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The Limitations of Family Reconstitution

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Mean intervals between successive births:<br />

Difference probably due to censoring, not selection bias<br />

35<br />

34<br />

Non-migrants<br />

Migrants<br />

33<br />

Mean Intervals (months)<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

1550-99 1600-24 1625-49 1650-74 1675-99 1700-24 1725-49 1750-74 1775-99 1800-37<br />

Period<br />

4. Linkage failures and underregistration<br />

• Entries may be illegible; old manuscripts may be<br />

damaged; researchers transcribing the records<br />

may make a mistake; parish priest may omit<br />

someone<br />

• Failures for any reason lead to bias in one<br />

direction: fertility, mortality, and marriage are<br />

underestimated.<br />

• Unlike Louis Henry, the English family<br />

reconstitutions assume perfection: no attempt to<br />

adjust the numbers for under registration or<br />

linkage failure<br />

26

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