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<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />

<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />

MARkET REvIEw 2008/2009


<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />

<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />

MARkET REvIEw 2008/09<br />

Summary 3<br />

Market Financial Commentary 7<br />

Reinsurance and Pooling 17<br />

– Changes in International Group Reinsurance 18<br />

– Pool and Retention Development 21<br />

– Expectations for the Reinsurance Renewal at 20 February 2009 26<br />

General Increases 29<br />

Average Expense Ratio (AER) Comparisons 33<br />

Club Financial Pages 37<br />

– Introduction to Club Pages 38<br />

– American 40<br />

– Britannia 42<br />

– Gard 44<br />

– Japan 46<br />

– London 48<br />

– North of England 50<br />

– Shipowners 52<br />

– Skuld 54<br />

– Standard (Bermuda) 56<br />

– Steamship 58<br />

– UK Club 60<br />

– West of England 62<br />

– Liverpool & London 64<br />

– Swedish 65<br />

Supplementary Call History 67<br />

– Historic Supplementary Call Accuracy 68<br />

– Supplementary Call History Summary 70<br />

– Comparison of Original and Actual Supplementary Calls 72<br />

– Percentage Variation from Initial Estimated Total Call 75<br />

Release Calls 79<br />

P&I Fixed Premium Market 83<br />

Contacts 92<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |


SUMMARY


LOOkINg<br />

BACk<br />

RENEwAL AT 20 FEBRUARY 2008<br />

The background to the 2008 Protection and Indemnity (P&I)<br />

renewal was ominous. The previous year had experienced the<br />

worst Pool claims record ever and 2007/08 appeared to be<br />

heading towards a similar level.<br />

Retained claims performance largely mirrored the adverse<br />

Pool development. Added to this the investment climate was<br />

uncertain. In this gloomy environment, the highest general<br />

increases for five years were announced.<br />

The renewal discussions themselves were the most<br />

confrontational of the decade. ‘Cash was king’ for the Clubs and<br />

ship operators, who were faced with rising costs in all other areas,<br />

fought hard to resist premium increases.<br />

The combination of these issues led to delayed renewal offers and<br />

generally a much later conclusion of negotiations than normal.<br />

Overall our estimate of the actual result pushed through by the<br />

market was an increase of between 13 and 14 percent on mutual P&I.<br />

2007/08 FINANCIAL YEAR RESULTS<br />

As anticipated, the increase in claims led to the 2007/08 financial<br />

year registering the worst ever underwriting result for the<br />

P&I market. It was notable that the substantial increases in<br />

outstanding claims estimates over the last three years were finally<br />

translated into a surge in claims actually being paid in 2007/08.<br />

By contrast to the adverse claims picture, in most cases<br />

investment income results were not as dire as some feared and<br />

an overall investment return of roughly six percent mitigated the<br />

underwriting deficit substantially. The overall result for the market<br />

was therefore only very marginally below the break even position.<br />

This relatively benign overall result masks the wide variances<br />

between the best and worst performing individual Clubs.<br />

Similarly the heavy reliance on investment income resonates all<br />

too painfully with the problems following the world economic<br />

crash in September and October 2008.<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

‘Cash was king’ for<br />

the Clubs and ship<br />

operators, who were<br />

faced with rising<br />

costs in all other<br />

areas, fought hard<br />

to resist premium<br />

increases.<br />

The main wild card<br />

at the moment is<br />

the impact that the<br />

global economic<br />

crisis has had on<br />

Club reserves.


LOOkINg<br />

FORwARD<br />

The main wild card at the moment is the impact that the global<br />

economic crisis has had on Club reserves and will have on future<br />

investment income results.<br />

The London Club was the first obvious casualty of the economic<br />

situation. A woeful investment result in 2007/08 exacerbated by<br />

the meltdown in the equity markets in the third quarter of 2008,<br />

forced them into a refinancing of approximately USD 90 million<br />

by means of unbudgeted calls.<br />

The UK P&I Club followed shortly afterwards with a similar<br />

requirement. If all the UK Club’s announced unbudgeted calls<br />

are charged in due course they will equate to a recapitalisation<br />

of roughly USD 180 million. The UK P&I Club’s decision was<br />

not directly forced upon them, unlike the London Club. The<br />

uncertainty of the world economy, combined with the volatility<br />

of claims, provided the catalyst for a shift in their attitude to what<br />

represented an adequate margin of error.<br />

The inherent issues of the American Club led to their wholly<br />

expected announcement of further unbudgeted calls.<br />

The West of England announced additional unbudgeted calls<br />

which if all debited would amount to USD 140 million. The West<br />

of England’s announcement reduces the unbudgeted call made<br />

in 2006 but adds greater additional calls on the 2007 and 2008<br />

years. Again the collapse in the financial markets is the catalyst,<br />

but for a Club still recovering from the last round of unbudgeted<br />

calls the message is particularly unpalatable.<br />

Most recently the Swedish Club have announced substantial<br />

unbudgeted calls on the 2006 and 2007 years. In the<br />

circumstances, the increase in the West of England’s and the<br />

Swedish Club’s release calls may also be perceived as a cynical<br />

commercial move.<br />

No Club is immune from the uncertainty in the investment market.<br />

It is therefore not possible to categorically state that no other Club<br />

will be compelled down the route of unbudgeted calls. We expect<br />

however that the stronger Clubs will be able to absorb the impact of<br />

the recent fluctuations in investment. Thus, we do not anticipate an<br />

imminent recurrence of unbudgeted calls across the entire market.<br />

The market environment is changing almost daily and we will<br />

continue to keep our clients updated of all major developments.<br />

As outlined in recent <strong>Willis</strong> publications,<br />

volatility is the overriding characteristic<br />

of the pattern of large P&I claims in the<br />

current environment.<br />

Almost to underline this, so far in 2008/09<br />

Pool claims appear to be strangely benign.<br />

At the time of writing only two Pool claims<br />

in excess of USD 10 million had been<br />

reported in the current policy year.<br />

This curious reduction in very large<br />

claims is unlikely to persist as most of<br />

the drivers of major claims continue to be<br />

present. The anomaly serves to emphasise<br />

the volatility and difficulty of prediction in<br />

the current market.<br />

Despite retained claims continuing the<br />

upward pattern of the last two years, the<br />

increases in premium at the 2008 renewal<br />

will have gone some considerable way<br />

towards eroding the underwriting deficits<br />

across the market. Underwriting deficits<br />

will persist and as intimated earlier, the key<br />

question will be to what extent investment<br />

income assists, or more likely, further<br />

deteriorates Clubs’ financial positions.<br />

There is a marked variance between<br />

the financial position of Clubs and their<br />

ability to withstand the current market<br />

uncertainties. The discrepancy between<br />

the strongest and weakest is likely to<br />

become even greater in the present<br />

environment.<br />

General increases for the renewal at 20<br />

February 2009 are predominantly in<br />

the 10 to 20 percent range. The average<br />

announced increase is marginally higher<br />

than 2008 and the rationale behind the<br />

increases is evident. Regardless of this the<br />

forthcoming renewal is set to be every bit<br />

as confrontational as last year.<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |


MARkET<br />

FINANCIAL<br />

COMMENTARY


OvERvIEw<br />

From a pure underwriting perspective 2007/08 represents a new<br />

record deficit for the market. The trend in paid claims is following<br />

the surge in outstanding claims estimates noted in previous years.<br />

Premium levels were again overwhelmed by claims.<br />

This underwriting development was predicted in our review last<br />

year, at which point we suggested that it would take an investment<br />

return in excess of 6 percent to enable the market to break even.<br />

Despite the less than certain climate in 2007, the investment return<br />

produced by the market was better than feared, at marginally<br />

above the 6 percent level mentioned. Investment income did not<br />

completely offset the underwriting loss, but came within USD 8.3<br />

million of the level required (putting the overall deficit in context it<br />

represents only 0.3 percent of the market premium).<br />

Looking forward, the increases in premium at the 2008 renewal<br />

should erode the underwriting deficit. However, unless claims<br />

trends miraculously change in 2008/09, the year will end with a<br />

reduced but still material deficit. At the same time investment<br />

income has never been more uncertain. Investment losses are<br />

widely mooted and a sizeable overall deficit appears inevitable for<br />

the market in 2008/09.<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2007/08<br />

FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULTS<br />

PAID CLAIMS CATChINg UP<br />

wITh INCURRED CLAIMS<br />

Total premiums paid increased by 6.8<br />

percent between 2006/07 and 2007/08.<br />

Reinsurance costs jumped by 12.4 percent<br />

over the same period. The increase in<br />

reinsurance costs signalled a move by<br />

Clubs to try to protect themselves from<br />

the prevailing claims volatility. Operating<br />

expenses increased by a more inflationary<br />

5 percent. The net result of this was<br />

that Operating Income (Premium, less<br />

Reinsurance, less Operating Expenses)<br />

increased by 5.9 percent.<br />

Following the surge in outstanding claims<br />

estimates over the last four years it was<br />

only a matter of time before these led to<br />

an increase in the level of paid claims. This<br />

anticipated development was dramatically<br />

realised in 2007/08, with Gross Paid<br />

Claims increasing by 34.5 percent.<br />

Net Paid Claims were ameliorated by<br />

reinsurance recoveries but still escalated<br />

by 25 percent. Following the same pattern<br />

as the outstanding claims estimates, this<br />

represents the single biggest percentage<br />

increase in paid claims between financial<br />

years in the market’s history.<br />

The developments of Gross Premiums<br />

compared to Gross Paid Claims, and,<br />

Operating Income compared to Net Paid<br />

Claims, are shown in the graphs on the<br />

opposite page.<br />

The 200 renewal premium increases should erode<br />

the underwriting deficit, but barring a minor miracle in<br />

claims trends 200 /09 will end with a reduced, but still<br />

material deficit.


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

The surge in outstanding claims in recent years was,<br />

as expected, dramatically mirrored in Paid Claims in<br />

2007/0 . Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />

3 . and 2 percent respectively. These represent the<br />

largest percentage increases in paid claims between<br />

financial years in the market’s history.<br />

Paid Premiums aNd Gross Paid Claims - ComPared To oWNed eNTered ToNNaGe<br />

3000<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

500<br />

0<br />

0<br />

3000<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

1000<br />

500<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />

Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />

Calls and Premiums<br />

Calls and Premiums<br />

Gross Paid Claims<br />

Gross Paid Claims<br />

1996/97<br />

1996/97<br />

1997/98<br />

1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

2007/08<br />

0<br />

Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />

Total Owned Tonnage (GT)<br />

Operating Income<br />

Operating Income<br />

Net Paid Claims<br />

Net Paid Claims<br />

1996/97<br />

1996/97<br />

1997/98<br />

1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

2007/08<br />

750<br />

750<br />

700<br />

700<br />

650<br />

650<br />

600<br />

600<br />

550<br />

550<br />

500<br />

500<br />

450<br />

450<br />

400<br />

400<br />

350<br />

350<br />

300<br />

300<br />

750<br />

750<br />

700<br />

700<br />

650<br />

650<br />

600<br />

600<br />

550<br />

550<br />

500<br />

500<br />

450<br />

450<br />

400<br />

400<br />

350<br />

350<br />

300<br />

300<br />

Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />

Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />

Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />

Entered Tonnage (million GT)<br />

USD<br />

USD<br />

Millions<br />

Millions<br />

USD<br />

USD<br />

Millions<br />

Millions<br />

3000<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

1000<br />

oPeraTiNG iNCome aNd NeT Paid Claims - ComPared To oWNed eNTered ToNNaGe<br />

3000<br />

3000<br />

2500<br />

2500<br />

2000<br />

2000<br />

1500<br />

1500<br />

1000<br />

1000<br />

2005/06 2005/06<br />

2005/06 2005/06<br />

2006/07 2006/07<br />

2006/07 2006/07<br />

2007/08 2007/08<br />

2007/08 2007/08<br />

750<br />

750<br />

700<br />

700<br />

650<br />

650<br />

600<br />

600<br />

550<br />

550<br />

500<br />

500<br />

450<br />

450<br />

750<br />

750<br />

700<br />

700<br />

650<br />

650<br />

600<br />

600<br />

550<br />

550<br />

500<br />

500<br />

450<br />

450<br />

Entered Entered Tonnage (million GT) GT)<br />

Entered Entered Tonnage (million GT) GT)<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9


USD Millions<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

-600<br />

USD Millions<br />

1996/97<br />

NEw RECORD DEFICIT IN UNDERwRITINg RESULT<br />

As a result of the claims pattern highlighted earlier, the ‘paid’<br />

technical surplus in 2006/07 was reversed into a material deficit<br />

in 2007/08. Combined with a further increase in outstanding<br />

claims estimates (though mercifully increased by less than in<br />

2006/07) the overall ‘incurred technical result’ in 2007/08 was<br />

4 percent worse than in 2006/07.<br />

The ‘Net Underwriting Result’ graph below highlights this trend.<br />

Despite the fact that outstanding claims are increasing at a reduced<br />

rate, the paid underwriting deficit is large enough for the market to<br />

report the worst incurred underwriting result in its history.<br />

Due to the time lag of paying long tail claims, the trend expected<br />

over the next two or three years would be that paid claims would<br />

continue to increase, in broadly the same pattern as the increase<br />

in outstanding claims since 2004.<br />

NeT uNderWriTiNG resulT<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

-500<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus<br />

Surplus<br />

(Deficit)<br />

(Deficit)<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Change in Estimated Outstanding Claims<br />

-600 Change in Estimated Outstanding Claims<br />

1997/98<br />

1998/99 1996/97<br />

1999/00 1997/98<br />

2000/01<br />

1998/99<br />

2001/02<br />

1999/00<br />

INvESTMENT INCOME COMES<br />

TO ThE RESCUE AgAIN - ALMOST<br />

The P&I market has not reported an underwriting surplus for<br />

over 15 years. Over these 15 years investment income has been<br />

sufficient to offset the underwriting deficits in all but five years.<br />

In our review last year we anticipated the marginal deterioration<br />

in the underwriting result. We also highlighted that a similar<br />

deficit to 2006/07 would be offset by an investment income result<br />

exceeding 6 percent.<br />

0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2000/01<br />

2002/03<br />

2001/02<br />

2003/04<br />

2002/03<br />

2004/05<br />

2003/04<br />

2005/06<br />

2004/05<br />

2006/07<br />

2005/06<br />

2007/08<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

USD Millions<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

USD Millions<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

05/06<br />

07/08<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

There was much uncertainty in 2007<br />

about the possible levels of investment<br />

income. Without question no one<br />

expected the record levels seen in<br />

2006/07 but there were also a number<br />

of dire predictions about where the year<br />

could eventually lead. As it turned out,<br />

for most Clubs, investment income was<br />

significantly better than feared and the<br />

overall result across the market was<br />

marginally over 6 percent.


USD Millions<br />

2001/02<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

2002/03<br />

0<br />

2003/04<br />

1996/97<br />

The impact of investment income on the overall result is clearly<br />

shown in the ‘Overall Result’ graph below. The substantial<br />

incurred technical deficit was converted to almost a break<br />

even position due to the USD 347 million contribution from<br />

investment income. As mentioned in the introduction to this<br />

section, investment income did not completely offset the<br />

underwriting loss, but came within USD 8.3 million of the level<br />

required. Putting the overall deficit in context it represents only a<br />

0.3 percent deficit when compared to market premium.<br />

investment income did not completely offset the<br />

underwriting loss, but it transformed what would<br />

have been a 13 percent overall deficit to just a<br />

0.3 percent deficit.<br />

overall resulT – iNCludiNG iNvesTmeNT iNCome<br />

USD Millions<br />

Investment 800 Income<br />

Investment Income<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

600 Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1996/97<br />

1999/00<br />

1997/98<br />

2000/01<br />

1998/99<br />

2001/02<br />

1999/00<br />

2002/03<br />

2000/01<br />

2003/04<br />

2001/02<br />

2004/05<br />

2002/03<br />

2005/06<br />

2003/04<br />

2006/07<br />

2004/05<br />

2007/08<br />

2005/06<br />

develoPmeNT of asseTs aNd free reserves<br />

USD Millions<br />

2004/05<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07 1996/97<br />

Net Assets (Market)<br />

Net Outstanding Claims<br />

Free Reserves<br />

2007/08 1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

2007/08<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

MARkET RESERvES PLATEAU<br />

Assets and Outstanding Claims estimates<br />

increased by a similar level (3.2 percent<br />

and 3.9 percent respectively). Free<br />

Reserves, mirroring the marginal overall<br />

deficit for 2007/08, dipped very slightly.<br />

The trend in development of Total Assets<br />

and Free Reserves within the IG market<br />

over the last twelve years is highlighted in<br />

the graph at the bottom of this page.<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

USD Millions<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

05/06 07/08<br />

07/08<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

USD Millions<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

05/06<br />

06/07


UNDERwRITINg vARIANCES<br />

BETwEEN CLUBS<br />

This relatively benign overall result masks the wide variances<br />

between the best and worst performing individual Clubs.<br />

Similarly the heavy reliance on investment income has become all<br />

too clear following the world economic crash in September and<br />

October 2008.<br />

The following graph (Percentage Underwriting Surplus/Deficit)<br />

highlights the financial year percentage technical surplus or<br />

deficit of the 13 International Group Clubs. In effect this shows<br />

the percentage by which each Club’s premium would have to be<br />

increased for the 2007/08 financial year to break even without any<br />

contribution from investment income.<br />

Only three Clubs reported a technical surplus in 2007/08. Of these<br />

the Japan Club’s result was largely because of unbudgeted calls<br />

registered in the financial year.<br />

The graph emphasises the extent of reliance on investment<br />

income in the current P&I market, but also highlights which<br />

Clubs have further to go than others to redress the balance.<br />

PerCeNTaGe uNderWriTiNG surPlus / defiCiT<br />

(2007/0 year)<br />

iNCurred TeChNiCal surPlus (or defiCiT) / Premium<br />

15% Underwriting Surplus/Deficit<br />

10%<br />

Market Average<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

-20%<br />

-25%<br />

-30%<br />

-35%<br />

American<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

Japan<br />

2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

London<br />

North of<br />

England<br />

Shipowners<br />

Skuld<br />

Standard<br />

Steamship<br />

Swedish<br />

UK Club<br />

West of<br />

England<br />

The heavy reliance<br />

on investment<br />

income resonates all<br />

too painfully with the<br />

problems following<br />

the world economic<br />

crash in september<br />

and october 200 .


INvESTMENT STRATEgY vARIANCES<br />

BETwEEN CLUBS<br />

The reliance on investment income combined with a very uncertain economic climate has<br />

naturally led to considerable focus on how each Club chooses to invest their reserves.<br />

We have included below a graph (Investment Allocation) which compares each of the<br />

Clubs’ investment allocation, rather crudely, under the headings: Cash, Bonds (including<br />

any fixed income vehicles), Equities and Others (e.g. property, commodities etc).<br />

The allocations are as at the date of the Clubs’ last Report and Accounts. For most Clubs<br />

this would be the 20 February 2008, but the Swedish and American Clubs reported on<br />

31 December 2007.<br />

Reviewing this investment allocation more recently (Autumn 2008) the pattern remains<br />

relatively similar, with only a small percentage difference between any of the types of<br />

investment (usually a 2 to 5 percent reduction in equity holdings). Notable exceptions<br />

to this are the London Club and North of England. The North of England as at October<br />

2008 held no equities, 62 percent in cash, 25 percent in bonds and 3 percent in other<br />

investments. The London Club as at 20 September had reduced their equity holdings<br />

from 39 to 22 percent, with corresponding increases in Cash and Bond investments from<br />

16 to 26 percent and 40 to 47 percent respectively.<br />

Focussing on the percentage of equities held by each Club, it is perhaps not surprising<br />

that the London Club, with the very highest percentage of equities in the market, have<br />

been forced to make unbudgeted calls. The UK P&I Club by contrast appeared to have<br />

made the right decision in late 2007/08 to withdraw almost completely from equities,<br />

further emphasising that their rationale for unbudgeted calls is less straight forward than<br />

simply the crash of the financial markets.<br />

iNvesTmeNT alloCaTioN<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

American<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

Japan<br />

London<br />

North of<br />

England<br />

Shipowners<br />

Skuld<br />

Standard<br />

Steamship<br />

Swedish<br />

UK Club<br />

West of<br />

England<br />

Cash<br />

Bonds<br />

Equity<br />

Others<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3


FUTURE TRENDS<br />

CLAIMS LEvELS – whERE NExT?<br />

In previous reviews we have discussed the key potential drivers<br />

pushing up P&I claims levels. The principle factors highlighted in<br />

last year’s review are reiterated below:<br />

— Increased use of ships and pressure on turnaround as a result of<br />

the positive freight market, resulting in a greater number and<br />

size of claims.<br />

— Higher commodity prices pushing up repair costs and size of<br />

cargo claims.<br />

— With shipyards working at full capacity and very little<br />

scrapping, there are simply more ships operating.<br />

— Lack of qualified and experienced crew, potentially leading to<br />

more human errors.<br />

— Technological advancements make what was previously<br />

impossible, now possible (e.g. wreck removal/cargo removal<br />

from deeper water etc).<br />

— The general background of increasing limitation on ship<br />

owners and an increasingly onerous operating environment<br />

compound the above factors.<br />

Over the next year, the factors affecting claims levels are likely to<br />

evolve. In the existing economic climate it would be anticipated<br />

that trade would be reduced and freight volumes would<br />

correspondingly diminish. It would also be reasonable to predict<br />

that commodity prices would decrease. In a period of reduced<br />

demand for shipping it would similarly be predictable that older<br />

ships would finally be scrapped as they no longer prove to be<br />

economically viable to operate. Consequently we would expect that<br />

in a recessionary economic environment the impact of the factors<br />

highlighted in the first three bullet points above would be lessened.<br />

The crewing shortage will not be addressed over night, but if fewer<br />

ships are operating the pressure should be reduced. The current<br />

escalated crew costs will however be harder to redress imminently.<br />

Similarly the dramatically increased limitation environment that<br />

has developed in recent years looks likely to continue in the same<br />

onerous direction. The political climate seems stacked against ship<br />

operators for the foreseeable future.<br />

New claims drivers will also be introduced. In a less buoyant<br />

freight environment, it will be less likely that relatively minor<br />

disputes will be resolved commercially. Similarly in a more<br />

difficult commercial world the potential for moral hazard is<br />

increased when dealing with less reputable trading partners.<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

On balance, it would be expected that<br />

P&I claims, with a natural time lag, would<br />

decrease as the world economic recession<br />

develops. However, due to the increased<br />

levels of limitation the cost of major<br />

causalities would be unlikely to diminish,<br />

consequently a similarly volatile profile of<br />

large claims is likely to continue.<br />

In the short term, due to the nature of<br />

long tail claims it is expected that paid<br />

claims will continue to increase following<br />

broadly the same pattern as the increase in<br />

outstanding claims since 2004. Similarly<br />

for the current policy year there appears to<br />

be no imminent abatement in the increase<br />

of attritional claims costs.<br />

One aspect that appears almost<br />

inevitable, even if P&I claims reduce,<br />

is that commercial disputes covered by<br />

Freight Demurrage and Defence (FDD)<br />

will increase.<br />

IMPACT OF ThE<br />

FINANCIAL CLIMATE<br />

ON INvESTMENT INCOME?<br />

The key wild card at the moment is the<br />

impact that the global economic crisis has<br />

had on Club reserves and will have on future<br />

investment income results.<br />

In an attempt to indicate how<br />

fundamental and unpredictable this is,<br />

we have projected forward two theoretical<br />

outcomes for the market by the end of the<br />

2008/09 financial year. These are shown<br />

in the graphs on the opposite page. The<br />

first graph estimates the overall result<br />

for the market assuming no investment<br />

income at all. The second graph looks at<br />

a scenario which projects the outcome if<br />

all Clubs lost approximately 30 percent<br />

of the value of their equity holdings, but<br />

achieved a 3 percent return on all other<br />

investments in 2008/09. Clearly neither<br />

outcome is positive, but the second<br />

scenario would wipe out just under 20<br />

percent of the market’s free reserves<br />

in a single year. The probable result is<br />

somewhere between the two.


2000/01<br />

ar (Deficit)<br />

rplus (Deficit)<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

USD Millions<br />

2003/04<br />

USD Millions<br />

RENEwAL AT FEBRUARY 20, 2009<br />

Ahead of the renewal at February 20, 2009, the P&I market is facing a world full<br />

of uncertainties.<br />

Despite a respite in Pool claims, retained claims continue to increase, at least in the<br />

short term. There is continuing cost pressure on the IG reinsurance programme.<br />

The investment environment is the most volatile in living memory.<br />

Underwriting deficits combined with unreliable investment income present the<br />

unwelcome but inevitable prospect of significant premium increases at 20 February 2009.<br />

The change in the shipping market presents its own uncertainties. All of which looks<br />

likely to lead to a renewal every bit as confrontational as 2008.<br />

overall resulT – ProjeCTed forWard: Nil iNvesTmeNT iNCome<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

2004/05<br />

1996/97 2005/06<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Investment Income<br />

1997/98 2006/07<br />

1998/99 2007/08<br />

1999/00 2008/09<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

overall resulT –<br />

ProjeCTed forWard: equiTies -30 PerCeNT, remaiNiNG iNvesTmeNTs +3 PerCeNT<br />

900<br />

900<br />

800<br />

800<br />

700<br />

700<br />

600<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

-500<br />

1996/97<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit)<br />

Investment Income<br />

Investment Income<br />

1997/98 1997/98<br />

1998/99<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2005/06 2006/07<br />

2006/07 2007/08<br />

2007/08 2008/09<br />

2008/09<br />

2008/09<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

USD Millions<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

06/07<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

-100<br />

-200<br />

-300<br />

-400<br />

-500<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

08/09<br />

07/08<br />

06/07<br />

08/09<br />

07/08<br />

08/09<br />

USD Millions<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

-200<br />

-400<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

0<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

08/09


REINSURANCE<br />

<strong>AND</strong> POOLINg


ChANgES IN<br />

INTERNATIONAL<br />

gROUP REINSURANCE<br />

RENEwAL AT 20 FEBRUARY 2008<br />

As expected there were no material changes to the Retentions or Structure of the<br />

International Group (IG) reinsurance programme at 20 February 2008. The unchanged<br />

structure chart is included below.<br />

The key issue for the reinsurance renewal at 20 February 2008 was cost.<br />

Despite a relatively flat reinsurance market, the reinsurance rates were increased by an<br />

average of 9.77 percent and all types of ship were impacted. The largest percentage increase<br />

was on dry cargo ships (12.65 percent), and dirty tankers faced the smallest percentage<br />

increase (7.4 percent). While clean tankers and passenger ships increased by 9.76 percent and<br />

9.27 percent respectively.<br />

STRUCTURE OF INTERNATIONAL gROUP REINSURANCE PROgRAMME 2008/09*<br />

Catastrophe/overspill call liability<br />

of shipowners (approximately)<br />

Collective Overspill Cover<br />

(One Reinstatement)<br />

Third Excess Layer<br />

(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />

Second Excess Layer<br />

(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />

75% First Excess Layer<br />

(Unlimited Reinstatements)<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

25% Co-Insurance (Hydra)<br />

USD 5.4B<br />

USD 3.05B<br />

USD 2.05B<br />

USD 1.05B<br />

USD 550M<br />

Upper Pool (Hydra) USD 50M<br />

Lower Pool USD 30M<br />

Club Retentions USD 7M<br />

*Not to scale<br />

Aggregate of Passenger<br />

and Crew Risk USD 3B<br />

Sub-limit in Respect of<br />

Passenger Risks USD 2B Limit<br />

Oil pollution USD 1B Limit


When translated to direct premiums the reinsurance increases were relatively modest (average<br />

around 1 to 2 percent). However, as they came at the end of a challenging season, the increases<br />

were perceived as an unexpected ‘sting in the tail’ of an already difficult renewal.<br />

As implied earlier, the driving factor behind the reinsurance increases was not the<br />

reinsurance market itself but the requirement to address the losses of the International<br />

Group Captive (Hydra).<br />

Hydra reinsures each Club’s share of the Upper Pool layer (USD 20 million excess of USD 30<br />

million), together with each Club’s 25 percent share of the first layer of the IG’s reinsurance<br />

programme (USD 500 million excess of USD 50 million). Unlike the costs of the IG Pool itself,<br />

Hydra is funded by a proportion of the IG reinsurance premium allocated to each vessel.<br />

The surge in large claims in 2006 would have effectively wiped out Hydra’s reserves: the<br />

projected total claims cost on Hydra for the 2005 and 2006 years combined was USD 162<br />

million, whereas net premiums into Hydra totalled USD 119 million.<br />

In order to avoid potential insolvency, an unplanned refinancing was effected in April<br />

2007 through a USD 50 million capital call shared across all the IG Clubs. This refinanced<br />

the captive, but did not prepare it for the continuing high claims levels as experienced in<br />

2006. With similar claims levels developing in 2007, the decision was taken to increase<br />

annual premiums into Hydra from 20 February 2008. This had the obvious knock on<br />

effect of increasing the IG reinsurance rates per vessel.<br />

The impact on the reinsurance cost by type of vessel is outlined in the table below and in<br />

the graphs on the following page.<br />

One of the very few ‘bright spots’ in the reinsurance results was the reduction in US Voyage<br />

Additional Premiums (-10 percent).<br />

INTERNATIONAL gROUP ExCESS OF LOSS REINSURANCE RATES<br />

Vessel Type 2007/08 2008/09 Increase/Reduction Percentage Increase<br />

(USD, per GT, per annum) (USD, per GT, per annum) (USD, per GT, per annum)<br />

Dirty Tanker 0.6797 0.7300 0.0503 7.40%<br />

Clean Tanker 0.3187 0.3498 0.0311 9.76%<br />

Dry/Other 0.2837 0.3196 0.0359 12.65%<br />

Passenger 1.3714 1.4985 0.1271 9.27%<br />

Tanker Chartered 0.1635 0.1696 0.0061 3.73%<br />

Other Chartered 0.0805 0.0829 0.0024 2.98%<br />

US vOYAgE SURChARgES<br />

Additional Fixed Premium, USD per GT, per voyage<br />

2007/08 2008/09 Reduction Percentage Change<br />

(USD, per GT, per voyage)<br />

Vessels with SBT 0.096 0.086 -0.0100 -10.4%<br />

Vessels without SBT 0.114 0.103 -0.0110 -9.6%<br />

SBT: Segregated Ballast Tanks<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9


1996<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

USD per GT<br />

2000<br />

1.6<br />

1.4<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

1995<br />

2003<br />

1996<br />

2004<br />

1997<br />

2005<br />

1998<br />

2006<br />

1999<br />

2007<br />

2000<br />

2008<br />

2001<br />

Dirty Tanker Clean Tanker Passenger Other<br />

Dirty Tanker Clean Tanker Passenger Other<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

COST ChANgES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

20 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

US vOYAgE ADDITIONAL PREMIUMS<br />

USD per GT<br />

2000<br />

0.30<br />

0.25<br />

0.20<br />

0.15<br />

0.10<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

2001<br />

Vessels with SBT<br />

2002<br />

1995<br />

2003<br />

1996<br />

2004<br />

1997<br />

2005<br />

1998<br />

2006<br />

1999<br />

2007<br />

2000<br />

2008<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

Vessels without SBT<br />

Vessels with SBT<br />

2004<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2008<br />

Vessels without SBT<br />

USD per GT<br />

USD per GT<br />

1.6<br />

1.4<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

0.30<br />

0.25<br />

0.20<br />

0.15<br />

0.10<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

2005<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2007<br />

USD per GT<br />

2008<br />

USD per GT<br />

2008<br />

1.6<br />

1.4<br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

0.30<br />

0.25<br />

0.20<br />

0.15<br />

0.10<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

2005<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2006


POOL <strong>AND</strong> RETENTION<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

The development of very large claims and their impact on P&I rating has continued to be<br />

a key area of discussion during 2008/09.<br />

2006/07 and 2007/08 are by some margin, the worst two years for Pool claims in the history<br />

of the market. Further deterioration from their current level is also expected. As outlined in<br />

our P&I Review last year, volatility is the overriding characteristic of the pattern of large P&I<br />

claims. Almost to underline this, so far in 2008/09 Pool claims appear to be strangely benign.<br />

At the time of writing only four Pool claims had been reported in the current policy year and<br />

only two of these were claims in excess of USD 10 million. This reduction in the incidence of<br />

very large claims is unlikely to continue, but it ironically serves to emphasise the volatility and<br />

difficulty of predicting claims in the current environment.<br />

MASSIvELY INCREASED RETENTION BY ThE P&I MARkET<br />

There have been progressive increases in both individual Clubs’ retentions and the limits<br />

collectively insured by the Pool.<br />

The two graphs on the following page show the developments of individual Club<br />

Retention and of the Pool layers from 1989 to 2008. We have also included our prediction<br />

of how the 2009 year will look after the renewal at 20 February 2009.<br />

The trend for both has been periods of stability followed by clear steps up in exposure.<br />

For retentions, the key increases were in the early 1990’s and again from 2005 to 2007. The<br />

timing for the increases in Pooling were similar (1992 to 1994 and 2004) but the most material<br />

expansion of exposure was the introduction of the Upper Pool and coinsurance layer in 2004.<br />

There has been a massive increase in risk retained within the Pool over the last twenty years:<br />

— In 1989 the maximum Pool exposure was USD 10.8 million each claim, in excess of a<br />

USD 1.2 million individual Club retention.<br />

— By 2008 this had increased to USD 43 million each claim, in excess of a USD 7 million<br />

individual Club retention.<br />

— In addition to this, a 25 percent share of all claims between USD 50 and USD 550 million<br />

was introduced in 2004. This share of the USD 500 million excess layer represents a further<br />

potential exposure of USD 125 million on major claims.<br />

— The current combined catastrophe exposure under the Pool and Hydra therefore is<br />

USD 168 million each claim.<br />

This USD 157 million increase in the maximum Pool exposure per claim inevitably<br />

increases the potential for erratic results.<br />

Both the Upper Layer of the Pool and the 25 percent coinsurance of the layer between USD 50<br />

million and USD 550 million are retained by the International Group through the mechanism<br />

of a cell captive, Hydra (discussed earlier in this section).<br />

In this review, references to ‘Pooling’ will include all areas where the IG collectively<br />

shares the risk, either directly through the Lower Pool, or via Hydra in the Upper Pool and<br />

the 25 percent coinsurance layer.<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 2


USD Millions<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

USD Millions<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

RETENTION <strong>AND</strong> POOLINg DEvELOPMENT<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

1989<br />

2001<br />

1990<br />

2002<br />

1991<br />

2003<br />

1992<br />

2004<br />

1993<br />

2005<br />

1994<br />

2006<br />

1995<br />

2007<br />

1996<br />

2008<br />

1997<br />

2009<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

Club Retention<br />

RETENTION DEvELOPMENT<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Pool<br />

22 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Upper Pool (Hydra)<br />

Club Retention<br />

Pool<br />

PROJECTED<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Upper Pool (Hydra)<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

0<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

0<br />

2006<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2008<br />

PROJECTED<br />

2009<br />

2009<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

0<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

0<br />

2006<br />

2006


1999<br />

2000<br />

including Hydra<br />

Insurance)<br />

2001<br />

POOL RESULTS<br />

Like all liability results, the Pool results progress over time as cases are acknowledged,<br />

estimated for, developed and are finally paid and closed.<br />

It usually takes two to three years following the inception of a policy year for the results to<br />

mature to the point that final projections can be made with reasonable accuracy.<br />

As a ‘snap shot’ of the picture at 20 August 2008, we have included below a graph showing<br />

the number and cost of Pool claims for the period from 1997 to 2007. The graph shows both<br />

the current value of the claims reported and also the estimated final outcome for each year.<br />

To show the historic trend in Pool claims more clearly we have also included a further<br />

graph, overleaf, titled “Pool Claims – ‘As If’ Current Structure”.<br />

As outlined earlier, the structure of the Pool has changed significantly over the last twenty<br />

years. To analyse the trend more meaningfully we have calculated how the historic Pool<br />

results would have looked had the current (2008-year) structure applied in each of the<br />

years since 1988.<br />

The graph all too clearly shows the trend. The pattern up until 2005 was of a volatility<br />

of large claims, but with a relatively low mean (from 1988 to 2005 the average total cost<br />

of the Pool was less than USD 145 million per year). This was followed in 2006 with a<br />

dramatic jump in the overall cost of large claims. The expected average cost of Pool claims<br />

in 2006 and 2007 is likely to be around USD 500 million each year.<br />

POOL CLAIMS - ExPECTED 40 FINAL OUTCOME<br />

USD Millions<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

2002<br />

0<br />

2003<br />

1997<br />

2004<br />

1998<br />

2005<br />

1999<br />

Expected Final Outcome<br />

2006<br />

2000<br />

Totals (including Hydra<br />

and Co-Insurance)<br />

2007<br />

2001<br />

Number<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Number of Claims<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

Expected Final Outcome<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Number<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Number of Claims<br />

USD Millions<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

USD Millions<br />

Number of Claims<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

0<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 23<br />

5<br />

2005<br />

2006


POOL CLAIMS – ‘AS IF’ CURRENT STRUCTURE<br />

USD Millions<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

0<br />

Pools + Hydra / Co-ins ‘As-If’ Current<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

POOL RESULTS - ANALYSIS<br />

In our Review last year we analysed the 2006 year Pool results. The broad conclusions<br />

reached are summarised as follows:<br />

— The average cost of each Pool claim in 2006 was almost 50 percent more than the<br />

average cost of Pool claims over the previous four years.<br />

— The profile of ships involved by type, age, nationality etc was unremarkable.<br />

The distribution broadly mirrored the world fleet, though arguably weighted slightly<br />

more towards container ships and somewhat under represented by tanker tonnage.<br />

— Similarly there was no obvious indication of sub-standard shipping involved.<br />

If anything, the notable characteristic was the number of casualties involving top<br />

quality operators.<br />

— The underlying theme of the results suggested that there was an increased incidence<br />

of claims arising from navigational errors, resulting in groundings, contact damage<br />

and collisions.<br />

2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Pools + Hydra / Co-ins ‘As-If’ Current<br />

USD Millions<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

assuming this high average individual claim<br />

level is sustained, it will be very likely that<br />

the overall level of Pool claims experienced<br />

in 2006 and 2007 will be repeated.<br />

100<br />

0<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

USD Millions<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

2005


In 2006 the four largest claims, ‘GIANT STEP’, ‘MSC NAPOLI’,<br />

‘OCEAN VICTORY’ and ‘ROKIA DELMAS’ all involved ships that<br />

ended up aground. Overall, groundings accounted for 10 of the 31<br />

claims and over 60 percent of the total cost of the year.<br />

The broad conclusions reached regarding the 2006 Pool claims<br />

remain valid for the 2007 results.<br />

This theme of navigational errors continued in 2007. The two<br />

largest claims were ‘HEBEI SPIRIT’ (major oil spill in South<br />

Korea) and ‘COSCO BUSAN’ (which struck the San Francisco Bay<br />

Bridge). The ‘HEBEI SPIRIT’ claim arose from a collision and the<br />

‘COSCO BUSAN’ claim arose from contact.<br />

POOL RESULTS - PROSPECTS FOR ThE FUTURE<br />

The factors driving the increase in claims were outlined in the<br />

Financial Commentary of this review. It is widely expected that<br />

the economic slowdown will result in a decrease in world trade.<br />

Consequently, some of the reasons given for the increases in<br />

numbers and/or cost of claims, such as the commercial pressure<br />

on ships, lack of scrapping and increased commodity prices, are<br />

likely to diminish but not disappear.<br />

Nor will the crewing issue be solved overnight. Similarly the<br />

increases in limitation imposed on the shipping community<br />

over the last eight years are more likely to worsen than abate.<br />

The conundrum therefore is why the current (2008/09) year<br />

shows a surprising lack of activity in terms of Pool claims.<br />

Arguably, the most significant differentiator between the 2006 and<br />

2007 claims profile and those of the previous years was the average<br />

cost per claim. Assuming this high average individual claim level is<br />

sustained, it will be very likely that the overall level of Pool claims<br />

experienced in 2006 and 2007 will be repeated.<br />

As highlighted above, due to the increased stretch insured by<br />

the IG under the Pooling arrangements over the last five years,<br />

a dominant factor that we expect to see is volatility. With the<br />

expansion of retained risk with the Upper Pool, and coinsurance,<br />

the IG has increased their exposure to large claims. Theoretically<br />

this may make sense in the long term, as it controls claims at ‘cost<br />

price’, but in the short term it means there is the potential of<br />

substantially greater instability in claims costs.<br />

Therefore, despite the early indications for the current year, we<br />

still expect the trend to continue to be one of volatility, set against<br />

a higher average.<br />

With the expansion<br />

of retained risk with<br />

the upper Pool, and<br />

coinsurance, the iG has<br />

increased their exposure<br />

to large claims.<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 2


ExPECTATIONS FOR ThE<br />

REINSURANCE RENEwAL<br />

AT 20 FEBRUARY 2009<br />

INDIvIDUAL CLUB RETENTIONS TO INCREASE<br />

As a general principle, there continues to be a stated aim of some of the larger and/<br />

or better funded Clubs to further increase individual Club retentions. Despite the<br />

background level and unpredictability of major claims, it looks likely that there will be a<br />

consensus for another increase in retention at 20 February 2009.<br />

We expect the individual Club retentions to increase from USD 7 million to USD 8 million<br />

at 20 February 2009. This will probably be the only major change to the structure of the<br />

IG reinsurance programme at the forthcoming renewal.<br />

The IG continues to review the way they handle war risks. There is the possibility that<br />

terrorism risks will cease to be excluded, and that the war programme will in a revised<br />

form be rolled in to the main IG Excess of Loss programme. As ever, agreement needs<br />

to be achieved across a diverse range of Club Boards to achieve this, consequently,<br />

implementation of any changes is far from certain.<br />

UPwARD PRESSURE ON ThE Ig REINSURANCE PROgRAMME COST<br />

There has not been a single claim anywhere near the Excess of Loss programme so far in<br />

2008. Unfortunately, there has been significant deterioration in the estimates for two or<br />

three major claims in both 2006 and 2007.<br />

The reinsurance market is also in a state of flux. The combination of the uncertain financial<br />

market, major losses in the marine liability sector, and concern about the volatility of P&I<br />

claims, all point towards a previously stable reinsurance market becoming firmer.<br />

Therefore, pressure to increase the premium rating for the IG reinsurance programme<br />

seems inevitable. The deterioration in the back years’ has only affected the lower layers<br />

of the programme. Thus, the cost of these lower layers is likely to increase. Overall cost<br />

increases should be lessened by results on the claims free upper layers of the programme.<br />

Similarly, increases in world tonnage should also dilute overall cost increases when these<br />

lump sum premiums are translated to a cost per GT in owners’ P&I rates.<br />

In the current uncertain market, it would be prudent for operators to budget for an<br />

inflationary increase on the IG reinsurance cost.<br />

26 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

The combination of the uncertain financial market,<br />

major losses in the marine liability sector, and concern<br />

about the volatility of P&i claims, all point towards a<br />

previously stable reinsurance market becoming firmer.


27 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 27


gENERAL<br />

INCREASES


2008/09 OvERvIEw<br />

General increases will be announced predominantly in the 10 to 20 percent range for the<br />

renewal at 20 February 2009.<br />

We have included below a graph showing the announcements of the Clubs for the 2009<br />

policy year. The historic market results are shown on the page opposite.<br />

The prime driver for most Clubs continues to be to try to address their technical<br />

(underwriting) deficits. With ongoing uncertainty in the financial markets this push<br />

towards reducing reliance on investment income, which usually balances the books,<br />

is all the more critical.<br />

The level of General increases are determined by not only each Club’s existing technical<br />

deficits (or surpluses), but also their expectations of how claims costs will develop, and the<br />

margin of error they build in to protect themselves against volatility in the industry.<br />

In addition to the premium increases, eight of the Clubs have also announced some form<br />

of general increase in deductible levels.<br />

The average of the announced increases is likely to be marginally higher than 2008 and<br />

the Clubs’ rationale behind the increases is evident. Regardless of this, the forthcoming<br />

renewal looks likely to be just as challenging as last year.<br />

gENERAL INCREASES – 20 FEBRUARY 2009<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

American<br />

Britannia<br />

30 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Gard<br />

Japan<br />

London<br />

North of England<br />

Shipowners<br />

Skuld<br />

Standard (Bermuda)<br />

Steamship<br />

16.5% Market Average<br />

Swedish<br />

United Kingdom<br />

West of England


Percentage<br />

YEAR ON YEAR<br />

INCREASE COMPARISONS<br />

AvERAgE MARkET gENERAL INCREASES<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

1992 - 2009 MARkET gENERAL INCREASES<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

% 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

American 32 12.5 8.5 18 7.5 10 0 5 5 10 26 25 17.5 10 10 10 20 29<br />

Britannia 25 10 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 10 28.8 15 8.5 7.5 -2.5 5 23.8 12.5<br />

Gard 30 10 0 0 5 7.5 0 -3.85 5 10 25 15 7.5 5 7.5 5 10 15<br />

Japan 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10 20 21.2<br />

London 50 10 7.5 5 5 5 0 5 5 10 27.5 25 15 12.5 12.5 7.5 17.5 15<br />

North of England 40 15 7.5 5 7.5 7.5 5 5 5 10 25 25 17.5 12.5 7.5 7.5 17.5 17.5<br />

Shipowners 20 15 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 15 0 0 0 5 * 10<br />

Skuld 30-75 15 10 2.5 5 5 0 5 0 10 30 25 15 7.5 5 2.5 7.5 15<br />

Standard<br />

(Bermuda)<br />

25 20 7.5 4.5 7.5 0 0 0 0 7.5 25 25 20 12.5 5 5 15 15<br />

Steamship 22.5 15 4.5 5 7.5 5 0 0 5 10 25 25 20 12.5 5 9 15 17.5<br />

Swedish 0+R/I 15 0+R/I 0+R/I 0 0 0 0 0 7.5 25 25 15 10 10 7.5 15 15<br />

United Kingdom 50 15 0 7.5 5 5 5 5 0 7.5 20 25 17.5 12.5 12.5 7.5 17.5 12.5<br />

West of England 50 20 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 5 5 5 10 25 25 15 12.5 12.5 5 15 19.2<br />

Average 36.39 14.84 7.03 5 4.84 4.38 1.43 2.01 2.31 7.88 23.25 21.54 12.96 8.85 6.54 6.65 16.15 16.5<br />

* The Shipowners Club did not announce a general increase in 2008, however they selectively applied increases between 15 and 20 percent<br />

The Gard did not announce figurative general increases in 2007, 2008 and 2009, but the approximate overall increases they sought and are seeking are noted.<br />

The figures noted for Britannia in 2008, and West of England, American and Japan Clubs in 2009, represent the cumulative effect of the announced<br />

increase in the advance call plus the increase in deferred call estimate.<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3


AvERAgE<br />

ExPENSE<br />

RATIOS


Average Expense Ratios (AERs) were introduced in 1999<br />

following pressure from the European Commission to improve<br />

transparency of costs between the Clubs.<br />

The intention was to enable direct comparisons of operating<br />

cost efficiency between all the International Group Clubs.<br />

Consequently all Clubs are required to follow the same format<br />

when calculating their AER figure.<br />

The ratio is a five-year average of:<br />

3 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Operating costs x 100<br />

(Premium income + Investment income)<br />

AERs are a reasonable idea in principle, and provide a broad<br />

indication of relative cost efficiency, however direct comparisons<br />

between Clubs are not completely straightforward. The ratio is a<br />

crude guide to relative efficiency but it is too simplistic to assume<br />

that the Club with the lowest AER is the most efficient and the<br />

Club with the highest the most inefficient.<br />

DIFFICULTIES wITh DIRECT COMPARISONS<br />

There are a number of factors that affect the AER figure, examples<br />

of which include;<br />

— Disproportionately high levels of premium or investment<br />

income will produce a lower AER.<br />

— Different Membership profiles also have an impact.<br />

For example because the Shipowners’ Club has a Membership<br />

which consists of a large number of small ships paying relatively<br />

low premiums per vessel, they have a significantly higher AER<br />

than the other Clubs.<br />

— The exact basis of calculation adopted is also material. For<br />

example, the large ‘jump’ in the Standard Club’s AER in 2004/05<br />

was caused by the Club revising the basis upon which they<br />

calculated their AER. They moved to the basis adopted by most<br />

other Clubs of including commissions within the calculation.<br />

— Loss prevention programmes increase operating costs and<br />

therefore push up the AER. Most Clubs would argue however<br />

that such costs are more than offset by claims avoided.<br />

— If a Club owns its office space, the Club’s operating costs will be<br />

less, therefore reducing the AER.<br />

TREND ANALYSIS<br />

We have included all ten years of<br />

published AERs in the following graph.<br />

Even when reviewing the trends of the<br />

ratio, the analysis does not prove to be<br />

directly helpful. The timing of the<br />

changes in AERs arguably shows greater<br />

(inverse) correlation with investment<br />

and premium income rather than the<br />

level of reported expenses.<br />

The most recent reported years show the<br />

difficulties very clearly. Despite an increase<br />

in actual operating expenses across the<br />

market of 23 percent between 2004/05<br />

and 2007/08, the market average AER<br />

actually reduced by 9 percent over the<br />

same period. The variance is explained by<br />

the cumulative increase in premium and<br />

investment income skewing the ratio.<br />

it is too simplistic to assume that the Club<br />

with the lowest AER is the most efficient and<br />

the Club with the highest the most inefficient.


Japan<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

London<br />

North of England<br />

Swedish<br />

UK Club<br />

Steamship<br />

Skuld<br />

Standard<br />

West of England<br />

American<br />

Shipowners<br />

AvERAgE ExPENSE RATIOS<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25<br />

1998/99<br />

1999/00<br />

2000/01<br />

2001/02<br />

2002/03<br />

2003/04<br />

2004/05<br />

2005/06<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

Market Average<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3


CLUB<br />

FINANCIAL<br />

PAgES


INTRODUCTION TO CLUB FINANCIAL PAgES<br />

The following section includes our financial summaries for each<br />

Club. The financial analysis in this review is drawn from the<br />

published consolidated financial year results of the Clubs.<br />

As in previous years, our main aim in presenting these summaries<br />

has been consistency. There are still variations between the way<br />

Clubs report, however we have tried as far as possible to compare<br />

‘like with like’. We have simplified and summarised certain<br />

aspects, but where information is available, we have tried to<br />

adopt the same approach for all Clubs.<br />

The figures included/summarised under each heading are<br />

defined below:<br />

Calls and Premiums All calls (gross basis, including brokerage)<br />

Reinsurance Premiums All reinsurance premiums.<br />

Operating Expenses All general management, administrative and audit expenses<br />

(not including claims management costs)<br />

Operating Income Calls, less reinsurance costs, less expenses<br />

Gross Paid Claims Paid gross claims, including Pool contributions<br />

(including claims management costs)<br />

Net Paid Claims Gross paid claims less reinsurance and Pool recoveries.<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) Operating income, less net paid claims<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims Change in net estimated outstanding claims<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) Paid technical surplus (deficit), plus/minus net change in provision<br />

for claims<br />

Investment Income All investment income, including, exchange gains/losses, tax etc.<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) Incurred Technical surplus (Deficit), plus investment income.<br />

Net Assets (Market) Total assets, less creditors, less miscellaneous provisions for<br />

taxation etc., less additional calls advised but not yet debited.<br />

Net Outstanding Claims Total net estimated outstanding claims.<br />

Forecast Additional Calls Premium / Calls advised but not yet debited.<br />

Free Reserves Net assets, plus forecast additional calls, less outstanding claims.<br />

(Including Forecast Supplementary Calls)<br />

ChANgES TO ThE FORMAT<br />

This year we have amended the format of our financial summaries<br />

slightly to move closer to the way most Clubs report. This has<br />

involved two changes:<br />

— Premiums this year are shown on a gross basis,<br />

whereas previously we presented premiums net after the<br />

deduction of brokerage. Brokerage is now included under<br />

‘operating expenses’.<br />

— We have also included claims handling costs within the claims<br />

figures, whereas previously we stripped out claims handling<br />

costs and included these within ‘operating expenses’.<br />

Both of these changes have been applied retroactively across all<br />

12 years presented.<br />

3 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09


CLUB FINANCIAL PAgES NOTES<br />

BriTaNNia<br />

With effect from the 1997/98 policy year Britannia entered into a<br />

reinsurance contract with Boudicca Insurance Company Limited,<br />

located and regulated in Bermuda. Boudicca Insurance holds assets<br />

in a way that they cannot be dissipated to the detriment of the<br />

reinsurance contract with Britannia. This is intended to be a tax<br />

efficient vehicle for a proportion of Britannia’s reserves.<br />

Boudicca is owned and controlled by the Iceni Trust, a charitable<br />

trust for which Report and Accounts are unavailable. In our<br />

summary page for Britannia for the sake of effective comparison<br />

we have always included Boudicca’s assets in the figures.<br />

The assets of Boudicca as disclosed by the Club are as follows:<br />

1997/98 USD 62 million<br />

1998/99 USD 87 million<br />

1999/00 USD 97.5 million<br />

2000/01 USD 105.4 million<br />

2001/02 USD 106.7 million<br />

2002/03 USD 124.9 million<br />

2003/04 USD 152 million<br />

2004/05 USD 142.8 million<br />

2005/06 USD 132.3 million<br />

2006/07 USD 108.4 million<br />

2007/08 USD 80.3 million<br />

The relationship between Britannia and Boudicca presents an<br />

unusual challenge in terms of trying to show the ‘combined’<br />

picture as accurately as possible.<br />

The adjustments we make to Britannia’s reported figures to show<br />

the overall picture including Boudicca are as follows:<br />

— Britannia reinsurance premiums reduced by amounts paid<br />

to Boudicca<br />

— Britannia paid claims increased by amounts recovered<br />

from Boudicca<br />

— The change in provision of claims for Boudicca added to the<br />

change for Britannia<br />

— Inclusion of a non-technical adjustment under Britannia’s<br />

‘investment income’ heading to reflect the difference between<br />

Boudicca’s investment income and operating costs<br />

NorTh of eNGlaNd / NeWCasTle CluB<br />

The Newcastle Club merged with the North of England in<br />

1998/99. To try to demonstrate the trends as clearly as possible<br />

the 1998/99 year figures for the North of England do not include<br />

the ‘income and expenditure’ figures for the Newcastle Club.<br />

We have however included the Newcastle Club’s free reserve<br />

figure for this year to reflect the total combined reserve. For the<br />

subsequent years we have included the fully integrated figures<br />

under the North of England.<br />

sWedish CluB<br />

The Swedish Club discloses its financial<br />

results on a different basis to the rest<br />

of the International Group. Within the<br />

Swedish Club’s published Report and<br />

Accounts there is no allocation of funds<br />

between their Protection and Indemnity<br />

and Hull and Machinery Classes.<br />

This makes the P&I Class impossible to<br />

compare directly with other Clubs and<br />

consequently we have only included a<br />

partial financial summary for this Club.<br />

sTaNdard aNd Poor’s<br />

Standard and Poor’s (S&P) ratings<br />

mentioned in the following pages fall<br />

into two categories, interactive ratings<br />

and public information ratings. S&P<br />

establish interactive ratings following indepth<br />

meetings with the Club Managers.<br />

Interactively rated Clubs are identified<br />

by ‘*’ after the rating. Public information<br />

ratings are signified by a ‘pi’ subscript<br />

and are established purely on the basis<br />

of the information provided in the Clubs’<br />

published financial statements.<br />

It is the Clubs themselves that choose<br />

whether or not to pursue an interactive<br />

rating and there is a cost to the Club<br />

from S&P for the consequent additional<br />

work involved. When an interactive<br />

rating is undertaken, the rating of the<br />

particular Club usually shows some<br />

form of improvement from the public<br />

information rating.<br />

All ratings are shown as at 1 November in<br />

the years noted.<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 39


AMERICAN CLUB<br />

www.american-club.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Entered tonnage reduced, though most of the<br />

variation from 2007/08 due to a change in<br />

the methodology the Club used to disclose their<br />

tonnage figures.<br />

– Premium reduced by 9.6 percent.<br />

– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />

14.6 percent and 23.8 percent respectively.<br />

– Estimated outstanding claims increased by<br />

USD 5.5 million.<br />

– Investment income of USD 11 million sufficient to<br />

offset the underwriting deficit.<br />

– Modest (USD 2.4 million) overall surplus achieved.<br />

– Assets increased by 9.7 percent, Free Reserves<br />

increased by 7.6 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 161,774 164,166 148,473<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -10,868 -12,010 -13,902<br />

Operating Expenses -36,906 -41,069 -36,298<br />

Operating Income 114,000 111,087 98,273<br />

Gross Paid Claims 75,566 97,040 111,171<br />

Net Paid Claims 66,472 81,914 101,452<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 47,528 29,173 -3,179<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 73,222 24,598 5,507<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -25,694 4,575 -8,686<br />

Investment Income 5,659 12,076 11,075<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) -20,035 16,651 2,389<br />

Net Assets (Market) 179,113 208,341 228,458<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 209,948 228,514 239,428<br />

Members Receivables and<br />

Unbilled Assessments<br />

45,764 51,753 44,939<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

14,929 31,580 33,969<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 15,446,194 14,064,721 13,300,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 3,071,119 4,941,234 500,000<br />

Total 18,517,313 19,005,955 13,800,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

B+* BB-* BB-*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

0<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Investment Income<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

97/98<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

North America<br />

18.5%<br />

Middle<br />

East/<br />

Africa<br />

3.5%<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

97/98<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

North America<br />

18.5%<br />

Middle<br />

East/<br />

Africa<br />

3.5%<br />

01/02<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Others<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 0.5%<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Europe<br />

63.5%<br />

Asia<br />

14%<br />

Others<br />

0.5%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Others<br />

Tug/Barge<br />

8%<br />

Passenger<br />

6%<br />

Tankers<br />

21%<br />

1%<br />

General Cargo<br />

7%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Europe<br />

63.5%<br />

Asia<br />

14%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

48%<br />

Container<br />

9%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

Tug/Barge<br />

8%<br />

Passenger<br />

6%<br />

Tankers<br />

21%<br />

Gen<br />

7%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


BRITANNIA<br />

www.britanniapandi.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned tonnage stable, chartered tonnage<br />

increased by 5 percent.<br />

– Premium increased by just over 4 percent.<br />

– Substantial increases in Gross and Net Paid<br />

Claims (by 79 and 25 percent respectively).<br />

– Further increase in estimated outstanding claims<br />

(USD 56.9 million increase).<br />

– Continuing significant Incurred Technical Deficit<br />

(2007/08 deficit of USD 79.6 million).<br />

– Respectable investment return partially offsets<br />

underwriting loss, but overall result still a<br />

USD 32.6 million deficit.<br />

– Assets marginally reduced, but Free Reserves<br />

eroded by nearly 11 percent.<br />

– Britannia’s reported figures do not include budgeted<br />

deferred call for the 2007/08 year, which would<br />

contribute USD 45 million to the overall result.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 221,801 233,311 242,897<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -37,855 -39,130 -45,008<br />

Operating Expenses -20,204 -22,238 -24,567<br />

Operating Income 163,742 171,943 173,322<br />

Gross Paid Claims 187,655 166,729 298,879<br />

Net Paid Claims 158,065 154,786 193,001<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 5,677 17,157 -19,679<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 20,531 95,524 59,913<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -14,854 -78,367 -79,592<br />

Investment Income 24,735 81,214 47,040<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 9,881 2,847 -32,552<br />

Net Assets (including Boudicca assets) 791,053 848,924 834,985<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 506,106 561,230 580,143<br />

Additional Calls not yet debited<br />

(excludes 2007/08 estimated<br />

supplementary call)<br />

13,700 13,800 14,100<br />

Free Reserves (Including<br />

Supplementary Calls not yet debited,<br />

and including Boudicca)<br />

298,647 301,494 268,942<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 81,700,000 88,000,000 88,000,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 28,500,000 39,000,000 41,000,000<br />

Total 110,200,000 127,000,000 129,000,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Api Api Api<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-100<br />

-120<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

-25<br />

-50<br />

-75<br />

-100<br />

1000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Net Assets<br />

(including Boudicca)<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 1%<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Middle East<br />

2%<br />

Asia<br />

50%<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Boudicca)<br />

Middle East<br />

2%<br />

Asia<br />

50%<br />

Australasia<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Europe<br />

16%<br />

Americas<br />

8%<br />

Scandinavia<br />

23%<br />

Australasia<br />

1%<br />

Europe<br />

16%<br />

Americas<br />

8%<br />

Scandinavia<br />

23%<br />

Tankers DESIGN Others & DATA<br />

42%<br />

2%<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

29%<br />

Container<br />

24%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3<br />

Tankers<br />

42%<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


gARD<br />

www.gard.no<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Total entered tonnage increased by 12.6 percent.<br />

– Premiums increased by marginally over 20 percent.<br />

– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />

42 and 39 percent respectively.<br />

– USD 88.8 million increase in estimated outstanding<br />

claims eliminated the paid technical surplus.<br />

– Incurred Technical Deficit deteriorated by<br />

23 percent, the 2007/08 underwriting deficit<br />

registered at USD 60.9 million.<br />

– Strong investment return (8.8 percent) more<br />

than offsets the technical deficit, allowing a<br />

USD 32.4 million overall surplus for 2007/08.<br />

– Assets increased by 9.6 percent, Free Reserves by<br />

6.7 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 287,570 337,096 406,095<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -49,064 -56,057 -59,084<br />

Operating Expenses -27,726 -32,279 -36,394<br />

Operating Income 210,780 248,760 310,617<br />

Gross Paid Claims 202,433 237,200 337,208<br />

Net Paid Claims 185,740 203,025 282,761<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 25,040 45,735 27,856<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 39,737 95,245 88,774<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -14,697 -49,510 -60,918<br />

Investment Income 61,778 103,107 93,292<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 47,081 53,597 32,374<br />

Net Assets (Market) 933,231 1,077,628 1,181,643<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 536,768 632,013 720,787<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 33,181 37,626 54,759<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

429,644 483,241 515,615<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 87,100,000 102,500,000 105,900,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 40,000,000 48,600,000 64,200,000<br />

Total 127,100,000 151,100,000 170,100,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

A* A+* A+*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

125<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

-25<br />

-50<br />

-75<br />

-100<br />

-125<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

200<br />

180<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-100<br />

1200<br />

1100<br />

1000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Asia<br />

19%<br />

Other Europe<br />

21%<br />

Americas<br />

10%<br />

Norway<br />

23%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

97/98<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Asia<br />

19%<br />

01/02<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

Other Europe<br />

21%<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Americas<br />

10%<br />

04/05<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Norway<br />

23%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Germany<br />

16%<br />

Greece<br />

11%<br />

Gas Carriers<br />

4%<br />

Passenger<br />

2%<br />

Mobile<br />

Offshore<br />

Units<br />

10%<br />

Tankers<br />

38%<br />

Others<br />

3%<br />

Germany<br />

16%<br />

Greece<br />

11%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

16%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Container<br />

16%<br />

Other<br />

Dry Cargo<br />

11%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

Gas Carriers<br />

4%<br />

Passenger<br />

2%<br />

Mobile<br />

Offshore<br />

Units<br />

10%<br />

Tan<br />

38<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />

www.piclub.or.jp<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by 10 percent.<br />

– Total premiums increased by 40 percent. A large<br />

proportion of this is represented by exchange<br />

differences and increased supplementary calls.<br />

The underlying mutual premium increase was<br />

approximately 15 percent.<br />

– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />

49 and 18 percent respectively.<br />

– Estimated outstanding claims marginally reduced.<br />

– Overall underwriting surplus of USD 31.7 million.<br />

– Materially negative investment result (includes<br />

foreign exchange losses) erodes the technical surplus.<br />

– 2007/08 Overall result a surplus of<br />

USD 12.8 million.<br />

– Assets increased by 21 percent, Free Reserves by<br />

28 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 135,362 165,019 231,299<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -25,442 -27,663 -48,399<br />

Operating Expenses -15,760 -16,224 -20,906<br />

Operating Income 94,160 121,132 161,994<br />

Gross Paid Claims 82,171 127,855 190,876<br />

Net Paid Claims 85,600 111,760 131,414<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 8,560 9,372 30,580<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 7,241 15,920 -1,082<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 1,319 -6,548 31,662<br />

Investment Income 9,512 4,878 -18,884<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,831 -1,670 12,778<br />

Net Assets (Market) 226,345 232,199 282,128<br />

Outstanding Claims (P&I Only) 125,411 140,715 164,717<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves 100,934 91,484 117,411<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 65,660,000 71,880,000 79,230,000<br />

Fixed 3,790,000 4,732,000 3,610,000<br />

Total 69,450,000 76,612,000 82,840,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

Free Reserves<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF REgISTRY<br />

Singapore<br />

3%<br />

Liberia<br />

4%<br />

Hong Kong<br />

4%<br />

Japan<br />

11%<br />

Bahamas<br />

2%<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Singapore Bahamas<br />

Net Assets<br />

3% (Market) 2%<br />

Liberia<br />

4%<br />

Hong Kong<br />

4%<br />

Japan<br />

11%<br />

Korea<br />

2%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Others<br />

5%<br />

Panama<br />

69%<br />

Korea<br />

2%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Car Carriers<br />

13%<br />

Tankers<br />

21%<br />

Others<br />

3%<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Others<br />

5%<br />

Panama<br />

69%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

49%<br />

Container<br />

11%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7<br />

Car Carriers<br />

13%<br />

Tankers<br />

21%<br />

Gene<br />

3%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


LONDON STEAM-ShIP<br />

www.lsso.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by 6 percent.<br />

– Total premiums increased by just over 1.5 percent.<br />

– Dramatic increase in Gross Paid Claims (106 percent<br />

increase) although Net Paid Claims increased by<br />

only 5 percent.<br />

– Increase in Gross Claims primarily due to payments<br />

in the financial year relating to four major incidents<br />

(‘MSC NAPOLI’, ‘ANNA PC’, ‘PRESTIGE’ and<br />

‘ALEX<strong>AND</strong>ROS T’). Recoveries were made through<br />

the usual Pooling arrangements producing the<br />

‘normal’ Net Paid Claims level.<br />

– Overall underwriting deficit of USD 30.2 million,<br />

20 percent improved on the position in 2006/07.<br />

– Very poor investment result, almost no investment<br />

income registered.<br />

– With nominal investment income to offset the<br />

underwriting result, a USD 30 million overall deficit<br />

reported for 2007/08.<br />

– Assets reduced by 7.8 percent, Free Reserves<br />

reduced by 27 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 95,402 102,003 103,563<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -17,147 -18,439 -20,074<br />

Operating Expenses -9,806 -10,460 -10,897<br />

Operating Income 68,449 73,104 72,592<br />

Gross Paid Claims 113,449 101,805 210,150<br />

Net Paid Claims 92,034 91,256 95,959<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -23,585 -18,152 -23,367<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims -16,835 20,010 6,815<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -6,750 -38,162 -30,182<br />

Investment Income 16,920 38,612 138<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,170 450 -30,044<br />

Net Assets 283,791 302,621 278,904<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 198,616 218,626 225,441<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 25,303 26,933 27,421<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

110,478 110,928 80,884<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 34,321,055 35,860,908 38,029,162<br />

Chartered/Fixed 931,011 1,189,498 2,126,894<br />

Total 35,252,066 37,050,406 40,156,056<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

-50<br />

500<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Middle East<br />

4%<br />

Americas<br />

3%<br />

Asia<br />

31%<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

96/97<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Middle East<br />

4%<br />

Americas<br />

3%<br />

Asia<br />

31%<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

Net Assets<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 3%<br />

05/06<br />

Others<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Southern European<br />

53%<br />

Northern European<br />

6%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Others<br />

3%<br />

Southern European<br />

53%<br />

Northern European<br />

6%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Tankers<br />

39%<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

45%<br />

Container/RoRo<br />

13%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9<br />

Tankers<br />

39%<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

www.nepia.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by 17 percent.<br />

– Total Premiums increased by 10 percent.<br />

– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by<br />

36 and 35 percent respectively.<br />

– Estimated outstanding claims increased by<br />

USD 15 million.<br />

– Incurred Technical Deficit improved by<br />

USD 30 million.<br />

– A very respectable 7.1 percent investment<br />

return more than compensated for the<br />

underwriting deficit.<br />

– Overall Surplus for 2007/08 almost<br />

USD 30 million.<br />

– Assets increased by 7 percent, Free Reserves<br />

by 15.7 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 177,117 193,535 213,015<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -23,991 -28,631 -34,477<br />

Operating Expenses -22,847 -27,479 -28,361<br />

Operating Income 130,279 137,425 150,177<br />

Gross Paid Claims 106,956 115,637 157,853<br />

Net Paid Claims 101,074 109,116 147,028<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 29,205 28,309 3,149<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 29,865 70,603 15,101<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -660 -42,294 -11,952<br />

Investment Income 23,729 62,950 41,849<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 23,069 20,656 29,897<br />

Net Assets (Market) 541,105 633,942 678,821<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 373,100 443,701 458,803<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Additional Calls)<br />

168,005 190,241 220,018<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 48,300,000 55,300,000 65,000,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 12,400,000 14,900,000 25,000,000<br />

Total 60,700,000 70,200,000 90,000,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

A* A* A*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 3%<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

North America<br />

3%<br />

Middle East<br />

14%<br />

Asia<br />

21%<br />

Others<br />

3%<br />

Scandinavia<br />

12%<br />

Southern European<br />

23%<br />

Northern European<br />

24%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

North America<br />

3%<br />

Middle East<br />

14%<br />

Asia<br />

21%<br />

Others<br />

Scandinavia<br />

12%<br />

Southern European<br />

23%<br />

Northern European<br />

24%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Others<br />

8%<br />

Tankers<br />

30%<br />

General Cargo<br />

3%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

36%<br />

Container<br />

23%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

Others<br />

8%<br />

Tankers<br />

30%<br />

Gen<br />

3%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


ShIPOwNERS<br />

www.shipownersclub.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by 10 percent.<br />

– Premiums increased by 12.4 percent.<br />

– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />

42 and 37 percent respectively.<br />

– Although there was a USD 13.4 million Paid<br />

Technical Surplus, it was wiped out by a USD 43.1<br />

million increase in Estimated Outstanding Claims.<br />

– Incurred Technical Deficit (USD 29.7 million) only<br />

very marginally improved on 2006/07.<br />

– Despite a healthy investment return (nearly<br />

7 percent) this was not sufficient to completely<br />

compensate for the Technical Deficit, resulting in a<br />

USD 6 million Overall Deficit for the year.<br />

– Assets increased by 11.4 percent, Free Reserves<br />

reduced by 4.6 percent.<br />

– Downgraded by S&P from Api to BBBpi with<br />

effect from 3 December 2008.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 116,887 129,598 145,696<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -15,492 -17,860 -21,542<br />

Operating Expenses -21,478 -23,574 -26,950<br />

Operating Income 79,917 88,164 97,204<br />

Gross Paid Claims 52,717 73,512 104,538<br />

Net Paid Claims 48,301 60,996 83,782<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 31,616 27,168 13,422<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 25,783 57,358 43,144<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 5,833 -30,190 -29,722<br />

Investment Income 13,210 32,991 23,751<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 19,043 2,801 -5,971<br />

Net Assets (Market) 265,508 325,667 362,841<br />

Outstanding Claims 138,600 195,958 239,103<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves 126,908 129,709 123,738<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 11,537,740 13,880,387 15,264,101<br />

Chartered/Fixed 407,187 350,000 350,000<br />

Total 11,944,927 14,230,387 15,614,101<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

2 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Api Api Api<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

150<br />

120<br />

90<br />

60<br />

30<br />

0<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

-50<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

0<br />

96/97<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

07/08<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

North America<br />

5.2%<br />

Latin America<br />

8.7%<br />

Middle East,<br />

India, Africa<br />

10.9%<br />

Others<br />

7.3%<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Free Reserves<br />

North America<br />

Net Assets<br />

5.2% (Market)<br />

Latin America<br />

8.7%<br />

Middle East,<br />

India, Africa<br />

10.9%<br />

Others<br />

7.3%<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

Asia and Australasia<br />

42.4%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Europe<br />

25.5%<br />

Asia and Australasia<br />

42.4%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Dry Cargo<br />

11.2%<br />

Tankers<br />

12.3%<br />

Offshore<br />

15.2%<br />

Inland<br />

4.8%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Europe<br />

25.5%<br />

Fishing<br />

7.0%<br />

Harbour<br />

10.9%<br />

Passenger<br />

5.4%<br />

Barges<br />

33.2%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 3<br />

Dry Cargo<br />

11.2%<br />

Tankers<br />

12.3%<br />

Offshor<br />

15.2%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


SkULD<br />

www.skuld.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by nearly<br />

18 percent.<br />

– Premium increased by 10.6 percent.<br />

– Gross Paid Claims increased by 11.5 percent, Net<br />

Paid Claims increased by 12 percent.<br />

– Estimated outstanding claims increased by a<br />

relatively modest USD 14 million.<br />

– Incurred Technical Surplus just over<br />

USD 6 million.<br />

– Investment income substantially reduced on<br />

2006/07 levels, but combined with a positive<br />

underwriting result an Overall Surplus for<br />

2007/08 was recorded at USD 11.5 million.<br />

– Assets increased by 7 percent, Free Reserves<br />

increased by just over 6 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 156,816 174,122 192,654<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -16,880 -19,028 -20,012<br />

Operating Expenses -24,003 -27,244 -29,467<br />

Operating Income 115,933 127,850 143,175<br />

Gross Paid Claims 91,196 113,006 125,960<br />

Net Paid Claims 87,493 109,803 123,054<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 28,440 18,047 20,121<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 7,719 11,308 14,000<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) 20,721 6,739 6,121<br />

Investment Income 21,427 33,666 5,420<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 42,148 40,405 11,541<br />

Net Assets (Market) 399,026 451,378 484,448<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 248,317 260,012 280,930<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

150,709 191,366 203,518<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 31,480,000 35,100,000 41,372,458<br />

Chartered/Fixed 36,310,000 37,200,000 49,770,039<br />

Total 67,790,000 72,300,000 91,142,497<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

BBB+* A-* A-*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-100<br />

500<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Middle East/Africa<br />

4%<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

Scandinavia<br />

30%<br />

Americas<br />

4%<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Europe (excluding Scandinavia)<br />

34%<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims<br />

07/08<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Asia<br />

28%<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Middle East/Africa<br />

4%<br />

Scandinavia<br />

30%<br />

Americas<br />

4%<br />

Europe (excluding Scandinavia)<br />

34%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Passenger<br />

3%<br />

Container<br />

13%<br />

Tanker<br />

47%<br />

Others<br />

4.5%<br />

Asia<br />

28%<br />

Bulk<br />

22%<br />

General Cargo<br />

10.5%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

Passenger<br />

3%<br />

Container<br />

13%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD (BERMUDA)<br />

www.standard-club.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Total entered tonnage increased by 13 percent,<br />

though the majority of this was through expansion<br />

of the chartered entry.<br />

– Premiums increased by nearly 11 percent.<br />

– Increases in Gross and Net Paid Claims of<br />

28 and 30 percent respectively.<br />

– USD 24 million decrease in Estimated Outstanding<br />

Claims helps offset the USD 44 million Paid<br />

Technical Deficit.<br />

– Incurred Technical Deficit improved by 50 percent,<br />

the 2007/08 overall underwriting deficit registered<br />

at USD 20 million.<br />

– Respectable investment return (USD 28.7 million)<br />

more than offsets the technical deficit, allowing a<br />

USD 8.7 million overall surplus for 2007/08.<br />

– Despite a reduction in Assets of 2.4 percent, Free<br />

Reserves increased by 4 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 170,378 152,350 168,869<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -30,746 -32,040 -36,461<br />

Operating Expenses -13,386 -15,399 -17,842<br />

Operating Income 126,246 104,911 114,566<br />

Gross Paid Claims 130,018 141,300 181,095<br />

Net Paid Claims 120,119 122,255 158,888<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 6,127 -17,344 -44,322<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 22,836 23,279 -24,266<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -16,709 -40,623 -20,056<br />

Investment Income 37,077 65,741 28,783<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 20,368 25,118 8,727<br />

Net Assets (Market) 595,364 643,761 628,222<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 403,087 426,366 402,100<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves (Excluding Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

192,277 217,395 226,122<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 47,000,000 47,625,839 49,931,660<br />

Chartered/Fixed 17,000,000 16,903,352 23,089,250<br />

Total 64,000,000 64,529,191 73,020,910<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

A* A* A*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Excluding Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

Asia<br />

22%<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

South America<br />

3%<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Others<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 1%<br />

07/08<br />

Europe<br />

53%<br />

North America<br />

21%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Asia<br />

22%<br />

South America<br />

3%<br />

Others<br />

1%<br />

Europe<br />

53%<br />

North America<br />

21%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Barges<br />

4%<br />

Passengers<br />

3%<br />

Tankers<br />

29%<br />

Offshore<br />

10%<br />

Others<br />

2%<br />

General/<br />

Dry Cargo<br />

12%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

18%<br />

Container<br />

22%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7<br />

Barges<br />

4%<br />

Passengers<br />

3%<br />

Tankers<br />

29%<br />

Of<br />

10<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


STEAMShIP<br />

www.simsl.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Total entered tonnage increased by 9 percent.<br />

– Premium increased by just under 14 percent.<br />

– Despite comparatively stable Gross Paid<br />

Claims, material increase in Net Paid Claims<br />

(31 percent increase).<br />

– Substantial improvement in estimated outstanding<br />

claims (reduced by nearly USD 32 million).<br />

– Incurred Technical Surplus of USD 4.5 million.<br />

– Investment income reduced, but still a respectable<br />

4 percent return.<br />

– With positive underwriting and investment results<br />

an overall surplus of USD 27.6 million was achieved<br />

in 2007/08.<br />

– Assets increased by 2.4 percent, Free Reserves<br />

increased by 17.5 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 218,334 227,052 258,538<br />

Reinsurance Premiums 24,843 -30,314 -39,458<br />

Operating Expenses -33,101 -35,569 -31,051<br />

Operating Income 210,076 161,169 188,029<br />

Gross Paid Claims 168,883 249,313 267,347<br />

Net Paid Claims 152,005 164,417 215,267<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 58,071 -3,248 -27,238<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 60,667 47,525 -31,739<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -2,596 -50,773 4,501<br />

Investment Income 22,651 51,546 23,147<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 20,055 773 27,648<br />

Net Assets (Market) 557,683 644,431 659,669<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 458,090 505,615 473,876<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 57,779 19,329 0<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

157,372 158,145 185,793<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 41,500,000 43,500,000 46,800,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 20,500,000 22,300,000 25,000,000<br />

Total 62,000,000 65,800,000 71,800,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

BBBpi BBBpi BBB+*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Middle East/Africa<br />

9.5%<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

Latin America<br />

4%<br />

North America<br />

11%<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Indian Sub-Continent<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims 6.5%<br />

07/08<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

European<br />

33%<br />

Far East<br />

36%<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Middle East/Africa<br />

9.5%<br />

Latin America<br />

4%<br />

North America<br />

11%<br />

Indian Sub-Continent<br />

6.5%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Passenger<br />

10.5%<br />

Tankers<br />

27%<br />

Others<br />

2.5%<br />

General Cargo<br />

8%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

European<br />

33%<br />

Far East<br />

36%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

31%<br />

Container<br />

21%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9<br />

Passenger<br />

10.5%<br />

Tankers<br />

27%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


Uk P&I CLUB<br />

www.ukpandi.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Entered tonnage relatively stable (Owned tonnage<br />

increased by less than 3 percent).<br />

– Premium increased by just under 8 percent.<br />

– Following the ‘one off’, positive contributions<br />

to claims in 2006/07 (due to the recovery on the<br />

‘ATHOS I’ case), the position normalised<br />

in 2007/08.<br />

– Between 2005/06 and 2007/08 Gross Paid Claims<br />

reduced by 17 percent, while Net Paid Claims<br />

increased by 11 percent over the same period.<br />

– Material increase in estimated outstanding claims<br />

(USD 56.5 million increase).<br />

– Investment income slightly reduced, but still a<br />

healthy 6.5 percent return.<br />

– Investment income offsets the majority of the<br />

USD 96 million technical deficit, but an overall<br />

deficit of USD 33.6 million remains.<br />

– Assets marginally increased, but Free Reserves<br />

reduced by nearly 13 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 354,943 358,419 386,034<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -128,560 -78,308 -74,078<br />

Operating Expenses -41,294 -41,129 -46,836<br />

Operating Income 185,089 238,982 265,120<br />

Gross Paid Claims 391,948 225,348 325,208<br />

Net Paid Claims 274,144 266,272 304,937<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -89,055 -27,290 -39,817<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims -51,126 -1,431 56,476<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -37,929 -25,859 -96,293<br />

Investment Income 48,535 71,556 62,689<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 10,606 45,697 -33,604<br />

Net Assets (Market) 925,226 969,492 992,364<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 708,167 706,736 763,212<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

217,059 262,756 229,152<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 105,400,000 107,000,000 110,000,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 50,000,000 56,000,000 51,000,000<br />

Total 155,400,000 163,000,000 161,000,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

60 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

A* A* A-*<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

150<br />

125<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

-25<br />

-50<br />

-75<br />

-100<br />

-125<br />

-150<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

200<br />

180<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

125<br />

75<br />

25<br />

0<br />

-25<br />

-75<br />

-125<br />

1200<br />

1100<br />

1000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES<br />

96/97<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Asia-Pacific<br />

27%<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims<br />

07/08<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Europe<br />

57%<br />

Americas<br />

16%<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Asia-Pacific<br />

27%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Gas Carrier<br />

10%<br />

Tankers<br />

33%<br />

Passenger<br />

9%<br />

Other<br />

Dry Cargo<br />

6%<br />

Europe<br />

57%<br />

Americas<br />

16%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

25%<br />

Container/<br />

RoRo<br />

17%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 6<br />

Gas Carrier<br />

10%<br />

Tankers<br />

33%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

www.westpandi.com<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned tonnage stable, 11 percent increase in<br />

chartered tonnage.<br />

– 2006/07 Financial year premiums skewed by<br />

contribution of USD 67.7 million of unbudgeted calls.<br />

– The 2007/08 premium roughly 4 percent reduced on<br />

2005/06 level (though tonnage 10 percent less over<br />

the same period).<br />

– Despite almost unchanged gross paid claims, net<br />

paid claims increased by 33 percent.<br />

– The large increase in paid claims is partially offset<br />

by a USD 42.2 million improvement in estimated<br />

outstanding claims.<br />

– Investment income returns to a more ‘normal’ level<br />

(roughly a 7 percent return) after the exceptional<br />

result in 2006/07.<br />

– Investment income insufficient to offset the<br />

USD 60 million technical deficit, resulting in an<br />

overall deficit for the year of USD 31.5 million.<br />

– Assets reduced by just over 8 percent, Free Reserves<br />

decreased by just over 15 percent.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 251,362 326,126 240,993<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -45,875 -48,583 -46,216<br />

Operating Expenses -38,086 -41,430 -41,441<br />

Operating Income 167,401 236,113 153,336<br />

Gross Paid Claims 254,120 270,777 272,215<br />

Net Paid Claims 184,341 191,601 255,585<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -16,940 44,512 -102,249<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims 12,119 34,646 -42,246<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -29,059 9,866 -60,003<br />

Investment Income 28,160 48,769 28,492<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) -899 58,635 -31,511<br />

Net Assets (Market) 524,861 611,996 560,823<br />

Net Outstanding Claims 419,428 454,074 411,828<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 27,105 46,730 24,622<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

132,538 204,652 173,617<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT)<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 60,200,000 54,500,000 54,000,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 19,900,000 16,200,000 18,000,000<br />

Total 80,100,000 70,700,000 72,000,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

62 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

BBBpi BBBpi BBBpi<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims Total Tonnage (GT)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

OvERALL FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR RESULT<br />

Investment Income<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Overall Surplus<br />

for Year (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Entered Tonnage (GT, millions)


USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-100<br />

-120<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong><br />

FREE RESERvES<br />

96/97<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

97/98<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

Net Assets<br />

(Market)<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

Middle East and Afria<br />

6.5%<br />

Asia<br />

29%<br />

04/05<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Net Outstanding<br />

Claims<br />

European (including Russia)<br />

48.5%<br />

07/08<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Americas<br />

16%<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Middle East and Afria<br />

6.5%<br />

Asia<br />

29%<br />

European (including Russia)<br />

48.5%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Ferries/Passenger<br />

8.3%<br />

Tankers<br />

25%<br />

General Cargo<br />

10.3%<br />

Others<br />

4%<br />

Americas<br />

16%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

30.4%<br />

Container/RoRo<br />

22%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 63<br />

Ferries/Passenger<br />

8.3%<br />

Tankers<br />

25%<br />

Gen<br />

10.<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Club in Run-Off<br />

– Following approval of the UK Financial Services<br />

Authority in summer 2007, the Club voted to<br />

return USD 25 million of the Free Reserve to<br />

the Membership.<br />

– This is reflected in the negative entry in the 2007/08<br />

premium entry.<br />

– The USD 25 million was redistributed across<br />

‘eligible members’, effectively those Members<br />

remaining in the Club when it ceased active<br />

underwriting. The redistribution was based on the<br />

premium paid and tonnage entered across the ten<br />

years leading up to 19 February 2000.<br />

– Continued positive developments in the claims<br />

run off.<br />

– Respectable investment performance (combination<br />

of investment income and exchanges gains) of<br />

approximately 4.5 percent<br />

– As expected assets reduced by 32 percent, primarily<br />

due to the redistribution of funds to Members<br />

– Free Reserve 60 percent reduced, but still just over<br />

USD 14 million as at 20 February 2008<br />

– The final three policy years (1997, 1998 and<br />

1999) remain open, though at the time of<br />

the redistribution, Members were given the<br />

discretionary option to continue underwriting the<br />

risk, or release themselves from further exposure.<br />

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL<br />

YEAR SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 731 2 -25,189<br />

Reinsurance Premiums - 40 -<br />

Operating Expenses -708 -410 -555<br />

Operating Income 23 -368 -25,744<br />

Gross Paid Claims 9,903 4,380 2,637<br />

Net Paid Claims 7,655 3,487 2,425<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) -7,632 -3,855 -28,169<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims -9,777 4,073 -3,778<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -2,145 -7,928 -24,391<br />

Investment Income 1,036 6,941 2,545<br />

Overall Surplus for Year (Deficit) 3,181 -987 -21,846<br />

Net Assets<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

76,212<br />

39,215<br />

79,298<br />

43,288<br />

53,674<br />

39,510<br />

0<br />

Forecast Additional Calls 0 0 0<br />

Free Reserves (Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

36,997 36,010 14,164 -50<br />

6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

USD Millions<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

-25<br />

-50<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

gROSS UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

96/97<br />

96/97<br />

Calls & Premiums Gross Paid Claims<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

Paid Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

00/01<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

NET UNDERwRITINg<br />

DEvELOPMENT<br />

50<br />

96/97<br />

97/98<br />

98/99<br />

99/00<br />

00/01<br />

Change in Estimated<br />

Outstanding Claims<br />

01/02<br />

01/02<br />

02/03<br />

02/03<br />

03/04<br />

03/04<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

04/05<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

Incurred Technical<br />

Surplus (Deficit)<br />

05/06<br />

05/06<br />

06/07<br />

06/07<br />

07/08<br />

ASSETS <strong>AND</strong> FREE RESERvES<br />

Free Reserves<br />

(Including Forecast<br />

Supplementary Calls)<br />

Net Assets Outstanding Claims<br />

07/08


ThE SwEDISh CLUB<br />

www.swedishclub.com<br />

The Swedish Club writes P&I, FD&D and Hull and Machinery (H&M)<br />

classes of business. The Club provides separate summary financial<br />

statements for the P&I Class, but it does not allocate total reserves of<br />

the Club across all the different classes written. Meaningful financial<br />

comparisons with other P&I Clubs are therefore limited.<br />

In terms of premium income the Swedish Club continues to be the<br />

smallest Club in the IG by some margin (roughly 40 percent less<br />

premium than the next smallest Club). The Club has developed a much<br />

more international P&I Membership over the last decade. Swedish<br />

tonnage now represents only 7 percent of their portfolio, compared<br />

with around 50 percent ten years ago.<br />

hIghLIghTS<br />

– Owned entered tonnage increased by just over 13 percent<br />

– Premium increased by 19.4 percent<br />

– Gross and Net Paid Claims increased by 73 percent and 38 percent<br />

respectively<br />

– Estimated outstanding claims reduced USD 8.7 million<br />

– Incurred Technical Deficit of just over USD 14.4 million<br />

– Very healthy 12.6 percent return on investments for the Club as a<br />

whole. Of this USD 10.8 million was allocated to the P&I Class.<br />

– Despite the healthy contribution of investment income, the overall<br />

result was still a USD 3.6 million deficit<br />

– For the Club overall (including all Classes) a USD 2.3 million deficit<br />

translated to a reduction in Free Reserves from USD 102 million to<br />

USD 99.7 million<br />

Others<br />

2.2%<br />

P&I CLASS ONLY - FINANCIAL YEAR<br />

SUMMARY (USD 000’S)<br />

Asia<br />

30%<br />

2006/07 2007/08<br />

Calls and Premiums 52,044 62,161<br />

Reinsurance Premiums -11,533 -19,324<br />

Operating Expenses -7,200 -8,706<br />

Operating Income 33,281 34,131<br />

Gross Paid Claims 80,124 138,654<br />

Net Paid Claims 28,890 39,853<br />

Paid Technical Surplus (Deficit) 4,391 -5,722<br />

Net Change in Provision for Claims -9,430 -8,716<br />

Incurred Technical Surplus (Deficit) -5,039 -14,438<br />

Investment Income 14,560 10,813<br />

Surplus for Year (Deficit) 9,521 -3,625<br />

ENTERED TONNAgE (gT) Sweden<br />

7.3% 2006 2007 2008<br />

Owned/Mutual 19,600,000 22,200,000 25,130,000<br />

Chartered/Fixed 1,100,000 3,500,000 12,800,000<br />

Total 20,700,000 25,700,000 37,930,000<br />

S&P RATINg<br />

Southern Europe<br />

32.3%<br />

Northern Europe<br />

28.2%<br />

2006 2007 2008<br />

DESIGN BBB-* BBB* & DATA<br />

BBB*<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

TONNAgE DISTRIBUTION<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Others<br />

2.2%<br />

Asia<br />

30%<br />

Sweden<br />

7.3%<br />

Southern Europe<br />

32.3%<br />

Northern Europe<br />

28.2%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

MANAGEMENT<br />

Passenger<br />

1.9%<br />

Tankers<br />

19.8%<br />

General Cargo<br />

2.2%<br />

Other<br />

0.1%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

21.8%<br />

Container RORO<br />

54.2%<br />

DESIGN & DATA<br />

VESSEL TYPE<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 6<br />

Passenger<br />

1.9%<br />

Tankers<br />

19.8%<br />

General Cargo<br />

2.2%<br />

DESIG<br />

VESSE


SUPPLEMENTARY<br />

CALL hISTORY


hISTORIC SUPPLEMENTARY<br />

CALL ACCURACY<br />

MARkET TREND<br />

The ‘Market Average’ graph to the right<br />

shows the average supplementary call<br />

performance of the combined market,<br />

from 1987 to 2008.<br />

The graph highlights the market wide<br />

problems from 1987 to 1991, when the vast<br />

majority of Clubs were forced to charge<br />

substantial over-budget supplementary<br />

calls. This pattern improved dramatically<br />

in subsequent years, and the trend since<br />

1992 is one of relatively isolated problems<br />

against a backdrop of stability.<br />

The main Clubs over-calling in the mid<br />

1990’s were the Liverpool and London,<br />

Newcastle and Ocean Marine. These<br />

Clubs were all subsequently forced to<br />

cease underwriting, either by merging or<br />

entering run-off.<br />

The two peaks of unbudgeted calls since<br />

the mid 1990’s (stemming from the years<br />

2001 and 2008) both coincided with<br />

periods in low or negative investment<br />

income. Clubs involved included the Skuld<br />

and Steamship mutual in 2000/2001 and<br />

London Steam-Ship and UK P&I Club in<br />

2008. In addition, the West of England<br />

made ‘solvency’ calls in 2006 and the<br />

American Club has been more routinely<br />

above budget than any other Club in the<br />

last fifteen years.<br />

vARIANCE BETwEEN CLUBS<br />

The divergence in the supplementary call<br />

performance of the Clubs is considerable.<br />

The three following graphs provide<br />

comparative ‘snap shots’ of the average<br />

supplementary call performance of each<br />

Club over the last fifteen, ten and six year<br />

periods. The best performing Clubs are<br />

shown to the left of the graphs, with those<br />

Clubs over-budget towards the right.<br />

6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

MARkET AvERAgE - AvERAgE vARIANCE IN<br />

ESTIMATED TOTAL CALL<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

-20%<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />

CALL – AvERAgE FROM 1994 TO 2008<br />

Shipowners<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

Standard (Bermuda)<br />

Japan<br />

North of England<br />

Standard (London)<br />

United Kingdom<br />

London<br />

Swedish Club<br />

Skuld<br />

Steamship<br />

West of England<br />

American Club


Over the last fifteen years the market has<br />

moved on from the collective problems<br />

of the late 1980’s, to the situation where<br />

in any one year the majority of Clubs will<br />

perform on, or below their budgeted levels.<br />

What is perhaps surprising though is<br />

that in recent years the trend is arguably<br />

getting worse rather than better. In the<br />

last five years, six Clubs have been forced<br />

to make unbudgeted supplementary calls,<br />

already exceeding the problems at the<br />

turn of the century. Despite an increased<br />

focus on solvency, reserving accuracy and<br />

the increased sophistication of financial<br />

monitoring, a number of Clubs have not<br />

been quick enough and/or well reserved<br />

enough to respond to the recent surge in<br />

claims, combined with the evaporation of<br />

investment income.<br />

It is interesting to note by contrast, that<br />

out of the headlines of the unbudgeted<br />

calls, a small minority of Clubs are<br />

still continuing to not charge their full<br />

supplementary call estimates.<br />

Based purely on supplementary call<br />

performance, the market almost cuts<br />

down the middle, with a clear distinction<br />

between those Clubs consistently<br />

performing at or below budgeted levels<br />

and those for varying reasons forced to<br />

charge excess calls.<br />

To put the variance between Clubs in<br />

perspective, the difference between the<br />

best and worst performing (large vessel)<br />

Clubs over the most recent six years is 25<br />

percent. This means that with the same<br />

initial estimated total call for each of the<br />

six years, an owner entered in the best<br />

performing Club would be 25 percent, per<br />

year, better off than an owner entered in<br />

the worst performing Club.<br />

PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />

CALL – AvERAgE FROM 1999 TO 2008<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

PERCENTAgE vARIATION FROM ESTIMATED TOTAL<br />

CALL – AvERAgE FROM 2003 TO 2008<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

Shipowners<br />

Shipowners<br />

Britannia<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

Gard<br />

Standard (Bermuda)<br />

NOrth of England<br />

Japan<br />

Skuld<br />

North of England<br />

Standard (Bermuda)<br />

Standard (London)<br />

Standard (London)<br />

Skuld<br />

Swedish Club<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Japan<br />

Swedish Club<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Steamship<br />

Steamship<br />

London<br />

London<br />

West of England<br />

West of England<br />

American Club<br />

American Club<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 69


FUTURE TRENDS<br />

In the current environment, with the<br />

collapse in investment income and with<br />

no imminent abatewment in claims costs<br />

likely, we fully expect announcements<br />

of unbudgeted calls. As consistently<br />

highlighted in our recent reviews we<br />

still do not expect this to spread to the<br />

vast majority of the market, as it did in<br />

the late 1980’s.<br />

The inherent issues with the American Club<br />

continue to make it the most vulnerable to<br />

further fluctuations in the investment and/<br />

or claims climate, increasing the probability<br />

of this Club making further unbudgeted<br />

calls in the future.<br />

The stronger half of the market are<br />

likely to continue to be stable from a<br />

supplementary call perspective.<br />

The broad market picture is therefore<br />

expected to be five or six specific problems<br />

at the bottom, contrasted with one or two<br />

isolated rebates at the top.<br />

70 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

SUPPLEMENTARY<br />

CALL hISTORY<br />

SUMMARY OF INFORMATION<br />

The following pages provide comparative information on the<br />

supplementary/deferred call history of the market.<br />

In recent years a number of Clubs have changed terminology to<br />

use the phrase ‘deferred premium’ rather than ‘supplementary<br />

call’. Similarly, instead of ‘estimated total call’ (‘advance call’<br />

+ ‘supplementary call’) several Associations have introduced<br />

expressions such as ‘mutual premium’, ‘estimated total premium’<br />

etc. These changes in terminology are purely cosmetic and have<br />

no impact on the underlying principle. All the International<br />

Group Clubs remain mutual insurers and have the ability to<br />

charge additional premiums or allow rebates on originally<br />

estimated premiums.<br />

In the following pages we have tried to compare ‘like with like’<br />

regardless of the actual terminology used by individual Clubs.<br />

Policy Year: 1994 / 1995 1995 / 1996 1996 / 1997 1997 / 1998 1998 / 1999 1999 / 2000 2000 / 2001<br />

Supplementary /<br />

Deferred Call Estimate:<br />

Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current<br />

American Club 65 65 50 68 25 34 25 25 25 25 25 45 25 115<br />

Britannia 40 -5 25 -10 25 -7.5 25 0 25 10 25 15 25 25<br />

Gard 40 35 30 15 30 0 30 0 30 0 25 15 25 25<br />

Japan Club 20 0 20 20 20 10 20 10 20 0 20 15 20 20<br />

Liverpool & London 40 170 25 112.95 25 116 25 172 25 25 25 25 n/a n/a<br />

London Steamship 40 30 40 30 40 40 40 30 40 20 40 40 40 40<br />

Newcastle 40 96 40 130 40 164 40 140 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

North of England 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 25 25<br />

Ocean Marine 30 95 30 95 40 180 40 180 40 110 n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

Shipowners 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0<br />

Skuld 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 20 45 20 65<br />

Standard (Bermuda) 25 25 25 10 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 15 25 25<br />

Standard (London) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Steamship 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 43 86<br />

Swedish 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10 0 0 0 0<br />

UK 40 40 40 30 40 25 40 25 40 30 40 30 33 33<br />

West of England 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50


The analysis is broken down as follows:<br />

daTa TaBle<br />

The main reference table below shows in figures the original and<br />

final/current estimates for the supplementary/deferred calls of all<br />

the Clubs from 1994/95 to 2009/10.<br />

iNdividual CluB resulTs<br />

- oriGiNal vs. fiNal suPPlemeNTary Calls<br />

The data from the main reference table is displayed graphically<br />

without any analysis for each Club. The graphs show the original<br />

estimated supplementary call and the actual call for each Club over<br />

the period 1993 to 2008. Displaying the graphs together facilitates<br />

the comparison of individual Clubs’ supplementary call trends.<br />

iNdividual CluB resulTs - PerCeNTaGe variaTioN<br />

from oriGiNal esTimaTed ToTal Call<br />

Pages 75-77 provide a more direct comparison of all the Clubs’<br />

supplementary call results. Each graph shows the percentage<br />

variation from original estimated total call for each Club over the<br />

period 1993 to 2008. The graphs are on the same scale and provide<br />

direct comparison of the individual Clubs’ supplementary call<br />

performance and trends over the period.<br />

2001 / 2002 2002 / 2003 2003 / 2004 2004 / 2005 2005 / 2006 2006 / 2007 2007 / 2008 2008 / 2009 2009 / 2010<br />

Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current Original Current<br />

25 60 40 70 20 56 0 0 0 20 0 35 0 30 0 25 20 20<br />

25 25 40 40 40 40 40 30 40 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40<br />

25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 25 20 25 25 25 25 25 25<br />

20 10 20 20 30 10 30 30 30 30 30 60 30 30 30 30 40 40<br />

n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 89 40 89 40 75 40 75<br />

n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

25 25 25 25 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a<br />

25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 0 25 25 25 25 25 25 10 10<br />

20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

25 25 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39 39<br />

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

43 100 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 35 0 0 0 0<br />

33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 60 33 67 33 60 33 33<br />

20 20 20 20 20 20 20 35 20 35 20 40 20 55 20 65 30 30<br />

Where Clubs charge on an Estimated Mutual Basis, the supplementary / deferred call figure provided refers to the percentage<br />

charged after expiry of the policy period (relative to the premium charged during the policy year). These are shown in red.<br />

= Closed = Open<br />

NB: Percentage Variation from original<br />

Estimated Total Call<br />

This is a measure whereby the Clubs’<br />

supplementary call performance can be<br />

directly compared. It is necessary for a<br />

clear comparison, as individual Clubs<br />

use a wide range of original estimated<br />

supplementary calls.<br />

– A zero percentage variance from<br />

estimated total calls signifies that<br />

the Club has charged exactly what it<br />

estimated for that year.<br />

– A negative percentage variance shows<br />

that the Club charged less than it<br />

originally estimated for the year in<br />

question.<br />

– A positive variance highlights that the<br />

Club actually charged more than was<br />

originally estimated for the year.<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7


120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

COMPARISON OF<br />

ORIgINAL <strong>AND</strong> ACTUAL<br />

SUPPLEMENTARY COSTS<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

AMERICAN CLUB<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

gARD<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

72 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

BRITANNIA<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call


100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

LONDON CLUB<br />

0%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

ShIPOwNERS<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

SkULD<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

STEAMShIP<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 73


40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

SwEDISh<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

Uk P&I CLUB<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

7 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />

180%<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

180%<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

NEwCASTLE<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call<br />

OCEAN MARINE<br />

180%<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Original Supplementary Call Estimate Actual Supplementary Call


PERCENTAgE vARIATION<br />

FROM INITIAL ESTIMATED<br />

TOTAL CALL<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

AMERICAN CLUB<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

gARD<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-40%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

BRITANNIA<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

JAPAN P&I CLUB<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7


-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

LONDON CLUB<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

ShIPOwNERS<br />

76 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

ST<strong>AND</strong>ARD<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-40%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

NORTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

SkULD<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

STEAMShIP<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call


40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

SwEDISh<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Uk P&I CLUB<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

wEST OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong><br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

LIvERPOOL & LONDON<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

NEwCASTLE<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

OCEAN MARINE<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

Percentage Variation from Estimated Total Call<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 77


RELEASE<br />

CALLS


The intention of release calls is to<br />

remove any potential future liability<br />

for further calls to the Club, following<br />

termination of membership in the<br />

particular Club.<br />

By paying the release call the Member is ‘released’ from any<br />

further obligation to pay future supplementary call contributions<br />

to the Club. In essence therefore the release call is intended to<br />

represent the Member’s proportion of the Club’s incurred but<br />

not reported (IBNR) claims for the open years.<br />

This original intent does not appear to be mirrored in<br />

today’s practice.<br />

We have included on the next page a graph displaying the current<br />

release calls in force for all the Clubs. Evidently there is a wide<br />

range: Clubs like the Shipowners’ Club or Japan represent the<br />

lower, acceptable, end of the market with release calls set at nil and<br />

5 percent respectively. At the higher end of the market nine Clubs<br />

have at least one open policy year with release calls set at 20 or 25<br />

percent. The release calls of the West of England and the Swedish<br />

Club stand out as the worst in the market.<br />

The lack of consistency in the range of release calls does not stand<br />

up to logical interrogation. For example, it is clearly not realistic<br />

to believe that the Gard, North of England or Standard Club<br />

are four or five more times more likely to make an unbudgeted<br />

supplementary call than the Japan Club.<br />

The Shipowners’ Club should be singled out for praise for taking<br />

the step in 2008 to reduce all their release call estimates to zero.<br />

The Shipowners’ Club specialise in smaller tonnage and arguably<br />

have a relatively predictable claims pattern, however they are<br />

subject to greater competitive pressure than any other member<br />

Club in the International Group. This step will hopefully be<br />

perceived as a positive reflection on the Club’s confidence in<br />

their own performance.<br />

0 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Clubs have a wide variety of sophisticated<br />

modelling methods at their disposal. It is<br />

therefore curious that a Club at the higher<br />

end of the release calls range believes their<br />

claims may exceed expectation by a margin<br />

of 25 percent, even one or two years after<br />

the expiry of the policy year in question.<br />

The general levels of some Clubs are even<br />

more objectionable when you account for<br />

the fact that in the event of unexpected<br />

results all Clubs have the option of<br />

increasing their release calls at any point<br />

to protect the general membership.<br />

Release calls are a significant factor in the<br />

transfer of business from Club to Club. It<br />

is easy to see why the release call levels<br />

of some Clubs are perceived more like a<br />

commercial ‘penalty’ for moving, rather<br />

than a realistic assessment of the potential<br />

for unbudgeted supplementary calls.


American<br />

Britannia<br />

Gard<br />

Japan Club<br />

London Steamship<br />

North of England<br />

Shipowners<br />

Skuld<br />

Standard (Bermuda)<br />

Standard (London)<br />

Steamship<br />

Swedish<br />

UK<br />

West of England<br />

RELEASE CALLS<br />

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%<br />

2006/07<br />

2007/08<br />

2008/09<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |


P&I FIxED<br />

PREMIUM<br />

MARkET


Following the contraction in the fixed premium market in 2006 it<br />

has subsequently remained stable with no withdrawals from the<br />

market and no new competition entering.<br />

The long awaited Vega Marine appears to have failed before ever<br />

actually formally launching a single viable product.<br />

Each fixed premium insurer has continued to try to expand<br />

their market share by offering higher limits and exploring<br />

new product areas.<br />

Raets P&I increased the limit available for Owned P&I from USD<br />

100 million to USD 500 million in 2007. Similarly both Navigators<br />

and Osprey increased the limit available from USD 25 million<br />

to USD 50 million. Osprey has recently continued this process<br />

by doubling the maximum limit they are able to offer, from<br />

USD 50 million to USD 100 million.<br />

Most product development has revolved around charterers<br />

liability. The British Marine and Navigators had always been able<br />

to write charterers business, but historically their efforts were not<br />

particularly well focussed. They have, coincidentally, both now<br />

put together new reinsurance programmes geared specifically<br />

towards charterers liability. Their expectation is that these more<br />

purposeful programmes will allow them to target charterers<br />

liability business more competitively.<br />

This development somewhat follows the trend of the<br />

International Group Clubs in the charterers liability sector.<br />

All Clubs historically have been able to write fixed premium<br />

charterers liability business, but until relatively recently only two<br />

or three Clubs had separate charterers reinsurance allowing them<br />

to target stand alone charterers effectively.<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

In the last couple of years there has been<br />

a great deal of activity in this sector<br />

and currently all of the International<br />

Group Clubs have some form of<br />

specific charterers liability reinsurance<br />

programme. The initial Clubs specialising<br />

in this area remain the market leaders, but<br />

there is now greater choice available. The<br />

market leading International Group Clubs<br />

are in a position to offer charterers cover<br />

with limits up to USD 1 billion.<br />

Fixed premium P&I insurers do not<br />

announce ‘General Increases’ as such, as<br />

this is very much a mutual concept. The<br />

fixed market is however in a similar claims<br />

environment to the Clubs and they will<br />

review each insured’s loss record in the<br />

context of the wider environment like<br />

any other commercial insurer at renewal.<br />

There will certainly be inflationary<br />

pressures and increased reinsurance<br />

costs for the fixed premium P&I market.<br />

As usual they will try to pass on their<br />

increased costs to ship operators, if the<br />

commercial environment allows them to.<br />

Competition in the small vessel sector<br />

continues to remain intense and as a<br />

result increases (if any) will again remain<br />

modest compared to those announced by<br />

the International Group Clubs.<br />

Facility Maximum P&I Limit (USD) Standard and Poor’s Rating Number of Vessels<br />

(Owned P&I)<br />

British Marine 1 billion A+ 9,655<br />

Ingosstrakh 500 million BBB- 1,110<br />

Raets P&I* 500 million A Fortis Corporate 3,000<br />

Insurance NV**<br />

Navigators 50 million A (Strong) 1,750<br />

Osprey 100 million A+ (Lloyd’s) N/A<br />

Other Mutual P&I Facilities<br />

South of England 500 million Mutual / Unrated 660<br />

Charterers Only Facilities<br />

Charterers Club 300 million A+ (Lloyd’s)*** N/A<br />

*(To be renamed Raets Marine Insurance B.V. from 1 January 2009)<br />

**(From 1 January 2009 to AA- Swiss Re International SE)<br />

***(From 1 January 2009 to AA-Munich Re)


BRITISh MARINE<br />

www.britishmarine.com<br />

British Marine Luxembourg SA (British Marine) completed a<br />

successful demutualisation in February 2000. In late 2005 British<br />

Marine was bought by QBE Insurance Group (QBE). As the next<br />

step of the integration of British Marine into the QBE Group, their<br />

security will transfer from British Marine Luxembourg SA to QBE<br />

Insurance (Europe) Limited with effect from 1 January 2009.<br />

British Marine continue to reiterate that they will operate in much<br />

the same way as before, with the retention of the existing brand and<br />

management team.<br />

British Marine’s strategy continues to concentrate on their<br />

traditional core business consisting of smaller vessels up to a<br />

maximum of around 10,000 GT. Europe remains the largest source<br />

of business (55 percent of the total book) followed by the Far and<br />

Middle East (13 percent and 11 percent respectively). The spread of<br />

vessel type remains consistent with previous years with dry cargo<br />

vessels continuing to represent the largest class of vessel.<br />

British Marine aims, with some success, to combine a mutualstyle<br />

service with a fixed premium product. They also have the<br />

ability to offer Charterers Liability, Hull and Machinery insurance<br />

and Freight Demurrage & Defence in addition to P&I.<br />

2008 has been another year of growth for British Marine. Building<br />

on the expansion of the last three, British Marine again expanded<br />

by a further 600 vessels in 2008 (the insurer has grown from<br />

7,900 vessels in 2006 to 9,655 in 2008). In terms of owned insured<br />

tonnage Australasia this now Middle equates East to Eastern a total portfolio Scandinavia slightly in excess of<br />

2% 13% Europe<br />

4%<br />

12 million GT.<br />

11%<br />

Americas &<br />

British Marine favoured maximum limit is USD Carribean 500 million, but it<br />

can Southern offer limits up to USD 1 billion each incident on 7% a selective basis.<br />

Europe<br />

British 26% Marine has always been able to write charterers liability<br />

insurance, but it has never been a major coverage area for the insurer.<br />

During 2007 they revamped their reinsurances in this area, with<br />

the intention of targeting charterers business more seriously in the<br />

future. They are now able to write Charterers P&I, Damage to Hull,<br />

Freight Demurrage & Defence and loss of charterers’ bunkers for all<br />

Far East<br />

types of charterer for vessels up to 30,000 GT.<br />

14%<br />

The maximum limits available on the chartered side are USD 100<br />

million Northern for Europe Charterers Indian P&I Sub-Continent<br />

and USD 50 million Other for Charterers<br />

Damage 18%<br />

to Hull. Freight Demurrage 4% and Defence 1% limits tend to<br />

be fixed case by case but would normally be in the region of USD 1<br />

to USD 2 million.<br />

British Marine is A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s and QBE<br />

Europe has the same financial rating.<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Australasia<br />

2%<br />

Southern<br />

Europe<br />

26%<br />

Northern Europe<br />

18%<br />

Middle East<br />

13%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Others<br />

1%<br />

Inland craft<br />

8%<br />

General Cargo<br />

39%<br />

Unitised<br />

10%<br />

Eastern<br />

Europe<br />

11%<br />

Indian Sub-Continent<br />

4%<br />

Tanker<br />

7%<br />

Scandinavia<br />

4%<br />

Americas &<br />

Carribean<br />

7%<br />

Far East<br />

14%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 |<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

Fishing<br />

8%<br />

Bulker<br />

11%<br />

Tugs<br />

1%<br />

Yachts<br />

1%<br />

MIscellaneous<br />

Carriers<br />

14%


BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

South America<br />

13%<br />

Europe<br />

41%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Passenger/<br />

Pleasure<br />

2%<br />

Supply/Offshore<br />

6%<br />

Tanker<br />

12%<br />

6 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Middle East<br />

12%<br />

Carribean<br />

2%<br />

Tugs and<br />

Barges<br />

8%<br />

Africa<br />

5%<br />

Far East<br />

17%<br />

Central<br />

America<br />

10%<br />

Bulk Carrier<br />

5%<br />

Fishing<br />

3%<br />

General Cargo<br />

64%<br />

NAvIgATORS<br />

<strong>PROTECTION</strong><br />

<strong>AND</strong> <strong>INDEMNITY</strong><br />

www.navpandi.com<br />

Passenger/ Tanker Tugs and Bulk Carrier<br />

Navigators P&I Pleasure facility began 12% underwriting Bargeson<br />

1 January 2004, 5%<br />

2%<br />

8%<br />

following the appointment by Navigators Insurance Group<br />

(Navigators) of the team that set up Terra Nova P&I.<br />

Fishing<br />

3%<br />

In the 2007 policy year Navigators increased the maximum limit<br />

of liability available from USD 25 million to USD 50 million any<br />

one accident or occurrence. Navigators focus on vessels engaged<br />

in coast-wise, inland and short sea trades, and seek only to insure<br />

vessels up to 10,000 GT.<br />

European tonnage constitutes 41 percent of the total premium<br />

income, with general cargo vessels representing 64 percent of the<br />

facility’s portfolio.<br />

In addition to Owned Supply/Offshore P&I, Navigators are also able General to provide Cargo<br />

cover for contractual 6% liabilities by way of contractual extensions 64%<br />

to the main P&I cover. Navigators similarly introduced a<br />

Charterers facility with a maximum combined single limit of<br />

USD 50 million. The Charterers facility has identical vessel<br />

underwriting parameters as the owned book.<br />

Navigators P&I gross premium in 2006 was USD 26.64 million.<br />

In the same year they paid claims of USD 9.5 million. In 2007<br />

gross premiums increased to USD 27.08 million, with claims<br />

increasing to USD 12.05 million. In percentage terms, claims<br />

compared to premium income increased from 35 percent in<br />

2006 to 45 percent in 2007.<br />

The underwriting team has changed since our last Review with<br />

the two founders of Terra Nova P&I retiring from underwriting.<br />

Although there was succession planning there is always a learning<br />

curve for a team in such circumstances.<br />

Navigators P&I do not underwrite US flagged vessels, but can<br />

arrange COFRs for those vessels trading to the US.<br />

Navigators are A rated by Standard and Poor’s.


OSPREY<br />

UNDERwRITINg<br />

AgENCY LTD<br />

www.osprey-uwr.co.uk<br />

Osprey was founded in 1991 as an agency underwriting on behalf<br />

of Lloyd’s.<br />

From the beginning, their focus was on providing cover to owners<br />

that did not require the limits offered by the mutual Clubs.<br />

Consequently, Osprey concentrate on smaller vessels, with<br />

relatively limited trading.<br />

Along with other fixed premium insurers, in response to<br />

competition and demands from ship operators, 2007 saw Osprey<br />

double the maximum limit of liability available to USD 50 million<br />

any one accident or occurrence. In 2008 they have increased the<br />

limit further to USD 100 million.<br />

Unlike the other fixed premium facilities mentioned in the<br />

Review, Osprey is also willing to insure US domiciled operators.<br />

In terms of premium income the US market represents almost 60<br />

percent of their portfolio. Fishing vessels represent the largest<br />

class of vessels (42 percent) closely followed by Tugs and Barges<br />

(34 percent).<br />

Osprey’s P&I wording, along with that of the other fixed premium<br />

providers, offers similar ‘heads of cover’ to the mutual Clubs.<br />

Besides standard P&I, Osprey are able to provide cover for:<br />

– Maritime Employers’ Liability Asia exposures: Carribean for those who do<br />

9%<br />

3%<br />

not operate vessels but whose employees work within the<br />

maritime industry<br />

Europe<br />

– Third Party Liability coverage for owners and 22% / or operators of<br />

shipyards, terminals, stevedores, wharfingers and other marine<br />

contracting companies<br />

– Hull and Machinery insurance for vessels up to 10,000 GT<br />

engaged in the carriage of dry cargoes<br />

In addition to the above, Osprey, as a company has also introduced<br />

a dedicated yacht underwriting Agency, Osprey Special Risks.<br />

Osprey’s policy forms are backed by Lloyd’s security which is<br />

A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s.<br />

North America<br />

59%<br />

South America<br />

3%<br />

Middle<br />

East<br />

4%<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

North America<br />

59%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Other<br />

2%<br />

Fishing Vessels<br />

42%<br />

Craft<br />

5%<br />

General Cargo<br />

5%<br />

Asia<br />

9%<br />

South America<br />

3%<br />

Crew Only<br />

5%<br />

Carribean<br />

3%<br />

Europe<br />

22%<br />

Middle<br />

East<br />

4%<br />

Passenger and Pleasure<br />

3%<br />

Dredgers<br />

4%<br />

Tugs and<br />

Barges<br />

34%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 7


BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Other<br />

5%<br />

Europe<br />

67%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Fishing<br />

23%<br />

Yacht<br />

9%<br />

Barge<br />

11%<br />

Middle East inc. India<br />

9%<br />

| <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Tug<br />

10%<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

17%<br />

Central South America<br />

2%<br />

General Cargo<br />

21%<br />

Reefers<br />

6%<br />

Dry<br />

Container<br />

2%<br />

Others<br />

18%<br />

RAETS P&I<br />

TO BE RENAMED RAETS MARINE<br />

www.RaetsPandi.com<br />

www.RaetsMarine.com<br />

From 1 January Fishing 2009 Raets P&I will be renamed Tug Raets Marine Reefers<br />

Insurance B.V. Raets 23% Marine will be a single 10% brand name for 6%<br />

the group.<br />

Dry<br />

Yacht<br />

Container<br />

9%<br />

2%<br />

RaetsMarine continue with the head office located in Rotterdam<br />

and branch offices in Singapore, Paris and London. RaetsMarine<br />

offers the following P&I and marine liability products:<br />

– Charterers Liability for all types of charterers, traders,<br />

operators etc.<br />

– Protection and Indemnity insurance for all types of seagoing<br />

vessels up to 10,000 GT.<br />

– Protection and Indemnity insurance for all types of inland craft.<br />

– MultiModal, Port & Logistics Insurance for Marine Related<br />

Companies.<br />

Barge<br />

General Cargo Others<br />

Raets Marine began 11% initially only writing charterers’ 21% liability 18%<br />

business in 1994. They are able to write any type of charterers’<br />

business irrespective of size. The majority of the portfolio is from<br />

tramp chartering (both voyage and time charters) and commodity<br />

traders who are chartering vessels to carry their own cargoes.<br />

Gross premium income is expected to total around USD 40<br />

million for the 2008 policy year<br />

The ability to write Owned P&I cover on a fixed premium basis<br />

was launched in 1999. RaetsMarine currently insure around<br />

3,000 vessels, equating to just over 5 million GT. Like much of<br />

the fixed premium P&I market, RaetsMarine focus on vessels up<br />

to around 10,000 GT. Their preferred tonnage is dry cargo ships,<br />

but they also write fishing vessels, tugs, supply vessels and other<br />

specialised craft.<br />

Cover is restricted to those operators who do not regularly trade<br />

trans-Atlantic, trans-Pacific or to the USA.<br />

The maximum limit of liability available for Reats Marine P&I<br />

and Charterers Liability is USD 500 million any one accident or<br />

occurrence. For Freight Demurrage & Defence the available limit<br />

is USD 2 million any one accident or occurrence.<br />

All risks written by Raets P&I are currently 100 percent ceded<br />

to Fortis Insurance NV in the Netherlands. With effect from<br />

1 January 2009 the security will change to Swiss Re.<br />

Fortis Insurance NV are A rated by Standard and Poor’s.<br />

Swiss Re are AA- rated by Standard & Poor’s.


OThER MARkETS<br />

There are a number of other facilities offering fixed premium P&I<br />

cover. Of these Ingosstrakh (formerly the Russian State Insurance<br />

company for international business) is of note, particularly for<br />

Russian and ex-Russian business.<br />

INgOSSTRAkh INSURANCE CO<br />

www.ingos.ru<br />

Ingosstrakh have been offering P&I insurance for 30 years. Their<br />

current portfolio consists mainly of owners / operators from<br />

Russia and other eastern European countries. The remaining<br />

portfolio, whilst appearing to be of an international nature, has in<br />

most cases a Russian or former Russian connection.<br />

Ingosstrakh P&I cover is similar to that provided by the<br />

International Group Clubs. Freight Demurrage & Defence cover is<br />

also available.<br />

Historically, limits of liability were offered up to a maximum of<br />

USD 100 million, although the majority of owners require limits<br />

of no more than USD 10 million. Since 2005 Ingosstrakh have<br />

been able to offer limits up to USD 500 million.<br />

Ingosstrakh cover a large range of vessels, from very small ships<br />

operating inland and coastal waters, to larger ocean going vessels<br />

(in excess of 20,000 GT). They will not write large tankers, cruise<br />

vessels or US registered or operated craft.<br />

2000-2005 2006 1959-1969 1970-1979<br />

3% 3% 10% 31%<br />

Ingosstrakh currently insure approximately 1,100 vessels, the<br />

1995-1999<br />

majority of which are dry cargo ships.<br />

3%<br />

Ingosstrakh have been offering charterers cover for ten years.<br />

The maximum limit available is USD 100 million.<br />

Ingosstrakh are rated BBB- by Standard and Poor’s, with a<br />

National Scale rating of ruAA+<br />

1990-1994<br />

12%<br />

1980-1989<br />

38%<br />

BY YEAR BUILT<br />

1995-1999<br />

3%<br />

1990-1994<br />

12%<br />

2000-2005<br />

3%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Fishing<br />

9%<br />

General Cargo<br />

44%<br />

Reefer<br />

2%<br />

2006<br />

3%<br />

1959-1969<br />

10%<br />

Tanker<br />

14%<br />

Bulkers<br />

8%<br />

Barge<br />

8%<br />

1970-1979<br />

31%<br />

1980-1989<br />

38%<br />

Passengers<br />

2%<br />

RORO<br />

4%<br />

Tug<br />

3%<br />

Other<br />

6%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9


BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Africa<br />

6%<br />

Europe<br />

9%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Bulker<br />

53%<br />

Livestock<br />

1%<br />

RORO<br />

1%<br />

Rest of World<br />

15%<br />

Passenger<br />

2%<br />

90 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Middle East inc India<br />

24%<br />

General Cargo<br />

24%<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

46%<br />

Tanker<br />

15%<br />

Reefer<br />

1%<br />

Barge<br />

1%<br />

Container<br />

2%<br />

SOUThERN SEAS (EUROPE) LIMITED &<br />

SOUTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong> <strong>PROTECTION</strong> <strong>AND</strong><br />

<strong>INDEMNITY</strong> ASSOCIATION (BERMUDA)<br />

LIMITED (SOUTh OF ENgL<strong>AND</strong>)<br />

www.soem-pandi.com<br />

Bulker<br />

Passenger<br />

Tanker<br />

Brighton-based 53% Southern Seas changed 2% their name from Southern 15%<br />

Seas (UK) Limited to Southern Seas (Europe) Limited in 2005.<br />

The management behind Southern Seas created a separate<br />

Reefer<br />

mutual insurer, ‘The South of England Protection and Indemnity 1%<br />

Association (Bermuda) Limited’ (South of England), which<br />

commenced underwriting on 20 February 2004.<br />

The South of England has now taken over day-to-day<br />

underwriting of Southern Seas (Europe) (which is now limited<br />

to simply a Lloyd’s facility providing specialist cover for tug and<br />

barge operations and concessionaire’s liability etc).<br />

The South of England is a mutual P&I Club which, unlike Barge<br />

Livestock<br />

most<br />

1%<br />

of the fixed premium 1% insurers mentioned earlier in this section,<br />

can provide cover RORO for vessels in excess of General 10,000 Cargo GT. Their Container focus<br />

is on vessels trading 1% internationally, but excluding 24% those ships 2%<br />

with a predominantly US trading pattern or which are US flagged<br />

and / or crewed.<br />

The premium income for the 2008 policy year is expected to be in<br />

excess of USD 45 million with approximately 750 vessels entered.<br />

Almost 30 percent of the entered tonnage originates from<br />

China. Other areas where the South of England is strong are<br />

U.A.E. and Europe.<br />

The South of England is able to offer limits up to USD 500 million,<br />

using a reinsurance facility placed excess of USD 250,000, which is<br />

almost entirely Lloyd’s security (a 6 percent line is placed with Arch<br />

Re on an underlying USD 24,750,000 excess of USD 250,000 layer).<br />

The South of England are able to provide Charterers cover although<br />

this is normally reinsured 100 percent from the ground up.<br />

The South of England Protection and Indemnity Association<br />

(Bermuda) Limited is a mutual insurer unrated by any<br />

international rating agency.


ChARTERERS<br />

ONLY FACILITIES<br />

The only remaining facility, other than the commercial subscription<br />

markets, dedicated solely to charterer’s liability is the Charterers P&I<br />

Club. This stand alone facility does not write any Owned vessel P&I,<br />

but is included below for the sake of completeness.<br />

ThE ChARTERERS P&I CLUB<br />

www.else.co.uk<br />

The Charterers P&I Club, established in 1986, offers Charterers’<br />

liability and Charterers Freight Demurrage & Defence cover.<br />

Originally run as a mutual, the Club demutualised in 1999 and<br />

became a fixed premium provider working as an agency backed by<br />

the security of underwriters at Lloyd’s. This underlying security<br />

will change to Great Lakes Reinsurance (UK) PLC, a subsidiary of<br />

Munich Re, with effect from 1 January 2009.<br />

All claims handling and underwriting support is provided by<br />

Michael Else and Co (the Managers of the Club), combining<br />

internal expertise with a worldwide network of correspondents.<br />

The Charterers’ Club can provide a limit of USD 2 million for<br />

Freight Demurrage and Defence, while on the liability side their<br />

standard maximum limit is USD 50 million, though they can<br />

provide options to USD 300 million if required and subject to<br />

certain underwriting Americas restrictions. Australasia Middle East/<br />

3%<br />

9%<br />

India<br />

Asia<br />

10%<br />

In the 35% 2006 policy year the Charterers’ Club’s gross premium<br />

was approximately USD 23.2 million (combined Defence and<br />

Liability Classes). The 2007 policy year saw this figure increase<br />

to approximately USD 24.5 million. It is estimated that the 2008<br />

gross premium will equal USD 28 million.<br />

The Club currently insures around 200 clients, from liner operators<br />

to trading houses, and anticipates further growth in 2009.<br />

The Charterers’ Club are backed by Lloyd’s security which is<br />

A+ rated by Standard and Poor’s. Munich Re is AA- rated by<br />

Standard and Poor’s.<br />

Europe<br />

38%<br />

Africa<br />

5%<br />

BY NATIONALITY OF MANAgEMENT<br />

Asia<br />

35%<br />

Europe<br />

38%<br />

Americas<br />

3%<br />

BY vESSEL TYPE<br />

Liner<br />

25%<br />

Australasia<br />

9%<br />

Other<br />

2%<br />

Middle East/<br />

India<br />

10%<br />

Africa<br />

5%<br />

Tanker<br />

5%<br />

Bulkers<br />

68%<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09 | 9


CONTACTS<br />

LONDON PLACINg TEAM<br />

Ben Abraham<br />

Executive Director<br />

Email: abrahamb@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7786<br />

Anna Brand<br />

Technician<br />

Email: Branda@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7704<br />

Chris Chadwick<br />

Account Handler<br />

Email: chadwickc@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7787<br />

Jacqui Coplen<br />

Technician<br />

Email: coplenj@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 8202<br />

Spencer Crane<br />

Account Handler<br />

Email: cranes@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 203124 7709<br />

Eilert Eilertsen<br />

Divisional Director<br />

Email: Eilertsene@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 8009<br />

Richard Furness<br />

Executive Director<br />

Email: furnessrd@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7612<br />

LONDON CLAIMS TEAM<br />

George H. McMenamin<br />

Executive Director<br />

Email: McMenamingh@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7419<br />

Claire Barry<br />

Email: Barryca@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 8638<br />

Bradleigh-Aaron McArthur<br />

Email: McArthurbr@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7713<br />

92 | <strong>Willis</strong> P&I Review 2008/09<br />

Ian M. Harris<br />

Executive Director<br />

Email: Harrisim@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7595<br />

Paul D. Harrison<br />

Account Handler<br />

Email: Harrisonpd@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 8291<br />

Kate Lowman<br />

Senior Technician<br />

Email: lowmankl@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7755<br />

David Mahoney<br />

Executive Director<br />

Email: Mahoneydx@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7717<br />

Katherine Parsons<br />

Account Handler<br />

Email: parsonskz@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7332<br />

Rachel Sebborn<br />

Divisional Director<br />

Email: sebbornr@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 20 3124 7718<br />

Cathy Smith<br />

Technician<br />

Email: smithca@willis.com<br />

Direct line: +44 203 124 7639


This Review is published for the benefit of clients and prospective clients of <strong>Willis</strong>. It is intended to highlight<br />

general issues relating to the subject matter which may be of interest and does not necessarily deal with every<br />

important subject nor cover every aspect of the subjects contained herein. If you intend to take any action or<br />

make any decision on the basis of the content of this bulletin, you should first seek specific professional advice<br />

and verify its content. Copyright <strong>Willis</strong> 2008. All rights reserved.


<strong>Willis</strong> Limited<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> Marine<br />

Contacts and Addresses:<br />

The <strong>Willis</strong> Building<br />

51 Lime Street<br />

London EC3M 7DQ<br />

Tel: +44 (0)20 3124 6000<br />

Fax: +44 (0)20 3124 8223<br />

www.willis.com<br />

Brian Fuller<br />

One World Financial Center<br />

200 Liberty Street, 7th Floor<br />

New York, NY 10281-1003<br />

Tel: +1 212 915 8888<br />

Jim Currier<br />

Suite 200, 505 Union Station<br />

505 Fifth Avenue South<br />

Seattle, Washington, 98104<br />

Tel: +1 206 386 7400<br />

Veit Metzroth<br />

Suite 900, One Bush Street<br />

San Francisco,<br />

California, 94104<br />

Tel: +1 415 981 1141<br />

Jim DeLeeuw<br />

43155 Main Street<br />

Suite 2200B, Novi<br />

Michigan, 48375<br />

Tel: +1 248 735 7580<br />

Bill Rose<br />

11240 Waples Mill Road<br />

Suite # 301, Fairfax,<br />

Virginia, 22030<br />

Tel: +1 703 591 0093<br />

<strong>Willis</strong> Limited, Registered number: 181116 England and Wales.<br />

Registered address: 51 Lime Street, London, EC3M 7DQ.<br />

A Lloyd’s Broker. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.<br />

6928/12/08<br />

Nigel Brunning<br />

Suite 1600, The Poydras Center<br />

650 Poydras Street, New Orleans<br />

Louisiana, 70130<br />

Tel: +1 504 581 6151<br />

Lewis Hart<br />

78 Shenton Way<br />

# 23-02/03<br />

Singapore, 079120<br />

Tel: +65 6221 9877<br />

Patrick Chow<br />

3502 The Lee Gardens<br />

33 Hysan Avenue<br />

Causeway Bay, Hong Kong<br />

Tel: +852 282 70111<br />

Xiao-Jun Lin<br />

10/F, UC Tower, 500 Fushan Road<br />

Pudong New Area Shanghai<br />

200122, China<br />

Tel: +86 21 3887 9988<br />

Claudio Brichetto<br />

Piazza Dante, 7<br />

Genova<br />

Italy<br />

Tel: +39 0105 46711

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