Paramount Resource Ltd. - FirstEnergy Capital Corp.
Paramount Resource Ltd. - FirstEnergy Capital Corp.
Paramount Resource Ltd. - FirstEnergy Capital Corp.
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EnergyGrowth Conference<br />
<strong>FirstEnergy</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Corp</strong>./Société Générale<br />
November 13, 2012
Future Oriented Information<br />
(See additional advisories at the end of this document)<br />
• In the interest of providing information regarding <strong>Paramount</strong> <strong>Resource</strong>s <strong>Ltd</strong>.<br />
("<strong>Paramount</strong>" or the "Company"), including management's assessment of the<br />
Company's future plans and operations, this presentation contains certain<br />
forward-looking information and forward-looking statements.<br />
• The projections, estimates and beliefs contained in such forward-looking<br />
information and statements necessarily involve known and unknown risks and<br />
uncertainties which may cause the Company's actual performance and<br />
financial results in future periods to differ materially from any estimates or<br />
projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such<br />
forward-looking statements. The material risks and uncertainties are referred<br />
to in the advisories contained in Appendix A.<br />
• Accordingly, shareholders and potential investors are cautioned that events or<br />
circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially from those<br />
predicted.<br />
• Any use of information contained within this presentation is expressly<br />
forbidden.<br />
2
<strong>Corp</strong>orate Profile<br />
• Q3 YTD 2012 average production: 19,663 Boe/d (~ 80% gas)<br />
• 89.8 MM shares outstanding<br />
• Market capitalization @ $35.00/share: $3.1 billion<br />
• > 50% insider ownership<br />
• 1.2 million net acres undeveloped land (December 31, 2011)<br />
• Net Debt: ~$500 MM (September 30, 2012 pro-forma equity issue)<br />
• 2012 <strong>Capital</strong> Expenditure Guidance 1) :<br />
• $475 MM E&D<br />
• $60 MM Strategic Investments<br />
• 2012 Exit production guidance 2) : ~26,000 Boe/d<br />
1) The Company has the flexibility to increase or decrease spending.<br />
2) Subject to the availability of downstream NGLs processing capacity.<br />
3
Core Areas<br />
Average Production (Boe/d) Q3 YTD 2012<br />
Kaybob 10,710<br />
Grande Prairie 4,299<br />
Southern 3,014<br />
Northern 1,640<br />
Total Boe/d 19,663<br />
2012 E&D <strong>Capital</strong> Budget*: $475 MM<br />
• ~$350 MM in Kaybob<br />
2012 Strategic Investments: $60 MM<br />
• Build two new rigs in Fox Drilling<br />
• Oilsands spending in Cavalier<br />
• Liard Basin shale gas<br />
*The Company has the flexibility to increase or decrease spending.<br />
4
Kaybob Gas <strong>Resource</strong><br />
• Significant liquids-rich gas<br />
resource exists within<br />
Deep Basin tight sand<br />
reservoirs<br />
• 40–160 Bcf per section<br />
OGIP*<br />
• 1.5–5.0 Bcf EUR per<br />
vertical/directional well<br />
• ~ 5+ Bcf EUR per Hz well<br />
• > 10.0 Tcf OGIP net to<br />
PRL*<br />
* Internal estimates<br />
CRETACEOUS GAS SANDS OGIP PER SECTION<br />
70 Bcf/Section Average OGIP*<br />
5
Dunvegan Hz Wells<br />
Gas Rate (MMcf/d)<br />
10.00<br />
8.00<br />
6.00<br />
4.00<br />
2.00<br />
0<br />
• Hz Dunvegan well at<br />
Resthaven<br />
• Tested 11.3 MMcf/d*<br />
at 6.2 MPa<br />
• IP: 8.3 MMcf/d<br />
• Producing 2.4 MMcf/d<br />
• Cost: $8.3 MM d/c/t<br />
Cum Production: 3.8 Bcf<br />
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900<br />
Days on Production<br />
*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />
6
Falher Hz Wells<br />
Raw Gas Prod (MMcf/d)<br />
16.0<br />
14.0<br />
12.0<br />
10.0<br />
8.0<br />
6.0<br />
4.0<br />
2.0<br />
• Hz Falher well at<br />
Musreau<br />
• Tested 16.4 MMcf/d*<br />
at 20.8 MPa<br />
• IP: 12 MMcf/d<br />
• Producing ~3 MMcf/d<br />
• Cost: $8.6 MM d/c/t<br />
Cum Production: 3.6 Bcf<br />
0.0<br />
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900<br />
Days on Production<br />
*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />
7
Falher Production<br />
8
Economics of Kaybob 4.9 Bcf Horizontal Falher Well<br />
* Based on processing through a refrigeration facility<br />
9
Fahler Drilling Time Improvements<br />
10
Fahler Completion Cost Improvements<br />
* Data points not included in trend<br />
*<br />
*<br />
*<br />
*<br />
*<br />
*<br />
11
Montney Gas <strong>Resource</strong><br />
• Liquids-rich Montney gas play<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> holds 210 sections<br />
(113,000 net acres) of Montney rights<br />
• 2011 drilling included 5 Hz Montney<br />
wells:<br />
• 15-33 (50% WI) tested over 10 MMcf/d (1)<br />
on production; IP 6 MMcf/d + liquids<br />
• First 4 operated Hz wells 9-14,1-35,16-28<br />
& 13-30 drilled; tested 7.2–12 MMcf/d (1) +<br />
liquids<br />
• 2012 program includes eight Hz<br />
Montney wells; first five drilled<br />
• 14-21 tested 14.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />
• 8-17 tested 5.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />
• 102/9-31 tested 11.6 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />
• 102/13-36 tested 10.6 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />
• 102/16-31 tested 10.5 MMcf/d (1) + liquids<br />
• Offset activity indicating exciting test<br />
rates of over 10 MMcf/d + liquids<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> estimates 70+ Bcf/section<br />
OGIP, ~15 Tcf + liquids (2)<br />
1) Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 2) Internal estimates 12
Montney Cross - Section<br />
13
<strong>Paramount</strong> Musreau/Resthaven Montney<br />
Lands<br />
1) Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 2) Internal estimates<br />
14
3.7 Bcf Montney Type Curve<br />
* Based on processing through a refrigeration facility<br />
15
Montney Wellbore Placement<br />
Placement of the wellbore<br />
matters:<br />
1. Penetration rates<br />
2. Accessing the “best” part of<br />
the reservoir<br />
3. Toe up/toe down can effect<br />
the long term rates/EUR’s of<br />
the wells<br />
16
Montney Drilling Time Improvements<br />
• Pad drilling/Pad<br />
layout<br />
• Bits/Muds/Motors<br />
• Well design:<br />
monobores/<br />
orientation/<br />
reservoir placement<br />
• Toe up/Toe down:<br />
effects on<br />
production<br />
• Natural gas fueled<br />
rigs<br />
17
Montney Completion Cost Improvements<br />
• Cemented<br />
liners/openhole<br />
packers (ECP’s)<br />
• Plug and perf/sliding<br />
sleeves<br />
• Frac sizing/spacing/<br />
clusters<br />
• Frac fluid/fluid<br />
handling<br />
• Pumping techniques<br />
• Frac fluid recycling<br />
• Proppants<br />
• Flow back/production<br />
practices<br />
* Data points not included in trend<br />
*<br />
*<br />
18
Kaybob Plant Capacity<br />
Current Capacity<br />
Gross<br />
Raw<br />
Gas<br />
MMcf/d<br />
Net POU<br />
Raw<br />
Capacity<br />
MMcf/d<br />
Est. Net<br />
Sales<br />
Boe/d<br />
Musreau 45 45 8,600<br />
Resthaven Plant 20 10 2,000<br />
Smoky Plant 100 10 2,500<br />
Kakwa Plant 40 4 720<br />
Pembina Musreau<br />
Processing Capacity 10 10 1,800<br />
Subtotal 215 79 15,620<br />
Future Capacity<br />
Musreau Phase II Deep-<br />
Cut (H2 2013) 200 200 50,000<br />
Smoky/Resthaven<br />
Deep-Cut (H1 2014) 200 30 7,500<br />
Subtotal 400 230 57,500<br />
Projected YE 2013 Total 615 309 73,120<br />
•Behind pipe capacity at November 2, 1012: Over 200 MMcf/d (150 MMcf/d net) raw gas;<br />
estimated 43,700 Boe/d (1st month average), 20,700 Boe/d (1st year average)<br />
19
More NGL’s - Why Now?<br />
• Historically, producers extracted only enough liquids to meet<br />
“hydrocarbon dewpoint" for sales gas pipeline specifications<br />
• Value gas with higher natural gas liquids (NGL's) was sold as a higher<br />
heat content (more GJ's of energy per standard cubic foot of natural<br />
gas) natural gas, i.e. higher priced gas<br />
• The natural gas was sold in to the system and the NGL's were generally<br />
recovered at straddle plants which then stripped these remaining NGL's<br />
and sold them to end users<br />
• Higher pricing for liquid hydrocarbons combined with lower natural gas<br />
prices have created a situation where producers now wish to capture<br />
this value for themselves, generally via a “Deep Cut” Plant<br />
20
What is Deep-Cut?<br />
• Deep-Cut simply refers to capturing a higher amount of NGLs<br />
present in certain high-heat content (rich) natural gas streams<br />
• Liquids are generally captured by cooling the natural gas stream<br />
sufficiently to change the phase of the components from a gas<br />
to a liquid, then separating these streams using gravity:<br />
• Refrigeration units: ~ -10º C to - 40º C<br />
• Pressure drop: down to -100º C<br />
• J-T valve<br />
• Turbo expander (more efficient)<br />
21
Process Flow Chart: Musreau Deep Cut Facility<br />
*Based on indicative prices and differentials which are subject to change<br />
22
Deep-Cut<br />
@ $3.00/Mcf, $100/Bbl<br />
Price<br />
Mix of Cretaceous and Montney<br />
Wells Example<br />
200 MMcf/d x 15% Shrinkage = 170<br />
MMcf/d (28,333 Boe/d) Sales Gas<br />
100 Bbl/MMcf: 20,000 Bbl/d NGL’s<br />
Montney Wells Only Example<br />
200 MMcf/d x 23% Shrinkage = 154<br />
MMcf/d (25,667 Boe/d) Sales Gas<br />
150 Bbl/MMcf: ~ 30,000 Bbl/d NGL’s<br />
Deep-Cut Rich Gas $3.00/mcf 170 MMcf/d $510,000 154 MMcf/d $462,000<br />
Condensate $100.00/Bbl 8,000 Bbl/d $800,000 12,400 Bbl/d $1,240,000<br />
Butane $65.00/Bbl 2,000 Bbl/d $130,000 2,500 Bbl/d $162,500<br />
Propane $35.00/Bbl 4,000 Bbl/d $140,000 5,000 Bbl/d $175,000<br />
Ethane $12.00/Bbl 6,000 Bbl/d $72,000 10,480 Bbl/d $125,760<br />
Total: 48,333 Boe/d $1,652,000 MM/d 56,047 Boe/d $2,165,260/d<br />
Royalty 5% ($82,600/day) 5% ($108,260/day)<br />
Operating Cost ($0.50/mcf) ($85,000/day) ($0.50/mcf) ($77,000/day)<br />
Total:<br />
17.6<br />
MMBoe/year<br />
$1,484,400 /day<br />
$542 MM /year<br />
$30.78/Boe<br />
20.5<br />
MMBoe/year<br />
$1,980,000/day<br />
$723 MM /year<br />
$35.25/Boe<br />
23
<strong>Paramount</strong> Deep-Cut Montney Project<br />
Economics<br />
<strong>Resource</strong> Needed:<br />
200 MMcf/d x 365 ~ 73 Bcf/year x 10 year RLI = 730 Bcf<br />
70 Bcf/section @ ~ 50 % recovery = ~ 20 Sections<br />
Cost<br />
40 (5 MMcf/d wells) x $10 MM/well = $400 MM<br />
Gas Plant = $200 MM<br />
Total: $600 MM<br />
Annual Deep-Cut Cash Flow $542 MM/year - $723 MM/year<br />
Annual <strong>Capital</strong> = 20 (3.5 Bcf) wells x $10 MM/well $200 MM/year<br />
Free Cash Flow $342 MM - $523 MM/year<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong>’s shallow rights will add substantially to the RLI<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> has de-risked a substantial amount of its land base and<br />
thus could have the potential to do this many times: Simple Payout is<br />
1.1 - 1.75 years<br />
24
Karr-Gold Creek<br />
• Located 50 km SW of Grande<br />
Prairie<br />
• Multi-zone potential, including<br />
Halfway, Montney sour and<br />
Nikanassin, Gething, Bluesky and<br />
Falher sweet commingled gas<br />
• Current lands ~95,000 net acres<br />
(~148 sections)<br />
• Average 83% working interest<br />
• Current program:<br />
• Expanded plant and gathering<br />
systems to 40 MMcf/d<br />
• Production optimization<br />
through addition of artificial lift<br />
in high liquids yield wells<br />
• Constructing gathering to west<br />
to capture new liquids-rich<br />
Halfway discovery and future<br />
associated development<br />
• Currently testing first horizontal<br />
Upper Montney well<br />
25
Valhalla<br />
• Montney/Doig Play<br />
• Eight wells tied in at restricted<br />
rates (facility constraints)<br />
• Four wells awaiting completion<br />
• Two wells awaiting tie-in<br />
• Gathering system expansion<br />
and additional compression<br />
completed Q1 2012<br />
• Continued acquisition of<br />
strategic producing assets and<br />
land<br />
• Refocus on high-liquid yield<br />
prospects at East Valhalla<br />
*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information 26
Birch<br />
• Acquired as part of the Prospex<br />
acquisition<br />
• Completed Hz Montney well with<br />
promising results; significant liquids<br />
ratio on test<br />
• Production processed through pilot<br />
facility limited to 3 MMcf/d<br />
• Drilled and completed two additional<br />
horizontal Montney wells awaiting tie in<br />
*Please refer to the heading "Test Results" within the "Advisories" section of this presentation for further information<br />
27
<strong>Paramount</strong> Investments
<strong>Paramount</strong> Investments<br />
19.1 MM shares of Trilogy @ $27.00/share ~$517 MM<br />
43.8 MM MGM Energy <strong>Corp</strong>. shares @<br />
~$0.21/share<br />
~$9 MM<br />
<strong>Paramount</strong> Drilling U.S./Fox Drilling Inc. ~$85 MM<br />
3.7 MM shares of MEG Energy @ $35.50/share ~$131 MM<br />
Other (Paxton, Fox Creek, etc) ~$15 MM<br />
Total<br />
~$757 MM<br />
<strong>Paramount</strong> shares outstanding 89.8 MM<br />
<strong>Paramount</strong> investments/share ~$8.43/share<br />
29
Cavalier Energy Inc.
• Created in December 2011<br />
• Experienced team led by CEO Dr. Will Roach (ex UTS)<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> has contributed all of its oilsands assets to Cavalier<br />
Energy and seed capital<br />
• Funding at the Cavalier level will be via a combination of equity<br />
and debt<br />
• Assets retained as 100% WI within Cavalier Energy<br />
31
Cavalier Assets<br />
• Approximately 311 sections<br />
• Prospective primarily for<br />
conventional oilsands, bitumen<br />
in carbonates, and cold flow<br />
heavy oil<br />
• All but 4 sections 100% WI<br />
32
Hoole Grand Rapids - 1st Project<br />
Grand Rapids Reservoir<br />
• Φ = 30 %, k = 1 to 4 D<br />
• d = 250m, h ~ 20m, p = 1500 kPa<br />
• Viscosity = 200,000 to 2,000,000 cp<br />
1AA/06-13-081-24W4/00<br />
<strong>Paramount</strong> 2004/02/28<br />
<strong>Paramount</strong> Kwabiskaw<br />
483.0<br />
• McDaniel Best Estimate 614.1 : OBIP= 1.6 Billion<br />
Bbl<br />
• 75 wells drilled to date; 39 cored<br />
• 763 million Bbl* Best Estimate Recoverable<br />
Contingent resource<br />
• NPV BT 10%: $1.2 - $3.8 billion*<br />
• Best Estimate NPV BT 10%: $2.5 billion*<br />
Kjoli_fou<br />
Kgrand_rp<br />
250<br />
275<br />
300<br />
*Evaluation effective June 30, 2012. Please refer to<br />
the Advisories for description of resource<br />
definition.<br />
33
Liard Basin<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> holds<br />
~127,000 net acres<br />
prospective for shale<br />
gas<br />
• 200-500+* Bcf/section<br />
• ~20% recovery<br />
• POU ~ 15 Tcf sales<br />
gas*<br />
*Internal estimates<br />
34
Liard Basin<br />
Cross Section – Besa River Shale Gas<br />
35
Quarterly Operating Results<br />
Production<br />
Boe/d<br />
Funds Flow<br />
$MM<br />
• Q3 YTD 2012<br />
Production<br />
represents a 17%<br />
growth year over<br />
year YTD Q3 2011<br />
• Growing production and<br />
cost controls are<br />
mitigating the impact of<br />
lower commodity<br />
pricing<br />
Operating Costs<br />
$/Boe<br />
G&A - <strong>Corp</strong>orate<br />
$/Boe<br />
• Maintaining cost<br />
controls with<br />
increasing production<br />
volumes is driving per<br />
Boe operating costs<br />
down<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> has<br />
doubled production<br />
while maintaining<br />
staffing levels and<br />
costs<br />
36
Reserves<br />
Reserve Category<br />
Natural<br />
Gas<br />
BCF<br />
Crude Oil<br />
MBbl<br />
NGL<br />
MBbl<br />
Boe<br />
(6:1)<br />
MBoe %<br />
Proved Producing 120.9 4,632 2,455 27,233 51<br />
Proved Non-Producing 30.6 241 1,128 6,469 12<br />
Proved Undeveloped 10.5 - 216 1,963 4<br />
Total Proved 162.0 4,873 3,799 35,665 67<br />
Reserve Category<br />
Natural<br />
Gas<br />
BCF<br />
Crude Oil<br />
MBbl<br />
NGL<br />
MBbl<br />
Boe<br />
(6:1)<br />
MBoe %<br />
Probable Producing 42.5 1,418 859 9,357 18<br />
Probable Non-Producing 17.0 182 521 3,547 7<br />
Probable Undeveloped 22.6 99 581 4,446 8<br />
Total Probable 82.1 1,699 1,961 17,350 33<br />
Total Proved plus Probable 244.1 6,573 5,760 53,015 100<br />
37
Summary<br />
• Exposure to significant reserve opportunities<br />
• Kaybob Deep Basin: Cretaceous, Montney<br />
• Karr: Montney, Nikanassin<br />
• Valhalla: Montney, Doig<br />
• Birch: Montney<br />
• Significant asset value<br />
• Trilogy<br />
• MGM<br />
• MEG Energy<br />
• Cavalier Energy<br />
• Horn River/Liard Shale Gas<br />
• <strong>Paramount</strong> continues to provide long-term value creation for<br />
shareholders<br />
38
4700 Bankers Hall West<br />
888 Third Street S.W.<br />
Calgary, Alberta<br />
Canada T2P 5C5<br />
Telephone: (403) 290-3600<br />
Facsimile: (403) 262-7994<br />
www.paramountres.com