Stallions - Harnesslink

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However, no system is perfect and there are a couple of matters that must be considered when using AEI figures to compare stallions. Cumulative AEI The top earner for a stallion can skew the result if they earn a considerable amount of the total prizemoney. Taking Pentire as an example, his top earner Xcellent earned approximately $590,000 this season or around 40% of Pentire’s total. Working out Pentire’s AEI without including Xcellent it comes in at 3.69 – still more than three times the average of 1.00, but less than his season value of 6.06.To get a result that is less dependent on any one individual, an AEI for a stallion is best taken over a longer period. In North America where this system was developed, a cumulative (or lifetime) AEI is calculated. The advantage of this is that the total pool of money and runners is larger, so the AEI figure becomes more accurate. Or put another way, the top-earning individual for a stallion becomes a smaller percentage of the total money earned. Taking Soviet Star as an example of seasonal variation, last season he was third on the AEI list with an AEI of 2.94 – largely due to Starcraft’s earnings during the Hawke’s Bay carnival. But this season his AEI is only 0.63; less than average. Soviet Star’s AEI for the two seasons combined is 1.76. This seasonal variation highlights the need for lifetime figures for a stallion. A lifetime (cumulative) AEI figure evens out good and bad seasons for the stallion, while still valuing the dollars earned by the leading money-earner. As discussed above, because each season is taken as a separate pool, there is no impact of prizemoney inflation on the lifetime AEI figure. Mare Quality Opportunity Another major consideration is the mare quality opportunity that a stallion receives. The mare brings 50% of the pieces into the genetic puzzle and that is easily overlooked when assessing the value of a stallion. So how can we isolate the effect of the mare’s genetic contribution to establish an accurate measure of the stallion’s worth? A sire standing at a higher fee often attracts better mares, while the opposite is true for lesser valued stallions. How can we quantify the relative quality of the mares served by a stallion, so that we can objectively assess stallions on a “man-to-man” basis? Breeders often talk about whether a stallion upgrades his mares or not. Debate rages about stallions that receive what’s considered excellent great opportunities with quality mares, and then achieve a level of moderate success. The debate centres on whether a Group winner makes such a stallion successful, or whether he’s a failure for not living up to the quality of mares he served. Conversely, some stallions leave a decent percentage of good horses, but are overlooked in the marketplace, perhaps because of small crops, stud location or various other reasons. How do we easily find out if a stallion is improving the mares he serves, or if the mares sent to him are making his results better than they otherwise might be? Comparable Index (CI) The Americans overcame the problem of mare quality with the invention of the Comparable Index (CI). The purpose of the Comparable Index is to give a value to the quality of mares that visit a stallion. If a number can be produced that also has 1.00 as the average value then it can be compared directly to a stallion’s lifetime AEI. If the AEI is larger than the CI, then the stallion is an upgrading his mares. For example, Cape Cross is a sire who has some relevance for New Zealand breeders and has available figures online (courtesy of USA Bloodhorse magazine). His lifetime AEI (northern hemisphere) is 1.74, but his CI is 1.35. Hence, Cape 16 Cross has improved or upgraded his northern hemisphere mares. However, if the CI figure is larger than the AEI, then the stallion is performing worse than the mares sent to him have performed with other stallions. The key here is to calculate such a figure for the progeny of the mares sent to a stallion – but using only the progeny by other stallions. For example, Eight Carat left seven runners by Zabeel (2), Sticks and Stones, Sir Tristram (2), Gold and Ivory, Danzatore. To work out her contribution to Zabeel’s CI, you would do an AEI style calculation for her five runners that were not by Zabeel. The CI is calculated on the same basis as the AEI – but is more complicated to compute because the raw data is harder to compile. The end result, however, is a figure that has the same mechanism and allows direct comparison between a stallion’s AEI figure and his CI figure. Simply put, a stallion’s AEI is the performance of his own progeny, and his CI is the performance of his mares’ progeny by other stallions. Mare quality without CI data However, this information isn’t currently available in New Zealand, so breeders have to make judgement calls based on more informal calculations. For example, if a stallion stands at a certain fee level, say $20,000 or more, then it is assumed he’s had a decent mare opportunity. But as we don’t have CI figures available, breeders are forced to assume a level of mare quality. To assist with this, the American figures are: stallions who stood for $25,000 or more had an average CI of 2.53; stallions who stood between $10,000 and $25,000 had an average CI of 1.95; stallions who stood between $5,000 and $10,000 had an average CI of 1.63; and stallions who stood for less than $5,000 had an average CI of 0.89. Figures courtesy of USA Bloodhorse magazine. Creating AEI/CI for the Asia-Pacific region With the range of racing conditions and prizemoney available in the Asia-Pacific region, any system that is going to be used to evaluate a stallion’s lifetime record needs to be transferable between regions. Because the calculation of AEI is ratio-based, it copes with the problem of different average earnings per runner in different regions. Looking at the American system, they calculate AEI for three regions – North America, Europe and Japan. These are then combined into a single figure to produce an overall result for a stallion. The CI calculation is done on the same basis. It would be ideal for breeders if these figures could be produced for New Zealand, Australia and Asia (ie Hong Kong, Singapore etc). Conclusion The Average Earnings Index is another tool to help breeders make decisions. It is particularly useful for sorting out which stallions throw consistently good offspring and those who are high on the stallion’s table by sheer weight of progeny numbers. Because the figures are normalised (ie have an average of 1.00), both the AEI and CI indexes allow comparisons for a stallion regardless of region. By using a lifetime figure, this evens out good and bad seasons for a stallion, giving a more accurate result in the long term. Lifetime AEI and CI figures for stallions would show the relative merits of each stallion, and help New Zealand breeders to assess each stallion fairly. Not only will this show those stallions who have out-performed their mare opportunity, it will also reveal those stallions who have succeeded due to a high-quality mare opportunity, yet may not have lived up to it. © Renee Geelen & the NZTBA, 2006
Average Earning Index for New Zealand 2005 - 06 season Sire Starters Stakes Sire All Sires Ave Earn. Ave. Index Christian Cullen 125 $2,149,121 $17,193 $6,652 2.58 Fake Left 50 $699,242 $13,985 $6,652 2.10 Falcon Seelster 36 $464,436 $12,901 $6,652 1.94 Wilcos Kosby 23 $289,504 $12,587 $6,652 1.89 Presidential Ball 72 $889,857 $12,359 $6,652 1.86 Bellam 5 $57,603 $11,521 $6,652 1.73 Earl 18 $193,123 $10,729 $6,652 1.61 Precious Bunny 9 $93,275 $10,364 $6,652 1.56 Dream Away 78 $803,910 $10,307 $6,652 1.55 Life Sign 21 $196,666 $9,365 $6,652 1.41 Panorama 15 $135,156 $9,010 $6,652 1.35 Armbro Operative 69 $614,099 $8,900 $6,652 1.34 Albert Albert 29 $252,376 $8,703 $6,652 1.31 Badlands Hanover 121 $1,048,478 $8,665 $6,652 1.30 Straphanger 21 $181,244 $8,631 $6,652 1.30 Sundon 210 $1,809,376 $8,616 $6,652 1.30 Sands A Flyin 82 $685,655 $8,362 $6,652 1.26 In The Pocket 163 $1,360,510 $8,347 $6,652 1.25 Wrestle 6 $48,916 $8,153 $6,652 1.23 Call Me Now 6 $48,664 $8,111 $6,652 1.22 Chiola Hanover 18 $143,833 $7,991 $6,652 1.20 Union Guy 17 $123,448 $7,262 $6,652 1.09 Village Jasper 20 $144,101 $7,205 $6,652 1.08 Sharvid Adios 5 $35,605 $7,121 $6,652 1.07 Man Around Town 37 $262,870 $7,105 $6,652 1.07 Armbro Invasion 92 $643,617 $6,996 $6,652 1.05 Butler’s Reward 5 $34,656 $6,931 $6,652 1.04 J C’S Suprimo 9 $60,881 $6,765 $6,652 1.02 Troublemaker 6 $40,435 $6,739 $6,652 1.01 Live Or Die 262 $1,740,109 $6,642 $6,652 1.00 Beach Towel 57 $372,887 $6,542 $6,652 0.98 Grant Our Wishes 36 $226,433 $6,290 $6,652 0.95 Totally Ruthless 14 $84,739 $6,053 $6,652 0.91 Barnett Hanover 8 $46,844 $5,855 $6,652 0.88 Tinted Cloud 49 $281,011 $5,735 $6,652 0.86 Evander’s Gold 26 $147,655 $5,679 $6,652 0.85 Holmes Hanover 269 $1,469,698 $5,464 $6,652 0.82 Sir Vancelot 40 $217,931 $5,448 $6,652 0.82 Soky’s Atom 96 $508,716 $5,299 $6,652 0.80 Make A Deal 28 $147,035 $5,251 $6,652 0.79 Island Fantasy 11 $56,268 $5,115 $6,652 0.77 Courage Under Fire 20 $100,458 $5,023 $6,652 0.76 Holdonmyheart 25 $124,746 $4,990 $6,652 0.75 Go For Grins 11 $53,610 $4,874 $6,652 0.73 Miles McCool 22 $106,797 $4,854 $6,652 0.73 Caprock 71 $338,763 $4,771 $6,652 0.72 Jaguar Spur 9 $42,361 $4,707 $6,652 0.71 17 Sire Starters Stakes Sire All Sires Ave Earn. Ave. Index Continentalman 5 $23,446 $4,689 $6,652 0.70 Simon Roydon 18 $84,330 $4,685 $6,652 0.70 Camtastic 38 $174,394 $4,589 $6,652 0.69 Direct Flight 10 $45,411 $4,541 $6,652 0.68 OK Bye 32 $145,185 $4,537 $6,652 0.68 Britewell 42 $189,309 $4,507 $6,652 0.68 Shiney Key 8 $34,250 $4,281 $6,652 0.64 Iraklis 32 $133,295 $4,165 $6,652 0.63 Perfect Art 6 $24,976 $4,163 $6,652 0.63 Ermis 33 $136,975 $4,151 $6,652 0.62 Cam’s Trickster 7 $28,121 $4,017 $6,652 0.60 Mystical Shark 42 $162,181 $3,861 $6,652 0.58 Washington VC 57 $215,090 $3,774 $6,652 0.57 Happy Chatter 8 $29,281 $3,660 $6,652 0.55 Road Machine 39 $142,446 $3,652 $6,652 0.55 Brylin Boyz 11 $39,915 $3,629 $6,652 0.55 Lislea 24 $85,997 $3,583 $6,652 0.54 Artiscape 13 $46,261 $3,559 $6,652 0.53 D M Dilinger 11 $38,291 $3,481 $6,652 0.52 Cameleon 11 $36,823 $3,348 $6,652 0.50 Gee Whiz II 12 $40,069 $3,339 $6,652 0.50 Pacific Rocket 42 $140,166 $3,337 $6,652 0.50 Safely Kept 33 $108,096 $3,276 $6,652 0.49 Tyler’s Best 11 $35,750 $3,250 $6,652 0.49 Whiteland Trouble 19 $59,595 $3,137 $6,652 0.47 Son Of Afella 13 $40,184 $3,091 $6,652 0.46 Above The Stars 22 $65,006 $2,955 $6,652 0.44 Spirit Of Zeus 25 $73,276 $2,931 $6,652 0.44 Knight Rainbow 17 $49,499 $2,912 $6,652 0.44 New York Motoring 23 $62,747 $2,728 $6,652 0.41 Il Vicolo 58 $149,973 $2,586 $6,652 0.39 Jeremys Gambit 15 $28,447 $1,896 $6,652 0.29 Tuapeka Knight 8 $15,083 $1,885 $6,652 0.28 Pernod Eden 16 $30,039 $1,877 $6,652 0.28 Chiola Cola 23 $42,008 $1,826 $6,652 0.27 Island Glow 23 $32,558 $1,416 $6,652 0.21 Elma’s Lad 5 $6,494 $1,299 $6,652 0.20 Motu Mister Smooth 5 $6,400 $1,280 $6,652 0.19 Admiral Halsey 7 $8,748 $1,250 $6,652 0.19 Peace Of Art 7 $6,896 $985 $6,652 0.15 Knightly Urge 14 $10,729 $766 $6,652 0.12 Motoring Magic 5 $2,216 $443 $6,652 0.07 For a sire to be included in this list, he must have a minimum of 5 starters for the season.
Page 1 and 2: MAINLAND BANNER Harness Horse Of Th
Page 3 and 4: Register of STANDARDBRED STALLIONS
Page 5 and 6: FOREWORD NZ Standardbred Breeders
Page 7 and 8: GUIDELINES FOR BREEDERS & STUDMASTE
Page 9 and 10: No. Foals Registered Each Year Sire
Page 11 and 12: Stallions available in New Zealand
Page 13 and 14: NORTH ISLAND New Zealand Stud Farms
Page 15 and 16: Winners of Group & Listed Age Races
Page 17: New Zealand Results, 2005-06 (Figur
Page 21 and 22: New Zealand Leading Pacing Sires 20
Page 23 and 24: New Zealand Leading Pacing Sires 20
Page 25 and 26: New Zealand Leading Trotting Sires
Page 27 and 28: Leading American & Canadian Pacing
Page 29 and 30: North American Sires comparison Sir
Page 31 and 32: Number of mares served in Australia
Page 33 and 34: Equine vaccination programmes may d
Page 39 and 40: ADD VALUE TO YOUR FOALS … GO WITH
Page 41 and 42: Horse Name: Breeding: Race Series P
Page 46 and 47: WORLD CLASS SIRES Armbro Operative
Page 48 and 49: Nevele R Stud Stallion Service Fees
Page 51 and 52: Jaccka • 600 acres with superbly
Page 53 and 54: Where the Champions are reared and
Page 55 and 56: ★★★ ★★ ★★ ★★ ★
Page 57 and 58: 55 Aust. Booking Enquiries Ph: (03)
Page 60 and 61: ARMBRO OPERATIVE Bay Horse Foaled 1
Page 62: ARTISCAPE Brown Horse Foaled 1995 p
Page 65 and 66: Art Major ARTSPLACE - PERFECT PROFI
Page 67 and 68: ASTREOS Brown Horse Foaled 1997 p2,
Page 69 and 70:
BARNETT HANOVER Brown Horse Foaled
Page 71 and 72:
US Hall of Fame Sire Sire of NZ 3YO
Page 73 and 74:
BELLA’S BOY “Deep into the dark
Page 75 and 76:
A Sensational Sire 1st 2005 Freshma
Page 78:
BRYLIN BOYZ SIRE LINE: BALANCED IMA
Page 81 and 82:
CAMMIBEST Millionaire Son of “CAM
Page 83 and 84:
CHRISTIAN CULLEN 2005 / 2006 siring
Page 85 and 86:
COURAGE UNDER FIRE Bay Horse Foaled
Page 87 and 88:
DANIEL ANDERSON Black Horse Foaled
Page 89 and 90:
DAY IN A LIFE “Sometimes the hear
Page 91 and 92:
Australasia’s No.1 % Sire One Dre
Page 94:
DR RONERAIL Bay Horse Foaled 1997 t
Page 97 and 98:
ELSU Black Horse Foaled 1999 p3, 1:
Page 100 and 101:
FALCON’S ICON Bay Horse Foaled 19
Page 102 and 103:
FOUR STARZZZ SHARK Bay Horse Foaled
Page 104 and 105:
GRINFROMEARTOEAR Bay Horse Foaled 1
Page 106 and 107:
IN THE POCKET Brown Horse Foaled 19
Page 108 and 109:
IRAKLIS ARK PRINCESS INDIANNA ROSE
Page 110 and 111:
ISLAND GLOW Bay Horse Foaled 1991 p
Page 112:
JULIUS CAESAR Black Horse Foaled 20
Page 115 and 116:
113
Page 117 and 118:
LAST SUNSET 115 A son of SUNDON •
Page 119 and 120:
117
Page 121 and 122:
Perfect Pedigree 3/4 brother to Lis
Page 123 and 124:
McARDLE Bay Horse Foaled 1999 p2, 1
Page 125 and 126:
MACH THREE MACH THREE his first cro
Page 127 and 128:
MATTUITY Brown Horse Foaled 1991 p2
Page 129 and 130:
127
Page 131 and 132:
PACIFIC ROCKET Brown Horse Foaled 1
Page 133 and 134:
Richest Trotting Stallion Ever To S
Page 136 and 137:
PRESIDENTIAL BALL Brown Horse Foale
Page 138 and 139:
RIGHTEOUS HANOVER Bay Horse Foaled
Page 140 and 141:
SANDS A FLYIN Bay Horse Foaled 1992
Page 142 and 143:
SUNDON Bay Horse Foaled 1985 t2, 2:
Page 144 and 145:
THE BIG DOG Bay Horse Foaled 1994 p
Page 146 and 147:
TINTED CLOUD Brown Horse Foaled 199
Page 148 and 149:
WASHINGTON VC Black Horse Foaled 19
Page 150 and 151:
WESTERN TERROR Bay Horse Foaled 200
Page 152 and 153:
YOUNG RUFUS Brown Horse Foaled 1997
Page 154:
STALLIONS - ALPHABETICALLY * Frozen
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