohorovičić Geophysical Institute Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Croatia,<br />

zklaic@irb.hr<br />

1455 – 1510 Break<br />

Chair: Dr. Vincenzo Costigliola<br />

1510 – 1530 Temperature <strong>and</strong> mortality in Tel Aviv in regard to climate change, Dr. Chava Peretz, School of Public <strong>Health</strong>,<br />

Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Israel, cperetz@post.tau.ac.il<br />

1530 – 1550 Meteorological <strong>and</strong> air pollution factors related to human health in urban areas, Dr. Ekaterina Batchvarova,<br />

<strong>National</strong> Institute of Meteorology <strong>and</strong> Hydrology, Bulgaria, Ekaterina.Batchvarova@meteo.bg<br />

1550 – 1610 Prediction of Particulate Pollution as a Mitigation Strategy of Respiratory <strong>Health</strong> Problems, Dr. Christina<br />

Mammarella & Dr. Giovanni Gr<strong>and</strong>oni, Italian <strong>National</strong> Agency for New Technologies, Energy <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Environment, Italy, mammarella@sede.enea.it, giovanni.gr<strong>and</strong>oni@casaccia.enea.it<br />

1610 – 1630 Interactions of global climate change <strong>and</strong> urban climate in different climate regions, Dr. Robert Bornstein, San<br />

Jose State University, California, USA, pblmodel@hotmail.com


2nd day.<br />

a.m.<br />

Chair: Dr. Roger Falconer<br />

NATO Advanced Research Workshop<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

28 – 30 April 2011<br />

Dubrovnik, Croatia<br />

DRAFT<br />

0845 – 0930 Keynote Address: <strong>Climate</strong> changes <strong>and</strong> regional ecological impacts, Dr. Igor Mokhov, A.M. Obukhov Institute<br />

for Atmospheric Physics, RAS, Moscow, Russia, Mokhov@ifaran.ru<br />

0930 – 0950 How effective could ’l<strong>and</strong>scape management’ tool address mitigation of cultural <strong>and</strong> natural threats on coastal<br />

wetl<strong>and</strong>s system? Dr. Adnan Kaplan, Agriculture Department, Ege University, İzmir, Turkey,<br />

adnankaplan@gmail.com<br />

0950 – 1010 On Some Issues of the Anthropogenic Transformation of Water Ecosystems (Case Study of Lake Sevan), Dr.<br />

Trahel Vardanian, Department of Physical Geography <strong>and</strong> Hydrometeorology, Yerevan State University,<br />

Yerevan, Republic of Armenia, tvardanian@ysu.am<br />

1010 – 1030 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Adoption Strategies- what's going on in the Republic of Serbia, Dr. Vesela Radovic,<br />

EDUCONS University, Serbia, veselaradovic@yahoo.com<br />

1030 – 1050 Break<br />

Chair:<br />

1050 – 1110 Water quality <strong>and</strong> assessment under scarcity: Fate <strong>and</strong> risk of emerging contaminants in the Iberian river<br />

systems affected by climate change, Dr. Damià Barceló, Chemical & Environmental Research Institute of<br />

Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain, dbcqam@iiqab.csic.es<br />

1110 – 1130 Global warming projected water cycle changes over the Mediterranean, Dr. Pinhas Alpert, Department of<br />

Geophysics <strong>and</strong> Planetary Sciences, Porter School of Environmental Studies, Tel-Aviv University, Tel Aviv,<br />

Israel, Pinhas@post.tau.ac.il<br />

1130 – 1150 The relative impact of climate change on water resources in Jordan, Dr. Ibrahim Oroud, Prince Faisal Center<br />

for Dead Sea, Environmental <strong>and</strong> Energy Research, Mu’tah University, Jordan, ioroud@mutah.edu.jo<br />

1150 – 1210 <strong>Climate</strong> change effect on Egypt’s water supply, Mr. Gamal Elsaeed, Sadco Engineering Works, Cairo, Egypt,<br />

Elsaeed@sadcoegypt.com<br />

p.m.<br />

Chair: Dr. Nancy Lewis<br />

1330 – 1415 Keynote Address: <strong>National</strong> <strong>Security</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Threat of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: A View from the Military Advisory<br />

Board, Mr. Marcus King, Environment & Energy Research Team, CNA, kingm@cna.org<br />

1415 – 1435 Experiences from Assessing Local Water Conflicts: Underst<strong>and</strong>ing the Links between Water, Marginalisation<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Mr. Lukas Rüttinger, Adelphi Research, Germany, ruettinger@<strong>adelphi</strong>.de<br />

1435 – 1455 <strong>Climate</strong> change, tipping elements <strong>and</strong> security, Dr. Kjeld Rasmussen, Dept. of Geography <strong>and</strong> Geology, Dr. Ole<br />

Wæver, Centre for Advanced <strong>Security</strong> Theory, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark,<br />

kr@geo.ku.dk<br />

1455 – 1515<br />

1515 – 1530 Break<br />

Chair:<br />

Assessment of ecological <strong>and</strong> sanitary-hygienic states of natural waters using bio-indication <strong>and</strong> integral ecoindexes,<br />

Dr. Irina Bashmakova, University of Helsinki, Finl<strong>and</strong>, iryna.bashmakova@helsinki.fi<br />

1530 – 1550 Global Water <strong>Security</strong>: Engineering the Future, Dr. Roger Falconer, Cardiff University, United Kingdom,<br />

FalconerRA@cf.ac.uk, <strong>and</strong> Michael Norton, Managing Director of Water <strong>and</strong> Power, Halcrow Group, Ltd.,<br />

United Kingdom<br />

1550 – 1610 Investigation of multiple-factor impact of weather changes <strong>and</strong> atmospheric pollution on human health, Dr.<br />

Georgy Golitsyn, Dr. Boris Revich, Dr. Maria Artamonova, A.M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics,<br />

RAS, Moscow, Russia, Artamonova@ifaran.ru


NATO Advanced Research Workshop<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

28 – 30 April 2011<br />

Dubrovnik, Croatia<br />

DRAFT<br />

1610 – 1630 Numerical <strong>and</strong> experimental simulations of local winds, Antonio Cenedese, Franco Catalano, Serena Falasca,<br />

Monica Moroni, Dipartimento di Ingegneria Civile edile e ambientale, Facoltà di Ingegneria, Università degli<br />

Studi di Roma "La Sapienza", Rome, Italy, antonio.cenedese@uniroma1.it<br />

1745 Depart hotel for City tour <strong>and</strong> dinner<br />

3rd day.<br />

a.m.<br />

Chair: Mr. Marcus King<br />

0900 – 0950 Keynote Address: <strong>Climate</strong> Variability <strong>and</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, <strong>Human</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>National</strong> <strong>Security</strong> in Small Vulnerable<br />

Nations, Dr. Nancy Lewis, Director, Research Program, East-West Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA,<br />

lewisn@eastwestcenter.org<br />

0950 – 1010 <strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> human health in the Canadian Arctic: from vulnerability to resilience, Dr. Chris Furgal,<br />

Environmental <strong>and</strong> Resource Studies Program, Trent University, Canada, chrisfurgal@trentu.ca<br />

1010 – 1030<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Adoption Strategies- what is going on in the Republic of Serbia, Dr. Vesela Radovic,<br />

University of Novi Sad, Serbia, veselaradovic@yahoo.com<br />

1030 – 1050 Experiences from Assessing Local Water Conflicts: Underst<strong>and</strong>ing the Links between Water, Marginalisation<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Mr. Lukas Rüttinger, Adelphi Research, Germany, ruettinger@<strong>adelphi</strong>.de<br />

1050 – 1110 Modelling of Heavy Metals: Study of Impacts due to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Dr. Amela Jericevic, Meteorological <strong>and</strong><br />

Hydrological Service, Croatia, jericevic@cirus.dhz.hr<br />

1110 – 1130 Break<br />

1130 – 1300 Group discussion <strong>and</strong> completion of recommendations<br />

p.m.<br />

1300 Wrap-up <strong>and</strong> workshop ends

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