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Portfolio Risk and Return - it-educ.jmu.edu

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<strong>Portfolio</strong> <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Return</strong><br />

Prepared by Pamela Parrish Peterson, PhD., CFA<br />

The return on a portfolio of assets is calculated as:<br />

N<br />

r= p ∑ w i ri<br />

i=1<br />

where ri is the expected return on asset i, <strong>and</strong><br />

wi is the weight of asset i in the portfolio.<br />

<strong>Portfolio</strong> risk is calculated using the risk of the individual assets (measured by the st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

deviation), the weights of the assets in the portfolio, <strong>and</strong> e<strong>it</strong>her the correlation between or<br />

among the assets or the covariance of the assets’ returns.<br />

For a two-asset portfolio, the risk of the portfolio, σp, is:<br />

2 2 2 2<br />

σ p= w1σ 1+w2σ 2+2w1σ1w2σρ 2 12<br />

or<br />

2 2 2 2<br />

σ p= w1σ 1+w2σ 2+2w1w2cov12 cov<br />

since ρ 12<br />

12=<br />

σσ 1 2<br />

where σi is the st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of asset i’s returns,<br />

ρ12 is the correlation between the returns of asset 1 <strong>and</strong> 2, <strong>and</strong><br />

cov12 is the covariance between the returns of asset 1 <strong>and</strong> 2.<br />

Problem What is the portfolio st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for a two-asset portfolio comprised<br />

of the following two assets if the correlation of their returns is 0.5?<br />

Solution σp = 13.115%<br />

Calculation<br />

Asset A Asset B<br />

Expected return 10% 20%<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of expected<br />

returns<br />

5% 20%<br />

Amount invested $40,000 $60,000<br />

2 2 2 2<br />

σ p=<br />

0.4 0.05 +0.6 0.2 +2(0.4)(0.05)(0.6)(0.2)(0.5)<br />

( ) ( ) ( )<br />

σ p = (0.16)(0.0025) + (0.36)(0.04) + (2)(0.0012)<br />

σp = 0.0004 + 0.0144 + 0.0024<br />

σp = 0.0172 = 0.131149 or 13.1149%<br />

<strong>Portfolio</strong> risk <strong>and</strong> return 1 of 2


<strong>Portfolio</strong> risk <strong>and</strong> return practice problems<br />

Problem 1 What is the portfolio return <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for a two-asset<br />

portfolio comprised of the following two assets if the correlation of their<br />

returns is 0.5?<br />

Asset C Asset D<br />

Expected return 7% 25%<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of expected returns 5% 30%<br />

Amount invested $50,000 $50,000<br />

Correlation 0.40<br />

Problem 2 What is the portfolio return <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for a two-asset<br />

portfolio comprised of the following two assets if the correlation of their<br />

returns is 0.5?<br />

Asset E Asset F<br />

Expected return 5% 50%<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of expected returns 5% 40%<br />

Amount invested $60,000 $40,000<br />

Correlation 0.20<br />

Problem 3 What is the portfolio return <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation for a two-asset<br />

portfolio comprised of the following two assets if the correlation of their<br />

returns is 0.5?<br />

Asset G Asset H<br />

Expected return 10% 25%<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ard deviation of expected returns 8% 40%<br />

Amount invested $40,000 $60,000<br />

Correlation -0.30<br />

Solutions to portfolio risk <strong>and</strong> return practice problems<br />

Problem Expected portfolio return <strong>Portfolio</strong> risk<br />

1 16% 16.1632%<br />

2 23% 16.8582%<br />

3 19% 23.2413%<br />

<strong>Portfolio</strong> risk <strong>and</strong> return 2 of 2

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