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John T. McNaughton and Vietnam: The Early Years as ... - Viet-studies

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BENJAMIN T. HARRISON AND CHRISTOPHER L. MOSHER 511<br />

that South <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong> is near collapse’. 80 In that memo, one scholar<br />

h<strong>as</strong> concluded that <strong>McNaughton</strong> w<strong>as</strong> saying he believed ‘the chance<br />

of victory for the US . . . w<strong>as</strong> near zero’. 81 <strong>The</strong> month of July did not<br />

end without <strong>McNaughton</strong> arguing that the US terms for negotiations<br />

amounted ‘to capitulation by a Communist force that is far from<br />

beaten’. 82<br />

That autumn <strong>McNaughton</strong> once again prepared a critical ‘Analysis of<br />

the Program of Bombing North <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong>’. He reiterated that the bombing<br />

had actually incre<strong>as</strong>ed the morale of the enemy ‘reinforcing the North’s<br />

determination not to negotiate’ because ‘they cannot appear to “bug<br />

out” on the VC in the south’. What w<strong>as</strong> needed w<strong>as</strong> ‘A UN or other<br />

third-party initiative <strong>as</strong>king us to st<strong>and</strong>-down the bombing’ <strong>and</strong> pursue<br />

a peaceful settlement to the conflict. 83 During this time period,<br />

<strong>McNaughton</strong> lunched with W<strong>as</strong>hington Post reporters, Murray Marder<br />

<strong>and</strong> Chad Roberts. He <strong>as</strong>ked them if they had any idea on how to convince<br />

the enemy in <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong> that the United States w<strong>as</strong> serious about getting<br />

out of that country. <strong>The</strong> suggestion w<strong>as</strong> made to make an offer to place<br />

US military b<strong>as</strong>es there under United Nations control <strong>as</strong> an act of good<br />

faith. <strong>McNaughton</strong> thought it w<strong>as</strong> a promising idea, but when he later<br />

brought it up at a Pentagon meeting he w<strong>as</strong> laughed at by the JCS. 84 <strong>The</strong><br />

next month <strong>McNaughton</strong> wrote to McNamara stating that escalation<br />

requests by the JCS should be denied. 85<br />

By the autumn of 1965, the secretary of defense w<strong>as</strong> apparently<br />

becoming worried about his chief <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong> aide’s views. On 28 September<br />

1965, he told George Ball that ‘there should be no communication back<br />

to Pentagon except at their [meaning McNamara’s <strong>and</strong> Ball’s] level’. 86<br />

He must not have wanted Ball’s dovishness to feed <strong>McNaughton</strong>’s <strong>and</strong><br />

vice versa; so Ball agreed to talk to McNamara <strong>as</strong> the only person he<br />

would communicate with in the Pentagon. In November, <strong>McNaughton</strong>’s<br />

confidant, Forrestal, wrote that withdrawing from <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong> where ‘the<br />

people we were trying to help seemed unable to help themselves’ might<br />

encourage Chinese expansion. He still believed the United States should<br />

delay ‘China’s swallowing up Southe<strong>as</strong>t Asia until (a) she develops better<br />

table manners <strong>and</strong> (b) the food is somewhat more indigestible.’ 87 But<br />

<strong>McNaughton</strong> disagreed, continuing his criticism of US involvement by<br />

pointing out that in the direction that the <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong> involvement w<strong>as</strong><br />

going, ‘war costs at a rate equal to 10–20 times the GNP of the people<br />

80 JTM Papers, Box 1 File IV, #53, ‘Analysis <strong>and</strong> Options for South <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong>’, 13 July 1965, LBJL<br />

<strong>and</strong> GPP, iv. 21.<br />

81 Kaiser, American Tragedy, p. 465.<br />

82 NYTPP, pp. 470–2, 20 July 1965.<br />

83 Gibbons Papers, Box 11, File 2, #43, 8/5/65, LBJL.<br />

84 Inside the Pentagon Papers, p. 49.<br />

85 <strong>John</strong> T. <strong>McNaughton</strong> to Robert S. McNamara, 8 Sept. 1965, FRUS, 1964–1968, <strong><strong>Viet</strong>nam</strong>, iii<br />

377–8.<br />

86 George Ball Papers, Box 7, Telcon, Ball/McNamara, 28 Sept. 1968, LBJL.<br />

87 JTM Papers, Box 8, File II, #8, M. Forrestal to William Bundy, 4 Nov. 1965, LBJL.<br />

© 2007 <strong>The</strong> Authors. Journal compilation © 2007 <strong>The</strong> Historical Association <strong>and</strong> Blackwell Publishing.

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