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NHBC NEW HOMES STATISTICS REVIEW 2012 - NHBC Home

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<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

With Richard Tamayo – Commercial Director at <strong>NHBC</strong><br />

According to <strong>NHBC</strong>’s registration figures for <strong>2012</strong> there were 104,514 new homes registered in the UK<br />

over the past year, representing a 9% decrease compared to 2011 (114,930).<br />

Contents<br />

The big numbers<br />

for <strong>2012</strong><br />

1<br />

Regional<br />

overview<br />

2<br />

In summary, <strong>2012</strong> was a challenging year for the housebuilding industry but as the year progressed, and with<br />

Government-backed schemes such as NewBuy and Funding for Lending helping to increase mortgage<br />

availability, there were some encouraging signs.<br />

We were heartened by the Government’s commitment to back the industry and provide new funding,<br />

particularly to unlock almost 50,000 homes on stalled sites and look forward to seeing how this progresses.<br />

We obviously hope that the upward trend seen towards the end of <strong>2012</strong>, which included a 17% increase in<br />

registrations for Q4 <strong>2012</strong> (24,560) compared to Q4 2011 (21,060) and the positive trend seen in the opening<br />

weeks of January 2013 will continue throughout the year.<br />

YEAR ON YEAR OVERALL New HOUSEBUILDING FIGURES – 2011 vs <strong>2012</strong><br />

Public vs. private<br />

3<br />

Appendix<br />

4<br />

Registrations<br />

9%<br />

All Sectors:-<br />

Completions<br />

1%<br />

(2011-<strong>2012</strong>) (2011-<strong>2012</strong>)<br />

UK Registrations<br />

2011 114,930<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 104,510<br />

UK Completions<br />

2011 113,880<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 114,550<br />

Number of <strong>NEW</strong> homes<br />

Source: <strong>NHBC</strong> (Appendix table 1)<br />

Note: Figures for 2011 are derived from actual ‘New-Build’ registrations for <strong>NHBC</strong>’s ten-year warranty and<br />

the number of completions notified by <strong>NHBC</strong> inspectors. Figures are rounded to the nearest 10.<br />

UK Median Selling Price of New homes – private sector only<br />

Note: These figures are<br />

based on the purchaser’s<br />

solicitor confirming to<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> the purchase price of<br />

a new home.<br />

Prices are given in £000,s<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

184<br />

172<br />

182<br />

184<br />

194 190<br />

165<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

Source: <strong>NHBC</strong> (Appendix table 2)<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact<br />

Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 2 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Regional Overview<br />

Annual registrations for all sectors (% change 2011 on <strong>2012</strong>)<br />

David Little, <strong>NHBC</strong> Director<br />

Northern Ireland<br />

As expected we have seen a moderate decline<br />

over the last 12 months, but not as marked as the<br />

comparative statistic from a year ago (-35% in 2011<br />

compared to 2010). We have also seen signs of<br />

house prices stabilising at an affordable level which<br />

in turn should lead to an increase in sales volumes.<br />

The recent strong figures for purchases through<br />

the NI CoOwnership scheme may well indicate that<br />

potential buyers are now confident that this is the<br />

right time to buy. While we expect<br />

the recovery in new housebuilding<br />

volumes to be led by Belfast and<br />

the East of Northern Ireland, we<br />

-14%<br />

believe that overall the local<br />

housebuilding industry will see<br />

an increase in volumes in 2013.<br />

Peter Watton, <strong>NHBC</strong> Director<br />

Wales<br />

We have seen encouraging figures over the course<br />

of <strong>2012</strong> in terms of new build registrations across<br />

the country, with a 16% increase compared against<br />

2011. It was also pleasing to see increases in both<br />

the private and public sectors as a number of large,<br />

stalled sites finally reached completion and have<br />

been replaced by exciting new sites. We hope that<br />

this progress will continue into the new year and,<br />

as an industry, we must try and ensure that key<br />

issues such as mortgage availability, remain<br />

closely monitored.<br />

-7%<br />

+16%<br />

+6%<br />

+3%<br />

+24%<br />

-2%<br />

+0.4%<br />

Malcolm MacLeod, <strong>NHBC</strong> Director<br />

Scotland<br />

<strong>2012</strong> has seen registration levels in Scotland stabilise with<br />

overall levels revealing a slight decline compared with 2011.<br />

Figures for the private sector show that year-end results are<br />

virtually like-for-like versus last year, although public sector,<br />

as elsewhere across the UK, is significantly down on 2011.<br />

In the last quarter of <strong>2012</strong> both the Mi New <strong>Home</strong> and the<br />

Funding for Lending initiatives were launched and will greatly<br />

assist first time buyers to get onto the housing ladder. During<br />

2013 the industry must work together even more to promote<br />

the benefits of new homes to ensure the aspirations of<br />

prospective homebuyers are met.<br />

+2%<br />

-7%<br />

-33%<br />

-16%<br />

Steve Catt, <strong>NHBC</strong> director<br />

England<br />

In keeping with overall UK housing figures,<br />

England has seen a levelling out in the housing<br />

market in <strong>2012</strong> with a 10% decrease in housing<br />

numbers. There were encouraging signs as the<br />

year progressed, with Government backed<br />

schemes such as NewBuy, helping to<br />

increase mortgage availability for<br />

prospective homeowners.<br />

However, it is clear that there remains a<br />

continued undersupply of new homes,<br />

especially in the affordable sector which<br />

contributed to a large proportion of the<br />

fall in numbers for the year. This<br />

undersupply needs to be addressed as we<br />

begin to speculate about what 2013 may bring for<br />

the industry.<br />

Source: <strong>NHBC</strong> (Appendix table 3)<br />

Note: The comparison is based on ‘New-Build’ registrations for <strong>NHBC</strong>’s ten-year warranty.<br />

Percentage of UK house types in total registrations – all sectors<br />

Percentage<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

20<br />

Detached houses<br />

23<br />

1 1<br />

Detached bungalows<br />

18<br />

Semi-detached houses<br />

21 21<br />

Terraced houses<br />

23<br />

1 1<br />

Attached bungalows<br />

39<br />

Flats and maisonettes<br />

32<br />

Year 2011<br />

Year <strong>2012</strong><br />

Source: <strong>NHBC</strong> (Appendix table 5)<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 3 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

PRIVATE vs. AFFORDABLE<br />

Private Sector<br />

Number of new homes<br />

Year on year percentage change<br />

Registrations<br />

2011 78,250<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 78,120 -0.2%<br />

Completions<br />

2011 76,890<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 80,270 4%<br />

Affordable Sector<br />

Number of <strong>NEW</strong> homes<br />

Year on year percentage change<br />

Registrations<br />

2011 36,680<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 26,390 -28%<br />

Completions<br />

2011 36,990<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 34,280 -7%<br />

Note: Figures are rounded to the nearest 10.<br />

Mehban Chowdery, Head of social housing at <strong>NHBC</strong><br />

Over the course of the last year the final <strong>2012</strong> figures<br />

for the social housing sector were significantly down on<br />

2011. This decrease can be partly attributed to the delays<br />

experienced in starting the National Affordable Housing<br />

Programme (NAHP) <strong>2012</strong> – 2015 which had a significant<br />

knock-on effect on the subsequent figures for the UK’s<br />

public sector housing numbers.<br />

However, now this has been resolved, with a new timetable<br />

of the NAHP for this year and the rest of the programme,<br />

we can hopefully look forward to an increase in levels. This,<br />

combined with the measures announced by the Government<br />

last year should boost housing numbers in the public sector.<br />

Number of homes<br />

120000<br />

100000<br />

80000<br />

60000<br />

40000<br />

20000<br />

0<br />

Chart 2: <strong>NHBC</strong> registrations and completions<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Registrations – private sector<br />

Registrations – public sector<br />

Completions – private sector<br />

Completions – public sector<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

Source: <strong>NHBC</strong> (Appendix table 4)<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 4 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix<br />

Table 1: UK Registrations and completions all sectors<br />

Registrations<br />

2008 106,890<br />

2009 88,080<br />

2010 115,460<br />

2011 114,930<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 104,510<br />

Oct <strong>2012</strong> 9,680<br />

Nov <strong>2012</strong> 9,530<br />

Dec <strong>2012</strong> 5,350<br />

Completions<br />

2008 148,890<br />

2009 116,330<br />

2010 103,800<br />

2011 113,880<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 114,550<br />

Oct <strong>2012</strong> 8,820<br />

Nov <strong>2012</strong> 11,280<br />

Dec <strong>2012</strong> 9,000<br />

Number of new homes<br />

Notes<br />

1. <strong>NHBC</strong> statistics are derived almost exclusively from its registered builders, who construct around 80% of the new homes built in the UK.<br />

As such, they represent a unique source of detailed, up-to-date information on new home construction and the house-building industry.<br />

2. A <strong>NHBC</strong> registered builder is required to register a house with <strong>NHBC</strong> at least 21 days before building starts.<br />

3. A house registered with <strong>NHBC</strong> is deemed completed when the <strong>NHBC</strong> Building Inspector, who carried out key stage inspections during<br />

construction, considers that the house has been satisfactorily completed in respect of <strong>NHBC</strong>’s technical requirements.<br />

4. These figures are rounded numbers.<br />

5. The number of ‘Registrations’ relate to homes registered, less a small percentage reduction to allow for likely cancellations. During an<br />

economic downturn the number of actual cancellations is likely to be higher.<br />

6. The above figures relate to ‘New-Build’ registrations for <strong>NHBC</strong>’s ten-year warranty in the UK, including the Isle of Man.<br />

7. ‘Completions’ relate to the number of homes ‘finalled’ by <strong>NHBC</strong>’s Building Inspectors and are reported in the month they are received<br />

and processed.<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 5 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix<br />

Table 2: Median Selling Price of New Houses – PRIVATE SECTOR ONLY<br />

Prices are given<br />

in £000’s<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

North East 157 144 150 143 146<br />

North West 148 138 150 153 155<br />

Yorkshire & The Humber 150 146 159 150 153<br />

West Midlands 156 153 158 159 166<br />

East Midlands 155 148 157 157 165<br />

Eastern 195 180 205 205 215<br />

South West 190 175 190 186 190<br />

Greater London 270 257 252 287 273<br />

South East 225 210 230 235 240<br />

England 185 175 185 186 195<br />

Scotland 189 174 185 188 191<br />

Wales 160 145 157 160 165<br />

Northern Ireland 169 148 145 130 127<br />

United Kingdom 184 172 182 184 190<br />

Notes<br />

1. <strong>NHBC</strong> asks the purchaser’s solicitor to return a document confirming the purchase price of a house.<br />

2. For each update, the previous figures are re-calculated and this can result in some minor changes occuring.<br />

3. Houses includes flats, maisonettes and bungalows.<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 6 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix (continued)<br />

Table 3: REGIONAL REGISTRATION FIGURES – All sectors<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

North East 2,845 2,758 4,548 3,227 3,996<br />

North West 8,252 6,471 8,318 8,103 8,620<br />

Yorkshire & the Humber 6,601 4,727 7,339 5,891 5,914<br />

West Midlands 7,627 5,782 8,780 7,890 7,701<br />

East Midlands 8,071 7,042 8,984 7,657 7,784<br />

Eastern 12,755 11,686 13,337 13,343 11,270<br />

South West 10,647 10,744 13,073 11,376 11,730<br />

Greater London 16,015 10,304 16,169 24,592 16,364<br />

South East 17,555 15,356 19,306 18,303 16,966<br />

England 90,368 74,870 99,854 100,382 90,345<br />

Scotland 9,752 6,814 8,209 8,986 8,327<br />

Wales 3,640 2,872 4,193 3,495 4,065<br />

Northern Ireland (incl. Isle of Man) 3,134 3,527 3,202 2,067 1,777<br />

United Kingdom (incl. Isle of Man) 106,894 88,083 115,458 114,930 104,514<br />

Northern Ireland Registration Figures by County – all sectors<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

Antrim 710 1,010 952 715 578<br />

Armagh 343 296 243 109 109<br />

Down 1,060 1,380 988 796 603<br />

Fermanagh 167 196 122 80 43<br />

Londonderry 344 276 509 199 245<br />

Tyrone 209 193 262 31 131<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 7 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix (continued)<br />

Scotland Registration Figures by Council – all sectors<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

Aberdeenshire 1099 921 654 837 651<br />

Angus 130 181 172 167 140<br />

Argyll & Bute 109 185 110 107 41<br />

City of Aberdeen 247 233 195 587 574<br />

City of Edinburgh 617 594 837 1,105 699<br />

City of Glasgow 844 426 1,063 382 1,311<br />

Clackmannan 6 58 35 97 63<br />

Dumfries & Galloway 106 136 254 67 64<br />

Dundee City 330 188 153 88 52<br />

East Ayrshire 124 56 134 143 144<br />

East Dumbartonshire 66 54 131 380 170<br />

East Lothian 152 208 231 148 183<br />

East Renfrewshire 151 42 203 192 210<br />

Falkirk 404 189 162 307 285<br />

Fife 925 416 570 752 531<br />

Highland 528 361 407 367 303<br />

Inverclyde 186 49 82 97 47<br />

Midlothian 290 124 232 313 357<br />

Moray 98 72 185 64 144<br />

North Ayrshire 103 68 137 113 112<br />

North Lanarkshire 734 459 495 673 495<br />

Orkney Islands 33 38 19 12 10<br />

Perthshire & Kinross 216 194 234 152 252<br />

Renfrewshire 313 166 197 97 194<br />

Scottish Borders 250 85 131 83 163<br />

Shetland Islands 25 15 5 4 2<br />

South Ayrshire 118 69 92 63 120<br />

South Lanarkshire 838 459 778 602 439<br />

Stirling 271 105 171 142 212<br />

West Dumbartonshire 120 95 18 62 158<br />

Western Isles 21 20 64 9 2<br />

West Lothian 298 548 58 774 199<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 8 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix (continued)<br />

Welsh Registration Figures by Unitary Authority – all sectors<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong><br />

Blaenau Gwent 36 85 131 58 57<br />

Bridgend 228 210 422 300 382<br />

Caerphilly 103 268 198 220 266<br />

Cardiff 598 359 467 208 290<br />

Carmarthenshire 125 200 260 263 213<br />

Ceredigion 22 14 40 34 40<br />

Conwy 182 140 103 75 185<br />

Denbighshire 172 53 119 128 48<br />

Flintshire 168 118 174 265 286<br />

Gwynedd 36 68 50 39 60<br />

Isle of Anglesey 116 74 74 83 64<br />

Merthyr Tydfil 7 107 240 21 49<br />

Monmouthshire 186 33 242 152 318<br />

Neath Port Talbot 214 100 206 210 120<br />

Newport 508 267 253 292 220<br />

Pembrokeshire 72 73 100 121 63<br />

Powys 160 78 82 176 91<br />

Rhondda Cynon Taff 205 116 198 272 370<br />

Swansea 287 154 361 285 289<br />

Torfaen 95 108 150 73 235<br />

Vale of Glamorgan 15 122 91 63 123<br />

Wrexham 105 125 232 157 296<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 9 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix (continued)<br />

Table 4: UK Private and Affordable Sector Registrations and Completions<br />

Private sector number<br />

Affordable sector number<br />

Registrations<br />

2008 72,110 34,780<br />

2009 55,910 32,170<br />

2010 77,530 37,920<br />

2011 78,250 36,680<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 78,120 26,390<br />

Completions<br />

2008 111,950 36,940<br />

2009 81,060 35,270<br />

2010 72,480 31,320<br />

2011 76,890 36,990<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 80,270 34,280<br />

Notes<br />

1. The above figures relate to ‘New-Build’ registrations for <strong>NHBC</strong>’s ten-year warranty in the UK. Northern Ireland values include the Isle of Man.<br />

2. <strong>NHBC</strong> registration figures are obtained as follows: A builder is required to register a house with <strong>NHBC</strong> at least 21 days before building starts.<br />

3. <strong>NHBC</strong> registration figures reflect an intention to build, they may give an earlier indication of market trends.<br />

4. ‘Completions’ relate to the number of homes ‘finalled’ by <strong>NHBC</strong>’s Building Inspectors and are reported in the month they are received and processed.<br />

5. These figures are rounded.<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.


page 10 of 10<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> <strong>NEW</strong> <strong>HOMES</strong><br />

<strong>STATISTICS</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong> <strong>2012</strong><br />

Appendix (continued)<br />

Table 5: PERCENTAGE OF HOUSE TYPES IN TOTAL registrations<br />

Private and AFFORDABLE Sector – Percentage of house type in total registrations<br />

Country Year Detached<br />

Houses<br />

Detached<br />

Bungalows<br />

Semi-detached<br />

HOUSES<br />

Terraced<br />

Houses<br />

Attached<br />

bungalows<br />

England 2008 12% 1% 14% 21% 1% 51%<br />

2009 15% 1% 17% 25% 1% 40%<br />

2010 15% 1% 19% 25% 1% 39%<br />

2011 17% 1% 18% 22% 1% 41%<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 21% 1% 21% 23% 1% 34%<br />

Wales 2008 21% 2% 20% 20% 1% 37%<br />

2009 23% 2% 22% 24% 2% 27%<br />

2010 28% 2% 28% 21% 0% 21%<br />

2011 38% 1% 24% 20% 1% 16%<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 35% 1% 23% 20% 0% 20%<br />

Scotland 2008 34% 2% 14% 14% 2% 34%<br />

2009 31% 3% 20% 11% 2% 33%<br />

2010 33% 3% 14% 14% 2% 34%<br />

2011 38% 2% 16% 12% 1% 30%<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 37% 2% 15% 23% 1% 22%<br />

Flats and<br />

maisonettes<br />

Northern<br />

Ireland<br />

2008 24% 6% 21% 15% 0% 33%<br />

2009 24% 5% 25% 20% 1% 25%<br />

2010 23% 4% 27% 25% 1% 20%<br />

2011 29% 5% 33% 14% 0% 19%<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 31% 4% 36% 18% 0% 11%<br />

United<br />

Kingdom<br />

2008 14% 1% 14% 20% 1% 49%<br />

2009 17% 1% 18% 24% 1% 39%<br />

2010 17% 1% 19% 24% 1% 37%<br />

2011 20% 1% 18% 21% 1% 39%<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 23% 1% 21% 23% 1% 32%<br />

Notes<br />

1. The above table shows the percentages of different types of homes registered by country for the past five years by house types.<br />

2. For each update, the previous figures are recalculated and this can result in some minor changes occurring.<br />

If you would like an interview to discuss this in more detail or if you require any further information, please contact Nadia Bedra on 01908 746 734 or email<br />

nbedra@nhbc.co.uk.<br />

<strong>NHBC</strong><br />

<strong>NHBC</strong> House, Davy Avenue, Knowlhill, Milton Keynes, Bucks MK5 8FP<br />

Tel: 0844 633 1000 Fax: 0844 633 0022 www.nhbc.co.uk<br />

G25 01/13

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