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Submarine fault scarps in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart ... - HAL - IRD

Submarine fault scarps in the Sea of Marmara pull-apart ... - HAL - IRD

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Geochemistry<br />

Geophysics<br />

Geosystems G 3<br />

G 3 armijo et al.: sea <strong>of</strong> marmara <strong>pull</strong>-<strong>apart</strong> 10.1029/2004GC000896<br />

not be older than a century. The higher average<br />

sedimentation rates (up to 3 mm/yr) determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

over <strong>the</strong> whole Holocene period with <strong>the</strong> 14 C dates<br />

<strong>of</strong> wood fragments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> long cores (see Figure 3)<br />

also supports this <strong>in</strong>ference.<br />

[44] From <strong>the</strong> historical seismicity <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region<br />

[Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel, 1995; Ambraseys and<br />

Jackson, 2000], <strong>the</strong> large earthquakes <strong>of</strong> 1912 or<br />

<strong>of</strong> August 1766 are <strong>the</strong> only ones that can be<br />

considered consistent with <strong>the</strong> location, <strong>the</strong> rupture<br />

length and <strong>the</strong> slip associated with <strong>the</strong><br />

described submar<strong>in</strong>e break. However, only <strong>the</strong><br />

1912 event is consistent with <strong>the</strong> youthful morphology<br />

and <strong>the</strong> fast sedimentation rates <strong>in</strong> <strong>Marmara</strong>.<br />

Rema<strong>in</strong>s <strong>of</strong> ruptures <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 18th century<br />

earthquakes would probably be less <strong>in</strong>tact, less<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>uous and largely concealed by sediments.<br />

Regardless, <strong>the</strong>re appears to be fragmentary evidence<br />

for a penultimate event <strong>of</strong> similar size <strong>in</strong><br />

1766 on <strong>the</strong> SE Tekirdag <strong>fault</strong>, based on <strong>the</strong><br />

cumulative <strong>of</strong>fsets recorded on <strong>the</strong> visible <strong>scarps</strong><br />

(Figures 8b and 9d). That hypo<strong>the</strong>sis seems<br />

quantitatively consistent with <strong>the</strong> pattern <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensity<br />

values assigned for <strong>the</strong> 5 August 1766<br />

earthquake [Parsons, 2004]. Our observations do<br />

not provide support for <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ference <strong>of</strong> seismic<br />

quiescence over <strong>the</strong> last 500 years <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> northwest<br />

<strong>Sea</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Marmara</strong> [Ambraseys and Jackson,<br />

2000].<br />

4.2. Previous Knowledge <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1912<br />

Earthquake<br />

[45] The submar<strong>in</strong>e rupture <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> northwest <strong>Sea</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Marmara</strong> must be compared with <strong>the</strong> relevant<br />

observations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1912 earthquake, which can<br />

be summarized as follows.<br />

[46] The 9 August 1912 Ganos earthquake produced<br />

widespread damage and considerable loss <strong>of</strong><br />

life. Surface disruptions along <strong>the</strong> Ganos <strong>fault</strong> were<br />

described <strong>in</strong> contemporary reports as ‘‘cracks’’<br />

[Macovei, 1912; Mihailovich, 1927; Sadi, 1912].<br />

No <strong>fault</strong> rupture was reported as such, but pictures<br />

<strong>of</strong> mole tracks and en echelon cracks clearly<br />

suggest prevalent right-lateral slip [Ambraseys<br />

and F<strong>in</strong>kel, 1987]. The significant normal slip <strong>of</strong><br />

3 m deduced by Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel [1987]<br />

appears to be mostly a secondary effect. The littoral<br />

to <strong>the</strong> southwest <strong>of</strong> where <strong>the</strong> Ganos <strong>fault</strong> enters<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Marmara</strong> appears to have been slightly<br />

uplifted [Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel, 1987]. Such uplift<br />

is consistent with <strong>the</strong> transpressive deformation<br />

seen <strong>in</strong> submar<strong>in</strong>e <strong>scarps</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> southwestern<br />

Tekirdag Bas<strong>in</strong>.<br />

[47] Various authors have <strong>of</strong>fered different isoseismal<br />

maps. The most recent and complete revision<br />

<strong>of</strong> macroseismic effects (estimates <strong>of</strong> local <strong>in</strong>tensities<br />

reportedly with<strong>in</strong> an error <strong>of</strong> ±1/2 degree <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>tensity) has been proposed by Ambraseys and<br />

F<strong>in</strong>kel [1987] and is based ma<strong>in</strong>ly on <strong>the</strong> precise<br />

observations by Mihailovich [1927]. Their two<br />

isoseismal maps can be compared <strong>in</strong> Figure 11.<br />

Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel [1987] deduced that coseismic<br />

<strong>fault</strong><strong>in</strong>g crossed all <strong>the</strong> land between <strong>the</strong> Gulf<br />

<strong>of</strong> Saros and <strong>Marmara</strong> with a total rupture length<br />

<strong>of</strong> 50 km. The rupture could well have extended<br />

westward some 20–30 km <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> Gulf <strong>of</strong> Saros.<br />

It is worth not<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> macroseismic effects<br />

(with<strong>in</strong> estimated error) suggest that <strong>the</strong> rupture<br />

may have extended several tens <strong>of</strong> kilometers<br />

under <strong>the</strong> western <strong>Sea</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Marmara</strong> although<br />

without constra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g precisely its term<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

(Figure 11).<br />

[48] Small tsunami waves suggest<strong>in</strong>g a possible<br />

submar<strong>in</strong>e extension <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> rupture are reported<br />

along <strong>the</strong> shores <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sea</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Marmara</strong> at <strong>the</strong> time<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1912 event but quantification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> phenomenon<br />

appears difficult [Mihailovich, 1927;<br />

Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel, 1987, 1991]. No tide gauge<br />

record is available. Part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> difficulty comes also<br />

from <strong>the</strong> scarcity <strong>of</strong> precise reports for an event that<br />

occurred by night (ma<strong>in</strong> shock at 01:29 UTH;<br />

about 03:30 local time).<br />

[49] An accurate <strong>in</strong>strumental location is not possible<br />

for <strong>the</strong> 1912 earthquake epicenter, due to <strong>the</strong><br />

primitiveness <strong>of</strong> seismic networks. However, a<br />

reliable surface-wave magnitude Ms 7.4 ± 0.3<br />

was calculated by Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel [1987]<br />

from teleseismic amplitudes from 23 Milne pendulum<br />

seismographs distributed worldwide and from<br />

amplitudes and periods from 23 mechanical <strong>in</strong>struments<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ly from Europe. Hence <strong>the</strong> 1912 Ganos<br />

and <strong>the</strong> Mw 7.4 1999 Izmit earthquakes are <strong>of</strong><br />

similar size. The 1912 earthquake was followed by<br />

numerous aftershocks <strong>of</strong> which <strong>the</strong> largest occurred<br />

a month later (Ms 6.9; 13 September 1912)<br />

[Ambraseys and F<strong>in</strong>kel, 1987].<br />

[50] On <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> field <strong>in</strong>vestigations carried<br />

out recently along <strong>the</strong> Ganos <strong>fault</strong>, Altunel et al.<br />

[2000] and Alt<strong>in</strong>ok et al. [2003] claim that some<br />

<strong>of</strong>fset features associated with <strong>the</strong> 1912 event can<br />

still be identified. Alt<strong>in</strong>ok et al. [2003] deduce a<br />

maximum right-lateral slip <strong>of</strong> 4.5 m ± 0.5 m and<br />

Altunel et al. [2004] describe a detailed coseismic<br />

slip distribution along <strong>the</strong> Ganos <strong>fault</strong> and identify<br />

three ma<strong>in</strong> segments. While <strong>the</strong> poor preservation<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> features may cause misidentifications<br />

22 <strong>of</strong> 29

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