Eric Buskirk, MBA President & Founder, Verican, Inc.
Eric Buskirk, MBA President & Founder, Verican, Inc.
Eric Buskirk, MBA President & Founder, Verican, Inc.
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Newspapers: Profiting from the convergence of web, email,<br />
mobile and print<br />
<strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, <strong>MBA</strong><br />
<strong>President</strong> & <strong>Founder</strong>, <strong>Verican</strong>, <strong>Inc</strong>.
Book Designer: Jayson He<br />
Author: <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, <strong>MBA</strong><br />
<strong>Verican</strong> and the <strong>Verican</strong> logo are trademarks of <strong>Verican</strong>, <strong>Inc</strong>. in the USA and<br />
other countries.<br />
TRADEMARKS: <strong>Verican</strong> has attempted throughout this book to distinguish<br />
proprietary trademarks from descriptive terms by following the capitalization<br />
style used by other companies.<br />
The author and publisher have made their best efforts to prepare this book. The<br />
author and publisher make no representation or warranties of any kind with<br />
regard to the completeness or accuracy of the contents herein and accept no<br />
liability of any kind including but not limited to performance, merchantability,<br />
fitness for any particular purpose, or any losses or damages of any kind caused<br />
or alleged to be caused directly or indirectly from this book.<br />
Copyright © 2010 <strong>Verican</strong>, <strong>Inc</strong>., 588 Sutter Street #420, San Francisco, CA<br />
94102. World rights reserved. No part of this publication may be stored in a<br />
retrieval system, transmitted or reproduced in any way, including but not limited<br />
to photocopy, photograph, magnetic, digital, electronic or other record, without<br />
the prior agreement and written permission of the publisher.<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Dedicated To<br />
Don Bolles (July 10, 1928 – June 13, 1976), investigative reporter for the<br />
Arizona Republic murdered in Phoenix, Arizona by a car bomb planted in broad<br />
daylight. He had been investigating organized crime. John Harvey Adamson<br />
pleaded guilty to murdering him as a contract hit.<br />
Chauncey Wendell Bailey, Jr. (October 20, 1949 – August 2, 2007), editor-inchief<br />
of the Oakland Post, murdered in downtown Oakland, California and in<br />
broad daylight. Police referred to this as an assassination for the past and<br />
ongoing articles he wrote about a local Muslim bakery.<br />
My Mother<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Contents at a Glance<br />
PART I - DISCOVERING NEW HORIZONS......................................................................11<br />
CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION................................................................................................... 12<br />
CHAPTER 2 - DEATH SPIRAL.................................................................................................... 14<br />
CHAPTER 3 - PROBLEM/OPPORTUNITY .................................................................................... 25<br />
PART II - INTEGRATING NEW WITH OLD MEDIA ..................................................... 34<br />
CHAPTER 4 - PRODUCTS .......................................................................................................... 35<br />
CHAPTER 5 - PLACE (ADVERTISING MARKET) ........................................................................ 56<br />
CHAPTER 6 - PRICING .............................................................................................................. 65<br />
CHAPTER 7 - PROMOTION........................................................................................................ 75<br />
PART III - ACTION............................................................................................................... 84<br />
CHAPTER 8 - SELLING.............................................................................................................. 85<br />
PART IV - MANAGING FOR SUCCESS.............................................................................100<br />
CHAPTER 9 - COMPETITION ................................................................................................... 101<br />
CHAPTER 10 - ADVERTISING INVENTORY.............................................................................. 125<br />
CHAPTER 11 - FINANCIALS.................................................................................................... 138<br />
CHAPTER 12 - VALUATION/EXIT STRATEGY ......................................................................... 149<br />
CHAPTER 13 - SUMMARY AND GETTING STARTED ................................................................ 157<br />
PART V - APPENDIXES ......................................................................................................163<br />
APPENDIX B - GLOSSARY/KEY TERMS.................................................................................. 164<br />
APPENDIX C - CLASSIFIEDS ................................................................................................... 166<br />
APPENDIX D - CIRCULATION ................................................................................................. 176<br />
APPENDIX E - CUSTOMER/SALES MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS .................................................. 176<br />
APPENDIX F - NEWSPAPER CONSULTANTS ............................................................................ 179<br />
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Contents<br />
Dedicated To........................................................................................................... 3<br />
Contents at a Glance ............................................................................................... 4<br />
Contents................................................................................................................... 5<br />
Organization of This Book..................................................................................... 9<br />
How to Use This Book ........................................................................................... 9<br />
Free Downloadable Resources............................................................................... 9<br />
We Want to Hear From You ................................................................................... 10<br />
PART I - DISCOVERING NEW HORIZONS..........................................................11<br />
CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 12<br />
Opportunity............................................................................................................. 13<br />
CHAPTER 2 - DEATH SPIRAL ........................................................................................ 14<br />
Profitability Decline .............................................................................................. 14<br />
Impact of Profits Decline...................................................................................... 15<br />
Fixation with Print.................................................................................................. 17<br />
Charging for Online (and <strong>Inc</strong>reasingly Print) Content .......................................... 18<br />
Frenemies ............................................................................................................... 20<br />
Cutting Costs .......................................................................................................... 20<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................. 22<br />
CHAPTER 3 - PROBLEM/OPPORTUNITY ........................................................................ 25<br />
Watchdog of Government and Businesses .......................................................... 25<br />
Government Funding............................................................................................ 25<br />
Solution: Focus on One Revenue Driver ............................................................. 26<br />
Ideal Complete Local Advertising Solution......................................................... 26<br />
BCG Matrix of Newspaper Products ................................................................... 27<br />
Newspaper Product Growth ................................................................................. 27<br />
Non-Print Quality ................................................................................................. 28<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease Services to Advertisers ........................................................................... 28<br />
Prioritizing Expansion.......................................................................................... 29<br />
Changing the Newspaper Culture........................................................................ 30<br />
Small and Nimble = Profitable............................................................................. 31<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................ 31<br />
PART II - INTEGRATING NEW WITH OLD MEDIA ......................................... 34<br />
CHAPTER 4 - PRODUCTS............................................................................................... 35<br />
Newspaper Components ...................................................................................... 35<br />
Component: News/Editorial .........................................................................................35<br />
Component: Classifieds..................................................................................................35<br />
Component: Advertising, <strong>Inc</strong>luding Business Listings................................................35<br />
Newspaper Platforms............................................................................................ 36<br />
Platform: Print ....................................................................................................... 36<br />
Print Frequency ................................................................................................................37<br />
Advantages of Print..........................................................................................................38<br />
Platform: Website .................................................................................................. 40<br />
Platform: Mobile/Wireless...................................................................................... 45<br />
Platform: Email Newsletter .................................................................................... 47<br />
Other Platforms and Components .......................................................................... 50<br />
Amazon’s Kindle..................................................................................................... 50<br />
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Podcasting .............................................................................................................. 51<br />
Internet Personals................................................................................................... 52<br />
Restaurant Placemats ............................................................................................. 52<br />
Platform and Component Comparison ................................................................... 53<br />
Technologies........................................................................................................... 53<br />
Build vs. Buy.......................................................................................................... 53<br />
CHAPTER 5 - PLACE (ADVERTISING MARKET)............................................................. 56<br />
Total Market Opportunity .................................................................................... 56<br />
National and Regional Advertisers ...................................................................... 57<br />
Local Advertising Opportunity............................................................................. 57<br />
Local Advertising Market ..................................................................................... 60<br />
Convincing Local Advertisers............................................................................... 60<br />
Benefits of Advertising:......................................................................................... 60<br />
Leading Companies Advertise ............................................................................. 61<br />
Advertising Impact................................................................................................ 61<br />
Complete Advertising Solution ............................................................................... 62<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................. 63<br />
CHAPTER 6 - PRICING .................................................................................................. 65<br />
Non-Print Pricing.................................................................................................. 66<br />
Bundled/Packaged Programs ................................................................................. 66<br />
Building a Pricing Model...................................................................................... 68<br />
Package Pricing Example..................................................................................... 68<br />
Pricing to Market.................................................................................................... 71<br />
Term of Contract..................................................................................................... 73<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................. 73<br />
CHAPTER 7 - PROMOTION ............................................................................................ 75<br />
Advertorial.............................................................................................................. 77<br />
Local Businesses..................................................................................................... 79<br />
Local Branding from Local Businesses .................................................................. 79<br />
Advertiser Workshops ........................................................................................... 80<br />
Marketing Collateral - Media Kit/Brochure........................................................ 80<br />
Spec Ads................................................................................................................. 81<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................. 82<br />
PART III - ACTION ................................................................................................... 84<br />
CHAPTER 8 - SELLING.................................................................................................. 85<br />
Sales Team............................................................................................................. 85<br />
No Radical Changes to Sales Team..................................................................... 86<br />
Whales vs. Minnows.............................................................................................. 87<br />
Sales Expectations................................................................................................. 87<br />
Sales Team Roles and Responsibilities ............................................................... 87<br />
1. Inside sales (lead generator/appointment setting)......................................... 88<br />
2. Outside Sales Executive.................................................................................... 89<br />
3. Account Manager (optional)............................................................................. 91<br />
4. Business Category Specialists (optional)......................................................... 92<br />
Building a Sales Team .......................................................................................... 92<br />
Sales Improvement (focus on matrices): ............................................................. 94<br />
Sales is an Organization Wide Effort................................................................... 95<br />
Summary ................................................................................................................. 97<br />
PART IV - MANAGING FOR SUCCESS.................................................................100<br />
CHAPTER 9 - COMPETITION........................................................................................ 101<br />
Advertising Market.............................................................................................. 101<br />
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Print Business Directory/Yellow Pages ................................................................ 102<br />
Junk (Direct) Mail ................................................................................................ 103<br />
Television/Cable ................................................................................................... 104<br />
Radio..................................................................................................................... 106<br />
Internet Giants...................................................................................................... 107<br />
Frenemies ............................................................................................................. 108<br />
Yahoo! Newspaper Consortium ......................................................................... 109<br />
APT From Yahoo! – Worse than Worthless to Newspapers............................. 110<br />
Yahoo! is a Competitor and They are Losing.................................................... 110<br />
Google .................................................................................................................. 111<br />
Google and Contextual Ads (aka click fraud) ................................................... 111<br />
Charge Google for Advertising........................................................................... 114<br />
Yelp ...................................................................................................................... 114<br />
Networked Websites ........................................................................................... 115<br />
Additional Internet Competitors ........................................................................ 116<br />
Facebook and Twitter ........................................................................................... 116<br />
Outdoor and Other ............................................................................................... 117<br />
Competing Publications........................................................................................ 117<br />
Advertising Agencies............................................................................................. 118<br />
Know Your Enemy .............................................................................................. 119<br />
Competitive Strategies .......................................................................................... 119<br />
Expansion Strategies............................................................................................. 120<br />
Summary ............................................................................................................... 121<br />
CHAPTER 10 - ADVERTISING INVENTORY .................................................................. 125<br />
Media Consumption Shift from Print to Print + Non-Print............................. 125<br />
Supply > Demand ............................................................................................... 126<br />
Measuring Advertising Inventory - Gross Impressions.................................... 127<br />
Website Inventory................................................................................................ 127<br />
Breaking News Process ...................................................................................... 128<br />
News from Local Business People..................................................................... 129<br />
Wire Services........................................................................................................ 129<br />
Forecasting Advertising Inventory..................................................................... 130<br />
Product/Market Diffusion.................................................................................. 131<br />
Selling Inventory.................................................................................................. 132<br />
Managing the Team............................................................................................ 133<br />
Summary .............................................................................................................. 134<br />
CHAPTER 11 - FINANCIALS ........................................................................................ 138<br />
Start with a Blank Sheet of Paper ....................................................................... 138<br />
Revenue Per Consumer....................................................................................... 138<br />
Key Revenue Drivers........................................................................................... 139<br />
Financials: Immediate Profit Impact................................................................. 140<br />
Maintaining Profit Growth ................................................................................. 142<br />
Cash/Risk Management ........................................................................................ 144<br />
Cost/Cash Savings Suggestions......................................................................... 144<br />
Employee <strong>Inc</strong>entives ............................................................................................. 145<br />
Profit: Operating, Accounting and Economic .................................................. 145<br />
Summary .............................................................................................................. 147<br />
CHAPTER 12 - VALUATION/EXIT STRATEGY.............................................................. 149<br />
Company Valuation .............................................................................................. 149<br />
Newspaper and Newspaper Company Valuations ................................................ 150<br />
Your Startup Newspaper Valuation ...................................................................... 151<br />
Selling Your Newspaper ..................................................................................... 151<br />
Starting a Newspaper............................................................................................ 153<br />
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Purchasing a Newspaper...................................................................................... 154<br />
Financing.............................................................................................................. 154<br />
Valuation of your Advertising Customer .............................................................. 155<br />
Summary ............................................................................................................... 155<br />
CHAPTER 13 - SUMMARY AND GETTING STARTED .................................................... 157<br />
Overall Vision....................................................................................................... 157<br />
Platforms and Components................................................................................... 157<br />
Pricing and Promotion ......................................................................................... 158<br />
Competition........................................................................................................... 158<br />
Market................................................................................................................... 158<br />
Focus .................................................................................................................... 158<br />
Immediate Action Plan.......................................................................................... 159<br />
Selling ................................................................................................................... 160<br />
Summary .............................................................................................................. 161<br />
Worksheet: Time Value of Money...................................................................... 162<br />
PART V - APPENDIXES ..........................................................................................163<br />
APPENDIX B - GLOSSARY/KEY TERMS ...................................................................... 164<br />
APPENDIX C - CLASSIFIEDS ....................................................................................... 166<br />
Print Classifieds................................................................................................... 166<br />
Internet Classifieds Display................................................................................ 168<br />
Internet Classifieds Order Entry ........................................................................ 170<br />
Additional Internet Classifieds Features: .......................................................... 173<br />
Pricing Classifieds............................................................................................... 174<br />
Classifieds Promotions........................................................................................ 174<br />
Special Section Recruitment............................................................................... 174<br />
Avoiding Fraud.................................................................................................... 174<br />
Classifieds Sales (Rather than Order Taking)................................................... 174<br />
Statewide & Regional Classifieds Networks ..................................................... 174<br />
Categories and Subcategories ............................................................................ 175<br />
APPENDIX D - CIRCULATION ..................................................................................... 176<br />
APPENDIX E - CUSTOMER/SALES MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS....................................... 176<br />
APPENDIX F - NEWSPAPER CONSULTANTS ................................................................ 179<br />
About the Author................................................................................................... 180<br />
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Who Should Use This Book?<br />
This book targets newspaper executives and those aspiring to join the newspaper<br />
industry. The focus is first how a newspaper can survive in the digital age with<br />
the business model of the future. There are many books on sales, journalism and<br />
running a business. However, this is the first book to address the business side<br />
of running a profit-oriented publication that leverages the Internet, email and<br />
mobile/smartphones as a complementary platform to reach an audience with<br />
the same or similar components (news, weather, calendar, classifieds, local<br />
advertising, coupons, etc.)<br />
Organization of This Book<br />
This book has five parts. Each part describes a different stage in the<br />
transformation of and running a newspaper. Part I focuses on clearly identifying<br />
the problem and solution for the newspaper industry but, more importantly, the<br />
advertisers as well as the consumers (readers) of the newspaper. Part II is a plan<br />
to implement new products including pricing, promotion and placement of<br />
these products relative to print. Part III is the model of what newspaper<br />
employees will be doing day-to-day. Part IV focuses on managing the newspaper<br />
and includes financials, ideas for incentives, etc. Lastly, the appendix has<br />
information about newspaper components such as classifieds, as well as other<br />
reference materials.<br />
Each part and chapter builds on the foundation of the prior such that at the end<br />
the reader should be able to build a viable business plan. This plan should be a<br />
toolkit for working with all stakeholders: customers, employees, suppliers,<br />
investors, local government, etc.<br />
How to Use This Book<br />
To understand the way this book is compiled, you should understand a few<br />
conventions used.<br />
Tip/Note<br />
A tip or a note is a special piece of information, often related to an experience<br />
dealing with a specific situation.<br />
Caution<br />
Refer to a situation that may expose your publication to litigation or a significant<br />
threat by your competition.<br />
Free Downloadable Resources<br />
Please check http://www.verican.com/book/ to download files such as MS<br />
PowerPoint, Excel, and sample house advertisement files referenced in this<br />
book.<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
We Want to Hear From You<br />
While I would like to take credit for the ideas in this book, it is really a<br />
compilation of what I have discovered from newspaper executives. Please email<br />
me with any ideas, case studies and helpful data. In particular, please contact me<br />
should you any errors or misrepresentations. My email address is<br />
ebuskirk@verican.com.<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Part I - Discovering New Horizons<br />
Part I addresses where the newspaper industry, how it got there and the<br />
problem that newspapers solve for society.<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Chapter 1 - Introduction<br />
"A Bible and a newspaper in every house, a good school in every district - all<br />
studied and appreciated as they merit - are the principal support of virtue,<br />
morality, and civil liberty."<br />
Benjamin Franklin<br />
“I need to go to the bank to get money, the post office to mail a package and<br />
MY newspaper to drop off a letter to the editor” (my emphasis added) is how<br />
the publisher of one of our customers described the relationship between the<br />
newspaper and a member of the community it serves. Aside, possibly, from the<br />
government, no other entity shares such a level of trust and loyalty.<br />
Unfortunately, by the time of the first release of this book (March 2010), the<br />
newspaper industry has significantly deteriorated and continues to do so at an<br />
accelerated rate. What happens if the newspaper industry disappears? The<br />
alternatives to newspapers are not very attractive: blogs from propeller heads at<br />
Yahoo!, Google and others in San Francisco. Craigslist does little for the<br />
community, in fact may actually harm the community with its thinly veiled<br />
classified ads promoting prostitution and other illicit activities.<br />
Throughout history, oppressive regimes typically go to great stakes to control<br />
the media, starting with newspapers. Only newspapers have a proven track<br />
record of serving communities small and large with investigative reporting and<br />
quality journalism as well as providing marketing services to advertisers. They<br />
are powerful lobbyists for the community and they are a check on the powers of<br />
government and big business.<br />
During more than eight years as a vendor to the newspaper industry, I have met<br />
thousands of newspaper executives from publications ranging in size from small<br />
one-person monthlies to some of the largest dailies in the world. I have visited<br />
executives in many parts of the world who own or manage alternatives, niche,<br />
community and metro publications. Some are free and others paid. Few others,<br />
including newspaper company executives, have had such a broad exposure to<br />
the industry. Normally I would say there is no silver bullet to fixing your<br />
business, but this time there is. My conclusion is that the success of a newspaper<br />
is in its ability to serve the advertising needs of the local businesses of the<br />
community. Consumers (readers or subscribers) are willing to pay little, if<br />
anything, for access to newspaper content. Advertisers, and especially local<br />
business advertisers, however, are willing to pay top dollar for access to local<br />
consumers. To succeed, newspapers must adjust their platform and sales<br />
techniques to serve these advertisers.<br />
There are numerous journalism books, many about investigative reporting of the<br />
misdeeds of powerful scoundrels; however, little information is available about<br />
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the more exciting part of the day-to-day operations of actually running a<br />
newspaper. This is first book written on building a newspaper business by<br />
combining print with non-print – web, email and mobile. Inside you will find a<br />
roadmap of how newspaper executives should (and should not) run their<br />
business as the preferences of readers and advertisers rapidly shifts from print to<br />
non-print media. The format is similar to an abbreviated <strong>MBA</strong> (master of<br />
business administration) program for newspaper executives. Inside are relatively<br />
easy steps newspaper executives can implement to make incremental<br />
improvements. Several incremental improvements can add up to significant and<br />
sustainable change. <strong>Verican</strong>, the company I started in 2001, provides many of<br />
these solutions, as do other first-rate Internet newspaper suppliers such as<br />
TownNews, Linear Publishing, 1 Up, Shoom, Travidia, Print2Web, Presteligence,<br />
etc. We all have a stake in success of the industry.<br />
Publications that adapt to the changing world and reinvent themselves will soon<br />
grow, capture market share and enjoy the high profit margins achieved during<br />
the prior 400 years of the industry’s existence.<br />
Opportunity<br />
1. Within weeks create and implement a solid plan turn around your<br />
newspaper or magazine (magazine… aka, newspaper printed on quality<br />
paper)<br />
2. In more than 400 years there has never been a better time to start or<br />
purchase a newspaper<br />
3. Radio, local television broadcast and print yellow pages business will not<br />
survive unless they expand into a printed publication complemented by<br />
their original business<br />
Five years ago, the cost of creating or acquiring a newspaper was multiples of<br />
what it is now, and there was significantly more competition. If you are serious<br />
about starting a business that is on the brink of exploding, in the follow pages<br />
you will discover how it is possible for the smallest operation to converge web,<br />
email and mobile media into what can be a very promising and profitable<br />
enterprise. A sneak peak into your exit strategy will show you how a $100,000<br />
investment today could result in a $5m exit in four or five years. No problem if<br />
you do not have $100,000. Sweat equity may be good enough, if you are willing<br />
to give this endeavor 100% of your effort.<br />
Tip: First skim this book<br />
Prior to reaching this book, I recommend that you skim through each chapter so<br />
you can get the big picture. Then complete the worksheet at the end of the last<br />
chapter (Summary and Getting Started). You should be astounded at the profits<br />
of running a newspaper and even more at the gains in value you can create in a<br />
very short time.<br />
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Chapter 2 - Death Spiral<br />
“Never give in, never give in, never; never; never; never - in nothing, great or<br />
small, large or petty - never give in except to convictions of honor and good<br />
sense Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never, never -- in nothing,<br />
great or small, large or petty -- never give in, except to convictions of honor and<br />
good sense. Never yield to force. Never yield to the apparently overwhelming<br />
might of the enemy.” Winston Churchill – 1941.<br />
It is now January 2010 and the newspaper industry is in a death spiral. During<br />
this month alone, MediaNews Holding Company (the parent company of<br />
MediaNews Group) and Morris Communications, two of the ten largest U.S.<br />
newspaper companies, announced plans to file for bankruptcy protection. Many<br />
newspapers and newspaper companies have filed for bankruptcy and those that<br />
have not are well on the way. The only reason that more of the newspaper<br />
companies are not liquidated is because there are few, if any, buyers.<br />
Newspapers are suffering declines in nearly every aspect: loss of print readers<br />
and subscribers, loss of retail and national advertisers and a sharp decline of<br />
classified advertising. To mitigate this, most have made cuts in every aspect of<br />
their business – from the number of print pages, the size of the publication and<br />
possibly frequency. Consequently, substantial cuts to the newsroom have further<br />
diminished the publication. This is a viscous cycle: revenue drops so the<br />
newspaper reduces expenses. Additional revenue declines compel management<br />
to reduce expenses further leading to rapid deterioration of the industry.<br />
This chapter explores the current situation of the industry. We also explore what<br />
newspapers are doing that is not working, which is as important to know as what<br />
works.<br />
Profitability Decline<br />
The following table illustrates the leveraging effect of a modest (5%) decrease of<br />
the basic newspaper levers: readers, impressions per reader (or time spent per<br />
reader) and revenue per impression. The revenue per impression decrease is a<br />
consequence of advertisers having a perception that the quality of newspapers<br />
has deteriorated and that better alternatives are available.<br />
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(Annual) Growth Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5<br />
Impressions Per Reader -5% 46,000 43,700 41,515 39,439 37,467<br />
Avg Rev Per Impression -5% $ 0.0100 $ 0.0095 $ 0.0090 $ 0.0086 $ 0.0081<br />
Avg Rev Per Reader $ 460 $ 415 $ 375 $ 338 $ 305<br />
Number of Readers -5% 22,000 20,900 19,855 18,862 17,919<br />
Total Revenue $ 10,120,000 $ 8,676,635 $ 7,439,130 $ 6,378,124 $ 5,468,444<br />
Variable Costs (30%) 3,036,000 2,602,991 2,231,739 1,913,437 1,640,533<br />
Contribution Margin 7,084,000 6,073,645 5,207,391 4,464,687 3,827,911<br />
Fixed Costs * 3% 4,000,000 4,120,000 4,243,600 4,370,908 4,502,035<br />
EBITDA (Profit) $ 3,084,000 $ 1,953,645 $ 963,791 $ 93,779 $ (674,124)<br />
* Adjusted for 3% inflation<br />
Table 1 – Daily print decline accelerated by several levers 1<br />
Impact of Profits Decline<br />
The following graph illustrates each step of the decline of the newspaper<br />
industry. Nearly every newspaper and newspaper company is losing market<br />
share and experiencing a decline in revenue and profits. Consistently declining<br />
profits of any company will eventually lead to bankruptcy.<br />
$ Profits<br />
Figure 2 - Impact of decreasing profits over time<br />
A<br />
Profit Decline:<br />
A. Fail to meet equity expectations<br />
B. Fail to meet debt requirements<br />
C. Operating loss<br />
Time<br />
Point A represents when a newspaper fails to meet a return expected of your<br />
equity holders. In most cases, little will happen. This is particularly true of many<br />
newspaper companies because they have a dual-class shareholder structure<br />
(remember when this was important?) in which minority of investors have<br />
shares that represent a disproportionately large share of voting rights. Knight<br />
1 Based on internal estimate of a 10,000 daily newspaper with a 2.2 pass along ratio for a total<br />
readership of 22,000. Impressions per reader is the annual sum of all advertising. Average revenue<br />
per impression is based on an average of $10 per thousand impressions (year 1). Variable costs are<br />
the direct costs related to one additional advertising dollar. EBITDA – Earnings before interest,<br />
taxes, depreciation or amortization.<br />
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B<br />
C
Ridder had only one class of shares and was thus an exception, which is part of<br />
the reason they were liquidated while many of their peers were not. Of course,<br />
the newspaper industry is now in a state such that these protections have little<br />
value.<br />
Point B, failure to meet debt obligations, is where many newspapers and<br />
newspaper companies are now. Most, sometimes all, of the individual properties<br />
are cash flow positive and the newspaper company is turning an operating profit.<br />
However, the sum of this cash (less administrative expenses of the parent<br />
company) is insufficient to meet interest payments, or the newspaper company is<br />
unable to meet debt covenants and thus the parent company is in default or will<br />
soon be in default. Many newspapers and newspaper companies are mitigating<br />
this situation by negotiating with lenders informally through restructuring<br />
arrangements or informally through bankruptcy proceedings. The outcome has<br />
been shifting ownership to what have become accidental owners – large<br />
commercial banks. Unlike most restructurings, however, with newspapers it has<br />
been rare to see significant changes of management and strategy. Presumably,<br />
this is because the creditors are unable to come up with a better strategy and so<br />
they keep the same structure and management team.<br />
Point C is running an operating loss. Most newspapers and newspaper<br />
companies are heading in this direction because their profits are declining. When<br />
they reach this point and proceed to deplete reserves, they will shutdown unless<br />
they can secure perpetual cash. Investors and benevolent sources are unlikely to<br />
support these unsustainable entities, especially as losses actually increase over<br />
time. Moreover, at this point it is likely that the costs of shutting down<br />
operations will exceed that of a fire sale at an auction leaving the equity/debt<br />
holders with nothing. Considering the cost of severance and other expenses<br />
associated with shutting down, the property owners may even have to spend<br />
money just to cease operations. Therefore, it is now common for investors to<br />
walk away with little or nothing.<br />
The operating profits of many newspapers, especially large newspapers, are<br />
declining at an increasing rate. Unless this turns around, many publications will<br />
reach point C (operating loss) very quickly.<br />
No matter where the newspaper is on this scale, if profits are declining, they are<br />
heading for bankruptcy. Waiting is not an option. A new strategy must be<br />
defined and implemented. This plan must focus on increasing profits (or<br />
decreasing loses) and returning the newspaper to long-term profit growth.<br />
Note: Knight Ridder<br />
The first major casualty of the downturn was in November of 2005 when<br />
shareholders of Knight Ridder, America’s then second largest newspaper<br />
company, compelled management to split up and sell. Prior to this, they were on<br />
top of the world. To be in direct contact with the latest technologies, they<br />
moved their headquarters from Miami to San Jose, California, the heart of the<br />
“Silicon Valley.” They spent millions of dollars on various Internet initiatives.<br />
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Such massive technology investments by Knight Ridder and most other major<br />
newspaper companies have resulted in little value for shareholders. In fact, many<br />
publishers that I have met blame some of their difficulties on loss of focus due<br />
to chasing various whims of their parent. They point to the relative success of<br />
publications that stayed focused on print, their core competency.<br />
What is Not Working<br />
It is just as important to understand what is not working as it is to know what is<br />
working. Following are some of the distractions newspaper executives are<br />
experiencing.<br />
Fixation with Print<br />
The print version of newspapers has been around for approximately 400 years.<br />
In fact, newspapers are one of the most mature products still available in largely<br />
the original state. Amongst the tens of thousands of print publications, it is fair<br />
to say that practically everything in print has been tried and probably many times<br />
so.<br />
Figure 3 - Benjamin Franklin's printing press (output has changed little in nearly<br />
300 years)<br />
Compared to the Internet and mobile, print is looking rather stale. From reader<br />
and advertiser’s perspective, the output of a press is little different than it was<br />
nearly 300 years ago when Benjamin Franklin published his newspaper. Today’s<br />
newspaper is still yesterday’s news. The only difference now is that there are<br />
color photographs and snappy graphics. However, many newspaper executives<br />
still focus on improvements to print. I am disheartened when I hear newspaper<br />
executives excitedly proclaim the solution to their problems is their new $10<br />
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million (or $100 million) model XYZ, super-duper, turbo-charged pressroom<br />
with direct from-brain-to-plate technology.<br />
To this day I am still fascinated by these giant pressrooms and the massive<br />
amount of effort and coordination required to design, manufacture and deliver a<br />
new product EVERY DAY. This truly deserves the distinction as “the daily<br />
miracle.” Nevertheless, it is important to not let this respect and awe become a<br />
distraction to deploying and selling new products.<br />
For at least the next five years, some form of print is critical for the success of a<br />
newspaper. In most cases, print still represents more than 80% of a newspaper’s<br />
revenue. It also serves as a good alternative to direct mail, which represents<br />
approximately twice the market share of newspapers. Moreover, because<br />
newspaper copies often available in public places such as coffee shops,<br />
restaurants, stores, newsstands, news racks – nearly everywhere in the<br />
community – this brand has become ubiquitous in the paper’s distribution area.<br />
The print product can become a giant promotional product for all forms of<br />
media (print, Internet, email, mobile, etc.). To date, I have been unable to find<br />
examples of online-only newspapers that have captured a significant amount of<br />
local readership or advertising market share. Moreover, newspapers that drop<br />
print and switch exclusively to online publication usually see a steep decline in<br />
both advertising and web traffic.<br />
However, there is no reason that a company must print their own product. In<br />
many cases, it may be economically advisable to go as far as to sell or shut down<br />
your print facility so you can focus on what is most important: serving the<br />
advertiser and the reader.<br />
Charging for Online (and <strong>Inc</strong>reasingly Print)<br />
Content<br />
Charging for print also used to be more important and more feasible. In<br />
addition to the subscription price defraying some of the costs of running a<br />
newspaper, advertisers would pay more for each print impression in a paid<br />
product because the readership of a paid product is typically higher than a free<br />
product. Further, paid products have a higher pass along rate and the average<br />
reader is typically more affluent and thus more attractive. The Internet changes<br />
much of this. Tracking technologies provide accurate readership data and, aside<br />
from the one-time cost of the technology infrastructure plus the cost of creating<br />
content, the incremental cost of reaching consumers is nearly zero. <strong>Inc</strong>remental<br />
revenue is offset only by the cost of sales and minimal administration, aside<br />
from the cost of selling advertising and a small amount of administration and is<br />
thus remarkably profitable. Much like print readers, Internet readers on average<br />
are more affluent; thus, advertisers are receiving an accurate accounting of<br />
impressions and the impressions are reaching the audience targeted.<br />
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In the short-term, charging for online access to a digital version of the<br />
newspaper is probably okay for a paid daily with high market share. Charging for<br />
content may result in fewer lost print readers to what would be a “free” online<br />
alternative. In the medium term, charging for content exposes a newspaper to<br />
attack from free non-dailies (see possible scenario below). Note at the end of<br />
this chapter is a quote by Warren Buffett that emphasizes the need for<br />
newspapers to reach no less than 30% of households.<br />
Caution: Paid content scenario<br />
A large paid print daily newspaper switching to a paid online model could<br />
experience from the local competing free weekly (daily online):<br />
1. Free weekly promotes to readers and advertisers that they are free (and<br />
always have been), yet they have content that is more relevant than that of<br />
the daily (no wire content).<br />
2. Higher quality impressions since targeting a small, hyper-local audience<br />
(likely a subset of the large daily)<br />
3. Much like most of the businesses that advertise with them, they are locally<br />
owned (not by investors in big faraway places)<br />
4. Unlike the corporate-owned daily publication (if applicable), they are not<br />
greedy. The large daily publication, not satisfied with anything less than 30-<br />
40% profit margins (exorbitant in most industries), has cut news, size,<br />
quality, delivery, etc. And they have increased prices, including charging<br />
online users for reading something that basically costs nothing to distribute<br />
5. The weekly print publication will ultimately leverage better job prospects to<br />
poach the sales reps of the daily<br />
It is an easy sell and one that will likely resonate well with local business<br />
community and readers. Everyone likes the underdog.<br />
Zero Economic Profits<br />
Economic theory dictates that a competitive market forces economic profits to<br />
zero. The actual formula is Economic profit = Revenue – operating costs – cost<br />
of capital. For most newspapers, subscription revenue alone does not cover<br />
print production costs. Advertising revenue supplements subscription revenue<br />
to the point where total operating profits were extraordinarily high, upwards of<br />
40-50%, which is well above the 5% profit margin of a typical U.S. firm.<br />
Economists attribute this outsized profit to “natural monopoly” that newspapers<br />
enjoy in their local markets.<br />
“In economics, a natural monopoly occurs when, due to the economies of scale<br />
of a particular industry, the maximum efficiency of production and by<br />
distribution is realized through a single supplier, but in some cases inefficiency<br />
may take place.” 2<br />
2 Source: Wikipedia<br />
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The logistics of setting up a paywall are also important to consider. This requires<br />
an ecommerce system, which requires integration with third party credit card<br />
and other payment systems. Furthermore, paywalls also requires a support team<br />
to handle refunds, customer complaints, etc. Preferably, this group is running<br />
24/7. We do not know of any firms that provide such a full-service solution nor<br />
do we expect that this will be a profitable venture for them or the newspapers.<br />
Nevertheless, long term - after a newspaper has significant market share (print,<br />
Internet and mobile) - a paid online (and paid print) model be strategic. A paid<br />
model (with high market share) creates for your readers and advertisers what<br />
economists refer to as “vendor lock in,” essentially a significant barrier to entry<br />
to the market. One way to ease the market into this model is to start with a<br />
“freemium” distribution model in which readers have free access to some news<br />
(but always to all advertising). The free content keeps the readers going to the<br />
newspaper’s website and email newsletter but seeing the paid content teases<br />
them into purchasing a subscription for access to premium content. This<br />
compelling model works either if the newspaper has a sufficient number of new<br />
products or if there are few alternatives for in-depth local content. It may take<br />
several years before a newspaper has the product suite and market share<br />
necessary to return to long-term dominance in the local market.<br />
Note: We always looking for a solution<br />
Charging for online content has several significant advantages:<br />
1. Is a source of revenue<br />
2. Charging for online content reduces the incentive of switching from print to<br />
what would be free online content<br />
3. Readers who subscribe to newspapers are almost certainly local and the fact<br />
that they are willing and able to pay typically makes them more attractive to<br />
advertisers, which should increase the revenue per impression.<br />
Finding the optimal balance between paid and free is a top priority of the author.<br />
Frenemies<br />
In the Silicon Valley “frenemies” is a term that describes entities that are both<br />
partners (friends) and competitors (enemies). Throughout history few such<br />
relationships succeed, indeed many have been colossal failures (see Chapter 9 –<br />
Competition). Google, Yahoo!, Monster and any site that gets between the<br />
newspaper and the reader or advertiser are dangerous to newspapers.<br />
Cutting Costs<br />
Most newspapers have long since cut out most waste in their operations and are<br />
now cutting into their core business. Page sizes and page counts have decreased,<br />
circulation is down, newsroom personnel and overhead costs are substantially<br />
lower than just a few years ago. Additional cost cuts would likely deteriorate<br />
future prospects, risking lower overall profitability and lost market share.<br />
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Note: You get what you pay for<br />
Consider the following example for a $1m a year newspaper that is “saving”<br />
$1000 per month ($12,000 per year) by using a free website hosting company,<br />
skimping on marketing materials, training, etc. Should such excessive cost<br />
cutting result in a 1% reduction of the number of customers, revenue per<br />
customer and a 1% increase in costs, the cost “savings” would result in a net<br />
profit reduction by nearly $9,000. Your platforms (print, web and mobile) and<br />
sales & marketing materials are pretty much the only thing you have to advertise<br />
your newspaper (see Chapter 7 – Promotion). A small investment in quality goes<br />
a very long way.<br />
(Annual) High Cut <strong>Inc</strong>rease/<br />
Quality Corners Decrease<br />
Customers 250 248 -1%<br />
Avg Annual Spend $4,000 $ 3,960 -1%<br />
Total Revenue $ 1,000,000 $ 980,100<br />
Expenses 850,000 853,475 1%<br />
Profit (without extra quality)<br />
1% of revenue investment in<br />
$ 150,000 $ 126,625<br />
products and marketing $ 10,000 $ 9,801<br />
Profits $ 140,000 $ 116,824<br />
Net Profit Change $ (23,176)<br />
* Based on 15% profit margin, 25% direct/variable costs +<br />
$600k fixed costs. 1% cost increase for labor, promotion,<br />
supplies, financing, etc.<br />
Table 4 - Profit impact of 1% investment in products & marketing<br />
I am a firm believer in setting a tight budget and watching it like a hawk.<br />
Management should set an example by minimizing waste (like turning off lights<br />
in unoccupied rooms, recycling copy paper, etc.), but when it comes to<br />
customer-facing products, promotion and selling, it is worth spending a few<br />
extra dollars.<br />
Note: Profits up, stock price down<br />
A top publicly traded newspaper company recently reported that their profits<br />
tripled, beating analysts’ expectations; however, their stock promptly dropped by<br />
10%. How could this happen? Their revenue declined more than expected.<br />
Moreover, the market expects revenues to continue to decline. Profits are much<br />
easier to manipulate than revenues. As pointed out earlier, if revenues continue<br />
to decline, profits will decline and the firm will go bankrupt.<br />
Further, a substantial increase in profits coinciding with a decrease in revenue<br />
raises serious questions such as why management waited to reduce inefficiencies<br />
and the impact these cuts may have on future profitability.<br />
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Mindshare Loss vs. Advertising Revenue Decline<br />
The percentage of total newspaper advertising exposure has decreased far more<br />
than the percentage of total advertising dollars spent on this medium. In<br />
addition to declines in print circulation and advertising revenue, Internet traffic<br />
and revenue have declined while overall Internet traffic and advertising revenue<br />
has increased. Essentially, newspapers are losing market share on all fronts.<br />
Moreover, in addition to the 40%+ declines in print advertising revenue,<br />
newspapers as a whole are providing significantly less value per impression than<br />
they were just a few years ago.<br />
Note: Warren Buffett/Buffalo News<br />
Consider Warren Buffett’s observation during a meeting with the Buffalo News,<br />
a property owned by his investment company. “I know <br />
will do relatively well as long as a significant number of people read daily<br />
newspapers. It gets tough when you get below 30% of households, less<br />
important to the advertiser. There is a point at which you don’t deliver<br />
tonnage.” 3 Note that at 2.59 people per household 4, this would mean that<br />
market penetration below 78% (30% * 2.59) the value of the newspaper quickly<br />
loses relevance to the advertisers. Most daily newspapers have or will soon fall<br />
below this threshold.<br />
Note: Winner takes all<br />
Most people in the newspaper industry believe that there is a solution out there.<br />
When this is found what will happen? The answer is rather simple. Consider that<br />
many newspapers are part of groups many of which have or will soon file for<br />
bankruptcy. Essentially, they are shifting ownership to a small number of banks<br />
and private equity firms that had no intention of owning or operating any<br />
companies, especially complicated newspapers. Normally when there is a default,<br />
the creditors simply foreclose and sell off the asset to a healthier organization. In<br />
this case, though, all newspaper companies are struggling so there are no buyers.<br />
However, once a solution to the industry’s problems is a found, these accidental<br />
newspaper owners will have a very strong incentive to quickly dispose of their<br />
holdings. In fact, banks in particular are legally chartered to hold only debt, not<br />
equity. Thus legal and regulatory requirements place banks under especially<br />
significant pressure to divest themselves of their newspaper holdings. Consider<br />
also the economies of scale of owning a large number of newspaper properties.<br />
Scale reduces costs and creates pricing power. Newspaper ownership is much<br />
like a game of Monopoly. The leader has a significant advantage of their peers<br />
Summary<br />
The newspaper industry is in a rapid decline. All indications are that this will<br />
continue and there is a leveraged effect caused by a simultaneous decrease in<br />
3<br />
Strupp, Joe. “Buffalo, Buffett-style.” Editor & Publisher January, 2010: 6.<br />
4<br />
US Census Bureau. 2008. (accessed 28 Feb.<br />
2010).<br />
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most revenue drivers: print circulation, number and size of pages, number of<br />
advertisers and average revenue per advertiser, classifieds (all categories) and<br />
Internet traffic and revenue. Furthermore, production and operating costs will<br />
likely increase.<br />
The following chapters define a path to turning around your newspaper. It can<br />
be rapidly implemented and at minimum cost and with minimum disruption.<br />
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Worksheet<br />
For a humbling (but valuable) experience, use the following worksheet to plot<br />
where you think your print publication will be five years, which is not that far<br />
away.<br />
(Annual) Growth<br />
Impressions Per Reader %<br />
Five<br />
Years Ago Today<br />
Plus Five<br />
Years<br />
Avg Rev Per Impression % x _______ x _______ x _______<br />
Avg Rev Per Reader<br />
Number of Readers % x _______ x _______ x _______<br />
Total Revenue<br />
Variable Costs<br />
(?% of revenue) - _______ - _______ - _______<br />
Contribution Margin<br />
Fixed Costs * % - _______ - _______ - _______<br />
EBITDA (Profit)<br />
* Adjust for inflation<br />
(Annual) Growth Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5<br />
Impressions Per Reader -5% 46,000 43,700 41,515 39,439 37,467<br />
Avg Rev Per Impression -5% $ 0.0100 $ 0.0095 $ 0.0090 $ 0.0086 $ 0.0081<br />
Avg Rev Per Reader $ 460 $ 415 $ 375 $ 338 $ 305<br />
Number of Readers -5% 22,000 20,900 19,855 18,862 17,919<br />
Total Revenue $ 10,120,000 $ 8,676,635 $ 7,439,130 $ 6,378,124 $ 5,468,444<br />
Variable Costs (30%) 3,036,000 2,602,991 2,231,739 1,913,437 1,640,533<br />
Contribution Margin 7,084,000 6,073,645 5,207,391 4,464,687 3,827,911<br />
Fixed Costs * 3% 4,000,000 4,120,000 4,243,600 4,370,908 4,502,035<br />
EBITDA (Profit)<br />
* Adjusted for 3% inflation<br />
$ 3,084,000 $ 1,953,645 $ 963,791 $ 93,779 $ (674,124)<br />
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Chapter 3 - Problem/Opportunity<br />
“A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the<br />
opportunity in every difficulty.” Winston Churchill<br />
A newspaper does not exist merely to create wealth for its employees or<br />
shareholders. Rather, a newspaper is a unique institution supported by readers<br />
and businesses as a means of getting relevant and reliable information about and<br />
to the local community or a specific niche. The community needs a trusted<br />
source of information about local events and they need the products and<br />
services provided by local businesses. Local businesses rely on newspapers as<br />
advocate of the community. In addition, local businesses consider newspapers a<br />
trusted provider of marketing and business advice and as a means to distribute<br />
their advertising messages.<br />
Watchdog of Government and Businesses<br />
“Were it left to me to decide whether we should have a government without<br />
newspapers or newspapers without a government, I should not hesitate for a<br />
moment to prefer the latter.” Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826), third president of<br />
the United States.<br />
Consumers and advertisers rely on newspapers to be watchdogs over the<br />
government and businesses, publicizing and thereby defending against<br />
unscrupulous people and practices. This is a critical part of the foundation of a<br />
free, democratic and market-driven society.<br />
Note: One newspaper’s influence<br />
A memorable experience I had while working in the industry was while having<br />
lunch with the publisher of a local newspaper. Several times people interrupted<br />
our meal to thank the publisher for helping out on a range of issues, from local<br />
non-profit causes, to advertising campaigns or, most memorably, for help with<br />
the local zoning board. It turns out that a local businessperson was having<br />
trouble getting approval for a construction project that most thought would<br />
clearly benefit the community. A small amount of attention from the newspaper<br />
ended years of delay, reams of paperwork and significant legal expenses.<br />
Government Funding<br />
As much as one might like to be part of the recent government largess, it is<br />
unlikely that newspapers will get funding and getting funding would certainly<br />
create an appearance of impropriety. Moreover, small businesses, your core<br />
advertiser base, are paying for this government waste and you can be sure they<br />
would hear about this, especially from your competitors.<br />
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“The prospect of the U.S. government becoming directly involved in<br />
commercial journalism ought to be chilling for anyone who cares about freedom<br />
of speech. The Founding Fathers knew that the key to independence was to<br />
allow enterprises to prosper and serve as a counterweight to government power.<br />
It is precisely because newspapers make profits and do not depend on the<br />
government for their livelihood that they have the resources and wherewithal to<br />
hold the government accountable.” Rupert Murdoch 5<br />
Running a healthy, profitable newspaper business is the only means of<br />
maintaining your credibility and independence. Accepting or even pursuing<br />
government funding compromises this independence.<br />
Solution: Focus on One Revenue Driver<br />
Newspapers have three primary revenue drivers:<br />
1. Circulation (including single-copy sales and Internet sales) – revenues<br />
received directly from the consumer<br />
2. Classifieds – represents advertising that is typically time sensitive and is<br />
received from consumers and advertisers<br />
3. Retail/display advertising. Revenue primarily from non-consumer<br />
parties (companies and other organizations)<br />
Control and incremental revenue from circulation and classifieds is limited and<br />
typically correlated with the overall strength of the newspaper. Retail advertising<br />
is an underserved market. Products of competitors to newspapers (business<br />
directory/yellow pages, radio, TV, direct mail, etc.) provide rapidly diminishing<br />
returns. Retail/display advertising is the only place for the newspaper to focus.<br />
The following chapters focus on helping newspapers increase retail advertising<br />
market share and to increase the advertising spend of these businesses.<br />
Ideal Complete Local Advertising Solution<br />
Newspapers are in the unique situation of being able to “doing well while doing<br />
good.” Publications whose source of revenues are independent of the<br />
government and are not concentrated with a particular business or other special<br />
interest group is less likely to be biased. This virtuous relationship is less<br />
prevalent with the competitors to newspapers (radio, television, yellow pages<br />
providers, direct mail, outdoor, etc.), which typically have less credibility in the<br />
community than do newspapers. Moreover, these competitors are at a further<br />
disadvantage because they are usually lack a strong local presence (and especially<br />
local ownership). Further, newspaper competitors are often quite fragmented.<br />
For instance, there may be a dozen or more radio and television broadcast<br />
stations that cover a regional area encompassing many communities while a<br />
single local community typically has only one newspaper that is quite often the<br />
dominant advertising medium for that community.<br />
5 Murdoch, Rupert. “Journalism and Freedom – Government assistance is a greater threat to the<br />
press than any new technology.” Wall Street Journal 8 Dec. 2009<br />
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In many cases, media that compete with the local newspaper do not have a<br />
structure that allow them to provide a multiplatform advertising solution that<br />
efficiently reaches a majority of the local population, with the right message (and<br />
often time-based messages). See Chapter 9 - Competition.<br />
The Internet provides a platform to converge print, audio and video in a timesensitive<br />
manner that allows consumers and advertisers (both big and small) to<br />
interact efficiently and effectively. Newspapers have a significant advantage over<br />
other media because they have the infrastructure to efficiently gather and<br />
distribute news and advertising that best serves the community. Providing<br />
organic content such as news and advertising attracts an audience. Additionally,<br />
third-party sources, which are often competitors such as search engines, or web<br />
portals, provide content (see Chapter 10 – Advertising Inventory).<br />
BCG Matrix of Newspaper Products<br />
The starting point for a newspaper to turnaround is to recognize where there<br />
products are in the product lifestyle and then update their product suite<br />
accordingly. The following matrix illustrates a typical newspaper’s product<br />
lifecycle: introduction, growth, maturity and decline. Note the gaping hole<br />
between paid daily print and non-print products (the size of the circle represents<br />
revenue). One newspaper executive half-jokingly referred to print as the “cash<br />
calf.”<br />
Figure 5 - Boston Consulting Group product matrix<br />
Newspaper Product Growth<br />
Consider the following diagram that illustrates how newspapers must offset a<br />
rapid decline in print revenue with a rapid increase in non-print revenue.<br />
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Figure 6 - Newspaper product growth<br />
Internet<br />
Mobile<br />
Email newsletters<br />
Print circulation<br />
Print advertising<br />
(including classifieds)<br />
Non-Print Quality<br />
In addition, for many publications the non-print product quality non-print is<br />
significantly less than that of print. It is better not to have a product (such as a<br />
website or email newsletter) that is of lower quality than your core product.<br />
Build a great website or just have a simple (and high quality) landing page that<br />
provides basic information such as contact information about your publication.<br />
Marketing material should be clear and of the highest quality.<br />
Newspapers are media companies; thus, they must convince the advertisers that<br />
they can promote them well. However by having have sloppy (or no) media kits,<br />
price sheets, business cards, etc. many newspapers do a poor job at promoting<br />
themselves. Sales and marketing material is no place to cut corners. Get this<br />
right. Have an experienced consultant help with the overall offering, spend time<br />
on the design and send it out to a professional printer (not on your old black<br />
and white photocopier). Even if you have low-quality products, “fake it until you<br />
make it.” At least this way you can get the sale and related revenue to improve<br />
your products.<br />
The primary objective of your new products is to get readers to your brand<br />
every day or even multiple times per day. This is applicable to non-daily print<br />
publications, which have the opportunity to become daily publications through a<br />
combination of print, Internet, mobile and email newsletter platforms. Further,<br />
most newspaper readers are geographically targeted. Specifically, they should be<br />
local readers, which are the most relevant to your advertisers. See Chapter 5 –<br />
Place (Advertising Market).<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease Services to Advertisers<br />
Assuming that you have a platform that provides most advertising opportunities<br />
that local businesses could want, the next step is to provide to these small<br />
businesses desperately needed advertising and marketing services. The starting<br />
price for such consulting, graphic design and fulfillment services runs in the<br />
thousands of dollars per month – and this does not include the cost of the actual<br />
advertising. Small businesses represent the most underserved market. Their<br />
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advertising budgets start at only a few hundred dollars and at the highest are<br />
only few thousand dollars.<br />
We recommend that you focus on the small business market segment by<br />
becoming a one-stop advertising solution or “one throat to choke” to use a<br />
popular expression amongst Silicon Valley technology companies. The<br />
convergence of print, Internet, email and mobile creates local newspapers’<br />
biggest advantage – the ability to provide a comprehensive solution<br />
encompassing most advertising distribution. This is even more effective if your<br />
market is large enough to a category-specific sales structure. For instance, a<br />
newspaper real estate expert focuses only on advising (and selling to) real estate<br />
agents, brokers and mortgage companies while a food and beverage expert<br />
focuses on grocery stores, restaurants, coffee shops and bars. See Chapter 11 -<br />
Financials.<br />
Tip: Focus<br />
Focusing on one thing will solve your problems. We recommend focusing on<br />
the advertising needs of businesses in the community rather than focusing on<br />
the classifieds and readership needs of the overall population. Consider the<br />
following 20,000-population community with 500 active businesses:<br />
Local Readers Local Businesses<br />
20,000-community population.<br />
Readers are fickle. They jump around<br />
the Internet on a whim. They lack<br />
loyalty (won’t even pay for a print<br />
subscription provided at a bargain<br />
price)<br />
Paid content: 200 (approximately 1%<br />
of the 20,000 population) that are<br />
willing to pay a few dollars for<br />
Internet access. 7<br />
Table 1 - Easiest to focus on advertisers<br />
500 businesses are likely to be<br />
advertisers 6<br />
100 (80/20 rule: 20% represent 80% of<br />
advertising dollars)<br />
Give away free – focus on giving your<br />
advertisers maximum reach in the<br />
community.<br />
Prioritizing Expansion<br />
It is critical to prioritize your expansion. From the matrix below, consider first<br />
maximizing penetration with existing products into existing markets. Second,<br />
increase your product suite to serve the same markets. Third, go after new<br />
6 Internal estimates based on national average of 1.5 business that have employees for every 100<br />
people and an additional 1.0 businesses that do not have employees but are professionally run<br />
organizations (such as real estate agents, plumbers, accountants, etc.) Thus 2.5 per 100 people<br />
represent the likely market of advertisers.<br />
7 Based on experience we have had with newspapers<br />
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markets (especially in surrounding communities). Avoid diversification, the<br />
fourth quadrant. Many newspaper companies have purchased unrelated<br />
companies, including web technology companies that have nothing to do with<br />
their core markets or business. Some may applaud these newspaper companies<br />
because they assume that newspapers will soon cease to exist and that these<br />
diversification efforts will ensure survival of the original entity. We recommend<br />
the exact opposite. Newspapers need to focus on their core competencies.<br />
Diversification is a waste of time, money and is a tremendous distraction.<br />
Moreover, it demonstrates to employees and other stakeholders that<br />
management lacks confidence in the core business. Follow Mark Twain’s advice:<br />
“Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket!”<br />
MARKETS<br />
Existing<br />
New<br />
Figure 7 - Ansoff Matrix<br />
Existing<br />
Market<br />
Penetration<br />
(best)<br />
Market<br />
Development<br />
(3rd best)<br />
PRODUCTS<br />
New<br />
Product<br />
Development<br />
(2nd best)<br />
Diversification<br />
(avoid)<br />
Changing the Newspaper Culture<br />
Several newspaper executives pointed out that the culture of the industry must<br />
change in order for the industry to recover. Having given this considerable<br />
thought, I would argue the opposite. The culture of a newspaper (and the<br />
industry as a whole) will change when signs of success appear from the<br />
introduction and execution of a clear and sustainable business plan. Employees<br />
want to see something that makes sense and has tangible results.<br />
Following the business cycle, a majority of the time most organizations expand<br />
and then contract during economic downturns. They focus on revenue growth<br />
and expense reduction, respectively. This results in strong companies with<br />
overall long-term profit growth. Following an inordinate period of excessive<br />
profits experience by newspapers and the economy as a whole, newspapers are<br />
now experiencing a protracted period of decline. The current economic<br />
recession magnifies this creating a dangerous situation. Constant expense<br />
reduction schemes and apparently never-ending declines in circulation,<br />
classifieds and display advertising have exhausted most newspapers and the<br />
industry as a whole (newspaper associations, suppliers, investors, etc.) The<br />
culture of entitlement to an advertiser’s business has shifted to a defensive<br />
culture.<br />
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Many newspaper executives are veterans of the industry, options outside the<br />
industry are rather bleak. Thus, self-preservation dominates the culture. Thus,<br />
while changing will be difficult, it is certainly possible – and must happen.<br />
Significant change must always come from the very top, then from management<br />
and finally the rank and file will follow along.<br />
Our prescription for this follows, but it will only truly happen with an<br />
acceleration of retail advertising sales. When your motivated and well-armed<br />
(and well-paid) sales team starts bringing in new business, everyone will take<br />
notice. The culture of the newspaper will quickly improve with signs of success<br />
from an enhanced and sustainable business model. Realization by management<br />
and employees that success is in their personal interest will further accelerate<br />
improvement.<br />
Small and Nimble = Profitable<br />
The landscape has quickly changed. Before the Internet, mobile and email and<br />
low-cost production technologies, delivering yesterday’s news could require<br />
dozens or even 100 or more employees and, in most cases, an expensive<br />
pressroom. Now, a one or two person team can create a daily newspaper with<br />
today’s news plus a weekly print edition – and this can be very profitable.<br />
Tip: Getting business, doing business<br />
While we have customers who run their entire organization alone (with a few<br />
stringers and contract help), we recommend a minimum two person team. In<br />
this model, one person can focus on getting the business (selling) while another<br />
focuses on doing the business (operations). An ideal compensation technique is<br />
to have one person contribute a majority of the financing and retain all or most<br />
equity, while the other receives a majority of the profits/dividends. The latter<br />
person, however, has little or no equity in the organization. This apparent<br />
partnership disparity works well because one party has a stake in short-term<br />
results influence, albeit the influence is revocable, while the other maintains<br />
ultimate control over the organization. As you will see in the last two chapters of<br />
this book, retaining equity can be far more lucrative than taking the profits.<br />
Summary<br />
Much of the industry’s problems result from a lack of focus. Newspaper<br />
executives have been chasing every idea imaginable. Disregarding unsuccessful<br />
ideas allows newspaper executives to focus on the one thing they need to do: sell<br />
advertising to local small businesses.<br />
The Internet, with only 15 years or so of history, is comparatively new. The<br />
business model, especially the advertising model, of the Internet has developed<br />
enough that we can leverage this model into a business plan that newspaper<br />
executives can execute on immediately.<br />
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Furthermore, few consumers and business owners in the community want to see<br />
their local newspaper disappear; they simply want to access the news and other<br />
newspaper services using technologies that better fit their lifestyle. During these<br />
difficult times, newspapers should leverage their brand equity in their<br />
community as part of their turnaround plan.<br />
In particular, newspapers are especially important to local business owners<br />
whose options for promoting their products and services are typically limited to<br />
direct mail, yellow page directories and newspapers. Not only can newspapers<br />
fulfill the advertising needs, but they can also be trusted advisors to local<br />
businesses managers.<br />
Building and executing on this opportunity requires focus, which means that<br />
newspaper executives should resist the temptation to chase after unproven ideas.<br />
In Chapter 8 – Selling, you will see a focused, quantifiable sales strategy with<br />
matrices all the way down to the targeted daily number of sales phone calls and<br />
on-site visits.<br />
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Worksheet<br />
Plot your newspaper products below. Use arrows to represent where each<br />
product is going. The size of the circle with a product represents the product’s<br />
significance (revenue/profits, strategic relevance, etc.) Use figure 5 as an<br />
example.<br />
Stars<br />
Cash Cows<br />
Figure 8 - BCG Matrix for your publication<br />
Question Marks<br />
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Dogs
Part II - Integrating New With Old<br />
Media<br />
Part II is in a project plan format, though be sure to periodically review each<br />
component. Specifically, we follow the four Ps of marketing: products, place,<br />
pricing and promotion. It is very possible, indeed recommended, to implement<br />
all four chapters within a couple weeks.<br />
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Chapter 4 - Products<br />
Normally a business proposal would be marketing oriented, that is to first<br />
evaluate and forecast the needs of a particular audience and the estimated price<br />
consumers are willing to pay for this solution. Then the company designs and<br />
builds the products to satisfy the market need. Products also need to fulfill the<br />
needs, primarily profits, of the entire value chain: originator, distribution channel<br />
(such as retail outlets), etc. Pricing, placement and promotion completes the<br />
product development model. Contrary to this approach, Part II flows best by<br />
first defining the products and then demonstrating how these products fulfill the<br />
market need.<br />
Expanding from one product to many products can be challenging, but it is<br />
possible and, frankly, for newspapers it must happen quickly. The primary<br />
platforms are print, web and mobile/wireless. Arguably, an email newsletter is<br />
also a platform, it has distinct value and advertising, however, it is more of a<br />
complimentary part of your website and, to some extent, mobile. Email<br />
newsletters are also branding tools that increase top-of-mind awareness.<br />
Platforms are comprised of components such as news/editorial, business<br />
directory and classifieds.<br />
Newspaper Components<br />
An easy way to understand this model is to recognize that all platforms (print,<br />
web and mobile) contain the same components: news/editorial, calendar,<br />
classifieds and business listings and other advertising. These were the same<br />
components from 200 years ago only now there are enhancements to the value<br />
offered (such as color, video, feedback/user generated content, etc.).<br />
Component: News/Editorial<br />
Clearly, this is a significant part of why readers pay for the newspaper. This also<br />
drives the traffic to an audience that advertisers want to reach. Interestingly, the<br />
structure of the content has changed little in the last 100 years: headline, subtitle<br />
(optional), story/text and one ore more photo/image. This component also<br />
includes weather and calendar. The Internet and mobile platforms provide a<br />
distinct opportunity to deliver weather real time.<br />
Component: Classifieds<br />
Classified advertisements are typically time-sensitive advertisements. They<br />
usually represent things that people want to sell or buy or they are placed by<br />
businesses that wish to hire employees. Readers (private parties) and businesses<br />
(commercial) place these ads. A detailed analysis of print, online and mobile<br />
classifieds placement and display can be found in Appendix A - Classifieds.<br />
Component: Advertising, <strong>Inc</strong>luding Business Listings<br />
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Creating branding, or top of mind awareness, of an organization’s, product or<br />
service is the primary objective of most advertising. Place this advertising<br />
throughout all platforms, preferably in locations that will provide the best value<br />
(real estate section for real estate agents, mortgage bankers, for instance).<br />
Internet, email and mobile technologies increase the value of advertising by<br />
increasing time sensitivity (such as a mid-morning delivering of a lunch special<br />
announcement on mobile and email newsletter platforms).<br />
Business listings have some branding benefits but function primarily to help<br />
readers that are searching for business based on an understood need (such as<br />
needing a plumber right away). A newspaper’s Internet business<br />
directory/yellow pages component competes directly with print yellow pages. In<br />
fact, with the technologies associated with the Internet and mobile, it is feasible<br />
for newspapers to displace the print yellow pages industry.<br />
Newspaper Platforms<br />
The components shared amongst various platforms are similar. In fact,<br />
intrinsically they have changed little during the last hundred years. The platforms<br />
are also quite straightforward. The following diagram may help illustrate how<br />
much of your content/components are shared amongst platforms, but there is<br />
also something unique about each platform, thus readers would want to visit<br />
more than one or preferably all platforms. Likewise, advertisers should recognize<br />
the value of a multi-platform advertising campaign as it does not matter where<br />
the viewer sees the advertisement.<br />
Figure 9 – Commonality and unique value of platforms and components<br />
Platform: Print<br />
I am amazed at how little print has changed during the last three hundred years.<br />
Granted, the process of creating print has improved significantly. In recent<br />
memory, it may have taken dozens or even hundreds of people to create even a<br />
small publication. However, the readers do not care about how much effort goes<br />
into a product or the efficiencies gained from new technologies. From their<br />
perspective, the print platform today is still yesterday’s news. In fact, from the<br />
perspective of readers and advertisers, the only improvements to print are color<br />
and photos (and photos starting appearing in newspapers more than 100 years<br />
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ago). Print is certainly important and will be around for at least the next few<br />
years. Print creates credibility with readers and advertisers.<br />
Figure 10: Same for newspaper giants but 100 years later? 8<br />
Note: Angry sergeant<br />
One customer ran high-quality print advertisement featuring a proud, cleanshaven<br />
Marine. The newspaper management checked and rechecked everything,<br />
especially color features. Late in the day after printing and delivering more than<br />
30,000 copies of the advertisement, the Marine Corp sergeant in charge of the<br />
project burst into their office and went on a tirade about how his marines do not<br />
have bloodshot eyes. A small flaw in the colors did in fact create the appearance<br />
that their model marine had been out too late the night before.<br />
One of the many benefits of the Internet is that photos, stories and advertising<br />
can quickly and cost-effectively changed, solving one of the biggest problems<br />
with print.<br />
Print Frequency<br />
Maintain a paid print circulation model while it is profitable and strategic.<br />
Regardless, always maintain a daily or near daily online presence. At some point,<br />
home delivery of a daily paid publication will no longer be profitable. Then<br />
transition to paid five days per week (but at the same subscription rate). When<br />
this frequency is no longer profitable, then transition to three days per week and<br />
then finally to one or two days per week. When paid is no longer viable, then<br />
switch to free weekly or monthly but always with a daily online and mobile<br />
presence supplemented by a daily or twice daily email newsletter. This model<br />
8 New York Times, 15 Apr. 1912.<br />
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enables your publication to maintain much of the same subscription revenue and,<br />
most importantly, the same monthly advertising commitment from local<br />
businesses.<br />
A weekly publication is ideal for the near future. In addition to serving news and<br />
advertising, this frequency specifically enables newspapers to salvage and<br />
possibly expand classifieds, which typically have a shelf life of one week. The last<br />
step is to decrease frequency to monthly or even quarterly (common with<br />
magazine-type publications).<br />
Note: Magazines are newspapers<br />
Many magazines are essentially a newspaper with a glossy cover. The content,<br />
advertising and the overall business model is remarkably similar to a newspaper.<br />
Indeed, several prominent magazines including The Economist refer to themselves<br />
as a “newspapers.” A magazine format can be an effective complement or even<br />
alternative to the common print publication. Seriously consider this when<br />
modifying your product mix.<br />
The reduction in print frequency should not be cause for alarm. Getting readers<br />
to your brand or products (print or non-print) every day or even multiple times<br />
each day is one of the primary objectives of this book. Properly implemented,<br />
this non-print advertising inventory can be far more valuable than print<br />
advertising revenue. Further, integrating print and non-print can make your<br />
brand sustainable long-term. In fact, Chapter 6 – Pricing demonstrates how your<br />
publication can actually increase advertising rates while the overall value of print<br />
decreases.<br />
Tip: Charging more, providing less<br />
Using the US Postal Service has not seemed to work well for many newspapers<br />
and advertisers. Traditionally newspapers have delivered yesterday’s news first<br />
thing in the morning, but with USPS yesterday’s news is not delivered until late<br />
afternoon or evening (and soon only five rather than six days per week).<br />
Moreover, delivery costs can be quite high and the increase of USPS prices has<br />
far exceeded inflation, by some estimates, inflation-adjusted prices have more<br />
than doubled. In addition, direct mail represents 22% of all advertising (see<br />
Chapter 9 – Competition). USPS by extension is a competitor, which is yet<br />
another reason to use alternative distribution channels. Stacks and racks seems<br />
to be better than mail (but of course only for non-paid).<br />
Advantages of Print<br />
Print has the following unique advantages over other media (also see Chapter 9 -<br />
Competition):<br />
1. Great at branding and helping advertisers find things they are not<br />
looking for<br />
2. <strong>Inc</strong>reases credibility with advertisers who are typically very familiar with<br />
the print platform but recognize that there is value in non-print. In<br />
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particular, the printed copy is a valuable sales tool and thus increases the<br />
number of sales meetings (for instance by providing an opportunity for<br />
the salesperson to initiate a discussion with a perspective advertiser).<br />
Print also increases the close rate and the revenue per close. Indeed,<br />
during the early stages of business development we estimate that print<br />
comprises 75-90% of value of an advertising package (see Chapter 6 –<br />
Pricing).<br />
3. Print is an effective alternative to direct mail, which is approximately<br />
22% of all advertising (more than twice that of a typical newspaper). See<br />
Chapter 9 - Competition.<br />
4. Print is a free promotional tool for your entire brand (including nonprint).<br />
Place copies if your print publication in most high-traffic places<br />
to maximize advertising consumption as well as to create amongst local<br />
businesses awareness of your brand (print and non-print).<br />
Print is critical to the survival of newspapers. Publications that drop print<br />
typically experience a significant reduction in website traffic and advertising<br />
revenue. Furthermore, few online-only publications are successful. We predict<br />
that print will be around for a long time, even as a loss leader necessary to<br />
maximize the value non-print products.<br />
Note: Salvaging paid circulation revenue<br />
Shifting advertisers from print only to a combination of print and online is a<br />
primary objective. Properly implemented, this strategy will result in the<br />
advertising spend remaining constant, even increasing, while the print<br />
component decreases.<br />
Avoiding a decrease in circulation and revenue per subscriber is another<br />
objective. Newspapers benefit from the revenue generated by paid circulation.<br />
In addition, charging for access to printed content assures advertisers that their<br />
advertisements will be seen and readers that are willing to pay are more desirable.<br />
Thus, the revenue per impression for paid publications is typically significantly<br />
higher than that of non-paid publications.<br />
Note: Public notices<br />
Historically, newspapers that are lucky enough to be accredited have had a<br />
windfall from printing public notices at what are typically no-compete rates.<br />
Lately, this function has been under attack. Governments have pointed out that<br />
few people actually read these notices and that providing access to these via that<br />
web is more efficient. In fact, several businesses have sprung up supporting this<br />
model. Clearly providing these notices in print is their most profitable.<br />
Newspapers at risk of losing this print franchise should offer to provide these<br />
notices on their website, for a fee of course.<br />
Tip: Two front pages<br />
Many newspapers have switched from a broadsheet to a tabloid format.<br />
Customarily, newspapers have read from front to back, but in a tabloid format<br />
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there is an option to have the newspaper read from front to center and then in<br />
reverse (by flipping the publication upside down) from back to center. This<br />
format is popular in Europe and it is gaining popularity in the U.S. The<br />
Bakersfield Californian is a notable example. They switched to this format<br />
following the recent downturn, which was especially severe in their part of<br />
California.<br />
This model provides an opportunity to have the reverse of your publications<br />
(back page) be the second front page, which could include classifieds and a few<br />
featured ads (such as the most and least expensive houses in town). Optionally<br />
include advertorial that emphasizes the value of advertising with your<br />
publication (including online and mobile). This sends a clear message to the<br />
readers and advertisers that classifieds is very important.<br />
Also, because the two-page center becomes the publication’s new back page and<br />
because these two pages are seen twice (once in each direction), the effective<br />
page exposures has increased by a factor of four plus the new second front page<br />
means that this simple change has increased your most valuable advertising<br />
space by a factor of five.<br />
One newspaper executive particularly likes this concept. He pointed out that<br />
freeloaders would often pickup the newspaper in retail stores, skim the back<br />
page, which is the sports section (and no advertising), and then return the<br />
publication to the shelf, thus depriving the newspaper of paid copy and<br />
advertising revenue.<br />
Keep in mind that the newsroom and focus groups of readers will almost<br />
certainly not like the two-front page model. However, the data we have seen<br />
indicates that this initial perception is mostly discomfort with change and that<br />
the readers will quickly adapt. A consolation to newsroom would be to remove<br />
or minimize the amount of advertising on the primary front page.<br />
The two front pages newspaper model is ideal for advertising-only shopper<br />
publications that want expand into the community publication market. To enter<br />
the market shoppers only need to enhance their offering with community news<br />
(featured on one of their now two front pages), while they can maintain the<br />
same distribution channel and similar branding.<br />
Note: Chinese arbitrage<br />
In Beijing, a popular mostly-advertising newspaper sells for 1 yuan (about $0.15<br />
USD). Recently, the circulation of this publication skyrocketed. It turns out that<br />
the publication grew to a point that the recycled value of the publication was<br />
greater than 1 yuan. Resourceful Chinese quickly exploited this arbitrage<br />
opportunity by purchasing stacks of the publications and then immediately<br />
delivering them to a recycling center making a tidy profit.<br />
Platform: Website<br />
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Websites have been around for nearly two decades. Some newspapers and<br />
newspaper companies have invested and lost an enormous amount of money.<br />
The lost money and distraction have driven many newspapers and newspaper<br />
companies into bankruptcy. Right now, newspapers that have little or no web<br />
presence are the most successful because in most instances, their revenue and<br />
profits have declined less than their more ‘progressive’ counterparts have. To<br />
put it another way, the pioneers have arrows in their backs.<br />
This said, few argue that newspapers should not pursue the Internet and other<br />
non-print platforms. Indeed, even the staunchest print advocates see the<br />
majority profits coming from print for no more than five to ten years (hopefully<br />
enough time for them to retire).<br />
Tip: Copy the leaders with deep pockets<br />
There is no reason to spend a significant amount of money on the design and<br />
layout of your publication. Just imitate those who did spend a lot of money:<br />
New York Times, Wall Street Journal, USA Today, CNN, etc. All newspaper<br />
platforms and components should very clean and concise. Readers go there for<br />
the components described above. Advertisers do not want to be associated with<br />
poor design and clutter. You want to compel readers to go to your website daily<br />
or even multiple times per day; thus, refresh content frequently (preferably daily,<br />
even for weekly print publications). In fact, leaving content on your website for<br />
too long enables readers to get lazy on not check your website everyday.<br />
Some valuable website features include breaking/featured news (for the full<br />
breaking news process see Chapter 10 - Advertising Inventory). Make sure to<br />
clearly present components and especially be sure to take care of advertisers. We<br />
strongly recommend against having ad words on your website as this just clutters<br />
your website and it contributes to click fraud. Also, avoid all references to<br />
competition. This includes Google Ad Words, Google/Yahoo! search buttons,<br />
Monster, etc. See Chapter 9 - Competition.<br />
Tip: Video enhanced content<br />
The quality of video taken from cameras that cost only a couple hundred dollars<br />
is quite impressive. Even amateur video drive can create significant traffic, which<br />
is particularly. In fact, we project that without video newspapers will not have<br />
adequate traffic to meet advertisers’ demand (see Chapter 10 - Advertising<br />
Inventory).<br />
Video is also strategic because it positions with advertisers and readers your<br />
publication as alternative to the local television broadcast station. One tip on<br />
gaining video advertising for pre/post-roll commercials and business directory<br />
listings is to have advertisers give you the digital file of their professionally<br />
created television commercial. Typically, this content belongs to the advertiser<br />
who has unrestricted legal rights. Of course, there is no reason to provide the<br />
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same courtesy to your competition. Ensure that any video advertising content<br />
that your staff creates is not compatible with the platforms of your competition.<br />
Convert video to a web-friendly format and make sure to embed it with pre,<br />
post and optionally mid-roll advertising ensuring maximum value for your<br />
customers. Local video ensures local targeting. When combined with an<br />
intensive advertising exposure, the revenue per impression should be very high.<br />
Keep in mind that video traffic can be hundreds even thousands of times more<br />
bandwidth intensive than web pages. Thus, serve video and other large files<br />
from a CDN (content delivery network), a global network comprised of<br />
hundreds or thousands of servers. These systems stream video by serving the<br />
files simultaneously from multiple servers that are close to the viewer. A<br />
properly functioning CDN will deliver video significantly faster than through<br />
alternatives while also reducing the load on your CMS (content management<br />
system).<br />
Note: PDF of newspaper<br />
Many newspapers place a PDF representing a digital replica of the newspaper on<br />
their website. By charging even a nominal amount for access, newspapers<br />
sometimes can count these subscribers in their circulation figures. In some cases,<br />
they can count someone who subscribes to print and online as two subscribers,<br />
essentially double counting subscribers. This may be a good strategy to mask<br />
print circulation declines, but we do not think this is the means to long-term<br />
success. PDFs render slowly on websites. They are horrible on mobile web<br />
browsers and they may not render at all on email newsletters or in mobile<br />
applications (such as iPhones). Unlike with well-designed and produced banner<br />
and video advertising, we have never heard advertisers getting excited about<br />
PDFs.<br />
Tip: Website classifieds order entry and display<br />
Classified ads are great way to enhance all of your platforms. While Internet<br />
classifieds, namely from craigslist, have significantly damaged newspapers, new<br />
technologies provide a valuable opportunity to increase classifieds revenue and<br />
overall community reach. Compared with traditional methods (telephone, walk<br />
in, etc.), a well designed and promoted Internet based classifieds order entry<br />
system increases the number of print ads received, substantially increases the<br />
revenue per ad and substantially decreases the cost of processing these ads.<br />
Unlike with print, the incremental cost of classifieds on the web is practically<br />
zero. This said you do not want to have the web cannibalize your print classified<br />
ads. There are distinct advantages of print classifieds. It is worth considering<br />
proving very low-cost or even free classified ads on your website because this<br />
generates some of the most valuable banner advertising inventory on the<br />
Internet – a targeted audience that is local and looking at vehicles (as in the<br />
image below). In addition, the free online ads approach works well at upselling<br />
to print classified advertisements. For a comprehensive analysis of this topic, see<br />
Appendix C – Classifieds.<br />
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Figure 11 - Print classifieds order entry and Internet classifieds display<br />
Tip: Targeted banner ads<br />
Identify and quantify the traffic and advertising opportunity of each major<br />
business category: real estate, transportation, employment, food and beverage,<br />
etc. Then in your banner-advertising server create zones around each of these<br />
categories and apply these zones across related components on all platforms.<br />
This maximizes the value created for your advertiser and it creates a better<br />
impression for your readers since the advertising is relevant to the content.<br />
Business Directory/Internet Yellow Pages<br />
The print business directory/yellow pages industry is collapsing (see Chapter 9 -<br />
Competition). There is an opportunity for newspapers to sweep this market.<br />
Google has capitalized on the search aspect of this industry, becoming in only a<br />
few years a company worth more than $100 billion. Since most of what we do<br />
and spend is with local businesses (see Chapter 5 - Place (Advertising Market)), a<br />
well-created and maintained business directory should create more value for<br />
your advertisers than spending money on Google or print business directory<br />
publications. Displacing the revenue-generating model of Google in your<br />
community is quite feasible.<br />
A business directory is one of the easiest components to add to your website.<br />
Businesses value this, especially considering that more than 50% of businesses<br />
do not have a website. We recommend that you keep the functionality simple:<br />
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company description, contact information, hours of operation, map, menu (for<br />
restaurants), pictures and (optionally and preferably at an extra charge) video.<br />
Figure 12 - Example business directory listing<br />
Tip: Coupons and specials<br />
All platforms (print, web, mobile and email newsletters) provide unique<br />
opportunities for coupons and discounts. A coupon section of your business<br />
directory makes organizing and maintaining this easy.<br />
Caution: In a famous US Supreme Court case related to branding and<br />
trademarks, Justices ruled that “yellow pages” is a generic name and is thus not<br />
entitled to trademark protection. However, this is not the case in some countries<br />
including the United Kingdom. Check with your legal council to minimize the<br />
risk of intellectual property infringement.<br />
Caution: Comments next to editorial are a great way to get the community<br />
involved in local events (and it drives traffic); however, comments next to<br />
business listings will likely result in many problems. In addition to pranksters<br />
and SPAM posters making a mess of your website, unscrupulous business<br />
people will leave positive comments about their business and negative<br />
comments about their competitors. Refereeing this will be time consuming and<br />
may cause you to compromise journalistic integrity. If a business wants to look<br />
good on your website, then they should advertise. If a person in the community<br />
has something negative to say about a business, they should write a letter to the<br />
editor.<br />
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Platform: Mobile/Wireless<br />
In three to five years, the mobile platform will be more valuable to newspapers<br />
than will be the Internet (prediction by the author). Mobile applications create a<br />
tremendous opportunity for newspapers. These devices enable the user to carry<br />
with them an up-to-date version of the entire newspaper. The experience<br />
viewing content on mobile applications is fast and it is better than viewing<br />
content on a traditional WAP (wireless application protocol) because there is no<br />
browser; thus, the reader does not see the clutter common to many websites.<br />
Viewing web pages on a mobile device, which is a fraction of the size of a typical<br />
computer monitor, amplifies this clutter.<br />
Mobile Applications (Apple’s iPhone/iTouch and Android)<br />
Apple has gathered the attention of many publishers with the iPhone and future<br />
iPad tablet. As of November 2009, there are more than 140,000 iPhone<br />
applications and there are approximately 30 million iPhone or iTouch devices in<br />
the US. We estimate that approximately about 8% of the US population owns<br />
and iPhone or iTouch and this will likely continue to increase.<br />
Note: Personal experience with mobile applications<br />
For more than ten years, I religiously read the print version of Wall Street<br />
Journal. Typically, I would read this publication in the morning, during lunch or<br />
dinner and I would always catch up on any unread portions at the end of the<br />
week. During the last few years, I was outside of the US a majority of the time<br />
and so I could not keep up with the printed copies. Since I spend most of my<br />
working (indeed waking) hours working on computers and the Internet, I found<br />
reading the Internet version of the Journal unappealing. This was not relaxing<br />
like reading the print version. However, once I got the mobile application<br />
version on my iPhone I was hooked. Before getting out of bed, I would read a<br />
few stories. During breakfast, lunch and dinner and anytime I had a free<br />
moment I would catch up on reading. There is no question that the print version<br />
of the publication is easier on the eyes; however, it is nowhere nearly as<br />
convenient as the mobile version.<br />
This experience convinced me to create a development team specifically for<br />
mobile applications platforms. Our preliminary results are overwhelmingly<br />
positive: the mobile applications platform rapidly penetrates the targeted market.<br />
Further, readers prefer this model as do advertisers who are starting to see local<br />
residents redeem virtual coupons on their phone.<br />
One noteworthy example of the success of the mobile applications platform<br />
(specifically an iPhone application) is a newspaper in the northern part of the<br />
San Francisco Bay Area. They heavily promoted their iPhone application and<br />
loaded it with content including coupons and other discounts. Of a 30,000<br />
person total market, with approximately 8% penetration or 2400 iPhone/iTouch<br />
users, within six weeks they had 350 downloads, or approximately 15% market<br />
share. It is likely that this application has the highest usage of all mobile<br />
applications in this market.<br />
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Note: 12-year-old making dining decisions<br />
One of our customers said that his 12-year-old son has an iPhone, which he<br />
would use to find coupons for dinner. At the end of each month, his son would<br />
tally up the savings, net this against his mobile telephone bill for payment. Smart<br />
kid!<br />
Figure 13 - Smartphone leader<br />
Note: WAP and SMS/text messaging<br />
Your website should be 100% WAP compatible. Unfortunately, readers have do<br />
not spend a significant amount of time browsing the Internet on their mobile<br />
phones. The Internet is cluttered, does not format well for small mobile screens,<br />
it is slow and the results can be unpredictable. Mobile applications resolve this<br />
issue.<br />
SMS/text messaging is also an unsuitable platform for disseminating news and<br />
advertising. It is very expensive to send and receive message and, with messages<br />
limited to only 140 characters, there is little room for content and advertising.<br />
To give you an idea of just how small this, the following breaking news message<br />
is exactly 140 characters:<br />
[Mrs. Jones's cat stuck in a tree. Fire department dispatched.<br />
Sponsored by the California Humane Society. www.welikepets.com. 415-555-<br />
1212.] – note that this does not even have the required unsubscribe information.<br />
The administration is another headache with SMS. A process must be created to<br />
capture and manage mobile phone numbers and to provide features and support<br />
to ensure that users can unsubscribe. In fact, we have found that many user<br />
unsubscribe to SMS services after the novelty of this service wears off, especially<br />
if they have been awaken by messages such as at odd hours or while taking a nap<br />
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during normal daylight hours.<br />
Platform: Email Newsletter<br />
Email newsletters enable newspapers to fabricate a completely new product with<br />
a distinct advertising opportunity that also drives a significant amount of traffic<br />
to all platforms (website and mobile as well as the print platform by ensuring top<br />
of mind awareness). The edition should be comprised of news with photos (but<br />
teasers only – just the first couple of sentences) and other content such as<br />
calendar, weather, classifieds and, of course, advertising. Preferably, the<br />
advertising is time-sensitive, such as a lunch or dinner discount coupon that is<br />
valid that day only.<br />
To build their subscription base, add the email address of everyone they can find,<br />
and possibly use scraping tools to harvest email addresses from the websites of<br />
businesses in their community. As quickly as possible, subscribe to the email<br />
newsletter all business owners in the community (see Inside Sales Section of<br />
Chapter 8 - Selling). Use website promotions and specials offers such as<br />
drawings to obtain additional subscribers. Integrating registration for website<br />
and classifieds access also helps to increase market penetration. However, the<br />
best way to build a subscription database is to have a great product – just like<br />
your print newspaper.<br />
Weekly print publications should send out a daily email newsletter, even if they<br />
do not have new stories. Spreading out the week’s stories with 2-5 per email<br />
newsletter is adequate as long as the advertising changes frequently, preferably<br />
daily. In particular, having a daily blowout special is the single best way to<br />
maximize performance (view and click through rates). Suddenly, a weekly<br />
newspaper is now a daily newspaper: daily online edition with a daily email<br />
newsletter, supplemented with a weekly print publication. This is the perfect<br />
opportunity for small newspapers.<br />
Tip: Morning and evening newspaper<br />
After several months of sending out a morning email newsletter, one customer<br />
sent a survey to all recipients. The results were overwhelmingly positive and they<br />
gave us insight into additional opportunities. One finding was that more than<br />
65% of respondents wanted two or more email newsletters each day. When<br />
thinking back that only a few years ago, many communities had a morning<br />
newspaper and an evening newspaper, this sounded reasonable. When we<br />
implemented the second email newsletter (the morning newsletter is delivered<br />
around 4:00 or 5:00 am and the evening newsletter is delivered around 2pm), we<br />
found that the evening newsletter performed better, that is had a higher view<br />
and click through rate, than the morning newsletter. The biggest surprise was<br />
that when we implemented the second email newsletter that the performance of<br />
the morning newsletter actually increased. This supports our theory that<br />
newspapers also need top of mind awareness. Frequently getting any of your<br />
products in front of your readers will increase the value of all of your products.<br />
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Emailed or telephone exploratory surveys are excellent product management<br />
and marketing management tools. This is particularly important when<br />
introducing new products or when entering new markets.<br />
Tip: Classifieds integration<br />
Integrating your email newsletter with classifieds is a no-brainer. Automatically<br />
add to your email newsletter advertisers who place a classifieds ad. Likewise,<br />
prompt users who view classifieds (and other web content) to register and add<br />
them to the email newsletter list. At the top of the first email, have a friendly<br />
message welcoming them to this FREE product and reminding them of key<br />
value points – such as coupons, breaking news, etc. and always allow them an<br />
opportunity to unsubscribe, thus meeting US federal CAN-SPAM requirements<br />
as well as the more stringent requirements of the major email service providers.<br />
Customizable classifieds is a very helpful and popular feature. Email newsletter<br />
subscribers can customize classifieds categories by keyword(s). For instance,<br />
entering key word “mercedes” and “automobiles” from the combo box will<br />
return all related ads from this category. Ditto for “nurse” and the<br />
“employment” combo box selection.<br />
Figure 14 - Sample email edition with reporting (right panel)<br />
Note: Better than Google and Yahoo!<br />
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A professionally designed and implemented email newsletter will substantially<br />
increase traffic. For some of our weekly customers (with daily email newsletters),<br />
traffic has increase by more than three fold. Many customers have also pointed<br />
out that referrals from the email newsletter quickly exceed those created from<br />
major search engines. This is encouraging as this product may enable<br />
newspapers to reduce their dependence for traffic from search engine providers,<br />
which are often accused of not paying for the newspaper content they use and<br />
profit from.<br />
Tip: Blowout daily specials<br />
Blowout specials for lunch, dinner, entertainment, etc. are the best way to build<br />
a loyal (possibly addicted) email newsletter subscriber following. Of course, you<br />
need to make this work for the advertiser too. A great way to do this is to ask<br />
the advertiser which day of the week is the slowest and then suggest a blowout<br />
special, such as BOGO (buy one get one free), but it is good for that day only<br />
(as opposed to the weekend when they are usually busy). The direct costs of<br />
most restaurants is less than 30% so offering a 50% discount one day of the<br />
week will still increase their profits. More importantly, however, this strategy will<br />
entice people in the community to try the restaurant.<br />
A small discount, such as 10% off, will only marginally increase traffic and may<br />
not enable the business to reach critical mass. However, a strategy based on a<br />
blowout discount that packs the establishment but only one day per week (or<br />
month) creates the perception that it is a popular place to eat, thus increasing<br />
traffic on non-discount days. Further, the negative feelings caused by missing a<br />
discount may entice your readers to check when delivery of specials is expected.<br />
Caution: Critical email newsletter feature<br />
All email newsletters (and preferably website content) should have dual<br />
authorization security. With this feature, two people are required to send email<br />
blasts on behalf of the publication. One person can create an email newsletter,<br />
but they cannot send the newsletter. Another user with a separate login ID must<br />
log in to complete the transaction. Without this feature, a disgruntled employee<br />
could send unauthorized email newsletters, damaging the newspaper and<br />
creating litigation exposure.<br />
Note: Email newsletter potential<br />
During an SNPA (Southern Newspaper Publishers Association) meeting held in<br />
the middle of 2009, the publisher of a small rural Alabama publication stated<br />
that they earned $185k from their email newsletter during the prior year. When<br />
asked how, he simply stated that he “made it a priority of the publisher.”<br />
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Other Platforms and Components<br />
Figure 15 - New York Times on the Apple iPad<br />
Amazon’s Kindle<br />
Figure 16 - Amazon's Kindle<br />
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Apple’s iPad and Amazon’s Kindle have the potential of changing the means by<br />
which we consume the news. The technologies are still new; in fact, the iPad has<br />
yet to be released. One downside of the Kindle is that the entire newspaper has<br />
to be rendered in its entirety, which eliminates the opportunity for platformspecific<br />
or time sensitive advertising. Another significant downside is that<br />
Amazon and the wireless carriers collectively keep 2/3rds of the revenue, which<br />
only leaves 1/3 rd for the newspaper.<br />
Note: How many platforms should a newspaper support?<br />
As smart phones and tablet PCs are becoming more popular, the demand to<br />
deliver news to these device platforms is increasing. Plan a strategy to leverage<br />
your components (news, advertising and classifieds) and delivery it to these<br />
devices without re-inventing the wheel each time, especially with all the different<br />
screen sizes/devices. Ensure a good user experience.<br />
Your IT platform should be able to add new devices easily without additional<br />
work for the support staff or reporters. Although we suggest you to launch an<br />
app at a time, the IT platform should plan ensure it is compatible for other<br />
devices in the future.<br />
Note: Change in Consumption Behavior<br />
In the past, people would often read the newspaper in one or two sittings. With<br />
the Internet and mobile, it seems that the same content is consumed in small<br />
quantities throughout the day.<br />
Podcasting<br />
A Podcast is a simple recording of a piece of content that is published online.<br />
Like video, podcasting is a different way to deliver your news and advertising<br />
content. This platform takes advantage of the Internet to give your content<br />
broader distribution and make your publication more engaging to the public. To<br />
your readers and advertisers, podcasting also positions your publication as an<br />
alternative to radio.<br />
Readers can subscribe to podcasts and download the files in addition to seeing<br />
when a new podcast is available. Although making a podcast recording is easy,<br />
only a computer and microphone, production and publishing can be time<br />
consuming and it can be a distraction to your reporters and production team.<br />
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Internet Personals<br />
Figure 17 - Newspaper-branded Internet personals<br />
Internet Personals have become much more popular as the stigma from finding<br />
dates online has worn off. In the past, newspapers often had a print section<br />
dedicated to personals. Owning and maintaining a “local newspaper” branded<br />
personal site is also possible and easy to do. The advantage is that all content<br />
would be local with the newspaper ability to retain advertisers that the big-name<br />
sites have taken away from newspapers.<br />
Discount Cards<br />
Discount cards are an efficient and effective way for businesses to attract local<br />
readers (and preferably discriminate against non-locals who would be unlikely to<br />
find a discount card or purchasing a discount card would not be cost effective).<br />
If possible, newspapers should always keep a number of ads spaces for<br />
businesses with coupons in all their properties and publish them regularly. It can<br />
be done every Sunday in print or every Tues/Thurs/Fri in your email newsletter.<br />
Coupons can increase the readership of the print edition, as well as your email<br />
newsletter and mobile editions.<br />
Restaurant Placemats<br />
Often restaurants will barter advertising space in exchange for advertisements on<br />
the placemats at their restaurant. This may seem silly as it is small money, but<br />
the advertising is good, there is a captive audience and this is competition to the<br />
newspaper.<br />
It may seem to be a bit silly to chase down ads on placements and other<br />
seemingly insignificant media, but the objective is to control local advertising<br />
supply and demand. In addition, these products can still be profitable.<br />
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Platform and Component Comparison<br />
Media Unique Value Competitor<br />
Print TMC, circulars, physical<br />
Displaced<br />
Direct mail (22% of all<br />
samples<br />
advertising)<br />
Website Video, podcasting, realtime<br />
Radio, TV<br />
Email newsletter Breaking news, daily<br />
blow-out specials<br />
Direct mail, TV<br />
Business directory Video, coupons Print YP, search<br />
(Google, Yahoo)<br />
Mobile Real time, video TV, outdoor, magazines<br />
(while waiting)<br />
Table 2 - Competitor comparison<br />
Technologies<br />
The technology section was intentionally was placed at the end of the chapter<br />
because technology has a tendency distract and confuse. What is more important,<br />
SOAP, AJAX, Flash or getting new customers? The latter will pay your bills and<br />
motivate your staff. It is all about taking care of customers and growing<br />
revenues and profits.<br />
Note: Cloud Technologies<br />
There are several different types and definitions for technologies. The general<br />
concept is that someone else takes care of everything except exactly what you<br />
need. Google email, for instance, is a great product. You simply pay them for<br />
what you use (or accept their obnoxious Ad Words).<br />
One benefit of this is that it reduces complexity and the likelihood of massive<br />
failure such as your building burning down, taking with it your presses and your<br />
computer servers, which would include email, files and your website.<br />
Build vs. Buy<br />
Whether print or non-print products we are strong believers in outsourcing<br />
rather than producing the equipment and output internally. Building your<br />
products internally requires a large staff to both build and manage the project<br />
managers, analysts, programmers, testers, customer support, etc. It is a giant<br />
distraction from what should be a newspaper’s core competence: selling<br />
advertising. The code, servers, etc. have a tendency to “own” you rather than the<br />
other way around. Labor laws, severance costs and the psychological costs of<br />
letting employees go have a tendency to create an inflexible organization.<br />
Moreover, outside suppliers are held to a higher standard than are internal<br />
employees.<br />
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It makes no more sense for a newspaper to create their own Internet and mobile<br />
products that it does for them to manufacture their own printing presses. In fact,<br />
given the lack of product maturity, the former can actually be more complicated<br />
than the latter – and certainly the stakes are higher.<br />
This said I am biased. I run a technology company. For the eight years prior to<br />
this, I was an information technology consultant to large companies so I see the<br />
world from the perspective of a supplier and consultant.<br />
Buying Tips:<br />
* A vendor that knows your industry will be far more effective than a vendor<br />
that has great technologies. Great programmers are easy to find.<br />
* Always avoid vendors that compete with you or could easily compete with you<br />
(such as Yahoo!, Google, Monster, etc.<br />
* Make sure to always keep access to your data and especially your brand. This<br />
reduces risk and switching costs.<br />
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Worksheet: Product availability and quality<br />
Grade each of your components and platforms. Provide low grades if you are<br />
missing a platform or if it is low quality. Each platform and component,<br />
should be consistent quality (preferably grade ‘B’ or better).<br />
Components<br />
Components<br />
News/editorial<br />
Classifieds<br />
Business<br />
directory/<br />
advertising<br />
Personals<br />
Average<br />
Platforms<br />
Print Web Mobile Email<br />
Newsletters<br />
Platforms<br />
Print Web Mobile Email<br />
Newsletters<br />
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Average<br />
Average<br />
News/editorial A B- F C C+<br />
Classifieds B C- F F C-<br />
Business<br />
directory/<br />
advertising<br />
Personals<br />
C D F F D-<br />
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
Average B C F D C-<br />
Table 3 - Example
Chapter 5 - Place (Advertising<br />
Market)<br />
We know that advertising works. Likely, at some point every large company has<br />
reduced their advertising budget one quarter only to see sales drop off the next.<br />
Small business people, however, often do not experience this because they are<br />
likely spending little or nothing on advertising. The complexities and expense<br />
related to working with an advertising agency can discourage (or bankrupt) most<br />
small businesses. Furthermore, to get the most value, one must evaluate<br />
numerous options: newspapers, radio, TV, business directories, direct mail,<br />
outdoor, Internet, etc.<br />
This chapter starts by helping newspapers quantify the size and composition of<br />
their advertising market, which is often significantly larger than people expect.<br />
Armed with this, management can set goals based on what is possible (rather<br />
than starting from their current situation).<br />
In addition, most of what we do is local, which is a market segment significantly<br />
underserved. Small business managers must recognize that advertising works;<br />
furthermore, the survival of their business likely depends on it. Then, the<br />
newspaper sales executive should help business managers calculate an<br />
advertising budget and measure results of their advertising expenditures. Lastly,<br />
small business managers should recognize that the complete advertising solution<br />
provided by the newspaper is the best place to spend all or most of their<br />
advertising budget.<br />
Total Market Opportunity<br />
Using the United States as an example, total advertising revenue in 2008<br />
represented approximately 2% of U.S. GDP or $288 billion. 9 There are<br />
approximately 300 million Americans, which means that annual advertising<br />
dollars spent average almost $1000 for every man, woman and child. The total<br />
addressable market (TAM) is the population of the areas that your products<br />
currently serve. Thus, if your TAM is 40,000, then the advertising opportunity in<br />
this market is approximately $40m (40,000 * $1000). Surprisingly, most<br />
newspaper executives are often unaware of the size of their market and<br />
especially the total advertising opportunity of their market. They often estimate<br />
that they control 20-30% of the total advertising market when the real number is<br />
often less than 10%.<br />
9 Advertising is approximately 2% of GDP. Galbi Think! 14 Sep. 2008<br />
(accessed 5 Jan 2010). $285Bn US Advertising<br />
Market (Source: Universal McCann, July 2008). In 2008, there were approximately 304m people<br />
(US Census Bureau). Thus, almost $1000 is spent on advertising for American.<br />
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Recognizing that the market is large reduces the temptation for newspaper<br />
executives to expand until they have gained control of their primary market.<br />
Further, it marginalizes the excuse often given by sales executives that they have<br />
already closed all of the advertising deals that are possible.<br />
National and Regional Advertisers<br />
Most newspapers are not in a position to expend much effort pursuing national<br />
advertisers. Further, television and radio typically best served national and global<br />
advertisers because, unlike local advertisers, fewer of their impressions are<br />
wasted on non-buyers (namely businesses that are out too far from the<br />
consumer). See the Television section in Chapter 9 – Competition.<br />
National and regional advertisers typically prefer to advertise alongside local<br />
advertisers because association with small businesses creates a better impression<br />
and they recognize that local business people are most likely to do their due<br />
diligence when choosing local media. Thus, focus on the local advertisers -- the<br />
regional and national advertisers will come later.<br />
Local Advertising Opportunity<br />
We spend most of our lives and money within a few miles of home. Aside from<br />
direct mail, newspapers are the best at geographically targeting readers. Thus,<br />
they have the best opportunity to fulfill the advertising needs of local businesses.<br />
Moreover, the local market has fewer competitors and, by definition, it is closest<br />
to home. This makes your local market easier to defend than regional and<br />
national markets, which are dominated by a large number of national advertisers.<br />
Furthermore, readers who want to know about events in their community often<br />
perceive local advertising positively and they are genuinely interested in the<br />
success of local businesses. Remind advertisers of this when they venture out to<br />
non-local sources.<br />
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Figure 18 - Most of what we do is local 10<br />
The map below represents an 8-mile radius from the center of communities with<br />
a local newspaper. As you can see, the area is quite small and defendable.<br />
Newspapers can exploit this by doing everything possible to lock in local<br />
advertisers in their community and so lock out competitors.<br />
10 Northcliffe Media, 19 Oct. 2007 .<br />
Other sources: DETR/ONS/Newspaper Society/The Future Foundation. (accessed 20 Feb 2010)<br />
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Figure 19 - San Francisco/Sacramento area newspapers 11<br />
The local focus of most daily activities also marginalizes the value of search<br />
engines. People in your community should not be going to your site through a<br />
search engine referral, rather they should be in the habit of going there because<br />
you have the content and services that they want and there is enough new<br />
content to warrant visiting daily or even multiple times per day. Search engines<br />
can drive some traffic to your site, but most of this traffic is not local and is thus<br />
of little value to your advertisers. To emphasize this point, we have found that a<br />
daily (or twice daily) email newsletter can quickly become the #1 referrer to your<br />
website (better than Google, Yahoo, etc.).<br />
Tip: Avoid being everything to everyone<br />
It is better to provide a broad range products or services (advertising) to a small<br />
(local) audience than it is to provide a narrow range of products or services to a<br />
large (regional) audience.<br />
Tip: Lots of competition at the top<br />
11 Northern California, retrieved on 2 Mar 2010, from Google Maps<br />
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The herds move toward the wealthy part of the market and markets with strong<br />
growth. California is a great example of a star market that has become unstable<br />
and is now dragging down several large media companies.<br />
Consider pursuing markets that are underserved. Even a market with a slowly<br />
declining population can be quite valuable, especially if the population starts to<br />
grow in the future.<br />
Local Advertising Market<br />
In addition to the overall advertising market being larger than most expect, we<br />
estimate that typical small businesses would benefit by increasing their<br />
advertising by two, possibly four fold. Furthermore, your primary competitors<br />
are disorganized and the value they are providing is quickly diminishing.<br />
Approximately 60% of advertising is for national brands, though most of what<br />
we do in our daily lives is local. If local advertising were to represent more like<br />
60% of total advertising, this would imply that your local advertising market<br />
would be approximately 50% higher. The difference is because most small<br />
businesses do not advertise enough.<br />
Figure 20 - Likely local advertising opportunity 12<br />
Convincing Local Advertisers<br />
We consistently hear that small business managers are not convinced that<br />
advertising is beneficial. First, remind them of the benefits of advertising (in fact,<br />
you may want to have these points in your media/sales kit – see Chapter 8 –<br />
Selling).<br />
Benefits of Advertising:<br />
1. More customers<br />
12 Internal estimate<br />
Small Business Advertising<br />
Expenditures<br />
Direct Mail - 28% Print YP - 7%<br />
Newspaper - 14% Under-advertising - 50%<br />
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2. <strong>Inc</strong>reased frequency of existing customers<br />
3. Higher revenue per customer<br />
4. Lower costs because companies that advertise are perceived as healthy,<br />
growing companies and thus receive better terms from other<br />
stakeholders (employees, suppliers, investors, banks, etc.)<br />
5. Advertising also forces a business to focus on doing one thing well and<br />
building brand equity<br />
Leading Companies Advertise<br />
McDonalds is a world-renowned company. Throughout the world, their<br />
products and service are consistent. McDonalds uses a value-pricing model and<br />
their restaurants are well located in visible, high traffic areas with massive<br />
signage. Children are very familiar with their characters, toys, playgrounds,<br />
Happy Meals, etc. In spite all this, McDonalds still spends ~3-6% of sales on<br />
advertising (and this is after they receive significant discounts through global<br />
management and local advertising cooperatives) 13<br />
Yahoo! and Microsoft (even with near monopolies of operating system and<br />
office productivity software) spend a whopping 20% of revenues on<br />
advertising. 14 On the other hand, Walmart spends only around 0.4% of sales. 15<br />
With 11.3% of US retail market share 16, the reach their customers often enough<br />
that additional advertising may not bring much value.<br />
Advertising Impact<br />
Newspaper sales executives typically take a bottom up approach to selling<br />
advertising. They provide a demonstration of their advertising products and then<br />
proceed to get the business to make a purchase, working their way up. This has<br />
the effect of establishing in the mind of the business manager low advertising<br />
expectations, which is consistent with our premise that most small businesses<br />
spend on advertising only a fraction of what they should.<br />
A top-down approach is to start by helping the business owner identify and<br />
commit to an advertising budget and then convince them to shift from not<br />
advertising at all or using a piecemeal advertising approach to an effective and<br />
consistent advertising plan. The following is an advertising impact analysis of a<br />
modest advertising budget:<br />
13 Source: 2008 McDonalds SEC 10k. Sales, Advertising Budget, % of Revenue: 2008 $23.5b,<br />
$703.4m, 3.0%; 2007 $22.8b, $718.3m, 3.2%; 2006 $20.9b, $669.8m, 3.2%. An additional 1-5% of<br />
sales is spent by local restaurants on advertising (internal estimates).<br />
14 Associated Press, “Google sells ads, but won’t spend much on them.” 14 Oct. 2007.<br />
(accessed 27 Feb 2010)<br />
15 McKee, Steve. “What should you spend on advertising?” BusinessWeek. 10 Feb. 2009.<br />
http://www.businessweek.com/smallbiz/content/feb2009/sb20090210_165498.htm (accessed 20<br />
Feb. 2010)<br />
16 Kapner, Susanne. “Wal-Mart celebrates its growing market share.” Fortune 8 Jun. 2009.<br />
<br />
(accessed 27 Feb 2010)<br />
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Low/No Advertising %<br />
(Monthly)<br />
Advertising Campaign Change<br />
Vistors served 1,340 1,367 2%<br />
Avg visits 2.50 2.55 2%<br />
Total meals served 3,350 3,485<br />
Avg spend/meal $ 15.00 $ 15.30 2%<br />
Total revenue 50,250 53,326<br />
Expenses * (45,062) (44,914) -2%<br />
Advertising expense - (1,600)<br />
EBITDA $ 5,189 $ 6,812<br />
* Advertising budget = 3% of revenues. Based on 25%<br />
variable/direct costs + $32,000 monthly fixed costs. Expense<br />
reduction as a percentage of total costs such as labor, supplies,<br />
financing, etc. Companies that advertise<br />
get better terms and are better valued in the community.<br />
Table 21 – Restaurant advertising budget 17<br />
As you can see, the impact of even a modest advertising budget can be quite<br />
significant. At the end of Chapter 12 – Valuation/Exit Strategy, we take this<br />
example a step further to demonstrate the impact this would have on the value<br />
of the restaurant.<br />
Tip: Break-even point<br />
Rather than trying to convince and advertiser that they will experience huge<br />
increases in revenues and profits, lower the perceived success threshold with a<br />
modest and simple break-even point. In the above example, for instance the<br />
advertiser would still breakeven with only a 1% increase in the various levers.<br />
Note: Cutting advertising budgets<br />
The fastest way to improve your bottom line today is to reduce your advertising<br />
budget. There is no doubt that many, possibly most small businesses and large<br />
corporations have tried this scheme. However, this has a negative impact on<br />
future profits so business people quickly realize that advertising is not a<br />
discretionary expense nor is it a luxury.<br />
Through marketing and sales, newspapers need to change the attitude of local<br />
businesses so that they accept the need for additional advertising and are willing<br />
to set a reasonable advertising budget (or sales/profits goal) and then work with<br />
your newspaper on the best way to spend it.<br />
Complete Advertising Solution<br />
Promote your newspaper as the least expensive and most effective way to<br />
advertise. Working with a marketing firm, ad agency or graphic design firm<br />
17 Internal estimates<br />
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would cost thousands to tens of thousands of dollars per month – and this does<br />
not include the actual advertising costs. For decades, possibly centuries,<br />
newspapers have been local advertising experts. Make your newspaper the<br />
advertising experts so that your customers can focus on running their company.<br />
Unlike your newspaper, direct mail, print yellow pages, radio, TV, etc. have little<br />
or no Internet and mobile presence and thus no future as a long-term<br />
advertising strategy. Stay local. Stay with what works now and will work in the<br />
future.<br />
Tip: Ad agency and graphic design service fees<br />
Newspaper should charge an ad agency/graphic design fee unless the advertiser<br />
agrees to not use content you create with competitors. Of course, such exclusive<br />
arrangements must comply with local laws.<br />
Summary<br />
The advertising opportunity in your market is often much larger than you think<br />
because local advertisers typically spend far less on advertising than they should.<br />
Local newspapers can capitalize on this opportunity by focusing on their<br />
community to capture market share and increase the advertising base of local<br />
businesses.<br />
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Worksheet – Size of your advertising market<br />
**<br />
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Chapter 6 - Pricing<br />
Creating a pricing model is one of the most difficult tasks associated with<br />
running a company. The current pricing model that has evolved during the more<br />
than 400 years that print has existed needs to be supplemented with a simpler<br />
model that reflects a multiple-product business model that reflects the changes<br />
in media consumption (print decline compared with non-print growth).<br />
Focus the pricing on the advertiser’s ability and willingness to pay and<br />
marketplace alternatives (specifically, competition). Place more emphasis on the<br />
value provided to the advertiser and less on the newspaper’s internal costing<br />
structure and margin goals. Furthermore, keep everything very simple. The sales<br />
objective is have a high close rate, even if the revenue per close is low. Once a<br />
month the sales executive should return to the advertiser to check in and to<br />
attempt to increase the package level until the advertiser is spending 100% of<br />
their targeted advertising budget and all of the budget is spent with the<br />
newspaper (see Chapter 8 – Selling).<br />
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Figure 22 - Complex rate cards confuse advertisers<br />
Figure 22, is a typical rate card. We have seen newspapers that have dozens or<br />
even a hundred or more such rate cards. This type of model attempts to price<br />
advertisements based on the amount of space allocated. Typically, the<br />
incremental cost of advertising decreases with larger ads as does the cost of each<br />
advertisement when running for a longer duration (or greater frequency – such<br />
as daily rather than one time per week). While this model may be perfectly<br />
reasonable and fair, it is very confusing to the advertiser and even the advertising<br />
sales executive. Confusion and lack of transparency will result in distraction and<br />
lost sales. I have personally been on sales calls where the advertiser is excited<br />
about making a purchase and then quickly loses interest when seeing the rate<br />
card. The sales executive was too busy calculating the cost of each permutation<br />
to recognize that the advertiser had lost interest.<br />
Lately, newspapers are changing quickly causing print-only advertising models to<br />
become obsolete. Circulation, frequency (days per week/month) and even the<br />
size of the newspaper must always be reflected in this pricing model. Further,<br />
word is quickly spreading that many newspapers are desperate and are thus<br />
accepting substantial discounts from ‘rack’ rates.<br />
Note Figure 24 – Advertiser’s value, the print portion of an advertisement<br />
purchase is declining over time. This illustrates why advertisers may be unwilling<br />
to make a long-term commitment to print-only advertisements, as they are<br />
rightly concerned about the diminishing value they will receive from their<br />
advertising spend.<br />
Non-Print Pricing<br />
Selling non-print separately is just as difficult. Many advertisers are mistrustful of<br />
the Internet, email and mobile advertising for many reasons. A primary reason is<br />
that they may not be regular users of the Internet, email or smart mobile phones.<br />
The technology is too new for them to have experienced much of a return.<br />
Furthermore, selling non-print and print separately can lead to an advertising<br />
campaign with inconsistent objectives, messaging, etc. The newspaper online<br />
and print teams may end up competing for the same advertiser’s business,<br />
essentially causing the newspaper to compete with itself. This will result in<br />
higher costs, less overall revenue and lost customers.<br />
While it may be difficult to lock advertisers into a long-term commitment for<br />
print advertising, it is unwise for the newspaper to attempt the same for nonprint<br />
advertisers as they will quickly be short-changed when the value provided<br />
by these media increase over time. For instance, it would be very difficult to<br />
convince a mobile advertiser that it is fair to triple the advertising rate – even if<br />
the value they are getting more than triples.<br />
Bundled/Packaged Programs<br />
Packaging print and non-print into a single and simple rate card is the only<br />
solution. The composition of an advertising bundle should reflect the changes in<br />
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the consumption of media in your local community. Allocate advertising<br />
inventory to each package based on availability, value to the advertiser and your<br />
competitive position in each category. Flexible terms ensure that the<br />
composition of packages can be changed without violating your original<br />
agreement with the advertiser and to ensure that it will not be necessary to<br />
modify pricing with changes to each package. Preferably, you will not need to<br />
notify advertisers of minor changes to the composition of their package. You<br />
can also see from Figure 24 that, not only does the newspaper not have to adjust<br />
prices with changes in the composition of a package, but newspapers can<br />
periodically even increase prices to reflect the increase in value provided,<br />
inflation and the willingness of the advertiser to pay higher rates.<br />
Figure 23 - Packaged or bundled pricing<br />
Note: Advantages of package pricing<br />
1. Keep it simple: Package pricing is much easier to understand than<br />
pricing from a traditional rate card. This is especially applicable to nonprint<br />
advertising rates.<br />
2. Smoothes out seasonal, cyclical and sector fluctuations as well revenue<br />
variances from short and long months.<br />
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3. It is much better for salespeople. Without the perpetual aspect of<br />
packages, every renewal is recognized as a “new sale.” This removes<br />
rewards for simple account management by forcing salespeople to<br />
increase revenue by acquiring new customers and by increasing the<br />
package level of existing customer.<br />
The objective is to get advertisers to commit to an advertising budget and<br />
maintain consistency and growth. This enables small business managers to focus<br />
on the non-marketing aspects of running their business.<br />
Figure 24 – Advertiser’s value/package composition over time<br />
Building a Pricing Model<br />
Start with a blank sheet of paper to price your products based on the willingness<br />
and sensitivity of each major customer category -- transportation, real estate,<br />
food & beverage, services, private party (classifieds), etc.<br />
The following two tables illustrate how to build and price your packages.<br />
Specifically, rate cards should be create for each category (real estate, food and<br />
beverage, transportation, retail, etc.) with 3-4 price points that should be<br />
acceptable to most businesses. <strong>Inc</strong>lude upgrades and you can always revert to<br />
the traditional rate cards for specific requests.<br />
Package Pricing Example<br />
To put it all in perspective consider the following package pricing example for<br />
real estate starting with the advertising budget and value expected of typical<br />
customers in this category:<br />
Average<br />
Advertising Budget<br />
Part-time real estate agent $200 – 500<br />
Average full-time agent $400 – 1000<br />
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Aggressive or top selling agent $800 – 2000<br />
Broker/property developer $1000 – 10,000+<br />
Table 4 - Typical real estate advertiser budgets<br />
Keep in mind that the objective is to provide solutions for all or nearly all<br />
advertisers in your community. Otherwise, you create an opportunity for your<br />
competition.<br />
Based on the expected budget and your strength in the market, create a<br />
category-specific rate card. An example follows:<br />
Package Price<br />
Real estate mogul<br />
½ page branding ad in Saturday’s real estate section, 7x<br />
1/8th $1500 – 45% savings<br />
page ads, basic upsell listing in Internet/mobile<br />
YP/business directory (with priority placement), 20,000<br />
banner ad impressions<br />
Mansion<br />
¼ page branding ad in Saturday’s real estate section, 2x<br />
1/8 th page ads, basic upsell listing in Internet/mobile<br />
YP/business directory, 10,000 banner ad impressions<br />
Starter home<br />
¼ page branding ad in Saturday’s real estate section,<br />
basic upsell listing in Internet/mobile YP/business<br />
directory<br />
Condo<br />
Business card ad, basic upsell listing in Internet/mobile<br />
YP/business directory<br />
$850 – 40% savings<br />
$500 – 30% savings<br />
$250 – 25% savings<br />
Additional options:<br />
Video with business directory listing: $200 per month extra plus $300 for one<br />
hour with professional videographer.<br />
Coupons: $100 per month for up to three coupons. Extra charge for<br />
modifications.<br />
Package Discount: All advertisers that have been on a package for at least six<br />
consecutive months are entitled to a 10% discount on all advertising (packages<br />
not included)<br />
Discounts:<br />
10% discount valid through 6/30/2010 for all new advertisers that sign up for a<br />
package by 1/31/2010… (OR offer 12 th month for free.)<br />
Table 5 - Possible price points for real estate advertising packages<br />
Tip: Anchor pricing<br />
Notice how the highest-priced option is first. This is part of an anchoring<br />
strategy. The objective is to create a high price ‘anchor’ in their mind such that<br />
all other prices (and related values) are weighed accordingly. Armani uses this<br />
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strategy at their retail outlets. When you walk into a store the first thing you see<br />
is a $2,000 suit (a rack suit nonetheless). Though you probably will not purchase<br />
the suit, you will feel great about walking out of there with a belt price at “only”<br />
$100. The best anchor can be found by helping the small business manager<br />
determine what they should budget for advertising and then reinforce this with<br />
credible examples of well-known companies that are also spending at this level<br />
(see Establishing an Advertising Budget, Part II -Chapter 5 - Place (Advertising<br />
Market)). There are no illusions or misrepresentations there. Small businesses<br />
should be spending more on advertising, likely a lot more. It is the responsibility<br />
and opportunity of the newspaper to help the businesses in their community.<br />
There are a few additional points about this table that are worth noting. First are<br />
the extra upsells offered (namely for video). Advertisers may have a higher,<br />
possibly much higher, advertising budget. Always ensure that your advertising<br />
products and inventory are adequate to fulfill the advertising needs of all your<br />
customers (see Chapter 10 - Advertising Inventory). Of course, also have your<br />
traditional print rate card handy so that your sales opportunities are unlimited.<br />
Another point is the 10% loyalty discount for long-term advertisers. Your<br />
benefit is that you get the consistency of the package cash flow and that you are<br />
giving a discount for products that probably should be discounted anyway<br />
(namely print if your circulation and/or page count has declined).<br />
Tip: Sense of urgency<br />
Make sure to create a sense of urgency, hence the temporary 10% discount but<br />
only if the advertiser makes a decision quickly. In the above example, the<br />
newspaper is weak in the real estate category - and the overall economy is weak.<br />
This temporary discount is a great way to reduce prices now but with an<br />
automatic price increase for a future date. Be sure to list the discount on a<br />
separate line item of each invoice so that the advertiser fully recognizes your<br />
generosity and will not be surprised when the discount expires and the price<br />
returns to normal. In addition, note that the term of this discount should be<br />
such that it will expire about the time that conditions will be more in your favor:<br />
your product and/or the economy for this category will have improved or you<br />
will have run your competition out of town.<br />
Most important is to have price points such that every serious businessperson<br />
with any advertising budget can make a decision on the spot, even if it is at a low<br />
price point. At these prices, a long sales cycle with multiple sales calls will kill<br />
your profits and demoralize your sales team. Price your packages to close the<br />
deal now and then upsell to a higher package with each subsequent sales visit.<br />
Tip: Blowout specials<br />
Legitimate/good discounts are content; they attract readers. To entice<br />
advertisers to provide significant discounts match the discount that an advertiser<br />
provides. For instance, if a restaurant advertiser places a 50% off coupon ad,<br />
then give them 50% off the cost of the advertisement. Of course, this must be a<br />
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legitimate 50% discount redeemable with reasonable ease and few limitations.<br />
The objective is to leverage these coupons as a means of increasing readership.<br />
In addition, advise community businesses to avoid reducing prices during a bad<br />
economy. Doing so means that you must increase prices when the economy<br />
returns to normal (and likely your costs increase). A better way is to temporarily<br />
discount, including providing coupons or you can temporarily increase the value<br />
that you are providing but at no extra charge.<br />
Pricing to Market<br />
A discriminatory pricing model, or ‘pricing to market’ has less negative<br />
connotations, is a common and vital practice when building out your price<br />
points. Essentially, base your pricing model on the ability or willingness of your<br />
advertisers to pay (the economy of the category), the value your company<br />
provides to them and your relative strength in the market. This is exactly why<br />
the businessperson who purchased a last-minute non-stop ticket pays<br />
significantly more than the vacationing traveler who purchased a ticket with a<br />
connection several weeks or months in. In the scenario provided in Table 25, if<br />
you do not differentiate your prices, business will be lost in the real estate, food<br />
& beverages and, to a lesser extent, services categories. This business will be lost<br />
to your competition or it will fail to materialize because the price points are too<br />
high for the category. Moreover, your publication will experience a lost<br />
opportunity to increase profits in your strong category. The best model is to<br />
price slightly higher in your strong categories while discounting in your weak<br />
categories.<br />
Start with a with the pricing power category matrix below. Group advertisers<br />
into five to seven major categories based on type and especially based on<br />
competing niche products (such as an automobile trader magazine). Identify<br />
three or four columns that represent a cross section of the value your<br />
publication creates, the strength of your competition and the current economic<br />
impact of the targeted category. For each category, calculate the average of the<br />
columns (or weighted average if applicable). Reality should coincide with your<br />
overall sense of standing in each category: the value your newspaper provides as<br />
perceived by your advertisers to be above average (2.4/2.0), the overall economy<br />
is below average (1.4/2.0) and the strength of your newspapers relative to<br />
competitors is below average (1.6/2.0). In the example below, the situation of<br />
your publication is below average (1.8/2.0). An improved economy will help as<br />
will the continued weakening of your competitors (in all categories other than<br />
retail).<br />
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Category Value NP<br />
provides<br />
Relative<br />
strength of<br />
competitor(s)<br />
Economic<br />
condition of<br />
the category<br />
Average<br />
Comments<br />
Real estate 2 1 1 1.3 Category is horrible and we have strong<br />
competition<br />
Transportation 3 1 2 2.0 We just launched a transportation<br />
module for web and mobile but so did<br />
the local automobile trader magazine<br />
Food & beverages 2 1 1 1.3 Depressed category and strong<br />
competition<br />
Retail 3 3 2 2.7 We provide great value, economy is<br />
average and we have no competition<br />
Services 2 1 2 1.7 Yellow pages directory is strong and<br />
aggressive<br />
Overall standing 2.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 Overall – below average conditions.<br />
Expect to have slightly lower prices<br />
Table 25 - Pricing power matrix for major categories<br />
Tip: Discriminating based on distance to advertiser<br />
If necessary, advertisers outside of your target area should get a discount to<br />
reflect the value you are providing relative to a distant competitor. Thus, if a<br />
publication in an adjoining town provides 100% value per impression while your<br />
publication only provides to this town 75% value, then your publication should<br />
be willing to charge 75% or less than what your competitor is charging in order<br />
to win the business. Circumstances such as pitting the advertiser against the<br />
competing publication, creating a defensive position, raiding your competitor’s<br />
territory or it is just plain profitable may justify charging even less (or more) than<br />
the value received by the advertiser. Of course, you will always want to take care<br />
of your local advertisers first and ensure that long-term you are not selling below<br />
your true cost of doing business. In addition, you want to ensure that your<br />
competitors do not reciprocate by raiding your territory.<br />
Inevitably, advertisers will share notes and rate cards. To minimize potential<br />
problems of pricing discrimination, just differentiate the composition and price<br />
points of each category. You can also make a discount temporary (for six to 12<br />
months, for instance) to reflect what may be a temporary economic situation or<br />
in anticipation of a competitor leaving the market.<br />
Tip: Revenue Sharing<br />
Successful revenue sharing models are uncommon. Administration is<br />
cumbersome and difficult to monitor. You really do not want to get too<br />
involved in the business of your advertisers. Revenue sharing also reduces the<br />
incentive for the advertiser to perform as the have less to lose if a promotion<br />
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fails. We recommend avoiding revenue share agreements in favor of creating<br />
clear and quantifiable value for the advertiser and pricing accordingly.<br />
Barter with truly destitute advertisers. For instance, exchange the advertising for<br />
gift certificates, which are awarded as a promotion by your newspaper. The<br />
advertiser benefits by getting the advertising with no cash up front rather they<br />
are obligated to provide future services, possibly receiving additional cash along<br />
with the gift certificate. Another example is to give away gift certificates in a<br />
drawing to drive email newsletter circulation. The advertiser providing the gift<br />
certificates get exposure from the promotion. Be sure to discount the value by<br />
the expected redemption rate. $10,000 worth of gift certificates with an expected<br />
redemption rate of 40% should justify no more than $4,000 in advertising.<br />
Term of Contract<br />
Business directory/yellow pages providers typically require an annual contract<br />
with an expected renewal at the end of the term. An annual contract is required<br />
because this coincides with the life of the business directory. This, of course, is<br />
changing as many communities have as many as five business directories, which<br />
means that books only a few months old are often replaced with ‘new’ books<br />
from different providers. This racket is very frustrating and wasteful to local<br />
advertisers (see the business directory section of Chapter 9 - Competition).<br />
Newspapers have a unique advantage as they too can provide value in perpetuity,<br />
but because they can remove or change print, Internet and mobile<br />
advertisements within a few days an annual contract is not necessary. Thus, we<br />
recommend that newspapers provide this as a unique selling point when selling<br />
against business directory providers. Not requiring a long-term contract will<br />
shorten the sales cycle, increase the close rate and increase the revenue per sale.<br />
To fully capitalize on this opportunity we recommend the newspaper require a<br />
60-day cancellation notice because this discourages advertisers from reducing or<br />
canceling their advertising contract because of a brief downturn in business and<br />
it provides ample time for the newspaper management to address any problems<br />
before losing the advertiser.<br />
Summary<br />
Packages contracted in perpetuity are ideal for the newspaper because they<br />
reduce cash flow volatility and they simplify and increase accuracy of revenue<br />
forecasting. Moreover, re-pricing and re-selling the same advertiser every month<br />
or quarter is simply too expensive and distracting for your customer and sales<br />
team. The advertiser should be confident that they are treated fairly so they can<br />
focus on running their business. Your sale executives should focus on bringing<br />
in new advertisers and getting existing advertisers to increase to a higher-level<br />
package.<br />
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Worksheet<br />
Evaluate your categories below. Refer to Table 5 - Possible price points for real<br />
estate advertising packages as an example.<br />
NP<br />
Category Value<br />
Real estate<br />
Transportation<br />
Food & beverages<br />
Retail<br />
Services<br />
Overall standing<br />
provides<br />
Relative<br />
strength of<br />
competitor(s)<br />
Economic<br />
condition of<br />
the category<br />
Average<br />
Comments<br />
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Chapter 7 - Promotion<br />
The objective of promotion is to create as much enthusiasm and traffic around<br />
your products as possible while minimizing the attention given to your<br />
competitors. These promotion and cross-promotion strategies will help you<br />
quickly reach the tipping point where readers in your community are addicted to<br />
your brand; they must check one or more of your platforms every day or even<br />
multiple times per day.<br />
Tip: Keep calling yourself a “newspaper”<br />
There is no reason to spend time and effort rebranding your publication. Readers<br />
and advertisers recognize “newspaper,” even when the content is consumed on a<br />
non-print platform such as mobile or on your website. Indeed, we often hear<br />
statements like “I read my newspaper on the Internet.” The word “newspaper” is<br />
very credible and it differentiates your entity from Internet only websites, blogs, etc.<br />
While this is only semantics, any change may confuse your readers and advertisers<br />
and cause your perceived value to decline.<br />
Product Cross Promotion<br />
Promoting your products across all platforms is the most effective means of<br />
increasing traffic and building your overall brand. Furthermore, other than a<br />
small cost for creating the ads, it is free!<br />
Each platform and component should cross promote each integrate with the<br />
others and they should cross promote where possible while cannibalizing as little<br />
as possible. This intensifies the network effect of each product, increasing your<br />
newspaper’s overall value and increasing the value of each of the products so<br />
that the sum of the parts is greater than the whole. This network effect also<br />
substantially increases the barrier to entry for competitors.<br />
Figure 26 - Platform/component cross promotion<br />
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Website cross promotes:<br />
Print<br />
- Unique print offering (circulars, samples, etc.)<br />
- Build branding so they subscribe/purchase<br />
- Print subscription offers<br />
Email newsletter<br />
- Promote with house banner ads<br />
- Force registration to build subscriber database<br />
- Promotes breaking news<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages<br />
- House banner ads<br />
- Banner ads direct traffic (if applicable)<br />
- Promotes coupon directory<br />
- Restaurant/business reviews<br />
Classifieds<br />
- House banner ads<br />
- Featured listings section<br />
Mobile<br />
- House banner ads<br />
- Same content, different platform – always present<br />
Email newsletter cross promotes:<br />
Print<br />
- Builds branding<br />
- Print subscription offer<br />
- Registrants become leads for telemarketing center (see note below)<br />
Website<br />
- Click throughs go to website<br />
- Premium content (if paid model)<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages<br />
- Banner ads direct traffic (if applicable)<br />
- Promotes coupon directory<br />
Classifieds<br />
- Featured listings section<br />
- Customized classifieds<br />
Mobile<br />
- Mobile-compatible format<br />
- House ads<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages cross promotes:<br />
Print<br />
- Service directory can be found in print<br />
Website<br />
- Drives traffic through website<br />
Email newsletter<br />
- Register for coupons<br />
Classifieds<br />
- Banner ads within each category (such as transportation for<br />
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transportation classified ads)<br />
Mobile<br />
- Mobile-compatible format<br />
- Convenient for taking coupons to local businesses<br />
Classifieds cross promotes:<br />
Print<br />
- Format convenient to take with you<br />
Website<br />
- All traffic goes through website<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages<br />
- Banner ads direct traffic (if applicable)<br />
- House banner ads promoting each section<br />
Email newsletter<br />
- Register for customized classifieds<br />
Mobile<br />
- Mobile-compatible format<br />
Mobile:<br />
Print<br />
- Enhances brand awareness and unique benefit<br />
Website<br />
- More information, creates awareness<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages<br />
- Banner ads direct traffic to service directory (if applicable)<br />
Email newsletter<br />
- Register for customized classifieds, breaking news, etc.<br />
Classifieds<br />
- Mobile-compatible format<br />
Print:<br />
Website<br />
- Supplementary information (video, archives, etc.)<br />
Business directory/Internet yellow pages<br />
- Service directory refers to website for video ads<br />
- House print ads (targeting readers and businesses)<br />
Email newsletter<br />
- Register for customized classifieds and breaking news<br />
Classifieds<br />
- Refer to website for photos and to apply online (recruitment)<br />
Mobile<br />
- House ads<br />
Advertorial<br />
Mix in stories about each of your products. To minimize the negative effect<br />
from advertorial, only describe the functions and convenience of the product<br />
and be sure to mention your competitors. Limit self-promotion to a brief<br />
mention at the end of the story.<br />
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Location, Location, Location<br />
Have your newspaper office in a high-traffic, highly visible area is a great way to<br />
gain extra exposure. The extra convenience will also help your community<br />
engage with your publication. Invite the public in to meet with journalists where<br />
they can tell their side of the story. This is great PR and it can be convenient for<br />
your sales and newsroom staff. This type of promotional opportunity is<br />
especially important because the newspaper has few non-newspaper advertising<br />
opportunities (see heading “Do not legitimize your competition” found at the<br />
end of this chapter).<br />
Figure 27 - Print business directory and newspaper kiosk in high-traffic location<br />
Figure 28 – The Apple brand is ubiquitous. The stores are a fun destination<br />
Have a kiosk in the local mall (possibly barter advertising for the space). Provide<br />
single-copy sales here or can give away complementary issues. It is a great place<br />
to sign up subscribers to print as well as help them with non-print, especially<br />
mobile phones. Moreover, there is extra visibility where newspapers want<br />
growth most – from young people and visibility with lots of shopping mall<br />
advertisers.<br />
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Local Businesses<br />
Prioritize promoting your products and services to local businesses. They<br />
provide or with the rapid deterioration of circulation and classifieds revenue, will<br />
provide most of a newspaper’s revenue. Consider also that local business<br />
managers are the most receptive to your message, as they are the direct<br />
beneficiaries of advertising as well as the related support that newspapers<br />
provide to the community.<br />
Reaching this audience is not particularly difficult or expensive because the<br />
number of businesses is a sliver of the number of people in the community. 18<br />
Consider that a good pre-sales person/telemarketer can make 50-100 phone<br />
calls per day, meaning that each business can receive a phone call and a<br />
personalized 3-4 weeks. Of course, initially this data will need either to be<br />
purchased or entered by a temporary employee or an intern, but you can see that<br />
a database of local businesses can be built quickly and easily maintained. See<br />
Chapter 8 - Selling. Avoid the temptation to reach these businesses with direct<br />
mail, even if it is marginally effective. This would legitimize the competition (See<br />
end of this chapter and Chapter 9 -Competition).<br />
Local Branding from Local Businesses<br />
Figure 29 - Yelp window decals<br />
Yelp, Zagat Survey, chambers of commerce, Visa/MC/Amex all have their<br />
stickers plastered on the windows of local businesses. Take advantage of this<br />
free advertising opportunity. Stickers only cost a few cents, so make sure that<br />
your salespeople are fully armed. While they are at it, give them a razorblade so<br />
they can remove the stickers of competitor’s (with permission of the business<br />
owner of course). One idea is to have stickers with yournewspaper.com and a<br />
picture of a mobile phone. There is no need to bring attention to print your<br />
website since everyone knows you have these platforms. Mobile is new and cool!<br />
Tip: Do not legitimize the competition<br />
Avoid temptation to promote your brand on media products that do not belong<br />
to your newspaper (such as billboards, direct mail, radio, etc.). This gives your<br />
18 By multiplying the population by 0.025, you can find the approximate number of potential<br />
advertisers (1.5% of the population for companies with one or more employees plus 1.0% that do<br />
not have employees but are likely serious business people). A 20,000 person community, for<br />
instance, there would be approximately 500 businesses (20,000 * 0.025).<br />
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competition credibility and revenue to compete with you. Remind your<br />
advertisers that the product mix of your newspaper represents all worthwhile<br />
advertising platforms.<br />
Stop promoting competitors, especially Google. Journalists seem to gush over<br />
the littlest things that Google does, or even considers. Only a few weeks ago, for<br />
only installing a few solar panels journalists gave Google press as if they were<br />
saving the world. Journalists seem to write this to show how cool nonnewspapers<br />
are, or they are simply overstretched and just reprint any press<br />
releases Google submits. Free PR for Google and other competitors should end.<br />
If they want exposure, they should do something noteworthy or they should buy<br />
advertisements.<br />
Newspapers only have a few opportunities for self-promotion:<br />
1. All platforms and components (including PR)<br />
2. Business publications and newsletters to local businesses<br />
3. Newspaper storefront and kiosks in high-traffic areas (such as malls)<br />
4. Stickers on store windows<br />
5. Advertising workshops for businesses<br />
Advertiser Workshops<br />
At an advertising workshop, you invite local business owners to a venue (hotel,<br />
restaurant, etc.) to hear a 2-4 hour presentation on a topic of interest and<br />
preferably from an expert on the topic. Tax and financial planning, human<br />
resources and selling topics are of interest to many small business owners.<br />
Advertising and Internet advertising are particularly popular and they certainly<br />
are related to the interests of your newspaper. Real estate agents in particular can<br />
be attracted by having the newspaper sponsor a training specialist who can<br />
provide continuing education credits. Advertising can typically be included in the<br />
curriculum. Of course, the newspaper’s advertising programs should be<br />
emphasized. This could be provided for free or for a small fee in exchange for<br />
the goodwill and an infomercial opportunity.<br />
Another simple approach is to schedule free coffee and doughnuts one day each<br />
month, possibly in coordination with the local chamber of commerce. Your<br />
agenda is clear to all so there is no reason to turn this into a direct selling<br />
opportunity. Sales should take place one-on-one in the comfort of your<br />
advertiser’s office.<br />
Advertiser workshops an effective and efficient means of creating awareness and<br />
further developing leads while also providing account management for existing<br />
customers.<br />
Marketing Collateral - Media Kit/Brochure<br />
Having an attractive, professional media kit is very important. Its purpose is to<br />
promote your product to your advertisers, who typically represent a very small<br />
percent of the population of your market, but they represent majority of your<br />
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evenues and likely all of you near-term growth. Have an outside agency create<br />
or finalize your media kit and make sure the printing is top quality.<br />
Remember that this media kit is targeting your advertisers, not your readers.<br />
Thus, the kit must focus on things that resonate with your advertisers.<br />
We recommend an eight page professionally printed media kit with the<br />
following components:<br />
Cover: Your masthead with a picture or graphic of something local<br />
(Pages 2 & 3 are where your readers will spend most of their time, while<br />
listening to a brief, in-person sales presentation).<br />
Page 2: Three or four brief selling points about your newspaper. Focus on<br />
benefits not features and keep it short and simple:<br />
* 20,000 locally delivered print copies (~44,000 readership) reaching people you<br />
care about most<br />
* Online and mobile distribution to ensure the broadest and most frequent<br />
possible reach<br />
* Locally owned and operated to ensure that you are getting the best support;<br />
* There could also be a map of your general and extended coverage area and a<br />
brief testimonial from a local businessperson<br />
Pages 4&5: Brief product description with key selling features<br />
Pages 6&7: Final product descriptions and competitor comparison or brief bio<br />
of publisher/owner<br />
Page 8: Back cover with address and phone number<br />
Public Service Advertising<br />
Certainly much of what the newspaper provides is public service. Reports on<br />
missing people and fugitives are great content.<br />
Figure 30 - Public service ad from Valassis products<br />
Spec Ads<br />
Having spec ads or, customized sales presentations, created in advance of a sales<br />
presentation is very valuable. These tools increase the probability of a sale,<br />
increase the average revenue per sales and they substantially shortens the sales<br />
cycle. It also removes a potential source of busy work caused by having<br />
salespeople run around for follow up meetings (or emails and phone calls) with<br />
customers that they have already closed. In addition, it reinforces that the<br />
customer is important enough to warrant making an investment to customize<br />
the presentation and that the sales executive is there for business… Right now!<br />
A package of spec ads should encompass your entire product suite - print,<br />
banner ads, business directory, email newsletter, mobile advertising, etc. (see<br />
example below). They should take no more than one hour to create at a cost of<br />
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$15-20 by your design staff or through a contract design firm. The objective is<br />
not to attempt to create perfect ads, rather just to help the advertiser visualize<br />
what an advertising campaign for their business would look like. Indeed, having<br />
a few flaws can actually be beneficial. Should the advertiser point out a flaw, the<br />
sale will likely be consummated as the attention will shift to fixing the<br />
advertisement.<br />
Figure 31 - Spec ads in advance of meetings is a no brainer<br />
Summary<br />
When planning and executing your promotional campaign, keep in mind the<br />
following:<br />
1. Brand: solid and consistent quality of all products. Benefits of high<br />
quality far exceed the costs. It is better to cut costs through reducing<br />
circulation or frequency.<br />
2. Pricing: premium, to reflect the quality that you are providing.<br />
3. Promotional materials: make the best first impression. Sample<br />
brochure layout, package rate card examples, etc. are available at<br />
www.verican.com/book/. Costs of a high quality brochure is not high<br />
(for instance, 200 copies of an 8-page, 8.5x11 full-color, high-quality<br />
brochure costs
Exercise<br />
Use the following table to evaluate your promotion and cross promotion of each<br />
platform and component.<br />
Components<br />
News/editorial<br />
Classifieds<br />
Business<br />
directory/<br />
advertising<br />
Personals<br />
Overall brand<br />
Platforms<br />
Print Web Mobile Email<br />
Newsletters<br />
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Part III - Action<br />
At this point, you should have an enhanced and integrated suite of platforms<br />
and components along with pricing and promotional material. Now it is time to<br />
consider what your staff will do day-to-day. Sell. The primary business drivers of<br />
a newspaper are the same as those of any business: the number of sales calls per<br />
day (preferably 10-20), the close rate and the revenue per close. When you have<br />
mastered this, all other parts of running your organization will come together.<br />
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Chapter 8 - Selling<br />
“Nothing happens until a sale is made”, Thomas Watson, founder IBM<br />
As mentioned earlier, there are two sides to any organization: getting the<br />
business and doing the business. Here we will focus on the former. In fact,<br />
newspapers are one of the most mature industries in the world, even with new<br />
non-print technologies. From an advertiser’s perspective, what the newspaper is<br />
offering is nearly identical (but certainly more interesting). Thus, the sales<br />
function is by far the most important. The journalism and operations side of the<br />
business is crowded with unemployed and underpaid people who are eager to<br />
work for a newspaper, especially if it is growing.<br />
Sales should be rather straightforward. Products, pricing, promotion and the<br />
selling process should be well defined so that the salespeople follow a similar<br />
process. The business is now 100% about the numbers: how big is the market<br />
(potential advertising dollars and number of advertisers), how to best serve this<br />
market (number of inside/outside salespeople) and sales matrices (calls and<br />
meetings per day, close rate and revenue per close). This is a simple model.<br />
Sales Team<br />
Outside<br />
Sales<br />
Figure 32 - Ideal sales team<br />
Inside<br />
Sales<br />
Outside<br />
Sales<br />
Account<br />
Managers<br />
Structure your sales team as follows:<br />
Outside<br />
Sales<br />
1. Inside sales: Telephone-based sales calls. Their objective is to identify<br />
accounts and decision makers, create awareness and set appointments<br />
for outside sales (but not close deals).<br />
2. Outside sales: These are your most valuable people. From early<br />
morning until late afternoon outside sales executives should be attending<br />
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appointments created by inside sales and knocking on doors during any<br />
additional time. They should get the most attention in the organization<br />
and likely the best pay.<br />
3. Account manager (optional): These people take care of customers<br />
after they the sale. Their focus is to ensure that the sales executives do<br />
not get distracted from making sales calls.<br />
4. Business category specialists (optional): These experts understand a<br />
category (such as real estate) and act as advisors to their constituents.<br />
Another way to put this is inside and outside salespeople are the ‘hunters’ – they<br />
are getting business while account managers and business category specialists are<br />
the ‘gatherers’. They nurture the accounts, keeping sales focused on hunting.<br />
Figure 33 - Same sales model but more products<br />
No Radical Changes to Sales Team<br />
We strongly recommend that newspapers not tear apart the sales organization<br />
and especially not replace the grey hairs with a bunch of young whipper<br />
snappers. The mature salespeople are likely your best salespeople. They have the<br />
experience and the credibility to best serve local business owners, who are likely<br />
in the similar age range. Mature sales executives can also use their experience to<br />
better serve young business owners, who typically need solid business advice.<br />
The key is to ensure that your products, pricing and promotion are clear enough<br />
to be understood by non-technical salespeople and customers who only need to<br />
know the benefits of the newspaper’s offering. As you can see from the<br />
products chapter, there really is nothing technical about these products. In fact,<br />
non-print products likely require less technology than print products; yet good<br />
salespeople would never distract advertisers with the intricacies of print<br />
technologies such as color grade, computer to plate, automated stackers, etc.<br />
Note: No tech = great salesperson<br />
One newspaper manager I met complained about a salesperson that absolutely<br />
refused to do anything with technology. He did not use a computer and did not<br />
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even use email. Further, he had everyone else in the office scrambling to take<br />
care of his paperwork, building ads, invoicing customers, etc., which frustrated<br />
much of the staff. However, he also was the best salesperson by far. He would<br />
average 10 to 20 sales meeting per day, including many walk-ins, far more than<br />
other the salespeople do. I explained to this manager that this was the perfect<br />
salesperson. He focused. Thus, not only did he increase sales by making more<br />
sales calls, but also the added experience from the larger number of calls<br />
increased his close rate and the revenue per close.<br />
The premise of building your business is to organize your team around these<br />
types of salespeople.<br />
Whales vs. Minnows<br />
Before delving into the details of the sales process, consider the current market.<br />
Either the whales (large advertisers) have been caught or they are advertising<br />
with regional sources such as television, which like provide them better value<br />
because these sources are limited to the large advertising model rather than<br />
serving only one community (see Chapter 9 -Competition). This only leaves the<br />
minnows.<br />
Minnows, however, are attractive, possibly more so than whales. Minnows are<br />
underserved, especially now that print business directories are rapidly declining<br />
and the cost of direct mail is increasing, and it is not cost effective for your<br />
competition to pursue. Small advertisers are typically more reliable and<br />
consistent and they are easier to upgrade to more expensive packages.<br />
We recommend “whale watching while fishing.” Salespeople should be<br />
accountable for weekly, even daily results. Good salespeople should be<br />
optimistic about catching the “whales,” but they should be accountable for daily<br />
meetings and results.<br />
Sales Expectations<br />
The following table illustrates how quickly revenue can increase from having one<br />
good salesperson focused on small advertisers. Your sales executive should have a<br />
large number of meetings per day, a reasonable close rate (remember there is little<br />
competition) and even a modest revenue per close adds up very quickly.<br />
Monthly<br />
Meetings (avg 8 out of 15-20 appointments<br />
& walk-ins including upsells to existing advertisers) 160<br />
Average close rate (meetings only) 25%<br />
New sales or upsells 40<br />
Average revenue per sale (annual ~$200/month) 2,500<br />
Annual revenue increase (one month selling)<br />
Table 6 - Expectations from selling minnows<br />
$ 100,000<br />
Sales Team Roles and Responsibilities<br />
Below are details about the role of each sales team member.<br />
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1. Inside sales (lead generator/appointment setting)<br />
Inside salespeople focus on calling businesses. Their objective is to gather and<br />
organize leads, identify the decision maker(s) and set appointments for outside<br />
salespeople, especially for meetings where a walk-in would not be possible.<br />
Approximately one time per month, inside salesperson should call the top 1000<br />
businesses in their territory (the entire community if there is only one inside<br />
sales executive). At 50 to 100 calls per day and good inside salesperson can make<br />
1000 to 2000 calls per month, setting 8-12 appointments per day. Each business<br />
in the community should receive a phone call and an email every month.<br />
Outside sales (next section) should spend 5-15 minutes each month with every<br />
advertiser and visit most businesses in the community no less than once per<br />
quarter.<br />
Inside sales process:<br />
1. Qualify prospect (already advertising, where, how much?)<br />
2. Example of initial telephone call: “This is from the<br />
….<br />
3. Identify the decision maker<br />
4. We have some exciting new products to better serve the businesses in the<br />
community. Can I email some information to you? Also, we have an<br />
email newsletter with breaking news that provides a daily or twice daily<br />
update of what’s going on in . It’s free. Would you like for me<br />
to add you to this list? (if ‘no’ or unsure, then tell them they can unsubscribe<br />
anytime)<br />
5. Also, we have a new mobile advertising platform specifically designed to<br />
serve the community. Do you have an iPhone, Blackberry or other Internetenabled<br />
phone? (if iPhone suggest that they download the newspaper<br />
application). If not, “as you know, many people in the community, especially<br />
kids and young adults, have advanced phones. Our products are all mobile<br />
compatible so you can be assured that we are helping you reach this<br />
audience<br />
6. Do you mind if we add you to our business community email list so that you<br />
can stay in touch with what’s going on in the community (if applicable,<br />
mention that this is built with support from the chamber of<br />
commerce)<br />
7. Great. If it’s okay, one of our sales reps can drop off information when he’s<br />
in the area next. Will you have 15 minutes (time #1 or time #2)?<br />
Next step: update your CRM (customer/sales relationship management system)<br />
and send information (such as yellow pages directories or direct mail<br />
advertisement) to outsourced spec ad design firm to be created overnight (see<br />
spec ads section in Chapter 7 - Promotion).<br />
Tip: For the first couple months have an intern or temp help with data<br />
entry<br />
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During the first few months, your inside salesperson may get too busy entering<br />
data to meet call targets (and their compensation target). Have an intern, temp<br />
or a junior sales/marketing person can assist with initial data entry. This way<br />
your internal salesperson can stay focused on calls.<br />
In addition, buy a good telephone headset for your inside salespeople. Very<br />
good wireless models can be purchased for approximately $200, an investment<br />
that will quickly pay off with higher productivity and higher moral.<br />
Tip: Lead generation<br />
Have everyone in the organization gather competing advertisements from<br />
business directories, direct mail, etc. These are great sources for leads as they are<br />
already advertisers and they are likely wasting their money on an alternative<br />
advertising source.<br />
Figure 34 - Business directories are a valuable source of leads<br />
Tip: Inside sales should not sell<br />
Inside salespeople should specifically not attempt to close deals over the<br />
telephone. Closing a sale over the telephone degrades the newspaper by<br />
anchoring in the mind of the advertiser that this is a cheap product with a low<br />
price point. Compared to a telephone-based sale, an in-person sales call will have<br />
a higher close rate and higher revenue per close. This is a much more<br />
professional approach.<br />
However, inside salespeople should find and call all organizations that place<br />
employment ads with your competitors. They should sell a comparable<br />
advertisement in your publication and set an appointment for a sales executive<br />
to visit.<br />
2. Outside Sales Executive<br />
The focus of the entire newspaper should be on the sales effort, and by<br />
extension, on the sales executive. Hire the best, give them the necessary tools<br />
and support, and keep them in front of prospects and clients (not in the office<br />
making phone calls or filing reports). Your inside salesperson should setup 3-6<br />
scheduled appointments per day and have spec ads ready for these appointments.<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>luding pre-scheduled appointments, good sales executives should have 10-20<br />
meetings (including walk-ins) per day.<br />
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Outside Sales Executive Expectations (daily)<br />
2-5 pre-set appointments<br />
+ 10-20 drop-ins<br />
= 10-20 in-person sales calls each day<br />
Table 7 - Sales executives should have a lot of meetings<br />
Tip: Be prepared<br />
Follow the Boy Scout motto by being prepared with the following:<br />
• High quality sales material/media kit (see Chapter 7 - Promotion)<br />
• Price sheets customized for each business category (restaurants, services, real<br />
estate, transportation, etc.)<br />
• Print rate cards for one-offs<br />
• Custom sales presentations (spec ads) ready (current ads if existing customer)<br />
• Keep list of prospects and key contact names (know these before each<br />
appointment). ID what they should be spending and what they are spending<br />
with you and your competitors<br />
Also:<br />
• Dress for success. Wear a suit and tie – you are there for business<br />
• Skip golf, lunch/dinner appointments, most networking… Much more can<br />
be accomplished when you have the prospect’s undivided attention<br />
• Leave the computer at the office. It is a huge. They slow everything down<br />
and end up costing sales. It is better to have a good media kit with backup<br />
information printed and organized in a binder. In the rare exception that<br />
something needs be viewed on the computer, just used the customer’s<br />
computer<br />
• If you are going to bring a technology gadget, then bring an iPhone. They<br />
are cool, fast and great for impromptu presentations. Your point gets across<br />
quickly: this is the technology used by the children and grandchildren of<br />
your customer. They use this are using to find out what is going on in the<br />
community (see Chapter 4 -Products)<br />
• Bring current copies of all print publications… Give away copies<br />
• Keep track of accounts and contacts to plan for next steps and to give to<br />
your inside sales people<br />
Outside Sales Executive Process:<br />
• No telephone calls. Doing business in person is 5 times more effective than<br />
by telephone. Do not be afraid to be turned away. Keep in mind that it is<br />
more difficult for a prospect to turn your sales executives away in person<br />
that it is to turn them away on the telephone<br />
Typical Day<br />
• Print spec ads at end of prior day or in the morning from your home printer<br />
(color ink/laser printers are not very expensive). Avoid the temptation to go<br />
to office in the morning. This is where colleagues, your boss and other time<br />
burglars congregate.<br />
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• First on-site meeting is preferably a pre-scheduled appointment for no later<br />
than 9am, which ensures that the sales executive gets out of the house. Have<br />
a second appointment at 1pm to make sure the sales executive is back in<br />
meetings immediately following lunch.<br />
• Then walk to other businesses in the same building or surrounding area…<br />
all until your next scheduled appointment<br />
• Get updates for appointments and changes from pre-sales (by telephone text<br />
message and your CRM application – if you have a smart phone).<br />
• Keep track of the disposition of sales calls, which can be given to presales<br />
when you drop off your orders at the end of each day<br />
Sales Presentation<br />
• Keep it short (10-15 minutes). Their time (and the time of your salespeople)<br />
is valuable. If you cannot adequately describe a solution in a few minutes,<br />
then you do not understand the opportunity or your marketing materials are<br />
inadequate.<br />
• Move right to close (price sheet with 3-4 price points see Chapter 6 -Pricing)<br />
• Show top down advertising budget with pricing. See Chapter 5 -Place<br />
(Advertising Market)<br />
• Have spec ads (see Chapter 7 -Promotion) ready. Be sure to have a pen and<br />
paper so you can make changes on the spot. This tool helps you close more<br />
sales and reduce the sales cycle to a single office visit. Fulfill all new orders<br />
within 24-48 hours. The objective is to CLOSE the deal and do so during<br />
the first sales office visit. This size of the order is less important than getting<br />
the customer to commit to a comprehensive advertising solution that will<br />
run perpetually. You can always go back in a month to upsell to the next<br />
package level. To increase the close rate and minimize the sales cycle, allow<br />
the advertiser to cancel anytime.<br />
• Close 25-50%... preferably on the first call. A lengthy sales process is too<br />
expensive<br />
Tip: Monthly office visits<br />
Every month the outside sales executives should drop in for a quick check on<br />
their advertisers. In addition to ensuring advertiser satisfaction, the sales<br />
executive should attempt to upgrade the advertiser to a higher package until the<br />
advertiser has shifted 100% of its advertising budget to the newspaper and they<br />
have reached a reasonable advertising budget. See Calculating an Advertising<br />
Budget section of Chapter 5 - Place (Advertising Market).<br />
In addition, sales executives should not be afraid to pressure a businessperson to<br />
make a decision. Advertising is necessary for a successful business. Your<br />
newspaper is doing them a service that provides them a positive return on their<br />
investment. Without good advertising, they may go out of business.<br />
3. Account Manager (optional)<br />
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If your newspaper is large enough, then an account manager is helpful to take<br />
care of paperwork and all of the follow up work necessary to take care of<br />
customers and, most importantly, to keep the sale executives busy bringing in<br />
new business.<br />
A great way to motivate an account manager is to provide incentives based on<br />
increased annual revenue, customer retention, etc.<br />
Tip: Publisher/Ad Director<br />
The publisher and ad director should call all customers no less than once a quarter.<br />
Preferably, they will stop by to see these business people (or at least the top 20%). Exposure<br />
to the top and candid feedback is critical.<br />
4. Business Category Specialists (optional)<br />
To really lock in businesses, hire or contract a specialist for each category (real<br />
estate, transportation, food and beverages, etc.) This person will act as an<br />
advisor to businesspeople in their category and will provide consulting to those<br />
in the category as a whole. Category-specific seminars and other get-togethers<br />
are a great way to bring your advertisers together and create goodwill. If they are<br />
an independent consultant, then they may work with your publication by<br />
providing this service at little or no cost as it is a means for them to generate<br />
billable consulting business.<br />
Tip: Sales trainers and contract sales teams<br />
Periodically bringing in outside talent is a great idea. They should have new ideas for<br />
improvement and they should motivate your staff resulting in more customers,<br />
higher revenue per customer, lower costs, better employee moral (lower turnover),<br />
etc. We strongly recommend bringing in a consultant when you have a management<br />
change or when you need a new salesperson trained.<br />
Building a sustainable sales team of newspaper employees is critical. This team can<br />
be supplemented with a contract sales team that arrives periodically to boost sales. A<br />
great time to bring them is a few months before the major print YP team comes to<br />
town.<br />
Engage a sales army to blitz their advertisers.<br />
Advantage of Outsourcing:<br />
- Focused… Must have tangible results in order to get repeat business<br />
- Held to a higher standard (expectations are higher for consultant and sales<br />
team)<br />
- Deemed to be more credible by staff than in-house<br />
- Tangible investment in the sales team<br />
- Better availability and flexibility<br />
- Often lower TCO (total cost of ownership), more flexible, higher ROI<br />
Building a Sales Team<br />
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Small Medium<br />
Community Community<br />
Community size 20,000 100,000<br />
Businesses 2.5% 2.5%<br />
Total businesses 500 2,500<br />
Start with top 20%<br />
Then go to 80%<br />
100 500<br />
# Sales executives 1<br />
3<br />
Pre/post sales support<br />
Table 8 - Sales team calculation<br />
1<br />
2<br />
This table should give you an idea of the composition of your sales team. For<br />
larger teams, territories can be created either geographically or preferably by<br />
category specialty as this helps to better serve your advertisers.<br />
Each person should be accountable – and should be able to measure results:<br />
Advertising inventory – assign matrix to each person/department:<br />
Marketing – average visitors per day<br />
Sales total revenue & revenue per impression<br />
Editorial average time on site (per visitor per day) & page views per visitor<br />
In the above example, the sales team is directly accountable for their territory (or<br />
preferably category). Only sales is calling on customers. Print operations,<br />
technology people and even the newsroom become product managers. This<br />
approach makes everyone in the organization accountable for revenue and<br />
profits.<br />
“Trust but verify”, demand daily call sheets and weekly meetings + win/loss<br />
reports. Create goal alignment and dependencies between pre-sales, sales and, if<br />
applicable, account management. Critical to manage the process… results will<br />
follow.<br />
Tip: Sales starts at the (very) top<br />
Sales should start at the top. This is especially true when launching new products<br />
in a rapidly changing market and environment. Your salespeople will always give<br />
you the same story – everything is okay, I am in touch with all of our customers,<br />
there are no advertising dollars available, it is the economy 19, etc. They want<br />
their base and bonus. They will not rock the boat. It is up to the<br />
publisher/owner to lead the way.<br />
Imagine the impact to a newspaper if the CEO of a giant newspaper company<br />
were to show up and, instead of chatting over coffee or taking a tour of the<br />
facilities, the first thing he does is go on sales calls with the publisher. Nothing<br />
could possibly turn around the organization faster.<br />
19<br />
Note as of March 2010 advertising is still approximately 2% of GDP and thus total advertising is<br />
only down about 5%<br />
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Note: Personal sales experience<br />
Many of these ideas I have personally experienced. I started <strong>Verican</strong> with my<br />
own savings around the middle of 2001 – just before 9/11 and then Enron and<br />
a general economic collapse in the San Francisco Bay Area, where my office was<br />
located. Many sales people came and went until I found that I just needed to go<br />
out on my own and shill. The results were extraordinary. Sales increased, moral<br />
improved and everything just seemed to come together.<br />
Then we shifted our focus to serving newspapers, primarily with our Internetbased<br />
classifieds order entry system. The product is great, business was going<br />
very well and then classifieds took a complete dive (especially in California and<br />
Arizona, where most of our customers are located). Most of our revenue is<br />
commission based, thus what has turned to a 50-90% decline in classifieds to<br />
our customers has hit us just as hard. In fact, I found that the other disadvantage<br />
of serving a declining market is that customers have a tendency to look<br />
elsewhere for solutions causing us to lose customers or major classifieds<br />
categories such as recruitment. We nearly always get these back, but not without<br />
losing revenue and time.<br />
To respond to this, I let go much of our sales staff (they were not selling anyway)<br />
and I started to do most of the selling myself. This hands on experienced helped<br />
me determine that we needed to broaden our product offering and go down<br />
market. Our customer base is still newspapers; however, rather than focusing on<br />
large newspapers we now focus on small to medium-sized. Personally getting in<br />
front of customers was the only way I could have discovered this.<br />
There are other benefits of spending more time away from the office:<br />
determining that there is a need for this book and I found that I had to delegate<br />
more responsibilities to managers as well as focus more time on PR and<br />
marketing.<br />
Sales Improvement (focus on matrices):<br />
Once you start focus on the matrices, a lot starts to happen. One is you find that it<br />
is very valuable for you, the owner or manager of the newspaper, to start selling.<br />
You will always be the best salesperson. You will also likely find that a marginally<br />
better salesperson is usually well worth the extra cost.<br />
Suggestions:<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease # of appointments:<br />
Use appointment setter<br />
People focused on sales (note business directory/YP sales model)<br />
Have robust product mix<br />
Promote your products<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease close rate:<br />
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Focus: sales exec only presents and closes<br />
Trained & business savvy sales executive<br />
Set stage for meeting (pre-sales qualifies account, identifies decision maker and<br />
creates awareness)<br />
Excellent promotional materials<br />
Quality & consistent products<br />
Personalized sales kit (spec ads)<br />
Bundled/package pricing<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease Revenue Per Account:<br />
High quality products<br />
Trained sales executive<br />
Return for upsell to next package<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>rease prices annually (based on value-added and competitive position)<br />
(Over) Paying Your Salespeople<br />
Do not worry if your top sales executive is the highest paid person in the<br />
organization. Paying high performers very well sends a strong message to the<br />
organization. Sales is #1. Further, this acts as an incentive to other sales people<br />
and can be used as a recruiting tool. Note: owner will get payoff many times<br />
over with wealth creation (see Chapter 13 -Summary and Getting Started).<br />
Tip: Print business book directory sales people<br />
Hire from business directory/yellow pages companies. These salespeople are<br />
aggressive, well trained and they are keenly aware of the value of measuring the<br />
numbers: # of sales calls, close rate and average revenue per close. They go to<br />
presentations with the intent of closing deals. Given the collapse of the print<br />
business directory market, they are also likely to be underpaid or unemployed.<br />
Sales is an Organization Wide Effort<br />
Circulation and classifieds revenue growth will not happen in the near future so<br />
retail sales should be the focus rather than just an afterthought. Newspaper<br />
salespeople are notorious for being “order takers.” The future is to have an<br />
aggressive sales team (much like business directory companies have). Rally the<br />
entire organization around sales. Make sure that your salespeople are the best<br />
paid, get the best perquisites and are the center of attention. Keeping your sales<br />
team staffed and fresh should be a priority.<br />
Every quarter, replace the bottom 10-20% performers with people who are<br />
willing to work hard – and will be rewarded accordingly. To ensure that this is<br />
the focus, consider positive/negative reinforcement for the entire organization.<br />
If sales is missing targets, reduce or eliminate the bonuses of all employees is.<br />
Should sales positions go unfilled for an extended period, consider 1-4 days per<br />
month furloughs for all non-sales employees. What use are employees if there<br />
are no orders to be filled? Cutting bonuses and hours will send a clear message<br />
to employees. Be sure to do so early as it is too late to wait for unfilled sales<br />
positions (and unsold orders) to affect profits.<br />
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Tip: Maximize sales visibility<br />
Use your phone system and call reports gather key matrices that are updated on<br />
a daily or weekly basis and prominently displayed. 1. targeted number of calls per<br />
day 2. actual number, close rate (# of appointments close), etc.<br />
Measure deliverables (per person)<br />
50-100 calls per day<br />
8-12 appointments<br />
To best organize: presales can keep track of sales executives plans for the day<br />
(part of community: northeast, southwest, etc.) This will minimize the total<br />
travel time and increase the number of presentations per day.<br />
Caution: Technology team selling<br />
Having one team selling print and another team selling Internet ads to the same<br />
customer does not make sense. I often hear from our customers that the<br />
advertisers want one sales rep and a coordinated advertising campaign.<br />
Moreover, with the real (or perceived) decrease in value of print, it is difficult to<br />
sell a long-term contract. On the other hand, with the increase in value from<br />
non-print it is not in the best interest of the newspaper to sell a long-term<br />
contract for that medium. Presenting a single face to the advertiser with a<br />
bundled solution is the perfect answer (see Chapter 6 - Pricing).<br />
Having your programmers out selling advertising does not make sense either.<br />
However, we frequently see this. Salespeople sell. Tech guys (especially those<br />
responsible for products) should be product managers who are held accountable<br />
for the advertising inventory their products create. More specifically, they should<br />
be accountable for the revenue and profits their products generate, but they<br />
should leverage the sales team to accomplish this. This way they focus on having<br />
great products that serve a clearly definable and quantifiable purpose.<br />
To get products out the door, product managers need to also ensure that there<br />
are adequate promotional materials. In addition, they should ensure that pricing<br />
is consistent within the market and that it is understandable to both the<br />
advertiser and the sales executives alike. Position your products so that they take<br />
revenue away from competitors and cannibalize as little as possible from their<br />
own existing products. Most importantly, your product managers should ensure<br />
that salespeople are fully trained, motivated and properly incentivized to sell the<br />
products.<br />
For instance, a business directory technology/product manager should collect<br />
information about the advertisers in the print yellow pages books, estimate the<br />
ad spending on those ads, and present this as an opportunity to the relevant<br />
sales executives. During product launches and with new sales executives, the<br />
product manager should participate in but not lead the sales call. There should<br />
only be one face to the customer… the sales executive’s.<br />
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Note: Do not call legislation<br />
According the U.S. Federal Communications, phone calls can be made legally to<br />
those with whom a business relationship has been established. Such a relationship<br />
exists if the consumer has “made an inquiry, application, purchase, or transaction<br />
regarding products or services offered by the person or entity involved”. This<br />
relationship is in effect for 18 months after your last business transaction or three<br />
months after your last inquiry or application.” Thus, consumers who place a<br />
classified ad through your website or who register for your email newsletter should<br />
get a thank-you call and an offer for an introductory print subscription offer.<br />
Laws vary by state. Verify with your legal counsel.<br />
Caution: Self-service display ad building<br />
Having advertisers go to your website to create and place an ad without human<br />
interaction is certainly an enticing concept. Theoretically, you will gain more<br />
customers while having to pay little in sales commissions and graphic design<br />
costs. Self-service advertising placement works great for classifieds where some<br />
of our newspaper customers have experienced revenue per ad that is more than<br />
40 to 60% higher than those received through a call center (see Appendix -<br />
Classifieds). However, I have never heard of a self-service display ad system<br />
generating much value for newspapers.<br />
Business people are too busy running their company to go to a website to price<br />
and build an advertisement. Moreover, it alienates advertisers who either want to<br />
build an ad with their own software or in a size that is not supported by the<br />
cookie-cutter specifications of the newspaper software. Further, this is a difficult<br />
model building a packaged and discriminatory pricing model (see Chapter 6 -<br />
Pricing). Moreover, such an arrangement may actually cheapen your publication<br />
by setting artificially low pricing/value expectations of advertisers which could<br />
be better managed by having an on-site visit from a professional advertising<br />
consultant (sales executive).<br />
At least one newspaper group that I know of pressures their advertisers to<br />
electronically upload a camera-ready ad separately for both a “flight check” (to<br />
be sure the uploaded ad is received properly) and then upload it again as part of<br />
a lengthy form to actually place the ad. Furthermore, the newspaper expects the<br />
advertiser to send an email to let the sales rep know the ad is coming at which<br />
point the customer may be asked to drop off a check. If the advertiser does not<br />
have an ad created, they are pressured to fill out another on-line form and<br />
upload logos, etc. While this may seem efficient to the newspaper, what exactly<br />
in this scenario is the ad rep doing to foster the business relationship? What<br />
about the lost opportunity for upsells? What about the expertise the sales rep<br />
should be providing to the advertiser about ad content that works?<br />
Summary<br />
The only way to for sustainable profitability is through increased sales. To<br />
achieve this, you must create an A-level sales team from your best employees<br />
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and by hiring the best available talent. The costs will be justified by the extra<br />
revenue.<br />
It takes an experienced and persistent sales executive to win advertising business.<br />
They need to meet with the business owner to understand their client’s needs<br />
and then tailor a solution to fulfill these needs. Newspapers need to break the<br />
“order taking” culture and follow the model that works… KNOCKING ON A<br />
LOT OF DOORS. Avoid giving your salespeople and staff another distraction<br />
and excuse.<br />
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Worksheet<br />
Use the following table to measure the performance of your sales team. Post this<br />
chart in a visible location.<br />
Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4<br />
Sales Executive #1:<br />
# of meetings<br />
Avg close rate<br />
# of sales<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Avg rev/sale<br />
Total rev<br />
increase<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Sales Executive #2:<br />
# of meetings<br />
Avg close rate<br />
# of sales<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Avg rev/sale<br />
Total rev<br />
increase<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Sales Executive #3:<br />
# of meetings<br />
Avg close rate<br />
# of sales<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Avg rev/sale<br />
Total rev<br />
increase<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Company Average<br />
# of meetings<br />
Avg close rate<br />
# of sales<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
Avg rev/sale<br />
Total rev<br />
increase<br />
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________<br />
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Part IV - Managing For Success<br />
This part rounds out the textbook by providing ideas and examples of how to<br />
efficiently run your organization.<br />
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Chapter 9 - Competition<br />
At the beginning of the 20 th Century, newspapers were the dominate source of<br />
media. When radio was introduced, it was perceived as a major threat to<br />
newspapers. While newspapers could only report yesterday’s news today, radio<br />
could disseminate news instantly – and with sound, including voice personalities.<br />
Of course, newspapers did not go out of business, in fact their sales continued<br />
to increase, but newspapers did give up market share. Television was introduced<br />
in the late 1940s. A source of real-time news with video would certainly mean<br />
the death of newspapers, right? Not this time either. However, newspapers again<br />
lost market share (and a significant portion at that).<br />
Until recently, most newspapers experienced revenue and profit growth and<br />
were unaware that they were losing market share. Growing market share is<br />
critical. In many cases, it is okay to be in a declining market as long as you grow<br />
market share. This is an indicator that you are stronger than your competitors<br />
are. Now newspapers must take all possible actions to ensure that market share<br />
is not lost.<br />
The Internet and mobile creates a convergence opportunity. The winner will be<br />
the media that is the most efficient at selling and disseminating advertising and<br />
other content. This requires most efficient sales strategy and staff to capture the<br />
highest market share of advertisers while minimizing TAC (traffic acquisition<br />
costs). Compared to competitors, newspapers are clear winners.<br />
This chapter reviews major competitors to newspapers, products the newspaper<br />
can sell as alternatives to those offered by competitors and how the competitor<br />
may react to this threat.<br />
Advertising Market<br />
Note in this chart the overall composition of your advertising market. In the US,<br />
annual advertising expenditures are almost $1000 for the average man, woman<br />
and child. This enormous amount of money represents approximately 2% of<br />
GDP. The 14% advertising market share that newspapers have is the sum of all<br />
newspapers (local, alternative, regional, national, etc.). Thus, the market share of<br />
your newspaper may be less than 10%, less than half the market share of junk<br />
mail… that is direct mail. This and print business directory/yellow pages are the<br />
most vulnerable competitors relative to the strengths of your newspaper.<br />
Nevertheless, newspapers have the opportunity to sweep the local market of all<br />
competitors.<br />
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Newspapers<br />
14%<br />
Other<br />
21%<br />
Internet<br />
4%<br />
Magazines<br />
5%<br />
Figure 35- Advertising Market 20<br />
YP<br />
5%<br />
Radio<br />
6%<br />
TV/Cable<br />
23%<br />
Direct Mail<br />
22%<br />
Print Business Directory/Yellow Pages<br />
Figure 36 – Where is the value?<br />
Print business directory/yellow pages are probably the single easiest competitors<br />
to displace. Few people use the “book” for much more than supporting the<br />
wobbly end of the couch. Simply put, most people go online to get that<br />
information (or they will use your mobile product – see Chapter 4 - Products.<br />
Not only is the value of the phone declining quickly, but also there are often<br />
more books in a market. This is a result of telephone deregulation in the 1980s<br />
many media entities have created their own telephone books. With upwards of<br />
five or more telephone directories, many markets are saturated.<br />
Business directory tactics are simple. Each book times their sales calls and<br />
launch dates to be a few months after the prior book’s release. They call or<br />
canvas the advertisers with a simple message: the annual contract that the<br />
advertiser purchased just a few months ago is worthless because when new<br />
business directory books arrive most people use these to replace the old books.<br />
It is easy to imagine why these advertisers are furious. Their “annual” business<br />
directory advertising purchase only receives a few months value – and even less<br />
so with fewer people actually using these books.<br />
20 $285Bn US Advertising Market (Source: Universal McCann, July 2008) equals approximately<br />
$1,000 per American or $100m for a 100k population community.<br />
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The newspaper’s advantage is simple. Your business directory is part of an<br />
advertising and marketing campaign. There are not time constraints; advertising<br />
can be updated dynamically. Compared to print, a newspaper’s business<br />
directory listing includes more features such as photos, videos, maps, restaurant<br />
menus, etc. Your product works on mobile and is part of an integrated and<br />
comprehensive advertising solution. Because changes can be made anytime, the<br />
newspaper’s business directory never becomes obsolete. While it is true that<br />
print books have websites, these sites typically have very little traffic because<br />
they only offer one service. Consider how often people go to the print business<br />
directory’s website compared to how often go (or should go) to your website or<br />
mobile product?<br />
R.H. Donnelly filed for bankruptcy reorganization during 2009 and many of the<br />
others are shutting down or drastically changing their business models. Print<br />
obsolescence has hit them much sooner and harder than it has hit newspaper<br />
print (but let this be a warning).<br />
Tip: Poaching business directory advertisers and employees<br />
Have your inside salesperson go through each telephone book and call every<br />
advertiser (see Chapter 8 - Selling) at least once a month. Track the major<br />
phonebook release dates and during the two or three months preceding the<br />
release of the each book go after their advertisers ruthlessly. Arm your sales<br />
people with competitive information and a cancellation form. If you can get a<br />
large number of cancellations, it is possible that the print business directory<br />
salespeople will skip your market entirely. If they do not, then they should find<br />
that your small business customers to be well informed about how worthless the<br />
print book is.<br />
While you run the print business directory providers out of your market be sure<br />
to hire their best salespeople. They have a great training program. Their<br />
salespeople thrive on selling to small advertisers and they are not afraid to knock<br />
on doors.<br />
Expected countermeasures: Minimal (for regional and national players). They<br />
will likely just move on to more attractive markets.<br />
Junk (Direct) Mail<br />
It is six o’clock in the evening, you have a handful of groceries, your hungry kids<br />
are crying and your last stop of the day is at the mailbox. The last thing you are<br />
thinking about is looking at advertising (which is mixed in with overdue bill<br />
notices)… Of course, this “junk” mail is headed straight for the trash. Compare<br />
this with the newspaper that is read while relaxing Sunday morning or during a<br />
quiet breakfast, lunch or a coffee break. Readers are in an entirely different state<br />
of mind. It is easy to see that newspaper advertising is a much more effective<br />
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than direct mail. The figures below demonstrate how newspaper advertising can<br />
also be much more efficient:<br />
Direct<br />
Mail<br />
Cost per impression $1.00<br />
% Actually viewed 20%<br />
Effective cost per $5.00<br />
impression<br />
Table 9 - Direct mail vs. newspapers 21<br />
Marriage<br />
Mail<br />
$0.05<br />
10%<br />
$0.50<br />
Newspaper<br />
$0.024<br />
60%<br />
$.040<br />
Compared with newspapers, marriage mail is effectively 10 times more<br />
expensive while direct mail can be more than 100 times more expensive. Print<br />
publications, especially TMC print publications (or near TMC – stacks and<br />
racks), are very effective alternatives to direct mail. The newspaper essentially<br />
becomes a wrapper that ensures that the advertising is actually seen. Moreover,<br />
your email newsletter is another direct competitor to junk mail.<br />
Unless your local businesses love licking those tasty stamps and envelopes,<br />
displacing direct mail should be an easy win for the newspaper.<br />
Expected countermeasures: Minimal. Valassis and other marriage mail<br />
providers may put up some resistance; however, they are national companies<br />
that will likely move on to more attractive markets. The U.S. Postal Service will<br />
just go to Congress for another bailout or rate increase (note that in spite of<br />
increases in communication, processing and transportation efficiencies, increases<br />
in postage rates have far exceeded inflation).<br />
Television/Cable<br />
“I think a newspaper should be provocative, stir 'em up, but you can't do that on<br />
television. It's just not on.” Rupert Murdoch<br />
During the past few decades, television has captured significant market share<br />
(and mindshare). Newspapers capture only minutes of attention per day - only a<br />
fraction of the more than four hours the average American spends on television<br />
each day.<br />
Television advertising is very expensive and has a high entry point. Furthermore,<br />
television typically has regional reach of approximately 75 miles from the<br />
transmission station 22. In Chapter 5 - Place (Advertising Market) you can see<br />
that most entertainment is consumed and other purchases are made within an<br />
21<br />
Internal estimates Direct mail: 1/3 page ad @ $24 effective cost per 1000 impression ($50 actual<br />
revenue per impression with a 2.1 pass along rate $50/2.1 = $24 effective cost per impression).<br />
Marriage mail: Total of 30 items, each at $0.03 per unit.<br />
22<br />
The Museum of Broadcast Television, .<br />
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eight-mile radius of home. The map below illustrates how for most local<br />
advertisers, more than 90% of television advertising impressions are wasted on<br />
people outside of advertiser’s market. 23 However, this is certainly changing now<br />
that cable companies can target advertising often down postal codes and even to<br />
a neighborhood.<br />
Figure 37 – Coverage of San Francisco/Sacramento area newspaper compared with<br />
one (of 19) television broadcast station 24<br />
The following table is a list of major television broadcast stations serving the<br />
area in the map above. As you can see, this source is very fragmented. Television<br />
advertising is highly commoditized and is primarily limited to national and<br />
regional advertising.<br />
The rapid adoption of DVR (digital video recording) devices such as Tivo is<br />
changing the television landscape because they enable viewers to fast forward<br />
through commercials. However, these devices also encourage more television<br />
consumption.<br />
23<br />
Television signal has 75 mile radius, thus covering approximately 18,000 square miles (pi *<br />
radius 2 = 3.14*75 2 ).<br />
24<br />
Northern California, retrieved on 2 Mar 2010, from Google Maps<br />
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Area Served Call Signs<br />
Fresno KVPT, KFTV-DT, KSEE, KMPH-TV, KFSN-TV,<br />
KGMC, KGPE, KNXT, KNSO, KAIL, KFRE-TV,<br />
KTFF-DT<br />
Modesto KBSV<br />
Sacramento KCRA-TV, KVIE, KXTV, KOVR, KUVS-TV, KSPX-<br />
TV, KMAX-TV, KTXL, KQCA, KTFK-TV, KSBW<br />
Salinas/Monterey KSBW, KQET, KCBA, KION-TV, KSMS-TV<br />
San Francisco KTVU, KRON-TV, KPIX-TV, KGO-TV, KQED,<br />
KNTV, KDTV-DT, KOFY-TV, KTSF, KMTP-TV,<br />
KICU-TV, KCNS, KTNC-TV, KBCW, KSTS,<br />
KCSM-TV, KKPX-TV, KFSF-DT, KTLN-TV, KTEH<br />
Table 38 – San Francisco/Sacramento area television stations (19 total) 25<br />
Because the Internet makes obtaining, producing and distributing video easy and<br />
cost effective, it is possible to attack television sources directly. Pre, mid and<br />
post-roll advertising is easy to include with videos on your website. Moreover,<br />
your business directory listings should have videos of local businesses.<br />
Creating professional video created is not complicated. A typical community has<br />
dozens of videographers who can produce a video message for a business owner<br />
at a reasonable cost. In addition, television advertisers will typically have a digital<br />
file of the advertisers created for them. Typically, these video commercials are<br />
the property of the advertiser and thus can be used without restrictions.<br />
Tip: Anti-television PR campaign<br />
The average American spends more than four hours per day watching television. This mind<br />
numbing (literally) amount of time could be spend many better ways such as interacting with<br />
family, colleagues, neighbors, learning, exercising, working, reading a book and reading about<br />
local events (in your newspaper, of course). Newspapers could start a community service<br />
advertising and PR campaign to get people off the boob tube.<br />
Expected countermeasures: Minimal. Will likely just move on to more<br />
attractive markets.<br />
Radio<br />
Radio, much like television stations, covers a large area and thus does not serve<br />
local advertisers well. In addition, radio is even more fragmented than television<br />
stations. In California, for instance, there are more than 900 radio stations 26.<br />
25<br />
Source: Wikipedia, <br />
(accessed 2 Mar 2010)<br />
26<br />
Source: Wikipedia, <br />
(accessed 2 Mar 2010)<br />
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Like print business directories/yellow pages, radio is obsolete. Podcasting,<br />
mobile and the Internet are quickly becoming attractive alternatives. Clear<br />
Channel, the largest radio station holding company, is expected to file for<br />
bankruptcy. A typical market is saturated with radio stations, dozens in some<br />
communities. Radio (and television) lacks a web presence, a clear transition for<br />
current advertisers to include new media. In addition, there are too many<br />
competitors, and they are not local. Moreover, they are under attack by satellite<br />
radio and podcasting (see Podcasting section in Chapter 4 -Products).<br />
I recently met with the VP of sales for a local radio station with the typical pitch<br />
we have with that they can easily transform print adverting into banner, Internet<br />
yellow page and mobile advertising. It was readily apparent that this would not<br />
work. Radio advertising is an entirely different media; their website traffic is so<br />
low that the cost of selling and building the advertising is likely less than its<br />
intrinsic value of selling and creating the advertisements.<br />
Note: Radio and yellow pages on billboards<br />
Radio stations often advertise on billboards. One media executive pointed out to me the<br />
reason for this is not to reach consumers (they just channel surf), rather these ads are place<br />
to reach the advertisers.<br />
Expected countermeasures: Minimal. Will likely just move on to more<br />
attractive markets or shutdown as this is business is not capital intensive.<br />
Tip: Future for local television, radio or business directory providers<br />
Any media source that does not have a print publication should consider starting a weekly or<br />
monthly publication (with a daily online version of course). The business model is not<br />
difficult and it makes for a clear transition from traditional only to converged traditional and<br />
new media.<br />
Internet Giants<br />
Yahoo!, Google, Zillow, Trulia, Oodle, etc. have been going after newspapers’<br />
readers and advertisers for years. Many have attempted to initially take market<br />
share from newspapers via a direct sales force but are now pursuing advertisers<br />
by leveraging a distribution and sales channels of newspapers. This of course is<br />
temporary. After they have captured the innovators and early adopters and<br />
positioned themselves as a viable media source, expect them to attack with a<br />
direct sales model. This reminds me of the Silicon Valley tech saying, “Beware of<br />
geeks bearing gifts.”<br />
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Figure 39 - Are they really friends? 27<br />
Nothing is more valuable in the attempt to reach a local audience than local<br />
content and access to local advertisers. National advertising is mostly an<br />
annoyance and it is not particularly profitable which is why global media<br />
companies are eager to “partner” with you. As you can see from the table below,<br />
local advertising has a positive feedback and it is substantially more profitable.<br />
Newspaper/Local Internet Giants<br />
Revenue per 1000 $10 (range: $8-20) $1 (range: $.50 –<br />
impressions<br />
$5)<br />
Cost of sales $1 $.50<br />
Gross Profit<br />
(CPMs)/margin<br />
$9 (90%) $.50 - Avg (50%)<br />
Reader impact Positive Negative<br />
Table 10 - Local/national advertising comparison<br />
Frenemies<br />
This is a Silicon Valley term that describes entities that are both partners/friends<br />
and competitors/enemies. One of the most famous examples is when IBM<br />
contracted Microsoft to create an operating system for its new line of PCs. A<br />
more recent example is when the once mighty Yahoo! partnered with what was<br />
the then small and insignificant Google for search. Microsoft and Google clearly<br />
won while their partners were pretty much left hanging in the lurch. In fact, both<br />
IBM and Yahoo! suffered serious performance declines to the extent that both<br />
have nearly ceased to exist (the latter was almost purchased).<br />
It is interesting that craigslist, Google, Yahoo!, Oodle, Yelp, etc., most of which<br />
are attempting a ‘frenemy’ partnership, are from the Silicon Valley. While this is<br />
certainly a hotbed of innovation and technology, San Francisco has also been<br />
the source of some very misguided products and ideas. The verdict is already in<br />
27 1 st -Art-Gallery. http://www.1st-art-gallery.com/Giovanni-Domenico-Tiepolo/The-Procession-Of-<br />
The-Trojan-Horse-In-Troy-1773.html (accessed 5 Mar. 2010)<br />
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for Yahoo!, only time will tell what will happen to Google (which is still a onetrick<br />
pony).<br />
In the history of business ‘frenemy’ relationships rarely work long-term. One<br />
side or the other will get the upper hand and, either intentionally or<br />
unintentionally, exploit the situation. This is particularly true of the large,<br />
publicly-traded online entities. They are under constant pressure to perform in<br />
order to meet quarterly performance expectations (which we have seen many of<br />
them miss lately). In particular, be very wary of partnerships that require or even<br />
enable your readers to use your service by going anywhere other than<br />
www.yournewspaper.com. They are circumventing the brand that you have<br />
expended significant resources to create and protect. Even more so, avoid any<br />
relationship that enables partners to go directly to your advertisers or that in any<br />
way legitimizes these competitors.<br />
Yahoo! Newspaper Consortium<br />
Yahoo! provides quality products and services that I use everyday. While they<br />
may be popular with users, they are not good for newspapers. The Yahoo!<br />
Newspaper Consortium, currently comprised of several hundred newspapers, is<br />
damaging and dangerous to newspapers. Through content sharing, search<br />
referral, jobs and personals this ‘frenemy’ relationship is the most damaging<br />
because it shifts from newspapers to Yahoo! Newspapers are giving Yahoo!<br />
credibility and awareness.<br />
Effect of the Yahoo! Newspaper Consortium<br />
1. Newspaper directs their readers and advertisers to Yahoo! HotJobs<br />
(announced sale to Monster in February 2010) in exchange for a share of the<br />
revenue for what will likely only be the first order. From this point forward,<br />
readers and advertisers will likely circumvent the newspaper and go directly<br />
to HotJobs.<br />
2. Newspaper places a search textbox on their website. As a publisher, they<br />
share in the pay-per-click revenue generated. This free advertising further<br />
brands an enemy while generating little revenue.<br />
3. APT from Yahoo! (formerly AMP): geographical/demographical targeting<br />
solution. Essentially, newspapers use Yahoo’s ad serving system to serve ads.<br />
The claim is that through geo/demographical targeting the advertisers will<br />
be receive higher value. In exchange, the newspapers do most or all of the<br />
selling for which they sacrifice upwards of 50% of the revenue. Yahoo!<br />
throws newspapers a bone in the form of low-CPM national advertising,<br />
which is already saturating readers. This further legitimizes Yahoo! and<br />
encourages advertisers to circumvent newspapers and go directly to Yahoo!<br />
4. By providing content and a brand that is of interest primarily only to a local<br />
audience, newspapers already have a targeted audience. Demographic<br />
targeting is confusing and provides little added benefit. By advertising with<br />
the local newspaper, for instance, a local business gains from more<br />
advertisers and higher revenue per sales, and it benefits from additional<br />
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anding to reach other stakeholders such as employees, investors/creditors,<br />
suppliers, government regulators, etc. 28<br />
APT From Yahoo! – Worse than Worthless to Newspapers<br />
This is a quote from Yahoo!’s promotional material 29, “Unlike legacy platforms,<br />
APT from Yahoo! is built from the ground up, empowering all of us - publishers,<br />
advertisers, agencies, ad networks, partners and developers - to drive the right<br />
business results. It’s also built on an open marketplace, enabling connections to<br />
others, flexible cross-selling, and pricing transparency.”<br />
The “connections to others, flexible cross-selling…” is of little use to the<br />
newspaper. They should own their market and guard it jealously. Wait to raid<br />
your neighbor’s market until you are ready to take it over.<br />
“Pricing transparency” is bad for newspapers. This will drive your revenue down<br />
to the lowest common denominator. Rather, newspapers should price to market:<br />
discounts where weaker and a premium where stronger. For instance, if you own<br />
95% of your real estate advertising market and 25% of the transportation market,<br />
discount the latter to beat the competition. Subsidize these discounts with higher<br />
prices where stronger until competition threatens this franchise and then<br />
discount or create value-added accordingly (and only while necessary).<br />
Yahoo! is a Competitor and They are Losing<br />
Yahoo!’s stock is off more than 85% 30. Their greed and hubris in negotiating to<br />
be taken over by Microsoft is cited in what many considers this centuries biggest<br />
lost deal. At Yahoo! turnover is high and moral is down. They have enough of<br />
their own problems to work through. These guys are not going not get<br />
newspapers out of this rut.<br />
28 “The Newspaper Consortium needed a way to reach a wider audience…”, Yahoo marketing<br />
materials (nc_casestudy.pdf) (accessed 20 Dec. 2009)<br />
29 http://apt.yahoo.com/apt_overview.php (accessed 20 Dec 2009).<br />
30 Yahoo!’s stock price $15.81 – 4 Mar. 2010.<br />
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Figure 40 - Typical Yahoo! web page with Associated Press (newspaper) content.<br />
Sadly, the advertisement fits the context of the story<br />
Note: Why newspapers join the Yahoo! Consortium<br />
A recent Deutche Bank conference by Dean Singleton, CEO of MediaNews<br />
Group, helps to illustrate why newspapers join the Yahoo! Consortium. He<br />
noted that circulation, revenues and profits were all declining, “… but we have<br />
the Yahoo! Newspaper Consortium...” This is the same for all newspaper groups.<br />
Yahoo! is one of the only things to provide hope.<br />
Google<br />
Just as with Yahoo!, I use Google frequently. They have great products.<br />
However, just like Yahoo! relationships with Google will create little value for a<br />
newspaper and will likely further diminish the newspaper’s brand (to the benefit<br />
of Google).<br />
Getting search traffic from Google and other search engines is not as important<br />
as may seem. As you saw in Chapter 4 -Products, your products, especially your<br />
email newsletter, can generate more traffic than search. Most traffic should be<br />
organic, that is originating from viewers directly accessing your site or through<br />
referrals from your other products. Visitors referred to your website from search<br />
engines are likely to be from outside of your target market and are thus of little<br />
value or no value to your advertisers. Useful locally focused products and<br />
content are more valuable to your advertisers.<br />
Google and Contextual Ads (aka click fraud)<br />
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Contextual ads clutter your website. Moreover, it is unlikely that these<br />
advertisers are getting value from such pages since most click throughs are<br />
accidental or are a part of a scheme to defraud the advertiser. There is extensive<br />
research on click fraud. Most perpetrators use contextual ads from Google on<br />
published pages to skim money from advertisers. Google has been accused<br />
many times of perpetuating click fraud and has recently settled several related<br />
lawsuits.<br />
Sponsored keywords next to search results are a brilliant and useful service;<br />
however, keywords in published pages are nothing less than click fraud. The<br />
next two figures illustrate the lack of value these “contextual” ads are. If you are<br />
not convinced, try a dozen or so searches and you will likely see that there is<br />
little or no value created for these naïve advertisers. If Google were serious<br />
about stopping click fraud, they would have advertisers explicitly opt in to<br />
having keywords on publisher pages and they would subject themselves to a<br />
revenue audit from a credible third party (a service provided by all top<br />
accounting firms).<br />
Figure 41 - Click fraud from Google<br />
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Figure 42 - Valuable ads on right, Google click fraud on far right<br />
The results of the published pages click fraud ruse are remarkable. Not only<br />
does Google get free PR/advertising, but also it is largely responsible for Google<br />
capturing significant market share, nearly 5 to 10% of Internet, radio, TV/cable,<br />
business directory/yellow pages, direct mail, newspapers and outdoor<br />
COMBINED 31. Of all the advertising that we are bombarded with each day<br />
does it really seem that keywords next to search results plus those little annoying<br />
(and usually completely unrelated) keywords that embedded in web pages are<br />
really worth nearly 1/10 th of an advertising market that has developed during the<br />
last 400 years?<br />
Having a Yahoo! or Google search box next to your content provides credibility<br />
to these competitors. Most content management systems provide website search<br />
capabilities that are more than adequate. Most of the search traffic generated by<br />
Yahoo! and Google is from out of your area and is thus of little or no value to<br />
your (mostly local) advertisers. Readers in your community should not find your<br />
products because they are searching Google; rather they should do so because<br />
31 $288b annual advertising spent in the US. Kelsey Group/Universal McCann, 2008. Google’s<br />
2009 Q3 revenue was $5.9b, or $23.6b (annualized). Google’s market cap is $189b or 8.3x trailing<br />
12 months revenues (Wall Street Journal, 12/18/2009). Note that Google’s revenue is precommission.<br />
One could argue that it should be a significantly lower post-commission figure.<br />
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they are addicted to your branded services (print, web, email newsletters and/or<br />
mobile). See Chapter 4 -Products.<br />
Charge Google for Advertising<br />
Google is truly a leach traditional and non-traditional media. They spend almost<br />
on advertising focusing instead on leveraging publishers, many of which are<br />
traditional media, to provide free PR by publishing articles and by providing free<br />
exposure to the Google brand on the publisher’s website. Google’s marketing<br />
department is a PR machine. Microsoft and Yahoo!, on the other hand, spend<br />
approximately 20% of their revenue on advertising.<br />
Avoid the temptation to publish Google’s “free” press releases and other stories<br />
about how wonderful these competitors are (while maintaining journalistic<br />
integrity, of course). I am surprised at the frequency of articles written extolling<br />
craigslist and other competitors while denouncing the publication that provides<br />
a paycheck to these journalists. This especially includes AP, which is supposed<br />
to be acting in the best interest of newspapers, their owners. If your newsroom<br />
complains about the interference, then insist that they provide equal coverage<br />
(and praise) to other competitors such as radio, TV, business directories, direct<br />
mail, etc. Remind your journalists that other businesses actually pay for this<br />
advertising.<br />
From a revenue standpoint, Google is a one-trick pony. They derive more than<br />
95% of their revenue from search and much of this is from published pages (see<br />
click fraud above). Google has made many attempts to broaden their revenue<br />
base most notoriously for newspapers, Google Base, a failed initiative to take<br />
classifieds business from newspapers. Through the acquisition of DoubleClick<br />
and AdMob, Google now has an advertising network (though one that is mostly<br />
remnant advertising).<br />
Be very careful of Google. Of all ‘frenemies’ they are the most dangerous: they<br />
have the most to gain from betrayal and have indeed betrayed nearly all of their<br />
partners – Yahoo!, mobile carriers and device makers, newspapers, radio,<br />
MySpace, etc. Google is trying to be everything to everyone (while promising to<br />
“do no evil”). They are also notoriously stingy when it comes to paying for<br />
advertising from the media sources on which they depend. Newspapers have<br />
little to gain from a Google relationship. Having their brand on your website<br />
(Google, YouTube, etc.) gives them traffic and credibility with your readers and<br />
advertisers.<br />
Yelp<br />
Keep a close eye on Yelp, an Internet business directory provider that is popular<br />
in many metro areas. They could do to newspapers’ retail advertisers what<br />
craigslist has done to classifieds. In San Francisco, Los Angeles and other big<br />
cities Yelp has a big following. Their stickers are on the windows of many<br />
businesses. Yelp’s biggest weakness is their high customer acquisition cost.<br />
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However, upwards of $300 – 1,000 per month per advertiser, it may be feasible<br />
for them to assemble a local advertising team. 32 Your hyper-local, locally owned<br />
and operated one-stop advertising solution is a superior alternative. Especially<br />
emphasize to your business advertisers your Internet business directory<br />
component.<br />
Google is in talks to acquire Yelp 33. This should further reinforce the position<br />
that Google is a competitor to newspapers.<br />
Figure 43 - Yelp stickers are on the windows of a majority of San Francisco retail<br />
businesses<br />
Networked Websites<br />
A popular newspaper fad involves national websites working with local<br />
newspapers to help generate traffic and advertisers. This is a great business<br />
model for the national website provider; they get free traffic, advertisers and,<br />
most importantly, credibility. Such relationships are particularly popular for jobs<br />
(CareerBuilder, Yahoo!/HotJobs, Monster.com, etc.), real estate (Zillow,<br />
ZipRealty, etc.) and Cars (Cars.com). Local.com and ReachLocal want your<br />
emerging yellow pages/business directory market while Match.com and<br />
eHarmony want your personals.<br />
The business model is simple. An employment-advertising giant, for instance,<br />
partners with a local newspaper. By leveraging this newspaper’s credibility and<br />
traffic, they get local employers and readers comfortable with the national<br />
website of the frenemy, sucking away readers, advertisers and credibility from<br />
the local newspaper. Their strategy is to maintain this relationship until the local<br />
newspaper goes bust. Then this “frenemy” keeps your readers, advertisers and<br />
possibly your best salespeople.<br />
32<br />
Yelp website. (accessed 15 Dec. 2009)<br />
33<br />
Reuters, 18 Dec 2009.<br />
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A great way to see if a partner is really a friend is to call their sales office and act<br />
as if you are a confused advertiser (such as an employer) trying to place an ad at<br />
the newspaper. Most likely, you will find that the salesperson is eager to take<br />
your order directly, completely circumventing the newspaper. Another indicator<br />
can be found by comparing the advertisers of the giant websites to those found<br />
in the newspaper servicing the same community. Most of the job listings with<br />
the giants are from national recruiting firms while the local newspaper still has<br />
the best listings: local jobs placed directly by local companies.<br />
Additional Internet Competitors<br />
As you can see below, there are many Internet vultures circling above. Most<br />
derive a majority of their revenue from advertising, which means that they will<br />
be going after your advertisers. Your strategy should be to provide them zero<br />
PR while aggressively pursuing your local advertisers, especially if they advertise<br />
with a competitor.<br />
Figure 44 - Newspaper competitors<br />
Facebook and Twitter<br />
Much like Google, Yahoo! and your other competitors, Facebook and Twitter<br />
depend on PR to generate credibility and traffic. Their business models are also<br />
advertising based, which means that you can be certain they are or will soon be<br />
going after your advertisers. Once again, radio silence for free promotion<br />
(including having them on your website) and attack as soon as they win any of<br />
your advertisers.<br />
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Outdoor and Other<br />
Much to the benefit of society (and newspapers), billboard advertising has been<br />
banned or severely limited along many highways and roads. A strong argument<br />
against outdoor advertising in public places is that it violates a person’s right to<br />
be left alone. Many of these outdoor advertisements are so sleazy that they only<br />
a generation ago they would have been restricted to adult magazines. Most other<br />
advertising is different in that consumption is voluntary. No one makes people<br />
turn on a television, radio or open a newspaper; they are 100% voluntary. Thus,<br />
these forms of media are on a stronger footing because they do not violate our<br />
right to be left alone.<br />
Clearly, you want to pursue outdoor advertisers, but it may also be a socially<br />
beneficial goal to encourage legislation that bans this clutter and involuntary<br />
intrusion in your life and the life of children.<br />
Competing Publications<br />
The riskiest battle is with another newspaper, especially if share the same market.<br />
Ideally, this publication will have regional coverage (while you have local<br />
coverage) so that they can simply move on to a less competitive market.<br />
Certainly, you want to battle from a position of strength so ensure that you are<br />
well prepared.<br />
Weaknesses:<br />
* If your publication is locally owned, but your competitor’s publication is not,<br />
be sure to emphasize this. You have a lot of “skin in the game” to ensure the<br />
success of the advertisers and the community. This is a great way to poach local<br />
advertisers that are also locally owned businesses. Moreover, chains have been<br />
notorious for charging more (higher print subscription and advertising rates)<br />
while providing less (declined circulation, smaller newspapers and less local<br />
news). To further this argument point out that they are doing to maintain profit<br />
margins that peaked at upwards of 50%.<br />
* Should your publisher also be the owner (and ideally the VP of sales), you are<br />
in a great position. Your counterpart at the competing publication is certainly<br />
junior to you and is likely disinterested or inexperienced with businesses and has<br />
no skin in the game. Make sure that every business in your community knows<br />
this.<br />
* Your competitor moves to paid (online) content. Your argument here is that<br />
your competitor is more interested in salvaging their likely exorbitant<br />
subscription and advertising rates rather than maximizing the benefit to the<br />
advertiser and the community.<br />
* As the profits of these competitors continue to erode, allow them to succumb<br />
to a slow death. This is when you are ready to move in and take their advertisers<br />
and best salespeople. Hiring them will be easy because your company will be<br />
strong – with growing profits – and you can pay well.<br />
Tip: Chambers of commerce<br />
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Work with your chamber of commerce to develop a business-focused print and<br />
email newsletter campaign. Delivers information important to local businesses and<br />
combine it with advertising that targets these businesses. Manage this through your<br />
CRM (see Appendix E - Customer/Sales Management Systems).<br />
By having your newspaper offer this service to chamber members, you can increase<br />
your revenue while keeping the chamber as a trusted partner rather than a<br />
competitor.<br />
Advertising Agencies<br />
Yes. To some extent, advertising agencies are also competitors. Their job is to<br />
represent the best interests of your advertisers. They will often send business to<br />
your competitors. Clearly, you want to maintain positive relationships with ad<br />
agencies, but it is important to remember their role is to act on behalf of your<br />
customer. The overhead of working with an agency may significantly cut into the<br />
advertising budget; however, by providing an honest and valuable offering, your<br />
customers may be better off skipping the ad agency.<br />
Targeted Low<br />
barrier to<br />
entry<br />
Newspaper Competitors<br />
Direct mail<br />
TV/Cable<br />
Radio<br />
Magazines<br />
Hyper<br />
Local<br />
Internet<br />
Giants<br />
Business<br />
Directories<br />
Newspaper platforms and components<br />
- Print (paid)<br />
- Print (free<br />
TMC)<br />
- Website<br />
- Email<br />
Newsletter<br />
- Business<br />
Directory<br />
- Mobile<br />
Table 11 - Competitor comparison<br />
Time<br />
Sensitive<br />
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ROI
Know Your Enemy<br />
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a<br />
hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory<br />
gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself,<br />
you will succumb in every battle.” Sun Tzu, The Art of War. Chapter III.<br />
Before engaging in a battle to capture a market, it is critical to understand your<br />
competitors. Due to the nature of media/advertising, this is rather simple. By<br />
their nature, the products of your competitors are readily available. Thus,<br />
estimating advertising dollars spent with your competitors is just a matter of<br />
getting a rate card and running through simple arithmetic.<br />
Tip: Use CRM to track competitors<br />
Your top competitors should have a section in your CRM (see Appendix E -<br />
Customer/Sales Management Systems). Have your inside salesperson<br />
periodically update your CRM with the estimated annual advertising spend for<br />
advertisers in your community. From this, you can run reports that list each<br />
advertiser and the corresponding advertising spending at each of your top<br />
competitors. The sum of this report should match the estimated annual revenue<br />
for each of your competitors. A period-over-period P&L can be derived once<br />
you combine this revenue estimate with a cost estimate. Competitor’s financial<br />
information should be updated frequently. You should also have a “war room”<br />
that is loaded with competitor’s information. Have the advertisements of each of<br />
your competitors posted on the wall for your sales staff to see. This is vital<br />
information that does not take much time to acquire. Your sales staff should be<br />
able to recite important information about your competitors and have a clear<br />
understanding of your newspaper’s relative strengths.<br />
Tip: Choose your battles<br />
“When you surround an army, leave an outlet free. This does not mean that the<br />
enemy is allowed to escape. The object is to make him believe that there is a<br />
road to safety, and thus prevent his fighting with the courage of despair.” Sun<br />
Tzu, The Art of War, Ch. VII.<br />
The battle for advertising should be fought on all fronts while a priority is placed<br />
on competing with print yellow pages and direct mail. They are weak,<br />
fragmented and disorganized and your products are far superior. Fight a<br />
protracted but subtle war with competing local publications until you have been<br />
sufficiently strengthened and they weakened. Then you only need to poach their<br />
last few advertisers.<br />
Competitive Strategies<br />
With the convergence of print, sound, video and real-time access on the web,<br />
the winner would be the entity that can best exploit all these communications<br />
areas. The winner will be the entity that can most efficiently generate quality<br />
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(local) traffic, thus generating advertising inventory, and has the ability to sell the<br />
advertising inventory to the most profitable advertisers (small, local businesses).<br />
The approach provided should result in vendor lock-in - “In economics, vendor<br />
lock-in, also known as proprietary lock-in, or customer lock-in, makes a<br />
customer dependent on a vendor for products and services, unable to use<br />
another vendor without substantial switching costs. Lock-in costs which create<br />
barriers to market entry may result in antitrust action against a monopoly.” –<br />
Source Wikipedia.<br />
Remember to never legitimize your competition. Avoid using direct mail,<br />
radio/TV, billboards, etc. – even if the short term ROI is positive. The<br />
newspaper owns everything that works.<br />
Expansion Strategies<br />
When considering expansion, first consider that you should not lose focus on<br />
your home market. Ensure that you have this market locked down before<br />
considering moving into other markets. We like the ‘hub and spoke’ model,<br />
perfected by Walmart. In this model, Walmart would open a distribution center<br />
and then build stores in surrounding communities. Each store would be within a<br />
few hours drive of the distribution center ensuring that a driver could retrieve a<br />
load drive to the destination store, unload and return to base all in the same day.<br />
This simplified logistics and operations, minimized travel costs (no hotel and<br />
overtime costs). The geographic proximity ensures a cost advantage over rivals<br />
that would need to replicate this strategy in order to compete.<br />
A similar arrangement for a newspaper cluster would be to start with a regional<br />
headquarters in a moderate to large-sized market and then penetrate surrounding<br />
communities with appropriately sized publications. The hub can be a<br />
concentration of talent and capital (such as a printing facility). Sales and news<br />
staff could work at a small remote office, from home or from the regional<br />
headquarters.<br />
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Figure 45- Geographical expansion strategy<br />
In the example above, all publications are within a 1-hour drive of the regional<br />
headquarters. Thus, including a maximum of a 2-hour return journey, an<br />
employee could always accomplish at least six hours of work but can shift from<br />
one subsidiary to another with little effort. This also enables the newspaper to<br />
easily concentrate staff where needed to either capture or protect market share.<br />
The hyper-local model works well in this situation. Brand each publication by<br />
the community such as “Any Town Gazette” and possibly with a sub-brand of<br />
the parent/regional group. However, there is a strong argument not to include<br />
the sub-brand as this may diminish the perception of local ownership and news.<br />
Towns without a local publication or that are poorly served by the large, typically<br />
foreign owned, publication should be pursued first (see Chapter 9 -<br />
Competition). Next, should be to acquire or partner with publications that may<br />
be competition, but wait to do so until you can negotiate from a position of<br />
strength.<br />
Note: Stuck in the middle<br />
It may not be as bad as it looks if a dominant player (as in the image above) surrounds your<br />
newspaper. Assuming that your publication has strong market penetration and good<br />
products in your community, it is probably better for the dominant player to takeover<br />
untapped territory further afield rather than to take you on directly. The costs of going headto-head<br />
are high and it creates the perception that they are trying to monopolize the market,<br />
which may cause concern with their customers, readers, suppliers and regulators. Moreover,<br />
your publication may find white knight in a competing newspaper company.<br />
Summary<br />
You are not in business to enrich your competitors. For nearly a century, they<br />
have been taking market share and would just as well see you go out of business.<br />
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It is critical to be aware of and plan for battle with all of your competitors. Local<br />
newspapers should capitalize on their significant advantages: local sales team,<br />
local content, local ownership and management, nearly free local advertising<br />
traffic, etc. We have found that few online-only publications or print<br />
publications succeed if they entirely cease printing. Print ads credibility for<br />
readers and advertisers.<br />
The right strategy, execution and focus on capturing market share (and thus<br />
taking out competitors) will allow newspapers to once again enjoy a ‘natural<br />
monopoly’.<br />
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Worksheet<br />
Advertising Market<br />
Market size<br />
Avg ad/person<br />
Total market<br />
# of<br />
advertisers<br />
20,000<br />
$1000<br />
$20m<br />
500<br />
Competitor’s market share<br />
TV/Cable $5m<br />
Radio $1<br />
Magazines $0.5<br />
Internet Giants $2m<br />
Business<br />
Directories<br />
$1m<br />
My<br />
Market<br />
5-Year<br />
Projection<br />
Competitor A $2m<br />
Competitor B<br />
Competitor C<br />
Newspaper platforms and components<br />
- Print (paid)<br />
- Print (free<br />
TMC)<br />
- Website<br />
- Email<br />
Newsletter<br />
- Business<br />
Directory<br />
- Mobile<br />
Evaluate your competitive situation below<br />
Targeted Low<br />
barrier to<br />
entry<br />
Newspaper Competitors<br />
Direct mail<br />
TV/Cable<br />
Radio<br />
Magazines<br />
Internet Giants<br />
Business<br />
Hyper<br />
Local<br />
Time<br />
Sensitive<br />
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ROI
Directories<br />
Competitor A<br />
Competitor B<br />
Competitor C<br />
Newspaper platforms and components<br />
- Print (paid)<br />
- Print (free<br />
TMC)<br />
- Website<br />
- Email<br />
Newsletter<br />
- Business<br />
Directory<br />
- Mobile<br />
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Chapter 10 - Advertising Inventory<br />
“The most truthful part of a newspaper is the advertisements.” Thomas<br />
Jefferson<br />
We know there is significant demand for news. Though newspaper readership<br />
has consistently declined, demand for news consumption continues to increase.<br />
In fact, as early as 1970, almost 78% of adults read a daily newspaper –<br />
approximately 75% of young adults (18 – 34 years old) ready a daily newspaper 34.<br />
Demand for media has increased dramatically and will continue to increase<br />
further. The average American consumes more than four hours of just television.<br />
Media consumption will continue to increase due to the following factors:<br />
increase in quality, supply, a significant decrease in distribution costs and rapid<br />
penetration of new platforms (Internet, email. Mobile, etc.).<br />
Media Consumption Shift from Print to Print + Non-Print<br />
While media consumption is increasing, it is rapidly shifting to non-print<br />
platforms. This should not be cause for alarm. Newspapers simply need to<br />
increase their product mix to accommodate this shift. They need to leverage the<br />
combination of print, web, email, mobile, etc. to regain that readership.<br />
Specifically, newspapers need to regain daily readership from their community.<br />
The chart below illustrates how non-print growth can more than offset<br />
advertising inventory lost to print. Further, these are revenue figures. The<br />
profitability of a marginal non-print dollar is far greater than that of print<br />
(marginal profits are the profits of one incremental dollar of revenue less costs.<br />
This is after fixed costs).<br />
34 Newspaper Association of America. Daily Newspaper Trends – Age (1967 – 1997). Average<br />
weekday readership. (accessed 1 Mar. 2010)<br />
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Advertising Inventor y ($ millions)<br />
$2.0m<br />
$1.5m<br />
$1.0m<br />
$0.5m<br />
$0.0m<br />
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4<br />
Mobile 0.025 0.075 0.125 0.175<br />
Business Directory 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2<br />
Email 0.025 0.075 0.125 0.75<br />
Web 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25<br />
Print 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5<br />
Figure 12 - Advertising inventory shifting from print to non-print<br />
Supply > Demand<br />
To keep things simple, imagine there are two sides of your business: 1. create<br />
advertising inventory (supply) and 2. create demand (promote and sell the<br />
inventory).<br />
The objective is to sell as much advertising as possible (that is create demand)<br />
and then fulfill this demand with advertising inventory (supply) – and do so in<br />
that order. Note that local advertising is content, especially when your<br />
advertisers offer specials, coupons, great advertising (especially video), etc. This<br />
advertising demand actually increases your advertising inventory supply.<br />
Newspapers should always ensure that they are creating more supply than is<br />
needed to fulfill local demand. Sell excess supply to regional and national<br />
advertisers.<br />
$2.5<br />
$2.0<br />
$1.5<br />
$1.0<br />
$0.5<br />
$0.0<br />
Advertising Inventory Supply/Demand<br />
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5<br />
Supply Demand<br />
Figure 46 - Advertising supply should exceed demand<br />
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Tip: When advertising demand exceeds supply<br />
Should you be so lucky to have your ambitious sales force outsell your advertising supply,<br />
just increase the number of advertisements per page. This is only is a temporary solution, of<br />
course. Creating additional supply is not difficult or expensive. This may be a great<br />
opportunity to expand your newsroom.<br />
Measuring Advertising Inventory - Gross Impressions<br />
Traffic reports should always be daily. Remember, you have a daily newspaper<br />
(even if you only have a weekly print). People consume media throughout the<br />
day. Not too long ago there were morning and evening newspapers that were<br />
read by a vast majority of the community every day. Set a goal to get people<br />
hooked on your media every day.<br />
To keep things simple, commoditize your advertising inventory. While each<br />
platform has different advantages, print, web, email and mobile advertising are<br />
quite similar. As you probably know, advertising agencies and buyers standardize<br />
advertising across all platforms (including newspapers, radio, television, etc.).<br />
Your advertising inventory is the sum of all impressions created multiplied by<br />
the weighted average potential revenue per impression. This should be easy to<br />
estimate the total advertising market. This can be accomplished two ways:<br />
1. Total amount of exposure time per media and<br />
2. Estimated dollars associated with these exposures<br />
Note: Inventory measurement standardization<br />
eCPM – Effective Cost Per Mille – or cost per thousand (m, mille, is Latin for<br />
thousand) is a means of standardizing advertising rates, thus clarifying the blur<br />
amongst CPC (cost per click), CPA (cost per action), etc. To find the eCPM<br />
simply standardize the effective cost for every thousand page impressions. CPC<br />
and CTR (click through rate) to eCPM = CTR *CPC * 1000<br />
For instance, if you have a 10% click through rate and pay $0.50 per click<br />
through, then for every thousand page impressions you would have 100 click<br />
throughs at a cost of $0.50 each or $50 eCPM. All else equal, an offer of less<br />
than $50 CPM (with no performance payment) is a better deal for the advertiser.<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>reasing Advertising Inventory Supply<br />
A majority of this book is devoted to creating demand (promotion and selling).<br />
By following this model, you will likely (and hopefully) sell more than what you<br />
created. Numerous journalism books are available and there are hundreds of<br />
years of experience with print; thus, we focus on creating non-print advertising<br />
inventory (while ensuring that it can be integrated with print). Following are<br />
simple and low-cost ideas.<br />
Website Inventory<br />
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Building Non-Print Inventory<br />
Non-print advertising inventory can be created the same as in pre-<br />
Internet/mobile days. Always be sure to leverage the content of your<br />
competitors first as this is the least expensive and not doing so will leave your<br />
readers searching for alternatives (namely your competition).<br />
Tip: Leverage the Internet for news updates<br />
Get breaking news from the website of your competitors. If a story breaks on<br />
the website of a competitor, write your own article with added information that<br />
your newsroom may have. Of course, provide proper credit should you not be<br />
able to find an original source for the content of the article.<br />
We also recommend tools such as Google Alerts and www.urlywarning.net for<br />
immediate notification of important changes.<br />
Figure 47 - Free website change detection program<br />
Breaking News Process<br />
Print is no longer an effective medium for breaking news. The evening editions<br />
previously broke news, but their numbers and readership have decreased<br />
significantly. Regardless, breaking news delivery would still lag by at least a few<br />
hours. New technologies enable newspapers to break news within minutes. This is<br />
the basic process:<br />
1. Identify the breaking story through your news staff, the website of your<br />
competitor, etc.<br />
a. If the story is from your competitor, see if you can find an original<br />
source (no sense in unnecessarily giving them credit)<br />
b. If it is your story, then start the breaking news with something like<br />
“first reported by .” Inevitably, your<br />
competition will copy so this ensures that you receive credit for<br />
originating/breaking the story. Video is especially valuable since<br />
competitors cannot copy this as they could content that is written.<br />
2. Update your website, but wait to publish the story until you send out the<br />
breaking news alert (next) otherwise competitors that are scanning your<br />
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website may scoop you (see Figure 47 - Free website change detection<br />
program).<br />
3. Immediately send an email newsletter and mobile breaking news. <strong>Inc</strong>lude a<br />
photo and reference to video (if possible). Only deliver the first few<br />
sentences of the story to ensure that the readers click through to see the<br />
entire story on your website, including photos and video. <strong>Inc</strong>luding a link<br />
for the top advertiser of the day is a nice touch, especially when there is a<br />
lunch/dinner special that is valid only for the day.<br />
We have seen many non-daily print publications scoop the print daily, radio and<br />
television stations by hours, even days by leveraging this process. The readers love it.<br />
Breaking news click through rates often exceed 75%. This is an intricate part of<br />
getting readers in our community addicted to your brand.<br />
We recommend that newspapers build up to five or more breaking news items every<br />
week. Monitor the click through rates as a determinant of what your readers’<br />
interests. It is surprising to see how easy it is to engage your audience with what may<br />
seem like trivial news.<br />
News from Local Business People<br />
Many newspapers will have local experts write up a column for which they get credit<br />
as the author and a mention of their organization. CPAs, lawyers, doctors, business<br />
experts, trainers, real estate agents and religious leaders are all people who may be<br />
eager to write content in exchange for the PR. Exchanging PR for advertising is a<br />
breach of editorial independence; nevertheless, these people should certainly receive<br />
a visit from your sales staff.<br />
Wire Services<br />
Global wire services can certainly help newspapers increase advertising inventory.<br />
However, we recommend not relying on them because our data show that the<br />
view and click through rates are very low. We suspect that readers are getting<br />
breaking news from CNN and AP (but unfortunately, the latter is on Yahoo!<br />
and Google websites).<br />
Intrinsically, newspapers can easily beat Yahoo! and Google because they can<br />
generate much higher CPMs from local advertisers. Furthermore, the perceived<br />
quality of local advertising is much greater than that of national advertisers. See<br />
Chapter 9 - Competition, Yahoo! section. They have mostly low quality<br />
advertising from mortgage companies, sleazy dating services, etc.<br />
Tip: Real Estate Agents Locking out Competition<br />
We often hear that real estate agents and brokers attempt to restrict competition by refusing<br />
to do business with publications that allow advertisements from private parties (aka FSBOs -<br />
for sale by owners). A great way to get around this is to present to these local real estate<br />
agents an opinion letter from the attorney of your newspaper association. It should state that<br />
a practices may run afoul of antitrust law, thus creating civil, and possibly criminal, exposure<br />
for the newspaper and the agents or brokers.<br />
Tip: My Yahoo! and iGoogle portals<br />
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As you see, we think that Yahoo! and Google provide little value for newspapers<br />
and in fact are actually damaging to them. Much of the traffic to Yahoo! (and<br />
increasingly to Google) is through portal functionality, which newspapers have<br />
an opportunity to displace. Essentially, a portal is a customizable collection of<br />
information components such as news headlines, weather, stock listings, etc.<br />
Most of these components are built on RSS or some other type of widget (web<br />
gadget) technology and are open standard and readily available. It is conceivable<br />
for newspapers to turn their home page into a customizable web portal and thus<br />
enable users to get all or most of the portal functionality offered by Yahoo! and<br />
Google. This would generate significant traffic and credibility while displacing a<br />
competitor.<br />
Search Engine Marketing (SEM)<br />
Search engine marketing is a form of Internet marketing that seeks to promote<br />
websites by increasing their visibility in search engine result pages (SERPs)<br />
through the use of paid placement, contextual advertising, and paid inclusion.<br />
Source: Wikipedia<br />
Search engine optimization (SEO), on the other hand, is the process of<br />
improving the volume or quality of traffic to a web site from search engines via<br />
"natural" or un-paid ("organic" or "algorithmic") search results as opposed to<br />
search engine marketing (SEM) which deals with paid inclusion. Typically, the<br />
earlier (or higher) a site appears in the search results list, the more visitors it will<br />
receive from the search engine. SEO may target different kinds of search,<br />
including image search, local search, video search and industry-specific vertical<br />
search engines. This gives a website web presence. Source: Wikipedia.<br />
Anything other than basic optimization of your website is likely a waste of time<br />
and money. People in your community should know where to go. Not many<br />
people should come or go… Focus on local first.<br />
Tip: Shoppers and advertising-only publications<br />
Do not worry if you currently have no editorial. The probability of success of a 100% retail<br />
advertising publication that adds editorial is much higher than a publication that depends<br />
largely readers (via circulation and classifieds). The reason is very simple. The business model<br />
around the former is built on doing one thing – serving local businesses (that is selling).<br />
By evolving to become a more community-centric and involved publication, your loyal<br />
advertisers and other businesses in the community will appreciate the service you provide.<br />
Forecasting Advertising Inventory<br />
Newspapers have a lot going for them. In addition to having the “feet on the<br />
street” to serve local advertisers, they also have a natural cluster effect 35.<br />
35 “The cluster effect is the effect of buyers and sellers of a particular good or service congregating<br />
in a certain place and hence inducing other buyers and sellers to relocate there as well.” – Source:<br />
Wikipedia (accessed 5 Dec. 2009)<br />
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Moreover, by staying local, newspapers can quickly reach critical mass. That is,<br />
the newspaper can reach the point where most of their target market of readers<br />
and advertisers are aware of the newspaper and use it enough of the time to<br />
have a natural momentum.<br />
Stay focused on serving the advertisers until you reach this point. Then consider<br />
charging for content (which will create an even greater dependence from your<br />
community).<br />
Product/Market Diffusion<br />
The following illustrated how markets and product adoption starts slowly, first<br />
with innovators and early adopters, and then accelerates before tapering off.<br />
Mobile applications, for instance. have demonstrated very high product<br />
penetration, upwards of 20% within a few months. Above average intelligence<br />
phones such as Blackberry/RIM and the Palm Treo introduced this opportunity<br />
and then Apple’s iPhone swept the market with a truly “smart” phone. In only a<br />
few years, Apple captured nearly 8% market share, an incredible feat. Refer to<br />
the product diffusion curve below. Capturing the innovators (2.5% of the total<br />
market) too above average and smart phone technology more than a decade.<br />
Then in one year, Apple captured almost half of the innovator segment, which<br />
means that smart phones should capture the other ½ of innovators. The early<br />
and late majority segments represent should be captured in about two years each<br />
(four years total) meaning that within five years 84% of Americans will have a<br />
smart phone. Hopefully, Android, Microsoft, etc. will also gain traction so there<br />
is competition.<br />
Figure 48 - Market/product diffusion curve<br />
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Population/market size 100,000<br />
Early Early Late<br />
Innovators Adopters Majority Majority<br />
(Years 1-4) (2010/11) (2012/13) (2014/15)<br />
M arket share 2.5% 13.5% 34.0% 34.0%<br />
Total market share 2.5% 16.0% 50.0% 84.0%<br />
Daily visitors 2,500 16,000 50,000 84,000<br />
Pg views/visitor 6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0<br />
Total page views 15,000 144,000 600,000 1,260,000<br />
Rev/page view $ 0.04 $ 0.05 $ 0.05 $ 0.06<br />
Daily revenue $ 600 $ 7,200 $ 30,000 $ 75,600<br />
Annu alized ($m) $ 0.2 $ 2.6 $ 11.0 $ 27.6<br />
Total Market ($m) $ 100.0 $ 100.0 $ 100.0 $ 100.0<br />
M arket share 0.2% 2.6% 11.0% 27.6%<br />
Avg minutes per day 3.0 4.5 6.0<br />
7.5<br />
* Note: Avg American watches more than 4 hours of television per day. Page<br />
view = 30 seconds.<br />
Table 49 - Newspaper platform product/market diffusion<br />
From the table above, you can see that this represents an incredible opportunity for<br />
newspapers. It has take newspapers more than 10 years to capture the innovators,<br />
but with the right platforms and components as well as attractive pricing and<br />
promotion, it is possible for newspapers to capture the next three segments in as<br />
little as one year each. Applying what are reasonable advertising rates (that should be<br />
high with local advertisers), you can see that a newspaper can quickly capture market<br />
share. Not convinced? This opportunity will certainly not go to print business<br />
directories, television, radio or direct mail. Nor will it go to Yahoo! or Google –<br />
unless the newspaper gives it to them.<br />
Since the 1930’s, newspaper’s market share has progressively eroded. This was slow<br />
because the penetration of radio, television and other forms of media were rather<br />
slow. With the rapid adoption of the Internet (especially high speed broadband) and<br />
email, and an especially rapid adoption of smart mobile devices, newspapers can be<br />
the winners<br />
Selling Inventory<br />
It is important always to have enough advertising inventory to far exceed local<br />
demands. This inventory can then be sold to regional and then national (likely<br />
remnant) advertisers. The chart below illustrates a more conservative outlook for<br />
newspapers. Moreover, it quantifies the media consumption shift from print to<br />
non-print platforms. Most importantly, you can see how by only capturing a few<br />
minutes mindshare from the average community member each day your<br />
publication can do well.<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Year 1 - Market Size 20,000<br />
Print Website Mobile Net<br />
Avg daily penetration 50% 30% 2% 82%<br />
Daily visitors (A) 10,000 6,000 400 16,400<br />
Avg pages/visit 40.0<br />
6.0<br />
5.0<br />
26.7<br />
Avg ad rev/page $ 0.040 $ 0.050 $ 0.040 $ 0.044<br />
Avg ad rev/visitor $ 1.60 $ 0.30 $ 0.20 $ 1.17<br />
Avg paid by visitor $ 0.30 $ - $ -<br />
$ 0.18<br />
Avg rev/visitor (B) $ 1.90 $ 0.30 $ 0.20 $ 1.27<br />
Total rev (A*B) 19,000<br />
1,800<br />
80<br />
20,880<br />
Annualized $ 6,935,000 $ 657,000 $ 29,200 $ 7,621,200<br />
Year 2 - Market Size 20,000<br />
Print Website Mobile Net<br />
Avg daily penetration 45% 36% 4% 85%<br />
Daily visitors (A) 9,000 -10% 7,200 20% 800 100% 17,000<br />
Avg pages/visit 36.0 -10% 10.5 75% 12.5 150% 24.1<br />
Avg ad rev/page $ 0.038 -5% $ 0.070 40% $ 0.060 50% $ 0.053<br />
Avg ad rev/visitor $ 1.37 $ 0.74 $ 0.75 $ 1.07<br />
Avg paid by visitor $ 0.30 0% $ - 0% $ - 0% $ 0.16<br />
Avg rev/visitor (B) $ 1.67 $ 0.74 $ 0.75 $ 1.30<br />
Total rev (A*B) 15,012<br />
5,292<br />
600<br />
20,904<br />
Annualized $ 5,479,380 $ 1,931,580 $ 219,000 $ 7,629,960<br />
Net Change -21% 194% 650% 0%<br />
Year 3 - Market Size 20,000<br />
Print Website Mobile Net<br />
Avg daily penetration 41% 38% 8% 86%<br />
Daily visitors (A) 8,100 -10% 7,560 5% 1,600 100% 17,260<br />
Avg pages/visit 32.4 -10% 12.6 20% 15.0 20% 22.1<br />
Avg ad rev/page $ 0.036 -5% $ 0.077 10% $ 0.072 20% $ 0.057<br />
Avg ad rev/visitor $ 1.17 $ 0.97 $ 1.08 $ 1.07<br />
Avg paid by visitor $ 0.30 0% $ - 0% $ - 0% $ 0.14<br />
Avg rev/visitor (B) $ 1.47 $ 0.97 $ 1.08 $ 1.28<br />
Total rev (A*B) 11,904<br />
7,335<br />
1,728<br />
20,967<br />
Annualized $ 4,344,991 $ 2,677,170 $ 630,720 $ 7,652,881<br />
Net Change -21% 39% 188% 0%<br />
Table 50 - Shift from print to print + non-print<br />
Note in the above example that the revenue growth of a daily maybe zero.<br />
Frankly, this may actually be good considering that print is declining rapidly.<br />
Further, the profitability of non-print is much higher than print so the overall<br />
profit margins may increase. Just consider this a conservative forecast.<br />
Managing the Team<br />
Next, we address how to get your entire team on board, and especially how to make<br />
your non-sales employees accountable to the overall goals of the company (increase<br />
revenue and profits). A wise saying, “if you can’t measure it, you can’t manage it.”<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182
Sales Team<br />
Revenue<br />
($ millions)<br />
Website<br />
(general)<br />
Email<br />
Newsletter<br />
Product Management Team<br />
Business<br />
Directory<br />
Classifieds<br />
(inc Banners)<br />
Food & Beverages $ 0.20 $ 0.20 $ 0.20 $ - 0.60<br />
Transportation $ 0.20 $ 0.15 $ 0.15 $ 0.15 0.65<br />
Real Estate $ 0.20 $ 0.10 $ 0.10 $ 0.20 0.60<br />
Misc Retail $ 0.20 $ 0.15 $ 0.25 $ 0.10 0.70<br />
Services & Other $ 0.20 $ 0.10 $ 0.30 $ 0.10 0.70<br />
Recruitment $ - $ - $ 0.10 $ 0.15 0.25<br />
Total Revenue $ 1.00 $ 0.70 $ 1.10 $ 0.70 3.50<br />
Table 51 - Sale/product management for mid-sized publications<br />
Total<br />
Internet Print<br />
$ 1.00<br />
$ 1.40<br />
$ 1.10<br />
$ 1.40<br />
$ 1.20<br />
$ 1.00<br />
$ 7.10<br />
In the above example, the sales team is directly accountable for their territory (or<br />
preferably category). Only your salespeople are calling on customers. Everyone<br />
else (print operations, technology people and even the newsroom) become de<br />
facto product managers, accountable for generating advertising inventory. This<br />
model is identical to that used by product companies such as Unilever, Procter<br />
& Gamble, etc. Until now, newspapers had only one product so this was not<br />
applicable.<br />
Results should be measurable and employees and managers should be<br />
accountable:<br />
Advertising inventory – assign matrix to each person/department:<br />
Marketing – average visitors per day<br />
Sales total revenue & revenue per impression<br />
Editorial average time on site (per visitor per day) & page views per visitor<br />
Version 1.01 – beta. Copyright 2010. <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong> 182<br />
Total<br />
Revenue<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$<br />
$ 1.60<br />
$ 2.05<br />
$ 1.70<br />
$ 2.10<br />
$ 1.90<br />
$ 1.25<br />
$ 10.60<br />
As you can see, the columns and rows add up to the newspaper’s revenue target.<br />
Take this a step further by adding profits and market share. This is the best<br />
model for closely aligning the goals of the various functions in your organization.<br />
Please see additional reports at the end of this chapter. Just as a reminder, free<br />
access to all reports and spreadsheets can be found at<br />
http://www.verican.com/book/.<br />
Summary<br />
Managing your advertising inventory is important, especially since it is likely that<br />
you will run low on inventory. Just a few years ago, creating advertising<br />
inventory was very expensive, but this has changed with the Internet and<br />
because most media have neglected local business (minnows).
Newspaper Advertising Report (Summarized)
Your Newspaper Advertising Inventory Report<br />
Email Newsletter Value Added<br />
Description<br />
Company<br />
Assumption<br />
Population Growth 1.0%<br />
Circulation 20,000<br />
Daily Online Visitors 4,000<br />
Online Visitor Growth 10.0%<br />
Total Email Newsletter Subcribers 5,000<br />
Email Subcriber Growth 100%<br />
Rev per Email/Page View (US$ for 8 ads/email sent) $ 0.050<br />
Rev per Email/Page View Annual Growth 50.0%<br />
Email Click Through Rate 10.0%<br />
Page Views Per Visitor 3.4<br />
Page Views Per Visitor Annual Growth 10.0%<br />
Ref Growth Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10<br />
Your Newspaper Market<br />
Community Size A 1% 100,000 100,083 100,167 100,250 100,334<br />
Circulation B 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000<br />
Daily Online Visitors C 10% 4,000 4,003 4,007 4,010 4,013<br />
% of Comm. Subscribing to Print Version D=B/A 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 19.9%<br />
% of Community Visiting Site Monthly E=C/A 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%<br />
Email Newsletter Product Revenues<br />
Total Email Newsletter Subscribers 100% 5,000<br />
Email Ad Space<br />
Frequency (monthly) D 30 30 30 30 30<br />
Total Emails Sent E=C*D 150,000 162,006 174,974 188,979 204,106<br />
Rev Per Email - 4 ads (US$) F 50% 0.050 0.052 0.054 0.056 0.059<br />
Email Revenue (US$) G=E*F 7,500 8,431 9,478 10,654 11,977<br />
Online Traffic Generated from Email Newsletter<br />
Email Click Through Rate H 10% 10.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 10.3%<br />
Visitors Per Month I=E*H 15,000 16,335 17,789 19,372 21,097<br />
Page Views Per Visitor J 10% 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5<br />
Total Page Views K=I*J 51,000 56,000 61,491 67,519 74,139<br />
Rev per Page View - 4 ads (US$) L 50% 0.050 0.052 0.054 0.056 0.059<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>reased Online Revenue (US$) M=K*L 2,550 2,914 3,331 3,807 4,350<br />
Total Revenue (US$) N=M+G 10,050 11,345 12,808 14,461 16,327<br />
Expenses<br />
Hosting + SG&A (30%) O 4,020 4,538 5,123 5,784 6,531<br />
EBIT (US$) P=N-O 6,030 6,807 7,685 8,676 9,796<br />
Net Profit Margin 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%<br />
5,400<br />
5,832<br />
6,299<br />
6,804
Your Newspaper Advertising Inventory Report<br />
Email Newsletter Value Added<br />
Description<br />
Company<br />
Assumption<br />
Population Growth 1.0%<br />
Circulation 20,000<br />
Daily Online Visitors 4,000<br />
Online Visitor Growth 10.0%<br />
Total Email Newsletter Subcribers 5,000<br />
Email Subcriber Growth 100%<br />
Rev per Email/Page View (US$ for 8 ads/email sent) $ 0.050<br />
Rev per Email/Page View Annual Growth 50.0%<br />
Email Click Through Rate 10.0%<br />
Page Views Per Visitor 3.4<br />
Page Views Per Visitor Annual Growth 10.0%<br />
Ref Growth Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10<br />
Your Newspaper Market<br />
Community Size A 1% 100,000 100,083 100,167 100,250 100,334<br />
Circulation B 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000<br />
Daily Online Visitors C 10% 4,000 4,003 4,007 4,010 4,013<br />
% of Comm. Subscribing to Print Version D=B/A 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 19.9%<br />
% of Community Visiting Site Monthly E=C/A 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%<br />
Email Newsletter Product Revenues<br />
Total Email Newsletter Subscribers 100% 5,000<br />
Email Ad Space<br />
Frequency (monthly) D 30 30 30 30 30<br />
Total Emails Sent E=C*D 150,000 162,006 174,974 188,979 204,106<br />
Rev Per Email - 4 ads (US$) F 50% 0.050 0.052 0.054 0.056 0.059<br />
Email Revenue (US$) G=E*F 7,500 8,431 9,478 10,654 11,977<br />
Online Traffic Generated from Email Newsletter<br />
Email Click Through Rate H 10% 10.0% 10.1% 10.2% 10.3% 10.3%<br />
Visitors Per Month I=E*H 15,000 16,335 17,789 19,372 21,097<br />
Page Views Per Visitor J 10% 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5<br />
Total Page Views K=I*J 51,000 56,000 61,491 67,519 74,139<br />
Rev per Page View - 4 ads (US$) L 50% 0.050 0.052 0.054 0.056 0.059<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>reased Online Revenue (US$) M=K*L 2,550 2,914 3,331 3,807 4,350<br />
Total Revenue (US$) N=M+G 10,050 11,345 12,808 14,461 16,327<br />
Expenses<br />
Hosting + SG&A (30%) O 4,020 4,538 5,123 5,784 6,531<br />
EBIT (US$) P=N-O 6,030 6,807 7,685 8,676 9,796<br />
Net Profit Margin 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 137 of 182<br />
5,400<br />
5,832<br />
6,299<br />
6,804
Chapter 11 - Financials<br />
Your newspaper’s focus should always be on the financials – and especially increasing<br />
profits. Set a profit margin target that is consistent with the industry (or likely where<br />
the industry is going). The 30-45% margins that newspapers experienced until the last<br />
few years were the result of the natural monopoly they developed in the community.<br />
These margins will return, but not until after the upcoming growth stage.<br />
Until recently, running a daily newspaper required a very expensive pressroom, which<br />
can run into the hundreds of millions of dollars, along with the ongoing costs of<br />
operating the press, running a newsroom, maintaining sales and distribution channels,<br />
etc. Entry costs were very high. Thus, most markets could not support more than one<br />
daily newspaper. The Internet has changed all of this. Now a daily newspaper (daily<br />
online, mobile and email plus a weekly or monthly print publication) can be run with as<br />
few as 1/100 th the number of people and 1/100 th of the startup costs.<br />
During the short term, newspapers should focus on staying profitable, even if only<br />
modestly. Most businesses run at profit margins of only 5% or so; thus, newspapers<br />
should be grateful if once 30% profit margins drop to only 10-15. Long term, profits<br />
will increase with sales growth. As your products become stars and cash cows, profits<br />
will increase with price increases and pulling back on sales and marketing related<br />
expenses.<br />
Start with a Blank Sheet of Paper<br />
Whether your newspaper is two or 200 years old, a valuable activity is to start with a<br />
blank sheet of paper and write out what your company looks like now and what you<br />
think it will look like in one, two, five and ten years. The key is to start simple. Just<br />
focus on the high-level revenue/cost drivers and then work your way backward into<br />
the details.<br />
We prefer to start with a ‘top-down’ approach, which helps you first determine what is<br />
possible. Then work backward to on an execution plan. For instance, in Chapter 5 -<br />
Place (Advertising Market) we found that including advertising, promotions, etc. the<br />
market potential is around $1000 for every man, woman and child. Thus, a 20,000population<br />
community has at least $20m adverting potential. We also found that typical<br />
small businesses should be spending 2x to 4x more than they are currently spending.<br />
Your local market is probably much larger than your staff may think.<br />
Revenue Per Consumer<br />
The revenue really comes from consumers. Customers (those who pay you, namely<br />
advertisers) are paying you to help make them successful by serving these consumers.<br />
The following graph illustrates the multiplier effect of A. increasing the number of<br />
consumers and B. increasing revenue per consumer. A*B = C (total newspaper<br />
revenue). The rate of growth should increase as your newspaper reaches the point of<br />
maximum market penetration at which time revenue growth will continue to increase,<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 138 of 182
ut the rate of increase will decline. This inflection point is a good opportunity to scale<br />
back on your sales and marketing expenses as this product will have risen from a star<br />
to become a cash cow.<br />
Figure 52 - Revenue per consumer multiplier effect<br />
Key Revenue Drivers<br />
The following chart demonstrates the key revenue drivers of a newspaper. An<br />
explanation of these drivers follows:<br />
Last Year This Year Year 2 Year 3 Year 4<br />
Circul ation (paid daily)<br />
# Subscribers 10,000 -10% 9,000 -10% 8,100 -10% 7,290 -10% 6,561<br />
Avg rev/subscriber $ 120 10% $ 132 0% $ 132 0% $ 132 0% $ 132<br />
Classifieds<br />
$ 1,200,000 -1% $ 1,188,000 -10% $ 1,069,200 -10% $ 962,280 -10% $ 866,052<br />
# Ads 20,000 -20% 16,000 0% 16,000 0% 16,000 0% 16,000<br />
Avg rev/ad $ 50 -15% $ 43 -15% $ 36 -15% $ 31 -15% $ 26<br />
Retail<br />
$ 1,000,000 -32% $ 680,000 -15% $ 578,000 -15% $ 491,300 -15% $ 417,605<br />
# Advertisers 200 -10% 180 25% 225 25% 281 25% 352<br />
Avg rev/advertiser $ 4,000 -10% $ 3,600 20% $ 4,320 15% $ 4,968 15% $ 5,713<br />
$ 800,000 -19% $ 648,000 50% $ 972,000 44% $ 1,397,250 44% $ 2,008,547<br />
To tal Revenue $ 3,000,000 -16% $ 2,516,000 4% $ 2,619,200 9% $ 2,850,830 15% $ 3,292,204<br />
Table 13 - Newspaper key revenue drivers<br />
Circulation (print – paid dailies): The quality of newspapers has declined substantially<br />
as newspapers cut their newsroom and replace this with feeds from wire services,<br />
decrease the number of pages and decrease the size of the pages. Concurrently, many<br />
newspapers are increasing the price of a subscription, essentially charging more while<br />
providing less. This will certainly result in a decline of print circulation, which will<br />
create downward pressure on the rates retail advertisers will be willing to pay. Likely,<br />
mounting print losses will be countered addition product degradation caused by<br />
additional cuts, including to the print frequency. The print newspaper will stabilize as a<br />
weekly (or possibly monthly) print product (with a daily online, mobile and email<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 139 of 182
edition). The key is to manage this print decline to ensure that circulation<br />
revenues/profits are maximized with little or no damage to retail advertisers.<br />
Classifieds: Revenue drivers, the number of ads and revenue per ad, have both<br />
decreased substantially. The multiplier effect has resulted in the plummeting of total<br />
classifieds revenue. California is a bellwether state for classifieds and newspapers in<br />
general. California publications were hardest hit by Craigslist (and other Internet<br />
classifieds alternatives include Oodle, Monster, Yahoo!, Google, etc.) and California<br />
was disproportionately hit with the 2009/2010 recession. Many of these newspapers<br />
have reported classifieds revenue declines upwards of 90% - and overall revenue<br />
declines exceeding 50%. While California has been hit particularly hard, all newspapers<br />
around the world will be significantly impacted.<br />
Retail advertising: While Wall Street seems to have recovered, Main Street is still<br />
suffering. Revenue in this category is also down. However, retail advertising is the only<br />
category where newspapers can focus their attention. Newspapers have the greatest<br />
control over this revenue driver. From another perspective, imagine you are the<br />
circulation manager. Everyday you think about how to increase circulation, but every<br />
attempt will likely result in a minimal impact. The cost/benefit analysis is easy: cost of<br />
the circulation campaign, estimated number of new subscribers generated and the<br />
estimated churn. Thus, one can quickly conclude that the number of print subscribers<br />
and the total circulation will inevitably decrease. Classifieds is in a similar situation,<br />
albeit more can be done to minimize the decline and possibly institute a modest<br />
turnaround (see Appendix C - Classifieds).<br />
Amongst circulation, classifieds and retail advertising, only retail advertising is the<br />
source of significant and controllable revenue growth. Furthermore, this revenue driver<br />
is ideal because the sale is not complex and there is an immediate and measurable<br />
benefit. The publisher, ad director and sales staff can institute immediate changes<br />
simply by each going out on 10-20 sales calls tomorrow.<br />
Tip: Avoid decreasing revenue per customer<br />
You have spent years building your company and now you are faced with significant<br />
downward pricing pressure. It is okay to reduce prices, just ensure that you maintain<br />
the same revenue per customer (and subscriber for that matter). The same strategy<br />
applies to print subscribers. To maintain the same circulation revenue per subscriber,<br />
offer incentives such as online access, coupons, discount cards, etc. Posting all print<br />
classified ads on your website is a way to increase the value provided to these<br />
advertisers without decreasing prices.<br />
Most important is to keep your retail advertisers at the same or greater monthly spend<br />
rate. Accomplish this by blending print, online and mobile/smart phone in special (see<br />
Chapter 6 - Pricing).<br />
Financials: Immediate Profit Impact<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 140 of 182
(Annual)<br />
1. <strong>Inc</strong>rease 2. <strong>Inc</strong>rease # of<br />
Revenue:<br />
Before Prices<br />
Customers<br />
Avg Rev/Cust $ 4,000 +10% $ 4,400 $ 4,400<br />
# Customers 250<br />
250 +10% 275<br />
Expenses:<br />
$ 1,000,000 $ 1,100,000 $ 1,210,000<br />
Direct/variable 35% 350,000<br />
385,000<br />
423,500<br />
Fixed costs 500,000<br />
500,000<br />
500,000<br />
Profit $ 150,000 $ 215,000 $ 286,500<br />
Profit <strong>Inc</strong>rease:<br />
Table 14 - Immediate profit impact<br />
43% 91%<br />
The table above illustrates how newspapers can nearly double profits by merely<br />
increasing prices and the number of customers by only 10%. To increase prices by<br />
10% do the following:<br />
1. New products: needed so you have a credible story with legitimate value<br />
added. For 10% (or more) extra, the new advertising package should includes a<br />
business directory listing (as well as other space on your website), a listing on<br />
one or more of your email newsletters and it should include mobile advertising<br />
both with banner ads and with your business.<br />
2. Media/sales kit: Ensure that you have a very attractive, better yet flawless,<br />
media kit. This reinforces your offering. Your salespeople should be fully<br />
trained on this offering and how to explain the features and, more importantly,<br />
the benefits of the new media offering. To ensure that you have buy-in from<br />
your sales team, make the revenue from the price increase commissionable or<br />
part of their bonus. A 10% price increase should result in a 10% commission<br />
(or more) commission increase. To retain customers and become enthusiastic<br />
about selling, they need to be motivated.<br />
3. Manage exceptions: Should advertisers complain, provide a clear explanation<br />
of how the benefits of the new advertising products far exceed the costs and<br />
point out the value that the newspaper provides to the local community<br />
(especially compared to alternative forms of advertising such as radio, TV,<br />
print business directories, direct mail, etc.). Point out that increase is only a<br />
small percentage of what should be the advertiser’s budget. See Chapter 5 -<br />
Place (Advertising Market). Appease particularly vocal advertisers with a<br />
discount that eliminates or reduces the increase but only for the first couple of<br />
months while they wait to see the results of the new products.<br />
Next institute a plan to increase the number of advertisers by 10%:<br />
1. Buy in from sales: Since a new advertiser drive is rolled out with your new<br />
products and media kit/sales campaign, it should be well received by your<br />
salespeople (who just had their commissions increased by 10% by the price<br />
increase implemented above).<br />
2. <strong>Inc</strong>rease customer base: With your new products, sales team should be able<br />
to increase the customer base. This example illustrated an only 10% increase.<br />
Focus on print business directory and direct mail advertisers since your<br />
newspaper now has competing products that are more effective and efficient<br />
and that reflect technology trends toward the Internet, email and mobile.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 141 of 182
Thus, as you can see from above a 10% increase in prices and a 10% increase in the<br />
customer base results in profits nearly doubling. This will have a tremendous effect on<br />
moral as employees can see that they are working for a successful company. Since<br />
success breeds success, the next step is to increase your sales team to maximize<br />
penetration of the local advertising base. Following this, the newspaper should use the<br />
same business model to raid the territory of publications in adjacent communities.<br />
Maintaining Profit Growth<br />
Now that your publication is on a path to success, focus on profit growth using these<br />
three levers (see table below):<br />
1. <strong>Inc</strong>rease number of customers<br />
2. Upsell existing customers to a higher package – that is, demonstrate the value<br />
of the advertising campaign and how their advertisers are typically advertising<br />
well below where they should and that the newspaper is the best place for all<br />
advertising dollars.<br />
3. The prices of packages should increase to reflect the increase in value (based<br />
on allocation of your advertising inventory) and market conditions such that<br />
you can increase revenue per impression. As the market share of your<br />
publication increases, pricing power will increase.<br />
Consider the following illustration that reflects the impact of only a 10% increase in<br />
each lever:<br />
(Annual) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5<br />
Average Package Price $5,000 10% $5,500 10% $6,050 10% $6,655 10% $7,321<br />
Average Package Level 1.00 10% 1.10 10% 1.21 10% 1.33 10% 1.46<br />
Average Rev/Customer $5,000 $6,050 $7,321 $8,858 $10,718<br />
# of Customers 200 10% 220 10% 242 10% 266 10% 293<br />
Total Advertising<br />
Expenses:<br />
$1,000,000 $1,331,000 $1,771,561 $2,357,948 $3,138,428<br />
Variable (35%) $350,000 $465,850 $620,046 $825,282 $1,098,450<br />
Fixed 500,000<br />
500,000<br />
500,000<br />
500,000<br />
500,000<br />
Profit (before taxes) $150,000 $365,150 $651,515 $1,032,666 $1,539,978<br />
143% 78% 59% 49%<br />
Table 15 - Small increase of many levers, substantial results<br />
As you can see, this approach increases your revenues and, more importantly, it<br />
significantly increases your profits. Of course, this table is overly simplified. Add<br />
additional detail as necessary. The importance of this is to identify your revenue levers<br />
and focus on increasing each of them and doing so consistently with the goal of<br />
consistently increasing profits.<br />
Breakeven point (Not Going Broke)<br />
Identifying and quickly reaching a breakeven point is the first part of your primary goal<br />
of not going broke. All costs are either fixed or variable. Variable, or direct, costs<br />
change proportionately with the increase (or decrease) in revenue. Fixed percentage<br />
sales commissions are a good example of a variable cost. Other variable costs include<br />
costs of processing orders, cost of graphic design for advertising, the cost of printing<br />
additional pages to accommodate more advertising, etc. Fixed costs, on the other hand,<br />
are costs that do not change with a change in revenue. The cost of owning a press as<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 142 of 182
well as the costs of printing only one publication each day would be considered fixed.<br />
Other fixed costs include the cost of your building, including basic maintenance such<br />
as heating/air conditioning, property taxes, security, etc. For the most part, the costs of<br />
your newsroom are fixed as are salaries of your management team (typically including<br />
benefits but not including commissions and bonuses). Interest is a cost that is pseudofixed<br />
cost.<br />
The most important part of not going broke is to have a clear understanding of your<br />
cash flow and especially your break-even point. Take all steps to stay above this point<br />
(that is to stay profitable). Consider the following table:<br />
Newspaper A Newspaper B<br />
Revenue $1,000,000 100% $1,000,000 100%<br />
Variable costs 350,000 35% 550,000 55%<br />
Contribution margin 650,000 65% 450,000 45%<br />
Fixed costs 500,000 300,000<br />
Profit $150,000 $150,000<br />
Breakeven point $769,231 $666,667<br />
Table 16 - High/low fixed costs comparison<br />
For Newspaper A, contribution margin, or the margin of revenue that contributes to<br />
fixed costs and profits, is 65%. Thus, for every $1 increase in revenue, $0.65 goes<br />
toward profits. The breakeven point of Newspaper A is $769,231 (fixed<br />
costs/contribution margin %). Thus, a higher than 23% revenue decline will result in<br />
this newspaper losing money. Newspaper B has the same revenue and profit such that<br />
revenue could decline by 33% before this publication would start losing money. Thus,<br />
Newspaper B is certainly in a better position to weather the storms that the industry is<br />
currently going through, but newspaper A can do better with significant increases in<br />
revenue. However, newspaper B is more nimble.<br />
As revenues increase, fixed costs have a tendency to increase. Newspapers expand their<br />
newsroom, build larger (often grander) facilities, increase employee compensation, etc.<br />
Lately, we have seen the opposite happen where, out of necessity to survive, fixed<br />
costs are decreasing. Newsrooms are shrinking; excess office space is sold, leases are<br />
not renewed or it is sublet; printing is outsourced, base pay is being cut and even<br />
furloughs are being enacted. Filing for bankruptcy reorganization is the ultimate means<br />
of reducing fixed costs. Under this program, management can renegotiate contracts<br />
and other obligations that often encompass fixed costs. Newspapers can walk away<br />
from printing facilities (and their enormous overhead) and, most importantly, debts<br />
can be renegotiated with lenders. According to economics theory, all costs are variable<br />
in the long run.<br />
Note: Better – high or low fixed costs?<br />
Is it better to have high fixed costs with the benefit of higher gross margins or to have<br />
low fixed costs but countered with a lower gross margin? ‘It depends’, of course. With<br />
the current revenue declines that newspapers have been experiencing and the<br />
uncertainty about the future, few newspaper executives would prefer to have high fixed<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 143 of 182
costs. Long term, assuming that your publication can consistently increase profits and<br />
manage revenue fluctuations, increasing fixed expenses in order to increase your<br />
contribution margin percentage makes sense because increases in revenue will yield<br />
higher profits. Taking on debt for expansion or acquisitions may also be justified,<br />
especially if interest rates are low, which essentially has a lower fixed cost (or lower<br />
cost of capital). Of course, time horizon must far enough to mitigate increases in the<br />
cost of debt due to inflation. Historically, interest rates have been quite high. It is<br />
possible that we will experience high interest rates in the near future.<br />
Until there is more certainty about the outlook of the industry and the economy it is<br />
probably best to minimize fixed costs and stay lean and nimble.<br />
Cash/Risk Management<br />
Be careful of providing credit terms. The cost of capital for a newspaper has never<br />
been higher. Get paid quickly, preferably in advance, even if you have to provide a<br />
discount or pay credit card fees. Charge late fees. Avoid paying sales commissions or<br />
bonuses until cash has been received. Be aggressive about writing down aged<br />
receivables so you do not distort your P&L/cash flow position. High-risk customers<br />
will be most willing to do business with you but carefully consider the cost of<br />
collection and the risk of loss. Preemptively weed out the deadbeat customers with<br />
aggressive credit terms. If a customer cannot pay within 30 days or so, then they will<br />
probably be a headache for you later.<br />
Cost/Cash Savings Suggestions<br />
• Emphasize non-print (Internet, email and mobile). These platforms provide very<br />
high incremental profits and very flexible<br />
• Pay for performance<br />
• Pursue user-generated content (such as having local businesspeople write stories<br />
but not advertorials)<br />
• Streamline and focus on sales: Minimize per-visit costs by having more visits with<br />
the same cost base<br />
• Jettison your pressroom, expensive buildings, etc.<br />
• Ditch most memberships (cost per sale of schmoozing is typically much higher<br />
than high-volume sales meetings plan)<br />
• Avoid long and expensive client outings, even meals. They take too long, are<br />
distracting and eliminate a “sense of urgency”<br />
• Get paid quickly. National advertisers demand payment terms upwards of 90 to<br />
120 days. They are running their company on your cash. Furthermore, your<br />
newspaper is absorbing additional default risk. While there may be little you can do<br />
to mitigate this risk, you do not need to extend comparable terms to your local<br />
advertisers. Most are unaware that these terms are available. Many will even pay in<br />
advance of services rendered. It may be better to provide a small discount for<br />
immediate payment. This is certainly a better choice than carrying risky receivables.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 144 of 182
• Pay commissions when cash is received. Of course, it is best to let your receivables<br />
clerk take care of most dunning, but salespeople should be dispatched to collect<br />
when necessary.<br />
Tip: Extending terms<br />
With respect to financing, newspapers have several distinct advantages: they can meet the customers<br />
in person to get a sense of their character, collection costs are lower and they have alternatives for<br />
collection (such as bartering for distressed debt). Newspapers can leverage this advantage by<br />
extending credit in order to get a sale – and likely discounting less.<br />
Also, pay sales executives their commission only upon receipt of payment and only if the sales<br />
executive is still employed with your publication. By placing part of the burden for extending debt<br />
and collection on the salesperson there is sense of obligation on the salesperson and they certainly<br />
want to stay with your newspaper so they can collect their commissions.<br />
Employee <strong>Inc</strong>entives<br />
<strong>Inc</strong>entivize everyone in the organization to create what is most important: profits.<br />
Commission/<br />
Bonus<br />
Matrix<br />
Outside sales 70-100% New customers/revenue growth<br />
Inside sales 30%+ Revenue growth<br />
Management 50% Excess profits<br />
Everyone else 10-30% Excess profits<br />
* % of their targeted total compensation<br />
Table 17 - Employee incentives<br />
Manage by Objectives (and accountability)<br />
The publisher should have control over the entire process. Communicate the status<br />
with daily or weekly advertising inventory reports with comparisons to targets. “If you<br />
cannot measure it, you cannot manage it.”<br />
1. Share revenue/profitability data with employees, especially during bad times<br />
2. Tie compensation to individual and company performance<br />
3. When the time comes, use excess profits for expansion (which will keep others from<br />
thinking that you are making too much money). Goal: short-term survival, mediumterm<br />
capture local market share, long-term expansion and high margins<br />
Profit: Operating, Accounting and Economic<br />
The table below illustrates the different types of profits. Operating profits is similar to<br />
net cash flow (though often does not include capitalization of costs or recognizing<br />
depreciation or amortization of these costs). An accounting profit takes into account<br />
costs today for which there is a future benefit. Note that a company can have an<br />
accounting profit but be cash flow negative – and possibly forced in bankruptcy. An<br />
economic profit accounts for the cost of capital and opportunity costs (for instance<br />
when you the owner do not pay yourself a market wage).<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 145 of 182
Missed Target Stretch<br />
# Customers 250 10% 275 20% 300<br />
Avg. rev/customer $ 4,000 10% $ 4,400 20% $ 4,800<br />
Total revenue $ 1,000,000 $ 1,210,000 $ 1,440,000<br />
Direct/variable costs 35% 350,000 423,500 504,000<br />
Contribution margin 650,000 786,500 936,000<br />
Fixed costs/overhead 500,000 500,000 500,000<br />
EBIT 150,000 286,500 436,000<br />
Interest 100,000 100,000 100,000<br />
EBT 50,000 186,500 336,000<br />
Cost of capital 100,000 100,000 100,000<br />
Economic profits $ (50,000) $ 86,500 $ 236,000<br />
Bonus pool 50% $ - $ 43,250 $ 118,000<br />
Table 18 - Bonus pool after all costs<br />
In the long run, it is best to pay bonuses after accounting for all costs (including<br />
economic costs). Pay yourself a reasonable wage, but do not worry about paying out a<br />
significant portion of the profits. Your gain is in the equity – as you will see in<br />
subsequent chapters.<br />
Tip: Managing knowledge workers<br />
Little has been accomplished during the past 10 years. Inflation and adjusted for risk,<br />
the stock market is significantly down. In spite of (or because of) technologies from<br />
the 90s, we are really not much better off. I attribute this to noise caused by the<br />
Internet and the gigantic distraction and waste of time it has imposed on employees<br />
and management.<br />
In pre-Internet days, one would go to the office for an eight-hour day and remain<br />
relatively uninterrupted (other than from the annoying co-worker who must boast<br />
about little Jonny’s amazing achievement of the day). Today, however, workers are<br />
barraged with distractions from chat, email, social networks, news updates, etc. Their<br />
workspace is infected with what in pre-Internet times would be comparable to spread<br />
across their desk newspapers, magazines, books and a Nintendo, while a telephone is<br />
glued to one ear making personal telephone calls, leaving only a small portion of their<br />
time and attention for actual work. Such distractions reduce the time to focus on the<br />
project or task at hand from a couple of hours to only a few minutes. In fact, the<br />
temptation to check news, email, etc. can even keep your employees being able to<br />
focus at all.<br />
Most employees are not dishonest; rather many are just addicted to the Internet. The<br />
best solution that we have found is to place in the break room a few computers that<br />
are for personal use and then insist that personal computer use be limited to these<br />
workstations. The employee’s office workstation is for business use only. Have<br />
employees remove all chat, email and any personal applications. To audit, check in<br />
(preferably unannounced), review their work plan and then take over their keyboard<br />
and mouse to compare work at hand with what you see on their computer. It only<br />
takes a few minutes to review the documents they are working on, each tab of the<br />
browsers they have open, any chat sessions (make sure they remove non-employees<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 146 of 182
from company chat), check web browser history and even check their email for<br />
personal accounts or personal use of company email. You may be surprised to find the<br />
employees that seem to be hard at work are actually doing anything but work. They<br />
may even be looking for another job or actually working on another job while on your<br />
payroll. We know of no other way to remove the gigantic distraction that has infected<br />
many workplaces.<br />
The same should also apply to you and your management. The newsroom has a<br />
genuine need for real-time content from the Internet; however, most management<br />
should be either selling or working on strategic projects. Some of the best<br />
entrepreneurs and businesspeople I know completely avoid the Internet during the<br />
workday (and even during non-work time). A common reason is that if there is<br />
something important, their staff will let them know.<br />
Summary<br />
The financial structure of a newspaper needs to be updated to reflect multiple products.<br />
Emphasize profit increases and incentivize employees to deliver what is best for the<br />
company.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 147 of 182
Worksheet:<br />
1. Break even<br />
2. Immediate impact<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 148 of 182
Chapter 12 - Valuation/Exit Strategy<br />
Now that you have put considerable resources into building your business, it is<br />
time reap the full benefit. The objective in profit-oriented business is not actually to<br />
maximize profits; rather it is to maximize shareholder wealth. If you are not a<br />
significant shareholder, stock options are a means of gaining value from the<br />
increase in company value that you help create.<br />
There is significant data about the value of newspapers. Over the years, there have<br />
been thousands of newspaper transactions for billions of dollars with more than a<br />
hundred acquirers. Lately, few transactions have taken place, but this is mostly<br />
because of the poor performance of the industry. Your publication can be different.<br />
Company Valuation<br />
The chart below is a representative of complex valuation formulas such as risk<br />
adjusted net present value of future cash flows. Real valuations include additional<br />
considerations such as risk-adjusted rates of return, expected growth and<br />
profitability, strategic significance, ancillary value created by the acquirer, etc.<br />
Further, adjust for tangible assets: cash, marketable securities and accounts<br />
receivable less short and long-term debt. Nevertheless, using a table like this is a<br />
great starting point to valuing your business. We especially like it because of the<br />
simplicity of estimating values. It keeps the clutter and noise out of what could be<br />
complex formulas, which would distract from the most important message: high<br />
revenue growth and high profit margins significantly increase the value of your<br />
company.<br />
Valuation Matrix<br />
EBITDA<br />
(Profit)<br />
Margin<br />
Revenue Multiplier<br />
50% 2.5x 3.3x 4.0x 4.8x 5.6x 6.3x 7.1x 7.9x 8.7x 9.4x 10.2x<br />
45% 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.4 7.1 7.8 8.5 9.2<br />
40% 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.5 5.1 5.7 6.3 6.9 7.5 8.2<br />
35% 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.4 5.0 5.5 6.1 6.6 7.1<br />
30% 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.7 6.1<br />
25% 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.1<br />
20% 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.1<br />
15% 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1<br />
10% 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0<br />
5% 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0<br />
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%<br />
Revenue Growth<br />
Table 53 - Common valuation table<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 149 of 182
The cells represent revenue multipliers. Valuing a company based on revenue rather than<br />
profits is often preferred because revenues, unlike profits, are less volatile and not as easy<br />
to manipulate. This is particularly true with smaller, high-growth companies. The left<br />
column is EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization),<br />
essentially free cash flow before taxes and capital costs (interest).<br />
To determine the value of a company simply find the appropriate revenue multiplier and<br />
multiply this by the current revenue. For instance, if your company’s profit margin is 25%<br />
and your revenue growth is 50%, then use 5.1 as a multiplier. Thus, if your revenue is $1<br />
million, then the value of your company is somewhere around $1m * 5.1 = $5.1m.<br />
Consider another example of two companies with the same revenue but one is failing while<br />
the other is succeeding. The successful company is worth twenty times more than the<br />
failing company.<br />
Failing/Stagnant Succeeding<br />
Profit margin 5% 35%<br />
Revenue growth 5% 40%<br />
Revenue multiplier 0.3 6.1<br />
Revenue $1m $1m<br />
Valuation $300,000 $6,100,000<br />
Table 19 - Company comparison<br />
Newspaper and Newspaper Company Valuations<br />
The same applies to newspapers, in fact. The chart below coincides with many historical<br />
newspaper transactions and it is consistent with the value of publicly traded newspaper<br />
companies (enterprise value = market cap plus expected value of debt). Businesses that<br />
have declining revenue and declining profits are not worth much. In fact, the value may<br />
actually be less than zero as there could be shutdown costs such as severances, taxes, etc. –<br />
as is reflected in the current value of newspapers and newspaper companies. However,<br />
only modest revenue growth and profit margins have a dramatic affect on the value of the<br />
company, not to mention the moral of the organization.<br />
Profit<br />
Growth<br />
Multiplier<br />
Revenue<br />
Valuation<br />
Newspaper<br />
Valuation<br />
1992 2000 2008/2009 Year +1 Year +2 Year +3<br />
NonNonNonNonNonNon-<br />
Print print Print print Print print Print print Print print Print print<br />
30% -% 30% -% 10% 10% 10% 50% 10% 50% 10% 50%<br />
10% -% 10% -% 0% 10% 0% 50% 0% 50% 0% 50%<br />
2.4 - 2.4 - 0.4 .8 0.4 6.0 0.4 6.0 0.4 8.0<br />
$8.0 $0 $10.0 $0 $8.0 $0.5 $7.0 $1.0 $7.0 $1.5 $7.0 $2.2<br />
$19.2 $0 $24.0 $0 $3.2 $0.4 $2.8 $6.0 $2.8 $9.0 $2.8 $17.6<br />
$19.2m $24.0m $3.6m $8.8m $11.8m $20.4m<br />
Table 20 - Newspaper valuation example 36<br />
36 By 2012 newspaper increases advertising market share by approximately 1% (percentage point).<br />
Revenue multiplier for print = 0.3 to 0.5 and Internet = 5 to 10x, Internet revenue is worth 10 to 20x print.<br />
Source: Various examples collected from Lehman Brothers 2008 Newspaper Fact Book. Revenues are<br />
estimates based on top-down (market share). Assumes zero growth in 2009 Internet advertising revenue<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 150 of 182
Your Startup Newspaper Valuation<br />
The following chart illustrates how a newspaper that you start or a low-revenue<br />
newspaper that you purchase could become very valuable. The key to success is having<br />
the right business model with the right story - stay or get profitable and focus on<br />
revenue growth.<br />
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4<br />
# of Advertisers 67 105 143 200<br />
Avg. Rev/Advertiser $ 3,000 $ 3,800 $ 4,200 $ 5,000<br />
Total Revenue 201,000 399,000 600,600 1,000,000<br />
Direct/Variable Costs 55% 110,550 219,450 330,330 550,000<br />
Contribution Margin 90,450 179,550 270,270 450,000<br />
Fixed/Overhead 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000<br />
Profit (EBITDA) $ (109,550) $ (20,450) $ 70,270 $ 250,000<br />
Profit Margin -55% -5% 12% 25%<br />
Revenue Growth 99% 51% 67%<br />
Revenue Multiplier 1.0 1.0 2.5<br />
5.0<br />
Valuation<br />
(Multiplier * Revenue) $ 201,000 $ 399,000 $ 1,501,500 $ 5,000,000<br />
Table 21 - Creating a $5m newspaper<br />
Selling Your Newspaper<br />
Currently there is an abundant supply of newspapers and few buyers. Further, many<br />
newspaper companies are in receivership from the banks and other institutions that<br />
lent them money. This may be discouraging if you want to sell; however, even modest<br />
revenue growth and modest profits far exceed the current industry norm. There are<br />
dozens of newspaper companies and private equity firms that would be eager to<br />
purchase your publication to demonstrate to their low-performing properties what is<br />
possible. A bidding war could ensue for your publications as competitors fight to win<br />
while depriving the competition of your publication.<br />
For instance, consider the value your publication would be to McClatchy, a publicly<br />
traded newspaper company. Like most newspaper companies, their revenue and profits<br />
are declining and show no sign of improvement. In fact, they have come very close to<br />
filing for bankruptcy. Thus, their revenue multiplier is less than 1/10 th of what it was a<br />
few years ago; their investors have lost more than $8b in value. Only a minor effect of<br />
purchasing a successful newspaper like yours could have an effect that would create<br />
hundreds of millions, possibly billions of dollars in value for investors and help secure<br />
jobs for company management as well as their more than 10,000 employees.<br />
2005 2009/2010<br />
Stock price $74 $5.45<br />
Shares outstanding 84m 84m<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 151 of 182
Market capitalization $6.2b $460m<br />
Debt 37 3.0b 440m<br />
Valuation (enterprise value) $9.2b $900m<br />
Revenue $1.2b $1.2b<br />
Revenue multiplier 7.7 0.75<br />
Table 22 - McClatchy valuation<br />
On the other hand, there are distinct advantages of not having your newspaper be part<br />
of a larger group. As the owner of the newspaper, you will have better success with<br />
advertisers, most of whom are fellow entrepreneurs.<br />
Tip: Investment banker/broker<br />
The money spent on an investment banker or broker is well spent. A good banker will<br />
get you a better price and better terms than you will get by brokering the deal yourself.<br />
They should also keep the legal costs down and will get you to a rapid solution while<br />
allowing you to stay focused on running your company, thus maximizing its value. A<br />
good investment banker will shop your publication to likely suitors and will get a value<br />
based on your value to the acquirer (see McClatchy example above).<br />
A word of caution about investment bankers: to them you are a one-time sale; they<br />
have a strong incentive to maintain a positive relationship with acquirers with whom<br />
they may do many transactions. Furthermore, they typically make most, possibly all, of<br />
their money only if a transaction happens. Thus, they want the sale to happen quickly<br />
otherwise, they will receive little or no compensation. Consider the following: an<br />
investment banker that charges 3% will make $150,000 for completing a $5m deal.<br />
However, by working extra hard, waiting several months and taking a gamble that the<br />
deal may fall through, they may be able to make a $5.5m sale. While this is almost<br />
$500,000 extra for you, it is only $15,000 (or 10%) more for your investment banker.<br />
Note: Timing is everything<br />
One newspaper entrepreneur I know started and ran newspaper in a resort town. For<br />
more than five years his business floundered – revenues grew slowly and his<br />
publication barely broke even. This drastically changed when he hired as a sales<br />
executive a retired advertising agency executive who had moved to the area and<br />
become bored. Sales and profits increased significantly and his new sales executive<br />
pushed him very hard to improve the product.<br />
One day he said that the sales executive did not show up for work, which was very<br />
unusual as he was a very reliable employee. The second day that his star sales executive<br />
did not show up and did not answer telephone calls the publisher went over to his to<br />
see if there was a problem. Through the window, he could see that the sales executive<br />
was lying on the ground having died from what was later determined to be a heart<br />
37 In 2009, McClatchy made an offer for outstanding debt that amounted to approximately $0.22 per dollar<br />
($0.60 cash plus $0.16 reissued debt). Thus, for this purpose McClatchy’s $2b in debt is valued at $440m<br />
($2b * .22).<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 152 of 182
attack. The silver lining to the story is that a few weeks later he sold his newspaper for<br />
top dollar.<br />
Starting a Newspaper<br />
Never in 400 years of the history of newspapers has there been a better time to start or<br />
purchase a newspaper. There is an unlimited supply of newspapers for sale, many are<br />
closing down and many are starting. The capital required to start and run a daily<br />
newspaper (daily online, email and mobile + weekly or monthly print) newspaper is<br />
likely less than 1/100 th of what it was just a couple decades ago when a daily<br />
newspaper required tens even hundreds of millions of dollars for a pressroom and<br />
related equipment as well as hundreds or even a thousand or more employees.<br />
Previously, newspapers were very large operations with high barriers to entry.<br />
Figure 54: Linotype machines created cast type for newspaper printing. Newspapers often<br />
had several such machines, which required a team of operators and technicians.<br />
It is not difficult to update your daily online/mobile edition and create a quality weekly<br />
or monthly print edition. We have customers with only a few employees or even only<br />
one owner/operator that run daily online newspapers with mobile, daily email<br />
newsletters, etc. Technology advances have created an enormous opportunity for<br />
fledging entrepreneurs.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 153 of 182
In fact, a February 2010 New York Times article pointed out that Palo Alto, California<br />
has three free weekly publications 38 - and this is for a city with a population of only<br />
60,000 that also has two large of the largest metro daily publications in the US as well<br />
as several alternative publications. In case you do not know, Palo Alto is the base of<br />
numerous venture capital firms and the origin of many Internet companies such as<br />
Google, Yahoo!, etc. It is the center of the “Silicon Valley.” In this article they also<br />
pointed out that Knight Ridder had purchased a small cluster of these publications for<br />
$25m – only 10 years from their founding.<br />
Purchasing a Newspaper<br />
There is no better time than now to purchase a newspaper. Valuations are the lowest in<br />
history. Many newspapers are selling for almost nothing just so the owner can<br />
eliminate the potential liability. Holding companies consider newspapers to be a drag<br />
on performance. Further, many newspaper companies are divesting themselves of their<br />
smaller publications so they can focus on the larger publications, which are often in<br />
significant distress. Thus, profitable properties, often located on valuable real estate,<br />
are trading for as little as 1/10 th of what they were just a few years ago.<br />
Financing<br />
It is quite possible to start a newspaper $100,000 – or even far less for those who are<br />
resourceful and willing to put in a lot of sweat equity. A great way to raise money is to<br />
start with non-print (website, mobile, email newsletters, etc.), then to raise money for a<br />
print run, pre-sell the advertising to local businesses for the year and at a discount.<br />
Many businesses want a local publication because they are disgruntled with large daily<br />
newspaper. Combine a few pre-paid accounts with seed money from a few angels and<br />
possibly a small bank loan or credit card debt and you could be up and running very<br />
quickly.<br />
Tip: Using stock as a tool to hire and retain key employees<br />
Getting employees excited about your new publication may be difficult if you cannot<br />
pay well up front. However, a bit of creating financing could resolve this. It is best to<br />
pay generous commissions and bonuses to employees rather than to give away equity<br />
(which is where you will get your big payoff). Nevertheless, one easy way to give<br />
employees a bit of the equity is to carve out part of the company’s stock in the form of<br />
stock options, say 10-20%. Use a low strike price, maybe $1m. Then provide the<br />
employees stock options that vest over a period of time (five years with a one-year cliff<br />
is popular). A key employee with a 5% stock option stake could earn $200,000 if the<br />
company sells at $5m. 39<br />
Note: Newspaper companies selling newspapers<br />
38<br />
Helft, Miguel. “In a country of monopoly newspapers, Palo Alto is awash in competition.” The New<br />
York Times. 26 Feb. 2010. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/28/us/28sfnewspaper.html?pagewanted=1<br />
(accessed 4 Mar. 2010)<br />
39<br />
$5m selling price minus $1m strike price = $4m. 5% of $4m = $200,000. Check with your accountant or<br />
attorney.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 154 of 182
Newspaper companies can sell a publication in distress to a fledging entrepreneur by<br />
financing with a modest down payment with the balance in securitized debt. The new<br />
owner keeps 100% of the equity. Receiving a market rate in full and with interest is the<br />
objective, of course. Should the new owner default, then foreclose (possibly forcing the<br />
property into bankruptcy), fix up and resell. Implemented properly this should be an<br />
arms-length sale, which means you can immediately book the capital gain.<br />
Valuation of your Advertising Customer<br />
Now that you understand the basic concepts of valuations, the following is an<br />
interesting means of taking this same concept to your advertisers. Refer back to Figure<br />
13 – Restaurant Advertising Budget in Chapter 5 – Place (Advertising Market). There<br />
you find the impact on revenues and earnings of spending 2% of revenue on<br />
advertising. The impact this has on the valuation of the restaurant (or any business, for<br />
that matter) is remarkable. The estimated value of your advertiser’s company has<br />
increased from $422,000 to more than $700,000, a $278,000 or 67% increase. If you<br />
feel uneasy about pressuring business people to spend more on advertising, this should<br />
help you sleep better at night.<br />
REFER TO<br />
Low/No Advertising<br />
FIGURE 13<br />
Advertising Campaign<br />
Monthly revenue $ 50,250 $ 53,326<br />
Revenue (annual) $ 603,000 $ 639,912<br />
EBITDA/profit % 10.3% 12.8%<br />
Growth * 5.0% 11.4%<br />
Revenue multiplier ** 0.7 1.1<br />
Company valuation ** $ 422,100 $ 703,903<br />
* Assumed 5% annual growth without advertising<br />
** From Figure 30 - Valuation table<br />
*** Revenue x revenue multiplier<br />
Table 55 - Valuation of advertising customer<br />
Summary<br />
There has never been a better time to start or purchase a newspaper. The startup and<br />
capital costs are low and creative financing is well within reach of resourceful<br />
entrepreneurs. Moreover, owning a newspaper has a unique advantage in that it is one<br />
of the most liquid business investments available. There are dozens of newspaper<br />
companies and holding companies that will pay a significant amount of money for<br />
successful properties.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 155 of 182
Worksheet<br />
Complete the following to forecast the value of your newspaper:<br />
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4<br />
# of Advertisers 67 105<br />
143<br />
200<br />
Avg. Rev/Advertiser $ 3,000 $ 3,800 $ 4,200 $ 5,000<br />
Total Revenue 201,000 399,000 600,600 1,000,000<br />
Direct/Variable Costs 55% 110,550 219,450 330,330 550,000<br />
Contribution Margin 90,450 179,550 270,270 450,000<br />
Fixed/Overhead 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000<br />
Profit (EBITDA) $ (109,550) $ (20,450) $ 70,270 $ 250,000<br />
Profit Margin -55% -5% 12% 25%<br />
Revenue Growth 99% 51% 67%<br />
Revenue Multiplier 1.0 1.0<br />
2.5<br />
5.0<br />
Valuation<br />
(Multiplier * Revenue) $ 201,000 $ 399,000 $ 1,501,500 $<br />
5,000,000<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 156 of 182
Chapter 13 - Summary and Getting<br />
Started<br />
Getting started is likely easier than you may think. Start with a clear plan and<br />
communicate this plan to your management team and employees. By executing<br />
according to this plan your publication will turn around within a matter of a few weeks.<br />
You and your team will sleep better at night and you will be able to enjoy the benefits<br />
of success. As you can see at the end of this chapter, the $5 million (or more) pot of<br />
gold at the end of this rainbow is attainable.<br />
The following is a summary of each major phase:<br />
Overall Vision<br />
Your newspaper is a valuable entity for credible news and a source of effective<br />
advertising as well as marketing solutions for local businesses. Your content (including<br />
advertising) is built on a model that targets local readers and entices, possibly compels,<br />
them to visit your entity at least one time per day.<br />
Platforms and Components<br />
Platforms<br />
Print<br />
Clarify the current and plan for your print products. A forecast is important because<br />
circulation will decline along with the willingness for readers to pay for the printed<br />
copy. The distribution area of your print publication will likely contract, especially if it<br />
is beyond your core market. Further, while you will continue to be a daily<br />
online/mobile publication, it will likely be necessary to reduce print frequency.<br />
Nevertheless, in the near future we do not advise reducing print frequency to less than<br />
monthly (but preferably weekly).<br />
Web<br />
This is the platform of the present and the future. It is efficient and effective and<br />
provides significant growth opportunities as well as alternatives to your competition -<br />
print yellow pages, radio, television, direct mail, etc.<br />
Mobile/Wireless<br />
Soon this will be the platform of choice for your readers and advertisers. With current<br />
technologies (namely mobile phone applications of which the Apple iPhone<br />
dominates), it is possible to have the entire newspaper with you at all times. Rather<br />
than reading the newspaper in one or two settings, readers will consume the newspaper<br />
throughout the day. Advertising, especially coupons, discounts such as lunch and<br />
dinner specials, are very convenient and can even be time sensitive (such as good for<br />
that day only). Mobile will propel newspapers into a new and long-lasting era of<br />
growth.<br />
Email Newsletters<br />
While we do not formally classify this as a platform, it is worth mentioning because of<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 157 of 182
the value it has created for web and mobile platforms and because it is a valuable<br />
advertising medium.<br />
Components<br />
News/Editorial<br />
This component also includes calendar, weather and personals. Little will change with<br />
news coverage except that it will likely contain video and will have podcasts as an<br />
optional distribution channel. Comments, ratings and other user-generated input will<br />
enhance the news. This and user/traffic data will help the newsroom identify the<br />
desired content of the community and the optimal method and timing of delivery.<br />
Classifieds<br />
With Internet and photo-enhanced classifieds delivered on web, mobile and yes print,<br />
the volume of classifieds will far exceed the pre-Internet era. Print classifieds revenue<br />
will likely plateau; however, web and mobile classifieds provides substantial and highly<br />
targeted growth opportunities. Classifieds traffic is some of the most valuable space for<br />
banner advertisements; thus in a few years it is possible that the overall value of<br />
classifieds will exceed pre-Internet days.<br />
Business Directory<br />
The print yellow page market is collapsing and search engines only partially fill this<br />
vacuum. The technologies and convenience of a multiplatform offering provide a<br />
unique opportunity for newspapers to sweep this market.<br />
Table 23 - Recommended newspaper platforms and components<br />
Pricing and Promotion<br />
Several companies can deploy all of the above platforms and components within just a<br />
few weeks. Enhanced your pricing model to include packaged-based pricing and back<br />
this with a professionally created and printed media kit.<br />
Competition<br />
Stop promoting Google, Yahoo!, Monster, etc. They are your competition not your<br />
friends.<br />
Market<br />
Even markets with a declining population, the local advertising opportunity is big,<br />
growing and significantly underserved. Further, your competition is in serious trouble.<br />
Focus<br />
Removing distractions is critical to building your business. If possible, outsource your<br />
printing (possibly even shutting down your print facility… It is a sunk cost). At all<br />
costs, avoid distractions and the expense of building technologies. While technologies<br />
are interesting and important to your business, it is a colossal distraction. The effects of<br />
this distraction ripple throughout your organization as you and your staff waste time<br />
studying, discussing and analyzing these technologies rather than spending time selling.<br />
Circulation and classifieds revenue are important but not your focus. If applicable,<br />
delegate this to your managers and limit the time spent on this by you and your staff to<br />
a few minutes during your weekly meetings. Aside from a few improvements, the only<br />
way to improve these functions is by increasing your retail-advertising base. This<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 158 of 182
expansion will make it necessary to expand your newsroom. Circulation and classifieds<br />
improvement will follow.<br />
Immediate Action Plan<br />
Stop the Hemorrhaging<br />
Eliminate any unnecessary positions (especially those who are not in sales or<br />
accountable to sales). Keep close track of cash. If possible, personally sign all checks.<br />
End non-sales-related bonuses, perquisites, etc. If you must file for bankruptcy<br />
reorganization, do so early. This is particularly advantageous for privately owned<br />
publications because you will likely keep 100% of your entity, which is far more<br />
valuable than any assets that could be lost. Salvage your cash and create a workout plan<br />
that your creditors (as well as employees) are be comfortable with. If executed properly,<br />
this may actually be favorable to creditors.<br />
Tip: Recommended reading<br />
“Profits Aren’t Everything, They’re the Only Thing: No-Nonsense Rules from the<br />
Ultimate Contrarian and Small Business Guru”, by George Cloutier. This is a good<br />
book on turning around a small business, especially one that is privately or family<br />
owned.<br />
First Few Weeks<br />
Everything about your newspaper – product, marketing, materials, business cards, etc.<br />
– should reflect quality and frugality but not cheapness.<br />
Retail-advertising sales is your primary profit driver. Now it is time to execute on your<br />
plan. First, eliminate any costs and reassign any resources that are not core to this<br />
focus. Closely evaluate expenditures not focused on this direction. This may include<br />
eliminating position. Ideally, affected employees can be retrained to fit in your new<br />
model. They may make good sales executives or sales assistants. The best plan follows:<br />
Plan for First Week<br />
Monday/Tuesday<br />
a) Final layoff (if necessary) 40.<br />
b) Rally the troops! Present/sell your new business plan to remaining employees (see<br />
sample presentation slides at http://www.verican.com/book/). Management should<br />
have a clear presentation of where the company is headed, how it will get there and<br />
how everyone will benefit by helping it get there. This is a great time to rollout new<br />
products (new website, mobile, etc.) Update your organization chart to reflect the<br />
focus on retail sales. Employees should receive basic training so they can immediately<br />
start on their new assignments.<br />
40 Monday is a much better day for layoffs than is Friday. Letting people go on Friday results in all<br />
employees (including those who were not let go) spending the weekend worrying. Monday afternoon is<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 159 of 182
Wednesday<br />
Inside sales starts on 50-100 phone calls building your database, creating awareness<br />
and setting appointments (8-15 per day).<br />
Outside sales should have 4-8 prescheduled appointments each day plus walk-ins for<br />
a total of 10-20 customer-facing meetings per day (see Chapter 8 - Selling).<br />
Thursday<br />
Report results. Celebrate the small accomplishments such as achieving call/meeting<br />
targets (even if no sales have closed). Make sure that everyone knows that retail sales is<br />
the top priority. This is where there is the best opportunity for advancement.<br />
Friday<br />
More sales. Get the numbers on the board. If the call/meeting targets have been met,<br />
then take everyone out for happy hour. This is a new company.<br />
Saturday/Sunday<br />
Check email, update marketing materials and plan for the next week<br />
Following Monday<br />
With new products, announce a 10-20% price increase for existing customers. This<br />
should be supported with a media kit that clearly defines the benefits that the<br />
advertiser is receiving from print + non-print (online banner ads, business<br />
directory/Internet yellow pages, email newsletter, mobile, etc.) By this time, the sales<br />
executives should be comfortable explaining to customers the features and benefits of<br />
your new products such that no advertisers will be lost.<br />
Table 24- Near-term schedule<br />
Selling<br />
The business model for selling is simple. This example is worth repeating:<br />
Per Day<br />
Meetings (7-9 out of 15-20 appointments<br />
& walk-ins) 8<br />
Average close rate (meetings only) 25%<br />
New sales or upsells 2<br />
Average revenue per sale (annual ~$200/month) 2,500<br />
Annual revenue increase (one day selling) $ 5,000<br />
Table 25 - Daily call/revenue target<br />
Consider each component. Removing distractions and having good support (including<br />
an inside salesperson) will increase the number of meetings per day. The right pricing<br />
model, media kit and spec ads will also increase your close rate and the revenue per sale.<br />
Periodic (preferably monthly) upsell until your local business are spending an adequate<br />
amount on advertising, 100% of which is with your organization. Use this model as<br />
you expand by hiring salespeople and sales support. You, the publisher or owner, will<br />
always have the most meetings, the highest close rate and the highest revenue per close.<br />
best because the employee can begin looking for a job the very next day. Likewise, concerns of the<br />
employees who are retained can be addressed immediately – especially if a plan for improvement is<br />
immediately implemented.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 160 of 182
Now consider from the Valuations section in Chapter 12 - Valuation/Exit Strategy that<br />
a high growth, high profit margin company is worth five or more times revenues. This<br />
means that the approximately $5000 in new revenues gained from each day of selling is<br />
worth $25,000 in company value to you and your investors (in addition to the<br />
accumulation of profits and the valuation impact to existing revenues). That is more<br />
than $3000 per hour of your time. Spending only 20 hours per week will net you $6<br />
million per year, which is more than most doctors, lawyers and CEOs make. Are you<br />
thinking of spending tomorrow golfing? Is it worth $25,000? 1.5 hours of email and<br />
Internet surfing each week costs about $25,000. Starting work 30 minutes earlier and<br />
finishing 30 minutes later is worth $3000 each day. The time burglars are in your office.<br />
Avoid them by going directly from home to your first sales meeting in the morning,<br />
followed by a few more meetings will probably gain you another $3000 each day and it<br />
will demonstrate to your organization the importance of selling.<br />
Note: Difference of private ownership<br />
Private ownership, the foundation of capitalism, is the best way to unlock the true potential of a<br />
person. The results above would not happen from an employee of a government/SOE (state owned<br />
enterprise) or a private company. It is amazing to see how people that once thought they were not<br />
good at sales or that selling is beneath them suddenly become sales experts.<br />
In addition, suppliers are attracted to company owners as they have the most to gain personally<br />
from a value proposition. Likewise, owner/employees have the most to gain from providing the<br />
most value for their customers.<br />
Summary<br />
Rather than recapping the remainder of this guide, I will stop right here to emphasize<br />
the importance of selling. “Nothing happens until a sales is made”, “revenue cures all<br />
ills.” This is as applicable now as it was centuries ago. If you follow this model, it is<br />
entirely possible that in a few years you will be comfortably in your new beach house,<br />
ski cabin, mansion, etc. arguing with your spouse over whether your children should go<br />
to Stanford, Harvard or Princeton.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 161 of 182
Worksheet: Time Value of Money<br />
To determine the value of your time selling, follow the steps in the worksheet below.<br />
The first column is an example. The valuation multiplier can be found in Chapter 12 -<br />
Valuation/Exit Strategy.<br />
Impact of one year of selling Example<br />
Meetings (7-9 out of 15-20 appointments<br />
& walk-ins) 8<br />
Average close rate (meetings only & adjusted<br />
for attrition) 25% X<br />
New sales or upsells per day<br />
Average revenue per sale (annual @<br />
2<br />
~$200/month) $ 2,500 X<br />
Annual revenue increase (one day selling) $ 5,000<br />
# Days committed to selling (~240 working<br />
days per year) 144<br />
Expected annual revenue increase from one<br />
person selling $ 720,000<br />
Value to owners/investors<br />
Revenue multiplier (Chapter 13 - Valuation/<br />
Exit Strategy - valuation chart. Example<br />
assumes 50% growth, 25% profit margin) 5.0<br />
Net annual increase in company value $ 3,600,000<br />
Time value of money<br />
Annual # of hours selling (days selling * 8 hours<br />
per day. Example: 144 days * 8 hours)<br />
Value of each hour you spend selling<br />
1,152 ÷<br />
(example: $3,600,000/1,152) $ 3,125 $<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 162 of 182<br />
X<br />
X<br />
Your<br />
Goal
Part V - Appendixes<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 163 of 182
Appendix B - Glossary/Key Terms<br />
Ad Network<br />
Ad Server<br />
Affiliate Program<br />
Below/Above the Scroll<br />
Banner Ads<br />
Internet Advertising Bureau Main Standards:<br />
Skyscraper<br />
Branding Banners – click thru is no objective<br />
CAGR – Compounded annual growth rate. The annual growth rate adjusted for<br />
compounding. For instance, a 1% monthly increase would equal 12.68% annual<br />
(CAGR = (1+i)^n or (1+.01)^12).<br />
Click thru rate (CTR)<br />
Cumulative Unique Monthly Audience (CUME)<br />
Demographics<br />
EBITDA – Earnings before interest, depreciation and amortization. Very close to cash<br />
flows and is often used interchangeably with “profits.”<br />
Geotargeting<br />
Gross Impressions/CPM<br />
Pay Per Click (PPC)<br />
Pay Per <strong>Inc</strong>lusion (PPI)<br />
Psychographics<br />
Remnant advertising:<br />
Run of Network (RON)<br />
Run of Print (ROP)<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 164 of 182
Run of Site (ROS)<br />
Tracking Pixel<br />
Unique Visitors<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 165 of 182
Appendix C - Classifieds<br />
During the hundreds of years that classified advertising has existed, the objective has<br />
remained constant: connecting buyer and sellers of goods and services. This is as much<br />
the same for selling a car is it is for providing employment. The rise of Internet<br />
classifieds sites, most notably craigslist.com, has had a significant impact on<br />
newspapers. <strong>Verican</strong> started working with newspapers in 2002 by providing an online<br />
classifieds order entry solution. We experienced this first had with our customers in<br />
California, many of whom have lost upwards of 90% of their classifieds revenue. This<br />
is quite unfortunate, but there is a cascading effect in that not only do newspapers lose<br />
the very profitable classifieds revenues, but they also lost print pages, which have<br />
always been attractive to display advertisers. The transportation section of the<br />
classifieds is very popular with automobile dealerships, for instance. Also, classifieds is<br />
popular with readers who will often skim through the classifieds section as they read<br />
the newspaper.<br />
Value of Classifieds<br />
1. Source of high-profit margin revenue (previously was upwards of 50% of a<br />
community newspaper’s revenue)<br />
2. Creates valuable advertising inventory revenue for display advertisers<br />
3. Popular with readers, many of whom consider it to be the primary reason for<br />
reading the newspaper<br />
The Internet increases the effectiveness of classifieds by increasing the space that you<br />
have to describe your product or service (after reading many very lengthy ads I have<br />
found that this certainly has a negative side effect); it allows easy access to photos,<br />
video and interaction; and it provides extensive searching capabilities. Thus, Internet<br />
classified advertising has been very popular. Placing classified ads that run online is a<br />
no-brainer<br />
Print Classifieds<br />
There are significant advantages to running classified ads online and in print. Namely,<br />
print is an<br />
excellent medium for reaching people who are not looking for something. Most people<br />
visit Internet classified advertising sites less than once per month and they typically<br />
have a specific goal when they go there – such as to find employment. However, many<br />
people will skim through the classifieds section of their community paper daily or at<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 166 of 182
least once a week and they may do so with only a general idea in mind such as to check<br />
houses and cars for sale and to see if there are any interesting jobs in the area.<br />
Consider an employee who has been working at a local company for many years and,<br />
for the most part, is loyal to the company. It is unlikely that this person will be<br />
searching the Internet for jobs; however, he may briefly skim through the employment<br />
section and find that the new company in town has an open position of interest. The<br />
loyal, long-term employee may be more attractive and more difficult to reach than an<br />
active employment seeker. Moreover, employment ads placed in print often have<br />
identifying information such as the company name and logo prominently displayed.<br />
This sends a strong message to the community (including employees of the company)<br />
that they are hiring and thus they are a great company to work for. This is the best<br />
PR/advertising a company can get. Classifieds managers and sales representatives<br />
should be emphasizing this in their marketing material.<br />
Note: Value of employment advertising<br />
1. Reaches broader audience than online only ads<br />
2. Effective means of reaching people who are employed – and likely content<br />
with their current situation<br />
3. Sends a positive message to the community and to their current employees:<br />
“we’re hiring so we must be a good company”<br />
Another improvement to your classifieds section is to include photo ads (in print and<br />
online). Photos make the classifieds section much more attractive and thus they attract<br />
more readers (and hopefully display advertisers). Most online order entry systems<br />
include an option for attaching a photo to the classified advertisement. We recommend<br />
that your publication impose an extra charge for including a photo in print (but not for<br />
online-only photos). However, as an extra value-added you may want to occasionally<br />
place photos in print for free in order to make the current edition of your publication<br />
more attractive. The advertiser will certainly appreciate the free upgrade.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 167 of 182
Internet Classifieds Display<br />
As mentioned above, integrating print and Internet classifieds has some strategic<br />
advantages. In particular is the ability to include photos with the advertisements. From<br />
usability studies and research, we have found that indicated that advertisers and readers<br />
show a strong preference for classified ads when photo ads are mixed in.<br />
Implementing photos into your classified ads is relatively easy and should be a top<br />
priority. We have found that allowing up to five photos to go in the online version of<br />
the classified ad and, for a fee, the option for one photo to upsell to print is the<br />
optimal solution for newspapers.<br />
We also recommend that classified ads are sorted so that the photo ads are on top.<br />
This makes a great impression on the reader and acts as an extra incentive for classified<br />
advertisers to include photos with their advertisements. Eight classified ads per page<br />
seems to be the number of ads that maximizes the number of page views per visit, the<br />
time spent per page (we've seen approximately 45 seconds per average page view) and<br />
the number of skyscraper ads (three on the right side - plus leaderboard and rectangle<br />
ads).<br />
The classifieds liners section of your website should also allow you to embed a digital<br />
image of the original print advertisement in line with the classifieds. This way display<br />
advertisers, your most valuable advertisers, will be provided the best possible exposure.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 168 of 182
Figure 56 – Classifieds Liners Display<br />
Other popular features include the ability for readers to store classifieds “Add to My<br />
Favorites”, email to a friend and a blind email box to email to the seller (see Figure 56).<br />
Banner advertising next to Internet classifieds liners display advertising is probably the<br />
best place on the Internet to advertise. An advertiser is reaching a local audience, when<br />
the reader is thinking about something specific such as cars in the transportation<br />
category. This should generate higher revenue per impression than any other place on<br />
the Internet.<br />
In addition to the traffic to your website, which can be sold as banner ads, there are a<br />
couple options for getting paid for displaying classified ads online: make the online an<br />
upsell option or include all ads online as a value-added feature and factor this into your<br />
pricing model (and product promotion). We’ve found the latter is far better as charging<br />
extra for the upsell is cumbersome for your salespeople, your classifieds front end<br />
systems and it often results in few ads actually upsold and thus few classified ads on<br />
your website. It also significantly increases the complexity of having free (online only)<br />
classified ads as well as ads in mobile/smartphones. The value-added price increase<br />
could be very low for some categories (such as garage sales) and high for others (such<br />
as employment). See the pricing section below for suggestions.<br />
Tip: Keep it simple<br />
• Photo ads are easy for advertisers and simple to implement and administer.<br />
They improve your website and print and can be used as an upsell or as a<br />
value-added feature to bring more traffic (as well as more classifieds and<br />
display advertising) to your newspaper.<br />
• To ensure fast download speeds, especially for mobile phones, a thumbnail<br />
(low resolution) of the photo should be display in the list view and details view<br />
with the high-resolution photo available by clicking within the details section<br />
of the classified ads.<br />
• In the classifieds liners list view, display the lesser of five lines or 90% of the<br />
complete advertisement. This forces the reader to click through to see the<br />
entire ad and thus generates more traffic.<br />
• Integrate classifieds with your email newsletter so that when an advertiser<br />
clicks to view the full detail of the classified ad (or they want to read all of a<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 169 of 182
news story), they are prompted to register. When the register, they should also<br />
be able to customize the ads that are included on their email newsletter. See<br />
Email Newsletter section in Chapter 4 - Products.<br />
• Video ads, on the other hand, are complex and difficult to administer. They<br />
take up a lot of space, which can cause headaches for the advertiser when<br />
uploading, for the reader when downloading and for administering. Also, to<br />
ensure that all content is legal and meets the quality guidelines of the<br />
publication, each video must be viewed in its entirety by a newspaper<br />
representative. All of this is for a classified ad, which typically has a shelf life of<br />
no more than a few weeks. If a picture is worth a thousand words, then not<br />
much else is left for video. The opportunity for video with commercial<br />
advertisers is different. Video with classifieds and banner ads can be integrated<br />
with your business directory.<br />
• If you choose to integrated free online-only ads, then use every opportunity to<br />
upsell to print (or other revenue-generating features including an option for a<br />
trial print subscription). Free online only ads can also act as filler should the<br />
number of print classifieds pages fall below your minimum threshold.<br />
Displaying your classified ads online is a great way to create more value for your print<br />
classified advertisers (which should result in an increase in the number of ads and the<br />
revenue per ad) and it should also increase traffic to your website.<br />
Mobile Classifieds<br />
With the introduction of the iPhone by Apple, the applications for smartphones is<br />
exploding (see the Mobile section of Chapter 4 -Products). Mobile phones provide<br />
extra convenience by making your classifieds (and entire newspaper) portable. Like<br />
pretty much everything, we recommend keeping this model simple: all classified ads<br />
(and photo ads) that are online should be available in the same or a similar form on<br />
mobile. Classified ads order entry doesn’t work well in mobile/smartphones because it<br />
is too cumbersome for an advertiser to view options and enter the advertisement. User<br />
log-ins and security for credit card processing further complicates the process. We<br />
recommend classifieds order entry be limited to your website.<br />
Internet Classifieds Order Entry<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 170 of 182
Having a good online classifieds order entry system is one of the best Internet assets<br />
that a newspaper can have.<br />
Key Benefits of Online Classifieds Order Entry:<br />
1. More ads<br />
2. Higher revenue per ad<br />
3. Lower processing costs<br />
Our customers have found that they receive more ads due to 24/7 availability, online convenience,<br />
the ability to place the ad in privacy (such as at the office when the boss is within hearing distance)<br />
and automated renewal reminder via email.<br />
Large and small newspapers find that the revenue per ad of a properly designed and wellconfigured<br />
order entry system should between 40 and 60% higher per classified ad<br />
than comparable ads place through the telephone call center. The reason for this is<br />
quite simple: the Internet places the advertiser in control, can provide many upsell<br />
features that would be unwieldy to explain on the telephone and the Internet makes<br />
photo ads and ad builders possible.<br />
The processing costs per ad are typically much lower for ads place through the Internet.<br />
Consider that a classifieds representative paid $13 per hour plus approximately 50%<br />
overhead (benefits, taxes, hiring/firing costs, supervision, computers, etc.) equals<br />
approximately $20 per hour or $160 per day. Should they average 32 ads per day, the<br />
processing cost per ad is $5 – and this is for a classified advertisement that would be<br />
40-60% higher if place through your website. We have found that the time to process a<br />
paid classified ad via the website can range from less than one minute to no more than<br />
around four minutes. Thus, the same 32 ads can take anywhere from 32 minutes to 128<br />
minutes costing the newspaper no more than $1.33 per ad. Furthermore, classifieds<br />
representatives can typically process the online advertisements during down time<br />
(when the phone is not ringing or when they are on hold), thus there may actually be<br />
zero incremental labor costs of receiving ads through your website.<br />
Key Internet Classifieds Order Entry Features:<br />
1. Multiple ads per order: Forcing advertisers to place multiple orders for<br />
multiple ads frustrates your best (commercial) advertisers and also increases<br />
your transaction costs since you must pay the credit card merchant service<br />
provider for each transaction (plus a percentage of the total transaction).<br />
2. Credit card/PayPal processing: Classifieds are small transactions. The costs<br />
of creating an invoice plus the cost of collections and non-payment will quickly<br />
eliminate your profits. Further, credit card processing helps reduce fraud (see<br />
below).<br />
3. Photo ads are a very popular feature for both advertisers and readers. It makes<br />
all of your products (including print) more visibly appealing. The photos are<br />
really images, which means that business advertisers should be able to include<br />
their logo… they love this feature.<br />
4. Live Internet chat support: This feature enables advertisers to access a<br />
customer support representative during the transaction process. The customer<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 171 of 182
support representative can immediately fix the problem (by suggesting using<br />
another browser or alternative payment method, for instance), thus ensuring<br />
that 100% of your orders are completed and 100% of your customers are<br />
satisfied. Imagine spending 20 minutes creating and configuring an<br />
advertisement only to have a technical problem result in the advertisement not<br />
going through. Nearly every advertiser would abandon the process in<br />
frustrating – and will likely never come back. Those that do call the support<br />
(assuming this is during normal business hours) will reach a classifieds<br />
representative that will not know how to address the situation. Live chat<br />
support solves all of these problems. It even provides the browser and<br />
operating system information of the person who inquires to help in the<br />
replication of the problem. With many web browser options (Internet Explore,<br />
Firefox, Google Chrome, Safari, Netscape Communicator, etc.) and operating<br />
systems there are thousands of possibly browser/operating system<br />
permutations, which results in the need for constant and instant feedback<br />
should there be a problem. Not including live chat support could kill classifieds<br />
- the best part of your Internet business.<br />
Figure 57 - Live Chat Support<br />
5. Cross selling into other publications: This is where an advertiser can check<br />
off to have the classified ad run in multiple publications. This is a great feature<br />
if you have a cluster of publications (including weeklies and dailies) or if you<br />
have a relationship with other publications in the region. We’re finding<br />
upwards of a 25% pickup rate when this feature is implemented correctly. One<br />
tip: don’t try to complicate the process with a commission scheme. Just let the<br />
revenue stay with the recipient of the advertisement. The other party records<br />
the order as no revenue. The extra accounting costs of managing this<br />
otherwise would wipe out your profits. This has the added benefit of creating<br />
an incentive to cross sell as many ads because the incremental revenue is 100%<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 172 of 182
profits (less commission). Even the recipient that receives more unpaid ads<br />
benefits by the increasing in classified ads (which provides more display<br />
advertising space).<br />
6.<br />
7.<br />
8. Ad Builders: Advertisers like the extra help provided by ad builders and the<br />
size of the ads can increase by as much as 400%.<br />
9. Print subscription upsell (if applicable). Providing an option to purchase a<br />
print subscription should be in every classifieds order entry system. It is<br />
convenient (and impulsive) to purchase a subscription for home, the office or<br />
as a gift. Providing an introductory offer will increase the pickup rate. We’re<br />
finding that approximately 5% of orders result in a print subscription upsell<br />
when this is offered.<br />
10. Upsells such as borders, bold heading, underlining, attention getters,<br />
photos/images, etc.<br />
11. One step pricing: Requiring the advertiser to go through multiple screens just<br />
to get a price and then backtrack to see what difference is price for adding or<br />
removing features will frustrate your advertiser, likely resulting in lost orders<br />
and lower revenue per ad. Keep all cross sell and upsell features on a single<br />
screen.<br />
12. Email receipt and renewal reminder a few days before the ad expires and make<br />
it easy to extend the ad (including making enhancements)<br />
Additional Internet Classifieds Features:<br />
Subcategories: Pricing options should be at the category level (see pricing section<br />
below). Subcategories should be listed as under the category unless for the subcategory<br />
there is a price or options available differ in which case the subcategories should be<br />
grouped with categories that provide consistent prices and options.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 173 of 182
Start Date should default to the next available date and then list a dozen or so possible<br />
insertion dates. The next available date should automatically increment based on the<br />
deadlines of your publication.<br />
Duration is a key upsell. List the duration along with price discounts for running an<br />
advertisement for a longer period of time.<br />
Tip: KIS<br />
Keep it simple. The technology and user experience of craigslist is as rudimentary as it gets<br />
yet they have taken a huge amount of business from newspapers. Avoid the bells and<br />
whistles as they unnecessarily confuse the advertiser and they make it difficult to integrate<br />
with your backend advertising processes (especially your ten year old classifieds processing<br />
system). All features should have a clear purpose – the most important of which is<br />
increasing ad revenue.<br />
Pricing Classifieds<br />
Print vs. online<br />
Online vs. call center placement<br />
Classifieds Promotions<br />
…<br />
Special Section Recruitment<br />
…<br />
Avoiding Fraud<br />
…<br />
Classifieds Sales (Rather than Order Taking)<br />
…<br />
Statewide & Regional Classifieds Networks<br />
…<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 174 of 182
Categories and Subcategories<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 175 of 182
Appendix D - Circulation<br />
… Total addressable market for daily views… that’s the new circulation model<br />
Appendix E - Customer/Sales<br />
Management Systems<br />
Central and secure repository for your most valuable data.<br />
Sales people don’t leave with your customer base (or at least they leave behind a copy)<br />
Fixed and measurable activities and processes<br />
Accountability and clarity<br />
Integrated sales, marketing and (optionally) operations and financial forecasting.<br />
Basic Implementation<br />
Configure to include ad spending estimates for your top competitors<br />
Load with accounts, contacts, estimated ad spend, targeted ad budget, etc.<br />
Setup digital media kits to be automatically emailed to businesses. TIP: Work with<br />
chamber of commerce. Create and distribute their newsletter (include advertisers<br />
targeting local businesses of course). Coordinate with local business journal print<br />
publication (if you own it)<br />
Execute: Pre-sales – call, enter data (get temp or intern for initial data entry as to keep<br />
your salespeople focused on sales calls).<br />
Email info and record calls (appears on call/activity report)<br />
Maintain: Information/opportunities, tasks, meetings, etc.<br />
Non-sales: Use features to manage documents, cases, bugs, projects, etc. This is an<br />
integrated tool<br />
Integrate with iPhone, Blackberry, calendar system, etc.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 176 of 182
Entire system should launch in weeks not months (especially for small/medium<br />
newspapers)<br />
What it won’t do:<br />
Make you money or sell for you. That requires salespeople who are focused. This is<br />
only a tool<br />
Manage your readership database – that is a separate system with a different objective.<br />
This is to manage your advertisers (which is where you are making your money).<br />
Expected Usage:<br />
Pre-sales Heavy<br />
Sales Executives Light to moderate<br />
Management Moderate<br />
Operations Light<br />
Must have:<br />
• All advertisers in the community<br />
• All ad spending (updated frequently)<br />
• Critical report: advertising spending from top advertisers. (quarter over<br />
quarter)… very important to see if competitor’s revenue/profits are decreasing<br />
or increasing<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 177 of 182
Media By Entity
Appendix F - Newspaper Consultants<br />
Consulting Giants: Any of the largest consulting companies can give you a certified<br />
white paper showing that it’s not your fault. The market is deteriorating, the economy<br />
is bad, no one else is any better, etc. But of course things will soon get better (after we<br />
reforecast our earnings estimates). This may be what you need to take to your board to<br />
keep your job (and maybe even your bonus), but it probably won’t have much of an<br />
impact on turning around your company.<br />
To truly make your business better you should hire a firm that specializes in<br />
newspapers (possibly also ventures to other local media such as radio, TV, etc.). They<br />
will know your market and that of your competitors and they should be able to quickly<br />
build a strategy, plan and help you execute. Tie subsequent projects on attaining quick<br />
and quantifiable results.
About the Author<br />
My background in newspapers began when I was twelve years old. This is when I<br />
started the “Mesa Review,” a weekly newspaper in Mesa, Arizona – a suburb of<br />
Phoenix and my hometown. I discovered this opportunity while reading about other<br />
kids who had started a newspaper. Back then, it seemed that creating a newspaper was<br />
a rather easy business model: simply copy (plagiarize) news from the Mesa Tribune,<br />
throw in a puzzle or two and some classifieds. To finance the operation, I walked the<br />
business districts selling advertising door-to-door to local businesses (where I would<br />
typically drop off publications thus making them advertisers and distribution points).<br />
Initially, my grandmother printed on her mimeograph machine my 4-page 8½x11<br />
weekly. Later, I bartered with a local printer to print my publication in exchange for a<br />
quarter-page ad. A local banker sent me over to see a Max Jennings, a friend of his and<br />
the editor of the Mesa Tribune (the competition). Max wrote up a story about me and<br />
put my picture on the front page of the local section of the newspaper. This was one<br />
of the proudest days of my life – and the start of my love for newspapers and business<br />
(and it was also great for business).<br />
For several years after this, I delivered newspapers for the Mesa Tribune and later I<br />
had a second newspaper route with the Arizona Republic, the dominate (and much<br />
heavier) newspaper. At the time, delivering for the competition was frowned upon, but<br />
we newspaper boys were smart enough to keep our mouths shut. By delivering two<br />
newspapers to the same route one could essentially earn twice as much while only<br />
doing about one and a half times as much work. Additional money could be earned<br />
from selling subscriptions door-to-door. I was often the top sales person because I<br />
would knock on the most doors and I wouldn’t take no for an answer (until the door<br />
was slammed in my face). I was also very consistent and reliable. At 4:45 every<br />
morning, I was out by the side of the street inserting fliers, folding, rubber banding and<br />
packaging newspapers so that every newspaper was delivered by 6:30am, our deadline.<br />
Back then, newspapers needed to be delivered every day. There were no weekends or<br />
holidays off. We were never too sick to deliver the newspapers or to collect from the<br />
subscribers. Should one be unable to deliver, it was our responsibility to find a<br />
substitute and notify our district manager. It is too bad that legal and liability<br />
considerations have eliminated this opportunity for young kids. This opportunity<br />
engrained in me the importance of responsibility and customer service and I became<br />
interested in what was going on in the community and world.<br />
Following their September 2009 bankruptcy filing, Freedom Communications<br />
announced that they will shutdown the East Valley Tribune (formerly the Mesa<br />
Tribune). A year prior to this, two of their journalists were awarded a Pulitzer prize,<br />
but in a sad irony they were laid off a few weeks before the announcement.<br />
Later in life, I moved on to other opportunities, which mostly focused on financial and<br />
other business systems implementations for large corporations. My education is in<br />
finance and I have an <strong>MBA</strong>. I believe the free press is critical for society and the only<br />
way to have a truly independent press is through a profit-motivated structure.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 180 of 182
During the summer of 2001, the dot-com bubble burst and the economy went into a<br />
recession. This was a perfect time for me to leave information systems consulting and<br />
use the money I squirreled away to start <strong>Verican</strong> (originally named “Mission Critical<br />
24/7”), a company focused on providing database monitoring and support for San<br />
Francisco Bay Area companies. Very quickly, I found that the market for such services<br />
evaporated with the recession as it seemed that there were few systems<br />
implementations and the few technology workers who still had a job also took on the<br />
database administration work. Thus, we started doing whatever we could get paid for.<br />
This included building an ecommerce system for a school friend who had a business.<br />
At a chamber of commerce event, a newspaper sales manager approached me about a<br />
project. He needed a sales management and an Internet-based classifieds order entry<br />
system. While we had already built the sales system, we found it too complicated and<br />
cost prohibitive for this newspaper; however, modifying our Internet ecommerce<br />
system for classifieds turned out to work quite well.<br />
From this point, I changed the name of the company to <strong>Verican</strong> and started to get<br />
additional customers through word of mouth and then we hired a salesperson. Quickly<br />
I fell back in love with newspapers and decided that rather than offering our<br />
technologies to any business that was willing to pay us, we should focus on providing<br />
technologies only to the newspaper industry. We now focus 100% of our time on<br />
understanding the newspaper industry and building our products and services around<br />
helping them reinvent themselves.<br />
By providing the Internet platform that is where the newspapers are going, I have been<br />
fortunate by being able to work on the fringes of the newspaper. Thus, I have not been<br />
forced into the day-to-day operations of running a newspaper, which are complicated<br />
and increasingly distracting, as the newspaper still needs to go out, though with fewer<br />
people and resources to do it.<br />
During 2007 and 2008, our business started to decline, reflecting the decline in<br />
newspaper classifieds revenue. Most of our revenue came from a revenue share<br />
arrangement we had with newspapers and the majority of our customers are in<br />
California and Arizona, which has been particularly hard hit by this recession.<br />
Classifieds revenue at many of these publications has declined by anywhere from 50%<br />
to upwards of 95%. This has been coupled with a decline in display ad advertising and<br />
in many cases they have even seen their Internet revenue (and traffic) decline. It is<br />
quite awful to see what has happened to these newspapers and their owners and<br />
managers, many of whom I consider to be friends.<br />
The 60%+ decline we experienced in revenue per customer compelled me to<br />
shutdown our San Francisco sales office and for me to focus on getting new customers<br />
and new product out to our customers. Thus, I now spend nearly 100% of my time on<br />
the road working with newspaper executives. Thus, far I have met with more than a<br />
thousand executives from newspapers of various sizes and types: large dailies, small<br />
weeklies, alternatives, magazines. I have also met with executives from newspaper<br />
associations, other suppliers, consultants, etc.<br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 181 of 182
My most recent trip lasted more than four months. During this time, I traveled to<br />
Canada, Ireland, the UK and more than 20 U.S. states. The mileage added on my rental<br />
cars exceeded 24,000 road miles, which coincidentally is the circumference of the earth<br />
(the rental car company was not amused). I also flew a comparable distance.<br />
- <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong><br />
Copyright 2009, <strong>Eric</strong> <strong>Buskirk</strong>, Page 182 of 182