PROTECTION AND INDEMNITY - Willis
PROTECTION AND INDEMNITY - Willis
PROTECTION AND INDEMNITY - Willis
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<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />
<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />
MARkET REvIEw 2008/2009
<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />
<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />
MARkET REvIEw 2008/09<br />
Summary 3<br />
Market Financial Commentary 7<br />
Reinsurance and Pooling 17<br />
– Changes in International Group Reinsurance 18<br />
– Pool and Retention Development 21<br />
– Expectations for the Reinsurance Renewal at 20 February 2009 26<br />
General Increases 29<br />
Average Expense Ratio (AER) Comparisons 33<br />
Club Financial Pages 37<br />
– Introduction to Club Pages 38<br />
– American 40<br />
– Britannia 42<br />
– Gard 44<br />
– Japan 46<br />
– London 48<br />
– North of England 50<br />
– Shipowners 52<br />
– Skuld 54<br />
– Standard (Bermuda) 56<br />
– Steamship 58<br />
– UK Club 60<br />
– West of England 62<br />
– Liverpool & London 64<br />
– Swedish 65<br />
Supplementary Call History 67<br />
– Historic Supplementary Call Accuracy 68<br />
– Supplementary Call History Summary 70<br />
– Comparison of Original and Actual Supplementary Calls 72<br />
– Percentage Variation from Initial Estimated Total Call 75<br />
Release Calls 79<br />
P&I Fixed Premium Market 83<br />
Contacts 92<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |
SUMMARY
LOOkINg<br />
BACk<br />
RENEwAL AT 20 FEBRUARY 2008<br />
The background to the 2008 Protection and Indemnity (P&I)<br />
renewal was ominous. The previous year had experienced the<br />
worst Pool claims record ever and 2007/08 appeared to be<br />
heading towards a similar level.<br />
Retained claims performance largely mirrored the adverse<br />
Pool development. Added to this the investment climate was<br />
uncertain. In this gloomy environment, the highest general<br />
increases for five years were announced.<br />
The renewal discussions themselves were the most<br />
confrontational of the decade. ‘Cash was king’ for the Clubs and<br />
ship operators, who were faced with rising costs in all other areas,<br />
fought hard to resist premium increases.<br />
The combination of these issues led to delayed renewal offers and<br />
generally a much later conclusion of negotiations than normal.<br />
Overall our estimate of the actual result pushed through by the<br />
market was an increase of between 13 and 14 percent on mutual P&I.<br />
2007/08 FINANCIAL YEAR RESULTS<br />
As anticipated, the increase in claims led to the 2007/08 financial<br />
year registering the worst ever underwriting result for the<br />
P&I market. It was notable that the substantial increases in<br />
outstanding claims estimates over the last three years were finally<br />
translated into a surge in claims actually being paid in 2007/08.<br />
By contrast to the adverse claims picture, in most cases<br />
investment income results were not as dire as some feared and<br />
an overall investment return of roughly six percent mitigated the<br />
underwriting deficit substantially. The overall result for the market<br />
was therefore only very marginally below the break even position.<br />
This relatively benign overall result masks the wide variances<br />
between the best and worst performing individual Clubs.<br />
Similarly the heavy reliance on investment income resonates all<br />
too painfully with the problems following the world economic<br />
crash in September and October 2008.<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
‘Cash was king’ for<br />
the Clubs and ship<br />
operators, who were<br />
faced with rising<br />
costs in all other<br />
areas, fought hard<br />
to resist premium<br />
increases.<br />
The main wild card<br />
at the moment is<br />
the impact that the<br />
global economic<br />
crisis has had on<br />
Club reserves.
LOOkINg<br />
FORwARD<br />
The main wild card at the moment is the impact that the global<br />
economic crisis has had on Club reserves and will have on future<br />
investment income results.<br />
The London Club was the first obvious casualty of the economic<br />
situation. A woeful investment result in 2007/08 exacerbated by<br />
the meltdown in the equity markets in the third quarter of 2008,<br />
forced them into a refinancing of approximately USD 90 million<br />
by means of unbudgeted calls.<br />
The UK P&I Club followed shortly afterwards with a similar<br />
requirement. If all the UK Club’s announced unbudgeted calls<br />
are charged in due course they will equate to a recapitalisation<br />
of roughly USD 180 million. The UK P&I Club’s decision was<br />
not directly forced upon them, unlike the London Club. The<br />
uncertainty of the world economy, combined with the volatility<br />
of claims, provided the catalyst for a shift in their attitude to what<br />
represented an adequate margin of error.<br />
The inherent issues of the American Club led to their wholly<br />
expected announcement of further unbudgeted calls.<br />
The West of England announced additional unbudgeted calls<br />
which if all debited would amount to USD 140 million. The West<br />
of England’s announcement reduces the unbudgeted call made<br />
in 2006 but adds greater additional calls on the 2007 and 2008<br />
years. Again the collapse in the financial markets is the catalyst,<br />
but for a Club still recovering from the last round of unbudgeted<br />
calls the message is particularly unpalatable.<br />
Most recently the Swedish Club have announced substantial<br />
unbudgeted calls on the 2006 and 2007 years. In the<br />
circumstances, the increase in the West of England’s and the<br />
Swedish Club’s release calls may also be perceived as a cynical<br />
commercial move.<br />
No Club is immune from the uncertainty in the investment market.<br />
It is therefore not possible to categorically state that no other Club<br />
will be compelled down the route of unbudgeted calls. We expect<br />
however that the stronger Clubs will be able to absorb the impact of<br />
the recent fluctuations in investment. Thus, we do not anticipate an<br />
imminent recurrence of unbudgeted calls across the entire market.<br />
The market environment is changing almost daily and we will<br />
continue to keep our clients updated of all major developments.<br />
As outlined in recent <strong>Willis</strong> publications,<br />
volatility is the overriding characteristic<br />
of the pattern of large P&I claims in the<br />
current environment.<br />
Almost to underline this, so far in 2008/09<br />
Pool claims appear to be strangely benign.<br />
At the time of writing only two Pool claims<br />
in excess of USD 10 million had been<br />
reported in the current policy year.<br />
This curious reduction in very large<br />
claims is unlikely to persist as most of<br />
the drivers of major claims continue to be<br />
present. The anomaly serves to emphasise<br />
the volatility and difficulty of prediction in<br />
the current market.<br />
Despite retained claims continuing the<br />
upward pattern of the last two years, the<br />
increases in premium at the 2008 renewal<br />
will have gone some considerable way<br />
towards eroding the underwriting deficits<br />
across the market. Underwriting deficits<br />
will persist and as intimated earlier, the key<br />
question will be to what extent investment<br />
income assists, or more likely, further<br />
deteriorates Clubs’ financial positions.<br />
There is a marked variance between<br />
the financial position of Clubs and their<br />
ability to withstand the current market<br />
uncertainties. The discrepancy between<br />
the strongest and weakest is likely to<br />
become even greater in the present<br />
environment.<br />
General increases for the renewal at 20<br />
February 2009 are predominantly in<br />
the 10 to 20 percent range. The average<br />
announced increase is marginally higher<br />
than 2008 and the rationale behind the<br />
increases is evident. Regardless of this the<br />
forthcoming renewal is set to be every bit<br />
as confrontational as last year.<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |
MARkET<br />
FINANCIAL<br />
COMMENTARY
OvERvIEw<br />
From a pure underwriting perspective 2007/08 represents a new<br />
record deficit for the market. The trend in paid claims is following<br />
the surge in outstanding claims estimates noted in previous years.<br />
Premium levels were again overwhelmed by claims.<br />
This underwriting development was predicted in our review last<br />
year, at which point we suggested that it would take an investment<br />
return in excess of 6 percent to enable the market to break even.<br />
Despite the less than certain climate in 2007, the investment return<br />
produced by the market was better than feared, at marginally<br />
above the 6 percent level mentioned. Investment income did not<br />
completely offset the underwriting loss, but came within USD 8.3<br />
million of the level required (putting the overall deficit in context it<br />
represents only 0.3 percent of the market premium).<br />
Looking forward, the increases in premium at the 2008 renewal<br />
should erode the underwriting deficit. However, unless claims<br />
trends miraculously change in 2008/09, the year will end with a<br />
reduced but still material deficit. At the same time investment<br />
income has never been more uncertain. Investment losses are<br />
widely mooted and a sizeable overall deficit appears inevitable for<br />
the market in 2008/09.<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2007/08<br />
FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULTS<br />
PAID CLAIMS CATChINg UP<br />
wITh INCURRED CLAIMS<br />
Total premiums paid increased by 6.8<br />
percent between 2006/07 and 2007/08.<br />
Reinsurance costs jumped by 12.4 percent<br />
over the same period. The increase in<br />
reinsurance costs signalled a move by<br />
Clubs to try to protect themselves from<br />
the prevailing claims volatility. Operating<br />
expenses increased by a more inflationary<br />
5 percent. The net result of this was<br />
that Operating Income (Premium, less<br />
Reinsurance, less Operating Expenses)<br />
increased by 5.9 percent.<br />
Following the surge in outstanding claims<br />
estimates over the last four years it was<br />
only a matter of time before these led to<br />
an increase in the level of paid claims. This<br />
anticipated development was dramatically<br />
realised in 2007/08, with Gross Paid<br />
Claims increasing by 34.5 percent.<br />
Net Paid Claims were ameliorated by<br />
reinsurance recoveries but still escalated<br />
by 25 percent. Following the same pattern<br />
as the outstanding claims estimates, this<br />
represents the single biggest percentage<br />
increase in paid claims between financial<br />
years in the market’s history.<br />
The developments of Gross Premiums<br />
compared to Gross Paid Claims, and,<br />
Operating Income compared to Net Paid<br />
Claims, are shown in the graphs on the<br />
opposite page.<br />
The 200 renewal premium increases should erode<br />
the underwriting deficit, but barring a minor miracle in<br />
claims trends 200 /09 will end with a reduced, but still<br />
material deficit.
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
The surge in outstanding claims in recent years was,<br />
as expected, dramatically mirrored in Paid Claims in<br />
2007/0 . Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />
3 . and 2 percent respectively. These represent the<br />
largest percentage increases in paid claims between<br />
financial years in the market’s history.<br />
Paid Premiums aNd Gross Paid Claims - ComPared To oWNed eNTered ToNNaGe<br />
3000<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
500<br />
0<br />
0<br />
3000<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
1000<br />
500<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />
Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />
Calls and Premiums<br />
Calls and Premiums<br />
Gross Paid Claims<br />
Gross Paid Claims<br />
1996/97<br />
1996/97<br />
1997/98<br />
1997/98<br />
1998/99<br />
1998/99<br />
1999/00<br />
1999/00<br />
2000/01<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
2007/08<br />
0<br />
Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />
Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />
Operating Income<br />
Operating Income<br />
Net Paid Claims<br />
Net Paid Claims<br />
1996/97<br />
1996/97<br />
1997/98<br />
1997/98<br />
1998/99<br />
1998/99<br />
1999/00<br />
1999/00<br />
2000/01<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
2007/08<br />
750<br />
750<br />
700<br />
700<br />
650<br />
650<br />
600<br />
600<br />
550<br />
550<br />
500<br />
500<br />
450<br />
450<br />
400<br />
400<br />
350<br />
350<br />
300<br />
300<br />
750<br />
750<br />
700<br />
700<br />
650<br />
650<br />
600<br />
600<br />
550<br />
550<br />
500<br />
500<br />
450<br />
450<br />
400<br />
400<br />
350<br />
350<br />
300<br />
300<br />
Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />
Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />
Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />
Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />
USD<br />
USD<br />
Millions<br />
Millions<br />
USD<br />
USD<br />
Millions<br />
Millions<br />
3000<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
1000<br />
oPeraTiNG iNCome aNd NeT Paid Claims - ComPared To oWNed eNTered ToNNaGe<br />
3000<br />
3000<br />
2500<br />
2500<br />
2000<br />
2000<br />
1500<br />
1500<br />
1000<br />
1000<br />
2005/06 2005/06<br />
2005/06 2005/06<br />
2006/07 2006/07<br />
2006/07 2006/07<br />
2007/08 2007/08<br />
2007/08 2007/08<br />
750<br />
750<br />
700<br />
700<br />
650<br />
650<br />
600<br />
600<br />
550<br />
550<br />
500<br />
500<br />
450<br />
450<br />
750<br />
750<br />
700<br />
700<br />
650<br />
650<br />
600<br />
600<br />
550<br />
550<br />
500<br />
500<br />
450<br />
450<br />
Entered Entered Tonnage (million GT) GT)<br />
Entered Entered Tonnage (million GT) GT)<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9
USD Millions<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
-600<br />
USD Millions<br />
1996/97<br />
NEw RECORD DEFICIT IN UNDERwRITINg RESULT<br />
As a result of the claims pattern highlighted earlier, the ‘paid’<br />
technical surplus in 2006/07 was reversed into a material deficit<br />
in 2007/08. Combined with a further increase in outstanding<br />
claims estimates (though mercifully increased by less than in<br />
2006/07) the overall ‘incurred technical result’ in 2007/08 was<br />
4 percent worse than in 2006/07.<br />
The ‘Net Underwriting Result’ graph below highlights this trend.<br />
Despite the fact that outstanding claims are increasing at a reduced<br />
rate, the paid underwriting deficit is large enough for the market to<br />
report the worst incurred underwriting result in its history.<br />
Due to the time lag of paying long tail claims, the trend expected<br />
over the next two or three years would be that paid claims would<br />
continue to increase, in broadly the same pattern as the increase<br />
in outstanding claims since 2004.<br />
NeT uNderWriTiNG resulT<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
-500<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus<br />
Surplus<br />
(Deficit)<br />
(Deficit)<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
Change in Estimated Outstanding Claims<br />
-600 Change in Estimated Outstanding Claims<br />
1997/98<br />
1998/99 1996/97<br />
1999/00 1997/98<br />
2000/01<br />
1998/99<br />
2001/02<br />
1999/00<br />
INvESTMENT INCOME COMES<br />
TO ThE RESCUE AgAIN - ALMOST<br />
The P&I market has not reported an underwriting surplus for<br />
over 15 years. Over these 15 years investment income has been<br />
sufficient to offset the underwriting deficits in all but five years.<br />
In our review last year we anticipated the marginal deterioration<br />
in the underwriting result. We also highlighted that a similar<br />
deficit to 2006/07 would be offset by an investment income result<br />
exceeding 6 percent.<br />
0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2000/01<br />
2002/03<br />
2001/02<br />
2003/04<br />
2002/03<br />
2004/05<br />
2003/04<br />
2005/06<br />
2004/05<br />
2006/07<br />
2005/06<br />
2007/08<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
USD Millions<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
USD Millions<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
05/06<br />
07/08<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
There was much uncertainty in 2007<br />
about the possible levels of investment<br />
income. Without question no one<br />
expected the record levels seen in<br />
2006/07 but there were also a number<br />
of dire predictions about where the year<br />
could eventually lead. As it turned out,<br />
for most Clubs, investment income was<br />
significantly better than feared and the<br />
overall result across the market was<br />
marginally over 6 percent.
USD Millions<br />
2001/02<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
2002/03<br />
0<br />
2003/04<br />
1996/97<br />
The impact of investment income on the overall result is clearly<br />
shown in the ‘Overall Result’ graph below. The substantial<br />
incurred technical deficit was converted to almost a break<br />
even position due to the USD 347 million contribution from<br />
investment income. As mentioned in the introduction to this<br />
section, investment income did not completely offset the<br />
underwriting loss, but came within USD 8.3 million of the level<br />
required. Putting the overall deficit in context it represents only a<br />
0.3 percent deficit when compared to market premium.<br />
investment income did not completely offset the<br />
underwriting loss, but it transformed what would<br />
have been a 13 percent overall deficit to just a<br />
0.3 percent deficit.<br />
overall resulT – iNCludiNG iNvesTmeNT iNCome<br />
USD Millions<br />
Investment 800 Income<br />
Investment Income<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
600 Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
1997/98<br />
1998/99<br />
1996/97<br />
1999/00<br />
1997/98<br />
2000/01<br />
1998/99<br />
2001/02<br />
1999/00<br />
2002/03<br />
2000/01<br />
2003/04<br />
2001/02<br />
2004/05<br />
2002/03<br />
2005/06<br />
2003/04<br />
2006/07<br />
2004/05<br />
2007/08<br />
2005/06<br />
develoPmeNT of asseTs aNd free reserves<br />
USD Millions<br />
2004/05<br />
7000<br />
6000<br />
5000<br />
4000<br />
3000<br />
2000<br />
1000<br />
0<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07 1996/97<br />
Net Assets (Market)<br />
Net Outstanding Claims<br />
Free Reserves<br />
2007/08 1997/98<br />
1998/99<br />
1999/00<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
2007/08<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
MARkET RESERvES PLATEAU<br />
Assets and Outstanding Claims estimates<br />
increased by a similar level (3.2 percent<br />
and 3.9 percent respectively). Free<br />
Reserves, mirroring the marginal overall<br />
deficit for 2007/08, dipped very slightly.<br />
The trend in development of Total Assets<br />
and Free Reserves within the IG market<br />
over the last twelve years is highlighted in<br />
the graph at the bottom of this page.<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
7000<br />
6000<br />
5000<br />
4000<br />
3000<br />
2000<br />
1000<br />
0<br />
USD Millions<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
05/06 07/08<br />
07/08<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
USD Millions<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
7000<br />
6000<br />
5000<br />
4000<br />
3000<br />
2000<br />
1000<br />
0<br />
05/06<br />
06/07
UNDERwRITINg vARIANCES<br />
BETwEEN CLUBS<br />
This relatively benign overall result masks the wide variances<br />
between the best and worst performing individual Clubs.<br />
Similarly the heavy reliance on investment income has become all<br />
too clear following the world economic crash in September and<br />
October 2008.<br />
The following graph (Percentage Underwriting Surplus/Deficit)<br />
highlights the financial year percentage technical surplus or<br />
deficit of the 13 International Group Clubs. In effect this shows<br />
the percentage by which each Club’s premium would have to be<br />
increased for the 2007/08 financial year to break even without any<br />
contribution from investment income.<br />
Only three Clubs reported a technical surplus in 2007/08. Of these<br />
the Japan Club’s result was largely because of unbudgeted calls<br />
registered in the financial year.<br />
The graph emphasises the extent of reliance on investment<br />
income in the current P&I market, but also highlights which<br />
Clubs have further to go than others to redress the balance.<br />
PerCeNTaGe uNderWriTiNG surPlus / defiCiT<br />
(2007/0 year)<br />
iNCurred TeChNiCal surPlus (or defiCiT) / Premium<br />
15% Underwriting Surplus/Deficit<br />
10%<br />
Market Average<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
-15%<br />
-20%<br />
-25%<br />
-30%<br />
-35%<br />
American<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
Japan<br />
2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
London<br />
North of<br />
England<br />
Shipowners<br />
Skuld<br />
Standard<br />
Steamship<br />
Swedish<br />
UK Club<br />
West of<br />
England<br />
The heavy reliance<br />
on investment<br />
income resonates all<br />
too painfully with the<br />
problems following<br />
the world economic<br />
crash in september<br />
and october 200 .
INvESTMENT STRATEgY vARIANCES<br />
BETwEEN CLUBS<br />
The reliance on investment income combined with a very uncertain economic climate has<br />
naturally led to considerable focus on how each Club chooses to invest their reserves.<br />
We have included below a graph (Investment Allocation) which compares each of the<br />
Clubs’ investment allocation, rather crudely, under the headings: Cash, Bonds (including<br />
any fixed income vehicles), Equities and Others (e.g. property, commodities etc).<br />
The allocations are as at the date of the Clubs’ last Report and Accounts. For most Clubs<br />
this would be the 20 February 2008, but the Swedish and American Clubs reported on<br />
31 December 2007.<br />
Reviewing this investment allocation more recently (Autumn 2008) the pattern remains<br />
relatively similar, with only a small percentage difference between any of the types of<br />
investment (usually a 2 to 5 percent reduction in equity holdings). Notable exceptions<br />
to this are the London Club and North of England. The North of England as at October<br />
2008 held no equities, 62 percent in cash, 25 percent in bonds and 3 percent in other<br />
investments. The London Club as at 20 September had reduced their equity holdings<br />
from 39 to 22 percent, with corresponding increases in Cash and Bond investments from<br />
16 to 26 percent and 40 to 47 percent respectively.<br />
Focussing on the percentage of equities held by each Club, it is perhaps not surprising<br />
that the London Club, with the very highest percentage of equities in the market, have<br />
been forced to make unbudgeted calls. The UK P&I Club by contrast appeared to have<br />
made the right decision in late 2007/08 to withdraw almost completely from equities,<br />
further emphasising that their rationale for unbudgeted calls is less straight forward than<br />
simply the crash of the financial markets.<br />
iNvesTmeNT alloCaTioN<br />
100%<br />
90%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
American<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
Japan<br />
London<br />
North of<br />
England<br />
Shipowners<br />
Skuld<br />
Standard<br />
Steamship<br />
Swedish<br />
UK Club<br />
West of<br />
England<br />
Cash<br />
Bonds<br />
Equity<br />
Others<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3
FUTURE TRENDS<br />
CLAIMS LEvELS – whERE NExT?<br />
In previous reviews we have discussed the key potential drivers<br />
pushing up P&I claims levels. The principle factors highlighted in<br />
last year’s review are reiterated below:<br />
— Increased use of ships and pressure on turnaround as a result of<br />
the positive freight market, resulting in a greater number and<br />
size of claims.<br />
— Higher commodity prices pushing up repair costs and size of<br />
cargo claims.<br />
— With shipyards working at full capacity and very little<br />
scrapping, there are simply more ships operating.<br />
— Lack of qualified and experienced crew, potentially leading to<br />
more human errors.<br />
— Technological advancements make what was previously<br />
impossible, now possible (e.g. wreck removal/cargo removal<br />
from deeper water etc).<br />
— The general background of increasing limitation on ship<br />
owners and an increasingly onerous operating environment<br />
compound the above factors.<br />
Over the next year, the factors affecting claims levels are likely to<br />
evolve. In the existing economic climate it would be anticipated<br />
that trade would be reduced and freight volumes would<br />
correspondingly diminish. It would also be reasonable to predict<br />
that commodity prices would decrease. In a period of reduced<br />
demand for shipping it would similarly be predictable that older<br />
ships would finally be scrapped as they no longer prove to be<br />
economically viable to operate. Consequently we would expect that<br />
in a recessionary economic environment the impact of the factors<br />
highlighted in the first three bullet points above would be lessened.<br />
The crewing shortage will not be addressed over night, but if fewer<br />
ships are operating the pressure should be reduced. The current<br />
escalated crew costs will however be harder to redress imminently.<br />
Similarly the dramatically increased limitation environment that<br />
has developed in recent years looks likely to continue in the same<br />
onerous direction. The political climate seems stacked against ship<br />
operators for the foreseeable future.<br />
New claims drivers will also be introduced. In a less buoyant<br />
freight environment, it will be less likely that relatively minor<br />
disputes will be resolved commercially. Similarly in a more<br />
difficult commercial world the potential for moral hazard is<br />
increased when dealing with less reputable trading partners.<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
On balance, it would be expected that<br />
P&I claims, with a natural time lag, would<br />
decrease as the world economic recession<br />
develops. However, due to the increased<br />
levels of limitation the cost of major<br />
causalities would be unlikely to diminish,<br />
consequently a similarly volatile profile of<br />
large claims is likely to continue.<br />
In the short term, due to the nature of<br />
long tail claims it is expected that paid<br />
claims will continue to increase following<br />
broadly the same pattern as the increase in<br />
outstanding claims since 2004. Similarly<br />
for the current policy year there appears to<br />
be no imminent abatement in the increase<br />
of attritional claims costs.<br />
One aspect that appears almost<br />
inevitable, even if P&I claims reduce,<br />
is that commercial disputes covered by<br />
Freight Demurrage and Defence (FDD)<br />
will increase.<br />
IMPACT OF ThE<br />
FINANCIAL CLIMATE<br />
ON INvESTMENT INCOME?<br />
The key wild card at the moment is the<br />
impact that the global economic crisis has<br />
had on Club reserves and will have on future<br />
investment income results.<br />
In an attempt to indicate how<br />
fundamental and unpredictable this is,<br />
we have projected forward two theoretical<br />
outcomes for the market by the end of the<br />
2008/09 financial year. These are shown<br />
in the graphs on the opposite page. The<br />
first graph estimates the overall result<br />
for the market assuming no investment<br />
income at all. The second graph looks at<br />
a scenario which projects the outcome if<br />
all Clubs lost approximately 30 percent<br />
of the value of their equity holdings, but<br />
achieved a 3 percent return on all other<br />
investments in 2008/09. Clearly neither<br />
outcome is positive, but the second<br />
scenario would wipe out just under 20<br />
percent of the market’s free reserves<br />
in a single year. The probable result is<br />
somewhere between the two.
2000/01<br />
ar (Deficit)<br />
rplus (Deficit)<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
USD Millions<br />
2003/04<br />
USD Millions<br />
RENEwAL AT FEBRUARY 20, 2009<br />
Ahead of the renewal at February 20, 2009, the P&I market is facing a world full<br />
of uncertainties.<br />
Despite a respite in Pool claims, retained claims continue to increase, at least in the<br />
short term. There is continuing cost pressure on the IG reinsurance programme.<br />
The investment environment is the most volatile in living memory.<br />
Underwriting deficits combined with unreliable investment income present the<br />
unwelcome but inevitable prospect of significant premium increases at 20 February 2009.<br />
The change in the shipping market presents its own uncertainties. All of which looks<br />
likely to lead to a renewal every bit as confrontational as 2008.<br />
overall resulT – ProjeCTed forWard: Nil iNvesTmeNT iNCome<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
2004/05<br />
1996/97 2005/06<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
Investment Income<br />
1997/98 2006/07<br />
1998/99 2007/08<br />
1999/00 2008/09<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
overall resulT –<br />
ProjeCTed forWard: equiTies -30 PerCeNT, remaiNiNG iNvesTmeNTs +3 PerCeNT<br />
900<br />
900<br />
800<br />
800<br />
700<br />
700<br />
600<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
-500<br />
1996/97<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />
Investment Income<br />
Investment Income<br />
1997/98 1997/98<br />
1998/99<br />
1998/99<br />
1999/00<br />
1999/00<br />
2000/01<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2005/06 2006/07<br />
2006/07 2007/08<br />
2007/08 2008/09<br />
2008/09<br />
2008/09<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
0<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
USD Millions<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
06/07<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
-100<br />
-200<br />
-300<br />
-400<br />
-500<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
08/09<br />
07/08<br />
06/07<br />
08/09<br />
07/08<br />
08/09<br />
USD Millions<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
-200<br />
-400<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
0<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
08/09
REINSURANCE<br />
<strong>AND</strong> POOLINg
ChANgES IN<br />
INTERNATIONAL<br />
gROUP REINSURANCE<br />
RENEwAL AT 20 FEBRUARY 2008<br />
As expected there were no material changes to the Retentions or Structure of the<br />
International Group (IG) reinsurance programme at 20 February 2008. The unchanged<br />
structure chart is included below.<br />
The key issue for the reinsurance renewal at 20 February 2008 was cost.<br />
Despite a relatively flat reinsurance market, the reinsurance rates were increased by an<br />
average of 9.77 percent and all types of ship were impacted. The largest percentage increase<br />
was on dry cargo ships (12.65 percent), and dirty tankers faced the smallest percentage<br />
increase (7.4 percent). While clean tankers and passenger ships increased by 9.76 percent and<br />
9.27 percent respectively.<br />
STRUCTURE OF INTERNATIONAL gROUP REINSURANCE PROgRAMME 2008/09*<br />
Catastrophe/overspill call liability<br />
of shipowners (approximately)<br />
Collective Overspill Cover<br />
(One Reinstatement)<br />
Third Excess Layer<br />
(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />
Second Excess Layer<br />
(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />
75% First Excess Layer<br />
(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
25% Co-Insurance (Hydra)<br />
USD 5.4B<br />
USD 3.05B<br />
USD 2.05B<br />
USD 1.05B<br />
USD 550M<br />
Upper Pool (Hydra) USD 50M<br />
Lower Pool USD 30M<br />
Club Retentions USD 7M<br />
*Not to scale<br />
Aggregate of Passenger<br />
and Crew Risk USD 3B<br />
Sub-limit in Respect of<br />
Passenger Risks USD 2B Limit<br />
Oil pollution USD 1B Limit
When translated to direct premiums the reinsurance increases were relatively modest (average<br />
around 1 to 2 percent). However, as they came at the end of a challenging season, the increases<br />
were perceived as an unexpected ‘sting in the tail’ of an already difficult renewal.<br />
As implied earlier, the driving factor behind the reinsurance increases was not the<br />
reinsurance market itself but the requirement to address the losses of the International<br />
Group Captive (Hydra).<br />
Hydra reinsures each Club’s share of the Upper Pool layer (USD 20 million excess of USD 30<br />
million), together with each Club’s 25 percent share of the first layer of the IG’s reinsurance<br />
programme (USD 500 million excess of USD 50 million). Unlike the costs of the IG Pool itself,<br />
Hydra is funded by a proportion of the IG reinsurance premium allocated to each vessel.<br />
The surge in large claims in 2006 would have effectively wiped out Hydra’s reserves: the<br />
projected total claims cost on Hydra for the 2005 and 2006 years combined was USD 162<br />
million, whereas net premiums into Hydra totalled USD 119 million.<br />
In order to avoid potential insolvency, an unplanned refinancing was effected in April<br />
2007 through a USD 50 million capital call shared across all the IG Clubs. This refinanced<br />
the captive, but did not prepare it for the continuing high claims levels as experienced in<br />
2006. With similar claims levels developing in 2007, the decision was taken to increase<br />
annual premiums into Hydra from 20 February 2008. This had the obvious knock on<br />
effect of increasing the IG reinsurance rates per vessel.<br />
The impact on the reinsurance cost by type of vessel is outlined in the table below and in<br />
the graphs on the following page.<br />
One of the very few ‘bright spots’ in the reinsurance results was the reduction in US Voyage<br />
Additional Premiums (-10 percent).<br />
INTERNATIONAL gROUP ExCESS OF LOSS REINSURANCE RATES<br />
Vessel Type 2007/08 2008/09 Increase/Reduction Percentage Increase<br />
(USD, per GT, per annum) (USD, per GT, per annum) (USD, per GT, per annum)<br />
Dirty Tanker 0.6797 0.7300 0.0503 7.40%<br />
Clean Tanker 0.3187 0.3498 0.0311 9.76%<br />
Dry/Other 0.2837 0.3196 0.0359 12.65%<br />
Passenger 1.3714 1.4985 0.1271 9.27%<br />
Tanker Chartered 0.1635 0.1696 0.0061 3.73%<br />
Other Chartered 0.0805 0.0829 0.0024 2.98%<br />
US vOYAgE SURChARgES<br />
Additional Fixed Premium, USD per GT, per voyage<br />
2007/08 2008/09 Reduction Percentage Change<br />
(USD, per GT, per voyage)<br />
Vessels with SBT 0.096 0.086 -0.0100 -10.4%<br />
Vessels without SBT 0.114 0.103 -0.0110 -9.6%<br />
SBT: Segregated Ballast Tanks<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9
1996<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
USD per GT<br />
2000<br />
1.6<br />
1.4<br />
1.2<br />
1.0<br />
0.8<br />
0.6<br />
0.4<br />
0.2<br />
0.0<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
1995<br />
2003<br />
1996<br />
2004<br />
1997<br />
2005<br />
1998<br />
2006<br />
1999<br />
2007<br />
2000<br />
2008<br />
2001<br />
Dirty Tanker Clean Tanker Passenger Other<br />
Dirty Tanker Clean Tanker Passenger Other<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
COST ChANgES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
20 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
US vOYAgE ADDITIONAL PREMIUMS<br />
USD per GT<br />
2000<br />
0.30<br />
0.25<br />
0.20<br />
0.15<br />
0.10<br />
0.05<br />
0.00<br />
2001<br />
Vessels with SBT<br />
2002<br />
1995<br />
2003<br />
1996<br />
2004<br />
1997<br />
2005<br />
1998<br />
2006<br />
1999<br />
2007<br />
2000<br />
2008<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
Vessels without SBT<br />
Vessels with SBT<br />
2004<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2008<br />
Vessels without SBT<br />
USD per GT<br />
USD per GT<br />
1.6<br />
1.4<br />
1.2<br />
1.0<br />
0.8<br />
0.6<br />
0.4<br />
0.2<br />
0.0<br />
0.30<br />
0.25<br />
0.20<br />
0.15<br />
0.10<br />
0.05<br />
0.00<br />
2005<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2007<br />
USD per GT<br />
2008<br />
USD per GT<br />
2008<br />
1.6<br />
1.4<br />
1.2<br />
1.0<br />
0.8<br />
0.6<br />
0.4<br />
0.2<br />
0.0<br />
0.30<br />
0.25<br />
0.20<br />
0.15<br />
0.10<br />
0.05<br />
0.00<br />
2005<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2006
POOL <strong>AND</strong> RETENTION<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
INTRODUCTION<br />
The development of very large claims and their impact on P&I rating has continued to be<br />
a key area of discussion during 2008/09.<br />
2006/07 and 2007/08 are by some margin, the worst two years for Pool claims in the history<br />
of the market. Further deterioration from their current level is also expected. As outlined in<br />
our P&I Review last year, volatility is the overriding characteristic of the pattern of large P&I<br />
claims. Almost to underline this, so far in 2008/09 Pool claims appear to be strangely benign.<br />
At the time of writing only four Pool claims had been reported in the current policy year and<br />
only two of these were claims in excess of USD 10 million. This reduction in the incidence of<br />
very large claims is unlikely to continue, but it ironically serves to emphasise the volatility and<br />
difficulty of predicting claims in the current environment.<br />
MASSIvELY INCREASED RETENTION BY ThE P&I MARkET<br />
There have been progressive increases in both individual Clubs’ retentions and the limits<br />
collectively insured by the Pool.<br />
The two graphs on the following page show the developments of individual Club<br />
Retention and of the Pool layers from 1989 to 2008. We have also included our prediction<br />
of how the 2009 year will look after the renewal at 20 February 2009.<br />
The trend for both has been periods of stability followed by clear steps up in exposure.<br />
For retentions, the key increases were in the early 1990’s and again from 2005 to 2007. The<br />
timing for the increases in Pooling were similar (1992 to 1994 and 2004) but the most material<br />
expansion of exposure was the introduction of the Upper Pool and coinsurance layer in 2004.<br />
There has been a massive increase in risk retained within the Pool over the last twenty years:<br />
— In 1989 the maximum Pool exposure was USD 10.8 million each claim, in excess of a<br />
USD 1.2 million individual Club retention.<br />
— By 2008 this had increased to USD 43 million each claim, in excess of a USD 7 million<br />
individual Club retention.<br />
— In addition to this, a 25 percent share of all claims between USD 50 and USD 550 million<br />
was introduced in 2004. This share of the USD 500 million excess layer represents a further<br />
potential exposure of USD 125 million on major claims.<br />
— The current combined catastrophe exposure under the Pool and Hydra therefore is<br />
USD 168 million each claim.<br />
This USD 157 million increase in the maximum Pool exposure per claim inevitably<br />
increases the potential for erratic results.<br />
Both the Upper Layer of the Pool and the 25 percent coinsurance of the layer between USD 50<br />
million and USD 550 million are retained by the International Group through the mechanism<br />
of a cell captive, Hydra (discussed earlier in this section).<br />
In this review, references to ‘Pooling’ will include all areas where the IG collectively<br />
shares the risk, either directly through the Lower Pool, or via Hydra in the Upper Pool and<br />
the 25 percent coinsurance layer.<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 2
USD Millions<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
USD Millions<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
0<br />
RETENTION <strong>AND</strong> POOLINg DEvELOPMENT<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
1989<br />
2001<br />
1990<br />
2002<br />
1991<br />
2003<br />
1992<br />
2004<br />
1993<br />
2005<br />
1994<br />
2006<br />
1995<br />
2007<br />
1996<br />
2008<br />
1997<br />
2009<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
Club Retention<br />
RETENTION DEvELOPMENT<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
Pool<br />
22 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Upper Pool (Hydra)<br />
Club Retention<br />
Pool<br />
PROJECTED<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
Upper Pool (Hydra)<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
0<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
0<br />
2006<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2008<br />
PROJECTED<br />
2009<br />
2009<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
0<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
0<br />
2006<br />
2006
1999<br />
2000<br />
including Hydra<br />
Insurance)<br />
2001<br />
POOL RESULTS<br />
Like all liability results, the Pool results progress over time as cases are acknowledged,<br />
estimated for, developed and are finally paid and closed.<br />
It usually takes two to three years following the inception of a policy year for the results to<br />
mature to the point that final projections can be made with reasonable accuracy.<br />
As a ‘snap shot’ of the picture at 20 August 2008, we have included below a graph showing<br />
the number and cost of Pool claims for the period from 1997 to 2007. The graph shows both<br />
the current value of the claims reported and also the estimated final outcome for each year.<br />
To show the historic trend in Pool claims more clearly we have also included a further<br />
graph, overleaf, titled “Pool Claims – ‘As If’ Current Structure”.<br />
As outlined earlier, the structure of the Pool has changed significantly over the last twenty<br />
years. To analyse the trend more meaningfully we have calculated how the historic Pool<br />
results would have looked had the current (2008-year) structure applied in each of the<br />
years since 1988.<br />
The graph all too clearly shows the trend. The pattern up until 2005 was of a volatility<br />
of large claims, but with a relatively low mean (from 1988 to 2005 the average total cost<br />
of the Pool was less than USD 145 million per year). This was followed in 2006 with a<br />
dramatic jump in the overall cost of large claims. The expected average cost of Pool claims<br />
in 2006 and 2007 is likely to be around USD 500 million each year.<br />
POOL CLAIMS - ExPECTED 40 FINAL OUTCOME<br />
USD Millions<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
2002<br />
0<br />
2003<br />
1997<br />
2004<br />
1998<br />
2005<br />
1999<br />
Expected Final Outcome<br />
2006<br />
2000<br />
Totals (including Hydra<br />
and Co-Insurance)<br />
2007<br />
2001<br />
Number<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Number of Claims<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
Expected Final Outcome<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Number<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Number of Claims<br />
USD Millions<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
USD Millions<br />
Number of Claims<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
0<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 23<br />
5<br />
2005<br />
2006
POOL CLAIMS – ‘AS IF’ CURRENT STRUCTURE<br />
USD Millions<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
0<br />
Pools + Hydra / Co-ins ‘As-If’ Current<br />
1988<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
POOL RESULTS - ANALYSIS<br />
In our Review last year we analysed the 2006 year Pool results. The broad conclusions<br />
reached are summarised as follows:<br />
— The average cost of each Pool claim in 2006 was almost 50 percent more than the<br />
average cost of Pool claims over the previous four years.<br />
— The profile of ships involved by type, age, nationality etc was unremarkable.<br />
The distribution broadly mirrored the world fleet, though arguably weighted slightly<br />
more towards container ships and somewhat under represented by tanker tonnage.<br />
— Similarly there was no obvious indication of sub-standard shipping involved.<br />
If anything, the notable characteristic was the number of casualties involving top<br />
quality operators.<br />
— The underlying theme of the results suggested that there was an increased incidence<br />
of claims arising from navigational errors, resulting in groundings, contact damage<br />
and collisions.<br />
2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Pools + Hydra / Co-ins ‘As-If’ Current<br />
USD Millions<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
assuming this high average individual claim<br />
level is sustained, it will be very likely that<br />
the overall level of Pool claims experienced<br />
in 2006 and 2007 will be repeated.<br />
100<br />
0<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
USD Millions<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
2005
In 2006 the four largest claims, ‘GIANT STEP’, ‘MSC NAPOLI’,<br />
‘OCEAN VICTORY’ and ‘ROKIA DELMAS’ all involved ships that<br />
ended up aground. Overall, groundings accounted for 10 of the 31<br />
claims and over 60 percent of the total cost of the year.<br />
The broad conclusions reached regarding the 2006 Pool claims<br />
remain valid for the 2007 results.<br />
This theme of navigational errors continued in 2007. The two<br />
largest claims were ‘HEBEI SPIRIT’ (major oil spill in South<br />
Korea) and ‘COSCO BUSAN’ (which struck the San Francisco Bay<br />
Bridge). The ‘HEBEI SPIRIT’ claim arose from a collision and the<br />
‘COSCO BUSAN’ claim arose from contact.<br />
POOL RESULTS - PROSPECTS FOR ThE FUTURE<br />
The factors driving the increase in claims were outlined in the<br />
Financial Commentary of this review. It is widely expected that<br />
the economic slowdown will result in a decrease in world trade.<br />
Consequently, some of the reasons given for the increases in<br />
numbers and/or cost of claims, such as the commercial pressure<br />
on ships, lack of scrapping and increased commodity prices, are<br />
likely to diminish but not disappear.<br />
Nor will the crewing issue be solved overnight. Similarly the<br />
increases in limitation imposed on the shipping community<br />
over the last eight years are more likely to worsen than abate.<br />
The conundrum therefore is why the current (2008/09) year<br />
shows a surprising lack of activity in terms of Pool claims.<br />
Arguably, the most significant differentiator between the 2006 and<br />
2007 claims profile and those of the previous years was the average<br />
cost per claim. Assuming this high average individual claim level is<br />
sustained, it will be very likely that the overall level of Pool claims<br />
experienced in 2006 and 2007 will be repeated.<br />
As highlighted above, due to the increased stretch insured by<br />
the IG under the Pooling arrangements over the last five years,<br />
a dominant factor that we expect to see is volatility. With the<br />
expansion of retained risk with the Upper Pool, and coinsurance,<br />
the IG has increased their exposure to large claims. Theoretically<br />
this may make sense in the long term, as it controls claims at ‘cost<br />
price’, but in the short term it means there is the potential of<br />
substantially greater instability in claims costs.<br />
Therefore, despite the early indications for the current year, we<br />
still expect the trend to continue to be one of volatility, set against<br />
a higher average.<br />
With the expansion<br />
of retained risk with<br />
the upper Pool, and<br />
coinsurance, the iG has<br />
increased their exposure<br />
to large claims.<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 2
ExPECTATIONS FOR ThE<br />
REINSURANCE RENEwAL<br />
AT 20 FEBRUARY 2009<br />
INDIvIDUAL CLUB RETENTIONS TO INCREASE<br />
As a general principle, there continues to be a stated aim of some of the larger and/<br />
or better funded Clubs to further increase individual Club retentions. Despite the<br />
background level and unpredictability of major claims, it looks likely that there will be a<br />
consensus for another increase in retention at 20 February 2009.<br />
We expect the individual Club retentions to increase from USD 7 million to USD 8 million<br />
at 20 February 2009. This will probably be the only major change to the structure of the<br />
IG reinsurance programme at the forthcoming renewal.<br />
The IG continues to review the way they handle war risks. There is the possibility that<br />
terrorism risks will cease to be excluded, and that the war programme will in a revised<br />
form be rolled in to the main IG Excess of Loss programme. As ever, agreement needs<br />
to be achieved across a diverse range of Club Boards to achieve this, consequently,<br />
implementation of any changes is far from certain.<br />
UPwARD PRESSURE ON ThE Ig REINSURANCE PROgRAMME COST<br />
There has not been a single claim anywhere near the Excess of Loss programme so far in<br />
2008. Unfortunately, there has been significant deterioration in the estimates for two or<br />
three major claims in both 2006 and 2007.<br />
The reinsurance market is also in a state of flux. The combination of the uncertain financial<br />
market, major losses in the marine liability sector, and concern about the volatility of P&I<br />
claims, all point towards a previously stable reinsurance market becoming firmer.<br />
Therefore, pressure to increase the premium rating for the IG reinsurance programme<br />
seems inevitable. The deterioration in the back years’ has only affected the lower layers<br />
of the programme. Thus, the cost of these lower layers is likely to increase. Overall cost<br />
increases should be lessened by results on the claims free upper layers of the programme.<br />
Similarly, increases in world tonnage should also dilute overall cost increases when these<br />
lump sum premiums are translated to a cost per GT in owners’ P&I rates.<br />
In the current uncertain market, it would be prudent for operators to budget for an<br />
inflationary increase on the IG reinsurance cost.<br />
26 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
The combination of the uncertain financial market,<br />
major losses in the marine liability sector, and concern<br />
about the volatility of P&i claims, all point towards a<br />
previously stable reinsurance market becoming firmer.
27 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 27
gENERAL<br />
INCREASES
2008/09 OvERvIEw<br />
General increases will be announced predominantly in the 10 to 20 percent range for the<br />
renewal at 20 February 2009.<br />
We have included below a graph showing the announcements of the Clubs for the 2009<br />
policy year. The historic market results are shown on the page opposite.<br />
The prime driver for most Clubs continues to be to try to address their technical<br />
(underwriting) deficits. With ongoing uncertainty in the financial markets this push<br />
towards reducing reliance on investment income, which usually balances the books,<br />
is all the more critical.<br />
The level of General increases are determined by not only each Club’s existing technical<br />
deficits (or surpluses), but also their expectations of how claims costs will develop, and the<br />
margin of error they build in to protect themselves against volatility in the industry.<br />
In addition to the premium increases, eight of the Clubs have also announced some form<br />
of general increase in deductible levels.<br />
The average of the announced increases is likely to be marginally higher than 2008 and<br />
the Clubs’ rationale behind the increases is evident. Regardless of this, the forthcoming<br />
renewal looks likely to be just as challenging as last year.<br />
gENERAL INCREASES – 20 FEBRUARY 2009<br />
30%<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
American<br />
Britannia<br />
30 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Gard<br />
Japan<br />
London<br />
North of England<br />
Shipowners<br />
Skuld<br />
Standard (Bermuda)<br />
Steamship<br />
16.5% Market Average<br />
Swedish<br />
United Kingdom<br />
West of England
Percentage<br />
YEAR ON YEAR<br />
INCREASE COMPARISONS<br />
AvERAgE MARkET gENERAL INCREASES<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
1992 - 2009 MARkET gENERAL INCREASES<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
% 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />
American 32 12.5 8.5 18 7.5 10 0 5 5 10 26 25 17.5 10 10 10 20 29<br />
Britannia 25 10 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 28.8 15 8.5 7.5 -2.5 5 23.8 12.5<br />
Gard 30 10 0 0 5 7.5 0 -3.85 5 10 25 15 7.5 5 7.5 5 10 15<br />
Japan 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 20 21.2<br />
London 50 10 7.5 5 5 5 0 5 5 10 27.5 25 15 12.5 12.5 7.5 17.5 15<br />
North of England 40 15 7.5 5 7.5 7.5 5 5 5 10 25 25 17.5 12.5 7.5 7.5 17.5 17.5<br />
Shipowners 20 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 15 0 0 0 5 * 10<br />
Skuld 30-75 15 10 2.5 5 5 0 5 0 10 30 25 15 7.5 5 2.5 7.5 15<br />
Standard<br />
(Bermuda)<br />
25 20 7.5 4.5 7.5 0 0 0 0 7.5 25 25 20 12.5 5 5 15 15<br />
Steamship 22.5 15 4.5 5 7.5 5 0 0 5 10 25 25 20 12.5 5 9 15 17.5<br />
Swedish 0+R/I 15 0+R/I 0+R/I 0 0 0 0 0 7.5 25 25 15 10 10 7.5 15 15<br />
United Kingdom 50 15 0 7.5 5 5 5 5 0 7.5 20 25 17.5 12.5 12.5 7.5 17.5 12.5<br />
West of England 50 20 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 5 5 5 10 25 25 15 12.5 12.5 5 15 19.2<br />
Average 36.39 14.84 7.03 5 4.84 4.38 1.43 2.01 2.31 7.88 23.25 21.54 12.96 8.85 6.54 6.65 16.15 16.5<br />
* The Shipowners Club did not announce a general increase in 2008, however they selectively applied increases between 15 and 20 percent<br />
The Gard did not announce figurative general increases in 2007, 2008 and 2009, but the approximate overall increases they sought and are seeking are noted.<br />
The figures noted for Britannia in 2008, and West of England, American and Japan Clubs in 2009, represent the cumulative effect of the announced<br />
increase in the advance call plus the increase in deferred call estimate.<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3
AvERAgE<br />
ExPENSE<br />
RATIOS
Average Expense Ratios (AERs) were introduced in 1999<br />
following pressure from the European Commission to improve<br />
transparency of costs between the Clubs.<br />
The intention was to enable direct comparisons of operating<br />
cost efficiency between all the International Group Clubs.<br />
Consequently all Clubs are required to follow the same format<br />
when calculating their AER figure.<br />
The ratio is a five-year average of:<br />
3 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Operating costs x 100<br />
(Premium income + Investment income)<br />
AERs are a reasonable idea in principle, and provide a broad<br />
indication of relative cost efficiency, however direct comparisons<br />
between Clubs are not completely straightforward. The ratio is a<br />
crude guide to relative efficiency but it is too simplistic to assume<br />
that the Club with the lowest AER is the most efficient and the<br />
Club with the highest the most inefficient.<br />
DIFFICULTIES wITh DIRECT COMPARISONS<br />
There are a number of factors that affect the AER figure, examples<br />
of which include;<br />
— Disproportionately high levels of premium or investment<br />
income will produce a lower AER.<br />
— Different Membership profiles also have an impact.<br />
For example because the Shipowners’ Club has a Membership<br />
which consists of a large number of small ships paying relatively<br />
low premiums per vessel, they have a significantly higher AER<br />
than the other Clubs.<br />
— The exact basis of calculation adopted is also material. For<br />
example, the large ‘jump’ in the Standard Club’s AER in 2004/05<br />
was caused by the Club revising the basis upon which they<br />
calculated their AER. They moved to the basis adopted by most<br />
other Clubs of including commissions within the calculation.<br />
— Loss prevention programmes increase operating costs and<br />
therefore push up the AER. Most Clubs would argue however<br />
that such costs are more than offset by claims avoided.<br />
— If a Club owns its office space, the Club’s operating costs will be<br />
less, therefore reducing the AER.<br />
TREND ANALYSIS<br />
We have included all ten years of<br />
published AERs in the following graph.<br />
Even when reviewing the trends of the<br />
ratio, the analysis does not prove to be<br />
directly helpful. The timing of the<br />
changes in AERs arguably shows greater<br />
(inverse) correlation with investment<br />
and premium income rather than the<br />
level of reported expenses.<br />
The most recent reported years show the<br />
difficulties very clearly. Despite an increase<br />
in actual operating expenses across the<br />
market of 23 percent between 2004/05<br />
and 2007/08, the market average AER<br />
actually reduced by 9 percent over the<br />
same period. The variance is explained by<br />
the cumulative increase in premium and<br />
investment income skewing the ratio.<br />
it is too simplistic to assume that the Club<br />
with the lowest AER is the most efficient and<br />
the Club with the highest the most inefficient.
Japan<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
London<br />
North of England<br />
Swedish<br />
UK Club<br />
Steamship<br />
Skuld<br />
Standard<br />
West of England<br />
American<br />
Shipowners<br />
AvERAgE ExPENSE RATIOS<br />
0 5 10 15 20 25<br />
0 5 10 15 20 25<br />
1998/99<br />
1999/00<br />
2000/01<br />
2001/02<br />
2002/03<br />
2003/04<br />
2004/05<br />
2005/06<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
Market Average<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3
CLUB<br />
FINANCIAL<br />
PAgES
INTRODUCTION TO CLUB FINANCIAL PAgES<br />
The following section includes our financial summaries for each<br />
Club. The financial analysis in this review is drawn from the<br />
published consolidated financial year results of the Clubs.<br />
As in previous years, our main aim in presenting these summaries<br />
has been consistency. There are still variations between the way<br />
Clubs report, however we have tried as far as possible to compare<br />
‘like with like’. We have simplified and summarised certain<br />
aspects, but where information is available, we have tried to<br />
adopt the same approach for all Clubs.<br />
The figures included/summarised under each heading are<br />
defined below:<br />
Calls and Premiums All calls (gross basis, including brokerage)<br />
Reinsurance Premiums All reinsurance premiums.<br />
Operating Expenses All general management, administrative and audit expenses<br />
(not including claims management costs)<br />
Operating Income Calls, less reinsurance costs, less expenses<br />
Gross Paid Claims Paid gross claims, including Pool contributions<br />
(including claims management costs)<br />
Net Paid Claims Gross paid claims less reinsurance and Pool recoveries.<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) Operating income, less net paid claims<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims Change in net estimated outstanding claims<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) Paid technical surplus (deficit), plus/minus net change in provision<br />
for claims<br />
Investment Income All investment income, including, exchange gains/losses, tax etc.<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) Incurred Technical surplus (Deficit), plus investment income.<br />
Net Assets (Market) Total assets, less creditors, less miscellaneous provisions for<br />
taxation etc., less additional calls advised but not yet debited.<br />
Net Outstanding Claims Total net estimated outstanding claims.<br />
Forecast Additional Calls Premium / Calls advised but not yet debited.<br />
Free Reserves Net assets, plus forecast additional calls, less outstanding claims.<br />
(Including Forecast Supplementary Calls)<br />
ChANgES TO ThE FORMAT<br />
This year we have amended the format of our financial summaries<br />
slightly to move closer to the way most Clubs report. This has<br />
involved two changes:<br />
— Premiums this year are shown on a gross basis,<br />
whereas previously we presented premiums net after the<br />
deduction of brokerage. Brokerage is now included under<br />
‘operating expenses’.<br />
— We have also included claims handling costs within the claims<br />
figures, whereas previously we stripped out claims handling<br />
costs and included these within ‘operating expenses’.<br />
Both of these changes have been applied retroactively across all<br />
12 years presented.<br />
3 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09
CLUB FINANCIAL PAgES NOTES<br />
BriTaNNia<br />
With effect from the 1997/98 policy year Britannia entered into a<br />
reinsurance contract with Boudicca Insurance Company Limited,<br />
located and regulated in Bermuda. Boudicca Insurance holds assets<br />
in a way that they cannot be dissipated to the detriment of the<br />
reinsurance contract with Britannia. This is intended to be a tax<br />
efficient vehicle for a proportion of Britannia’s reserves.<br />
Boudicca is owned and controlled by the Iceni Trust, a charitable<br />
trust for which Report and Accounts are unavailable. In our<br />
summary page for Britannia for the sake of effective comparison<br />
we have always included Boudicca’s assets in the figures.<br />
The assets of Boudicca as disclosed by the Club are as follows:<br />
1997/98 USD 62 million<br />
1998/99 USD 87 million<br />
1999/00 USD 97.5 million<br />
2000/01 USD 105.4 million<br />
2001/02 USD 106.7 million<br />
2002/03 USD 124.9 million<br />
2003/04 USD 152 million<br />
2004/05 USD 142.8 million<br />
2005/06 USD 132.3 million<br />
2006/07 USD 108.4 million<br />
2007/08 USD 80.3 million<br />
The relationship between Britannia and Boudicca presents an<br />
unusual challenge in terms of trying to show the ‘combined’<br />
picture as accurately as possible.<br />
The adjustments we make to Britannia’s reported figures to show<br />
the overall picture including Boudicca are as follows:<br />
— Britannia reinsurance premiums reduced by amounts paid<br />
to Boudicca<br />
— Britannia paid claims increased by amounts recovered<br />
from Boudicca<br />
— The change in provision of claims for Boudicca added to the<br />
change for Britannia<br />
— Inclusion of a non-technical adjustment under Britannia’s<br />
‘investment income’ heading to reflect the difference between<br />
Boudicca’s investment income and operating costs<br />
NorTh of eNGlaNd / NeWCasTle CluB<br />
The Newcastle Club merged with the North of England in<br />
1998/99. To try to demonstrate the trends as clearly as possible<br />
the 1998/99 year figures for the North of England do not include<br />
the ‘income and expenditure’ figures for the Newcastle Club.<br />
We have however included the Newcastle Club’s free reserve<br />
figure for this year to reflect the total combined reserve. For the<br />
subsequent years we have included the fully integrated figures<br />
under the North of England.<br />
sWedish CluB<br />
The Swedish Club discloses its financial<br />
results on a different basis to the rest<br />
of the International Group. Within the<br />
Swedish Club’s published Report and<br />
Accounts there is no allocation of funds<br />
between their Protection and Indemnity<br />
and Hull and Machinery Classes.<br />
This makes the P&I Class impossible to<br />
compare directly with other Clubs and<br />
consequently we have only included a<br />
partial financial summary for this Club.<br />
sTaNdard aNd Poor’s<br />
Standard and Poor’s (S&P) ratings<br />
mentioned in the following pages fall<br />
into two categories, interactive ratings<br />
and public information ratings. S&P<br />
establish interactive ratings following indepth<br />
meetings with the Club Managers.<br />
Interactively rated Clubs are identified<br />
by ‘*’ after the rating. Public information<br />
ratings are signified by a ‘pi’ subscript<br />
and are established purely on the basis<br />
of the information provided in the Clubs’<br />
published financial statements.<br />
It is the Clubs themselves that choose<br />
whether or not to pursue an interactive<br />
rating and there is a cost to the Club<br />
from S&P for the consequent additional<br />
work involved. When an interactive<br />
rating is undertaken, the rating of the<br />
particular Club usually shows some<br />
form of improvement from the public<br />
information rating.<br />
All ratings are shown as at 1 November in<br />
the years noted.<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 39
AMERICAN CLUB<br />
www.american-club.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Entered tonnage reduced, though most of the<br />
variation from 2007/08 due to a change in<br />
the methodology the Club used to disclose their<br />
tonnage figures.<br />
– Premium reduced by 9.6 percent.<br />
– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />
14.6 percent and 23.8 percent respectively.<br />
– Estimated outstanding claims increased by<br />
USD 5.5 million.<br />
– Investment income of USD 11 million sufficient to<br />
offset the underwriting deficit.<br />
– Modest (USD 2.4 million) overall surplus achieved.<br />
– Assets increased by 9.7 percent, Free Reserves<br />
increased by 7.6 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 161,774 164,166 148,473<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -10,868 -12,010 -13,902<br />
Operating Expenses -36,906 -41,069 -36,298<br />
Operating Income 114,000 111,087 98,273<br />
Gross Paid Claims 75,566 97,040 111,171<br />
Net Paid Claims 66,472 81,914 101,452<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 47,528 29,173 -3,179<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 73,222 24,598 5,507<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -25,694 4,575 -8,686<br />
Investment Income 5,659 12,076 11,075<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) -20,035 16,651 2,389<br />
Net Assets (Market) 179,113 208,341 228,458<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 209,948 228,514 239,428<br />
Members Receivables and<br />
Unbilled Assessments<br />
45,764 51,753 44,939<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
14,929 31,580 33,969<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 15,446,194 14,064,721 13,300,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 3,071,119 4,941,234 500,000<br />
Total 18,517,313 19,005,955 13,800,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
B+* BB-* BB-*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
0<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Investment Income<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
97/98<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
North America<br />
18.5%<br />
Middle<br />
East/<br />
Africa<br />
3.5%<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
97/98<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
North America<br />
18.5%<br />
Middle<br />
East/<br />
Africa<br />
3.5%<br />
01/02<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Others<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 0.5%<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Europe<br />
63.5%<br />
Asia<br />
14%<br />
Others<br />
0.5%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Others<br />
Tug/Barge<br />
8%<br />
Passenger<br />
6%<br />
Tankers<br />
21%<br />
1%<br />
General Cargo<br />
7%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Europe<br />
63.5%<br />
Asia<br />
14%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
48%<br />
Container<br />
9%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
Tug/Barge<br />
8%<br />
Passenger<br />
6%<br />
Tankers<br />
21%<br />
Gen<br />
7%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
BRITANNIA<br />
www.britanniapandi.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned tonnage stable, chartered tonnage<br />
increased by 5 percent.<br />
– Premium increased by just over 4 percent.<br />
– Substantial increases in Gross and Net Paid<br />
Claims (by 79 and 25 percent respectively).<br />
– Further increase in estimated outstanding claims<br />
(USD 56.9 million increase).<br />
– Continuing significant Incurred Technical Deficit<br />
(2007/08 deficit of USD 79.6 million).<br />
– Respectable investment return partially offsets<br />
underwriting loss, but overall result still a<br />
USD 32.6 million deficit.<br />
– Assets marginally reduced, but Free Reserves<br />
eroded by nearly 11 percent.<br />
– Britannia’s reported figures do not include budgeted<br />
deferred call for the 2007/08 year, which would<br />
contribute USD 45 million to the overall result.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 221,801 233,311 242,897<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -37,855 -39,130 -45,008<br />
Operating Expenses -20,204 -22,238 -24,567<br />
Operating Income 163,742 171,943 173,322<br />
Gross Paid Claims 187,655 166,729 298,879<br />
Net Paid Claims 158,065 154,786 193,001<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 5,677 17,157 -19,679<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 20,531 95,524 59,913<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -14,854 -78,367 -79,592<br />
Investment Income 24,735 81,214 47,040<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 9,881 2,847 -32,552<br />
Net Assets (including Boudicca assets) 791,053 848,924 834,985<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 506,106 561,230 580,143<br />
Additional Calls not yet debited<br />
(excludes 2007/08 estimated<br />
supplementary call)<br />
13,700 13,800 14,100<br />
Free Reserves (Including<br />
Supplementary Calls not yet debited,<br />
and including Boudicca)<br />
298,647 301,494 268,942<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 81,700,000 88,000,000 88,000,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 28,500,000 39,000,000 41,000,000<br />
Total 110,200,000 127,000,000 129,000,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Api Api Api<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
-100<br />
-120<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
-25<br />
-50<br />
-75<br />
-100<br />
1000<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Net Assets<br />
(including Boudicca)<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 1%<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Middle East<br />
2%<br />
Asia<br />
50%<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Boudicca)<br />
Middle East<br />
2%<br />
Asia<br />
50%<br />
Australasia<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Europe<br />
16%<br />
Americas<br />
8%<br />
Scandinavia<br />
23%<br />
Australasia<br />
1%<br />
Europe<br />
16%<br />
Americas<br />
8%<br />
Scandinavia<br />
23%<br />
Tankers DESIGN Others & DATA<br />
42%<br />
2%<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
29%<br />
Container<br />
24%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3<br />
Tankers<br />
42%<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
gARD<br />
www.gard.no<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Total entered tonnage increased by 12.6 percent.<br />
– Premiums increased by marginally over 20 percent.<br />
– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />
42 and 39 percent respectively.<br />
– USD 88.8 million increase in estimated outstanding<br />
claims eliminated the paid technical surplus.<br />
– Incurred Technical Deficit deteriorated by<br />
23 percent, the 2007/08 underwriting deficit<br />
registered at USD 60.9 million.<br />
– Strong investment return (8.8 percent) more<br />
than offsets the technical deficit, allowing a<br />
USD 32.4 million overall surplus for 2007/08.<br />
– Assets increased by 9.6 percent, Free Reserves by<br />
6.7 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 287,570 337,096 406,095<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -49,064 -56,057 -59,084<br />
Operating Expenses -27,726 -32,279 -36,394<br />
Operating Income 210,780 248,760 310,617<br />
Gross Paid Claims 202,433 237,200 337,208<br />
Net Paid Claims 185,740 203,025 282,761<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 25,040 45,735 27,856<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 39,737 95,245 88,774<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -14,697 -49,510 -60,918<br />
Investment Income 61,778 103,107 93,292<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 47,081 53,597 32,374<br />
Net Assets (Market) 933,231 1,077,628 1,181,643<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 536,768 632,013 720,787<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 33,181 37,626 54,759<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
429,644 483,241 515,615<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 87,100,000 102,500,000 105,900,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 40,000,000 48,600,000 64,200,000<br />
Total 127,100,000 151,100,000 170,100,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
A* A+* A+*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
125<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
-25<br />
-50<br />
-75<br />
-100<br />
-125<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
200<br />
180<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
-100<br />
1200<br />
1100<br />
1000<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Asia<br />
19%<br />
Other Europe<br />
21%<br />
Americas<br />
10%<br />
Norway<br />
23%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
97/98<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Asia<br />
19%<br />
01/02<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
Other Europe<br />
21%<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Americas<br />
10%<br />
04/05<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Norway<br />
23%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Germany<br />
16%<br />
Greece<br />
11%<br />
Gas Carriers<br />
4%<br />
Passenger<br />
2%<br />
Mobile<br />
Offshore<br />
Units<br />
10%<br />
Tankers<br />
38%<br />
Others<br />
3%<br />
Germany<br />
16%<br />
Greece<br />
11%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
16%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Container<br />
16%<br />
Other<br />
Dry Cargo<br />
11%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
Gas Carriers<br />
4%<br />
Passenger<br />
2%<br />
Mobile<br />
Offshore<br />
Units<br />
10%<br />
Tan<br />
38<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />
www.piclub.or.jp<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by 10 percent.<br />
– Total premiums increased by 40 percent. A large<br />
proportion of this is represented by exchange<br />
differences and increased supplementary calls.<br />
The underlying mutual premium increase was<br />
approximately 15 percent.<br />
– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />
49 and 18 percent respectively.<br />
– Estimated outstanding claims marginally reduced.<br />
– Overall underwriting surplus of USD 31.7 million.<br />
– Materially negative investment result (includes<br />
foreign exchange losses) erodes the technical surplus.<br />
– 2007/08 Overall result a surplus of<br />
USD 12.8 million.<br />
– Assets increased by 21 percent, Free Reserves by<br />
28 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 135,362 165,019 231,299<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -25,442 -27,663 -48,399<br />
Operating Expenses -15,760 -16,224 -20,906<br />
Operating Income 94,160 121,132 161,994<br />
Gross Paid Claims 82,171 127,855 190,876<br />
Net Paid Claims 85,600 111,760 131,414<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 8,560 9,372 30,580<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 7,241 15,920 -1,082<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 1,319 -6,548 31,662<br />
Investment Income 9,512 4,878 -18,884<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,831 -1,670 12,778<br />
Net Assets (Market) 226,345 232,199 282,128<br />
Outstanding Claims (P&I Only) 125,411 140,715 164,717<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves 100,934 91,484 117,411<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 65,660,000 71,880,000 79,230,000<br />
Fixed 3,790,000 4,732,000 3,610,000<br />
Total 69,450,000 76,612,000 82,840,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
-40<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
-40<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
Free Reserves<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF REgISTRY<br />
Singapore<br />
3%<br />
Liberia<br />
4%<br />
Hong Kong<br />
4%<br />
Japan<br />
11%<br />
Bahamas<br />
2%<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Singapore Bahamas<br />
Net Assets<br />
3% (Market) 2%<br />
Liberia<br />
4%<br />
Hong Kong<br />
4%<br />
Japan<br />
11%<br />
Korea<br />
2%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Others<br />
5%<br />
Panama<br />
69%<br />
Korea<br />
2%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Car Carriers<br />
13%<br />
Tankers<br />
21%<br />
Others<br />
3%<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Others<br />
5%<br />
Panama<br />
69%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
49%<br />
Container<br />
11%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7<br />
Car Carriers<br />
13%<br />
Tankers<br />
21%<br />
Gene<br />
3%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
LONDON STEAM-ShIP<br />
www.lsso.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by 6 percent.<br />
– Total premiums increased by just over 1.5 percent.<br />
– Dramatic increase in Gross Paid Claims (106 percent<br />
increase) although Net Paid Claims increased by<br />
only 5 percent.<br />
– Increase in Gross Claims primarily due to payments<br />
in the financial year relating to four major incidents<br />
(‘MSC NAPOLI’, ‘ANNA PC’, ‘PRESTIGE’ and<br />
‘ALEX<strong>AND</strong>ROS T’). Recoveries were made through<br />
the usual Pooling arrangements producing the<br />
‘normal’ Net Paid Claims level.<br />
– Overall underwriting deficit of USD 30.2 million,<br />
20 percent improved on the position in 2006/07.<br />
– Very poor investment result, almost no investment<br />
income registered.<br />
– With nominal investment income to offset the<br />
underwriting result, a USD 30 million overall deficit<br />
reported for 2007/08.<br />
– Assets reduced by 7.8 percent, Free Reserves<br />
reduced by 27 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 95,402 102,003 103,563<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -17,147 -18,439 -20,074<br />
Operating Expenses -9,806 -10,460 -10,897<br />
Operating Income 68,449 73,104 72,592<br />
Gross Paid Claims 113,449 101,805 210,150<br />
Net Paid Claims 92,034 91,256 95,959<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -23,585 -18,152 -23,367<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims -16,835 20,010 6,815<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -6,750 -38,162 -30,182<br />
Investment Income 16,920 38,612 138<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,170 450 -30,044<br />
Net Assets 283,791 302,621 278,904<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 198,616 218,626 225,441<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 25,303 26,933 27,421<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
110,478 110,928 80,884<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 34,321,055 35,860,908 38,029,162<br />
Chartered/Fixed 931,011 1,189,498 2,126,894<br />
Total 35,252,066 37,050,406 40,156,056<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
-40<br />
-50<br />
500<br />
450<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Middle East<br />
4%<br />
Americas<br />
3%<br />
Asia<br />
31%<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
96/97<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Middle East<br />
4%<br />
Americas<br />
3%<br />
Asia<br />
31%<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
Net Assets<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 3%<br />
05/06<br />
Others<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Southern European<br />
53%<br />
Northern European<br />
6%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Others<br />
3%<br />
Southern European<br />
53%<br />
Northern European<br />
6%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Tankers<br />
39%<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
45%<br />
Container/RoRo<br />
13%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9<br />
Tankers<br />
39%<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
www.nepia.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by 17 percent.<br />
– Total Premiums increased by 10 percent.<br />
– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />
36 and 35 percent respectively.<br />
– Estimated outstanding claims increased by<br />
USD 15 million.<br />
– Incurred Technical Deficit improved by<br />
USD 30 million.<br />
– A very respectable 7.1 percent investment<br />
return more than compensated for the<br />
underwriting deficit.<br />
– Overall Surplus for 2007/08 almost<br />
USD 30 million.<br />
– Assets increased by 7 percent, Free Reserves<br />
by 15.7 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 177,117 193,535 213,015<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -23,991 -28,631 -34,477<br />
Operating Expenses -22,847 -27,479 -28,361<br />
Operating Income 130,279 137,425 150,177<br />
Gross Paid Claims 106,956 115,637 157,853<br />
Net Paid Claims 101,074 109,116 147,028<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 29,205 28,309 3,149<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 29,865 70,603 15,101<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -660 -42,294 -11,952<br />
Investment Income 23,729 62,950 41,849<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 23,069 20,656 29,897<br />
Net Assets (Market) 541,105 633,942 678,821<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 373,100 443,701 458,803<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Additional Calls)<br />
168,005 190,241 220,018<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 48,300,000 55,300,000 65,000,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 12,400,000 14,900,000 25,000,000<br />
Total 60,700,000 70,200,000 90,000,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
A* A* A*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 3%<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
North America<br />
3%<br />
Middle East<br />
14%<br />
Asia<br />
21%<br />
Others<br />
3%<br />
Scandinavia<br />
12%<br />
Southern European<br />
23%<br />
Northern European<br />
24%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
North America<br />
3%<br />
Middle East<br />
14%<br />
Asia<br />
21%<br />
Others<br />
Scandinavia<br />
12%<br />
Southern European<br />
23%<br />
Northern European<br />
24%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Others<br />
8%<br />
Tankers<br />
30%<br />
General Cargo<br />
3%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
36%<br />
Container<br />
23%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
Others<br />
8%<br />
Tankers<br />
30%<br />
Gen<br />
3%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
ShIPOwNERS<br />
www.shipownersclub.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by 10 percent.<br />
– Premiums increased by 12.4 percent.<br />
– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />
42 and 37 percent respectively.<br />
– Although there was a USD 13.4 million Paid<br />
Technical Surplus, it was wiped out by a USD 43.1<br />
million increase in Estimated Outstanding Claims.<br />
– Incurred Technical Deficit (USD 29.7 million) only<br />
very marginally improved on 2006/07.<br />
– Despite a healthy investment return (nearly<br />
7 percent) this was not sufficient to completely<br />
compensate for the Technical Deficit, resulting in a<br />
USD 6 million Overall Deficit for the year.<br />
– Assets increased by 11.4 percent, Free Reserves<br />
reduced by 4.6 percent.<br />
– Downgraded by S&P from Api to BBBpi with<br />
effect from 3 December 2008.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 116,887 129,598 145,696<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -15,492 -17,860 -21,542<br />
Operating Expenses -21,478 -23,574 -26,950<br />
Operating Income 79,917 88,164 97,204<br />
Gross Paid Claims 52,717 73,512 104,538<br />
Net Paid Claims 48,301 60,996 83,782<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 31,616 27,168 13,422<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 25,783 57,358 43,144<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 5,833 -30,190 -29,722<br />
Investment Income 13,210 32,991 23,751<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 19,043 2,801 -5,971<br />
Net Assets (Market) 265,508 325,667 362,841<br />
Outstanding Claims 138,600 195,958 239,103<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves 126,908 129,709 123,738<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 11,537,740 13,880,387 15,264,101<br />
Chartered/Fixed 407,187 350,000 350,000<br />
Total 11,944,927 14,230,387 15,614,101<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Api Api Api<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
150<br />
120<br />
90<br />
60<br />
30<br />
0<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
-40<br />
-50<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
0<br />
96/97<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
07/08<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
North America<br />
5.2%<br />
Latin America<br />
8.7%<br />
Middle East,<br />
India, Africa<br />
10.9%<br />
Others<br />
7.3%<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Free Reserves<br />
North America<br />
Net Assets<br />
5.2% (Market)<br />
Latin America<br />
8.7%<br />
Middle East,<br />
India, Africa<br />
10.9%<br />
Others<br />
7.3%<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
Asia and Australasia<br />
42.4%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Europe<br />
25.5%<br />
Asia and Australasia<br />
42.4%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Dry Cargo<br />
11.2%<br />
Tankers<br />
12.3%<br />
Offshore<br />
15.2%<br />
Inland<br />
4.8%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Europe<br />
25.5%<br />
Fishing<br />
7.0%<br />
Harbour<br />
10.9%<br />
Passenger<br />
5.4%<br />
Barges<br />
33.2%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3<br />
Dry Cargo<br />
11.2%<br />
Tankers<br />
12.3%<br />
Offshor<br />
15.2%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
SkULD<br />
www.skuld.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by nearly<br />
18 percent.<br />
– Premium increased by 10.6 percent.<br />
– Gross Paid Claims increased by 11.5 percent, Net<br />
Paid Claims increased by 12 percent.<br />
– Estimated outstanding claims increased by a<br />
relatively modest USD 14 million.<br />
– Incurred Technical Surplus just over<br />
USD 6 million.<br />
– Investment income substantially reduced on<br />
2006/07 levels, but combined with a positive<br />
underwriting result an Overall Surplus for<br />
2007/08 was recorded at USD 11.5 million.<br />
– Assets increased by 7 percent, Free Reserves<br />
increased by just over 6 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 156,816 174,122 192,654<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -16,880 -19,028 -20,012<br />
Operating Expenses -24,003 -27,244 -29,467<br />
Operating Income 115,933 127,850 143,175<br />
Gross Paid Claims 91,196 113,006 125,960<br />
Net Paid Claims 87,493 109,803 123,054<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 28,440 18,047 20,121<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 7,719 11,308 14,000<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 20,721 6,739 6,121<br />
Investment Income 21,427 33,666 5,420<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 42,148 40,405 11,541<br />
Net Assets (Market) 399,026 451,378 484,448<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 248,317 260,012 280,930<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
150,709 191,366 203,518<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 31,480,000 35,100,000 41,372,458<br />
Chartered/Fixed 36,310,000 37,200,000 49,770,039<br />
Total 67,790,000 72,300,000 91,142,497<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
BBB+* A-* A-*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
-100<br />
500<br />
450<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Middle East/Africa<br />
4%<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
Scandinavia<br />
30%<br />
Americas<br />
4%<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Europe (excluding Scandinavia)<br />
34%<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims<br />
07/08<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Asia<br />
28%<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Middle East/Africa<br />
4%<br />
Scandinavia<br />
30%<br />
Americas<br />
4%<br />
Europe (excluding Scandinavia)<br />
34%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Passenger<br />
3%<br />
Container<br />
13%<br />
Tanker<br />
47%<br />
Others<br />
4.5%<br />
Asia<br />
28%<br />
Bulk<br />
22%<br />
General Cargo<br />
10.5%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
Passenger<br />
3%<br />
Container<br />
13%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD (BERMUDA)<br />
www.standard-club.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Total entered tonnage increased by 13 percent,<br />
though the majority of this was through expansion<br />
of the chartered entry.<br />
– Premiums increased by nearly 11 percent.<br />
– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />
28 and 30 percent respectively.<br />
– USD 24 million decrease in Estimated Outstanding<br />
Claims helps offset the USD 44 million Paid<br />
Technical Deficit.<br />
– Incurred Technical Deficit improved by 50 percent,<br />
the 2007/08 overall underwriting deficit registered<br />
at USD 20 million.<br />
– Respectable investment return (USD 28.7 million)<br />
more than offsets the technical deficit, allowing a<br />
USD 8.7 million overall surplus for 2007/08.<br />
– Despite a reduction in Assets of 2.4 percent, Free<br />
Reserves increased by 4 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 170,378 152,350 168,869<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -30,746 -32,040 -36,461<br />
Operating Expenses -13,386 -15,399 -17,842<br />
Operating Income 126,246 104,911 114,566<br />
Gross Paid Claims 130,018 141,300 181,095<br />
Net Paid Claims 120,119 122,255 158,888<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 6,127 -17,344 -44,322<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 22,836 23,279 -24,266<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -16,709 -40,623 -20,056<br />
Investment Income 37,077 65,741 28,783<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 20,368 25,118 8,727<br />
Net Assets (Market) 595,364 643,761 628,222<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 403,087 426,366 402,100<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves (Excluding Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
192,277 217,395 226,122<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 47,000,000 47,625,839 49,931,660<br />
Chartered/Fixed 17,000,000 16,903,352 23,089,250<br />
Total 64,000,000 64,529,191 73,020,910<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
A* A* A*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Excluding Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
Asia<br />
22%<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
South America<br />
3%<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Others<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 1%<br />
07/08<br />
Europe<br />
53%<br />
North America<br />
21%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Asia<br />
22%<br />
South America<br />
3%<br />
Others<br />
1%<br />
Europe<br />
53%<br />
North America<br />
21%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Barges<br />
4%<br />
Passengers<br />
3%<br />
Tankers<br />
29%<br />
Offshore<br />
10%<br />
Others<br />
2%<br />
General/<br />
Dry Cargo<br />
12%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
18%<br />
Container<br />
22%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7<br />
Barges<br />
4%<br />
Passengers<br />
3%<br />
Tankers<br />
29%<br />
Of<br />
10<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
STEAMShIP<br />
www.simsl.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Total entered tonnage increased by 9 percent.<br />
– Premium increased by just under 14 percent.<br />
– Despite comparatively stable Gross Paid<br />
Claims, material increase in Net Paid Claims<br />
(31 percent increase).<br />
– Substantial improvement in estimated outstanding<br />
claims (reduced by nearly USD 32 million).<br />
– Incurred Technical Surplus of USD 4.5 million.<br />
– Investment income reduced, but still a respectable<br />
4 percent return.<br />
– With positive underwriting and investment results<br />
an overall surplus of USD 27.6 million was achieved<br />
in 2007/08.<br />
– Assets increased by 2.4 percent, Free Reserves<br />
increased by 17.5 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 218,334 227,052 258,538<br />
Reinsurance Premiums 24,843 -30,314 -39,458<br />
Operating Expenses -33,101 -35,569 -31,051<br />
Operating Income 210,076 161,169 188,029<br />
Gross Paid Claims 168,883 249,313 267,347<br />
Net Paid Claims 152,005 164,417 215,267<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 58,071 -3,248 -27,238<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 60,667 47,525 -31,739<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -2,596 -50,773 4,501<br />
Investment Income 22,651 51,546 23,147<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 20,055 773 27,648<br />
Net Assets (Market) 557,683 644,431 659,669<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 458,090 505,615 473,876<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 57,779 19,329 0<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
157,372 158,145 185,793<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 41,500,000 43,500,000 46,800,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 20,500,000 22,300,000 25,000,000<br />
Total 62,000,000 65,800,000 71,800,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
BBBpi BBBpi BBB+*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Middle East/Africa<br />
9.5%<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
Latin America<br />
4%<br />
North America<br />
11%<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Indian Sub-Continent<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims 6.5%<br />
07/08<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
European<br />
33%<br />
Far East<br />
36%<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Middle East/Africa<br />
9.5%<br />
Latin America<br />
4%<br />
North America<br />
11%<br />
Indian Sub-Continent<br />
6.5%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Passenger<br />
10.5%<br />
Tankers<br />
27%<br />
Others<br />
2.5%<br />
General Cargo<br />
8%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
European<br />
33%<br />
Far East<br />
36%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
31%<br />
Container<br />
21%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9<br />
Passenger<br />
10.5%<br />
Tankers<br />
27%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
Uk P&I CLUB<br />
www.ukpandi.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Entered tonnage relatively stable (Owned tonnage<br />
increased by less than 3 percent).<br />
– Premium increased by just under 8 percent.<br />
– Following the ‘one off’, positive contributions<br />
to claims in 2006/07 (due to the recovery on the<br />
‘ATHOS I’ case), the position normalised<br />
in 2007/08.<br />
– Between 2005/06 and 2007/08 Gross Paid Claims<br />
reduced by 17 percent, while Net Paid Claims<br />
increased by 11 percent over the same period.<br />
– Material increase in estimated outstanding claims<br />
(USD 56.5 million increase).<br />
– Investment income slightly reduced, but still a<br />
healthy 6.5 percent return.<br />
– Investment income offsets the majority of the<br />
USD 96 million technical deficit, but an overall<br />
deficit of USD 33.6 million remains.<br />
– Assets marginally increased, but Free Reserves<br />
reduced by nearly 13 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 354,943 358,419 386,034<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -128,560 -78,308 -74,078<br />
Operating Expenses -41,294 -41,129 -46,836<br />
Operating Income 185,089 238,982 265,120<br />
Gross Paid Claims 391,948 225,348 325,208<br />
Net Paid Claims 274,144 266,272 304,937<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -89,055 -27,290 -39,817<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims -51,126 -1,431 56,476<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -37,929 -25,859 -96,293<br />
Investment Income 48,535 71,556 62,689<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,606 45,697 -33,604<br />
Net Assets (Market) 925,226 969,492 992,364<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 708,167 706,736 763,212<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
217,059 262,756 229,152<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 105,400,000 107,000,000 110,000,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 50,000,000 56,000,000 51,000,000<br />
Total 155,400,000 163,000,000 161,000,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
60 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
A* A* A-*<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
150<br />
125<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
-25<br />
-50<br />
-75<br />
-100<br />
-125<br />
-150<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
200<br />
180<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
125<br />
75<br />
25<br />
0<br />
-25<br />
-75<br />
-125<br />
1200<br />
1100<br />
1000<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES<br />
96/97<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
27%<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims<br />
07/08<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Europe<br />
57%<br />
Americas<br />
16%<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Asia-Pacific<br />
27%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Gas Carrier<br />
10%<br />
Tankers<br />
33%<br />
Passenger<br />
9%<br />
Other<br />
Dry Cargo<br />
6%<br />
Europe<br />
57%<br />
Americas<br />
16%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
25%<br />
Container/<br />
RoRo<br />
17%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 6<br />
Gas Carrier<br />
10%<br />
Tankers<br />
33%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
www.westpandi.com<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned tonnage stable, 11 percent increase in<br />
chartered tonnage.<br />
– 2006/07 Financial year premiums skewed by<br />
contribution of USD 67.7 million of unbudgeted calls.<br />
– The 2007/08 premium roughly 4 percent reduced on<br />
2005/06 level (though tonnage 10 percent less over<br />
the same period).<br />
– Despite almost unchanged gross paid claims, net<br />
paid claims increased by 33 percent.<br />
– The large increase in paid claims is partially offset<br />
by a USD 42.2 million improvement in estimated<br />
outstanding claims.<br />
– Investment income returns to a more ‘normal’ level<br />
(roughly a 7 percent return) after the exceptional<br />
result in 2006/07.<br />
– Investment income insufficient to offset the<br />
USD 60 million technical deficit, resulting in an<br />
overall deficit for the year of USD 31.5 million.<br />
– Assets reduced by just over 8 percent, Free Reserves<br />
decreased by just over 15 percent.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 251,362 326,126 240,993<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -45,875 -48,583 -46,216<br />
Operating Expenses -38,086 -41,430 -41,441<br />
Operating Income 167,401 236,113 153,336<br />
Gross Paid Claims 254,120 270,777 272,215<br />
Net Paid Claims 184,341 191,601 255,585<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -16,940 44,512 -102,249<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims 12,119 34,646 -42,246<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -29,059 9,866 -60,003<br />
Investment Income 28,160 48,769 28,492<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) -899 58,635 -31,511<br />
Net Assets (Market) 524,861 611,996 560,823<br />
Net Outstanding Claims 419,428 454,074 411,828<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 27,105 46,730 24,622<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
132,538 204,652 173,617<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 60,200,000 54,500,000 54,000,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 19,900,000 16,200,000 18,000,000<br />
Total 80,100,000 70,700,000 72,000,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
62 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR RESULT<br />
Investment Income<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Overall Surplus<br />
for Year (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
-80<br />
-100<br />
-120<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />
FREE RESERvES<br />
96/97<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
97/98<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
Net Assets<br />
(Market)<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
Middle East and Afria<br />
6.5%<br />
Asia<br />
29%<br />
04/05<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Net Outstanding<br />
Claims<br />
European (including Russia)<br />
48.5%<br />
07/08<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Americas<br />
16%<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Middle East and Afria<br />
6.5%<br />
Asia<br />
29%<br />
European (including Russia)<br />
48.5%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Ferries/Passenger<br />
8.3%<br />
Tankers<br />
25%<br />
General Cargo<br />
10.3%<br />
Others<br />
4%<br />
Americas<br />
16%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
30.4%<br />
Container/RoRo<br />
22%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 63<br />
Ferries/Passenger<br />
8.3%<br />
Tankers<br />
25%<br />
Gen<br />
10.<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Club in Run-Off<br />
– Following approval of the UK Financial Services<br />
Authority in summer 2007, the Club voted to<br />
return USD 25 million of the Free Reserve to<br />
the Membership.<br />
– This is reflected in the negative entry in the 2007/08<br />
premium entry.<br />
– The USD 25 million was redistributed across<br />
‘eligible members’, effectively those Members<br />
remaining in the Club when it ceased active<br />
underwriting. The redistribution was based on the<br />
premium paid and tonnage entered across the ten<br />
years leading up to 19 February 2000.<br />
– Continued positive developments in the claims<br />
run off.<br />
– Respectable investment performance (combination<br />
of investment income and exchanges gains) of<br />
approximately 4.5 percent<br />
– As expected assets reduced by 32 percent, primarily<br />
due to the redistribution of funds to Members<br />
– Free Reserve 60 percent reduced, but still just over<br />
USD 14 million as at 20 February 2008<br />
– The final three policy years (1997, 1998 and<br />
1999) remain open, though at the time of<br />
the redistribution, Members were given the<br />
discretionary option to continue underwriting the<br />
risk, or release themselves from further exposure.<br />
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />
YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 731 2 -25,189<br />
Reinsurance Premiums - 40 -<br />
Operating Expenses -708 -410 -555<br />
Operating Income 23 -368 -25,744<br />
Gross Paid Claims 9,903 4,380 2,637<br />
Net Paid Claims 7,655 3,487 2,425<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -7,632 -3,855 -28,169<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims -9,777 4,073 -3,778<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -2,145 -7,928 -24,391<br />
Investment Income 1,036 6,941 2,545<br />
Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 3,181 -987 -21,846<br />
Net Assets<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
76,212<br />
39,215<br />
79,298<br />
43,288<br />
53,674<br />
39,510<br />
0<br />
Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />
Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
36,997 36,010 14,164 -50<br />
6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
USD Millions<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
-30<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
-25<br />
-50<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
96/97<br />
96/97<br />
Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
Paid Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
00/01<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
NET UNDERwRITINg<br />
DEvELOPMENT<br />
50<br />
96/97<br />
97/98<br />
98/99<br />
99/00<br />
00/01<br />
Change in Estimated<br />
Outstanding Claims<br />
01/02<br />
01/02<br />
02/03<br />
02/03<br />
03/04<br />
03/04<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
04/05<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
Incurred Technical<br />
Surplus (Deficit)<br />
05/06<br />
05/06<br />
06/07<br />
06/07<br />
07/08<br />
ASSETS <strong>AND</strong> FREE RESERvES<br />
Free Reserves<br />
(Including Forecast<br />
Supplementary Calls)<br />
Net Assets Outstanding Claims<br />
07/08
ThE SwEDISh CLUB<br />
www.swedishclub.com<br />
The Swedish Club writes P&I, FD&D and Hull and Machinery (H&M)<br />
classes of business. The Club provides separate summary financial<br />
statements for the P&I Class, but it does not allocate total reserves of<br />
the Club across all the different classes written. Meaningful financial<br />
comparisons with other P&I Clubs are therefore limited.<br />
In terms of premium income the Swedish Club continues to be the<br />
smallest Club in the IG by some margin (roughly 40 percent less<br />
premium than the next smallest Club). The Club has developed a much<br />
more international P&I Membership over the last decade. Swedish<br />
tonnage now represents only 7 percent of their portfolio, compared<br />
with around 50 percent ten years ago.<br />
hIghLIghTS<br />
– Owned entered tonnage increased by just over 13 percent<br />
– Premium increased by 19.4 percent<br />
– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by 73 percent and 38 percent<br />
respectively<br />
– Estimated outstanding claims reduced USD 8.7 million<br />
– Incurred Technical Deficit of just over USD 14.4 million<br />
– Very healthy 12.6 percent return on investments for the Club as a<br />
whole. Of this USD 10.8 million was allocated to the P&I Class.<br />
– Despite the healthy contribution of investment income, the overall<br />
result was still a USD 3.6 million deficit<br />
– For the Club overall (including all Classes) a USD 2.3 million deficit<br />
translated to a reduction in Free Reserves from USD 102 million to<br />
USD 99.7 million<br />
Others<br />
2.2%<br />
P&I CLASS ONLY - FINANCIAL YEAR<br />
SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />
Asia<br />
30%<br />
2006/07 2007/08<br />
Calls and Premiums 52,044 62,161<br />
Reinsurance Premiums -11,533 -19,324<br />
Operating Expenses -7,200 -8,706<br />
Operating Income 33,281 34,131<br />
Gross Paid Claims 80,124 138,654<br />
Net Paid Claims 28,890 39,853<br />
Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 4,391 -5,722<br />
Net Change in Provision for Claims -9,430 -8,716<br />
Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -5,039 -14,438<br />
Investment Income 14,560 10,813<br />
Surplus for Year (Deficit) 9,521 -3,625<br />
ENTERED TONNAgE (gT) Sweden<br />
7.3% 2006 2007 2008<br />
Owned/Mutual 19,600,000 22,200,000 25,130,000<br />
Chartered/Fixed 1,100,000 3,500,000 12,800,000<br />
Total 20,700,000 25,700,000 37,930,000<br />
S&P RATINg<br />
Southern Europe<br />
32.3%<br />
Northern Europe<br />
28.2%<br />
2006 2007 2008<br />
DESIGN BBB-* BBB* & DATA<br />
BBB*<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Others<br />
2.2%<br />
Asia<br />
30%<br />
Sweden<br />
7.3%<br />
Southern Europe<br />
32.3%<br />
Northern Europe<br />
28.2%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
MANAGEMENT<br />
Passenger<br />
1.9%<br />
Tankers<br />
19.8%<br />
General Cargo<br />
2.2%<br />
Other<br />
0.1%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
21.8%<br />
Container RORO<br />
54.2%<br />
DESIGN & DATA<br />
VESSEL TYPE<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 6<br />
Passenger<br />
1.9%<br />
Tankers<br />
19.8%<br />
General Cargo<br />
2.2%<br />
DESIG<br />
VESSE
SUPPLEMENTARY<br />
CALL hISTORY
hISTORIC SUPPLEMENTARY<br />
CALL ACCURACY<br />
MARkET TREND<br />
The ‘Market Average’ graph to the right<br />
shows the average supplementary call<br />
performance of the combined market,<br />
from 1987 to 2008.<br />
The graph highlights the market wide<br />
problems from 1987 to 1991, when the vast<br />
majority of Clubs were forced to charge<br />
substantial over-budget supplementary<br />
calls. This pattern improved dramatically<br />
in subsequent years, and the trend since<br />
1992 is one of relatively isolated problems<br />
against a backdrop of stability.<br />
The main Clubs over-calling in the mid<br />
1990’s were the Liverpool and London,<br />
Newcastle and Ocean Marine. These<br />
Clubs were all subsequently forced to<br />
cease underwriting, either by merging or<br />
entering run-off.<br />
The two peaks of unbudgeted calls since<br />
the mid 1990’s (stemming from the years<br />
2001 and 2008) both coincided with<br />
periods in low or negative investment<br />
income. Clubs involved included the Skuld<br />
and Steamship mutual in 2000/2001 and<br />
London Steam-Ship and UK P&I Club in<br />
2008. In addition, the West of England<br />
made ‘solvency’ calls in 2006 and the<br />
American Club has been more routinely<br />
above budget than any other Club in the<br />
last fifteen years.<br />
vARIANCE BETwEEN CLUBS<br />
The divergence in the supplementary call<br />
performance of the Clubs is considerable.<br />
The three following graphs provide<br />
comparative ‘snap shots’ of the average<br />
supplementary call performance of each<br />
Club over the last fifteen, ten and six year<br />
periods. The best performing Clubs are<br />
shown to the left of the graphs, with those<br />
Clubs over-budget towards the right.<br />
6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
MARkET AvERAgE - AvERAgE vARIANCE IN<br />
ESTIMATED TOTAL CALL<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
-15%<br />
-20%<br />
1987<br />
1988<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />
CALL – AvERAgE FROM 1994 TO 2008<br />
Shipowners<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
Standard (Bermuda)<br />
Japan<br />
North of England<br />
Standard (London)<br />
United Kingdom<br />
London<br />
Swedish Club<br />
Skuld<br />
Steamship<br />
West of England<br />
American Club
Over the last fifteen years the market has<br />
moved on from the collective problems<br />
of the late 1980’s, to the situation where<br />
in any one year the majority of Clubs will<br />
perform on, or below their budgeted levels.<br />
What is perhaps surprising though is<br />
that in recent years the trend is arguably<br />
getting worse rather than better. In the<br />
last five years, six Clubs have been forced<br />
to make unbudgeted supplementary calls,<br />
already exceeding the problems at the<br />
turn of the century. Despite an increased<br />
focus on solvency, reserving accuracy and<br />
the increased sophistication of financial<br />
monitoring, a number of Clubs have not<br />
been quick enough and/or well reserved<br />
enough to respond to the recent surge in<br />
claims, combined with the evaporation of<br />
investment income.<br />
It is interesting to note by contrast, that<br />
out of the headlines of the unbudgeted<br />
calls, a small minority of Clubs are<br />
still continuing to not charge their full<br />
supplementary call estimates.<br />
Based purely on supplementary call<br />
performance, the market almost cuts<br />
down the middle, with a clear distinction<br />
between those Clubs consistently<br />
performing at or below budgeted levels<br />
and those for varying reasons forced to<br />
charge excess calls.<br />
To put the variance between Clubs in<br />
perspective, the difference between the<br />
best and worst performing (large vessel)<br />
Clubs over the most recent six years is 25<br />
percent. This means that with the same<br />
initial estimated total call for each of the<br />
six years, an owner entered in the best<br />
performing Club would be 25 percent, per<br />
year, better off than an owner entered in<br />
the worst performing Club.<br />
PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />
CALL – AvERAgE FROM 1999 TO 2008<br />
30%<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
-15%<br />
PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />
CALL – AvERAgE FROM 2003 TO 2008<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
Shipowners<br />
Shipowners<br />
Britannia<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
Gard<br />
Standard (Bermuda)<br />
NOrth of England<br />
Japan<br />
Skuld<br />
North of England<br />
Standard (Bermuda)<br />
Standard (London)<br />
Standard (London)<br />
Skuld<br />
Swedish Club<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Japan<br />
Swedish Club<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Steamship<br />
Steamship<br />
London<br />
London<br />
West of England<br />
West of England<br />
American Club<br />
American Club<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 69
FUTURE TRENDS<br />
In the current environment, with the<br />
collapse in investment income and with<br />
no imminent abatewment in claims costs<br />
likely, we fully expect announcements<br />
of unbudgeted calls. As consistently<br />
highlighted in our recent reviews we<br />
still do not expect this to spread to the<br />
vast majority of the market, as it did in<br />
the late 1980’s.<br />
The inherent issues with the American Club<br />
continue to make it the most vulnerable to<br />
further fluctuations in the investment and/<br />
or claims climate, increasing the probability<br />
of this Club making further unbudgeted<br />
calls in the future.<br />
The stronger half of the market are<br />
likely to continue to be stable from a<br />
supplementary call perspective.<br />
The broad market picture is therefore<br />
expected to be five or six specific problems<br />
at the bottom, contrasted with one or two<br />
isolated rebates at the top.<br />
70 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
SUPPLEMENTARY<br />
CALL hISTORY<br />
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION<br />
The following pages provide comparative information on the<br />
supplementary/deferred call history of the market.<br />
In recent years a number of Clubs have changed terminology to<br />
use the phrase ‘deferred premium’ rather than ‘supplementary<br />
call’. Similarly, instead of ‘estimated total call’ (‘advance call’<br />
+ ‘supplementary call’) several Associations have introduced<br />
expressions such as ‘mutual premium’, ‘estimated total premium’<br />
etc. These changes in terminology are purely cosmetic and have<br />
no impact on the underlying principle. All the International<br />
Group Clubs remain mutual insurers and have the ability to<br />
charge additional premiums or allow rebates on originally<br />
estimated premiums.<br />
In the following pages we have tried to compare ‘like with like’<br />
regardless of the actual terminology used by individual Clubs.<br />
Policy Year: 1994 / 1995 1995 / 1996 1996 / 1997 1997 / 1998 1998 / 1999 1999 / 2000 2000 / 2001<br />
Supplementary /<br />
Deferred Call Estimate:<br />
Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current<br />
American Club 65 65 50 68 25 34 25 25 25 25 25 45 25 115<br />
Britannia 40 -5 25 -10 25 -7.5 25 0 25 10 25 15 25 25<br />
Gard 40 35 30 15 30 0 30 0 30 0 25 15 25 25<br />
Japan Club 20 0 20 20 20 10 20 10 20 0 20 15 20 20<br />
Liverpool & London 40 170 25 112.95 25 116 25 172 25 25 25 25 n/a n/a<br />
London Steamship 40 30 40 30 40 40 40 30 40 20 40 40 40 40<br />
Newcastle 40 96 40 130 40 164 40 140 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
North of England 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 25 25<br />
Ocean Marine 30 95 30 95 40 180 40 180 40 110 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
Shipowners 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0<br />
Skuld 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 20 45 20 65<br />
Standard (Bermuda) 25 25 25 10 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 15 25 25<br />
Standard (London) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
Steamship 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 43 86<br />
Swedish 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10 0 0 0 0<br />
UK 40 40 40 30 40 25 40 25 40 30 40 30 33 33<br />
West of England 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
The analysis is broken down as follows:<br />
daTa TaBle<br />
The main reference table below shows in figures the original and<br />
final/current estimates for the supplementary/deferred calls of all<br />
the Clubs from 1994/95 to 2009/10.<br />
iNdividual CluB resulTs<br />
- oriGiNal vs. fiNal suPPlemeNTary Calls<br />
The data from the main reference table is displayed graphically<br />
without any analysis for each Club. The graphs show the original<br />
estimated supplementary call and the actual call for each Club over<br />
the period 1993 to 2008. Displaying the graphs together facilitates<br />
the comparison of individual Clubs’ supplementary call trends.<br />
iNdividual CluB resulTs - PerCeNTaGe variaTioN<br />
from oriGiNal esTimaTed ToTal Call<br />
Pages 75-77 provide a more direct comparison of all the Clubs’<br />
supplementary call results. Each graph shows the percentage<br />
variation from original estimated total call for each Club over the<br />
period 1993 to 2008. The graphs are on the same scale and provide<br />
direct comparison of the individual Clubs’ supplementary call<br />
performance and trends over the period.<br />
2001 / 2002 2002 / 2003 2003 / 2004 2004 / 2005 2005 / 2006 2006 / 2007 2007 / 2008 2008 / 2009 2009 / 2010<br />
Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current<br />
25 60 40 70 20 56 0 0 0 20 0 35 0 30 0 25 20 20<br />
25 25 40 40 40 40 40 30 40 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40<br />
25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 25 20 25 25 25 25 25 25<br />
20 10 20 20 30 10 30 30 30 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 40 40<br />
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 89 40 89 40 75 40 75<br />
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
25 25 25 25 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />
25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 25 25 25 25 25 10 10<br />
20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
25 25 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39<br />
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
43 100 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 35 0 0 0 0<br />
33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 60 33 67 33 60 33 33<br />
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 35 20 35 20 40 20 55 20 65 30 30<br />
Where Clubs charge on an Estimated Mutual Basis, the supplementary / deferred call figure provided refers to the percentage<br />
charged after expiry of the policy period (relative to the premium charged during the policy year). These are shown in red.<br />
= Closed = Open<br />
NB: Percentage Variation from original<br />
Estimated Total Call<br />
This is a measure whereby the Clubs’<br />
supplementary call performance can be<br />
directly compared. It is necessary for a<br />
clear comparison, as individual Clubs<br />
use a wide range of original estimated<br />
supplementary calls.<br />
– A zero percentage variance from<br />
estimated total calls signifies that<br />
the Club has charged exactly what it<br />
estimated for that year.<br />
– A negative percentage variance shows<br />
that the Club charged less than it<br />
originally estimated for the year in<br />
question.<br />
– A positive variance highlights that the<br />
Club actually charged more than was<br />
originally estimated for the year.<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
COMPARISON OF<br />
ORIgINAL <strong>AND</strong> ACTUAL<br />
SUPPLEMENTARY COSTS<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
AMERICAN CLUB<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
gARD<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
72 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
BRITANNIA<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
LONDON CLUB<br />
0%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
ShIPOwNERS<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
SkULD<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
STEAMShIP<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 73
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
-10<br />
-20<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
80%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
SwEDISh<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
Uk P&I CLUB<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
7 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />
180%<br />
160%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
180%<br />
160%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
NEwCASTLE<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />
OCEAN MARINE<br />
180%<br />
160%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call
PERCENTAgE vARIATION<br />
FROM INITIAL ESTIMATED<br />
TOTAL CALL<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
AMERICAN CLUB<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
gARD<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
-40%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
BRITANNIA<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
LONDON CLUB<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
ShIPOwNERS<br />
76 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-30%<br />
-40%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
SkULD<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
STEAMShIP<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
SwEDISh<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
-10%<br />
-20%<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Uk P&I CLUB<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
-40%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
-40%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
-20%<br />
-40%<br />
LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
NEwCASTLE<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
OCEAN MARINE<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 77
RELEASE<br />
CALLS
The intention of release calls is to<br />
remove any potential future liability<br />
for further calls to the Club, following<br />
termination of membership in the<br />
particular Club.<br />
By paying the release call the Member is ‘released’ from any<br />
further obligation to pay future supplementary call contributions<br />
to the Club. In essence therefore the release call is intended to<br />
represent the Member’s proportion of the Club’s incurred but<br />
not reported (IBNR) claims for the open years.<br />
This original intent does not appear to be mirrored in<br />
today’s practice.<br />
We have included on the next page a graph displaying the current<br />
release calls in force for all the Clubs. Evidently there is a wide<br />
range: Clubs like the Shipowners’ Club or Japan represent the<br />
lower, acceptable, end of the market with release calls set at nil and<br />
5 percent respectively. At the higher end of the market nine Clubs<br />
have at least one open policy year with release calls set at 20 or 25<br />
percent. The release calls of the West of England and the Swedish<br />
Club stand out as the worst in the market.<br />
The lack of consistency in the range of release calls does not stand<br />
up to logical interrogation. For example, it is clearly not realistic<br />
to believe that the Gard, North of England or Standard Club<br />
are four or five more times more likely to make an unbudgeted<br />
supplementary call than the Japan Club.<br />
The Shipowners’ Club should be singled out for praise for taking<br />
the step in 2008 to reduce all their release call estimates to zero.<br />
The Shipowners’ Club specialise in smaller tonnage and arguably<br />
have a relatively predictable claims pattern, however they are<br />
subject to greater competitive pressure than any other member<br />
Club in the International Group. This step will hopefully be<br />
perceived as a positive reflection on the Club’s confidence in<br />
their own performance.<br />
0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Clubs have a wide variety of sophisticated<br />
modelling methods at their disposal. It is<br />
therefore curious that a Club at the higher<br />
end of the release calls range believes their<br />
claims may exceed expectation by a margin<br />
of 25 percent, even one or two years after<br />
the expiry of the policy year in question.<br />
The general levels of some Clubs are even<br />
more objectionable when you account for<br />
the fact that in the event of unexpected<br />
results all Clubs have the option of<br />
increasing their release calls at any point<br />
to protect the general membership.<br />
Release calls are a significant factor in the<br />
transfer of business from Club to Club. It<br />
is easy to see why the release call levels<br />
of some Clubs are perceived more like a<br />
commercial ‘penalty’ for moving, rather<br />
than a realistic assessment of the potential<br />
for unbudgeted supplementary calls.
American<br />
Britannia<br />
Gard<br />
Japan Club<br />
London Steamship<br />
North of England<br />
Shipowners<br />
Skuld<br />
Standard (Bermuda)<br />
Standard (London)<br />
Steamship<br />
Swedish<br />
UK<br />
West of England<br />
RELEASE CALLS<br />
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0<br />
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%<br />
2006/07<br />
2007/08<br />
2008/09<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |
P&I FIxED<br />
PREMIUM<br />
MARkET
Following the contraction in the fixed premium market in 2006 it<br />
has subsequently remained stable with no withdrawals from the<br />
market and no new competition entering.<br />
The long awaited Vega Marine appears to have failed before ever<br />
actually formally launching a single viable product.<br />
Each fixed premium insurer has continued to try to expand<br />
their market share by offering higher limits and exploring<br />
new product areas.<br />
Raets P&I increased the limit available for Owned P&I from USD<br />
100 million to USD 500 million in 2007. Similarly both Navigators<br />
and Osprey increased the limit available from USD 25 million<br />
to USD 50 million. Osprey has recently continued this process<br />
by doubling the maximum limit they are able to offer, from<br />
USD 50 million to USD 100 million.<br />
Most product development has revolved around charterers<br />
liability. The British Marine and Navigators had always been able<br />
to write charterers business, but historically their efforts were not<br />
particularly well focussed. They have, coincidentally, both now<br />
put together new reinsurance programmes geared specifically<br />
towards charterers liability. Their expectation is that these more<br />
purposeful programmes will allow them to target charterers<br />
liability business more competitively.<br />
This development somewhat follows the trend of the<br />
International Group Clubs in the charterers liability sector.<br />
All Clubs historically have been able to write fixed premium<br />
charterers liability business, but until relatively recently only two<br />
or three Clubs had separate charterers reinsurance allowing them<br />
to target stand alone charterers effectively.<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
In the last couple of years there has been<br />
a great deal of activity in this sector<br />
and currently all of the International<br />
Group Clubs have some form of<br />
specific charterers liability reinsurance<br />
programme. The initial Clubs specialising<br />
in this area remain the market leaders, but<br />
there is now greater choice available. The<br />
market leading International Group Clubs<br />
are in a position to offer charterers cover<br />
with limits up to USD 1 billion.<br />
Fixed premium P&I insurers do not<br />
announce ‘General Increases’ as such, as<br />
this is very much a mutual concept. The<br />
fixed market is however in a similar claims<br />
environment to the Clubs and they will<br />
review each insured’s loss record in the<br />
context of the wider environment like<br />
any other commercial insurer at renewal.<br />
There will certainly be inflationary<br />
pressures and increased reinsurance<br />
costs for the fixed premium P&I market.<br />
As usual they will try to pass on their<br />
increased costs to ship operators, if the<br />
commercial environment allows them to.<br />
Competition in the small vessel sector<br />
continues to remain intense and as a<br />
result increases (if any) will again remain<br />
modest compared to those announced by<br />
the International Group Clubs.<br />
Facility Maximum P&I Limit (USD) Standard and Poor’s Rating Number of Vessels<br />
(Owned P&I)<br />
British Marine 1 billion A+ 9,655<br />
Ingosstrakh 500 million BBB- 1,110<br />
Raets P&I* 500 million A Fortis Corporate 3,000<br />
Insurance NV**<br />
Navigators 50 million A (Strong) 1,750<br />
Osprey 100 million A+ (Lloyd’s) N/A<br />
Other Mutual P&I Facilities<br />
South of England 500 million Mutual / Unrated 660<br />
Charterers Only Facilities<br />
Charterers Club 300 million A+ (Lloyd’s)*** N/A<br />
*(To be renamed Raets Marine Insurance B.V. from 1 January 2009)<br />
**(From 1 January 2009 to AA- Swiss Re International SE)<br />
***(From 1 January 2009 to AA-Munich Re)
BRITISh MARINE<br />
www.britishmarine.com<br />
British Marine Luxembourg SA (British Marine) completed a<br />
successful demutualisation in February 2000. In late 2005 British<br />
Marine was bought by QBE Insurance Group (QBE). As the next<br />
step of the integration of British Marine into the QBE Group, their<br />
security will transfer from British Marine Luxembourg SA to QBE<br />
Insurance (Europe) Limited with effect from 1 January 2009.<br />
British Marine continue to reiterate that they will operate in much<br />
the same way as before, with the retention of the existing brand and<br />
management team.<br />
British Marine’s strategy continues to concentrate on their<br />
traditional core business consisting of smaller vessels up to a<br />
maximum of around 10,000 GT. Europe remains the largest source<br />
of business (55 percent of the total book) followed by the Far and<br />
Middle East (13 percent and 11 percent respectively). The spread of<br />
vessel type remains consistent with previous years with dry cargo<br />
vessels continuing to represent the largest class of vessel.<br />
British Marine aims, with some success, to combine a mutualstyle<br />
service with a fixed premium product. They also have the<br />
ability to offer Charterers Liability, Hull and Machinery insurance<br />
and Freight Demurrage & Defence in addition to P&I.<br />
2008 has been another year of growth for British Marine. Building<br />
on the expansion of the last three, British Marine again expanded<br />
by a further 600 vessels in 2008 (the insurer has grown from<br />
7,900 vessels in 2006 to 9,655 in 2008). In terms of owned insured<br />
tonnage Australasia this now Middle equates East to Eastern a total portfolio Scandinavia slightly in excess of<br />
2% 13% Europe<br />
4%<br />
12 million GT.<br />
11%<br />
Americas &<br />
British Marine favoured maximum limit is USD Carribean 500 million, but it<br />
can Southern offer limits up to USD 1 billion each incident on 7% a selective basis.<br />
Europe<br />
British 26% Marine has always been able to write charterers liability<br />
insurance, but it has never been a major coverage area for the insurer.<br />
During 2007 they revamped their reinsurances in this area, with<br />
the intention of targeting charterers business more seriously in the<br />
future. They are now able to write Charterers P&I, Damage to Hull,<br />
Freight Demurrage & Defence and loss of charterers’ bunkers for all<br />
Far East<br />
types of charterer for vessels up to 30,000 GT.<br />
14%<br />
The maximum limits available on the chartered side are USD 100<br />
million Northern for Europe Charterers Indian P&I Sub-Continent<br />
and USD 50 million Other for Charterers<br />
Damage 18%<br />
to Hull. Freight Demurrage 4% and Defence 1% limits tend to<br />
be fixed case by case but would normally be in the region of USD 1<br />
to USD 2 million.<br />
British Marine is A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s and QBE<br />
Europe has the same financial rating.<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Australasia<br />
2%<br />
Southern<br />
Europe<br />
26%<br />
Northern Europe<br />
18%<br />
Middle East<br />
13%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Others<br />
1%<br />
Inland craft<br />
8%<br />
General Cargo<br />
39%<br />
Unitised<br />
10%<br />
Eastern<br />
Europe<br />
11%<br />
Indian Sub-Continent<br />
4%<br />
Tanker<br />
7%<br />
Scandinavia<br />
4%<br />
Americas &<br />
Carribean<br />
7%<br />
Far East<br />
14%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />
Other<br />
1%<br />
Fishing<br />
8%<br />
Bulker<br />
11%<br />
Tugs<br />
1%<br />
Yachts<br />
1%<br />
MIscellaneous<br />
Carriers<br />
14%
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
South America<br />
13%<br />
Europe<br />
41%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Passenger/<br />
Pleasure<br />
2%<br />
Supply/Offshore<br />
6%<br />
Tanker<br />
12%<br />
6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Middle East<br />
12%<br />
Carribean<br />
2%<br />
Tugs and<br />
Barges<br />
8%<br />
Africa<br />
5%<br />
Far East<br />
17%<br />
Central<br />
America<br />
10%<br />
Bulk Carrier<br />
5%<br />
Fishing<br />
3%<br />
General Cargo<br />
64%<br />
NAvIgATORS<br />
<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />
<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />
www.navpandi.com<br />
Passenger/ Tanker Tugs and Bulk Carrier<br />
Navigators P&I Pleasure facility began 12% underwriting Bargeson<br />
1 January 2004, 5%<br />
2%<br />
8%<br />
following the appointment by Navigators Insurance Group<br />
(Navigators) of the team that set up Terra Nova P&I.<br />
Fishing<br />
3%<br />
In the 2007 policy year Navigators increased the maximum limit<br />
of liability available from USD 25 million to USD 50 million any<br />
one accident or occurrence. Navigators focus on vessels engaged<br />
in coast-wise, inland and short sea trades, and seek only to insure<br />
vessels up to 10,000 GT.<br />
European tonnage constitutes 41 percent of the total premium<br />
income, with general cargo vessels representing 64 percent of the<br />
facility’s portfolio.<br />
In addition to Owned Supply/Offshore P&I, Navigators are also able General to provide Cargo<br />
cover for contractual 6% liabilities by way of contractual extensions 64%<br />
to the main P&I cover. Navigators similarly introduced a<br />
Charterers facility with a maximum combined single limit of<br />
USD 50 million. The Charterers facility has identical vessel<br />
underwriting parameters as the owned book.<br />
Navigators P&I gross premium in 2006 was USD 26.64 million.<br />
In the same year they paid claims of USD 9.5 million. In 2007<br />
gross premiums increased to USD 27.08 million, with claims<br />
increasing to USD 12.05 million. In percentage terms, claims<br />
compared to premium income increased from 35 percent in<br />
2006 to 45 percent in 2007.<br />
The underwriting team has changed since our last Review with<br />
the two founders of Terra Nova P&I retiring from underwriting.<br />
Although there was succession planning there is always a learning<br />
curve for a team in such circumstances.<br />
Navigators P&I do not underwrite US flagged vessels, but can<br />
arrange COFRs for those vessels trading to the US.<br />
Navigators are A rated by Standard and Poor’s.
OSPREY<br />
UNDERwRITINg<br />
AgENCY LTD<br />
www.osprey-uwr.co.uk<br />
Osprey was founded in 1991 as an agency underwriting on behalf<br />
of Lloyd’s.<br />
From the beginning, their focus was on providing cover to owners<br />
that did not require the limits offered by the mutual Clubs.<br />
Consequently, Osprey concentrate on smaller vessels, with<br />
relatively limited trading.<br />
Along with other fixed premium insurers, in response to<br />
competition and demands from ship operators, 2007 saw Osprey<br />
double the maximum limit of liability available to USD 50 million<br />
any one accident or occurrence. In 2008 they have increased the<br />
limit further to USD 100 million.<br />
Unlike the other fixed premium facilities mentioned in the<br />
Review, Osprey is also willing to insure US domiciled operators.<br />
In terms of premium income the US market represents almost 60<br />
percent of their portfolio. Fishing vessels represent the largest<br />
class of vessels (42 percent) closely followed by Tugs and Barges<br />
(34 percent).<br />
Osprey’s P&I wording, along with that of the other fixed premium<br />
providers, offers similar ‘heads of cover’ to the mutual Clubs.<br />
Besides standard P&I, Osprey are able to provide cover for:<br />
– Maritime Employers’ Liability Asia exposures: Carribean for those who do<br />
9%<br />
3%<br />
not operate vessels but whose employees work within the<br />
maritime industry<br />
Europe<br />
– Third Party Liability coverage for owners and 22% / or operators of<br />
shipyards, terminals, stevedores, wharfingers and other marine<br />
contracting companies<br />
– Hull and Machinery insurance for vessels up to 10,000 GT<br />
engaged in the carriage of dry cargoes<br />
In addition to the above, Osprey, as a company has also introduced<br />
a dedicated yacht underwriting Agency, Osprey Special Risks.<br />
Osprey’s policy forms are backed by Lloyd’s security which is<br />
A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s.<br />
North America<br />
59%<br />
South America<br />
3%<br />
Middle<br />
East<br />
4%<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
North America<br />
59%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Other<br />
2%<br />
Fishing Vessels<br />
42%<br />
Craft<br />
5%<br />
General Cargo<br />
5%<br />
Asia<br />
9%<br />
South America<br />
3%<br />
Crew Only<br />
5%<br />
Carribean<br />
3%<br />
Europe<br />
22%<br />
Middle<br />
East<br />
4%<br />
Passenger and Pleasure<br />
3%<br />
Dredgers<br />
4%<br />
Tugs and<br />
Barges<br />
34%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Other<br />
5%<br />
Europe<br />
67%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Fishing<br />
23%<br />
Yacht<br />
9%<br />
Barge<br />
11%<br />
Middle East inc. India<br />
9%<br />
| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Tug<br />
10%<br />
Asia Pacific<br />
17%<br />
Central South America<br />
2%<br />
General Cargo<br />
21%<br />
Reefers<br />
6%<br />
Dry<br />
Container<br />
2%<br />
Others<br />
18%<br />
RAETS P&I<br />
TO BE RENAMED RAETS MARINE<br />
www.RaetsPandi.com<br />
www.RaetsMarine.com<br />
From 1 January Fishing 2009 Raets P&I will be renamed Tug Raets Marine Reefers<br />
Insurance B.V. Raets 23% Marine will be a single 10% brand name for 6%<br />
the group.<br />
Dry<br />
Yacht<br />
Container<br />
9%<br />
2%<br />
RaetsMarine continue with the head office located in Rotterdam<br />
and branch offices in Singapore, Paris and London. RaetsMarine<br />
offers the following P&I and marine liability products:<br />
– Charterers Liability for all types of charterers, traders,<br />
operators etc.<br />
– Protection and Indemnity insurance for all types of seagoing<br />
vessels up to 10,000 GT.<br />
– Protection and Indemnity insurance for all types of inland craft.<br />
– MultiModal, Port & Logistics Insurance for Marine Related<br />
Companies.<br />
Barge<br />
General Cargo Others<br />
Raets Marine began 11% initially only writing charterers’ 21% liability 18%<br />
business in 1994. They are able to write any type of charterers’<br />
business irrespective of size. The majority of the portfolio is from<br />
tramp chartering (both voyage and time charters) and commodity<br />
traders who are chartering vessels to carry their own cargoes.<br />
Gross premium income is expected to total around USD 40<br />
million for the 2008 policy year<br />
The ability to write Owned P&I cover on a fixed premium basis<br />
was launched in 1999. RaetsMarine currently insure around<br />
3,000 vessels, equating to just over 5 million GT. Like much of<br />
the fixed premium P&I market, RaetsMarine focus on vessels up<br />
to around 10,000 GT. Their preferred tonnage is dry cargo ships,<br />
but they also write fishing vessels, tugs, supply vessels and other<br />
specialised craft.<br />
Cover is restricted to those operators who do not regularly trade<br />
trans-Atlantic, trans-Pacific or to the USA.<br />
The maximum limit of liability available for Reats Marine P&I<br />
and Charterers Liability is USD 500 million any one accident or<br />
occurrence. For Freight Demurrage & Defence the available limit<br />
is USD 2 million any one accident or occurrence.<br />
All risks written by Raets P&I are currently 100 percent ceded<br />
to Fortis Insurance NV in the Netherlands. With effect from<br />
1 January 2009 the security will change to Swiss Re.<br />
Fortis Insurance NV are A rated by Standard and Poor’s.<br />
Swiss Re are AA- rated by Standard & Poor’s.
OThER MARkETS<br />
There are a number of other facilities offering fixed premium P&I<br />
cover. Of these Ingosstrakh (formerly the Russian State Insurance<br />
company for international business) is of note, particularly for<br />
Russian and ex-Russian business.<br />
INgOSSTRAkh INSURANCE CO<br />
www.ingos.ru<br />
Ingosstrakh have been offering P&I insurance for 30 years. Their<br />
current portfolio consists mainly of owners / operators from<br />
Russia and other eastern European countries. The remaining<br />
portfolio, whilst appearing to be of an international nature, has in<br />
most cases a Russian or former Russian connection.<br />
Ingosstrakh P&I cover is similar to that provided by the<br />
International Group Clubs. Freight Demurrage & Defence cover is<br />
also available.<br />
Historically, limits of liability were offered up to a maximum of<br />
USD 100 million, although the majority of owners require limits<br />
of no more than USD 10 million. Since 2005 Ingosstrakh have<br />
been able to offer limits up to USD 500 million.<br />
Ingosstrakh cover a large range of vessels, from very small ships<br />
operating inland and coastal waters, to larger ocean going vessels<br />
(in excess of 20,000 GT). They will not write large tankers, cruise<br />
vessels or US registered or operated craft.<br />
2000-2005 2006 1959-1969 1970-1979<br />
3% 3% 10% 31%<br />
Ingosstrakh currently insure approximately 1,100 vessels, the<br />
1995-1999<br />
majority of which are dry cargo ships.<br />
3%<br />
Ingosstrakh have been offering charterers cover for ten years.<br />
The maximum limit available is USD 100 million.<br />
Ingosstrakh are rated BBB- by Standard and Poor’s, with a<br />
National Scale rating of ruAA+<br />
1990-1994<br />
12%<br />
1980-1989<br />
38%<br />
BY YEAR BUILT<br />
1995-1999<br />
3%<br />
1990-1994<br />
12%<br />
2000-2005<br />
3%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Fishing<br />
9%<br />
General Cargo<br />
44%<br />
Reefer<br />
2%<br />
2006<br />
3%<br />
1959-1969<br />
10%<br />
Tanker<br />
14%<br />
Bulkers<br />
8%<br />
Barge<br />
8%<br />
1970-1979<br />
31%<br />
1980-1989<br />
38%<br />
Passengers<br />
2%<br />
RORO<br />
4%<br />
Tug<br />
3%<br />
Other<br />
6%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Africa<br />
6%<br />
Europe<br />
9%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Bulker<br />
53%<br />
Livestock<br />
1%<br />
RORO<br />
1%<br />
Rest of World<br />
15%<br />
Passenger<br />
2%<br />
90 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Middle East inc India<br />
24%<br />
General Cargo<br />
24%<br />
Asia Pacific<br />
46%<br />
Tanker<br />
15%<br />
Reefer<br />
1%<br />
Barge<br />
1%<br />
Container<br />
2%<br />
SOUThERN SEAS (EUROPE) LIMITED &<br />
SOUTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong> <strong>PROTECTION</strong> <strong>AND</strong><br />
<strong>INDEMNITY</strong> ASSOCIATION (BERMUDA)<br />
LIMITED (SOUTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong>)<br />
www.soem-pandi.com<br />
Bulker<br />
Passenger<br />
Tanker<br />
Brighton-based 53% Southern Seas changed 2% their name from Southern 15%<br />
Seas (UK) Limited to Southern Seas (Europe) Limited in 2005.<br />
The management behind Southern Seas created a separate<br />
Reefer<br />
mutual insurer, ‘The South of England Protection and Indemnity 1%<br />
Association (Bermuda) Limited’ (South of England), which<br />
commenced underwriting on 20 February 2004.<br />
The South of England has now taken over day-to-day<br />
underwriting of Southern Seas (Europe) (which is now limited<br />
to simply a Lloyd’s facility providing specialist cover for tug and<br />
barge operations and concessionaire’s liability etc).<br />
The South of England is a mutual P&I Club which, unlike Barge<br />
Livestock<br />
most<br />
1%<br />
of the fixed premium 1% insurers mentioned earlier in this section,<br />
can provide cover RORO for vessels in excess of General 10,000 Cargo GT. Their Container focus<br />
is on vessels trading 1% internationally, but excluding 24% those ships 2%<br />
with a predominantly US trading pattern or which are US flagged<br />
and / or crewed.<br />
The premium income for the 2008 policy year is expected to be in<br />
excess of USD 45 million with approximately 750 vessels entered.<br />
Almost 30 percent of the entered tonnage originates from<br />
China. Other areas where the South of England is strong are<br />
U.A.E. and Europe.<br />
The South of England is able to offer limits up to USD 500 million,<br />
using a reinsurance facility placed excess of USD 250,000, which is<br />
almost entirely Lloyd’s security (a 6 percent line is placed with Arch<br />
Re on an underlying USD 24,750,000 excess of USD 250,000 layer).<br />
The South of England are able to provide Charterers cover although<br />
this is normally reinsured 100 percent from the ground up.<br />
The South of England Protection and Indemnity Association<br />
(Bermuda) Limited is a mutual insurer unrated by any<br />
international rating agency.
ChARTERERS<br />
ONLY FACILITIES<br />
The only remaining facility, other than the commercial subscription<br />
markets, dedicated solely to charterer’s liability is the Charterers P&I<br />
Club. This stand alone facility does not write any Owned vessel P&I,<br />
but is included below for the sake of completeness.<br />
ThE ChARTERERS P&I CLUB<br />
www.else.co.uk<br />
The Charterers P&I Club, established in 1986, offers Charterers’<br />
liability and Charterers Freight Demurrage & Defence cover.<br />
Originally run as a mutual, the Club demutualised in 1999 and<br />
became a fixed premium provider working as an agency backed by<br />
the security of underwriters at Lloyd’s. This underlying security<br />
will change to Great Lakes Reinsurance (UK) PLC, a subsidiary of<br />
Munich Re, with effect from 1 January 2009.<br />
All claims handling and underwriting support is provided by<br />
Michael Else and Co (the Managers of the Club), combining<br />
internal expertise with a worldwide network of correspondents.<br />
The Charterers’ Club can provide a limit of USD 2 million for<br />
Freight Demurrage and Defence, while on the liability side their<br />
standard maximum limit is USD 50 million, though they can<br />
provide options to USD 300 million if required and subject to<br />
certain underwriting Americas restrictions. Australasia Middle East/<br />
3%<br />
9%<br />
India<br />
Asia<br />
10%<br />
In the 35% 2006 policy year the Charterers’ Club’s gross premium<br />
was approximately USD 23.2 million (combined Defence and<br />
Liability Classes). The 2007 policy year saw this figure increase<br />
to approximately USD 24.5 million. It is estimated that the 2008<br />
gross premium will equal USD 28 million.<br />
The Club currently insures around 200 clients, from liner operators<br />
to trading houses, and anticipates further growth in 2009.<br />
The Charterers’ Club are backed by Lloyd’s security which is<br />
A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s. Munich Re is AA- rated by<br />
Standard and Poor’s.<br />
Europe<br />
38%<br />
Africa<br />
5%<br />
BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />
Asia<br />
35%<br />
Europe<br />
38%<br />
Americas<br />
3%<br />
BY vESSEL TYPE<br />
Liner<br />
25%<br />
Australasia<br />
9%<br />
Other<br />
2%<br />
Middle East/<br />
India<br />
10%<br />
Africa<br />
5%<br />
Tanker<br />
5%<br />
Bulkers<br />
68%<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9
CONTACTS<br />
LONDON PLACINg TEAM<br />
Ben Abraham<br />
Executive Director<br />
Email: abrahamb@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7786<br />
Anna Brand<br />
Technician<br />
Email: Branda@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7704<br />
Chris Chadwick<br />
Account Handler<br />
Email: chadwickc@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7787<br />
Jacqui Coplen<br />
Technician<br />
Email: coplenj@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 8202<br />
Spencer Crane<br />
Account Handler<br />
Email: cranes@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 203124 7709<br />
Eilert Eilertsen<br />
Divisional Director<br />
Email: Eilertsene@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 8009<br />
Richard Furness<br />
Executive Director<br />
Email: furnessrd@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7612<br />
LONDON CLAIMS TEAM<br />
George H. McMenamin<br />
Executive Director<br />
Email: McMenamingh@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7419<br />
Claire Barry<br />
Email: Barryca@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 8638<br />
Bradleigh-Aaron McArthur<br />
Email: McArthurbr@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7713<br />
92 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />
Ian M. Harris<br />
Executive Director<br />
Email: Harrisim@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7595<br />
Paul D. Harrison<br />
Account Handler<br />
Email: Harrisonpd@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 8291<br />
Kate Lowman<br />
Senior Technician<br />
Email: lowmankl@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7755<br />
David Mahoney<br />
Executive Director<br />
Email: Mahoneydx@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7717<br />
Katherine Parsons<br />
Account Handler<br />
Email: parsonskz@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7332<br />
Rachel Sebborn<br />
Divisional Director<br />
Email: sebbornr@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 20 3124 7718<br />
Cathy Smith<br />
Technician<br />
Email: smithca@willis.com<br />
Direct line: +44 203 124 7639
This Review is published for the benefit of clients and prospective clients of <strong>Willis</strong>. It is intended to highlight<br />
general issues relating to the subject matter which may be of interest and does not necessarily deal with every<br />
important subject nor cover every aspect of the subjects contained herein. If you intend to take any action or<br />
make any decision on the basis of the content of this bulletin, you should first seek specific professional advice<br />
and verify its content. Copyright <strong>Willis</strong> 2008. All rights reserved.
<strong>Willis</strong> Limited<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> Marine<br />
Contacts and Addresses:<br />
The <strong>Willis</strong> Building<br />
51 Lime Street<br />
London EC3M 7DQ<br />
Tel: +44 (0)20 3124 6000<br />
Fax: +44 (0)20 3124 8223<br />
www.willis.com<br />
Brian Fuller<br />
One World Financial Center<br />
200 Liberty Street, 7th Floor<br />
New York, NY 10281-1003<br />
Tel: +1 212 915 8888<br />
Jim Currier<br />
Suite 200, 505 Union Station<br />
505 Fifth Avenue South<br />
Seattle, Washington, 98104<br />
Tel: +1 206 386 7400<br />
Veit Metzroth<br />
Suite 900, One Bush Street<br />
San Francisco,<br />
California, 94104<br />
Tel: +1 415 981 1141<br />
Jim DeLeeuw<br />
43155 Main Street<br />
Suite 2200B, Novi<br />
Michigan, 48375<br />
Tel: +1 248 735 7580<br />
Bill Rose<br />
11240 Waples Mill Road<br />
Suite # 301, Fairfax,<br />
Virginia, 22030<br />
Tel: +1 703 591 0093<br />
<strong>Willis</strong> Limited, Registered number: 181116 England and Wales.<br />
Registered address: 51 Lime Street, London, EC3M 7DQ.<br />
A Lloyd’s Broker. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.<br />
6928/12/08<br />
Nigel Brunning<br />
Suite 1600, The Poydras Center<br />
650 Poydras Street, New Orleans<br />
Louisiana, 70130<br />
Tel: +1 504 581 6151<br />
Lewis Hart<br />
78 Shenton Way<br />
# 23-02/03<br />
Singapore, 079120<br />
Tel: +65 6221 9877<br />
Patrick Chow<br />
3502 The Lee Gardens<br />
33 Hysan Avenue<br />
Causeway Bay, Hong Kong<br />
Tel: +852 282 70111<br />
Xiao-Jun Lin<br />
10/F, UC Tower, 500 Fushan Road<br />
Pudong New Area Shanghai<br />
200122, China<br />
Tel: +86 21 3887 9988<br />
Claudio Brichetto<br />
Piazza Dante, 7<br />
Genova<br />
Italy<br />
Tel: +39 0105 46711