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by Dan R. Anderson, Ph.D.,CPCU - Wisconsin School of Business ...

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Biotechnology Risk Management: The Case <strong>of</strong> Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs)<br />

a single application <strong>of</strong> Roundup, which<br />

p reviously would have been lethal to the cro p .<br />

This reduced the need to employ more toxic<br />

and long-lasting herbicides and also re d u c e d<br />

soil-damaging tillage. GM soybeans became so<br />

popular with farmers that <strong>by</strong> 1999 more than<br />

one-half <strong>of</strong> the soybean crop were genetically<br />

m odified. (Paarlberg, 2000)<br />

Other Examples<br />

T h e re are a number <strong>of</strong> other GMO examples<br />

that have been widely discussed. The Flavr- S a v r<br />

tomato has a gene that was altered to slow the<br />

aging process and extend shelf life. Another<br />

GM tomato involved inserting an antifre e z e<br />

gene from a fish (flounder) into tomatoes to<br />

make them frost resistant. (Denison, 1999)<br />

F u t u re health benefits could be gained fro m<br />

c h o l e s t e rol-lowering cheese, allerg e n - f re e<br />

peanuts, and immunity-boosting bananas<br />

as a substitute to syringe injected vaccines.<br />

(Jacobs, 2000; and Pollack, 2/6/2000)<br />

Again the possibilities and potential benefits<br />

seem virtually unlimited.<br />

Marketing to Farmers in Developing<br />

C o u n t r i e s<br />

Because <strong>of</strong> the large and <strong>of</strong>ten rapidly<br />

i n c reasing populations in developing countries,<br />

GM crops hold the potential for considerable<br />

benefits. It is estimated that 800 million people<br />

in the world are chronically malnourished and<br />

this number is increasing rapidly. (Stipp, “The<br />

Voice . . . ,” 2000) Increasing yields and builtin<br />

resistance to drought, pests, and poor soils<br />

could increase food production and re d u c e<br />

chemical use. Potential benefits could also<br />

include the insertion <strong>of</strong> vaccines into foods<br />

and the development <strong>of</strong> more nutritious food .<br />

A frequently cited example is golden rice, a<br />

GM rice to include vitamin supplements to<br />

fight blindness.<br />

Golden Rice<br />

Golden rice is a GM strain <strong>of</strong> rice that<br />

includes bacterial and daff odil genes that allows<br />

it to make beta-carotene that the body convert s<br />

to vitamin A. Vitamin A has the potential<br />

benefit <strong>of</strong> preventing night blindness and deaths<br />

caused <strong>by</strong> vitamin A deficiencies. Golden rice<br />

was developed <strong>by</strong> public sector scientists in<br />

Switzerland and Germany and will be given fre e<br />

to poor farmers in developing countries.<br />

(Pollack, 2/4/2001)<br />

Lack <strong>of</strong> Adequate Resourc e s<br />

While the potential benefits <strong>of</strong> GM crops for<br />

developing countries is appealing, critics charg e<br />

that food production is not the problem; rather<br />

it is poverty and lack <strong>of</strong> adequate re s o u rces to<br />

p u rchase food that leads to famine and<br />

malnourishment. The world today prod u c e s<br />

m o re food per inhabitant than ever before .<br />

Enough is available to provide 4.3 pounds to<br />

e v e ry person every day: 2.5 pounds <strong>of</strong> grain,<br />

beans and nuts, about a pound <strong>of</strong> meat, milk<br />

and eggs, and another pound <strong>of</strong> fruits and<br />

vegetables. (Rosset, 1999)<br />

The problems are distribution systems and<br />

lack <strong>of</strong> financing to move food to regions<br />

needing it. Farmers in developing countries<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten would not be able to afford GM<br />

products made in developed countries.<br />

In addition, markets in developed countries<br />

have been targeted first for GM products<br />

because <strong>of</strong> the need to recoup the high costs<br />

<strong>of</strong> GMO development.<br />

Lack <strong>of</strong> resources also dilutes the benefits<br />

<strong>of</strong> GM crops like golden rice. Critics contend<br />

there are multiple nutritional deficiencies that<br />

will impede the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> vitamin A<br />

enhancing golden rice, and will also produce<br />

other nutritional problems. (Pollack and<br />

Yoon, 2001)<br />

It has also been questioned whether the<br />

p r<strong>of</strong>its generated <strong>by</strong> marketing GM crops to<br />

developing countries are sufficient to maintain<br />

c o m m e rcial development. Finally others have<br />

c o u n t e red that GM crops should be avoided<br />

a l t o g e t h e r, and emphasis should be put on local,<br />

sustainable, cultural-compatible agricultural<br />

development as is captured in the statement<br />

b e l o w :<br />

We do not believe that such companies or gene<br />

technologies will help our farmers to produce the<br />

food that is needed in the 21st century. On the<br />

contrary, we think it will destroy the diversity, the<br />

local knowledge and the sustainable agricultural<br />

systems that our farmers have developed for<br />

millennia and that it will thus undermine our capacity<br />

to feed ourselves. (Statement <strong>of</strong> 24 African delegates<br />

to the Food and Agriculture Organization <strong>of</strong> the<br />

United Nations, June 1998)<br />

Risks <strong>of</strong> GMOs<br />

There are definitely risks in the<br />

development <strong>of</strong> GMOs. Some specific risks<br />

have been documented and will be discussed<br />

below. As the set <strong>of</strong> future potential benefits<br />

greatly exceeds the documented benefits <strong>of</strong><br />

GMOs, so too does the set <strong>of</strong> future potential<br />

risks greatly exceed the documented risks <strong>of</strong><br />

GMOs. With both benefits and risks we are<br />

working in the realm <strong>of</strong> the potential and the<br />

unknown. Huge uncertainty and<br />

unpredictability are present, which <strong>of</strong> course<br />

218 <strong>CPCU</strong> JOURNAL<br />

“While the<br />

potential<br />

benefits<br />

<strong>of</strong> GM<br />

crops for<br />

developing<br />

countries<br />

is appealing,<br />

critics<br />

charge<br />

that food<br />

production<br />

is not the<br />

problem . . .”

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