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'Five Years of President Putin: An Assessment' - Foreign Policy Centre

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<strong>Putin</strong>’s <strong>Foreign</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> Goals and Relations with Europe Top<br />

Dr. Thomas Gomart<br />

Last year can be seen as a turning point for Russian foreign policy. With EU enlargement and<br />

the Orange Revolution in the Ukraine, the relationship between Russia and Europe has<br />

changed. Crisis and misunderstanding has put <strong>Putin</strong> on the defensive. The results <strong>of</strong> Beslan,<br />

the Ukraine, Moldova and Chechnya have created a negative image abroad.<br />

<strong>Putin</strong> therefore wants to correct this perception while limiting changes. He knows that Europe<br />

is the future, yet appears ambivalent to Brussels. True to Russian tradition, they will continue<br />

to build diplomatic relations on a bilateral basis. It remains more comfortable for Russian<br />

diplomats to avoid Brussels and the new member states. In this way it can create a balance <strong>of</strong><br />

power where Russia can speak as an equal, but an equal <strong>of</strong> one country to twenty-five.<br />

Dr. Gabor Beszterczey<br />

Russia’s foreign policy can be considered as its weakest link. With Russia’s concentration <strong>of</strong><br />

power has come increased isolationism. Yet Russia still has a dialogue with its counterparts in<br />

Europe. Some in the Kremlin see an EU ‘encirclement’, which could explain why EU-Russia<br />

relations do not exist: diplomatic exchanges are always done on bi- or tri-lateral bases.<br />

When it comes to relations with Russia, influence on a state level is inefficient. With relations<br />

with Europe at a low ebb, the EU should work with the US. However, those on the continent<br />

are working on their own means to avoid Russian isolation. Chirac’s conception <strong>of</strong> a multipolar<br />

world has facilitated relationships between Paris and Moscow; Moscow and Paris already<br />

have agreements on security, involving strategy, defence and nuclear policies. A commercial<br />

relationship has also been fostered. Berlin and Madrid are following suit, but disagreements<br />

have arisen on how best to avoid isolationism.<br />

Both sides must make efforts to clarify their positions, but it must be recognised that Eastern<br />

Europe cannot form a bridge. Europe is rather intrusive compared to the US and EU<br />

enlargement is seen by some as a threat. Yet Russia still suffers from an ideological hangover<br />

from the Soviet era. <strong>Putin</strong> still plays by the old rules but is favourable compared to Yeltsin’s<br />

dual nature foreign policy. <strong>Putin</strong> has a problem with the West, so in the end relations with<br />

Europe will probably deteriorate.<br />

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