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Trends in Nitrogen Fertilizer Industries from a Contractor's View

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April 11-13, 2011<br />

Cairo Marriott Hotel, Egypt<br />

<strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nitrogen</strong> <strong>Fertilizer</strong> <strong>Industries</strong><br />

<strong>from</strong> a Contractor‘s <strong>View</strong><br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Dep. Head and VP Sales of Ammonia and Urea Division<br />

Uhde<br />

Germany


<strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nitrogen</strong> <strong>Fertilizer</strong> <strong>Industries</strong><br />

<strong>from</strong> a Contractor‘s view<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Dep. Head and VP Sales of Ammonia and Urea Division<br />

Topics<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Introduction<br />

Size of Ammonia Units<br />

Efficiency<br />

Alternate Feedstock<br />

Upgrad<strong>in</strong>g<br />

ID101<br />

ID103<br />

1


Uhde: Facts and figures<br />

History<br />

1921 Friedrich Uhde eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g firm, Dortmund<br />

1952 Friedrich Uhde GmbH becomes a subsidiary of Hoechst AG<br />

1996 Acquisition of Uhde GmbH by Fried. Krupp AG Hoesch-Krupp<br />

1997 Uhde and Krupp Koppers merge to form Krupp Uhde GmbH<br />

1999 Krupp and Thyssen merge to form ThyssenKrupp AG<br />

2002 Name changes back to Uhde GmbH<br />

Bus<strong>in</strong>ess year 2009/2010 (Uhde group)<br />

Order <strong>in</strong>take €1,496.9m<br />

Net sales €1,449.7m *<br />

Equity capital €554.8m *<br />

Workforce<br />

Uhde group (total) ~4,500<br />

- of which Uhde GmbH ~1,570<br />

Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g approx. 6.1 million<br />

capacity eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g hours/year<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Overview of our Product divisions<br />

World<br />

Europe<br />

2,500<br />

GGermany 22,000 000<br />

4,500<br />

* acc. to IFRS<br />

Ammonia & Urea Hydrogen & Nitrates Electrolysis<br />

Ref<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g Technologies<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Gas Technologies<br />

Org. Chemicals/Polymers<br />

Coke Plant Technologies Contract<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Polyester<br />

ID144<br />

2


Uhde’s Market Share and Location of Uhde Ammonia and Urea Plants<br />

Basis Market share: EPC / EP contracts received for new plants <strong>in</strong> the last 10 years, weighted by plant capacity, Status Mid 2010<br />

Basis Map: Plants built by Uhde <strong>in</strong> the last 30 years<br />

Ammonia<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

others<br />

Contractors<br />

(L<strong>in</strong>de,<br />

outside Ch<strong>in</strong>a 4%<br />

Technip,<br />

Laval<strong>in</strong>,<br />

Casale)<br />

10%<br />

Uhde 26%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

Contractors<br />

1) <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a 15%<br />

KBR /<br />

Ferrostaal /<br />

Kawasaki /<br />

Iranian Contractors <strong>in</strong> Iran 5%<br />

Chiyoda / Toyo<br />

18%<br />

Saipem / MHI 22%<br />

1) Market volume <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a may be <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

only actual EP or EPC contracts, no awards<br />

of LOI or PDP<br />

Urea<br />

others (Technip, Casale,<br />

Chemoprojekt) 5%<br />

Ferrostaal, Toyo 10%<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Contractors outside<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a 6%<br />

1) Market volume <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a may be <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

Only actual EP/EPC, no LOI / PDP / BE<br />

contracts<br />

Iranian Contractors <strong>in</strong> Iran 6%<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

1)<br />

Contractors<br />

<strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a 9%<br />

Saipem / MHI 26%<br />

<strong>Fertilizer</strong> Demand<br />

Global <strong>Trends</strong><br />

Uhde 29%<br />

KBR /<br />

Kawasaki /<br />

Chiyoda<br />

9%<br />

Increas<strong>in</strong>g Population -> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g Food<br />

Production req,<br />

Increas<strong>in</strong>g Wealth -> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g Meat<br />

Consumption<br />

Production of 1 kg Meat requires<br />

7-16 kg Gra<strong>in</strong> or Soy<br />

Loss of Arable Land<br />

R. Saure Jul 2010<br />

RSaureJul2010<br />

World Population<br />

[Billion]<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2008: 6,7 Bn<br />

2050: ~ 9,2 Bn<br />

0<br />

1900 1950 2000 2050<br />

Source:United Nations, World Population Prospects<br />

Soil Erosion World Meat Production<br />

Agricultural Land With Strong Man-Made Erosion<br />

Other Land With Strong Man-Made Erosion<br />

Other Agricultural Land<br />

[Bilion toon]<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

0<br />

1950 60 70 80 90 00 2050<br />

Source:Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Source:Food and Agriculture Organization of the United<br />

Nations<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

200<br />

100<br />

3


USD per mt FOB<br />

Urea Price <strong>in</strong> the last 10 Years<br />

500<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

mtpd<br />

Prilled Black Sea<br />

Granuled Arab Gulf<br />

Granuled Egypt<br />

Status Mar 2011<br />

Sep-00 Sep-02 Sep-04 Sep-06 Sep-08 Sep-10<br />

<strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nitrogen</strong> Industry: Ris<strong>in</strong>g Ammonia Plant Capacity<br />

(s<strong>in</strong>gle tra<strong>in</strong>)<br />

3500<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020<br />

Year of Commission<strong>in</strong>g<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Interest <strong>in</strong><br />

+ 4000 tpd<br />

plants<br />

Data Source:<br />

<strong>Fertilizer</strong> Week<br />

4


Safco 4<br />

Customer: Saudi Basic Industres Corp. (Sabic)<br />

Location: Al Jubail, Saudi Arabia<br />

Nameplate Capacity: 3,300 mtpd Ammonia, 3,250 mtpd granuled Urea<br />

Process: Uhde (Ammonia), Stamicarbon (Urea), Uhde <strong>Fertilizer</strong> Technology<br />

(Granulation)<br />

Uhde Scope: Turn key<br />

Completion: 2006<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Ma‘aden<br />

Customer: Samsung for Maaden Phosphate Company<br />

Location: Ras As Zwar, Saudi Arabia<br />

Nameplate Capacity: 3,300 mtpd<br />

Process: Uhde (Ammonia), BASF (aMDEA)<br />

Uhde Scope: Basic Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g and Key Equipment<br />

Completion: 2011<br />

Image taken May 2010 © Uhde GmbH<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

5


USD / 1000 cuuft<br />

Development of Natural Gas Price<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Price<br />

Source: EIA<br />

0<br />

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010<br />

Natural gas and production cost<br />

Example: plant <strong>from</strong> 1980s, after energetic improvement:<br />

7.56 Gcal = 30 mBtu = 1 ton Ammonia<br />

At 1 mBTU = 4 USD,<br />

Raw Material for 1 ton ammonia cost 120 USD<br />

Revenue for 1 ton ammonia Ammonia exW is 300 USD<br />

Efficiency c e cy is s ccrucial uc a for o eco economical o ca pproduction oduct o<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

6


Energy Consumption of Ammonia Production<br />

Stoichiometric m<strong>in</strong>imum energy consumption: = 5 Gcal/tNH3<br />

(based on Methane as feedstock)<br />

“Perfect” plant could not work <strong>in</strong> transient conditions nor partial load<br />

Waste Heat available at low temperature can not be recovered, Cool<strong>in</strong>g System to be<br />

applied<br />

Limitations <strong>from</strong> Material of Construction<br />

(e.g. Metal Dust<strong>in</strong>g; Dew po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> flue gas)<br />

Extra energy <strong>in</strong> product (pressure / refrigeration)<br />

Incremental <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> further efficiency to be balanced aga<strong>in</strong>st sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> energy<br />

cost<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Energy Consumption of Ammonia Production<br />

M<strong>in</strong>imum Energy Consumption<br />

<strong>Nitrogen</strong> fixation (i.e. NH3 synthesis) is most energy-<strong>in</strong>tensive process step for production of<br />

nitrogenous fertilizers such as Urea and Ammonium Nitrate<br />

Energy Consumption<br />

[Gcal/tNH3]<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

EFMA (2000) – Best Available<br />

Technologies<br />

0<br />

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020<br />

Year of Plant Commission<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>from</strong> literature<br />

plants <strong>in</strong> operation<br />

plants under construction<br />

actual energy consumption ≥ 6.7 Gcal/tNH3 gap due to<br />

- limited convertibility of rejected heat<br />

(2 nd law of thermodynamics)<br />

- extra energy <strong>in</strong> product (pressure / refrigeration)<br />

- optimization for plant economics<br />

m<strong>in</strong>imum energy consumption <strong>from</strong><br />

stoichiometric po<strong>in</strong>t of view = 5 Gcal/tNH3 (based on Methane as feedstock)<br />

LHV of Ammonia = 4.44 Gcal/t NH3<br />

7


Energy consumption of nitrogen fertilizer production<br />

Rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g options for further reduc<strong>in</strong>g energy consumption<br />

Examples for m<strong>in</strong>or improvements:<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

variable speed drives where part part-load load operation is normal case<br />

m<strong>in</strong>imization of direct heat losses (stack, cool<strong>in</strong>g water) as far as<br />

possible<br />

application of most efficient mach<strong>in</strong>ery<br />

expected sav<strong>in</strong>gs: < 0.1 Gcal/t NH3<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>from</strong> built low-energy plants<br />

Energy consumption of nitrogen fertilizer production<br />

Rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g options for further reduc<strong>in</strong>g energy consumption<br />

Most efficient energy supply:<br />

High-efficiency co-gen plant for supply of electrical power and steam or<br />

mechanical energy<br />

But: only possible if additional steam consumers are present and steam export is<br />

credited or steam reformer is replaced by non-fired reformer types<br />

Normal efficiency of steam cycle process: 30%<br />

Efficiency of comb<strong>in</strong>ed cycle: up to 60%<br />

(i.e. gas turb<strong>in</strong>e & HRSG ):<br />

expected sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> Ammonia plant: some 0.25 Gcal/t NH3<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

8


Alternate Feedstocks:<br />

Gasification-Based Ammonia / Urea Plant<br />

Coal Petcoke Biomass<br />

Tail Gas<br />

Acid Gas<br />

Gasification CO-Shift<br />

Removal<br />

PSA<br />

Oxygen<br />

Air<br />

ASU<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Gasif<br />

gasif fication feedstock Feedstock price USD / USD / D/GJ MMBTU M<br />

N 2<br />

Compression<br />

Note: Alternatively, NWU <strong>in</strong>stead of PSA<br />

7<br />

6<br />

Sulfur<br />

PRENFLO PSG PRENFLO PDQ<br />

Syngas<br />

Compression<br />

Urea Synth. +<br />

Granulation<br />

Ammonia<br />

Ammonia<br />

Synthesis<br />

CO 2<br />

Tail Gas<br />

Sulfur<br />

Recovery Refrigeration<br />

Impact of feedstock cost for natural gas vs gasification<br />

based ammonia plant<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

steam reform<strong>in</strong>g more economical<br />

gasification more economical<br />

0<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />

Nat natural Gas gas USD price / MMBTU / USD/GJ<br />

Urea<br />

Conditions:<br />

• 10 years payback time<br />

• <strong>in</strong>terest rate: 8 %pa % p.a.<br />

• 3300 mtpd ammonia<br />

Example 1:<br />

gas: 7 USD/MMBTU;<br />

coal: 2.5 USD/MMBTU:<br />

gasification favourable<br />

Example 2:<br />

Parity y at:<br />

gas: 4 USD/MMBTU;<br />

coal: 2 USD/MMBTU<br />

9


Impact of Transportation Cost<br />

Previous cost comparison assumes that both plants (steam reform<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

gasification) are located at the same location<br />

Some coal reserves are closer to the consumers than gas reserves with low<br />

production cost different transport costs<br />

-> Improvement of the model<br />

Coal available<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Gasific<br />

gasi cation ification Feedstock feedstock USD price / MMBTU M/<br />

USD/GJ<br />

7<br />

6<br />

Fertiliser Consumers<br />

Impact of Feedstock Cost Includ<strong>in</strong>g Transportation<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

PRENFLO PSG PRENFLO PDQ<br />

steam reform<strong>in</strong>g + transport<br />

of product more economical<br />

gasification more economical<br />

0<br />

0 2 4 6 8 10 12<br />

Nat natural Gas gas USD price / MMBTU / USD/GJ<br />

Natural gas<br />

available<br />

Conditions:<br />

• 10 years payback time<br />

• <strong>in</strong>terest rate: 8 % p.a.<br />

• 3300 mtpd ammonia,<br />

fully converted to 5800<br />

mtpd urea<br />

• Transport cost of 20<br />

USD / t urea added to<br />

natural-gas based plant<br />

Example: Parity now at:<br />

gas: 4 USD/MMBTU;<br />

coal: 2.5 USD/MMBTU<br />

10


Built Gasification Plants<br />

Koppers-Totzek gasification plant<br />

Ramagundam, India, 1986<br />

900 t/d of ammonia<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

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Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Properties and Advantages of UAN solutions<br />

Properties<br />

State: liquid, q colourless<br />

N-content: 28% to 32%<br />

Composition: 45 : 35 : 20 (32%N)<br />

(AN:U:H2O) 40 : 30 : 30 (28%N)<br />

Salt out: - 2 °C (32%N)<br />

- 18°C (28%N)<br />

pH: 7 - 7.5<br />

Safety status: very safe<br />

Application: very easy<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Koppers-Totzek gasification plant<br />

Modderfonte<strong>in</strong>, South Africa, 1975<br />

1,000 t/d of ammonia<br />

nitrate N<br />

(25% of total)<br />

ammoniacal N<br />

(25% of total)<br />

amid N<br />

(50% of total)<br />

fast<br />

Time for<br />

conversion <strong>in</strong><br />

the soil and<br />

crop reception<br />

slow<br />

Secondary nutrients (e.g. sulphur) and micro-nutrients (e.g. boron) can be added.<br />

11


Environmental advantages of UAN solution<br />

no dust at production site<br />

no dust <strong>in</strong> application<br />

safe storage and transport (though conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g ammonium nitrate)<br />

Application with irrigation systems possible<br />

High Specific Nutrient Content<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

<strong>Nitrogen</strong> density: ~ 420 kg N / m³ (for UAN-32)<br />

Bulk urea: ~ 350 kg N / m³<br />

<strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nitrogen</strong> Industry: Liquid <strong>Fertilizer</strong> UAN<br />

AUM Tr<strong>in</strong>idad<br />

Customer: Ferrostaal for MHTL / Proman<br />

Location: Po<strong>in</strong>t Lisas, Tr<strong>in</strong>idad<br />

Capacity: 4,300 mtpd UAN-32<br />

Process: Uhde (Nitric Acid, Ammonium Nitrate, UAN Mix<strong>in</strong>g)<br />

Feed: Urea, Ammonia (new plants by others)<br />

Uhde Scope: Basic Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g and Key Equipment<br />

Completion: 2010<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

12


UAN Complex Block Diagram<br />

(<strong>in</strong>dependent process Units)<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

Water<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

NH 3<br />

NH 3<br />

CO 2<br />

NH 3<br />

NH 3<br />

UREA<br />

HNO 3 AN UAN<br />

UAN Complex Block Diagram<br />

(partly <strong>in</strong>tegrated Units)<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

Water<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

NH 3<br />

NH 3<br />

CO 2<br />

NH 3<br />

UREA<br />

Offgas<br />

with NH 3<br />

HNO 3 AN UAN<br />

Urea+<br />

Water<br />

Urea+<br />

Water<br />

CO 2<br />

UAN<br />

Product<br />

CO 2<br />

UAN<br />

Product<br />

13


NH 3<br />

CO 2<br />

Air<br />

Pool reactor<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

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Dr. Richard Saure<br />

NH 3<br />

CO 2<br />

Air<br />

To granulation<br />

Pool reactor<br />

H 2 Removal<br />

Steam<br />

WR<br />

S<br />

C<br />

WS<br />

Stripper<br />

Atmospheric<br />

absorber<br />

LP<br />

absorber<br />

S<br />

C<br />

Urea<br />

solution<br />

tank<br />

Condensate<br />

LP carbamate<br />

condenser<br />

WC WC<br />

NH 3 -water<br />

tank<br />

S<br />

C<br />

Rectify<strong>in</strong>g<br />

column<br />

Reflux<br />

condenser<br />

WC WC<br />

Flash<br />

tank<br />

Desorber 1+2<br />

Preevaporator<br />

Urea: Stamicarbon 2000plus TM Pool Reactor<br />

H 2 Removal<br />

S<br />

C<br />

Evaporator<br />

S<br />

C<br />

Stripper<br />

S<br />

C<br />

S<br />

C<br />

LP steam 2<br />

Clean process condensate<br />

S<br />

C<br />

LP Dissociation<br />

Heater / Separator<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure Urea plant for <strong>in</strong>tegrated UAN production<br />

1<br />

Offgas to<br />

AN unit<br />

Urea to UAN<br />

mix<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Hydrolizer<br />

heat<br />

exchanger<br />

Flash tank<br />

condenser<br />

WS WR<br />

Hydroliser<br />

MP<br />

steam<br />

14


Summary: <strong>Trends</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Nitrogen</strong> <strong>Fertilizer</strong> <strong>Industries</strong><br />

Larger Plants<br />

More efficient plants<br />

Alternate Feedstocks<br />

Upgrad<strong>in</strong>g technologies<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Richard.Saure@Thyssenkrupp.com<br />

AFA Annual Conference<br />

Cairo, April 2011<br />

Dr. Richard Saure<br />

Thank You<br />

15

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