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Insurance Company Capital Structure Swaps and Shareholder Wealth

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Substituting for A <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong>ing the n operator:<br />

∂E<br />

∂α<br />

αδL<br />

= −<br />

αV √ 2tπ ed1V √ t−0.5V 2t −0.5d<br />

e 2 1 − δL<br />

V √ 2tπ e−0.5(d1−V √ t) 2<br />

− αδL [N (d2)]<br />

= − δL<br />

V √ <br />

e<br />

2tπ<br />

−0.5(d1−V √ t) 2<br />

− e −0.5(d1−V √ t) 2<br />

− αδL [N (d2)]<br />

= −αδL [N (d2)] (11)<br />

Thus, as long as liabilities are positive, equity value decreases in proportion to liabilities changed<br />

<strong>and</strong> any deviation between insider <strong>and</strong> market estimates of expected loss.<br />

Two examples follow in which expected managers’ estimates of volatility <strong>and</strong> expected loss<br />

(policy face value) differ from market estimates.<br />

If managers believe that reinsurance will add value for the firm, they may be able to enrich<br />

controlling shareholders by purchasing reinsurance with the proceeds of a new equity issue. How-<br />

ever, a firm can use excess cash to adjust to a desired capital structure without incurring flotation<br />

costs. Alternatively, managers could enrich controlling shareholders by selling more policies, using<br />

the proceeds to reduce outst<strong>and</strong>ing equity <strong>and</strong> thereby increase leverage if they believed that they<br />

could sell policies at a sufficient premium or retire equity at a sufficient discount. Managers need<br />

not retire equity to make such a swap worthwhile if they chose instead to use policy-generated cash<br />

to finance new projects or increase capital levels to satisfy regulators.<br />

Efficient market theory, especially Ross (1977), suggests that announcement of an equity issue or<br />

equity repurchase should signal the manager’s private information to the market <strong>and</strong> prices should<br />

immediately adjust to reflect that new information. However, empirical evidence (See, for example,<br />

Lakonishok <strong>and</strong> Vermaelen (1990); Ikenberry, Lakonishok, <strong>and</strong> Vermaelen (1995); Loughran <strong>and</strong><br />

Ritter (1995); Spiess <strong>and</strong> Affleck-Graves (1995), <strong>and</strong> other literature summarized by Klein, O’Brien,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Peters (2002)) suggest that market responses are not necessarily immediate. With particular<br />

application to insurance companies, Miller <strong>and</strong> Shankar (2005) find that positive excess returns<br />

persist for several months following equity repurchase announcements.<br />

In order to test the impacts of capital structure shifts, we assume that the manager will under-<br />

15

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