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Trends in Nitrogen Fertilizer Industries from a Contractor's View

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Uhde’s Market Share and Location of Uhde Ammonia and Urea Plants<br />

Basis Market share: EPC / EP contracts received for new plants <strong>in</strong> the last 10 years, weighted by plant capacity, Status Mid 2010<br />

Basis Map: Plants built by Uhde <strong>in</strong> the last 30 years<br />

Ammonia<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

others<br />

Contractors<br />

(L<strong>in</strong>de,<br />

outside Ch<strong>in</strong>a 4%<br />

Technip,<br />

Laval<strong>in</strong>,<br />

Casale)<br />

10%<br />

Uhde 26%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

Contractors<br />

1) <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a 15%<br />

KBR /<br />

Ferrostaal /<br />

Kawasaki /<br />

Iranian Contractors <strong>in</strong> Iran 5%<br />

Chiyoda / Toyo<br />

18%<br />

Saipem / MHI 22%<br />

1) Market volume <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a may be <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

only actual EP or EPC contracts, no awards<br />

of LOI or PDP<br />

Urea<br />

others (Technip, Casale,<br />

Chemoprojekt) 5%<br />

Ferrostaal, Toyo 10%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Contractors outside<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a 6%<br />

1) Market volume <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a may be <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

Only actual EP/EPC, no LOI / PDP / BE<br />

contracts<br />

Iranian Contractors <strong>in</strong> Iran 6%<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

1)<br />

Contractors<br />

<strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a 9%<br />

Saipem / MHI 26%<br />

<strong>Fertilizer</strong> Demand<br />

Global <strong>Trends</strong><br />

Uhde 29%<br />

KBR /<br />

Kawasaki /<br />

Chiyoda<br />

9%<br />

Increas<strong>in</strong>g Population -> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g Food<br />

Production req,<br />

Increas<strong>in</strong>g Wealth -> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g Meat<br />

Consumption<br />

Production of 1 kg Meat requires<br />

7-16 kg Gra<strong>in</strong> or Soy<br />

Loss of Arable Land<br />

R. Saure Jul 2010<br />

RSaureJul2010<br />

World Population<br />

[Billion]<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2008: 6,7 Bn<br />

2050: ~ 9,2 Bn<br />

0<br />

1900 1950 2000 2050<br />

Source:United Nations, World Population Prospects<br />

Soil Erosion World Meat Production<br />

Agricultural Land With Strong Man-Made Erosion<br />

Other Land With Strong Man-Made Erosion<br />

Other Agricultural Land<br />

[Bilion toon]<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

0<br />

1950 60 70 80 90 00 2050<br />

Source:Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Source:Food and Agriculture Organization of the United<br />

Nations<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

200<br />

100<br />

3

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