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2 ★ FINANCIALTIMESMONDAYNOVEMBER 19 2007<br />

Business of Consulting<br />

Markets that <strong>are</strong> determined by history<br />

EUROPE<br />

Andrew Baxter on<br />

how size and the past<br />

can significantly<br />

vary prospects<br />

When Katzenbach Partners, a<br />

fast-growing US strategy consulting<br />

firm founded in 1998 by three<br />

<strong>for</strong>mer McKinsey partners, opens<br />

its first European office next<br />

year, London will be the location.<br />

It is not just that US <strong>com</strong>panies<br />

entering the European market<br />

tend to start in the UK because<br />

of cultural affinity and “because<br />

we speak the same language”,<br />

says Gus Vlak, the Katzenbach<br />

partner in charge of the European<br />

expansion. “The consulting<br />

market is very deep in the UK,<br />

and London is such a huge <strong>com</strong>mercial<br />

hub,” he says.<br />

Initially he expects that<br />

roughly 60 per cent of the London<br />

office’s work will be <strong>for</strong> UK<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies, with the rest from<br />

mainland Europe. Offices in<br />

mainland Europe may follow.<br />

Katzenbach’s plan makes good<br />

sense as the UK is the world’s<br />

second-biggest market <strong>for</strong> consultancy<br />

after the US. Leading <strong>consultants</strong><br />

offer various reasons <strong>for</strong><br />

why UK <strong>com</strong>panies and public<br />

sector organisations <strong>are</strong> more<br />

hooked on third-party advice<br />

than their mainland European<br />

counterparts.<br />

Contributors<br />

Stefan Stern<br />

Management writer<br />

Andrew Baxter<br />

Senior Reports Writer<br />

Jennifer Hughes<br />

<strong>Financial</strong> Correspondent<br />

Fiona Harvey<br />

Environment<br />

Correspondent<br />

<strong>FT</strong> Contributors<br />

Paul Gronwall, Rod<br />

Newing, Emily Rotberg<br />

Seb Morton­Clark<br />

Commissioning Editor<br />

Steven Bird<br />

Designer<br />

Arnel Hecimovic<br />

Picture Editor<br />

For advertising details,<br />

contact: Robert Grange<br />

on: +44 (0) 207 873 4418;<br />

or robert.grange@ft.<strong>com</strong><br />

This special report<br />

appears online at<br />

ft.<strong>com</strong>/bizconsulting2007.<br />

All special reports, past<br />

and present, can be<br />

accessed at ft.<strong>com</strong>/reports<br />

Keith Burgess, European chairman<br />

of BearingPoint, says the<br />

difference probably goes back to<br />

the beginning of the 20th century<br />

and a greater natural tendency in<br />

the UK to use professional<br />

advice, underpinned by the earlier<br />

development of the accounting<br />

profession.<br />

The post-second world war settlement<br />

in mainland Europe has<br />

also emphasised social issues<br />

more strongly, he says, making it<br />

harder to implement some of the<br />

advice that <strong>consultants</strong> may give<br />

– such as a restructuring involving<br />

redundancies. “The sensible<br />

solution be<strong>com</strong>es very difficult to<br />

do in parts of Europe because the<br />

costs of change <strong>are</strong> so high,” says<br />

Mr Burgess.<br />

Carl McNicholas, director in<br />

Oliver Wyman’s insurance practice<br />

and UK market manager,<br />

says that UK and US organisations<br />

should be relatively lean<br />

after years of change and cost<br />

reduction programmes, so hiring<br />

expertise to deal with flows of<br />

demand or cyclical events works<br />

better than owning it full-time.<br />

“You only pay <strong>for</strong> what you use,”<br />

he says.<br />

Paul Forrest, a partner at BDO<br />

Stoy Hayward, says continental<br />

European businesses <strong>are</strong> more<br />

conscious of the need to help<br />

themselves, whereas in the UK,<br />

businesses turn to advisers more<br />

readily because it is a good insurance<br />

policy. “If they can get<br />

someone to <strong>com</strong>e in and say<br />

‘Incentive is<br />

more powerful<br />

than risk’<br />

UKPUBLICSECTOR<br />

Rod Newing<br />

reports on<br />

cost­cutting by the<br />

UK government<br />

where they can get savings, they<br />

can go back and give them a<br />

good kicking if the savings <strong>are</strong><br />

not achieved,” he says.<br />

The greater need <strong>for</strong> external<br />

diagnosis in the UK’s large, <strong>com</strong>plex<br />

enterprises is emphasised by<br />

Andrew Hooke, chief operating<br />

officer of PA Consulting Group.<br />

“It can be difficult to see the<br />

problem within the organisation,<br />

so people have gone outside <strong>for</strong><br />

advice,” he says.<br />

A second factor has been the<br />

need <strong>for</strong> quick turnrounds and<br />

solutions in a very <strong>com</strong>petitive<br />

‘The sensible solution<br />

be<strong>com</strong>es difficult to do<br />

in parts of Europe<br />

because the costs of<br />

change <strong>are</strong> so high’<br />

marketplace, says Mr Hooke. The<br />

much earlier adoption in the UK<br />

of the outsourcing and sh<strong>are</strong>d<br />

services agenda has also played<br />

its part, he says.<br />

Differences in attitudes<br />

towards <strong>consultants</strong> across<br />

Europe may never fully be<br />

smoothed out, but there <strong>are</strong> signs<br />

of convergence. All three of the<br />

factors cited by Mr Hooke <strong>are</strong><br />

<strong>com</strong>ing into play increasingly<br />

across Europe, he says – albeit at<br />

different levels of usage.<br />

Mr Burgess at BearingPoint<br />

says the drivers <strong>for</strong> using <strong>consultants</strong><br />

– regulation, mergers<br />

and acquisitions and the need <strong>for</strong><br />

efficiency – <strong>are</strong> be<strong>com</strong>ing<br />

stronger across the continent.<br />

“Things have improved significantly,”<br />

he says. “In Germany<br />

the whole structure of business<br />

was such that it was very difficult<br />

<strong>for</strong> professional advisers to<br />

make headway 20 years ago, but<br />

it’s a lot easier today. Elsewhere,<br />

such as France, there <strong>are</strong> still<br />

barriers but it is much better<br />

than it was.”<br />

Size may also be a more important<br />

factor than country in shaping<br />

different attitudes to consulting.<br />

Mr Hooke believes that<br />

many smaller <strong>com</strong>panies prefer<br />

not to seek external advice. “I<br />

think they view it as a failure if<br />

they have to call people in,” he<br />

says. We have seen this in Germany,<br />

where we target the bigger<br />

firms, but it’s not just a German<br />

thing.”<br />

The variations that <strong>consultants</strong><br />

still encounter across Europe<br />

may be influenced by the type of<br />

engagement. Among less international<br />

financial services <strong>com</strong>panies,<br />

the needs of an Italian or<br />

German bank may be much the<br />

same if they <strong>are</strong> buying a relatively<br />

<strong>com</strong>moditised piece of<br />

work such as financial modelling,<br />

says Mr McNicholas,<br />

because it would be based on<br />

pan-European standards. But in<br />

the case of a change programme,<br />

the cultural differences could be<br />

quite profound, requiring the<br />

consultancy to adapt its<br />

approach and delivery.<br />

Internationalisation could help<br />

stimulate a more uni<strong>for</strong>m European<br />

consulting market over the<br />

next five or 10 years. For example,<br />

Germany’s Mittelstand <strong>com</strong>panies,<br />

the small- and mediumsized<br />

enterprises that <strong>for</strong>m the<br />

backbone of its economy, may<br />

lack the internal skills to expand<br />

globally, says Mr Forrest.<br />

But the <strong>com</strong>position of the providers<br />

in each consultancy market<br />

is likely to be an enduring<br />

difference. This is particularly<br />

the case with IT consulting, says<br />

Mr Burgess – in Germany, <strong>for</strong><br />

example, deep SAP expertise is at<br />

a premium, while in France the<br />

international consultancies vie<br />

with lower-priced local softw<strong>are</strong><br />

suppliers.<br />

In some markets, the consultancies<br />

have made little or no<br />

impact in <strong>are</strong>as that elsewhere<br />

would be a big part of their business.<br />

In most cases business<br />

turnround and insolvency work<br />

in Spain, <strong>for</strong> example, is done by<br />

law firms, says Mr Forrest. “With<br />

corporate finance-type transactions,<br />

you get a lot of that in<br />

other countries – people<br />

encroaching on our traditional<br />

turf,” he says. “It’s a different<br />

market dynamic.”<br />

For additional <strong>com</strong>ment on public<br />

sector trends, see this article on<br />

www.ft.<strong>com</strong>/consulting2007<br />

Top UK management <strong>consultants</strong><br />

Ranked by fee in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>for</strong> fi nancial year 2006<br />

Rank Firm 2006 Fee in<strong>com</strong>e Fee in<strong>com</strong>e<br />

(£m)<br />

change (£)<br />

1 Accenture 851.8 16.8<br />

2 IBM Business Consulting Services 649.0 39.0<br />

3 Deloitte 403.0 42.0<br />

4 Xansa 397.7 27.9<br />

5 Capgemini 319.0 28.0<br />

6 PwC 289.0 73.0<br />

7 LogicaCMG 263.0 27.0<br />

8 KPMG 242.6 27.5<br />

9 PA Consulting Group 230.5 27.9<br />

10 Ernest and Young 197.9 27.3<br />

11 McKinsey & Co 185.0 13.0<br />

12 Fujitsu 172.5 12.5<br />

13 Detica 149.5 48.2<br />

14 Management Consulting Group 146.9 17.3<br />

15 Atos Consulting 141.3 12.7<br />

16 CSG Computer Science Corp 102.1 28.1<br />

17 Bain & Company 82.0 10.0<br />

18 Towers Perrin 78.0 4.0<br />

19 Ove Arup & Partners International 76.7 11.5<br />

20 Boston Consulting Group 64.0 7.0<br />

21 Morse 63.3 22.4<br />

22 Methods Consulting 58.5 5.5<br />

23 Atkins Management Consultants 58.0 13.0<br />

24 LEK Consulting 56.0 21.0<br />

25 BT Global Consulting 48.5 4.5<br />

26 REL Consultancy Group 45.9 7.9<br />

27 Penna Consulting 44.6 2.8<br />

28 AT Kearney 44.5 5.5<br />

29 Hedra 34.3 2.5<br />

30 The Hay Group 33.2 2.9<br />

31 Analysys Mason Group 32.5 -0.9<br />

32 OC&C Strategy Consultants 25.0 3.5<br />

33 PKF (UK) 23.0 2.5<br />

34 EC Harris 22.1 1.6<br />

35 Oliver Wyman 20.7 1.7<br />

36 Charteris 20.1 0.8<br />

37 Serco Consulting 19.0 3.9<br />

38 Chaucer Group 18.7 1.7<br />

39 AMTEC Consulting 18.5 0.5<br />

40 Hornagold & Hills 17.6 1.6<br />

41 Advantage Business Group 17.5 2.2<br />

42 The Nichols Group 17.0 2.6<br />

43 Collinson Grant 15.4 3.4<br />

44 Capita Advisory Services 14.5 4.8<br />

45 EA Consulting Group 13.4 10.2<br />

46 Axon 12.0 1.2<br />

47 Compass Management Consulting 10.7 0.7<br />

48 Hitachi Consulting 10.7 0.9<br />

49 Dbi Consulting 10.5 -3.1<br />

50 The Structure Group 9.6 2.5<br />

Source: Managementconsultancy.co.uk; Accountancy Age<br />

Advisers prep<strong>are</strong> <strong>for</strong> life on the edge as good times near an end<br />

Continued from Page 1<br />

pressure to reduce often controversial<br />

spending with management<br />

<strong>consultants</strong> will also have<br />

an effect.<br />

Concern has been expressed<br />

over the large budgets assigned<br />

to big public sector re<strong>for</strong>ms –<br />

such as the reorganisation of IT<br />

systems in the UK’s National<br />

Health Service – that do not<br />

always seem to have delivered<br />

the promised improvements.<br />

Capacity constraints now<br />

apply, within the context of<br />

According to the<br />

National Audit<br />

Office, total UK<br />

public sector spending<br />

on <strong>consultants</strong> was<br />

£2.8bn in 2005-6, of which<br />

central government<br />

accounted <strong>for</strong> £1.8bn. It suggests<br />

that better use of <strong>consultants</strong><br />

by central government<br />

could realise 30 per<br />

cent efficiency gains within<br />

three years, amounting to<br />

£540m a year.<br />

“Some progress has been<br />

made in recent years,” says<br />

Keith Davis, head of the<br />

National Audit Office’s efficiency<br />

practice, “but government<br />

has a long way to go.<br />

There <strong>are</strong> very significant<br />

improvements that can be<br />

made by making more use of<br />

inhouse staff; negotiating<br />

better contracting terms;<br />

and getting improved results<br />

<strong>for</strong> the money spent.”<br />

The National Audit Office<br />

Value <strong>for</strong> Money Report on<br />

central government’s use of<br />

<strong>consultants</strong>, published in<br />

December 2006, found that<br />

most departments do not<br />

make a proper assessment of<br />

whether internal resources<br />

can be used instead of <strong>consultants</strong>.<br />

Neither do they<br />

transfer skills to build their<br />

internal capabilities. Its findings<br />

were supported by the<br />

House of Commons Committee<br />

of Public Accounts’<br />

report on central government’s<br />

use of <strong>consultants</strong> in<br />

June this year.<br />

In response, the Office <strong>for</strong><br />

Government Commerce has<br />

embarked on a Consultancy<br />

Value Programme. It is<br />

addressing cle<strong>are</strong>r objectives<br />

and measurement of success,<br />

reinterpreting existing<br />

project management guidance<br />

to cover consultancy,<br />

contract management, better<br />

management in<strong>for</strong>mation,<br />

closer engagement with key<br />

suppliers, and promoting<br />

sh<strong>are</strong>d learning.<br />

“One of our major findings<br />

was how inter-related most<br />

of these issues <strong>are</strong>,” says<br />

Peter Walmsley, the programme<br />

manager. “For<br />

example, it is very difficult<br />

“framework agreements” set up<br />

by government departments, to<br />

reduce the cost of consultancy<br />

services bought with taxpayers’<br />

money. “We have to provide<br />

‘brains on seats’, not ‘bums on<br />

seats’,” says Robert Osborne,<br />

chief executive of Augmentis, a<br />

consultancy, acquired this summer<br />

by the US firm Navigant.<br />

“It’s about delivering expertise,<br />

not a volume of people.” In this<br />

way the public sector is catching<br />

up with private sector practice,<br />

where concerns over “resource<br />

substitution” – a senior partner<br />

to define a good way to<br />

measure per<strong>for</strong>mance without<br />

clarity of objectives in<br />

the business case at the outset<br />

and a good project structure<br />

within which to control<br />

it. In the past, attempts to<br />

solve some of the issues<br />

piecemeal have there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

had limited effect.”<br />

The National Audit Office<br />

has launched a toolkit <strong>for</strong><br />

government departments to<br />

improve their use of <strong>consultants</strong>.<br />

Departments <strong>com</strong>plete<br />

an online questionnaire and<br />

the toolkit responds with<br />

<strong>are</strong>as of weakness and guidance<br />

on improving value.<br />

The consulting <strong>com</strong>munity<br />

feels that problems start<br />

with the difficulty of clearly<br />

specifying objectives in the<br />

public sector. Andrea Di<br />

Maio, vice president at<br />

Gartner, the analyst firm,<br />

explains that whereas the<br />

objective could be increased<br />

efficiency or improved service<br />

delivery, there may also<br />

be political objectives.<br />

“Other European public<br />

sectors <strong>are</strong> addressing the<br />

problem of clearly defining<br />

public value a little bit better<br />

than the UK,” he says.<br />

“It is fundamentally different<br />

to the private sector,<br />

where there is a chain from<br />

the mission, strategic objectives<br />

and strategic plan to<br />

the consultancy engagement.<br />

There is no link<br />

between political objectives<br />

and consultancy contracts.<br />

Countries like Australia,<br />

France, Germany and the US<br />

<strong>are</strong> attempting to <strong>com</strong>e up<br />

with public value frameworks<br />

that articulate objectives<br />

more transp<strong>are</strong>ntly.”<br />

Accenture has set up the<br />

Institute <strong>for</strong> Public Service<br />

Value to focus on measuring<br />

the out<strong>com</strong>es that drive<br />

value. “In the private sector,<br />

sh<strong>are</strong>holder value acts as a<br />

unifying factor <strong>for</strong> measuring<br />

project success,” says<br />

Jeremy Oates, head of<br />

Accenture’s government<br />

practice. “There is no easy<br />

equivalent measure in the<br />

public sector.”<br />

Mr Davis feels that too<br />

pitches <strong>for</strong> work that is then provided<br />

by several much more junior<br />

people – have been rife <strong>for</strong><br />

years.<br />

Consultancy is now a mature<br />

market. A positive tale is told by<br />

some of its participants, about a<br />

world inhabited by savvier buyers<br />

and more professional vendors.<br />

Some of this optimism is probably<br />

overdone. As Raju Patel,<br />

managing director of the advisory<br />

firm Fulcrium, points out in<br />

his guest column in this report,<br />

too many clients <strong>are</strong> still too<br />

Healthyself:theNAOfoundthatgovernmentdepartmentsdonotproperlyassesswhetherinternalresourcescanbeusedinsteadof<strong>consultants</strong> Reuters<br />

much use is made in consultancy<br />

contracts of time and<br />

materials, and not enough of<br />

either fixed-price contracts<br />

or, ideally, incentive-based<br />

payments. According to the<br />

Committee of Public<br />

Accounts, only 1 per cent of<br />

consulting projects use<br />

incentivised contracts,<br />

which <strong>com</strong>p<strong>are</strong>s with 12 per<br />

cent in the private sector.<br />

“Per<strong>for</strong>mance-related fees<br />

<strong>are</strong> something that our<br />

industry would like to see<br />

more of,” says Peter Hill,<br />

chief executive of the Management<br />

Consultancies Association.<br />

“However, whilst clients<br />

<strong>are</strong> intrigued with the<br />

concept, they shy away from<br />

the reality. If a consultant<br />

takes the risk, they need<br />

more management responsibility.<br />

This can be difficult<br />

<strong>for</strong> the public sector, which<br />

tends to be more risk averse<br />

and gets very nervous about<br />

releasing control. It is also<br />

nervous about being seen to<br />

give rewards or incentives to<br />

<strong>consultants</strong>, instead of to the<br />

tax payer.”<br />

Ian Lever, director in the<br />

social housing consultancy<br />

at NCC Group, points out<br />

that in the private sector,<br />

many of the risk-reward<br />

projects <strong>are</strong> based upon<br />

increased revenue. However,<br />

the government sector has<br />

still not woken up to the<br />

very real opportunities that<br />

can be realised by revenue<br />

generation.<br />

Neil Beer, a member of PA<br />

Consulting’s government<br />

team, finds that clients <strong>are</strong><br />

sometimes concerned that<br />

the costs of incentive-based<br />

contracts cannot be exactly<br />

predicted in advance. As a<br />

result, some insist on more<br />

predictable time-based fees.<br />

Part of the same problem<br />

is that consultancies see<br />

public sector procurement<br />

procedures as over-bureaucratic,<br />

using generic processes<br />

and <strong>for</strong>ms that <strong>are</strong> not<br />

appropriate <strong>for</strong> consulting.<br />

“Potential providers must<br />

<strong>com</strong>plete a long pre-qualification<br />

questionnaire,” says<br />

Paul Marshall, managing<br />

director of Protiviti, a consultancy.<br />

“These <strong>are</strong> often<br />

used to evaluate organisations<br />

as diverse as builders,<br />

caterers and consulting<br />

vague at the start of an assignment<br />

about what it is they want<br />

to achieve, and how they propose<br />

to measure how successful the<br />

work has been.<br />

Smarter clients <strong>are</strong> asking<br />

tougher questions of their advisers.<br />

This can also happen when<br />

there is a big management<br />

change at the top of a business.<br />

In October, Tony Hayward, the<br />

new chief executive of BP,<br />

announced a big cost-cutting and<br />

restructuring programme, having<br />

taken advice from both McKinsey<br />

and Bain. The latter firm has<br />

firms. They <strong>are</strong> not tailored<br />

<strong>for</strong> the services required.”<br />

The concern is that these<br />

procedures focus on keeping<br />

costs down rather than maximising<br />

the potential benefits,<br />

which could actually<br />

reduce the value. “Government<br />

contracting is done to<br />

protect government against<br />

failure, rather than making<br />

‘I am not surprised<br />

that the number of<br />

risk­reward<br />

contracts is low.<br />

And it will remain<br />

low <strong>for</strong> a long time’<br />

sure the programme is a success,”<br />

says Mr Oates. “The<br />

contract should encourage<br />

both sides to behave in a<br />

way that maximises the<br />

chances of success.”<br />

Alan Russell, head of LogicaCMG’s<br />

consulting division,<br />

argues that contracts <strong>are</strong><br />

designed to punish a supplier<br />

<strong>for</strong> not meeting require-<br />

been growing fast recently. Its<br />

famously data-driven approach<br />

has been in tune with the<br />

PE-inspired deal flow of the last<br />

couple of years.<br />

This hard graft of consulting<br />

work is the modern reality. The<br />

popular stereotype of the consultant<br />

as a more fanciful “out of the<br />

box” innovator is out of date, if it<br />

was ever true.<br />

According to Prof Andrew<br />

Sturdy, of Warwick Business<br />

School, who has just <strong>com</strong>pleted a<br />

three-year study of <strong>consultants</strong><br />

at work, <strong>consultants</strong> <strong>are</strong> more<br />

ments. “If you allocate risk<br />

disproportionately,” he says,<br />

“it can make one party very<br />

defensive. If you have an<br />

excess of risk, you manage<br />

the project differently than if<br />

it is sh<strong>are</strong>d equally. Incentive<br />

is more powerful than<br />

risk.”<br />

Mr Di Maio argues that<br />

although time and materials<br />

is seen as a bad thing, it can<br />

allow a government agency<br />

to engage with a consultant<br />

to understand and refine its<br />

objectives. “I am not surprised<br />

that the number of<br />

risk-reward contracts is<br />

low,” he says, “and it will<br />

remain low <strong>for</strong> a long time.”<br />

Many <strong>consultants</strong> feel that<br />

procurement procedures <strong>are</strong><br />

used to keep <strong>consultants</strong> at<br />

arm’s length in order to<br />

avoid giving unfair advantage.<br />

“If people in the public<br />

sector talk to potential suppliers<br />

in a more free and<br />

open way it would dramatically<br />

improve the quality of<br />

work done,” says Alan<br />

Downey, head of government<br />

at KPMG.<br />

Jonathan Cooper-Bagnall,<br />

a member of PA Consult-<br />

“knowledge brokers” than visionaries.<br />

Their job involves collaborating<br />

with management to<br />

obtain ideas accepted within an<br />

organisation – and then leaving<br />

management to carry on with the<br />

work.<br />

Even if the reality of the work<br />

is unglamorous, there is no<br />

shortage of candidates looking to<br />

join consulting firms. And this,<br />

too, is a global phenomenon. The<br />

most popular c<strong>are</strong>er choice<br />

among Indian business school<br />

students is management consulting,<br />

according to a recent Nielsen<br />

ing’s management group,<br />

points out that consulting<br />

relies heavily on trust,<br />

which means that individuals<br />

on both sides have to<br />

know each other.<br />

Building trust at the start<br />

also carries through a successful<br />

project. Patrick<br />

Smith, a partner at Atos<br />

Consulting, argues that an<br />

honest exchange of ideas<br />

and post contract flexibility<br />

<strong>are</strong> more likely to secure<br />

success than stubborn<br />

adherence to a contract.<br />

The Consultancy Value<br />

Programme should help to<br />

address these <strong>are</strong>as of concern.<br />

Mr Walmsley reports<br />

that there was widespread<br />

agreement between users<br />

and the consulting industry<br />

on nearly all of the issues.<br />

“The drive <strong>for</strong> efficiency<br />

means the public sector will<br />

continue to need top-quality<br />

independent advice,” says<br />

Chris Loughran, head of<br />

technology consulting at<br />

Deloitte. “The better consultancies<br />

have little to fear<br />

from government getting<br />

better at managing this<br />

expensive resource.”<br />

survey, beating both investment<br />

banking and IT.<br />

But how many of them should<br />

be hired, and how should they be<br />

deployed? Anticipating future<br />

demand <strong>for</strong> consultancy services<br />

has never been harder, which<br />

makes “resource allocation” a<br />

challenge <strong>for</strong> the consulting<br />

firms just as much as it is <strong>for</strong><br />

their clients. But who will advise<br />

the consultancies on how they<br />

should be managing themselves?<br />

It will take more than a nifty<br />

two-by-two matrix to work that<br />

one out.

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