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Discrete Mathematics University of Kentucky CS 275 Spring ... - MGNet

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Theorem: Let E and F be events in a sample space S. Then<br />

p(E2F) = p(E) + p(F) – p(E3F).<br />

Pro<strong>of</strong>: Recall that |E2F| = |E| + |F| – |E3F|. Hence,<br />

p(E2F) = |E2F| / |S| = (|E| + |F| – |E3F|) / |S| = p(E) + p(F) – p(E3F).<br />

Example: What is the probability in the set {1, 2, …, 100} <strong>of</strong> an element being<br />

divisible by 2 or 3? Let E and F represent elements divisible by 2 and 3,<br />

respectively. Then |E| = 50, |F| = 33, and |E3F| = 16. Hence, p(E2F) = 0.67.<br />

101<br />

Second Assumption: Now suppose that the probability <strong>of</strong> an event is not 1 / |S|.<br />

In this case we must assign probabilities for each possible event, either by<br />

setting a specific value or defining a function.<br />

Definition: For a sample space S with a finite or countable number <strong>of</strong> events, we<br />

assign probabilities p(s) to each event s,S such that<br />

(1) 0 ; p(s) ; 1 (s,S, and<br />

(2) " p(s) = 1.<br />

s!S<br />

Notes:<br />

1. When |S| = n, the formulas (1) and (2) can be rewritten using n.<br />

2. When |S| = . and is uncountable, integral calculus is required for (2).<br />

3. When |S| = . and is countable, the sum in (2) is true in the limit.<br />

102

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