Piotr Szymański
Piotr Szymański
Piotr Szymański
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Energy Policy: making the most of<br />
national and European strategies<br />
<strong>Piotr</strong> SZYMANSKI<br />
Director<br />
DG ENERGY, European Commission<br />
Konferencja Polska Prezydencja w Radzie UE<br />
i scenariusze energetyczne przyszłości<br />
14 lipca 2011<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
1
Energy policy – the next European integration<br />
project<br />
N<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
__ Southern Corridor<br />
____ Other new import lines, incl<br />
Nordstream (N)<br />
2
Energy security depends on wider European<br />
market: the Gas crisis in January 2009 and its<br />
impact<br />
% reduction in supplies – 300 mcm/d<br />
6-20 January 2009<br />
> 75 %<br />
50 - 75 %<br />
25 – 50 %<br />
< 25%<br />
0%<br />
Ukraine<br />
ENERGY 2020 | 3
IN OPERATION<br />
Major oil and gas pipeline projects<br />
Networks originating in Russia<br />
Pipelines<br />
Oil<br />
Gas<br />
IN PROJECT<br />
Idea/photo: maxppp<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
4
Electricity interconnection capacity requirements<br />
(MW) by 2020<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
5
Infrastructure priorities by 2020<br />
North Seas<br />
Offshore Grid<br />
North-South Gas Corridor<br />
in Western Europe<br />
South Western<br />
Electricity Interconnections<br />
Baltic<br />
Energy Market<br />
Interconnection<br />
Plan<br />
Electricity &<br />
Gas<br />
Central / South Eastern<br />
Electricity Connections<br />
North-South Gas<br />
Interconnections<br />
& Oil Supply<br />
Southern<br />
Gas Corridor<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
6
- European Commission Reference<br />
Scenario to 2050, 2011<br />
- European Climate Foundation<br />
(ECF) – Roadmap 2050, 2010<br />
- Greenpeace/EREC – Energy [R]<br />
evolution (+EREC (2010), Re-thinking<br />
2050), 2010<br />
- International Energy Agency (IEA)<br />
– Energy Technologies Perspectives<br />
(ETP), 2010<br />
- IEA – World Energy Outlook (WEO),<br />
2009<br />
- Eurelectric – Power Choices, 2009<br />
- - Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei et<br />
al., EU-RTD Project PLANETS:<br />
Probabilistic Long-term Assessment of<br />
New Energy Technology Scenarios,<br />
2010<br />
Scenarios of electricity demand to 2050 –<br />
Rises in all scenarios<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
7
Energy system investment needs<br />
Total investment needs in the electricity and gas sector<br />
between 2010-20: over 1 trillion €<br />
Power generation: ~ 500 bn Transmission and distribution: ~ 600 bn<br />
RES: ~ 310-370 bn<br />
NB: approximate figures, mainly<br />
from DG ENER calculations based<br />
on data from PRIMES, ENTSO-E,<br />
KEMA, ECOFYS etc.<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
Distribution: ~ 400 bn<br />
Transmission: ~ 200 bn<br />
8
Primary energy consumption*, Mtoe<br />
<br />
1900<br />
1850<br />
1800<br />
1750<br />
1700<br />
1650<br />
1600<br />
1550<br />
1500<br />
1450<br />
1400<br />
1712<br />
2005<br />
20% Energy efficiency target<br />
for 2020<br />
1714<br />
2006<br />
1692 1685<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2010<br />
2011<br />
2012<br />
2013<br />
2014<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
2015<br />
2016<br />
Historical consumption (Eurostat)<br />
Baseline projections for 2020 (Primes 2007)<br />
20% Energy saving objective<br />
2017<br />
2018<br />
1842 Mtoe<br />
1676 Mtoe<br />
1474 Mtoe<br />
2019<br />
2020<br />
Expected<br />
achievements**<br />
- 166 Mtoe<br />
20% objective<br />
- 368 Mtoe<br />
9
More info on<br />
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/index_en.htm<br />
ENERGY 2020<br />
10
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