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30 May 2013<br />

7<br />

ANALYSIS<br />

Trade<br />

Long walk towards monetary union<br />

A swift, drastic clean-up of Europe’s banking<br />

system is needed more than ever.<br />

COMMENT 12<br />

Commissioner takes<br />

tough line with China<br />

Dumping of solar panels<br />

‘part of a wider problem’<br />

Andrew Gardner<br />

andrewgardner@economist.com<br />

Karel De Gucht, the<br />

<strong>European</strong> commissioner<br />

for trade, declared<br />

this week that the<br />

<strong>European</strong> Union’s biggestever<br />

anti-dumping case was<br />

part of a “fundamental debate”<br />

about trading relations<br />

with China.<br />

In a thinly-veined warning<br />

to Germany, he said “if we in<br />

the EU do not stand together<br />

on this, then we will lose”.<br />

His comments, made at an<br />

event organised by <strong>European</strong><br />

<strong>Voice</strong> on Tuesday (28 May),<br />

were targeted at member<br />

states that have criticised the<br />

Commission’s plans to impose<br />

temporary, six-month<br />

punitive tariffs on Chinese<br />

producers of solar panels.<br />

Germany’s economics<br />

minister, Philipp Rösler, said<br />

on 19 May that punitive tariffs<br />

would be “a grave mistake”.<br />

The UK’s minister for<br />

climate action, Greg Barker,<br />

said this Monday (27 May)<br />

that he had written to his EU<br />

counterparts to urge them to<br />

oppose levies. His ministry<br />

said that restrictions on Chinese<br />

imports would put “the<br />

growth of the low-carbon<br />

market across Europe at<br />

risk”.<br />

The Commission must<br />

formally announce its decision<br />

by 6 June, nine months<br />

into an investigation that will<br />

last 15 months. Europe’s imports<br />

of Chinese solar panels<br />

amounted to €21 billion in<br />

2011, making it by far the<br />

biggest trade-defence case<br />

that the Commission has<br />

ever handled.<br />

According to EU trade<br />

rules, a decision on whether<br />

to impose tariffs during the<br />

course of an investigation is<br />

for the Commission to make.<br />

When the investigation is<br />

completed, five-year tariffs<br />

The increasingly rancorous<br />

debate about the<br />

<strong>European</strong> Commission’s<br />

plan to impose punitive<br />

tariffs on Chinese producers<br />

of solar panels has<br />

largely overshadowed the<br />

start of a process that<br />

Commission officials say<br />

could become a steppingstone<br />

to a free-trade deal<br />

with China.<br />

On Thursday (23 May),<br />

the Commission sent EU<br />

member states the details<br />

of the mandate that it<br />

would like to be given for<br />

negotiations with China on<br />

an investment agreement.<br />

The draft of the mandate<br />

has been in the works since<br />

February 2012, when EU<br />

and Chinese leaders gave<br />

can be imposed, but by<br />

member states rather than<br />

by the Commission.<br />

Debating the theme “Is the<br />

EU still a force for open markets?”,<br />

De Gucht told his audience:<br />

“What’s wrong about<br />

this, I believe, is that member<br />

states, already in this<br />

stage of the discussion, they<br />

want to have a predominant<br />

influence on what is happening.<br />

I think that this is completely<br />

contrary to their own<br />

interests.”<br />

He continued: “We all<br />

know that China is trying to<br />

influence and scare off member<br />

states. I think that this<br />

not a good habit...but the<br />

best protection for the member<br />

states is to say that this is<br />

the competence of the <strong>European</strong><br />

Commission.”<br />

The proposal, which was<br />

EU takes a step towards investment agreement with China<br />

their go-ahead for the project.<br />

This would be the first<br />

stand-alone investment<br />

agreement since the <strong>European</strong><br />

Union gained the<br />

power in 2009 to negotiate<br />

investment agreements<br />

on behalf of member<br />

states.<br />

EU officials say that the<br />

negotiations would follow<br />

two tracks. The more important<br />

would address the<br />

“huge” problem of access<br />

to the “long list of closed<br />

sectors” in the Chinese<br />

economy, or to sectors that<br />

are open, but with conditions<br />

attached. The other<br />

track would look at the<br />

protection of investments.<br />

The Commission said<br />

first circulated within the<br />

EU’s institutions in April, has<br />

come under attack chiefly<br />

from ministers in Germany,<br />

Europe’s biggest solar market<br />

and Europe’s chief exporter<br />

to China, and from<br />

the UK, a champion of open<br />

markets.<br />

that most EU member<br />

states have indicated that<br />

they approve of the mandate<br />

as drafted, and said<br />

that it could be finalised<br />

within a couple of months.<br />

It is still, though, looking<br />

for a “clear confirmation<br />

from the top leadership level”<br />

in China that Beijing is<br />

interested in a wide-ranging<br />

agreement. “There has<br />

to be explicit acknowledgement<br />

that market access<br />

will be taken into account,”<br />

an official said.<br />

The EU’s bid to open up<br />

China’s markets is being<br />

launched in a context of<br />

testy trade relations complicated<br />

by efforts by China<br />

to strike trade deals<br />

with the US, South Korea<br />

and Japan.<br />

The conditions that EU<br />

and Chinese companies<br />

experience on each other’s<br />

markets also differs greatly,<br />

as an official acknowledged.<br />

“Because the China<br />

market is so much more<br />

closed than the <strong>European</strong><br />

market, it is clear that<br />

there are some additional<br />

measures that China will<br />

have to make,” he said, noting<br />

too that Chinese investors<br />

do not complain<br />

about the level of protection<br />

provided to Chinese<br />

investors.<br />

Nonetheless, the Commission<br />

says that an agreement<br />

should be of interest<br />

for China, in part because<br />

China is turning into a<br />

Protectionism allegations<br />

Within the solar industry,<br />

opponents of retaliatory tariffs<br />

base their case on the argument<br />

that punitive measures<br />

would shrink the solar<br />

market and therefore harm<br />

the EU’s own interest. However,<br />

the Chinese government<br />

and media routinely<br />

portray this trade-defence<br />

measure as protectionism,<br />

prompting German Chancellor<br />

Angela Merkel to say,<br />

after meeting Chinese Premier<br />

Li Keqiang on Sunday<br />

(26 May), that “protectionism<br />

is not the answer to<br />

globalisation”. She did not<br />

refer to the solar case specifically.<br />

“It is interesting that no<br />

one is putting into question<br />

whether they [Chinese producers]<br />

are dumping,” De<br />

Gucht said of the Commission’s<br />

critics.<br />

The Commission is also<br />

investigating whether subsidies<br />

provided by the Chinese<br />

government to the Chinese<br />

solar industry amount to an<br />

unfair trade practice.<br />

But De Gucht placed the<br />

case in a wider framework,<br />

of overall Chinese industrial<br />

policy. “What [this case] is<br />

about is whether or not they<br />

have to respect a certain<br />

number of disciplines, a certain<br />

number of rules and<br />

conventions that add up<br />

to fair competition. It is<br />

whether we can accept that<br />

they can dump as they wish.”<br />

Some in the <strong>European</strong> solar<br />

industry have suggested<br />

that dumping is largely a<br />

matter of sales of stocks by<br />

companies that are collapsing<br />

as China’s solar industry<br />

consolidates. However, De<br />

Gucht indicated that Chinese<br />

producers’ practice of<br />

selling below cost on foreign<br />

markets followed a pattern<br />

set by the Chinese government.<br />

Dumping, he said, was<br />

“happening in a number of<br />

industrial sectors and it is<br />

very easy to find them: you<br />

read the last five-year plan<br />

[set by the Chinese government]<br />

and you can identify<br />

“capital exporter”. Chinese<br />

investment in Europe has<br />

soared in the past two<br />

years and an agreement<br />

would provide assurances<br />

to China that the EU’s<br />

market will remain open<br />

in the long term.<br />

Much of the benefit for<br />

both sides, the Commission<br />

says, would come<br />

from consolidating the 25<br />

existing bilateral agreements<br />

between China and<br />

member states, some of<br />

which date back to the<br />

1980s.<br />

Officials believe talks will<br />

strengthen “the voices in<br />

the [Chinese] government<br />

that are pleading for further<br />

liberalisation”. One<br />

said that there has been “a<br />

STRONG WORDS Karel<br />

De Gucht, the <strong>European</strong><br />

commissioner for trade.<br />

JENNIFER JACQUEMART<br />

De Gucht: disunited EU will<br />

‘lose’ trade battle with China<br />

them, and it is in those sectors<br />

that it is happening”.<br />

On 15 May, the Commission<br />

warned China that it is<br />

prepared to impose sanctions<br />

on two telecoms equipment-makers,<br />

Huawei and<br />

ZTE Corp, if the Commission<br />

concludes that they received<br />

illegal subsidies or<br />

dumped their products on<br />

the <strong>European</strong> market.<br />

De Gucht, who later indirectly<br />

referred to China as<br />

“our fiercest competition on<br />

almost all our markets”, said:<br />

“Member states should realise<br />

that when they try to<br />

weaken the <strong>European</strong> Commission,<br />

first of all they are<br />

weakening themselves.”<br />

For more, go to<br />

www.europeanvoice.com/<br />

open_markets<br />

leap in liberalisation and<br />

that has turned out well for<br />

China and there is a realisation<br />

that continuation is<br />

good for them”.<br />

A UK government<br />

source welcomed the bid<br />

to secure an investment<br />

agenda, though his comments<br />

came before he had<br />

seen the mandate. “The<br />

EU’s trade relationship<br />

with China has been a bit<br />

less than the sum of its<br />

parts...It has lacked the<br />

weight that you get when<br />

you are in negotiations<br />

with people.” Talks on the<br />

investment agreement<br />

“will thicken out the relationship,<br />

not just the content”.<br />

Andrew Gardner

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