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Application of Number Needed to Treat (NNT) - GOLD

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84 Cazzola<br />

THIS MANUSCRIPT IS PROVIDED IN CONFIDENCE TO DETERMINE REPRINT INTEREST ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE DISTRIBUTED<br />

EITHER INTERNALLY OR EXTERNALLY VIA PRINT OR ELECTRONIC MEDIA FOR OTHER THAN THE STATED PURPOSE.<br />

more recently, the newer measure <strong>of</strong> number needed <strong>to</strong> screen in<br />

epidemiology.<br />

An additional potential benefit <strong>of</strong> <strong>NNT</strong> lies in the learning<br />

process that accompanies its adoption. The principles underlying<br />

calculation <strong>of</strong> <strong>NNT</strong> are easily unders<strong>to</strong>od and link in logically with<br />

the concepts <strong>of</strong> risk and effect <strong>of</strong> outcomes on such risk. Through<br />

the simple background research that is needed, clinicians wishing<br />

<strong>to</strong> apply clinical evidence <strong>to</strong> their practice can benefit from a<br />

greater understanding <strong>of</strong> how the parameters used <strong>to</strong> generate<br />

<strong>NNT</strong>s, relative and absolute risk, are calculated.<br />

As demonstrated in the present review, <strong>NNT</strong> is becoming more<br />

widely adopted in respira<strong>to</strong>ry medicine. Its recent endorsement by<br />

the Consolidated Standards <strong>of</strong> Reporting Trials (CONSORT)<br />

guidelines [36] means that <strong>NNT</strong> is likely <strong>to</strong> be used more frequently<br />

in the medical literature. Physicians are therefore encouraged <strong>to</strong><br />

consider <strong>NNT</strong> data alongside other established measures when<br />

selecting therapeutic interventions for respira<strong>to</strong>ry medicine.<br />

15. Halliday HL. Postnatal steroids and chronic lung disease in the newborn. Paediatr<br />

Respir Rev 2004; 5 Suppl. A: S245-8<br />

16. Stan<strong>to</strong>n WR, Lowe JB, M<strong>of</strong>fatt J, et al. Randomised control trial <strong>of</strong> a smoking<br />

cessation intervention directed at men whose partners are pregnant. Prev Med<br />

2004; 38: 6-9<br />

17. Shah SS, Ohlsson A, Halliday H, et al. Inhaled versus systemic corticosteroids for<br />

preventing chronic lung disease in ventilated very low birth weight preterm<br />

neonates. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2003; (1): CD002058<br />

18. Ho JJ, Subramaniam P, Henderson-Smart DJ, et al. Continuous distending pressure<br />

for respira<strong>to</strong>ry distress syndrome in preterm infants. Cochrane Database Syst<br />

Rev 2002; (2): CD002271<br />

19. Davis PG, Henderson-Smart DJ. Extubation from low-rate intermittent positive<br />

airways pressure versus extubation after a trial <strong>of</strong> endotracheal continuous<br />

positive airways pressure in intubated preterm infants. Cochrane Database Syst<br />

Rev 2001; (4): CD001078<br />

20. Abramson MJ, Puy RM, Weiner JM. Allergen immunotherapy for asthma. Cochrane<br />

Database Syst Rev 2003; (4): CD001186<br />

21. Powell H, Gibson PG. Inhaled corticosteroid doses in asthma: an evidence-based<br />

approach. Med J Aust 2003; 178: 223-5<br />

22. Rowe BH, Spooner CH, Ducharme FM, et al. Corticosteroids for preventing<br />

relapse following acute exacerbations <strong>of</strong> asthma. Cochrane Database Syst Rev<br />

2001; (1): CD000195<br />

23. Charl<strong>to</strong>n BG. <strong>Number</strong>s needed <strong>to</strong> treat derived from meta-analysis: are an absurdity.<br />

BMJ 1999; 319: 1199<br />

Acknowledgments<br />

24. Smeeth L, Haines A, Ebrahim S. <strong>Number</strong>s needed <strong>to</strong> treat derived from metaanalyses:<br />

sometimes informative, usually misleading. BMJ 1999; 318: 1548-51<br />

25. D’Amico R, Deeks JJ, Altman DG. <strong>Number</strong>s needed <strong>to</strong> treat derived from meta-<br />

The author would like <strong>to</strong> thank AstraZeneca Italy for financial support.<br />

analysis: length <strong>of</strong> follow up is poorly reported. BMJ 1999; 319: 1200<br />

The author would also like <strong>to</strong> thank Adis International Ltd for assistance in the<br />

26. Hopayian K, McGough J. <strong>Number</strong>s needed <strong>to</strong> treat derived from meta-analysis:<br />

preparation <strong>of</strong> this manuscript. The author has received fees for speaking and using patient years may also be misleading. BMJ 1999; 319: 1199-200<br />

consulting and/or financial support for attending meetings from AstraZeneca<br />

27. Moore A, McQuay H. <strong>Number</strong>s needed <strong>to</strong> treat derived from meta analysis: <strong>NNT</strong> is<br />

and GlaxoSmithKline. a <strong>to</strong>ol, <strong>to</strong> be used appropriately. BMJ 1999; 319: 1200<br />

28. Jain BP. <strong>Number</strong> needed <strong>to</strong> treat and relative risk reduction. Ann Intern Med 1998;<br />

128: 72-3<br />

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the outcome is time <strong>to</strong> an event. BMJ 1999; 319: 1492-5<br />

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Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2005 Jan; (1): CD004783<br />

E-mail: mcazzola@qubis<strong>of</strong>t.it<br />

© 2006 Adis Data Information BV. All rights reserved. <strong>Treat</strong> Respir Med 2006; 5 (2)

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