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Fundamental<br />
Assessment<br />
Jan-11<br />
Feb-11<br />
Mar-11<br />
Apr-11<br />
May-11<br />
Jun-11<br />
Jul-11<br />
Aug-11<br />
Sep-11<br />
Oct-11<br />
Nov-11<br />
Dec-11<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> EQUITY RESEARCH SERVICE<br />
KEWAL KIRAN CLOTHING LIMITED<br />
Q3 FY12 Result Update Industry: Textile & Retail January 24,<br />
2012<br />
Revenue growth moderates due to high base; margins under pressure<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited (KKCL) has reported a muted quarterly<br />
performance with ~2% YoY net sales growth to Rs. 64.61 crore for the quarter<br />
ending December 2011 (Q3 FY12) due to the high base in the corresponding<br />
quarter previous year. The operating margins too declined ~850 bps YoY and<br />
~750 bps sequentially to 18.6% during the quarter on account of high raw<br />
material and traded goods costs.<br />
We have revised our projections marginally downward to reflect the weaker than<br />
expected quarterly performance. However, we expect the operating margins to<br />
improve sequentially from Q4 FY12 onwards as the benefit of steep cotton prices<br />
correction starts kicking in. Considering the established brands, wide distribution<br />
reach and strong balance sheet of the company, we maintain KKCL’s Fundamental<br />
Grading of ‘4’ indicating “Strong Fundamentals” and Valuation Grading of ‘C’<br />
indicating “Fairly valued” on a relative basis.<br />
Revenue growth impacted by high base effect; however moderation in consumer<br />
spending remains a concern<br />
Despite ~11% YoY increase in net realizations to Rs. 801 per piece, net revenues<br />
remained relatively flattish during the quarter on account of ~9% YoY volume degrowth<br />
to 0.78 million pieces. The volume growth was partly impacted by the high base<br />
effect (festive sales were split between Q2 & Q3 due to early Diwali festival this year as<br />
compared to Q3 FY11). Besides, the revenue growth was also impacted by lower<br />
consumer spending during the festive season on account of economic slowdown, high<br />
inflation and significant price increases taken by the industry to pass-on cost<br />
escalations, higher cotton prices and excise duty hike during the current financial year.<br />
Margins decline due to unfavorable product mix & higher than expected raw<br />
material costs; however expected to bounce back in coming quarters<br />
Lower sales growth along with ~24% YoY increase in cost of goods sold (liquidation of<br />
high cost inventories and increased outsourcing due to unfavorable product mix)<br />
resulted in 850 bps YoY decline in EBITDA margins to 18.6% in Q3 FY12. The margins<br />
were impacted due to inadequate pass-through of the excise duty hike as well as higher<br />
sales contribution from winter-wears and lifestyle accessories whose manufacturing is<br />
mainly outsourced. However, we expect the operating margins to improve sequentially<br />
as the benefit of steep cotton prices correction starts kicking in<br />
Asset light business model expected to ensure healthy profitability indicators and<br />
robust capital structure going forward<br />
Instead of expanding through own retail stores, KKCL’s management has focused on<br />
expanding through the franchisee and third party distribution route, thereby lowering<br />
operational overheads and capex requirements. Besides, the company has opted for an<br />
outright sales model instead of consignment model and maintains tight control on<br />
receivables as well as inventory levels. This strategy of positioning itself as a “fashion<br />
brand” rather than a “fashion retailer” is expected to continue to pay rich dividends and<br />
ensure healthy profitability indicators and robust capital structure going forward.<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> Online Grading Matrix<br />
Valuation Assessment<br />
A B C D E<br />
5<br />
4 4C<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
• Fundamental Grading of ‘4/5’ indicates “Strong<br />
Fundamentals”<br />
• Valuation Grading of ‘C’ indicates “Fairly<br />
Valued” on a relative basis<br />
Key Stock Statistics<br />
Bloomberg Code<br />
KEKC In<br />
Current Market Price (Rs.) 620.1<br />
Shares Outstanding (crore) 1.2<br />
Market Cap (Rs. crore) 764.3<br />
52-Week High (Rs.) 875.0<br />
52-Week Low (Rs.) 425.4<br />
Free Float (%) 25.9%<br />
Beta 0.7<br />
6 Month Avg Daily Volumes (Rs Cr) 0.3<br />
Source: Bloomberg, as on 24 th January, 2012<br />
KKCL: Current Valuations<br />
23.5<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
-<br />
14.6<br />
16.5<br />
14.9<br />
9.8 8.9<br />
11.5<br />
6.6<br />
Shareholding Pattern (31 st December, 2011)<br />
FIIs<br />
12%<br />
9.8<br />
5.4<br />
FY10a FY11a FY12e FY13e FY14e<br />
Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA<br />
DIIs<br />
5%<br />
Others<br />
9%<br />
Promoters<br />
74%<br />
Table 1: KKCL’s key financial indicators (Consolidated)<br />
FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E<br />
Operating Income (Rs. crore) 175.9 236.5 306.5 388.3 472.3<br />
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.3% 29.1% 24.1% 25.1% 24.6%<br />
PAT Margin (%) 18.5% 19.6% 16.7% 17.1% 16.5%<br />
EPS (Rs.) 26.4 37.5 41.6 54.0 63.1<br />
EPS Growth (%) 101.6% 43.3% 7.4% 31.9% 19.2%<br />
P/E (x) 23.5 16.5 14.9 11.5 9.8<br />
P/BV (x) 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.5<br />
RoE 19.9% 24.8% 24.2% 27.3% 27.4%<br />
RoCE 28.2% 36.6% 36.4% 40.3% 40.6%<br />
EV/EBITDA 14.6 9.8 8.9 6.6 5.4<br />
Source: Company, <strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Share Price Movement (12 months)<br />
160%<br />
140%<br />
120%<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
Kewal Kiran<br />
Nifty Index<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
1
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
Table 2: KKCL - Q3 FY12 Results<br />
Rs. Crore Q3, FY12 Q2, FY12 QoQ% Q3, FY11 YoY% 9M, FY12 9M, FY11 YoY%<br />
Net Sales 64.2 100.35 -36% 63.02 2% 233.45 180.62 29%<br />
Other Related Income 0.41 0.43 -5% 0.32 28% 1.26 0.91 38%<br />
Operating Income 64.61 100.78 -36% 63.34 2% 234.71 181.53 29%<br />
COGS 29.63 43.49 -32% 23.99 24% 100.57 68.48 47%<br />
Employee Costs 6.78 8.4 -19% 6.31 7% 22.63 19.76 15%<br />
Selling & Distribution 8.29 10.96 -24% 8.67 -4% 28.44 21.13 35%<br />
Other Costs 7.87 11.62 -32% 7.19 9% 27.42 19.59 40%<br />
EBITDA 12.04 26.31 -54% 17.18 -30% 55.65 52.57 6%<br />
Depreciation 1.65 1.5 10% 1.4 18% 4.56 4.1 11%<br />
Interest 0.63 0.82 -23% 0.59 7% 2.0 1.7 21%<br />
Other Income 3.06 2.99 2% 1.6 91% 9.1 5.7 59%<br />
Tax 4.07 8.62 -53% 5.53 -110% 18.47 17.43 6%<br />
PAT (After MI) 8.75 18.36 -52% 11.26 -22% 39.72 35.13 13%<br />
Number of Shares (crore) 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23<br />
EPS 7.1 14.9 -52% 9.1 -22% 32 29 13%<br />
CEPS 8.4 16.1 -48% 10.3 -18% 36 32 13%<br />
EBITDA Margin 18.63% 26.11% 27.12% 23.71% 28.96%<br />
PAT Margin 13.54% 18.22% 17.78% 16.92% 19.35%<br />
Source: Company, <strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
During the quarter, the company opened 26 new stores (10 K-Lounge, 7 Killer EBOs, 7 Integrity EBOs and 2 Lawman<br />
Pg3 EBOs) through the franchisee route in accordance with its stated distribution strategy. Opening of the new stores<br />
helped compensate the loss of sales from an early Diwali and overall slowdown as each new store opening results in<br />
top line addition of Rs 12 to Rs 16 lakh depending upon the store format. The company closed down 10 stores during<br />
the quarter due to non-viability of these franchises. The company has around 23 new stores in pipeline to be opened<br />
during Q4, FY 12.<br />
KKCL’s sales to national chain stores witnessed a sharp 35% decline on a YoY basis, partly due to the challenging<br />
economic environment. However, the overall impact was negligible as the company has maintained low dependence<br />
on national chain stores due to the lower margins offered by this distribution channel. On the other side, Exports<br />
witnessed a robust 100% growth, albeit on a lower base, as the company increased its exports of “Integriti” and<br />
“Lawman Pg 3” brands. As per the management, exports appeared relatively lucrative due to government incentives<br />
such as duty drawback scheme and absence of excise duties.<br />
In terms of regional distribution, northern region witnessed strong 36% YoY revenue growth on the back of increased<br />
penetration, stronger marketing thrust and launch of winter-wear products range; while the South, West and East<br />
witnessed de-growth of 12%, 15% and 2% respectively. Thus the regional sales distribution now appears more<br />
balanced than earlier years. In terms of product distribution, the revenue contribution from the newly launched<br />
winter-wear products and lifestyle accessories range increased from ~8% in Q3 FY11 to ~21% in Q3 FY12.<br />
2
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
COMPANY PROFILE<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited (KKCL) is one of the leading manufacturer and retailer of branded apparels and fashionwear<br />
in India. KKCL has over two decades of experience in the domestic readymade garments industry with some<br />
established brands like ‘Killer’, ‘Lawman Pg3’, ‘Integriti’, ‘Easies’ and ‘ADDICTIONS’. KKCL markets its products<br />
through a chain of 240 ‘K-LOUNGE’ showrooms and exclusive brand outlets (EBOs) across the country. Besides,<br />
KKCL’s products are widely marketed at over 3,500 multi-brand outlets (MBOs) and national chain stores like<br />
Shoppers’ Stop and Hypercity.<br />
KKCL is an established player in the denim Jeans category through its flagship Killer brand, besides having a presence<br />
in Trousers, Shirts, T-shirts & Jackets. It has also entered the lifestyle accessories segments like shoes, belts, watches,<br />
bracelets, wallets, caps, bags, sunglasses and deodorants through the ADDICTIONS brand. KKCL’s designing and<br />
manufacturing facilities are mainly located at Dadar and Goregoan (Mumbai), Daman and Vapi in Western India.<br />
Grading Positives:<br />
The key grading positives in our view are: 1) Strongly positioned to benefit from the domestic consumption play due<br />
to Pan-India presence, including its first-mover’s advantage in the Tier-II / Tier-III cities as well as relatively less<br />
penetrated eastern states 2) established brand equity of its flagship product – Killer Jeans 3) Asset light model<br />
reduces overhead costs while maintaining product & service standards 4) Continued focus on profitable growth and<br />
careful store expansion are expected to ensure healthy profitability indicators (like RoCE) for the company going<br />
forward 5) Strong designing expertise, vast experience of the promoters’ in the branded apparel business<br />
Grading Sensitivities:<br />
The key grading sensitivities in our view are: 1) Intense competition in the domestic branded apparels market with<br />
presence of large number of domestic as well as global brands 2) Vulnerability to cotton price fluctuations and<br />
regulatory changes (like excise duty levy) 3) Ability to scale up business while maintaining its financial profile 4) High<br />
dependence on multi-brand outlets (MBOs) and National Chain Stores, which together contribute ~70% of revenues,<br />
can limit bargaining power 5) Increasing contribution from value brands (like Integriti, Lawman Pg3) and low margin<br />
products (like shirts, T-shirts) could moderate margins; cash reserves held by the company yields lower returns. 6)<br />
Merchandise obsolescence risks due to rapidly evolving fashion trends and changing customer preferences<br />
Table 3: Company Factsheet<br />
Name of the Company<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited (KKCL)<br />
Year of Incorporation 1980<br />
Nature of Businesses<br />
Branded apparels manufacturing and retailing<br />
Products<br />
Jeans, Trousers, Shirts, T-shirts, Jackets and Lifestyle accessories<br />
Brands<br />
‘Killer’, ‘Lawman Pg3’, ‘Integriti’, ‘Easies’ and ‘ADDICTIONS’<br />
Company Stores<br />
130 K-Lounges, 54 Killer EBOs, 37 Integriti EBOs, 9 LawmanPg3-EBOs, 3 Addiction-EBO, 7 Factory Outlet<br />
Distribution Network<br />
Over 3,500 Multi-brand outlets (MBOs) and National Chain stores (like Shoppers stop and Hypercity)<br />
Exports<br />
Middle East, Sri Lanka, Nepal and other countries<br />
Vendors<br />
Fabric manufacturers like Arvind Mills, Raymond, KG Denim, etc<br />
Manufacturing Capacity<br />
3.5 Million pieces per annum (could be stretched further depending on product mix)<br />
Manufacturing Locations Washing, cutting, stitching and garmenting facilities at Dadar and Goregaon (Mumbai), Daman and Vapi<br />
Key Joint Ventures<br />
33% stake in White Knitwear Private Ltd in Surat SEZ<br />
Bankers<br />
Standard Chartered Bank<br />
Auditors<br />
M/s. Jain & Trivedi, M/s. N.A. Shah Associates<br />
IPO Details<br />
Rs. 80.6 crore raised in 2006, Issue of 31 lac shares at Rs. 260 per share, shares are listed on BSE and NSE<br />
Registered & Corporate Office Kewal Kiran Estate, Behind Tirupati Udyog, 460/7, I.B. Patel Road, Goregaon (East), Mumbai - 400 063<br />
Windmill<br />
0.6 MW Capacity at Survey No.1119/P, Village Kuchhadi, Taluka Porbunder, District Porbunder, Gujarat<br />
Source: Company, <strong>ICRA</strong> Online Research<br />
3
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
KKCL’s Key Milestones:<br />
1980:<br />
M/s Keval Kiran<br />
& Co<br />
incorporated<br />
1989:<br />
Launch of<br />
‘KILLER’<br />
1998:<br />
Launch of<br />
‘LAWMAN’<br />
& ‘EASIES’<br />
2002:<br />
Launch of<br />
‘INTEGRITI’<br />
2004:<br />
Launch of<br />
the first ‘K-<br />
LOUNGE’<br />
2006:<br />
IPO of 31<br />
Lac Shares<br />
2007:<br />
KILLER<br />
WOMEN<br />
Wear<br />
Launched<br />
2011:<br />
Launch of<br />
'Addictions'<br />
KKCL’s Corporate Structure:<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited (KKCL)<br />
Branded apparel<br />
manufacturer and retailer<br />
Killer<br />
Lawman Pg3<br />
easies<br />
Integriti<br />
Addictions<br />
Launch: 1989<br />
Launch: 1998<br />
Launch: 1998<br />
Launch: 2002<br />
Launch: 2011<br />
Segment: Premium<br />
Segment: Mid-premium<br />
Segment: Mid-premium<br />
Segment: Value<br />
Segment: Lifestyle<br />
Products: Denim Jeans,<br />
Designer wear<br />
Products: Clubwear<br />
Jeans, Shirts, Jackets,<br />
trousers, etc<br />
Products: Formal &<br />
Semi-formal menswear<br />
Products: Casuals,<br />
formals and Jeans<br />
Products: Footwear,<br />
Gym Wear, Swim Wear,<br />
eyewear, etc<br />
Revenue Contribution:<br />
51%<br />
Revenue Contribution:<br />
21%<br />
Revenue Contribution:<br />
2%<br />
Revenue Contribution:<br />
25%<br />
Revenue Contribution:<br />
1%<br />
Competition: Levis, Lee,<br />
Spyker, Pepe, Wrangler<br />
Latest Innovations &<br />
Launches: Winter wear –<br />
Jackets and Sweaters<br />
Competition: Mufti,<br />
Newport, Flying<br />
Machine, etc<br />
Latest Innovations &<br />
Launches: Vertebrae and<br />
Chica range<br />
Competition: Peter<br />
England, Dockers, S.<br />
Kumars, etc<br />
Latest Innovations &<br />
Launches: Winter wear<br />
Competition: Mufti,<br />
Adams, Ruff & Tuff, etc<br />
Latest Innovations &<br />
Launches: Integriti Galz<br />
Competition: Titan,<br />
Fastrack, etc<br />
Latest Innovations &<br />
Launches: Deodorants<br />
and personal care<br />
products<br />
Source: Company, <strong>ICRA</strong> Online Research<br />
Governance structure:<br />
KKCL is managed by an eight member Board, which includes four independent directors and four members from the<br />
Jain family. While the family is closely involved in running KKCL’s business, the company has a professional<br />
management structure across the company. The promoter group holds 74% equity stake in the company and the rest<br />
is widely held by institutional and retail investors. The disclosures in KKCL’s Annual Report are adequate and have<br />
been broadly in line with that followed by the industry.<br />
4
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
VALUATION GRADING<br />
In assessing a company's valuation, various parameters are looked at including the company's earnings and growth<br />
prospects; its ability to generate free cash flows and its capacity to generate returns from the capital invested. The<br />
valuation is also benchmarked against an appropriate peer set or index. The opinion on a company's relative valuation<br />
is expressed using the following five-point scale as follows:<br />
Table 4: <strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service—Valuation Grades<br />
Valuation Grade<br />
Grade Implication<br />
A<br />
Significantly Undervalued<br />
B<br />
Moderately Undervalued<br />
C<br />
Fairly Valued<br />
D<br />
Moderately Overvalued<br />
E<br />
Significantly Overvalued<br />
While assessing a company's relative valuation,<br />
the historical price volatility exhibited by the<br />
stock, besides its liquidity, is also taken into<br />
account. The extent of overvaluation or<br />
undervaluation is adjusted for the relative<br />
volatility displayed by the stock.<br />
Source: <strong>ICRA</strong> Online Research<br />
KKCL’s current valuation multiple (~11.5x times FY13 earnings) is at a discount to valuations of broader market<br />
indices like Nifty Index and CNX 500 index. KKCL continues to be reasonably valued domestic consumption plays with<br />
strong established brand, wide distribution reach and strong balance sheet. Overall, we expect the company to report<br />
a healthy 26% CAGR revenue growth and 19% CAGR EPS growth over the FY11a-FY14e period, aided by rapid<br />
expansions in Tier – II and Tier – III cities. Hence, we assign a valuation grade of “C” to KKCL on a grading scale of ‘A’<br />
to ‘E’, which indicates that the company is “Fairly Valued” on a relative basis.<br />
Table 5: KKCL’S Relative Valuations:<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> Estimates<br />
KEWAL KIRAN<br />
CLOTHING<br />
NIFTY<br />
INDEX<br />
CNX 500<br />
INDEX<br />
CNX MIDCAP<br />
INDEX<br />
FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E<br />
Price/Earnings 14.90 11.48 14.74 12.70 13.91 11.68 12.28 10.21<br />
EV/EBITDA 8.94 6.62 9.91 8.73 9.82 8.32 10.22 8.17<br />
Price /Sales 2.49 1.97 1.59 1.45 1.27 1.14 0.77 0.70<br />
Price /Book Value 3.38 2.91 2.36 2.08 2.04 1.80 1.37 1.24<br />
Price/Cash Flow 13.23 10.32 10.34 8.98 9.86 8.25 9.56 7.34<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> Estimates<br />
KEWAL KIRAN<br />
CLOTHING<br />
PANTALOON<br />
RETAIL<br />
SHOPPERS<br />
STOP<br />
TRENT<br />
ARVIND<br />
FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13 FY12 FY13<br />
Price/Earnings 14.90 11.48 19.33 14.32 39.99 25.78 n.m. 37.42 7.48 5.78<br />
EV/EBITDA 8.94 6.62 10.59 9.05 18.47 13.19 154.73 15.58 6.34 5.58<br />
Price /Sales 2.49 1.97 0.29 0.25 0.80 0.65 0.94 0.67 0.48 0.42<br />
Price /Book Value 3.38 2.91 1.16 1.08 4.19 3.72 2.11 2.37 1.07 0.91<br />
Price/Cash Flow 13.23 10.32 8.53 6.84 21.83 15.72 61.41 21.00 4.45 3.59<br />
Source: Bloomberg, <strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service * Bloomberg Consensus Estimates as on 24 th January, 2012<br />
5
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
ANNEXURES<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited – P&L Estimates (Consolidated)<br />
Rs. Crore FY10a FY11a FY12e FY13e FY14e<br />
Net sales 175.3 235.3 305.0 386.4 470.0<br />
Other related income 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.3<br />
Operating Income (OI) 175.9 236.5 306.5 388.3 472.3<br />
Growth Rate (%) 21.0% 34.4% 29.6% 26.7% 21.6%<br />
EBITDA 48.1 68.9 74.0 97.6 116.3<br />
Depreciation 5.8 5.9 6.5 7.5 9.0<br />
EBIT 42.2 63.0 67.5 90.1 107.3<br />
Interest expenses 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.2 2.2<br />
Other income/expense 8.9 8.3 11.8 11.9 11.4<br />
PBT (before extraordinary) 48.7 69.3 76.8 99.8 116.6<br />
Extraordinary Gain/Loss 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
PAT 32.5 46.2 51.3 66.6 77.8<br />
No of shares 12,325,037 12,325,037 12,325,037 12,325,037 12,325,037<br />
DPS 85.5 40.8 16.0 20.8 24.3<br />
EPS 26.4 37.5 41.6 54.0 63.1<br />
CEPS 31.1 42.3 46.9 60.1 70.4<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited – Balance Sheet Estimates (Consolidated)<br />
Rs. Crore FY10a FY11a FY12e FY13e FY14e<br />
Net worth 175.2 197.8 226.0 262.6 305.4<br />
Minority interest 0.0 - - - 0.0<br />
Total Debt 15.8 5.6 11.0 11.0 11.0<br />
Non-Operating Non Current Liability 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Deferred Tax Liability (1.7) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6) (1.6)<br />
Trade Creditors 16.0 18.2 22.8 28.5 35.0<br />
Other Current Liabilities and Prov. 13.8 30.3 43.8 56.2 67.0<br />
Total liabilities 219.2 250.2 302.0 356.7 416.7<br />
Net Fixed Assets 40.0 40.6 43.1 49.6 59.6<br />
Capital Work in Progress 2.7 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1<br />
Total Net Fixed Assets 42.7 42.7 45.3 51.8 61.8<br />
Total Long-Term Investments 32.9 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.8<br />
Cash and Bank Balances 80.2 95.3 114.1 129.6 143.7<br />
Receivables (incl. bills discounted) 24.1 29.8 43.6 60.7 80.5<br />
Inventories 21.8 36.8 48.0 57.1 66.4<br />
Loans & Advances 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.3 4.0<br />
Other Current Assets 16.0 16.7 21.6 27.4 33.3<br />
Total Current Assets 143.5 180.7 229.9 278.1 328.0<br />
Total Assets 219.2 250.2 302.0 356.7 416.7<br />
6
<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited – Cash Flow Estimates (Consolidated)<br />
Rs. Crore FY10a FY11a FY12e FY13e FY14e<br />
OPBDIT 48.1 68.9 74.0 97.6 116.3<br />
Less: Taxes 16.4 23.0 25.5 33.2 38.8<br />
Changes in Net Working Capital 2.8 (0.6) (9.3) (9.6) (12.3)<br />
Net Interest Charges (2.3) (2.1) (2.5) (2.2) (2.2)<br />
Cash flow from operating activities 32.1 43.2 36.6 52.6 63.1<br />
Investments (2.1) 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Capital expenditures (3.0) (5.7) (9.0) (14.0) (19.0)<br />
Cash flow from investing activities (5.1) 0.3 (9.0) (14.0) (19.0)<br />
Equity Raised / (Buyback) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Loans Raised / (Repaid) (7.8) (10.2) 5.4 0.0 0.0<br />
Others (Including Extra-ordinaries) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Dividend (4.3) (15.4) (14.3) (23.1) (30.0)<br />
Cash Flow from Financing activities (12.1) (25.8) (8.9) (23.1) (30.0)<br />
Cumulative cash flow 14.9 17.7 18.7 15.5 14.1<br />
Opening Cash Balance 65.3 80.2 95.3 114.1 129.6<br />
Closing Cash Balance 80.2 97.9 114.1 129.6 143.7<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited – Key Financial Ratios (Consolidated)<br />
FY10a FY11a FY12e FY13e FY14e<br />
Growth indicators<br />
Sales Growth 21.2% 34.2% 29.6% 26.7% 21.6%<br />
EBITDA Growth 101.6% 43.3% 7.4% 31.9% 19.2%<br />
EPS Growth 128.1% 42.2% 11.0% 29.8% 16.8%<br />
Cash EPS Growth 98.8% 35.8% 10.9% 28.3% 17.1%<br />
Profitability indicators<br />
EBITDA Margin 27.3% 29.1% 24.1% 25.1% 24.6%<br />
EBIT Margin 24.0% 26.7% 22.0% 23.2% 22.7%<br />
PAT Margin 18.5% 19.6% 16.7% 17.1% 16.5%<br />
RoE 19.9% 24.8% 24.2% 27.3% 27.4%<br />
ROCE 28.2% 36.6% 36.4% 40.3% 40.6%<br />
Liquidity ratios<br />
Debtor (days) 50 46 50 55 60<br />
Inventory (days) 90 112 105 100 95<br />
Net working capital/Revenues 24.0% 21.6% 23.6% 24.1% 24.9%<br />
Capitalization Ratios<br />
Total Debt/(Equity + MI) 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />
Interest coverage 20.6 33.4 29.8 44.3 52.9<br />
Total Debt/EBITDA 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1<br />
Valuation Ratios<br />
Price/Sales 4.3 3.2 2.5 2.0 1.6<br />
Price/Earnings 23.5 16.5 14.9 11.5 9.8<br />
Price/Book Value 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.9 2.5<br />
EV/EBITDA 14.6 9.8 8.9 6.6 5.4<br />
Price/Cash Flows 19.9 14.7 13.2 10.3 8.8<br />
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<strong>ICRA</strong> Equity Research Service<br />
Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> Limited<br />
CORPORATE OFFICE<br />
Building No. 8, 2nd Floor,<br />
Tower A, DLF Cyber City, Phase II,<br />
Gurgaon 122002<br />
Ph: +91-124-4545300, 4545800<br />
Fax; +91-124-4545350<br />
REGISTERED OFFICE<br />
1105, Kailash Building, 11 th Floor,<br />
26, Kasturba Gandhi Marg,<br />
New Delhi – 110 001<br />
Tel: +91-11-23357940-50<br />
Fax: +91-11-23357014<br />
MUMBAI<br />
Mr. L. Shivakumar<br />
Mobile: 9821086490<br />
3rd Floor, Electric Mansion,<br />
Appasaheb Marathe Marg, Prabhadevi,<br />
Mumbai - 400 025<br />
Ph : +91-22-30470000,<br />
24331046/53/62/74/86/87<br />
Fax : +91-22-2433 1390<br />
E-mail: shivakumar@icraindia.com<br />
GURGAON<br />
Mr. Vivek Mathur<br />
Mobile: 9871221122<br />
Building No. 8, 2nd Floor,<br />
Tower A, DLF Cyber City, Phase II,<br />
Gurgaon 122002<br />
Ph: +91-124-4545300, 4545800<br />
Fax; +91-124-4545350<br />
E-mail: vivek@icraindia.com<br />
CHENNAI<br />
Mr. Jayanta Chatterjee<br />
Mobile: 9845022459<br />
Mr. D. Vinod<br />
Mobile: 9940648006<br />
5th Floor, Karumuttu Centre,<br />
498 Anna Salai, Nandanam,<br />
Chennai-600035.<br />
Tel: +91-44-45964300,<br />
24340043/9659/8080<br />
Fax:91-44-24343663<br />
E-mail: jayantac@icraindia.com<br />
d.vinod@icraindia.com<br />
KOLKATA<br />
A-10 & 11, 3rd Floor, FMC Fortuna,<br />
234/ 3A, A.J.C. Bose Road,<br />
Kolkata-700020.<br />
Tel: +91-33-22876617/ 8839,<br />
22800008, 22831411<br />
Fax: +91-33-2287 0728<br />
AHMEDABAD<br />
Mr. Animesh Bhabhalia<br />
Mobile: 9824029432<br />
907 & 908 Sakar -II, Ellisbridge,<br />
Ahmedabad- 380006<br />
Tel: +91-79-26585049/2008/5494,<br />
Fax:+91-79- 2648 4924<br />
E-mail: animesh@icraindia.com<br />
HYDERABAD<br />
Mr. M.S.K. Aditya<br />
Mobile: 9963253777<br />
301, CONCOURSE, 3rd Floor,<br />
No. 7-1-58, Ameerpet,<br />
Hyderabad 500 016.<br />
Tel: +91-40-23735061, 23737251<br />
Fax: +91-40- 2373 5152<br />
E-mail: adityamsk@icraindia.com<br />
PUNE<br />
Mr. L. Shivakumar<br />
Mobile: 9821086490<br />
5A, 5th Floor, Symphony,<br />
S. No. 210, CTS 3202,<br />
Range Hills Road, Shivajinagar,<br />
Pune-411 020<br />
Tel : +91- 20- 25561194,<br />
25560195/196,<br />
Fax : +91- 20- 2553 9231<br />
E-mail: shivakumar@icraindia.com<br />
BANGALORE<br />
Mr. Jayanta Chatterjee<br />
Mobile: 9845022459<br />
'The Millenia', Tower B,<br />
Unit No. 1004, 10th Floor,<br />
Level 2, 12-14, 1 & 2, Murphy Road,<br />
Bangalore - 560 008<br />
Tel: +91-80-43326400,<br />
Fax: +91-80-43326409<br />
E-mail: jayantac@icraindia.com<br />
www.icra.in<br />
<strong>ICRA</strong> ONLINE LIMITED<br />
Corporate Office<br />
107, 1st Floor, Raheja Arcade<br />
Plot No. 61, Sector-XI, CBD Belapur, Navi Mumbai<br />
Maharashtra-400614.<br />
Ph : +91-22-67816163 (Direct); 67816100<br />
Fax : +91-22-27563057<br />
Investor Desk: equity.research@icraonline.com<br />
www. icraonline.com<br />
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8