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presentation - 12th IAEE European Energy Conference

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Socioeconomic approach for the allocation of smart-grid<br />

investments<br />

S. Scarpellini, E. Llera , A. Ortego , M. Marco<br />

Edificio CIRCE / Campus Río Ebro / Mariano Esquillor Gómez, 15 / 50018 ZARAGOZA<br />

Tfno. (+34) 976 761 863 / Fax (+34) 976 732 078 / web: www.fcirce.es / email: circe@unizar.es


Index<br />

Sumario<br />

1. Introduction<br />

2. Costs and benefits of the smart grids<br />

3. Case study<br />

4. Conclusions


Introduction


Background<br />

• It is known that developing smart grids can help reach the<br />

<strong>European</strong> Union “2020 energy targets” moving towards new<br />

horizons like 2030.<br />

• It is common to find answers related to the technical aspects of<br />

smart grids but some questions like who will pay for converting<br />

the existing grid remain to be answered. Due to high up-front<br />

costs, smart grids can be perceived as high investment despite<br />

its cost effectiveness in the life cycle.<br />

• Its implementation overcomes not only technological but<br />

economic related issues.


Scope<br />

• Proper allocation of capital costs should take into account the<br />

particular interest of the stakeholders:<br />

o Distributors can see the capital upgrades reduced.<br />

o Consumers can obtain value-added services.<br />

o End-users can become electricity generators and obtain some income.<br />

o The “territory” can reach its objectives of sustainable growth, energy<br />

security, reduction of environmental pressure and social impacts.<br />

• This paper documents the methodology, key assumptions and<br />

results of a quantitative evaluation or the investment needed<br />

(costs) and a preliminary estimation of socioeconomic benefits<br />

of implementing a SG in order to demonstrate that public<br />

support could compensate to some extent the costs allocation to<br />

a home user.


Costs and benefits of the smart grids


Costs for SG implementation<br />

• The implementation of a smart grid covers a wide range of<br />

costs, depending on the definition of what smart grid is.<br />

• Costs considered in this paper are:<br />

o the adaptation costs of the transmission and distribution infrastructure to<br />

integrate distributed generation<br />

o costs to succeed full customer connectivity by means of smart-grid ready<br />

appliances and devices<br />

• Costs NOT considered in this paper are:<br />

o costs of generation<br />

o costs of grid expansion to add renewables and higher electricity loads.


Components to install in a smart grid<br />

Table 1)


Main benefits<br />

It is fully accepted that implementing Smart Grids on a large<br />

scale would lead to some benefits that can be categorized into<br />

the following types:<br />

• Power reliability and power quality<br />

• <strong>Energy</strong> efficiency benefits<br />

• Environmental benefits<br />

• Economic benefits


Assumptions of this approach<br />

• The starting point of this paper is the idea that costs of the grid<br />

might rise, but those costs will be offset by “savings” elsewhere in the<br />

system.<br />

• While the interest in the smart grids by private stakeholders mainly<br />

focuses on a cost-benefit analysis, the Public Administration is<br />

concerned with other aspects such as energy security; GHG gas<br />

emissions reduction as well as social benefits, for instance<br />

employment or technological development.<br />

• The consideration of these externalities in economic terms could<br />

justify the participation of the Administration into the costs of the SG<br />

implementation either directly or through economic incentives to the<br />

private sector.


Case study


Case study description<br />

• The city of Zaragoza is in a strategic enclave for the location<br />

of companies for both production and distribution.<br />

• Data for the analysis:<br />

o Number of homes: 249 898<br />

o Population: 674 725<br />

o<br />

Population density: 692.94 inhab./km2<br />

o Average consumption of electricity per household: 4 000<br />

kWh/year<br />

o Number of cars per 1000 inhabitants: 426.5<br />

o<br />

o<br />

Number of substations of the electricity distribution company in<br />

Zaragoza: 266<br />

Number of transforming stations of the electricity distribution<br />

company in Zaragoza: 9 062<br />

• Grids of the electricity distribution company of Zaragoza:<br />

o<br />

o<br />

o<br />

High voltage (Rated voltage ≥ 36 kV): 5 165 km<br />

Medium voltage (1 kV ≤ Rated voltage ≤ 36 kV): 12 177 km<br />

Low voltage (Rated voltage ≤ 1 kV): 11 783 km


Study variables<br />

Number Variable Unit Model inputs<br />

1 Number of inhabitants Units 674 725<br />

2 Length of distribution grids m 11 783<br />

3 Length of transmission grids m 5 165<br />

4 Number of substations and transforming stations Number 266/9062<br />

5 Costs for transmission grid €/m 213<br />

6 Costs for distribution grid €/m 51<br />

7 Costs per user €/inhab. 93<br />

8 Number of homes Units 249 898<br />

9 Project execution time Years 28<br />

10 Rate of investment deployment %/year see scenarios<br />

11 Rate of acceptance of smart applications by users %/year see scenarios<br />

12 Average energy consumption per household kWh 4 000<br />

Due to the lack<br />

of data of<br />

specific costs at<br />

local level,<br />

bibliographic<br />

data were used<br />

Table 2)<br />

Related to the grid size<br />

Related to adaptation costs<br />

Related to the temporary implementation of the technology<br />

Related to social behavior


Total investment for a smart grid in Zaragoza<br />

• A variability range of ±15% for estimated investment was<br />

taken into account in anticipation of different initial state of the<br />

transmission and distribution grid.<br />

• The Last column shows the sharing of the total costs between<br />

the three parts of the grid.<br />

Table 3)<br />

Minimum (€) Maximum (€) %<br />

Transmission grid 439 772 261 € 594 986 000 € 44%<br />

Distribution grid 500 456 015 € 677 087 550 € 50%<br />

End-user 53 337 011 € 72 161 839 € 5%<br />

TOTAL 993 565 287 € 1 344 235 388 €


Scenarios<br />

Figure 1: Total investment to be made in<br />

the smart grid in Zaragoza (authors'<br />

compilation)


End (home) –user level benefits<br />

• The most direct benefit is the possibility to balance their<br />

energy consumption with the real-time supply of energy<br />

reducing electricity use.<br />

• In addition, forthcoming variable pricing will provide consumer<br />

incentives to install their own infrastructure that supports the<br />

Smart Grid. In fact, customers will not benefit fully from a<br />

smart grid until the demand-side of the market is an active<br />

participant.<br />

• A direct reduction of 6% in electricity consumption, with a<br />

range of 1% to 10%, can be achieved. This reduction has a<br />

direct impact on the electricity bill.<br />

• 4 000 kWh/year x 6% X 0,16 €/kWh = 38 €/year per home


Cost-benefit analysis<br />

• Cost allocation: T&D companies are going to put the costs into consumer rates<br />

according the consumed electricity and total costs corresponding to the end-user<br />

Minimum (€) Maximum (€)<br />

Transmission grid 476 € 352 €<br />

Distribution grid 542 € 401 €<br />

End-user 289 € 213 €<br />

Total 1 307 € 966 €<br />

• If the only way to recover the investment is from the electricity savings, this means<br />

pay-back ratios from 25 to 35 years for private users, well above those obtained<br />

by means of other efficiency implementations.<br />

• Support mechanisms have to be offered in order to assume the costs of adoption of<br />

new infrastructure related to smart grid deployment if 2030 targets want to be met.<br />

The next section estimates some global benefits aiming to show that public incentives<br />

could be totally recovered if CO 2 emission costs are considered, as well as other<br />

costs such as, for example, job creation and energy security related aspects.


Territory-level benefits<br />

• The most suitable energy plans with effective energy policies have to be<br />

developed as well if smart grids are considered a key factor for the global<br />

energy sustainability.<br />

• Smart grids are going to have a positive impact on the three dimensions of<br />

the sustainable development. Among all, three kinds of benefits have been<br />

selected for its study:<br />

o Reduction of CO 2 emissions<br />

o Reduction of energy imports<br />

o Job creation


Externalities analysis<br />

Reduction of CO2 emissions<br />

Percentage of CO 2 reduction 20%<br />

Emissions 0.50 kg/kWh<br />

Cost of 1 ton CO 2 7.00 €/ton<br />

Total CO 2 avoided 99 959.20 ton<br />

Savings per CO 2 reduction 699 714 €/year<br />

Reduction of energy imports<br />

Percentage of electricity savings 6%<br />

Cost of GWh imported 0.045 M€/GWh<br />

Savings per reduction of energy imports 2 698 898 €/year<br />

Job creation<br />

JOB CREATION 4200 jobs<br />

Annual Jobs (15 years of deployment) 280<br />

National Minimum Wage 641,4 €/job<br />

Savings per stable jobs 2 155 104 €/year<br />

5 553 717 €/year<br />

• The above induced savings could be added to those obtained directly in the<br />

particular electricity bill. Only taking into account these three factors, investments<br />

allocated to the home sector could be recovered in 15 to 20 years.


Conclusions<br />

• The development of the grid requires significant investments to<br />

adapt and prepare the current systems for the new requirements.<br />

Thus investment in smart grids can constitute a new economic impetus.<br />

• End-users should not perceive a huge increment in the electricity bill<br />

if social demand of the applications is considered to be a key factor<br />

for the SG development.<br />

• At the beginning, policies and actions stated by the Pubblic<br />

Administration need to be implemented beforehand to boost the<br />

demand and to favor the roll-out of this technology based on the<br />

improved energy sustainability they champion.<br />

• Considering externalities in economic terms could justify the<br />

participation of the Administration into the costs of the SG either<br />

directly or through economic incentives to the private sector.


Thank you<br />

Tel.: [+34] 976 761 863 · circe@unizar.es<br />

www.fcirce.es<br />

sabina@unizar.es

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