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<strong>Narcissism</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>: <strong>Correlates</strong> <strong>and</strong> consequences<br />

of cocksure <strong>investing</strong><br />

Joshua D. Foster a,⇑ , Dennis E. Reidy b , Tiffany A. Misra a , Joshua S. Goff a<br />

a Psychology Department, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL 36688, United States<br />

b Psychology Department, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States<br />

article info<br />

Article history:<br />

Received 5 November 2010<br />

Received in revised form 20 December 2010<br />

Accepted 8 January 2011<br />

Available online 2 February 2011<br />

Keywords:<br />

<strong>Narcissism</strong><br />

Motivation<br />

Risk-taking<br />

Decision-making<br />

Approach motivation<br />

Avoidance motivation<br />

Economics<br />

1. Introduction<br />

abstract<br />

The global economy is in the midst of its worst decline since the<br />

Great Depression. The causes of this financial calamity are varied<br />

<strong>and</strong> complex, although many commentators speculate that cocksure<br />

investors <strong>and</strong> corporate leaders played a significant role by<br />

making risky <strong>and</strong> often foolhardy financial decisions (e.g., Cohan,<br />

2009; Gladwell, 2009). What fueled this cocksureness? During<br />

the 1990s <strong>and</strong> early 2000s, the economy experienced one of the<br />

most prominent bull <strong>market</strong>s in history. Investors were positive<br />

about the future <strong>and</strong> confident that their investments would pay<br />

off. For instance, when surveyed in October 2007, more than<br />

three-quarters of individual <strong>and</strong> institutional investors predicted<br />

that the US <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> would rise during the next year (Shiller,<br />

2000, 2009). These investors were clearly overconfident because<br />

the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> ultimately plunged by nearly 40%.<br />

Economic climate played an important role in investor exuberance<br />

<strong>and</strong> overconfidence. However, the level of risk that investors<br />

bore is probably not fully explained by situational factors alone.<br />

Consider that during even the historic bull <strong>market</strong>s of the 1990s<br />

<strong>and</strong> early 2000s, most investors did not utilize risky financial<br />

instruments, such as derivatives. Most families purchased homes<br />

within their means. Most corporations’ investments were not<br />

⇑ Corresponding author. Address: Department of Psychology, University of South<br />

Alabama, Mobile, AL 36688, United States. Tel.: +1 251 460 6548.<br />

E-mail address: foster@usouthal.edu (J.D. Foster).<br />

0191-8869/$ - see front matter Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.<br />

doi:10.1016/j.paid.2011.01.002<br />

Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences 50 (2011) 816–821<br />

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect<br />

Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences<br />

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/paid<br />

Two studies tested whether narcissists are prone to making risky <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> investments. In Study 1,<br />

narcissistic participants reported being more inclined to invest in <strong>stock</strong>s that exhibited high volatility<br />

(i.e., large price fluctuations). In study 2, participants created hypothetical investment portfolios using<br />

a selection of real <strong>stock</strong>s whose values were tracked for a five-week period. Narcissists selected more<br />

highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s for their portfolios <strong>and</strong> this tendency was explained by narcissists’ heightened<br />

approach motivation. Narcissists also lost significantly more money during the tracking period—the <strong>stock</strong><br />

<strong>market</strong> as a whole declined by approximately 30% during the tracking period—<strong>and</strong> this was fully<br />

explained by the heightened volatility of their investments. Cumulatively, these results suggest that narcissistic<br />

personality is linked to risky <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>, which is especially maladaptive during periods<br />

of economic decline.<br />

Ó 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.<br />

leveraged to the point that even a small fraction of losses would<br />

be ruinous. The economic situation was not so powerful that<br />

everyone simply got swept up by a tsunami of financial risk-taking.<br />

Flagrant financial risk-taking was prevalent during this time period,<br />

but it was limited to a proportion of investors. The purpose<br />

of the present research was to examine one characteristic, narcissistic<br />

personality, that we think might distinguish these risky<br />

investors from the general investor population.<br />

<strong>Narcissism</strong> is particularly relevant to the current economic crisis.<br />

Narcissists 1 are more likely than others to rise to leadership<br />

positions (Brunell et al., 2008). Thus, the financial decisions that narcissists<br />

make affect greater numbers of individuals (e.g., employees,<br />

investors, tax-payers). Although we cannot say for certain how many<br />

corporate leadership positions were/are occupied by narcissists,<br />

anecdotal evidence suggests that narcissists are overrepresented in<br />

this population. To the extent that corporate leaders of the recent<br />

past were more narcissistic than the general population, <strong>and</strong> if narcissism<br />

is indeed linked to financial risk-taking, then narcissism<br />

might have played a role in the economic meltdown.<br />

1 We use the term ‘‘narcissist’’ as a matter of convenience to refer to individuals<br />

who score above the mean on measures of narcissistic personality. In actuality, most<br />

narcissism measures, such as the Narcissistic Personality Inventory (NPI), do not<br />

capture a specific group of ‘‘narcissists’’ (Foster & Campbell, 2007). Furthermore, the<br />

NPI—the measure used in the present studies—is not a measure of clinical narcissism<br />

<strong>and</strong> thus ‘‘narcissists’’ in this context should not be confused with individuals with<br />

Narcissistic Personality Disorder.


Why would narcissists be expected to make risky financial decisions?<br />

Financial decisions are often preceded by an assessment of<br />

risk (i.e., potential financial losses) <strong>and</strong> reward (i.e., potential financial<br />

gains). Individuals who are more strongly motivated by reward<br />

(i.e., highly approach motivated) than punishment (i.e., weakly<br />

avoidance motivated) tend to make riskier financial decisions<br />

(e.g., Hamilton & Biehal, 2005; Zhou, Pham, Mick, Iacobucci, & Huber,<br />

2004). Recent research suggests that narcissism is characterized<br />

by strong approach motivation <strong>and</strong> weak avoidance<br />

motivation (Foster, Misra, & Reidy, 2010; Foster, Shenesey, & Goff,<br />

2010; Foster & Trimm, 2008). That is, narcissists are more strongly<br />

motivated by reward acquisition than punishment avoidance.<br />

Thus, narcissists should be expected to make riskier financial decisions.<br />

Evidence supporting this hypothesis comes from studies<br />

showing that narcissists engage more frequently in risky financial<br />

activities, such as gambling (Lakey, Rose, Campbell, & Goodie,<br />

2008). More directly, Foster, Misra et al. (2010) showed that narcissists<br />

are more likely to endorse financial investment strategies that<br />

couple high risk with high reward potential (e.g., <strong>investing</strong> in<br />

<strong>stock</strong>s rather than bonds).<br />

The purpose of the present study was to test whether narcissism<br />

predicts financial risk-taking within the specific context of <strong>stock</strong><br />

<strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>. We hypothesized that narcissism would predict<br />

a tendency to invest in riskier <strong>stock</strong>s, with ‘‘risky’’ being defined in<br />

terms of a <strong>stock</strong>’s volatility. Stock volatility—i.e., how much a <strong>stock</strong>’s<br />

value (i.e., price per share) fluctuates relative to other <strong>stock</strong>s—is a<br />

useful metric of <strong>stock</strong> riskiness for a couple of reasons. Practically<br />

speaking, there exist well-established measures of <strong>stock</strong> volatility.<br />

One of these measures is the economic indicator b (used in Study<br />

2), which indicates how much a single <strong>stock</strong>’s value fluctuates relative<br />

to a <strong>market</strong> indicator, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE. In terms of<br />

validity, highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s are indeed risky investments. Put<br />

simply, highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s are riskier than average <strong>stock</strong>s because<br />

their price valleys are deeper. However, they are also more potentially<br />

rewarding because their price peaks are higher.<br />

Because narcissists are more strongly motivated by reward than<br />

punishment, they should make investment decisions that maximize<br />

reward potential even at the cost of heightened risk exposure.<br />

In other words, highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s should be particularly attractive<br />

to narcissists. If our hypothesis is correct, then narcissism<br />

should be an adaptive personality trait during economic bull <strong>market</strong>s<br />

<strong>and</strong> a maladaptive trait during economic bear <strong>market</strong>s. This is<br />

because volatility correlates positively with price during bull <strong>market</strong>s<br />

(i.e., when most <strong>stock</strong>s’ values are rising) <strong>and</strong> negatively with<br />

price during bear <strong>market</strong>s (i.e., when most <strong>stock</strong>s’ values are falling).<br />

Therefore, <strong>investing</strong> in more volatile <strong>stock</strong>s will generally result<br />

in greater profits during bull <strong>market</strong>s <strong>and</strong> greater losses during<br />

bear <strong>market</strong>s.<br />

In this article, we present findings from two studies that test the<br />

link between narcissism <strong>and</strong> risky <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>. In Study<br />

1, participants were asked to select which <strong>stock</strong> they would rather<br />

invest money into from amongst four hypothetical <strong>stock</strong>s depicted<br />

by plots showing varying degrees of volatility. In Study 2, participants<br />

created hypothetical investment portfolios using actual<br />

<strong>stock</strong>s <strong>and</strong> performance indicators, including b. In both studies,<br />

narcissistic participants were expected to be attracted to highly<br />

volatile <strong>stock</strong>s. Specifically, narcissistic participants were expected<br />

to select <strong>stock</strong>s depicted in plots showing high volatility (Study 1)<br />

<strong>and</strong> create investment portfolios more heavily populated with<br />

highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s (Study 2). Finally, the investment portfolios<br />

created in Study 2 were tracked for five weeks to determine<br />

whether narcissism predicts investment performance. By chance,<br />

the US <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> experienced a historic collapse during this<br />

tracking period, which allowed us to examine how investments<br />

by narcissists perform during strong economic declines (i.e., a bear<br />

<strong>market</strong>).<br />

J.D. Foster et al. / Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences 50 (2011) 816–821 817<br />

2. Study 1<br />

In this study, we conducted an initial test of the link between<br />

narcissism <strong>and</strong> risky <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>. We hypothesized that<br />

narcissists would be prone to making hypothetical investments<br />

into <strong>stock</strong>s that displayed higher levels of volatility (i.e., <strong>stock</strong>s<br />

with more severe price fluctuations).<br />

2.1. Method<br />

2.1.1. Participants <strong>and</strong> procedure<br />

A sample of 237 University of South Alabama undergraduates<br />

(M age = 20.93; 56% female) completed measures of narcissism<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>stock</strong> volatility preference.<br />

2.1.1.1. <strong>Narcissism</strong>. <strong>Narcissism</strong> was measured with the 40-item<br />

Narcissistic Personality Inventory (NPI; Raskin & Terry, 1988). NPI<br />

scores for the present sample ranged from one to 39 (M = 17.74,<br />

SD = 7.54, a = .87) with higher scores indicating higher levels of<br />

narcissistic personality.<br />

2.1.1.2. Stock volatility preference. Participants were presented with<br />

four hypothetical <strong>stock</strong>s that differed in terms of volatility <strong>and</strong><br />

asked to select the one that they would most want to invest their<br />

money. Volatility was depicted graphically as the amount each<br />

<strong>stock</strong>’s price fluctuated during the previous 1000 <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

closings (see Appendix A for actual plots used in study). To create<br />

these plots, times series data for 1000 time points were simulated<br />

such that the value for each successive time point differed from<br />

that of the previous time point by a r<strong>and</strong>om integer between 3<br />

<strong>and</strong> +3. Time point #1 was designated as the present time <strong>and</strong><br />

was set at 100 (i.e., the price of the <strong>stock</strong> at the most recent close<br />

of the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> was set at $100). Therefore the price for time<br />

point #2 could range from 97 to 103, the price for time point #3<br />

could range from 94 to 106 (the actual price depended, of course,<br />

on what the price for time point #2 was), <strong>and</strong> so forth all of the<br />

way to time point #1000. These prices were then plotted with<br />

the Y-axis designated as the <strong>stock</strong>’s closing price <strong>and</strong> the X-axis<br />

designated as time. Time points were reversed before plotting so<br />

that time point #1 appeared at the far right end of the X-axis. This<br />

ensured that the most recent closing price of the <strong>stock</strong> was fixed at<br />

$100. This simulation was repeated until a plot with adequate visual<br />

appeal (e.g., appeared to show relatively consistent price fluctuations<br />

across the time series) emerged. We term this plot <strong>and</strong><br />

data set the st<strong>and</strong>ard time series.<br />

Next, to create the four plots used in the study, a plot representing<br />

very low volatility was created by multiplying by 0.5 the range<br />

with which the prices for each time point in the st<strong>and</strong>ard time series<br />

were allowed to differ (i.e., the range was changed from ±3 to<br />

±1.5). In other words, we created a new time series plot that displayed<br />

one-half the daily fluctuation displayed in the st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

time series plot. To create the second, third, <strong>and</strong> fourth plots, we<br />

used multipliers of 2.0, 3.5, <strong>and</strong> 5.0, respectively. In sum, we created<br />

four time series plots that displayed between one-half <strong>and</strong><br />

five times the volatility displayed in the st<strong>and</strong>ard time series plot.<br />

For quantitative purposes, we use the numbers 1–4 to represent<br />

these plots with higher numbers representing plots reflecting higher<br />

volatility. Participants were asked to select from amongst these<br />

four plots (M = 2.39, SD = .99).<br />

3. Results <strong>and</strong> discussion<br />

As hypothesized, narcissism positively predicted the selection<br />

of <strong>stock</strong>s represented by plots depicting greater price volatility,<br />

r = .13, p < .05, R 2 = .02. Put differently, participants who selected


818 J.D. Foster et al. / Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences 50 (2011) 816–821<br />

the two lower volatility <strong>stock</strong>s (n = 137) reported an average NPI<br />

score of 16.91 (SD = 7.38), whereas participants who selected the<br />

two higher volatility <strong>stock</strong>s (n = 100) reported an average NPI score<br />

of 18.89 (SD = 7.65), d = .26. In short, this represents a relatively<br />

small, but statistically significant effect suggesting that narcissists<br />

are prone to making investments in riskier (i.e., more volatile)<br />

<strong>stock</strong>s.<br />

Gender was also analyzed as a potential confounding <strong>and</strong> moderating<br />

variable in this study <strong>and</strong> in Study 2. Although men scored<br />

higher in narcissism <strong>and</strong> made somewhat riskier investment selections<br />

than did women, controlling for gender or including it as a<br />

moderating variable did not significantly change any of the results<br />

reported in this paper. In short, narcissism’s link to risky <strong>investing</strong><br />

was not contingent upon gender. Gender is therefore not discussed<br />

further.<br />

4. Study 2<br />

The next study sought to more conclusively test the link between<br />

narcissism <strong>and</strong> risky <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong> by having a<br />

sample of college undergraduates create hypothetical investment<br />

portfolios (i.e., collection of investments) using real <strong>stock</strong>s, the values<br />

of which were tracked for an approximate five-week period.<br />

Serendipitously, the tracking period of this study overlapped the<br />

historic collapse of the US <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> that occurred during September<br />

<strong>and</strong> October, 2008. We were thus able to observe how narcissists’<br />

investments perform during a strong economic downturn<br />

<strong>and</strong> test whether narcissism is financially maladaptive during bear<br />

<strong>market</strong> conditions. Additionally, we included a measure of approach-avoidance<br />

motivation in this study to examine whether<br />

narcissists’ <strong>investing</strong> tendencies are explained by their strong approach<br />

motivation <strong>and</strong>/or weak avoidance motivation.<br />

4.1. Method<br />

4.1.1. Participants<br />

Seventy-one University of South Alabama undergraduates (M<br />

age = 21.20, 58% women) participated in this study in exchange<br />

for credit toward their research participation requirement. Due to<br />

the complexity of the study (e.g., participants were taught about<br />

economic concepts, such as b) individuals who reported little or<br />

no familiarity with the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>and</strong>/or a prior diagnosis of a<br />

learning disability were excluded from the study.<br />

4.1.2. Materials <strong>and</strong> procedure<br />

Participants completed individual difference measures of narcissistic<br />

personality <strong>and</strong> approach-avoidance motivation as part<br />

of a subject pool registration session conducted at the beginning<br />

of the semester. <strong>Narcissism</strong> was again measured with the 40-item<br />

NPI (Raskin & Terry, 1988). NPI scores for the present sample ranged<br />

from six to 37 (M = 18.07, SD = 7.09, a = .85). Approach-avoidance<br />

motivation was measured with the 35-item Sensitivity to<br />

Reward <strong>and</strong> Punishment Scale (O’Connor, Colder, & Hawk, 2004;<br />

Torrubia, Avila, Molto, & Caseras, 2001). Approach motivation<br />

(i.e., sensitivity to reward) scores ranged from one to 17<br />

(M = 8.39, SD = 3.63, a = .76) <strong>and</strong> avoidance motivation (i.e., sensitivity<br />

to punishment) scores also ranged from one to 17<br />

(M = 8.15, SD = 4.54, a = .83) with higher scores indicating higher<br />

levels of approach <strong>and</strong> avoidance motivation, respectively.<br />

Upon arrival to the study, participants were informed that they<br />

would be creating <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> investment portfolios based on actual<br />

<strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> data <strong>and</strong> that their portfolios would be tracked<br />

for approximately five weeks. They were further informed that<br />

participants whose portfolios were most profitable at the end of<br />

the tracking period would receive cash prizes ranging from $100<br />

for first place to $20 for fifth place. Multiple prizes were awarded<br />

to discourage participants from employing extremely risky (‘‘Hail<br />

Mary’’) investment strategies in an attempt to claim a single gr<strong>and</strong><br />

prize. This appeared to work because participants’ investments<br />

ended up on average being only moderately risky.<br />

Before creating portfolios, participants listened to an approximately<br />

30-min long didactic about several fundamental concepts<br />

of the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> (e.g., what a share of <strong>stock</strong> is). Most importantly,<br />

participants learned about the economic indicator b, which<br />

measures a <strong>stock</strong>’s volatility. b is the unst<strong>and</strong>ardized regression<br />

coefficient that results from regressing a broad indicator of <strong>market</strong><br />

performance (e.g., S&P 500, FTSE) onto the performance of a single<br />

<strong>stock</strong> over a given length of time. For example, a <strong>stock</strong> with b = 2.0<br />

correlates positively with the performance of the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong>, but<br />

tends to fluctuate in price at about twice the rate of the <strong>market</strong>. A<br />

<strong>stock</strong> with b = 0.5 is about half as volatile as the <strong>market</strong>. In short,<br />

<strong>stock</strong>s with high b tend to experience more pronounced price fluctuations<br />

resulting in enhanced risk exposure <strong>and</strong> reward potential<br />

(to make this point salient, we generally referred to b using the<br />

acronym RR, which stood for Risk/Reward). Whether investors<br />

actually profit or lose money is often best predicted by the performance<br />

of the <strong>market</strong>. When the <strong>market</strong> rises, <strong>stock</strong>s with high b<br />

tend to experience extreme profits; when the <strong>market</strong> falls, high b<br />

<strong>stock</strong>s tend to suffer extreme losses (this assumes that b is positive,<br />

which is true for the vast majority of <strong>stock</strong>s).<br />

Following this presentation, participants were given a list containing<br />

the 30 companies that collectively made up the Dow Jones<br />

Industrial Average (e.g., Walmart, Microsoft). 2 Listed beside each<br />

company was its b (b values were multiplied by 100 to make them<br />

whole numbers), current price-per-share, <strong>and</strong> 52-week high <strong>and</strong><br />

low prices. All values were taken from the close of the New York<br />

Stock Exchange (NYSE) the day before the study began (September<br />

2, 2008) <strong>and</strong> all participants were run within three weeks of this<br />

date. The dates that participants participated in the study were<br />

uncorrelated with their <strong>stock</strong> selections or any other variables reported<br />

in this study.<br />

Participants were next given an imaginary sum of $10,000 with<br />

which to invest into one or more of the 30 <strong>stock</strong>s. Participants were<br />

permitted to assign their investments to any single company or<br />

combination of companies they desired. The only requirements<br />

were that (i) they had to invest all $10,000 <strong>and</strong> (ii) they had to limit<br />

their investments to the 30 listed companies.<br />

4.1.2.1. Portfolio volatility. We computed how volatile participants’<br />

portfolios were by averaging the b values for the 10 investments<br />

that made up their portfolios. Portfolio volatilities ranged from<br />

58.10 to 168.80 (M = 111.60, SD = 25.33). Higher scores reflected<br />

higher portfolio volatility.<br />

4.1.2.2. Portfolio value. At the end of the tracking period (i.e., the<br />

close of the NYSE on October 10, 2008), portfolios values were assessed<br />

(all portfolios began the study with a $10,000 value). The<br />

Dow Jones Industrial Average lost approximately 27% of its value<br />

during the tracking period. Not surprisingly, all participants’ portfolios<br />

also lost value (M portfolio value = $6605, SD = $932,<br />

range = $3909–$8130); the average portfolio lost 34% of its initial<br />

$10,000 value.<br />

5. Results <strong>and</strong> discussion<br />

As hypothesized, narcissism predicted the creation of more volatile<br />

<strong>stock</strong> portfolios, r = .36, p < .01. Also consistent with prior research<br />

(Foster & Trimm, 2008), narcissism predicted high approach<br />

2 One of the companies, AIG, has since been removed from the Dow-30.


motivation, r = .49, p < .001, <strong>and</strong> low avoidance motivation,<br />

r = .38, p < .01. Furthermore, approach motivation predicted more<br />

volatile portfolios, r = .34, p < .01, <strong>and</strong> avoidance motivation predicted<br />

less volatile portfolios, r = .26, p < .05. To summarize, narcissists<br />

<strong>and</strong> individuals high in approach motivation selected<br />

riskier <strong>stock</strong>s for their portfolios; individuals high in avoidance<br />

motivation selected safer <strong>stock</strong>s for their portfolios.<br />

We next tested whether approach-avoidance motivation mediated<br />

the link between narcissism <strong>and</strong> portfolio volatility using the<br />

steps outlined by Baron <strong>and</strong> Kenny (1986). When portfolio volatility<br />

was regressed onto narcissism, approach motivation, <strong>and</strong> avoidance<br />

motivation simultaneously, the direct association between narcissism<br />

<strong>and</strong> portfolio volatility fell to non-significant, b = .16, p = .25.<br />

Likewise, the link between avoidance motivation <strong>and</strong> portfolio volatility<br />

also fell to non-significant, b = .19, p = .12. In contrast, the<br />

link between approach motivation <strong>and</strong> portfolio volatility remained<br />

statistically significant, b = .26, p < .05. This indicates that the narcissism-portfolio<br />

volatility link was mediated primarily by approach<br />

motivation. Preacher <strong>and</strong> Hayes’ (2004) bootstrapping procedure<br />

confirmed that the indirect effect of narcissism on portfolio volatility<br />

carried through approach motivation was significant; that is, the<br />

95% confidence intervals of the indirect effect did not cross zero, 95%<br />

CI = .08 <strong>and</strong> 1.10, whereas the indirect effect carried through avoidance<br />

motivation was non-significant, 95% CI = .07 <strong>and</strong> .81. Narcissists’<br />

risky <strong>stock</strong> selections in this study were best explained by their<br />

heightened level of approach motivation.<br />

We also tested whether the <strong>stock</strong>s that narcissists picked for<br />

their portfolios performed better or worse than average during<br />

the tracking period. Not surprisingly, highly volatile portfolios lost<br />

significantly more money than did less volatile portfolios, r = .84,<br />

p < .001. Likewise, narcissism, which was positively correlated with<br />

portfolio volatility, also predicted greater losses, r = .26, p < .05. In<br />

short, narcissists, who created more volatile <strong>stock</strong> portfolios, lost<br />

significantly more money than did their less narcissistic<br />

counterparts.<br />

Next, we tested whether the link between narcissism <strong>and</strong> poor<br />

portfolio performance was explained by portfolio volatility. Consistent<br />

with mediation (Baron & Kenny, 1986), when we controlled for<br />

portfolio volatility, the association between narcissism <strong>and</strong> portfolio<br />

performance fell to non-significant, b = .06, p = .43, whereas the<br />

association between portfolio volatility <strong>and</strong> portfolio performance<br />

remained strong, b = .86, p < .001. Confirming the significance of<br />

the mediation, 95% confidence intervals representing the indirect<br />

effect of narcissism on portfolio performance carried through portfolio<br />

volatility did not cross zero, 95% CI = 65.19 <strong>and</strong> 16.85.<br />

Finally, to put all of these results together, we constructed a<br />

structural equation model that reflected our theoretical contention<br />

that the poor performance of narcissists in this study was caused<br />

by the fact that they made risky (i.e., highly volatile) investments,<br />

which was ultimately caused by their strong approach orientations.<br />

This model is shown in Fig. 1. We created latent variables<br />

for narcissism, approach motivation, <strong>and</strong> portfolio volatility by<br />

splitting the measures into two or three parcels that contained<br />

the summed scores for a selection of items. Specifically, we created<br />

narcissism<br />

J.D. Foster et al. / Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences 50 (2011) 816–821 819<br />

three parcels for narcissism by summing NPI items 1, 4, 7, 10...<br />

into parcel 1, items 2, 5, 8, 11... into parcel 2, <strong>and</strong> items 3, 6, 9,<br />

12... into parcel 3. We created two parcels for approach motivation<br />

that contained either odd or even numbered items of the Sensitivity<br />

to Reward Scale. We created two parcels for portfolio<br />

volatility that contained either odd or even numbered b values (recall<br />

that participants made 10 separate investments, so each parcel<br />

contained five bs). Of course, we could not create a latent variable<br />

for portfolio performance since it was simply a dollar amount, so it<br />

was modeled as a manifest variable.<br />

We tested our hypothesized model using Amos Ò v6.0 SEM software<br />

<strong>and</strong> found that it fit the data nearly perfectly (v 2 [18 df]=<br />

15.53, p = .63; CFI = 1.00, GFI = .95, SRMR = .06, RMSEA = .00). We<br />

also tested alternative models that contained either (i) a direct<br />

path from narcissism to portfolio volatility, (ii) a direct path from<br />

narcissism to portfolio performance, or (iii) a direct path from approach<br />

motivation to portfolio performance. None of these alternative<br />

models significantly improved model fit relative to our<br />

hypothesized model (Dv 2 [1 df] values were .64, 3.12, <strong>and</strong> 3.53,<br />

respectively; ps were .42, .08, <strong>and</strong> .06, respectively). In sum, our<br />

hypothesized model fit the data exceptionally well <strong>and</strong> as well as<br />

any of the less parsimonious alternative models tested. We believe<br />

that our hypothesized model best reflects reality in terms of how<br />

narcissism operates within the context of <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>.<br />

6. General discussion<br />

nar1 nar2 nar3 app1 app2 beta1 beta2<br />

.74 .76 .91 .80 .72 .72 .86<br />

The results of these studies suggest that narcissists are prone to<br />

<strong>investing</strong> in risky <strong>stock</strong>s. This tendency appears to stem primarily<br />

from narcissists’ hypersensitivity to reward (i.e., high approach<br />

motivation). Researchers have suggested that the motivational disposition<br />

of narcissists (i.e., high approach/low avoidance motivation)<br />

is likely to be adaptive in some circumstances <strong>and</strong><br />

maladaptive in others (e.g., Foster & Trimm, 2008). Investing in<br />

highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s exposes investors to greater potential gains<br />

<strong>and</strong> losses depending upon <strong>market</strong> conditions (e.g., whether the<br />

<strong>market</strong> is in ascent or decline). Accordingly, narcissistic personality<br />

should be financially disadvantageous during periods of economic<br />

decline. This was clearly evident in Study 2, where narcissists lost<br />

significantly more money from their investments than did their less<br />

narcissistic counterparts, which was entirely explained by the risky<br />

investments that narcissists made. Of course, it should be noted<br />

here that had the <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> risen rather than fallen during Study<br />

2, narcissists would most likely have performed better than other<br />

participants in the study. In short, these results further demonstrate<br />

what Paulhus (1998) labeled the ‘‘mixed-blessing’’ of narcissism,<br />

that is, narcissism presents its host with a range of advantages<br />

<strong>and</strong> disadvantages that are situationally dependent.<br />

The results of these studies are also in line with prior research<br />

that has linked narcissism with risky decision-making in other<br />

domains. For example, Lakey <strong>and</strong> colleagues (2008) demonstrated<br />

that narcissism is linked to pathological gambling. These authors<br />

suggest that the link between narcissism <strong>and</strong> pathological<br />

gambling is explained in part by what they refer to as narcissists’<br />

.65 approach .39 portfolio -.94<br />

motivation<br />

volatility<br />

portfolio<br />

performance<br />

Fig. 1. Structural equation model depicting narcissism <strong>and</strong> <strong>stock</strong> <strong>market</strong> <strong>investing</strong>. Latent variables are represented by ovals; manifest variables are represented by<br />

rectangles. The numbers above the paths connecting the latent variables (<strong>and</strong> portfolio performance) are st<strong>and</strong>ardized regression weights. The numbers beside the paths<br />

connecting the latent variables to their manifest indicators are estimated factor loadings.


820 J.D. Foster et al. / Personality <strong>and</strong> Individual Differences 50 (2011) 816–821<br />

‘‘myopic focus on reward’’ (p. 131), which leads them to make high<br />

risk wagers that ultimately result in more substantial losses. In a<br />

similar vein, narcissists in Study 2 incurred greater financial losses<br />

compared to less narcissistic participants because the <strong>stock</strong>s they<br />

invested in were, on average, more volatile. This tendency appeared<br />

to be fueled by approach motivation. It is interesting that<br />

approach motivation, but not avoidance motivation best accounted<br />

for the risky <strong>investing</strong> by narcissists. This finding is consistent with<br />

recent research showing that narcissists engage in more general<br />

risk-taking because of the benefits they think they will derive from<br />

taking risks <strong>and</strong> not because they underestimate the level of risk<br />

associated with risky behavior (Foster, Shenesey et al., 2010).<br />

Cumulatively, these findings suggest that strong approach motivation<br />

rather than weak avoidance motivation might be the driving<br />

force behind narcissistic risk-taking.<br />

Finally, the present studies’ results are also consistent with<br />

Campbell, Goodie, <strong>and</strong> Foster’s (2004) research showing that narcissists<br />

display overconfidence in their decision-making. For example,<br />

narcissists faced with objective evidence that they will not<br />

succeed at a task (e.g., poor performance in prior similar tasks)<br />

tend to remain confident that they will succeed no<strong>net</strong>heless. These<br />

findings have been interpreted as reflecting a level of dysfunctional<br />

overconfidence associated with narcissism. Although not directly<br />

tested in their study, Campbell et al. (2004) suggested that narcissistic<br />

overconfidence may be fueled by a strong approach orientation<br />

whereby one focuses exclusively on potential positive<br />

outcomes (i.e., task success). Study 2’s results support this<br />

perspective.<br />

In conclusion, the results of this research suggest that the motivational<br />

disposition of narcissists makes them susceptible to problems<br />

stemming from exuberant financial risk-taking, including<br />

<strong>investing</strong> in highly volatile <strong>stock</strong>s. Future research will need to<br />

examine how well these laboratory studies using college students<br />

generalize to real-world <strong>investing</strong>. Future research should also<br />

examine more thoroughly the process that underlies risky <strong>investing</strong><br />

by narcissists. Sub-goal scaffolding theory (Corr, 2008), for<br />

example, in part suggests that approach motivated behavior often<br />

involves restraint <strong>and</strong> planning (i.e., it is strategic), which distinguishes<br />

it from purely impulsive behavior. Although we are inclined<br />

to view risky <strong>investing</strong> by narcissists as approach<br />

motivated behavior, we admittedly cannot rule out the possibility<br />

that narcissists make risky investments out of sheer impulse. Future<br />

research may address this by examining narcissists’ investment<br />

decisions over longer periods of time <strong>and</strong> following<br />

performance feedback. If narcissists’ risky investments consistently<br />

perform poorly, more cautious future <strong>investing</strong> might indicate<br />

planning <strong>and</strong> restraint characteristic of approach motivation.<br />

Failure to modify their investment scheme, on the other h<strong>and</strong>,<br />

might indicate impulsivity. Finally, we want to reiterate that we<br />

do not think that narcissism is a purely maladaptive trait with regard<br />

to investment decisions. Again, had the <strong>market</strong> performed<br />

well during Study 2’s tracking period, narcissists would most likely<br />

have outperformed their less narcissistic counterparts. Nevertheless,<br />

during economic downturns it is probably best not to leave<br />

investments in the h<strong>and</strong>s of narcissists.<br />

Appendix A. Plots used in <strong>stock</strong> picking exercise from Study 1<br />

Stock. picking exercise<br />

Below are the prices of four <strong>stock</strong>s during the past several years.<br />

In general, all four <strong>stock</strong>s performed about the same, though some


obviously went up <strong>and</strong> down in price more than others. Currently,<br />

they are each worth exactly $100 per share. Imagine that you have<br />

saved up a significant amount of money <strong>and</strong> that you want to invest<br />

it into one of these four <strong>stock</strong>s. Place a check mark next to<br />

the <strong>stock</strong> that you would you buy?<br />

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