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Optimization tool CargoSim - transcare.de

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<strong>Optimization</strong> <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Wiesba<strong>de</strong>n, 7th of October 2010<br />

Innovative Logistics Consultancy ñ<br />

Solutions for Your Success


Contents<br />

1. Application example<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

3. Fields of application <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

© TransCare AG<br />

2


Port of L¸beck<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

1. Application example <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

The port of L¸beck is Germany's largest port operator in the Baltic Sea<br />

Services:<br />

ï RoRo-handling of trucks and trailers<br />

ï Transshipment, storage, commissioning and distribution of forest products (paper<br />

and pulp)<br />

ï Shipping of export cars<br />

ï Container transshipment<br />

ï Transshipment and storage of general cargo and bulk cargo (e. g. salt)<br />

ï Inspection, maintenance and repair of the motor pool, equipment and buildings of<br />

the port as well as other companies<br />

ï Transshipment of fruit, wood, steel and other bulk cargo, cleaning of containers,<br />

commissioning and <strong>de</strong>livery of groupage consignments using combined traffic<br />

ï Europe-wi<strong>de</strong> distribution of goods, specialized in forest products<br />

3


Project overview Port of L¸beck<br />

Scope<br />

Instruments<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

Market analysis and i<strong>de</strong>ntification of relevant business segments<br />

for middle and long term planning<br />

Evaluation of impacts of ìFehmarnbeltquerungî on the strategic focus of the port<br />

Competition analysis<br />

Definition of management options to strengthen the market position of the port<br />

Commercial evaluation of these options for future action<br />

Prognosis of future handling volumes and market share forecast<br />

Use of <strong>CargoSim</strong>, which simulates cargo flows<br />

1. Application example <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Regression analysis to evaluate future relevant export volumes<br />

The optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong> was an important part of the project<br />

4


Structure<br />

Data Input<br />

Components<br />

Whatës Best: Solving<br />

Results<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

130 Transport<br />

no<strong>de</strong>s<br />

2.000 Transport<br />

arcs<br />

Transportation<br />

network<br />

Objective<br />

Cost minimization<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Regression<br />

analysis<br />

Transport<br />

volumes<br />

<strong>Optimization</strong> mo<strong>de</strong>l<br />

Adjustables<br />

Transport flows,<br />

Handling volumes<br />

within the no<strong>de</strong>s<br />

ShipCheck<br />

TrainCheck<br />

RoadCheck<br />

Costs for all<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>s of<br />

transport<br />

Capacities<br />

Constraints<br />

Capacities<br />

Cost optimal allocation of transport volumes to routes,<br />

market share of LHG, impacts of ìFehmarnbeltquerungî<br />

5


<strong>CargoSim</strong> - TrainCheck<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

DK<br />

Neum¸nster<br />

Hamburg<br />

Fre<strong>de</strong>ricia<br />

F¸nen<br />

Seeland<br />

Lolland<br />

L¸beck<br />

The routing of export volumes is based on transport costs<br />

Rostock<br />

Malmˆ<br />

DE<br />

SE<br />

6


<strong>CargoSim</strong> - RoadCheck<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

DK<br />

Neum¸nster<br />

Hamburg<br />

Fre<strong>de</strong>ricia<br />

Distortions due to fluctuating prices are eliminated<br />

F¸nen<br />

Seeland<br />

Lolland<br />

L¸beck<br />

Rostock<br />

Malmˆ<br />

DE<br />

SE<br />

7


<strong>CargoSim</strong> - ShipCheck<br />

Schiffstyp RoPax<br />

RoRo<br />

ConRo<br />

Schiffsklasse Stena Hollandica Nils Holgersson Finnhansa Finnstar Finnhawk Transpaper Transfennica Timca<br />

A. Basisdaten<br />

I. Gewicht<br />

Eigengewicht [t]<br />

Maximale Zuladung [t]<br />

Hˆchs tes Ges amtgewicht [t] 11.600 7.200 11.600 9.653 18.541 13.800 17.400<br />

BRZ 64.039 36.468 33.313 42.923 11.530 23.128 28.301<br />

NRZ 11.748 10.940 9.761 9.800 5.457 6.938<br />

II. Abmessungen<br />

L‰nge [m] 240 190 183 217 162 191 205<br />

Breite [m] 32 30 29 30,5 21 26 25,5<br />

Tiefgang [m] 6,40 6,22 7,40 7,00 6,70 7,80 8,40<br />

III. Kapazit‰ten<br />

Maximale Frachtzuladung [t] 6.400 3.500 3.200 4.000 4.520 9.300 3.800<br />

La<strong>de</strong>meter [m] 5.500 2.640 3.050 4.216 1.890 2.774 2.800<br />

Trailer Kapazit‰t [EH] 320 175 160 200 226 190<br />

Container Kapazit‰t [TEU] - - - 500 391 155 640<br />

Pas sagiere [EH] 1.200 744 270 500 12 - -<br />

KFZ<br />

IV. Leistung<br />

Motorleistung [kW ] 33.600 29.880 23.040 48.000 12.600 18.000 25.200<br />

Verdr‰ngung [cbm] 11.498 7.137 11.498 9.568 18.378 13.679 17.247<br />

Max. Ges chwindigkeit [km/h] 40,74 40,74 40,74 40,74 40,74 40,74 40,74<br />

Reiseges chwindigkeit [km/h] 31,48 31,48 31,48 31,48 31,48 31,48 31,48<br />

V. Besatzung (doppelt) 132 112 34 14 30 30 24<br />

Leichtmatros e [Pers .] 80 60 16 6 14 14 12<br />

Boots mann/Matrose [Pers.] 46 46 14 4 12 12 8<br />

Steuermann [Pers .] 4 4 2 2 2 2 2<br />

Schiffsf¸hrer [Pers.] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

DK<br />

Neum¸nster<br />

Hamburg<br />

Fre<strong>de</strong>ricia<br />

F¸nen<br />

Seeland<br />

Lolland<br />

L¸beck<br />

Costs for all mo<strong>de</strong>s of transport could be calculated<br />

Rostock<br />

Malmˆ<br />

DE<br />

SE<br />

8


Mathematical formulation<br />

Constraints<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

Minimize<br />

(1.1)<br />

Definition of an individual transport problem<br />

For all i, j = 1, Ö, N and<br />

k = 1, Ö, K<br />

(1.2) For all o = 1, Ö, O<br />

(1.3)<br />

For all o = 1, Ö, O; j = 1, Ö,<br />

N; j ≠ Quelle o and j ≠ Senke o<br />

(1.4) For all o = 1, Ö, O<br />

(1.5)<br />

(1.6)<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Objective<br />

cost minimization<br />

For alle i, j = 1, Ö, N;<br />

k = 1, Ö K and o = 1, Ö, O<br />

For all i = 1, Ö, N and<br />

o = 1, Ö, O<br />

9


Example (1)<br />

Transport volume<br />

Stockholm -> Mailand 5 ME<br />

Transport costs<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 3/4 -<br />

Gˆ 7 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - 3 - - - 5 -<br />

Mal - 6 - 4/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3/4 - 4/5 - -<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Gˆteborg<br />

Antwerpen<br />

L¸beck<br />

Mailand<br />

Stockholm<br />

Malmˆ<br />

Duisburg<br />

Rail<br />

Road<br />

Ship<br />

10


Example (2)<br />

Transport volume<br />

Stockholm -> Mailand 5 ME 5 ME<br />

Transport costs<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 3/4 -<br />

Gˆ 7 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - 3 - - - 5 -<br />

Mal - 6 - 4/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3/4 - 4/5 - -<br />

Routing via Gˆteborg ñ L¸beck<br />

with minimal transport costs<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Gˆteborg<br />

Antwerpen<br />

5 ME<br />

L¸beck<br />

Mailand<br />

Stockholm<br />

Malmˆ<br />

Duisburg<br />

5 ME<br />

∑ Transport costs:<br />

5 ME ∙ 3 + 5 ME ∙ 3 + 5 ME ∙ 5 = 55 GE<br />

Rail<br />

Road<br />

Ship<br />

11


Example (3)<br />

Transport volumes<br />

Stockholm -> Mailand 5 ME 5 ME<br />

Transport costs<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 3/4 -<br />

Gˆ 7 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - 3 - - - 5 -<br />

Mal - 6 - 4/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3/4 - 4/5 - -<br />

Capacities<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 2 -<br />

Gˆ 5 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - - - - - 3 -<br />

Mal - 5 - 2/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3 - 4 - -<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Gˆteborg<br />

Antwerpen<br />

5 ME<br />

L¸beck<br />

Mailand<br />

Stockholm<br />

Malmˆ<br />

Duisburg<br />

5 ME<br />

∑ Transport costs:<br />

5 ME ∙ 3 + 5 ME ∙ 3 + 5 ME ∙ 5 = 55 GE<br />

Capacity<br />

Gˆteborg -<br />

L¸beck<br />

excee<strong>de</strong>d<br />

Rail<br />

Road<br />

Ship<br />

12


Example (4)<br />

Transport volumes<br />

Stockholm -> Mailand 5 ME 3 ME<br />

Transport costs<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 3/4 -<br />

Gˆ 7 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - 3 - - - 5 -<br />

Mal - 6 - 4/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3/4 - 4/5 - -<br />

Capacities<br />

An Du Gˆ HL Mal Mai Sto<br />

An - 3 - - - - -<br />

Du - - - - - 2 -<br />

Gˆ 5 - - 3 - - -<br />

HL - - - - - 3 -<br />

Mal - 5 - 2/3 - - -<br />

Mai - - - - - - -<br />

Sto - - 3 - 4 - -<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

Gˆteborg<br />

Antwerpen<br />

2 ME<br />

2 ME<br />

3 ME<br />

L¸beck<br />

Mailand<br />

Stockholm<br />

Malmˆ<br />

Duisburg<br />

3 ME<br />

2 ME<br />

∑ Transport costs:<br />

3 ME ∙ 3 + 3 ME ∙ 3 + 3 ME ∙ 5 +<br />

2 ME ∙ 4 + 2 ME ∙ 6 + 2 ME ∙ 2 = 57 GE<br />

Routing<br />

via Malmˆ<br />

as a second<br />

option<br />

Rail<br />

Road<br />

Ship<br />

13


<strong>Optimization</strong> results<br />

ï Simulation of different scenarios<br />

(basic, increasing fuel prices,<br />

Fehmarnbeltquerung)<br />

ï Development of total handling<br />

volumes and market shares<br />

ï Competition analysis: Prognosis<br />

of handling volumes separated<br />

by selected ports and transport<br />

relations<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

2. Structure of the optimization <strong>tool</strong> <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

14


Fields of application <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

I. Determination of market potentials<br />

Which cargo volumes will flow via the port in the future (potentials)<br />

and which volumes will bypass the port (challenges) within a<br />

<strong>de</strong>fined planning horizon (e.g. 2015)?<br />

II. Competition analysis<br />

Which competitive advantages and disadvantages exist for which cargo volume<br />

(from/to Hinterland) due to the location of the port?<br />

According to the optimization objective used you can distinguish two methods:<br />

Cost or carbon dioxi<strong>de</strong> minimization<br />

III. Simulation of different scenarios regarding<br />

© TransCare AG<br />

ï Infrastructure changes (e.g. expansion of port capacity, expansion of rail corridors<br />

in the hinterland)<br />

ï Cost movements (e.g. reduction of rail costs due to market liberalization, increase<br />

in bunker fuel prices, road charges, cru<strong>de</strong> oil prices, electricity prices) and <strong>de</strong>tailed<br />

representation of the resulting profits and losses in volume per transport route<br />

<strong>CargoSim</strong> as a basis for <strong>de</strong>cision-making<br />

regarding marketing and strategic measures<br />

3. Fields of application <strong>CargoSim</strong><br />

15


© TransCare AG<br />

Thank you for your attention!<br />

16

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