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Iraq Weekly Status Report - US Department of State

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<strong>Iraq</strong> <strong>Weekly</strong><br />

<strong>Status</strong> <strong>Report</strong><br />

February 21, 2007<br />

Bureau <strong>of</strong> Near Eastern Affairs<br />

<strong>US</strong> <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong><br />

February 21, 2007<br />

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Table <strong>of</strong> Contents<br />

This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong> government policy for victory in <strong>Iraq</strong>.<br />

SECTION<br />

SLIDE<br />

Highlights<br />

3<br />

1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents<br />

2. Transition <strong>Iraq</strong> to Security Self-Reliance<br />

3. Help <strong>Iraq</strong>is to Forge a National Compact for Democratic<br />

Government<br />

4. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential<br />

Services<br />

5. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy<br />

6. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen the Rule <strong>of</strong> Law and Promote Civil Rights<br />

7. Increase International Support for <strong>Iraq</strong><br />

8. Strengthen Public Understanding <strong>of</strong> Coalition Efforts and<br />

Public Isolation <strong>of</strong> the Insurgents<br />

Sources and Contact Information<br />

Notes and Source Citations<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

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Highlights<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents<br />

Soldiers from the 5th <strong>Iraq</strong>i Army Division captured a suspected al-Qaida in <strong>Iraq</strong> cell<br />

leader February 15. The suspect is believed to be responsible for coordinating<br />

and carrying out several improvised explosive device and rocket attacks targeting<br />

civilians and <strong>Iraq</strong>i Security Forces in the area.<br />

2. Transition <strong>Iraq</strong> to Security Self-Reliance<br />

Thirty-seven firefighters from throughout <strong>Iraq</strong> are participating in an urban search<br />

and rescue program conducted at the Basrah Training College by an international<br />

team <strong>of</strong> urban search and rescue experts.<br />

3. Help <strong>Iraq</strong>is to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>'s Council <strong>of</strong> Representatives unanimously endorsed a resolution supporting<br />

the new phase <strong>of</strong> the Baghdad Security Plan: “Operation Law and Order” and <strong>Iraq</strong>i<br />

Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has pledged that there will no longer be any political<br />

interference in military operations, adding that the operation is <strong>Iraq</strong>i-planned and is<br />

supported fully by the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government.<br />

4. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services<br />

According to the engineer at the 132Kv substation, Fallujah is getting 16 hours <strong>of</strong><br />

power daily to distribute to the 17 sectors <strong>of</strong> the city. He also said the city sectors<br />

are getting between 6-8 hours per day (two on/ four <strong>of</strong>f), a remarkable<br />

improvement considering Fallujah was getting about one hour <strong>of</strong> electricity per day<br />

just two weeks ago.<br />

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Highlights<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

5. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy<br />

From January 28-31, <strong>US</strong>AID’s Izdihar Private Sector Development Project<br />

conducted a workshop in Amman to prepare the Government <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong> interministerial<br />

World Trade Organization (WTO) committee for their first WTO Working<br />

Party meeting in Geneva, which is likely to take place in March.<br />

6. Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen the Rule <strong>of</strong> Law<br />

The Central Criminal Court <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong> convicted 13 terrorists February 2-10 for various<br />

crimes, including possession <strong>of</strong> illegal weapons, possessing fake identification,<br />

violating terrorism laws and illegal border crossing.<br />

7. International Support for <strong>Iraq</strong><br />

Syria rejected a <strong>US</strong> proposal to discuss the <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugee crisis with Damascus,<br />

saying it would only talk with the <strong>US</strong> if the two countries spoke about all regional<br />

issues. The state-run al-Thawra newspaper said in an editorial that the <strong>US</strong> “when it<br />

raised the issue <strong>of</strong> dialogue” with Syria only wanted to discuss the repercussions <strong>of</strong><br />

the <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugee problem while “ignoring the cause.”<br />

8. Strengthen Public Understanding <strong>of</strong> Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation <strong>of</strong><br />

the Insurgents<br />

President Bush told reporters at a White House news conference February 14 that<br />

the Baghdad Security Plan is on track and the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government is meeting<br />

benchmarks necessary for continued Coalition cooperation.<br />

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[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency<br />

AQI Leader Captured:<br />

• Soldiers from the 5th <strong>Iraq</strong>i Army Division captured a suspected al-Qaida in <strong>Iraq</strong><br />

(AQI) cell leader February 15. The suspect is believed to be responsible for<br />

coordinating and carrying out several improvised explosive device and rocket<br />

attacks targeting civilians and <strong>Iraq</strong>i Security Forces (ISF) in the area.<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• During the operation, in which Coalition Forces (CF) accompanied the ISF in an<br />

advisory role, several munitions caches were recovered. No civilian, ISF or CF<br />

casualties were reported.<br />

<strong>US</strong> Post Raided by Insurgents:<br />

• Insurgents launched a raid February 19 on a <strong>US</strong> military outpost north <strong>of</strong> Baghdad,<br />

killing two <strong>US</strong> soldiers and wounding another 17. Authorities said at least one<br />

suicide car bomber either rammed into or drove up beside two trucks carrying fuel<br />

into the base, igniting an explosion. Insurgents then opened fire with rockets<br />

mounted on a truck and from a nearby building.<br />

• According to <strong>Iraq</strong> police <strong>of</strong>ficials and witnesses, <strong>US</strong> helicopters landed at least five<br />

times to evacuate casualties.<br />

• The <strong>Iraq</strong>i Islamic <strong>State</strong> has claimed responsibility for the attack.<br />

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[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – <strong>Iraq</strong>i Security Forces<br />

Firefighters Learn Search and Rescue Techniques:<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• Thirty-seven firefighters from throughout <strong>Iraq</strong> are participating in an urban search<br />

and rescue program conducted at the Basrah Training College by an international<br />

team <strong>of</strong> urban search and rescue experts.<br />

• The 18-day course is designed to build the capacity to enter buildings that have<br />

collapsed and save the lives <strong>of</strong> people buried below the rubble. The program also<br />

trains the firefighters to assess a collapsed building’s structural integrity so they<br />

can implement the correct steps to make it safe before entering to search for<br />

survivors.<br />

• Coalition forces have provided more than $1.2 million in equipment to conduct the<br />

training.<br />

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[2.] Transition <strong>Iraq</strong> to Security Self-Reliance – <strong>Iraq</strong>i Security<br />

Forces<br />

Ministry <strong>of</strong> Interior Forces Ministry <strong>of</strong> Defense Forces<br />

COMPONENT<br />

POLICE<br />

NATIONAL<br />

POLICE<br />

OTHER MOI<br />

FORCES<br />

TOTAL<br />

TRAINED &<br />

EQUIPPED<br />

~135,000***<br />

~ 24,400<br />

~28,860<br />

~188,260**<br />

Total Trained & Equipped ISF:<br />

~323,180****<br />

Data as <strong>of</strong> February 20, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)<br />

COMPONENT<br />

ARMY<br />

AIR FORCE<br />

NAVY<br />

TOTAL<br />

OPERATIONAL<br />

~132,856***<br />

~1,135<br />

~134,920**<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

* Ministry <strong>of</strong> Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers<br />

** Ministry <strong>of</strong> Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers<br />

*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces<br />

**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27<br />

ministries<br />

~929<br />

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February 21, 2007<br />

[3.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong>is to Forge a National Compact for Democratic<br />

Government– Developments<br />

CoR Unanimously Supports New Security Plan:<br />

• <strong>Iraq</strong>'s Council <strong>of</strong> Representatives (CoR) unanimously endorsed a resolution<br />

supporting the new phase <strong>of</strong> the Baghdad Security Plan: “Operation Law and Order”<br />

and <strong>Iraq</strong>i Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki has pledged that there will no longer be any<br />

political interference in military operations, adding that the operation is <strong>Iraq</strong>i-planned<br />

and is supported fully by the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government.<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i President Claims Mahdi Army Leadership Ordered to Leave <strong>Iraq</strong>:<br />

• Prime Minister Maliki has determined that any members <strong>of</strong> militias in <strong>Iraq</strong> must give<br />

up that membership or face being targeted under the new <strong>Iraq</strong> security plan. <strong>Iraq</strong>i<br />

President Jalal Talabani said he didn't know whether Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr<br />

was in <strong>Iraq</strong>, but he said members <strong>of</strong> Sadr's Mahdi militia had been told to leave the<br />

country. He added that he “think(s) that there are many senior members <strong>of</strong> the Mahdi<br />

army (that) had received orders to leave <strong>Iraq</strong> to ease the security forces’ mission to<br />

implement their plan.”<br />

UN Welcomes <strong>US</strong> Refugee Plan:<br />

• The UN has welcomed the <strong>US</strong>G plan to accept up to 7,000 <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugees over the<br />

next 6-9 months. The <strong>US</strong>G has also pledged $18 million to the UN High<br />

Commissioner for Refugees to help <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugees in the region, 30% <strong>of</strong> its annual<br />

appeal. The <strong>US</strong>G refugee plan will also afford special treatment to those <strong>Iraq</strong>is<br />

employed by the <strong>US</strong>G or with close association to the <strong>US</strong>G.<br />

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[3.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong>is to Forge a National Compact for Democratic<br />

Government - <strong>Iraq</strong>i National Unity Government<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Agriculture<br />

Ya'rub Nathim<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Education<br />

Khudayyir al-Khuza’i<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Human<br />

Rights<br />

Wijdan Mikha’il (F)<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Oil<br />

Husayn al-<br />

Shahristani<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Water<br />

Resources<br />

‘Abd al-Latif Rashid<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

Foreign Affairs<br />

Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Environment<br />

Narmin ‘Uthman (F)<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Industry<br />

& Minerals<br />

Fawzi al-Hariri<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Planning<br />

Ali Baban<br />

Deputy President<br />

Tariq al-Hashimi<br />

Deputy Prime Minister<br />

Barham Salih<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Communications<br />

Muhammad Tawfiq<br />

Allawi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Youth &<br />

Sports<br />

Jasim Muhammad Ja’far<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

Governorates Affairs<br />

Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf<br />

al-Hashimi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Culture<br />

As’ad Kamal<br />

Muhammad Abdallah al-<br />

Hashimi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Finance<br />

Bayan Jabr<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Interior<br />

Jawad al-Bulani<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Trade<br />

Abd al-Falah al-<br />

Sudani<br />

President<br />

Jalal Talabani<br />

Prime Minister<br />

Nuri al-Maliki<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

Civil Society<br />

Adil al-Asadi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

Tourism and Antiquities<br />

Liwa Sumaysim<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Defense<br />

Abdul Qadir Muhammed<br />

Jasim<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Foreign<br />

Affairs<br />

Hoshyar Zebari<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Justice<br />

Hashim al-Shibli<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Science &<br />

Technology<br />

Ra’id Fahmi Jahid<br />

Deputy President<br />

‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi<br />

Deputy Prime Minister<br />

Salam al-Zawba’i<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Displacement<br />

& Migration<br />

Abd al-Samad Rahman<br />

Sultan<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Health<br />

Ali al-Shammari<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Housing &<br />

Construction<br />

Bayan Daza’I (F)<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Municipalities<br />

& Public Works<br />

Akram al-Hakim<br />

Riyad Ghurayyib<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

National Dialogue Affairs<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

Women’s Affairs<br />

Fatin Abd al-Rahman<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

(F) = Female<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Electricity<br />

Karim Wahid<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Higher<br />

Education<br />

Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> Labor &<br />

Social Affairs<br />

Mahmud Muhammad<br />

Jawad al-Radi<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong><br />

Transportation<br />

Karim Mahdi Salih<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for National<br />

Security Affairs<br />

Shirwan al-Waili<br />

Minister <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong> for<br />

CoR Affairs<br />

Safa al-Safi<br />

9 Mahmud (F)<br />

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[4.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –<br />

Financials from <strong>Iraq</strong> Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2<br />

(Millions <strong>of</strong> <strong>US</strong>D)<br />

Apportioned<br />

As <strong>of</strong> February 20, 2007<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

Sector<br />

Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change<br />

Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,988.66 $4,988.67 $0.00 $4,986.20 $4,986.20 $0.00 $4,721.36 $4,723.95 $2.59<br />

Electricity Sector $4,239.51 $4,224.15 $4,224.15 ($0.00) $4,081.68 $4,081.96 $0.28 $3,075.68 $3,090.09 $14.40<br />

Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,677.11 $1,677.11 $0.00 $1,583.54 $1,583.54 $0.00 $1,341.68 $1,344.47 $2.79<br />

Justice, Public Safety and Civil<br />

Society<br />

$1,304.15 $1,303.93 $1,303.93 $0.00 $1,297.72 $1,297.72 $0.00 $1,014.00 $1,016.49 $2.49<br />

Democracy $1,001.85 $1,001.80 $1,001.80 $0.00 $1,001.73 $1,001.73 $0.00 $894.28 $894.93 $0.65<br />

Education, Refugees, Human<br />

Rights, Governance<br />

$401.50 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $355.27 $355.34 $0.07<br />

Roads, Bridges and<br />

Construction<br />

$333.60 $331.94 $331.94 $0.00 $324.58 $324.58 $0.00 $212.39 $214.23 $1.84<br />

Health Care $818.90 $817.58 $817.58 $0.00 $802.53 $803.07 $0.54 $629.00 $632.32 $3.32<br />

Transportation and<br />

Communications<br />

$464.12 $464.09 $464.09 $0.00 $458.28 $458.29 $0.016 $341.91 $342.59 $0.68<br />

Water Resources and<br />

Sanitation<br />

$2,131.08 $2,119.78 $2,119.79 $0.01 $2,048.37 $2,049.94 $1.57 $1,456.13 $1,481.97 $25.83<br />

Private Sector Development $813.95 $813.95 $813.95 $0.00 $813.95 $813.95 $0.00 $766.61 $766.99 $0.39<br />

Admin Expense (<strong>US</strong>AID,<br />

STATE)<br />

Committed<br />

Obligated<br />

Disbursed<br />

$213.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $212.45 $212.45 $0.00 $164.24 $164.24 $0.00<br />

Total $18,448.95 $18,356.72 $18,356.73 $0.01 $18,012.29 $18,014.69 $2.40 $14,972.57 $15,027.63 $55.05<br />

IRRF II Construction $10,572.55 $10,572.53 ($0.02) $10,249.96 $10,252.36 $2.40 $8,142.19 $8,191.54 $49.35<br />

IRRF II Non-Construction $6,782.36 $6,782.39 $0.03 $6,760.60 $6,760.60 $0.00 $5,936.10 $5,941.16 $5.05<br />

IRRF II Democracy $1,001.80 $1,001.80 $0.00 $1,001.73 $1,001.73 $0.00 $894.28 $894.93 $0.65<br />

IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00<br />

Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,922.25 $20,830.02 $20,830.03 $0.01 $20,244.59 $20,246.99 $2.40 $17,111.57 $17,166.63 $55.05<br />

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[4.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential<br />

Services – Electricity Overview<br />

Daily Load Served (MWh)<br />

200,000<br />

180,000<br />

160,000<br />

140,000<br />

120,000<br />

100,000<br />

80,000<br />

60,000<br />

40,000<br />

20,000<br />

0<br />

1/1/04<br />

1/31/04<br />

3/31/04<br />

3/1/04<br />

Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in <strong>Iraq</strong> Since January 2004<br />

4/30/04<br />

5/30/04<br />

6/29/04<br />

7/29/04<br />

Actual 7-day Average Estimated Demand<br />

8/28/04<br />

10/27/04<br />

9/27/04<br />

11/26/04<br />

12/26/04<br />

1/25/05<br />

2/24/05<br />

3/26/05<br />

4/25/05<br />

5/25/05<br />

6/24/05<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• During the week <strong>of</strong> February 15-21 electricity availability averaged 5.3 hours per day in Baghdad<br />

and 9.3 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 4% below the same period in 2006.<br />

7/24/05<br />

Date<br />

8/23/05<br />

9/22/05<br />

10/22/05<br />

12/21/05<br />

11/21/05<br />

1/20/06<br />

2/19/06<br />

3/21/06<br />

4/20/06<br />

5/20/06<br />

7/19/06<br />

6/19/06<br />

11 UNCLASSIFIED<br />

8/18/06<br />

9/17/06<br />

10/17/06<br />

11/16/06<br />

12/16/06


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[4.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential<br />

Services –Electricity<br />

Electricity:<br />

• Officer in Charge Major Angel Ortiz visited the <strong>US</strong> Army-funded-132Kv<br />

substation in Fallujah February 4. The engineer at the station told Major Ortiz<br />

that Fallujah is getting 16 hours <strong>of</strong> power daily to distribute to the 17 sectors <strong>of</strong><br />

the city. He also said that city sectors are getting between 6-8 hours per day<br />

(two on/four <strong>of</strong>f). That is a remarkable improvement over the situation just two<br />

weeks ago when Fallujah was getting about one hour <strong>of</strong> electricity per day.<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

12 UNCLASSIFIED


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UNCLASSIFIED<br />

[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job<br />

Creation<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

Oil Update:<br />

• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending February 16 closed with the<br />

following prices:<br />

– Basrah Light at $49.64/barrel – Dated Brent at $56.17/barrel<br />

– WTI Cushing at $58.45/barrel – Oman/Dubai at $54.468/barrel<br />

Employment Update:<br />

Data as <strong>of</strong> February 20<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i Employment Per Organization<br />

`<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>is Last<br />

Week<br />

CERP employment numbers are representative <strong>of</strong> Baghdad only.<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>is This<br />

Week<br />

%<br />

change<br />

Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA) 22,812 22,812 0.00%<br />

<strong>US</strong> Agency for International Development (<strong>US</strong>AID) 33,868 19,279 -43.08%<br />

Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP) 2<br />

3,973 3,973 0.00%<br />

Multi-National Security Transition Command-<strong>Iraq</strong> (MNSTC-I) 10,950 12,104 10.54%<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong> Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,396 6,396 0.00%<br />

GRAND TOTAL 77,999 64,564 -17.22%<br />

13 UNCLASSIFIED


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

Central Bank’s <strong>US</strong> Dollar (<strong>US</strong>D) Currency Auction:<br />

• The following table shows volume sold <strong>of</strong> and exchange rates for <strong>US</strong>D in the <strong>Iraq</strong>i currency auction since<br />

April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, to<br />

tackle the past year’s rampant inflation. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the dollar is<br />

reflected in the figure below.<br />

Central Bank <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong><br />

<strong>US</strong>D Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – February 20, 2007<br />

<strong>US</strong>D Sold (Millions)<br />

$90.0<br />

$80.0<br />

$70.0<br />

$60.0<br />

$50.0<br />

$40.0<br />

$30.0<br />

$20.0<br />

$10.0<br />

$0.0<br />

April 2 - 6<br />

April 12 - 12<br />

April 16 - 17<br />

April 19 - 23<br />

April 26 - 30<br />

May 2 - 8<br />

May 9 - 16<br />

May 21 - 22<br />

May 24 - 30<br />

May 31 - Jun 5<br />

Jun 6 - 12<br />

Jun 13 - 20<br />

Jun 25 - 29<br />

Jul 2 - 6<br />

Jul 9 - 13<br />

Jul 16 - 20<br />

Jul 23 - 25<br />

Jul 26 - 30<br />

Jul 31 - Aug 7<br />

Aug 8 - 10<br />

Aug 11 - 22<br />

Aug 23 - 29<br />

Aug 30 - Sep 5<br />

Sep 6 - Sep 12<br />

Sep 13 - Sep 19<br />

Sep 21 - Sep 25<br />

Sep 26 - Oct 2<br />

Oct 3 - Oct 10<br />

Oct 11 - Oct 18<br />

Oct 19 - Oct 29<br />

Nov 4 - Nov 7<br />

Nov 8 - Nov 14<br />

Nov 15 - 28<br />

Nov 29 - Dec 1<br />

Dec 6 - Dec 12<br />

Dec 13 - Dec 18<br />

Dec 20 - Dec 26<br />

Jan 8 - Jan 16<br />

Jan 17 - Jan 22<br />

Jan 23 - Jan 29<br />

Jan 30 - Feb 5<br />

Feb 6 - Feb 13<br />

Feb 14- Feb 20<br />

<strong>US</strong> $ Sold (<strong>Weekly</strong> Avg) The New <strong>Iraq</strong>i Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/<strong>US</strong>D)<br />

1,500<br />

1,450<br />

1,400<br />

1,350<br />

1,300<br />

1,250<br />

14 UNCLASSIFIED<br />

NID Exchange Rate


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets<br />

Trading <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>i Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:<br />

• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on <strong>Iraq</strong>i bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to<br />

approximately two-thirds <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>’s commercial creditors as part <strong>of</strong> a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. <strong>Iraq</strong>’s commercial<br />

debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’<br />

current yield <strong>of</strong> 9.6 percent remains one <strong>of</strong> the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.<br />

Bond Price in <strong>US</strong>D<br />

$70.00<br />

$69.00<br />

$68.00<br />

$67.00<br />

$66.00<br />

$65.00<br />

$64.00<br />

$63.00<br />

$62.00<br />

Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)<br />

Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i Commercial Bond Sales<br />

June 1, 2006 - February 16, 2007<br />

1-Jun<br />

8-Jun<br />

15-Jun<br />

22-Jun<br />

29-Jun<br />

6-Jul<br />

13-Jul<br />

20-Jul<br />

27-Jul<br />

3-Aug<br />

10-Aug<br />

17-Aug<br />

24-Aug<br />

31-Aug<br />

7-Sep<br />

14-Sep<br />

21-Sep<br />

28-Sep<br />

5-Oct<br />

12-Oct<br />

19-Oct<br />

26-Oct<br />

2-Nov<br />

9-Nov<br />

16-Nov<br />

23-Nov<br />

30-Nov<br />

7-Dec<br />

14-Dec<br />

21-Dec<br />

28-Dec<br />

4-Jan<br />

11-Jan<br />

18-Jan<br />

25-Jan<br />

1-Feb<br />

8-Feb<br />

15-Feb<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

10.00%<br />

9.80%<br />

9.60%<br />

9.40%<br />

9.20%<br />

9.00%<br />

8.80%<br />

8.60%<br />

15 UNCLASSIFIED<br />

Yield Percentage


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

<strong>US</strong>AID Prepares Inter-Ministerial Committee for <strong>Iraq</strong>’s First WTO Accession Meeting:<br />

• From January 28-31, <strong>US</strong>AID’s Izdihar Private Sector Development Project<br />

conducted a workshop in Amman to prepare the Government <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong> (GOI) interministerial<br />

World Trade Organization (WTO) committee for their first WTO Working<br />

Party meeting in Geneva, which is likely to take place in March.<br />

• Ten GOI <strong>of</strong>ficials from various ministries and one representative from the <strong>Iraq</strong>i<br />

Kurdistan region participated in simulations <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>’s first Working Party meeting.<br />

Participants were also given advice and training on related future multilateral and<br />

bilateral negotiations.<br />

Ministry <strong>of</strong> Planning Moving on Budget Execution:<br />

• On February 15, Minister <strong>of</strong> Planning and Development Cooperation Dr. Ali Baban<br />

told Ambassador Tim Carney that two proposals for improving capital budget<br />

execution and contracting had been passed by the Council <strong>of</strong> Ministers.<br />

• Minister Baban accepted Ambassador Carney’s suggestion to consider deploying<br />

one or more mobile budget execution teams to assist multiple provinces in budget<br />

execution.<br />

16 UNCLASSIFIED


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production<br />

Millions <strong>of</strong> Barrels Per Day<br />

2.80<br />

2.40<br />

2.00<br />

1.60<br />

1.20<br />

0.80<br />

0.40<br />

0.00<br />

2.14<br />

December<br />

11-17<br />

2.17<br />

December<br />

18-24<br />

2.23<br />

December<br />

25-31<br />

2007 <strong>Iraq</strong>i Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD<br />

1.99<br />

January 1-<br />

7<br />

1.72<br />

January 8-<br />

14<br />

1.21<br />

January<br />

15-21<br />

Production Target<br />

1.70<br />

January<br />

22-28<br />

1.99<br />

January 29<br />

- February<br />

4<br />

• <strong>Weekly</strong> Average (February 12 – 18) <strong>of</strong> 2.09 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)<br />

2.05<br />

February 5-<br />

11<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

2.09<br />

February<br />

12-18<br />

17 UNCLASSIFIED


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export<br />

Millions <strong>of</strong> Barrels per Day<br />

2.40<br />

1.80<br />

1.20<br />

0.60<br />

0.00<br />

1.32<br />

$2.25<br />

1.60<br />

$3.02<br />

1.51<br />

$2.92<br />

Revenue (<strong>US</strong>$B) Projected Exports (MBPD)<br />

1.67 1.68 1.68<br />

$3.03<br />

$3.41 $3.44<br />

Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07<br />

$2.73<br />

$2.45<br />

$2.19<br />

• 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion<br />

• 2007 Revenue Estimate: $2.8 Billion (Year to Date)<br />

1.62<br />

1.55<br />

1.44<br />

1.45<br />

$2.46<br />

1.30<br />

$1.89<br />

1.51<br />

$0.90<br />

$1.20<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

$4.00<br />

$3.50<br />

$3.00<br />

$2.50<br />

$2.00<br />

$1.50<br />

$1.00<br />

$0.50<br />

$0.00<br />

18 UNCLASSIFIED<br />

<strong>US</strong>D (Billions)


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[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product<br />

Supplies<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Share <strong>of</strong> <strong>Weekly</strong> Fuel Supplies<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

5%<br />

95%<br />

11%<br />

89%<br />

Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG<br />

• Diesel: 9.9 ML supply <strong>of</strong> 21.0 ML target<br />

• Kerosene: 5.5 ML supply <strong>of</strong> 15.5 ML target<br />

Domestic Production Import<br />

30%<br />

70%<br />

Note: This is a daily average for the week <strong>of</strong> February 12 – 18<br />

51%<br />

49%<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• Gasoline: 12.6 ML supply <strong>of</strong> 22.1 ML target<br />

• LPG: 3,126 tons supply <strong>of</strong> 5,500 tons target<br />

19 UNCLASSIFIED


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UNCLASSIFIED<br />

[5.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels<br />

Days<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

4<br />

3 3 3 3<br />

Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Goal<br />

5<br />

Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG<br />

• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply <strong>of</strong> all refined products, calculated on<br />

the basis <strong>of</strong> maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal<br />

variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.<br />

4<br />

2<br />

2<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

20 UNCLASSIFIED<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1


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UNCLASSIFIED<br />

[6.] Help <strong>Iraq</strong> Strengthen the Rule <strong>of</strong> Law and Promote Civil Rights–<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i Judicial System<br />

CCCI Convicts 13 Insurgents:<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• The Central Criminal Court <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong> (CCCI) convicted 13 terrorists February 2-10 for<br />

various crimes, including possession <strong>of</strong> illegal weapons, possessing fake<br />

identification, violating terrorism laws and illegal border crossing.<br />

• The trial court found an <strong>Iraq</strong>i man guilty <strong>of</strong> violating the Anti-Terrorist Law. On<br />

November 24, 2004, the <strong>Iraq</strong>i Army and Coalition Forces (CF) were searching<br />

vehicles at a gas station near Khalidiyah when CF approached the defendant’s<br />

vehicle and asked him to open the trunk. Forces discovered a 130mm artillery<br />

round along with wires, detonation strips and an improvised explosive device<br />

behind the driver’s seat. On February 7, the trial panel found the defendant guilty<br />

and sentenced him to death.<br />

• Since its reorganization, under an amendment to Coalition Provisional Authority<br />

order 13, in April 2004, the CCCI has held 1,867 trials for Coalition-apprehended<br />

insurgents. The proceedings have resulted in the conviction <strong>of</strong> 1,607 individuals<br />

with sentences ranging up to death.<br />

21 UNCLASSIFIED


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[7.] Increase International Support for <strong>Iraq</strong> – Developments<br />

Syria Rejects <strong>US</strong> Proposal to Hold Refugee Talks:<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• Syria rejected a <strong>US</strong> proposal to discuss the <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugee crisis with Damascus, saying it<br />

would only talk with the <strong>US</strong> if the two countries spoke about all regional issues. The<br />

state-run al-Thawra newspaper said in an editorial that the <strong>US</strong> "when it raised the issue<br />

<strong>of</strong> dialogue" with Syria only wanted to discuss the repercussions <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Iraq</strong>i refugee<br />

problem while “ignoring the cause.”<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i Quality <strong>of</strong> Life Deteriorating for Decades:<br />

• According to a study released by a division <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government and the United<br />

Nations Development Program, one-third <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>is live in poverty and <strong>Iraq</strong>i living<br />

standards deteriorated considerably compared with the 1970s and 1980s, particularly in<br />

the area <strong>of</strong> access to, and quality <strong>of</strong>, water, electricity and sanitation, as well as<br />

employment, income, and asset ownership.<br />

Additional Australian Trainers “Will Help Secure <strong>Iraq</strong>”:<br />

• Australian Defense Minister Brendan Nelson confirmed February 20 that Australia will<br />

send around 70 extra trainers to <strong>Iraq</strong> in response to a request from <strong>Iraq</strong>i Prime Minister<br />

Nuri al-Maliki last year to assist the <strong>Iraq</strong>i Army and police. Treasurer Peter Costello said<br />

the 70 additional Australian trainers heading to <strong>Iraq</strong> are needed to allow <strong>Iraq</strong>i forces to<br />

take hold <strong>of</strong> security. “If the <strong>Iraq</strong>is are going to manage the situation, they have to have<br />

trained security forces which can take over from Australian troops and other troops.”<br />

22 UNCLASSIFIED


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[7.] Increase International Support for <strong>Iraq</strong> – Developments<br />

Lithuania “Seriously Considering” Withdrawing Troops from <strong>Iraq</strong>:<br />

• A Lithuania government spokeswoman said February 21 that Lithuania is<br />

“seriously considering” withdrawing its 53 troops from <strong>Iraq</strong>.<br />

Britain to Cut Forces to 5,500 in 2007:<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

• British Prime Minister Tony Blair said February 21 that Britain would reduce its<br />

troop levels in <strong>Iraq</strong> by 1,600 over the coming months. British troops will remain in<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong> through 2008.<br />

Denmark to Withdraw <strong>Iraq</strong> Contingent in August:<br />

• Denmark’s Prime Minister Fogh Rasmussen said his country will withdraw its 460member<br />

contingent from <strong>Iraq</strong> by August and transfer security responsibilities to<br />

<strong>Iraq</strong>i forces. Rasmussen said Denmark will replace the troops with surveillance<br />

helicopters and civilian advisors.<br />

23 UNCLASSIFIED


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[7.] Increase International Support for <strong>Iraq</strong> – Contributors to <strong>Iraq</strong>i<br />

Stability Operations<br />

Data as <strong>of</strong> February 19, 2007<br />

25 Countries with forces in <strong>Iraq</strong> (in addition to <strong>US</strong>)<br />

Albania<br />

Armenia<br />

Australia<br />

Azerbaijan<br />

Bosnia-Herzegovina<br />

Bulgaria<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Denmark<br />

El Salvador<br />

Estonia<br />

Georgia<br />

Japan<br />

Kazakhstan<br />

Latvia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Macedonia<br />

Moldova<br />

Mongolia<br />

Poland<br />

Romania<br />

Singapore<br />

TOTAL ~ 14,010 Forces<br />

Slovakia<br />

South Korea<br />

Ukraine<br />

34 Countries and NATO*<br />

(including <strong>US</strong>)<br />

Support <strong>Iraq</strong>i Stability Operations<br />

UK<br />

*Note: Fiji participating as a<br />

part <strong>of</strong> the UN mission in <strong>Iraq</strong>.<br />

*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the <strong>US</strong>, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,<br />

Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

24 UNCLASSIFIED


D<br />

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UNCLASSIFIED<br />

[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding <strong>of</strong> Coalition Efforts and<br />

Public Isolation <strong>of</strong> the Insurgents – Developments<br />

President Speaks to <strong>Report</strong>ers about BSP:<br />

• President Bush told reporters at a White House news conference February 14<br />

that the Baghdad Security Plan (BSP) is on track and the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government is<br />

meeting benchmarks necessary for continued Coalition cooperation.<br />

• The president added that <strong>Iraq</strong>i Prime Minister Maliki has his top commander in<br />

place and forces are busy setting up a command-and-control headquarters in<br />

Baghdad. Bush cautioned, however, that the plan is still in its early stages.<br />

• Bush also noted that other benchmarks met by the <strong>Iraq</strong>i government include<br />

the recent passing <strong>of</strong> its $41 billion budget, and the fact that <strong>Iraq</strong>i lawmakers<br />

are working to pass the country’s oil revenue law.<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

25 UNCLASSIFIED


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<strong>Iraq</strong> <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Status</strong> – General Information<br />

• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the<br />

following pages.<br />

• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:<br />

NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

26 UNCLASSIFIED


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Notes and Source Citations (1 <strong>of</strong> 3)<br />

Slide 5:<br />

– The Advisor, “<strong>Iraq</strong>i Army Captures al-Qaida Cell Leader,” February 17<br />

– The Los Angeles Times, “Insurgents Strike <strong>US</strong> Outpost in <strong>Iraq</strong>,” February 20<br />

Slide 6:<br />

– The Advisor, “Learning Urban Search and Rescue,” February 17<br />

Slide 7:<br />

– DoD Input to <strong>Iraq</strong> <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Status</strong> <strong>Report</strong> February 21, 2007<br />

Slide 8:<br />

– http://www.gxonline.com/gxintelnews?id=38481<br />

– http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/18/iran.sadr/<br />

– http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6362289.stm<br />

Slide 9:<br />

– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

Slide 10:<br />

– IRMO <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Report</strong>, February 20, 2007<br />

Slide 11:<br />

– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815<br />

– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24<br />

hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours <strong>of</strong> power, but this is due in part to an<br />

influx <strong>of</strong> new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect <strong>of</strong> increased generation capacity on actual results.<br />

Slide 12:<br />

Electricity:<br />

– <strong>US</strong>ACE Daily <strong>Report</strong> – 15 February 07<br />

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Notes and Source Citations (2 <strong>of</strong> 3)<br />

Slide 13:<br />

– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg<br />

Employment Update:<br />

– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Report</strong> – February 20, 2007.<br />

– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.<br />

– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.<br />

Slide 14:<br />

– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank <strong>of</strong> <strong>Iraq</strong>’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org<br />

Slide 15:<br />

– <strong>Iraq</strong>i Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg<br />

Slide 16:<br />

– http://www.baghdad.state.gov NEA-OI for February 14, 2007<br />

– DoS IIC- Feb 16- Unclassified<br />

Slide 17:<br />

– <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong>, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885<br />

Slide 18:<br />

– <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong>, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885<br />

Slide 19:<br />

– <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong>, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885<br />

Slide 20:<br />

– <strong>Department</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>State</strong>, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

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Notes and Source Citations (3 <strong>of</strong> 3)<br />

Slide 21:<br />

– http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9915&Itemid=21<br />

Slide 22:<br />

– http://www.un.org<br />

– http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,21255705-1702,00.html<br />

Slide 23:<br />

– http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070221/ap_on_re_eu/lithuania_iraq;_ylt=AvBYIAjVMEotzTLZe.KbD0JWbBAF<br />

– http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070221/wl_mideast_afp/iraq_10;_ylt=Ao479KYspKP2x6iZI5keSyyaOrgF<br />

Slide 24:<br />

– DOD Input to <strong>Weekly</strong> <strong>Status</strong> <strong>Report</strong>, updated bi-weekly<br />

Slide 25:<br />

– The Advisor, “Bush Says Baghdad Security Plan on Track,” February 17<br />

February 21, 2007<br />

29 UNCLASSIFIED

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