Causal Explanation - UC San Diego

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• • Avoiding Affirming the Don’t use this argument: Consequence If X is a cause of Y, then there will be a statistically significant difference in Y when X is present. There is a statistically significant difference in Y when X is present. ! X is the cause of Y. It is invalid!
The Logic of <strong>Causal</strong> Research - 2 • Falsifying a causal claim: If X were the cause of Y [and auxiliary assumptions are true and the experimental set up is adequate], then there would be a statistically significant difference in Y when X is present. There is no statistically significant difference in Y when X is present [and auxiliary assumptions are true and the experimental set up is adequate]. ! ! ! X is not the cause of Y • The truth of the first premise depends critically on how we set up the test of the causal claim
Page 1 and 2: Causal Explanation Phil 12: Logic a
Page 3 and 4: Review • Strongest evidence for c
Page 5 and 6: • • - accident-prone drivers pr
Page 7 and 8: • • • Limits of Correlation F
Page 9: The Logic of Causal Research • To
Page 13 and 14: Describe what you see
Page 15 and 16: Recall the Logic of Necessary and S
Page 17 and 18: The value of sufficient causes •
Page 19 and 20: The difficulty with sufficient caus
Page 21 and 22: For want of a... • For want of a
Page 23 and 24: The difficulty with necessary cause
Page 25 and 26: Clicker question 2 Putting a jar ov
Page 27 and 28: Partial or contributory causes •
Page 29 and 30: • - This would be an effective co
Page 31 and 32: Proximate/ultimate causes • What
Page 33 and 34: Proximate/ultimate causes • The g

Causal Explanation - UC San Diego

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