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special report - European Voice

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NEWS SPECIAL<br />

30 May 2013<br />

5<br />

Mind your language8<br />

MEPs criticised for requesting, but not<br />

using, interpretation services. NEWS 6<br />

ECONOMICS LESSON José<br />

Manuel Barroso and (right) Olli<br />

Rehn deliver the Commission’s<br />

economic recommendations.<br />

REUTERS<br />

adjustment is particularly noticeable<br />

in the more vulnerable<br />

member states”. It notes<br />

“major changes in employment<br />

law” in Spain and Italy,<br />

and French measures to reduce<br />

taxes on labour. And it<br />

says “public deficits have fallen<br />

by almost half since their<br />

2009 peak”.<br />

But there are plenty of admissions<br />

of continuing problems.<br />

The repair of the banking<br />

sector is “slow to bear<br />

fruit”, and is not delivering<br />

lower interest rates and the<br />

restoration of normal lending<br />

to the economy. A major challenge<br />

is rising unemployment,<br />

e<strong>special</strong>ly youth unemployment,<br />

it says. The Commission<br />

is “very concerned by the<br />

rise in poverty, particularly<br />

child poverty”. In addition,<br />

“the lack of the right skills,<br />

products and services poses a<br />

serious threat to Europe’s<br />

future growth”.<br />

Taxation<br />

On tax, the Commission urges<br />

a shift in the tax base from<br />

labour to consumption and<br />

to recurrent property<br />

or environmental taxation,<br />

which it says will encourage<br />

growth by increasing incentives<br />

to work and hire, cutting<br />

labour costs, deterring housing<br />

bubbles and stimulating<br />

the development of green<br />

technologies. It also recommends<br />

elimination of tax<br />

exemptions, allowances, reduced<br />

rates and loopholes,<br />

and tougher action to improve<br />

tax compliance and<br />

fight fraud.<br />

For the eurozone, the Commission’s<br />

assessment is that<br />

“the intensity of self-fulfilling<br />

and destructive confidence<br />

spirals has dissipated”. “However,<br />

significant market fragmentation<br />

remains”, says the<br />

Commission. “The risk of further<br />

financial-market fragmentation<br />

and financial<br />

turmoil illustrates the importance<br />

for the euro area of rapidly<br />

moving ahead with the<br />

creation of the banking union<br />

while avoiding ad hoc approaches<br />

to bank resolution.”<br />

Country by country<br />

recommendations<br />

Belgium<br />

“Credible implementation<br />

of ambitious structural reforms”<br />

to boost growth<br />

and achieve durable correction<br />

of fiscal imbalances<br />

must be presented<br />

by October. No effective<br />

action has been taken to<br />

put an end to the excessive<br />

deficit (but a one-year<br />

extension is granted).<br />

France<br />

Put an end to the excessive<br />

deficit by 2015 (a two-year<br />

extension), and attain a<br />

headline deficit of 3.9% of<br />

gross domestic product<br />

(GDP) in 2013, 3.6% in<br />

2014, and 2.8% in 2015.<br />

Pursue structural adjustments<br />

so as to reach by<br />

2016 the medium-term objective<br />

of a balanced budget<br />

in structural terms (in<br />

line with the treaty on<br />

stability, co-ordination<br />

and governance – also<br />

known as the ‘fiscal compact<br />

treaty’). Take measures<br />

by the end of 2013 to<br />

bring the pension system<br />

into balance in a sustainable<br />

manner no later than<br />

2020.<br />

Germany<br />

Preserve a sound fiscal position<br />

that ensures compliance<br />

with the mediumterm<br />

objective. Pursue<br />

a growth-friendly fiscal<br />

policy through additional<br />

efforts to enhance the costeffectiveness<br />

of public<br />

spending on healthcare.<br />

Improve the efficiency of<br />

the tax system.<br />

Italy<br />

Action under the excessive<br />

deficit procedure should<br />

be dropped. Ensure that<br />

the deficit remains below<br />

3% of GDP in 2013 by fully<br />

implementing adopted<br />

measures. Pursue structural<br />

adjustment through<br />

growth-friendly fiscal consolidation<br />

so as to achieve<br />

and maintain the mediumterm<br />

objective as from<br />

2014. Achieve the planned<br />

structural primary surpluses<br />

in order to put the<br />

high debt-to-GDP ratio<br />

(forecast to be 132.2% of<br />

GDP in 2014) on a steadily<br />

declining path.<br />

Netherlands<br />

Put an end to the present<br />

excessive deficit situation<br />

by 2014 – a one-year extension.<br />

Reach a headline<br />

deficit target of 3.6% in<br />

2013 and 2.8% of GDP in<br />

2014.<br />

Spain<br />

Ensure correction of the<br />

excessive deficit by 2016.<br />

Reach a headline deficit<br />

target of 6.5% of GDP in<br />

2013, 5.8% of GDP in<br />

2014, 4.2% of GDP in<br />

2015, and 2.8% of GDP in<br />

2016 – a two-year extension.<br />

Implement the<br />

measures adopted in the<br />

2013 budget plans at all<br />

levels of government, reinforce<br />

the medium-term<br />

budgetary strategy with<br />

sufficiently specified structural<br />

measures for the<br />

years 2014-16.<br />

UK<br />

Implement a reinforced<br />

budgetary strategy, supported<br />

by sufficiently specified<br />

measures, for the year<br />

2013-14 and beyond. Ensure<br />

the correction of the<br />

excessive deficit in a sustainable<br />

manner by 2014-<br />

15, and set the high public<br />

debt ratio on a sustained<br />

downward path.<br />

Eurozone<br />

Co-ordinate the major economic<br />

reform plans of<br />

members of the eurozone,<br />

and monitor the implementation<br />

of structural reforms,<br />

notably in the<br />

labour and product markets.<br />

Explore ways of overcoming<br />

national differences<br />

in lending rates,<br />

e<strong>special</strong>ly to smaller firms.<br />

Action under the excessive<br />

deficit procedure<br />

should be dropped for<br />

Hungary, Latvia,Lithuania,<br />

Poland, Portugal and<br />

Romania. But for Malta,<br />

an excessive deficit procedure<br />

should be opened.<br />

The process<br />

Country-specific recommendations<br />

were issued<br />

for all member states except<br />

the four programme<br />

countries – Greece, Portugal,<br />

Ireland and Cyprus –<br />

which are already subject<br />

to more intensive monitoring<br />

to restore macro-financial<br />

stability, growth<br />

and competitiveness. The<br />

recommendations are<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Bulgaria<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Denmark<br />

Estonia<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Hungary<br />

Italy<br />

Latvia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Malta<br />

Netherlands<br />

Poland<br />

Romania<br />

Slovakia<br />

Slovenia<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

UK<br />

= Commission recommendation<br />

= no recommendation<br />

based on a Commission assessment<br />

of the economic,<br />

employment and budgetary<br />

situation in each country,<br />

and on the adequacy of<br />

the policy plans they have<br />

submitted.<br />

The Irish presidency of<br />

the Council of Ministers<br />

has scheduled meetings<br />

among member state experts<br />

to discuss the recommendations<br />

before they<br />

are presented to employment<br />

ministers on 20<br />

June, finance ministers on<br />

21 June, and general affairs<br />

ministers on 25 June.<br />

The decisions of ministers<br />

will then be endorsed at<br />

the <strong>European</strong> Council on<br />

27-28 June, before final<br />

Public finances<br />

Sound public<br />

finances<br />

Pension and<br />

healthcare<br />

systems<br />

adoption during July.<br />

Member states at the<br />

Council can amend the<br />

recommendations, but<br />

the Commission cautions<br />

that if they “were to be substantially<br />

softened, the<br />

process would lose credibility”.<br />

Member states are expected<br />

to implement the<br />

recommendations in<br />

drafting their national<br />

budgets later this year, and<br />

formal assessment of each<br />

member state’s performance<br />

will happen in May-<br />

June 2014, when the Commission<br />

presents next<br />

year’s country-specific<br />

recommendations and<br />

accompanying analysis.<br />

Fiscal<br />

framework<br />

Taxation<br />

Cyprus, Greece, Ireland and Portugal should implement<br />

commitments under EU/IMF financial assistance programmes<br />

Source: <strong>European</strong> Commission

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