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toman's tuberculosis case detection, treatment and monitoring

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TOMAN’S TUBERCULOSIS<br />

between populations (high- versus low-prevalence countries, early or late <strong>case</strong> presentation)<br />

<strong>and</strong> details of the techniques used (e.g. fluorescence microscopy, concentration<br />

techniques). Some, however, must be due to deficiencies in the execution of<br />

the tests.<br />

Despite the higher sensitivity of culture, use of the technique may not be particularly<br />

rewarding for the examination of persons presenting spontaneously with chest<br />

symptoms. In high-prevalence countries, with or without HIV being present, <strong>and</strong><br />

given correct use of both methods, the gain by culture over microscopy is estimated<br />

to be about 25% (12). In low-prevalence countries, this gain will be greater, possibly<br />

doubling the proportion of patients with positive bacteriological findings. Moreover,<br />

culture has the added advantage of allowing identification of the mycobacterial<br />

species, which is not possible with microscopy.<br />

Thus, from the bacteriological point of view, two main categories of patient may<br />

be distinguished: one much more infectious, discharging large numbers of tubercle<br />

bacilli in almost every sputum specimen <strong>and</strong> easily detectable by microscopy, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

other much less infectious, discharging smaller numbers of bacilli, usually not found<br />

except by culture. As mentioned earlier, patients in the latter category may discharge<br />

bacilli only intermittently (see “What is the additional yield from repeated sputum<br />

examinations by smear microscopy <strong>and</strong> culture?”, page 46). Obviously, these two categories<br />

also differ significantly in clinical <strong>and</strong> epidemiological respects.<br />

Sputum status <strong>and</strong> clinical prognosis<br />

The prognosis for patients with pulmonary lesions discharging small numbers of<br />

bacilli, demonstrable only by culture, is generally more favourable prognosis than that<br />

for smear-positive patients. In southern India, where an epidemiological survey had<br />

been repeated at intervals, the fate of newly discovered <strong>case</strong>s was analysed (13, 14). Of<br />

patients who had been smear-negative (two specimens) but positive by culture at the<br />

time of <strong>detection</strong> of their disease, more than half were classified as cured (i.e. negative<br />

by both smear <strong>and</strong> culture) within 18 months <strong>and</strong> about two-thirds within 3 years.<br />

Moreover, the excess death rate was about one-third of that for smear-positive <strong>case</strong>s.<br />

Thus, even under the living conditions of a very poor rural population, <strong>and</strong> without<br />

<strong>treatment</strong>, the prognosis for smear-negative, culture-positive patients was relatively<br />

favourable.<br />

Though smear-negative <strong>case</strong>s were known to have a lower mortality, they were<br />

thought to be at an early stage of the disease <strong>and</strong> it was assumed that they would deteriorate<br />

further <strong>and</strong> become smear-positive later on. To prevent this, it was often considered<br />

important to detect patients “early”, i.e. at a stage where the extent of the<br />

disease is minimal <strong>and</strong> the lesion(s) are likely to contain a small number of bacilli<br />

demonstrable only by culture. It has also been assumed that these patients rarely<br />

have symptoms <strong>and</strong> thus may be detected best by indiscriminate mass radiography.<br />

Surprisingly, this hypothesis has not withstood the test of time.<br />

38

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