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PROTECTION AND INDEMNITY - Willis

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2000/01<br />

ar (Deficit)<br />

rplus (Deficit)<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

USD Millions<br />

2003/04<br />

USD Millions<br />

RENEwAL AT FEBRUARY 20, 2009<br />

Ahead of the renewal at February 20, 2009, the P&I market is facing a world full<br />

of uncertainties.<br />

Despite a respite in Pool claims, retained claims continue to increase, at least in the<br />

short term. There is continuing cost pressure on the IG reinsurance programme.<br />

The investment environment is the most volatile in living memory.<br />

Underwriting deficits combined with unreliable investment income present the<br />

unwelcome but inevitable prospect of significant premium increases at 20 February 2009.<br />

The change in the shipping market presents its own uncertainties. All of which looks<br />

likely to lead to a renewal every bit as confrontational as 2008.<br />

overall resulT – ProjeCTed forWard: Nil iNvesTmeNT iNCome<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

2004/05<br />

1996/97 2005/06<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Investment Income<br />

1997/98 2006/07<br />

1998/99 2007/08<br />

1999/00 2008/09<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

overall resulT –<br />

ProjeCTed forWard: equiTies -30 PerCeNT, remaiNiNG iNvesTmeNTs +3 PerCeNT<br />

900<br />

900<br />

800<br />

800<br />

700<br />

700<br />

600<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

-500<br />

1996/97<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Investment Income<br />

Investment Income<br />

1997/98 1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2005/06 2006/07<br />

2006/07 2007/08<br />

2007/08 2008/09<br />

2008/09<br />

2008/09<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

USD Millions<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

06/07<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

08/09<br />

07/08<br />

06/07<br />

08/09<br />

07/08<br />

08/09<br />

USD Millions<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

0<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

08/09

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