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Paramount Resource Ltd. - FirstEnergy Capital Corp.

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EnergyGrowth Conference<br />

<strong>FirstEnergy</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Corp</strong>./Société Générale<br />

November 13, 2012


Future Oriented Information<br />

(See additional advisories at the end of this document)<br />

• In the interest of providing information regarding <strong>Paramount</strong> <strong>Resource</strong>s <strong>Ltd</strong>.<br />

("<strong>Paramount</strong>" or the "Company"), including management's assessment of the<br />

Company's future plans and operations, this presentation contains certain<br />

forward-looking information and forward-looking statements.<br />

• The projections, estimates and beliefs contained in such forward-looking<br />

information and statements necessarily involve known and unknown risks and<br />

uncertainties which may cause the Company's actual performance and<br />

financial results in future periods to differ materially from any estimates or<br />

projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such<br />

forward-looking statements. The material risks and uncertainties are referred<br />

to in the advisories contained in Appendix A.<br />

• Accordingly, shareholders and potential investors are cautioned that events or<br />

circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially from those<br />

predicted.<br />

• Any use of information contained within this presentation is expressly<br />

forbidden.<br />

2


<strong>Corp</strong>orate Profile<br />

• Q3 YTD 2012 average production: 19,663 Boe/d (~ 80% gas)<br />

• 89.8 MM shares outstanding<br />

• Market capitalization @ $35.00/share: $3.1 billion<br />

• > 50% insider ownership<br />

• 1.2 million net acres undeveloped land (December 31, 2011)<br />

• Net Debt: ~$500 MM (September 30, 2012 pro-forma equity issue)<br />

• 2012 <strong>Capital</strong> Expenditure Guidance 1) :<br />

• $475 MM E&D<br />

• $60 MM Strategic Investments<br />

• 2012 Exit production guidance 2) : ~26,000 Boe/d<br />

1) The Company has the flexibility to increase or decrease spending.<br />

2) Subject to the availability of downstream NGLs processing capacity.<br />

3


Core Areas<br />

Average Production (Boe/d) Q3 YTD 2012<br />

Kaybob 10,710<br />

Grande Prairie 4,299<br />

Southern 3,014<br />

Northern 1,640<br />

Total Boe/d 19,663<br />

2012 E&D <strong>Capital</strong> Budget*: $475 MM<br />

• ~$350 MM in Kaybob<br />

2012 Strategic Investments: $60 MM<br />

• Build two new rigs in Fox Drilling<br />

• Oilsands spending in Cavalier<br />

• Liard Basin shale gas<br />

*The Company has the flexibility to increase or decrease spending.<br />

4


Kaybob Gas <strong>Resource</strong><br />

• Significant liquids-rich gas<br />

resource exists within<br />

Deep Basin tight sand<br />

reservoirs<br />

• 40–160 Bcf per section<br />

OGIP*<br />

• 1.5–5.0 Bcf EUR per<br />

vertical/directional well<br />

• ~ 5+ Bcf EUR per Hz well<br />

• > 10.0 Tcf OGIP net to<br />

PRL*<br />

* Internal estimates<br />

CRETACEOUS GAS SANDS OGIP PER SECTION<br />

70 Bcf/Section Average OGIP*<br />

5


Dunvegan Hz Wells<br />

Gas Rate (MMcf/d)<br />

10.00<br />

8.00<br />

6.00<br />

4.00<br />

2.00<br />

0<br />

• Hz Dunvegan well at<br />

Resthaven<br />

• Tested 11.3 MMcf/d*<br />

at 6.2 MPa<br />

• IP: 8.3 MMcf/d<br />

• Producing 2.4 MMcf/d<br />

• Cost: $8.3 MM d/c/t<br />

Cum Production: 3.8 Bcf<br />

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900<br />

Days on Production<br />

*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />

6


Falher Hz Wells<br />

Raw Gas Prod (MMcf/d)<br />

16.0<br />

14.0<br />

12.0<br />

10.0<br />

8.0<br />

6.0<br />

4.0<br />

2.0<br />

• Hz Falher well at<br />

Musreau<br />

• Tested 16.4 MMcf/d*<br />

at 20.8 MPa<br />

• IP: 12 MMcf/d<br />

• Producing ~3 MMcf/d<br />

• Cost: $8.6 MM d/c/t<br />

Cum Production: 3.6 Bcf<br />

0.0<br />

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900<br />

Days on Production<br />

*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />

7


Falher Production<br />

8


Economics of Kaybob 4.9 Bcf Horizontal Falher Well<br />

* Based on processing through a refrigeration facility<br />

9


Fahler Drilling Time Improvements<br />

10


Fahler Completion Cost Improvements<br />

* Data points not included in trend<br />

*<br />

*<br />

*<br />

*<br />

*<br />

*<br />

11


Montney Gas <strong>Resource</strong><br />

• Liquids-rich Montney gas play<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> holds 210 sections<br />

(113,000 net acres) of Montney rights<br />

• 2011 drilling included 5 Hz Montney<br />

wells:<br />

• 15-33 (50% WI) tested over 10 MMcf/d (1)<br />

on production; IP 6 MMcf/d + liquids<br />

• First 4 operated Hz wells 9-14,1-35,16-28<br />

& 13-30 drilled; tested 7.2–12 MMcf/d (1) +<br />

liquids<br />

• 2012 program includes eight Hz<br />

Montney wells; first five drilled<br />

• 14-21 tested 14.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />

• 8-17 tested 5.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />

• 102/9-31 tested 11.6 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />

• 102/13-36 tested 10.6 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />

• 102/16-31 tested 10.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />

• Offset activity indicating exciting test<br />

rates of over 10 MMcf/d + liquids<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> estimates 70+ Bcf/section<br />

OGIP, ~15 Tcf + liquids (2)<br />

1) Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 2) Internal estimates 12


Montney Cross - Section<br />

13


<strong>Paramount</strong> Musreau/Resthaven Montney<br />

Lands<br />

1) Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 2) Internal estimates<br />

14


3.7 Bcf Montney Type Curve<br />

* Based on processing through a refrigeration facility<br />

15


Montney Wellbore Placement<br />

Placement of the wellbore<br />

matters:<br />

1. Penetration rates<br />

2. Accessing the “best” part of<br />

the reservoir<br />

3. Toe up/toe down can effect<br />

the long term rates/EUR’s of<br />

the wells<br />

16


Montney Drilling Time Improvements<br />

• Pad drilling/Pad<br />

layout<br />

• Bits/Muds/Motors<br />

• Well design:<br />

monobores/<br />

orientation/<br />

reservoir placement<br />

• Toe up/Toe down:<br />

effects on<br />

production<br />

• Natural gas fueled<br />

rigs<br />

17


Montney Completion Cost Improvements<br />

• Cemented<br />

liners/openhole<br />

packers (ECP’s)<br />

• Plug and perf/sliding<br />

sleeves<br />

• Frac sizing/spacing/<br />

clusters<br />

• Frac fluid/fluid<br />

handling<br />

• Pumping techniques<br />

• Frac fluid recycling<br />

• Proppants<br />

• Flow back/production<br />

practices<br />

* Data points not included in trend<br />

*<br />

*<br />

18


Kaybob Plant Capacity<br />

Current Capacity<br />

Gross<br />

Raw<br />

Gas<br />

MMcf/d<br />

Net POU<br />

Raw<br />

Capacity<br />

MMcf/d<br />

Est. Net<br />

Sales<br />

Boe/d<br />

Musreau 45 45 8,600<br />

Resthaven Plant 20 10 2,000<br />

Smoky Plant 100 10 2,500<br />

Kakwa Plant 40 4 720<br />

Pembina Musreau<br />

Processing Capacity 10 10 1,800<br />

Subtotal 215 79 15,620<br />

Future Capacity<br />

Musreau Phase II Deep-<br />

Cut (H2 2013) 200 200 50,000<br />

Smoky/Resthaven<br />

Deep-Cut (H1 2014) 200 30 7,500<br />

Subtotal 400 230 57,500<br />

Projected YE 2013 Total 615 309 73,120<br />

•Behind pipe capacity at November 2, 1012: Over 200 MMcf/d (150 MMcf/d net) raw gas;<br />

estimated 43,700 Boe/d (1st month average), 20,700 Boe/d (1st year average)<br />

19


More NGL’s - Why Now?<br />

• Historically, producers extracted only enough liquids to meet<br />

“hydrocarbon dewpoint" for sales gas pipeline specifications<br />

• Value gas with higher natural gas liquids (NGL's) was sold as a higher<br />

heat content (more GJ's of energy per standard cubic foot of natural<br />

gas) natural gas, i.e. higher priced gas<br />

• The natural gas was sold in to the system and the NGL's were generally<br />

recovered at straddle plants which then stripped these remaining NGL's<br />

and sold them to end users<br />

• Higher pricing for liquid hydrocarbons combined with lower natural gas<br />

prices have created a situation where producers now wish to capture<br />

this value for themselves, generally via a “Deep Cut” Plant<br />

20


What is Deep-Cut?<br />

• Deep-Cut simply refers to capturing a higher amount of NGLs<br />

present in certain high-heat content (rich) natural gas streams<br />

• Liquids are generally captured by cooling the natural gas stream<br />

sufficiently to change the phase of the components from a gas<br />

to a liquid, then separating these streams using gravity:<br />

• Refrigeration units: ~ -10º C to - 40º C<br />

• Pressure drop: down to -100º C<br />

• J-T valve<br />

• Turbo expander (more efficient)<br />

21


Process Flow Chart: Musreau Deep Cut Facility<br />

*Based on indicative prices and differentials which are subject to change<br />

22


Deep-Cut<br />

@ $3.00/Mcf, $100/Bbl<br />

Price<br />

Mix of Cretaceous and Montney<br />

Wells Example<br />

200 MMcf/d x 15% Shrinkage = 170<br />

MMcf/d (28,333 Boe/d) Sales Gas<br />

100 Bbl/MMcf: 20,000 Bbl/d NGL’s<br />

Montney Wells Only Example<br />

200 MMcf/d x 23% Shrinkage = 154<br />

MMcf/d (25,667 Boe/d) Sales Gas<br />

150 Bbl/MMcf: ~ 30,000 Bbl/d NGL’s<br />

Deep-Cut Rich Gas $3.00/mcf 170 MMcf/d $510,000 154 MMcf/d $462,000<br />

Condensate $100.00/Bbl 8,000 Bbl/d $800,000 12,400 Bbl/d $1,240,000<br />

Butane $65.00/Bbl 2,000 Bbl/d $130,000 2,500 Bbl/d $162,500<br />

Propane $35.00/Bbl 4,000 Bbl/d $140,000 5,000 Bbl/d $175,000<br />

Ethane $12.00/Bbl 6,000 Bbl/d $72,000 10,480 Bbl/d $125,760<br />

Total: 48,333 Boe/d $1,652,000 MM/d 56,047 Boe/d $2,165,260/d<br />

Royalty 5% ($82,600/day) 5% ($108,260/day)<br />

Operating Cost ($0.50/mcf) ($85,000/day) ($0.50/mcf) ($77,000/day)<br />

Total:<br />

17.6<br />

MMBoe/year<br />

$1,484,400 /day<br />

$542 MM /year<br />

$30.78/Boe<br />

20.5<br />

MMBoe/year<br />

$1,980,000/day<br />

$723 MM /year<br />

$35.25/Boe<br />

23


<strong>Paramount</strong> Deep-Cut Montney Project<br />

Economics<br />

<strong>Resource</strong> Needed:<br />

200 MMcf/d x 365 ~ 73 Bcf/year x 10 year RLI = 730 Bcf<br />

70 Bcf/section @ ~ 50 % recovery = ~ 20 Sections<br />

Cost<br />

40 (5 MMcf/d wells) x $10 MM/well = $400 MM<br />

Gas Plant = $200 MM<br />

Total: $600 MM<br />

Annual Deep-Cut Cash Flow $542 MM/year - $723 MM/year<br />

Annual <strong>Capital</strong> = 20 (3.5 Bcf) wells x $10 MM/well $200 MM/year<br />

Free Cash Flow $342 MM - $523 MM/year<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong>’s shallow rights will add substantially to the RLI<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> has de-risked a substantial amount of its land base and<br />

thus could have the potential to do this many times: Simple Payout is<br />

1.1 - 1.75 years<br />

24


Karr-Gold Creek<br />

• Located 50 km SW of Grande<br />

Prairie<br />

• Multi-zone potential, including<br />

Halfway, Montney sour and<br />

Nikanassin, Gething, Bluesky and<br />

Falher sweet commingled gas<br />

• Current lands ~95,000 net acres<br />

(~148 sections)<br />

• Average 83% working interest<br />

• Current program:<br />

• Expanded plant and gathering<br />

systems to 40 MMcf/d<br />

• Production optimization<br />

through addition of artificial lift<br />

in high liquids yield wells<br />

• Constructing gathering to west<br />

to capture new liquids-rich<br />

Halfway discovery and future<br />

associated development<br />

• Currently testing first horizontal<br />

Upper Montney well<br />

25


Valhalla<br />

• Montney/Doig Play<br />

• Eight wells tied in at restricted<br />

rates (facility constraints)<br />

• Four wells awaiting completion<br />

• Two wells awaiting tie-in<br />

• Gathering system expansion<br />

and additional compression<br />

completed Q1 2012<br />

• Continued acquisition of<br />

strategic producing assets and<br />

land<br />

• Refocus on high-liquid yield<br />

prospects at East Valhalla<br />

*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 26


Birch<br />

• Acquired as part of the Prospex<br />

acquisition<br />

• Completed Hz Montney well with<br />

promising results; significant liquids<br />

ratio on test<br />

• Production processed through pilot<br />

facility limited to 3 MMcf/d<br />

• Drilled and completed two additional<br />

horizontal Montney wells awaiting tie in<br />

*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />

27


<strong>Paramount</strong> Investments


<strong>Paramount</strong> Investments<br />

19.1 MM shares of Trilogy @ $27.00/share ~$517 MM<br />

43.8 MM MGM Energy <strong>Corp</strong>. shares @<br />

~$0.21/share<br />

~$9 MM<br />

<strong>Paramount</strong> Drilling U.S./Fox Drilling Inc. ~$85 MM<br />

3.7 MM shares of MEG Energy @ $35.50/share ~$131 MM<br />

Other (Paxton, Fox Creek, etc) ~$15 MM<br />

Total<br />

~$757 MM<br />

<strong>Paramount</strong> shares outstanding 89.8 MM<br />

<strong>Paramount</strong> investments/share ~$8.43/share<br />

29


Cavalier Energy Inc.


• Created in December 2011<br />

• Experienced team led by CEO Dr. Will Roach (ex UTS)<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> has contributed all of its oilsands assets to Cavalier<br />

Energy and seed capital<br />

• Funding at the Cavalier level will be via a combination of equity<br />

and debt<br />

• Assets retained as 100% WI within Cavalier Energy<br />

31


Cavalier Assets<br />

• Approximately 311 sections<br />

• Prospective primarily for<br />

conventional oilsands, bitumen<br />

in carbonates, and cold flow<br />

heavy oil<br />

• All but 4 sections 100% WI<br />

32


Hoole Grand Rapids - 1st Project<br />

Grand Rapids Reservoir<br />

• Φ = 30 %, k = 1 to 4 D<br />

• d = 250m, h ~ 20m, p = 1500 kPa<br />

• Viscosity = 200,000 to 2,000,000 cp<br />

1AA/06-13-081-24W4/00<br />

<strong>Paramount</strong> 2004/02/28<br />

<strong>Paramount</strong> Kwabiskaw<br />

483.0<br />

• McDaniel Best Estimate 614.1 : OBIP= 1.6 Billion<br />

Bbl<br />

• 75 wells drilled to date; 39 cored<br />

• 763 million Bbl* Best Estimate Recoverable<br />

Contingent resource<br />

• NPV BT 10%: $1.2 - $3.8 billion*<br />

• Best Estimate NPV BT 10%: $2.5 billion*<br />

Kjoli_fou<br />

Kgrand_rp<br />

250<br />

275<br />

300<br />

*Evaluation effective June 30, 2012. Please refer to<br />

the Advisories for description of resource<br />

definition.<br />

33


Liard Basin<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> holds<br />

~127,000 net acres<br />

prospective for shale<br />

gas<br />

• 200-500+* Bcf/section<br />

• ~20% recovery<br />

• POU ~ 15 Tcf sales<br />

gas*<br />

*Internal estimates<br />

34


Liard Basin<br />

Cross Section – Besa River Shale Gas<br />

35


Quarterly Operating Results<br />

Production<br />

Boe/d<br />

Funds Flow<br />

$MM<br />

• Q3 YTD 2012<br />

Production<br />

represents a 17%<br />

growth year over<br />

year YTD Q3 2011<br />

• Growing production and<br />

cost controls are<br />

mitigating the impact of<br />

lower commodity<br />

pricing<br />

Operating Costs<br />

$/Boe<br />

G&A - <strong>Corp</strong>orate<br />

$/Boe<br />

• Maintaining cost<br />

controls with<br />

increasing production<br />

volumes is driving per<br />

Boe operating costs<br />

down<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> has<br />

doubled production<br />

while maintaining<br />

staffing levels and<br />

costs<br />

36


Reserves<br />

Reserve Category<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

BCF<br />

Crude Oil<br />

MBbl<br />

NGL<br />

MBbl<br />

Boe<br />

(6:1)<br />

MBoe %<br />

Proved Producing 120.9 4,632 2,455 27,233 51<br />

Proved Non-Producing 30.6 241 1,128 6,469 12<br />

Proved Undeveloped 10.5 - 216 1,963 4<br />

Total Proved 162.0 4,873 3,799 35,665 67<br />

Reserve Category<br />

Natural<br />

Gas<br />

BCF<br />

Crude Oil<br />

MBbl<br />

NGL<br />

MBbl<br />

Boe<br />

(6:1)<br />

MBoe %<br />

Probable Producing 42.5 1,418 859 9,357 18<br />

Probable Non-Producing 17.0 182 521 3,547 7<br />

Probable Undeveloped 22.6 99 581 4,446 8<br />

Total Probable 82.1 1,699 1,961 17,350 33<br />

Total Proved plus Probable 244.1 6,573 5,760 53,015 100<br />

37


Summary<br />

• Exposure to significant reserve opportunities<br />

• Kaybob Deep Basin: Cretaceous, Montney<br />

• Karr: Montney, Nikanassin<br />

• Valhalla: Montney, Doig<br />

• Birch: Montney<br />

• Significant asset value<br />

• Trilogy<br />

• MGM<br />

• MEG Energy<br />

• Cavalier Energy<br />

• Horn River/Liard Shale Gas<br />

• <strong>Paramount</strong> continues to provide long-term value creation for<br />

shareholders<br />

38


4700 Bankers Hall West<br />

888 Third Street S.W.<br />

Calgary, Alberta<br />

Canada T2P 5C5<br />

Telephone: (403) 290-3600<br />

Facsimile: (403) 262-7994<br />

www.paramountres.com

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