Integrated Company Analysis - Business Library
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<strong>Integrated</strong> <strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Alejandro Castano<br />
Fall, 2009<br />
Joe Czechowicz<br />
Wisconsin School of <strong>Business</strong><br />
975 University Ave<br />
Madison, WI 53706<br />
608-262-1550<br />
For over one hundred years, Eastman Kodak <strong>Company</strong> has provided imaging<br />
products to consumers, earning brand equity through innovation. Today, Kodak<br />
struggles with declining revenue and steep restructuring costs as it transitions to<br />
the digital imaging market.<br />
Troy Golden<br />
Matt Johnson Lindsay Kruger
Contents<br />
Contents .................................................................................................................................................................................. 2<br />
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................ 4<br />
<strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> .................................................................................................................................................................. 5<br />
Organizational Structure ..................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />
Financial <strong>Analysis</strong> ............................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />
Performance Indicators ................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />
Quality of Financial Statements ...................................................................................................................................... 6<br />
Financing and Capital Structure ...................................................................................................................................... 7<br />
Valuation ......................................................................................................................................................................... 7<br />
Kodak‘s Current Marketing Strategy .................................................................................................................................. 8<br />
Consumer ........................................................................................................................................................................ 8<br />
Positioning ...................................................................................................................................................................... 8<br />
Product ............................................................................................................................................................................ 9<br />
Price ................................................................................................................................................................................ 9<br />
Placement ...................................................................................................................................................................... 10<br />
Promotion ...................................................................................................................................................................... 10<br />
Recommendations ................................................................................................................................................................. 12<br />
Appendix ............................................................................................................................................................................... 14<br />
Exhibit 1 – Products <strong>Analysis</strong> ........................................................................................................................................... 14<br />
Digital Cameras............................................................................................................................................................. 14<br />
Printers .......................................................................................................................................................................... 15<br />
Digital Picture Frames .................................................................................................................................................. 16<br />
Photo Storage ................................................................................................................................................................ 16<br />
Exhibit 2 – ―It‘s time to smile‖ Campaign ........................................................................................................................ 18<br />
Exhibit 3 – Competitor Endorsements .............................................................................................................................. 22<br />
Exhibit 4 – Economic Value Pricing ................................................................................................................................. 22<br />
Exhibit 5 – Kodak Product Pricing ................................................................................................................................... 22<br />
Exhibit 6 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 23<br />
Point And Shoot Models: Rankings And Price ............................................................................................................. 23<br />
Compiled from ConsumerReports.org .......................................................................................................................... 23<br />
Exhibit 7 – Competitor <strong>Business</strong> Descriptions ................................................................................................................. 25<br />
Canon Inc. ..................................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />
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Fujifilm Holdings Corp. ................................................................................................................................................ 25<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co. ..................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd. ............................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />
Sony Corp. .................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />
Xerox Corp. ................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />
Nikon Corp. ................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />
Olympus Corp. .............................................................................................................................................................. 27<br />
Lexmark International Inc. ............................................................................................................................................ 27<br />
Seiko Epson Corp.......................................................................................................................................................... 27<br />
Exhibit 8 – Profitability Scenario <strong>Analysis</strong> ....................................................................................................................... 28<br />
Exhibit 9: Comparison of accounting methods ................................................................................................................. 30<br />
Exhibit 10: Operating cost breakdown ............................................................................................................................. 31<br />
Exhibit 11 - Cash Conversion Cycle ................................................................................................................................ 32<br />
Exhibit 12 – EK Pro Forma Financial Statements ............................................................................................................ 34<br />
Exhibit 13 – CDG Pro Forma Financial Statements ......................................................................................................... 35<br />
Exhibit 14 – FPEG Pro Forma Financial Statements ........................................................................................................ 36<br />
Exhibit 15 – GCG Pro Forma Financial Statements ......................................................................................................... 37<br />
Exhibit 16 – Segment Valuations and Key Assumptions ................................................................................................. 38<br />
Exhibit 17 – Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> of Traditional Sales Lines ........................................................................................... 39<br />
Exhibit 18 – Sensitivity <strong>Analysis</strong> of Stock Price .............................................................................................................. 43<br />
Exhibit 19 – Cash Benefit of Financing Transactions ...................................................................................................... 44<br />
Works Cited .......................................................................................................................................................................... 45<br />
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Executive Summary<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. was founded in 1892 by George Eastman and offers imaging products for leisure,<br />
commercial, entertainment, and scientific purposes. Traded on the New York Stock Exchange (symbol: EK), the<br />
company reported over $9 billion in revenue and $9 billion in assets in FY08. Kodak is organized along three segments:<br />
the Graphic Communications Group (GCG); the Film, Photofinishing, and Entertainment Group (FPEG); and the<br />
Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG). Kodak‘s history is one of innovation, but the company was slow to react to the<br />
digital revolution. Kodak has struggled to overcome this legacy ever since.<br />
Through our due diligence, we have uncovered that Kodak must improve gross margins to become profitable in<br />
2010. Our sensitivity analysis shows that sales growth alone will not lead to profitability. We have identified a target<br />
gross margin of 27.5% to become profitable in 2010.<br />
Kodak entered into two financing transactions over the past two months involving convertible debt and warrants.<br />
These transactions allowed Kodak to raise almost $700 million in cash, while saving around $35 million per year in<br />
interest. In exchange for the savings, existing shareholders will potentially give up 25% of the equity value. Kodak also<br />
continues to sell significant assets and intellectual property rights, including its OLED business, a potential next-<br />
generation flat-panel display technology that Kodak pioneered over the last couple of decades (Kodak, 2009).<br />
Kodak positions itself as the user-friendly choice for amateur users of imaging products. The company‘s product<br />
attributes detract from this position. In general, Kodak products are priced below the competition. Kodak‘s lower price,<br />
though offering a benefit to some consumers, signals inferior quality to the market. Kodak‘s placement strategy employs<br />
wide market coverage, ensuring easy access for consumers. Presently, Kodak does not direct consumers to preferred<br />
channels. Kodak recently launched an integrated, multi-media marketing campaign. The campaign touches on multiple<br />
product lines, rather than emphasizing an ‗energizer‘ product.<br />
The following are our key recommendations: (1) redesign Kodak‘s marketing communication message to position<br />
it as the premier provider of imaging solutions that connects the consumer with their loved ones; (2) through marketing<br />
communications, walk the consumer from image capturing, through storage, to sharing, allowing them to process each of<br />
Kodak‘s product offerings; (3) increase marketing focus on digital cameras to leverage brand equity (reposition); (4)<br />
increase prices on digital cameras.<br />
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<strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Organizational Structure<br />
Eastman Kodak is an international corporation with over 24,000 employees, over $9 billion in annual sales<br />
(FY08), and over $9 billion in assets (FY08).<br />
The company is organized along three segments: the Graphic Communications Group (GCG); the Film,<br />
Photofinishing, Entertainment Group (FPEG); and the Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG). Thirty-nine percent of<br />
Kodak‘s revenue comes from the GCG segment, which provides products and services to businesses with large scale<br />
printing operations. Thirty-one percent of Kodak‘s revenue comes from the FPEG segment, which provides traditional<br />
photographic products and services to consumer, professional, and industrial markets. Thirty percent of Kodak‘s revenue<br />
comes from the CDG segment, which provides digital consumer products.<br />
Kodak began in the late nineteenth century with George Eastman‘s advance in dry plate technology, which<br />
allowed photography to become an amateur pursuit. Since then, Kodak has continued to excel in technological<br />
innovation. The company issued over 19,000 U.S. patents between 1900 and 1999. In 1935, Kodak introduced<br />
Kodachrome film, the first commercially successful amateur color film. NASA relied on a Kodak camera to take photos<br />
on the moon and transmit them to earth. Also, Kodak invented the first digital camera in 1975 (Kodak, 2009).<br />
Kodak reacted slowly to the digital revolution. Since the takeoff of digital cameras, Kodak has seen revenues<br />
plummet from $15 billion to $9.4 billion (Butcher, 2009). Kodak has cut 40,000 jobs over the last five years, and plans to<br />
eliminate 3,500 to 4,500 in 2009 (Dobbin, 2009). Since 2003, Kodak has sought to meet this challenge with robust<br />
restructuring programs. Approximately 80% of Kodak revenue is from new products and services developed within the<br />
last five years (Butcher, 2009). Approximately 60% of Kodak employees have been there less than four years (Butcher,<br />
2009).<br />
Financial <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Performance Indicators<br />
Kodak faces the challenge of high restructuring costs and declining demand for its digital products, while trying<br />
to redefine its organizational structure and brand name. On top of company-specific problems, Kodak faces a stiff macro-<br />
economic headwind, as consumers continue to watch their spending on luxury items. To combat these problems, Kodak<br />
has cut costs via layoffs and reductions in R&D expenditures, removed dividend payments to common stockholders and<br />
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targeted its cash conversion cycle. In the near term, Kodak appears to be poorly positioned to handle an extended<br />
economic contraction, and must act immediately to generate additional revenues and profits.<br />
Negatives for FY08 vs. Competitors<br />
Revenues: Kodak experienced revenue growth (pro-forma) of -2.5% and -8.6% in FY07 and FY08, respectively.<br />
The median competitor revenue growth was 6.7% and -8.6% in FY07 and FY08, respectively. We attribute the quicker<br />
revenue decline to the company‘s inability to resonate with consumers.<br />
Rapidly declining gross margins. Since Kodak introduced its ―digital plan‖ in 2003, gross margins have declined<br />
sharply from a high of 36% to the current low of around 20% (23% FY08 vs. competitor median of 36%). The decline in<br />
margins is a pressing issue. We believe our marketing recommendations give Kodak the best chance of survival.<br />
Return-on-Equity (Dupont): Kodak has seen its ROE go from 24.5% in FY02 (vs. 6.6% for competitors) to -<br />
44.4% in FY05 (vs. 10.4% for competitors), to -36.4% (vs. 0.6% for competitors) in FY08. One of the distinguishing<br />
detractors comes from Kodak‘s above median equity multiplier at 5.4x (vs. 2.7x for competitors). As the industry and<br />
economy deteriorated, Kodak suffered from higher financial leverage relative to its peers (3-yr average of 6.4x vs. 2.7x<br />
for competitors) that accelerated the decline of profitability.<br />
Positives for FY08 vs. Competitors<br />
Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC): Kodak has reduced its cash conversion cycle to -5 days for FY08, versus a<br />
competitor median of 82 days (FactSet Research Systems, 2009). Kodak accomplished the improvement in CCC through<br />
extensions of terms on accounts payable, while maintaining steady inventory and days of sales outstanding.<br />
Lean operating costs: Kodak has been successful in cutting SG&A costs as a percentage of sales. By reducing its<br />
workforce, Kodak expects future cost savings of over $300 million. Current operating costs (ex-restructuring and goodwill<br />
write-offs) of 22% are well below Canon (35%), Fujifilm (35%) and Nikon (31%). If Kodak can survive the economic<br />
contraction and continue to operate at current levels in comparison to its competitors, we believe the company can survive<br />
and return to profitability.<br />
Quality of Financial Statements<br />
Kodak reports under US GAAP (Exhibit 9). Inconsistency in Kodak‘s financial reports inhibits the ability to<br />
serially compare and forecast financial performance. Through our due diligence process, we discovered that Kodak is<br />
more aggressive (8%) than Canon in respect to estimating expected returns on assets (6.5%) of pension plan obligations.<br />
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Restatements: Kodak restated financial statements in 2003 and 2004 due to mistakes in reporting income taxes,<br />
accruals for pensions and other post-retirement benefits due to the rapid turnover (firing) of 15,000 workers. The<br />
restatement reduced reported earnings by $85 million (effect from income tax error - $56 million, effect from pension<br />
errors – $29 million), decreased retained earnings and decreased cash flow from operations.<br />
Reclassifications: Continuous restructuring of the company prevents proper historical comparisons beyond three<br />
years. The reclassifications also introduce discrepancies between segment breakdowns and total firm numbers.<br />
Change in useful life of assets: In the first quarter of 2008, the company performed an updated analysis of<br />
expected useful lives on its traditional film and paper business. This analysis resulted in an increase in useful lives, which<br />
in turn will result in decreasing depreciation expenses ($107 million), increasing net income, increasing retained earnings<br />
and increasing assets in the future.<br />
Impairment of goodwill: In 4Q08, Kodak re-evaluated all of its business segments with an increased WACC<br />
between 18.5% and 23.0% to reflect the rapidly deteriorating environment. Due to the estimated future cash flows being<br />
less than the overall cost of the GCG segment, Kodak reported a pre-tax, non-cash $785 million impairment charge.<br />
Financing and Capital Structure<br />
Many of Kodak‘s financing decisions are being dictated by its weak financial position. The company is relying on<br />
convertible securities and warrants in order to secure debt financing at bearable costs (around 8.5%, Exhibit 19) while<br />
giving up significant upside of around 25% of common stock if the company recovers. Equity financing is not an option<br />
due to the low market value of Kodak‘s common stock relative to its operating and financing cash needs. It has decided to<br />
cut its dividend and discontinue stock repurchases after spending over $450 million of needed cash in 2008.<br />
Valuation<br />
Discounted Cash Flow <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
We valuate Kodak‘s stock at $5.32. This makes the share price of $4.40 as of 12/11/09 slightly undervalued. The<br />
DCF analysis was performed using a two-stage model in which we estimated the cash flows for Kodak‘s three business<br />
segments, CDG, FPEG and GCG, through 2018, and then calculated a terminal value based on assumed long-term growth<br />
rates (Exhibits 15).<br />
Kodak has re-organized its business segments repeatedly, making it difficult to compare revenues and costs over a<br />
long period and establish any significant trend at the segment level. Second, the business is undergoing rapid changes as a<br />
result of the technological shift to digital products, which has increased volatility and made it very difficult to establish<br />
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any kind of even a short-term trend. We ended up using a regression model of Kodak‘s overall revenues with several<br />
factors related to their traditional business segments to predict revenues going forward for GCG and FPEG, which most<br />
closely resemble Kodak‘s traditional combined business lines since 1990 (Exhibit 16). Finally, we believe that our WACC<br />
calculation could be undervaluing Kodak‘s risk based on management expectations for the cost of capital (Kodak, 2009).<br />
Exhibit 17 contains a sensitivity table of the stock value based on WACC and long-term growth rates.<br />
WACC<br />
We estimated a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 15.1% for the overall company based on a risk-free<br />
rate of 3.2%, and a market risk premium of 7.4% 1 (Kavajecz, 2009, p. 19). We calculated Kodak‘s equity beta of 1.68<br />
from September 2002 through November 2009. We chose this time period to accurately reflect the increased volatility of<br />
Kodak‘s share price relative to the market based on the company‘s digital transition. We also used industry comparables<br />
to estimate the cost of capital for each of Kodak‘s business units, and then increased them by a factor based on the<br />
company WACC, which we assume reflects significant additional risk of bankruptcy as indicated by the stock volatility<br />
relative to the S&P 500 (Exhibit 15).<br />
Kodak’s Current Marketing Strategy<br />
Consumer<br />
Kodak is likely targeting a segment of the consumer market that meets the following criteria: (1) adult, post-<br />
baccalaureate, 25-40 years old; (2) active/ involved; (3) caring about relationships (friends & family); (4) non-<br />
professional, sub-standard skills in photography; (5) high interest in capturing images of life (freeze in time) and sharing<br />
those images in digital or printed form.<br />
Positioning<br />
Kodak‘s marketing decisions (explained below) imply the following positioning statement: Kodak is preferred by<br />
adults who are active, busy and care about meaningful relationships and want to encapsulate and share important<br />
moments in their lives, because Kodak’s products enable them to capture, share, display, and store pictures and create<br />
keepsakes, with more ease than competitors like Canon, Nikon, and Fujifilm.<br />
1 Risk premium over government bonds: 13.0% - 5.6% = 7.4%<br />
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Product<br />
Kodak fails to offer clear, distinguishing benefits to consumers. The company attempts to position itself as a<br />
provider of ‗user-friendly‘ products, typically offering products whose names include the word ‗easy‘. However, some of<br />
Kodak‘s product attributes detract from the credibility of this position (Exhibit 2). Other than a long battery life, the<br />
Kodak EasyShare M1033 digital camera features few differentiating attributes that appeal to the user-friendly consumer.<br />
The Kodak EasyShare 5300 printer has a cumbersome interface and PC Loader tray that lacks built-in networking<br />
capability. Kodak‘s ‗user-friendly‘ position is undermined with products that do not deliver the promised benefit.<br />
Kodak develops products quickly due to its competitive environment. A comprehensive program designed to<br />
include all desirable features is nearly impossible due to the speed at which the industry evolves.<br />
Product types face different risk scenarios depending on their newness to the company and their newness to the<br />
market. Digital cameras are familiar to the market and to Kodak. Thus, a line extension of Kodak‘s digital cameras<br />
creates a risk of cannibalization and a lack of incremental sales. Kodak‘s new approach to printers, with higher upfront<br />
costs and lower ink costs, presents different risks. The product type is new to the market and new to the company,<br />
representing a new to the world concept. Thus, the product introduction is at risk of a lack of company-market fit.<br />
Price<br />
Using the economic pricing model (Exhibit 5), a firm strives to deliver products that demand a price premium<br />
over its competitors. Based on this, we compared the pricing of Kodak‘s core consumer products (digital cameras and<br />
inkjet printers), and its secondary consumer products (digital picture frames and Kodak Gallery), to the pricing of its<br />
direct competitors in each category. In the compact digital camera segment, Kodak‘s products are generally priced below<br />
the products of its most direct competitors of Canon, Nikon, and Fujifilm. For example, Kodak cameras sell in the range<br />
of $80 to $160, while cameras offered by the competitors sell in the range of $110 to $500 (Consumers Union of U.S.,<br />
2009). This price differential implies that Kodak is suffering from negative price differentiation. While a lower price<br />
may offer the benefit of capturing a large portion of the price sensitive consumer, we believe that the lower price signals<br />
lower quality to the consumer, when in actuality Kodak‘s cameras deliver comparable quality to that of its competitors.<br />
According to ConsumerReports.org, Kodak holds four of the top twenty-six spots in the point and shoot digital camera<br />
category, only behind Canon, which dominates the rankings with nine of the top spots—Fujifilm has two cameras ranked<br />
in the top twenty-six, while Nikon has zero (Consumers Union of U.S., 2009). As a result, we believe that there is an<br />
opportunity for Kodak to raise its prices in this segment. The other consumer products do not suffer from negative price<br />
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differentiation, and thus we do not believe an opportunity exists to change the pricing of these products (see Exhibit 6 for<br />
further discussion on pricing of printers, digital frames, and Kodak Gallery products).<br />
Placement<br />
Overall, Kodak‘s placement strategy is similar to that of its competitors, in each of the main consumer product<br />
categories. Digital cameras, inkjet printers, and digital picture frames, are typically sold through each company‘s website,<br />
and through all major retailers such as Best Buy, Target, and Wal-Mart, both in stores and online. The photo storage<br />
products are all offered exclusively online. Kodak‘s placement employs wide market coverage because its products are<br />
easily accessible to all consumers. It is difficult for Kodak to differentiate itself within the placement component of the<br />
marketing framework; however, it is important that it monitors the retailers to ensure both consistency across channels<br />
and alignment of objectives between itself and the retailers.<br />
Promotion<br />
Understanding the consumer<br />
Kodak‘s target consumers have lower levels of expertise than an amateur photographer. They are typically more<br />
concerned about the moments captured in pictures and video rather than the art or technical skills required to do so. These<br />
consumers will likely look to an expert (or perceived expert) in the field of photography for advice if any questions arise.<br />
Thus, the level of involvement of Kodak‘s consumer tends to be low. While in some cases, consumers may do some<br />
research to learn about the product they‘re seeking, this type of research is typically shallow in technicalities or details.<br />
Once these consumers have learned what brands are reliable, where the best deals are, and how to obtain the product, they<br />
are ready to purchase. This is when Kodak must be ready to sell.<br />
Marketing objectives<br />
Increased sales is the ultimate marketing objective for Kodak. At the same time, Kodak‘s promotional strategy<br />
seems to have more specific goals depending on where the consumer is within the buying process. Prior to purchasing,<br />
Kodak wants to represent ‗peace of mind‘, fun, and overall inspiration (Exhibit 3, figure 8). The following historic tag-<br />
lines are indicative of such intentions: ―you press the button, we do the rest‖ in 1888 (Kodak, 2009), ―the Kodak<br />
moment‖, ―Share Moments, Share Life‖ in 2001, and its most recent campaign ―It‘s time to smile‖ (Exhibit 3), which will<br />
run for at least one year. These campaigns fit Kodak‘s aim to offer an easy way for consumers to capture the best<br />
moments of their lives. Kodak also appeals to creative consumers who are interested in creating picture books, cards, t-<br />
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shirts, and the like. These additional, creative options entice the consumer to invest more in Kodak products (Exhibit 3,<br />
figure 3). Hence, after the first purchase, Kodak‘s goal is to create a repeat customer.<br />
Reseller <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
The availability of products is vital to Kodak‘s success. Therefore, Kodak must ensure the consumer is directly<br />
connected to preferred retailers whenever they are ready to buy. Unfortunately, that is not always the case in Kodak‘s<br />
current marketing campaign. While Kodak is improving its presence amongst consumers by using several digital<br />
initiatives, it is not always clear what is the best way to obtain the products. There is not always a link or message that<br />
directs consumers to retailers Kodak prefers. Consequently, consumers interested in purchasing Kodak products may find<br />
inconsistent messages while searching for a channel (e.g. prices far lower than Kodak recommends, Exhibit 3, fig. 9).<br />
Marketing Communications<br />
Kodak‘s marketing communications today are focused on triggering emotions and presenting an argument in<br />
favor of some of its product attributes. The company‘s latest campaign, ―It‘s time to smile,‖ stems from the consumer<br />
insight that today‘s work-life balance and the economic situation have negatively impacted relationships (Exhibit 3); even<br />
though, consumers perceive it is easier to connect with friends and family today than it was 5 years ago (thanks to e-mail,<br />
cell phones, and social networks) (Kodak, 2009). Kodak seeks to connect with the consumer at an emotional level and<br />
encourage them to smile and make others smile – all while capturing and sharing their newfound happy moments with<br />
Kodak products. However, the company fails to deliver a clear and differentiating promise that resonates with a<br />
meaningful number of consumers.<br />
Even though Kodak‘s new integrated marketing campaign is present in all major social media channels<br />
(Facebook, Twitter, YouTube) the company‘s number of followers is significantly lower when compared with those of<br />
competitors and other successful brands. On Facebook, as of December 12, 2009, Kodak has 47,342 fans, while Canon<br />
and Nikon have 119,165 and 117,574 respectively. The #1 brand on Facebook, Coca-Cola, dwarfs these numbers with<br />
over four million fans. Kodak cannot afford to lose in the digital space as social media has the powerful effect of creating<br />
communities of ever-growing fans who evangelize the brand – all at a relatively low and fixed cost.<br />
Without fans, the success of the social media initiative is in danger. For example, assume aggressively that the<br />
ideal Kodak consumer spends $200 per year for 20 years in a variety of products totaling $4,000. Also, assume Kodak‘s<br />
contribution margin stays at nearly 25% so each customer is worth $1000 to the company. If an integrated digital<br />
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campaign of the magnitude that Kodak is implementing costs nearly $10 million per year to maintain, the company will<br />
need 10,000 of these consumers to break even (Charlene Li., 2008). At less than 50,000 fans, the conversion rate needed<br />
(20%) is quite high, considering that Facebook claims a conversion rate of only 10% for its advertising (Facebook, 2009).<br />
Even at a more aggressive conversion rate of 15%, Kodak needs much higher numbers to succeed and be profitable.<br />
Currently Kodak does not utilize the services of a celebrity spokesperson. This reduces any risks of brand<br />
confusion or poor representation, commonly associated with endorsements. However, Kodak is betting too much on the<br />
strength of its brand alone, while competitors enlist the help of famous characters like Ashton Kutcher (Nikon), and Maria<br />
Sharapova (Canon) to energize its brand.<br />
Promotion Conclusion<br />
Overall, there seems to be a lack of buzz, energy, top-of-mind awareness, or fuel behind the Kodak brand. The<br />
current marketing campaigns are not driving the number of customers necessary to create the sense of community that<br />
Kodak is expecting, nor generating the revenues the company needs to survive.<br />
Recommendations<br />
Kodak fails to position itself as the indisputable solution between today‘s consumers and their need for<br />
connection. Therefore, Kodak must focus on delivering a clearer message, a differentiating promise, and products that<br />
meet such a promise. For example: Kodak is the premier provider of imaging solutions that bring your loved ones within<br />
arm’s reach.<br />
Additionally, Kodak‘s marketing campaign should present one path within the imaging process that allows the<br />
consumer to process the company‘s offerings. For instance, prioritize marketing efforts according to the following process<br />
(1 = highest priority): (1) take great pictures with Kodak digital cameras, (2) print quality pictures for less with Kodak<br />
photo printers (3) store your pictures at the KodakGallery, where you can create unique keepsakes (4) display your<br />
pictures in our industry-leading Kodak digital frames. Instead of overwhelming the consumer with all the options Kodak<br />
has to offer, focusing the message on one product at a time can be more effective for Kodak‘s target consumer.<br />
We feel that additional emphasis should be placed on digital cameras, with the other products—printers, frames,<br />
and Kodak Gallery—supporting digital cameras as complementary products that round-out the digital imaging experience.<br />
Kodak‘s 120-year history as the premier provider of photography products lends itself to this strategy of emphasizing<br />
digital cameras. This focused strategy can be accomplished through changes in each of the components of the marketing<br />
framework, while keeping in mind the desired positioning for Kodak‘s product-line.<br />
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Because Kodak is targeting the novice photographer segment, it is important that its products incorporate easy-to-<br />
use attributes and automatic features that deliver high-quality photos. Currently, Kodak‘s digital cameras compete well<br />
on the number of functions offered yet do not necessarily differentiate themselves. The same holds true for the printer<br />
category with complaints of complicated interfaces, cumbersome loader trays, and a lack of built-in networking<br />
capabilities. Kodak should strive to simplify its products across its entire product line and further educate customers of<br />
the easy-to-use features through its marketing campaign.<br />
Kodak prices its camera products well below the products of its main competitors. On average, Kodak cameras<br />
cost 31%, 132%, and 80% less than products of similar quality in the super-zoom, compact, and subcompact categories,<br />
respectively (Exhibit 6) (Consumers Union of U.S., 2009). Kodak‘s products are consistently ranked comparably to those<br />
of the competition. Thus, Kodak should demand similar prices for its products. Kodak should be able to increase its<br />
prices by at least 20% on the competitively ranked cameras to signal quality to the consumer without decreasing volumes,<br />
thus increasing profitability. This price increase will address the problem Kodak faces with poor gross margins in the<br />
CDG segment, and lead this segment towards profitability in the future. Success with an increased pricing strategy is<br />
dependent on Kodak effectively communicating the brand quality to the consumer.<br />
Kodak is dependent on its resellers to increase awareness and educate the consumers about its products. Kodak<br />
should work closely with its main retailers to encourage promotion of its digital product suite consisting of cameras,<br />
printers, frames, and Kodak Gallery. Kodak must first educate the retail sales representatives on the features of its<br />
products, namely the differentiating features that will focus on the ease-of-use theme. In addition, the products should be<br />
placed strategically within the stores, to encourage bundling of the Kodak product-line.<br />
In promotions, Kodak needs to improve the level of energy behind the Kodak brand. For this purpose, a celebrity<br />
spokesperson could be highly effective. Because Kodak‘s consumer is relatively low involvement and the market is<br />
already cluttered with many reasonable options (Canon, Nikon, Sony, Casio, etc.), a credible spokesperson should serve to<br />
hold the consumer‘s hand and guide them to buy Kodak products.<br />
The current advertising budget may need to be revised, but an increase is not automatically necessary. Kodak<br />
should continue leveraging and improving its presence on the Internet through various digital initiatives.<br />
Kodak implementing these recommendations will lead to increased sales and margins and ultimately allow the<br />
company to regain its position as a world leader in its industry.<br />
13
Appendix<br />
Exhibit 1 – Products <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Digital Cameras<br />
Key<br />
Attributes<br />
Kodak<br />
EasyShare<br />
M1033<br />
Canon<br />
Powershot<br />
A1100 IS<br />
Meaningfulness to<br />
Market/Consumer<br />
Price $140 $140 Consumers value quality<br />
products at an affordable price<br />
Mega<br />
10 12 Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Pixels<br />
which capture quality images<br />
Zoom 3x 4x Consumers value digital cameras<br />
which capture quality images<br />
Video Yes, with sound Yes, with Consumers value digital cameras<br />
sound which capture quality video<br />
Battery<br />
220 140 shots Longer battery life lowers cost<br />
Life<br />
and adds convenience, creating<br />
value for the consumer<br />
Image<br />
Yes Yes Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Stabilizer<br />
which capture quality images<br />
Face<br />
Yes Yes Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Detection<br />
which are easy to use<br />
Wide<br />
No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Angle<br />
which capture quality images<br />
Manual<br />
No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Controls<br />
which are easy to use<br />
Manual<br />
No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />
Focus<br />
which are easy to use<br />
Point of<br />
Differentiation<br />
n/a<br />
Negative<br />
Negative<br />
n/a<br />
Positive<br />
n/a<br />
n/a<br />
n/a<br />
n/a<br />
n/a<br />
14
Printers<br />
Key<br />
Attributes<br />
Kodak<br />
EasyShare<br />
5300<br />
HP<br />
Photosmart<br />
C6180<br />
Meaningfulness to<br />
Market/Consumer<br />
Price $199.99 300 Consumers value printers which<br />
are affordable<br />
Cheaper<br />
Ink<br />
Printing<br />
Speed<br />
Built in<br />
Networking<br />
User<br />
Interface<br />
Paper<br />
printing<br />
quality<br />
Photo<br />
printing<br />
quality<br />
Hardware-<br />
paper tray<br />
$9.99 for black,<br />
$14.99 for<br />
color<br />
Presently,<br />
ink costs<br />
double or<br />
more;<br />
newly<br />
introduced<br />
ink costs<br />
$14.99 for<br />
black,<br />
$17.99 for<br />
color<br />
Marginally<br />
Faster<br />
Consumers value affordable<br />
printer ink<br />
Point of<br />
Differentiation<br />
Positive<br />
Positive<br />
Consumers value fast printers Negative<br />
No Yes Consumers value printers which<br />
are easy to use<br />
newer photos<br />
better<br />
Better Consumers value printers which<br />
are easy to use<br />
older<br />
photos<br />
better<br />
Consumers value high quality<br />
printers<br />
Consumers value high quality<br />
printers<br />
worse Consumers value printers which<br />
are easy to use<br />
Negative<br />
Negative<br />
n/a<br />
n/a<br />
Negative<br />
15
Digital Picture Frames<br />
Products Compared: Kodak Easyshare 10‖ W1020 Wireless Digital Frame vs. Sony 10.2‖ Widescreen LCD Digital Frame<br />
Attribute: Kodak Sony<br />
Built-In<br />
Wi-Fi<br />
Technology<br />
Included<br />
Resolution 800x480<br />
Source: www.Kodak.com; www.bestbuy.com<br />
Photo Storage<br />
Key Attributes Kodak<br />
Gallery<br />
Price Purchase of<br />
services<br />
necessary<br />
Requirements yearly<br />
purchase<br />
Not<br />
included<br />
1024 x 600<br />
(better)<br />
Meaningfulness to<br />
Market/Consumer<br />
Important because makes the<br />
product more functional and<br />
easier to use<br />
Higher resolution is perceived as<br />
higher quality<br />
Flickr Meaningfulness to<br />
Market/Consumer<br />
Free Customers value the ability to<br />
store photos in a safe and<br />
secure way, with ease and at<br />
minimum or no cost.<br />
Point of<br />
Differentiation<br />
Positive<br />
Negative<br />
Point of<br />
Differentiation<br />
Negative<br />
None " " Negative<br />
Does Kodak<br />
have<br />
Credibility?<br />
Yes, because<br />
Kodak is<br />
known for its<br />
innovation and<br />
excellence in<br />
technology.<br />
This is an<br />
important<br />
attribute of<br />
digital frames,<br />
and therefore,<br />
Kodak should<br />
likely address<br />
the deficiency<br />
vs. the<br />
competition<br />
Credibility<br />
16
Storage Limit No Yes Customers want the ability to<br />
store as many pictures as<br />
possible so they don't have to<br />
delete or move photos<br />
Join<br />
Clubs/Groups<br />
No Yes Consumers enjoy connecting<br />
with others whom share<br />
similar interests; provides a<br />
sense of community<br />
Video Clips Yes No Consumers increasingly use<br />
digital camera devices to take<br />
videos in addition to photos,<br />
so the ability to store videos<br />
is valued<br />
Albums/Flipbooks Yes No This allows customers to<br />
creatively store and share<br />
their photos as keepsakes<br />
Prints and Editing Yes No This feature delivers<br />
convenience by allowing<br />
users to store, edit, and print<br />
photos in one central place<br />
Source: www.kodakgallery.com;<br />
Positive Kodak is a<br />
trusted<br />
company so<br />
customers<br />
believe that<br />
they have the<br />
ability to offer<br />
unlimited<br />
storage with no<br />
problems<br />
Negative<br />
Positive Kodak is<br />
known for its<br />
excellence in<br />
photography<br />
so customers<br />
have<br />
Positive confidence in<br />
its ability to<br />
deliver on<br />
these<br />
Positive<br />
attributes.<br />
17
Exhibit 2 – “It’s time to smile” Campaign<br />
Figure 1 - Reason for campaign. Source: Kodak.com<br />
Figure 2 - Consumer Insight. Source: Kodak.com<br />
18
Figure 3 - Product Portfolio. Source: Kodak.com<br />
Figure 4 - People in need to connect. Source: Kodak.com<br />
19
Figure 5 - Connecting with digital camera. Source: Kodak.com<br />
Figure 6 – Use of social media<br />
Figure 7 – Viral Campaign<br />
20
Figure 8 - Video ads for YouTube and TV. Source: YouTube/Kodak<br />
Figure 9 – sample banner, no link to purchase. Source: tweetPhoto.com<br />
Figure 10 – price advertised on Kodak.com<br />
Figure 11 - Prices of other online retailers<br />
21
Exhibit 3 – Competitor Endorsements<br />
Figure 12 – Ashton Kutche, Nikon<br />
Figure 13 – Maria Sharapova<br />
Exhibit 4 – Economic Value Pricing<br />
According to the economic value-pricing model, a firm‘s product price is a sum of its reference value and its<br />
differentiation value. As such, the reference value for Kodak‘s products is the price of its competitor‘s comparable<br />
products, while differentiation value is the price premium (or discount) captured by Kodak‘s products due to additional<br />
(or fewer) benefits offered, as perceived by the consumer.<br />
Figure 14 - Economic Value Pricing<br />
Exhibit 5 – Kodak Product Pricing<br />
Within the all-in-one inkjet printer category, Kodak‘s prices are slightly higher than those of Hewlett Packard (HP) and<br />
Canon, which is consistent with its current campaign to charge a small premium for the printer, while offering the ink at<br />
significantly lower prices. In addition, to offset the price premium, Kodak is partnering with retailers such as Best Buy to<br />
offer a $50 discount on a printer, when a customer recycles an old printer. The digital picture frame market is highly<br />
fragmented with 15 different brands ranked in the top 20 by Consumer Reports (add works cited). Kodak‘s price range of<br />
$60-$230 is consistent with the pricing of other brands. An exception to this is the pricing of Kodak‘s recently released<br />
wireless OLED frame, which demands an extreme price premium, at a price of $999, because it is the only frame offered<br />
22
to the consumer market, using this advanced technology. Kodak‘s position in the high-end digital frame market is a<br />
significant opportunity for the company going forward. Finally, within the photo storage product market, Kodak‘s prices<br />
are consistent with competitors such as Shutterfly and Flickr, with all three offering unlimited storage and 4x6 prints in<br />
the $.10-$.15 range. However, Kodak is unique in requiring members to make a minimum annual purchase, depending on<br />
the size of their photo storage.<br />
Exhibit 6<br />
Point And Shoot Models: Rankings And Price<br />
Compiled from ConsumerReports.org<br />
Super Zoom Models<br />
Overall<br />
Price<br />
Relative<br />
Rank Brand Line Model Family Price Score to Kodak<br />
1 Canon PowerShot SX10 IS Super zoom 390 78 56.00%<br />
2 Canon PowerShot SX1 IS Super zoom 550 75 120.00%<br />
4 Casio Exilim EX-H10 Super zoom 300 73 20.00%<br />
5 Casio Exilim EX-FH20 Super zoom 400 73 60.00%<br />
6 Fujifilm Finepix F70 EXR Super zoom 240 72 -4.00%<br />
7 Kodak EasyShare Z950 Super zoom 250 72 0.00%<br />
8 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-H20 Super zoom 280 72 12.00%<br />
16 Samsung HZ10W Super zoom 230 69 -8.00%<br />
21 Olympus Stylus 9000 Super zoom 230 68 -8.00%<br />
Compact Models<br />
Max -8.00%<br />
Min 120.00%<br />
Range 128.00%<br />
Avg 31.00%<br />
Overall<br />
Price<br />
Relative<br />
Rank Brand Line Model Family Price Score to Kodak<br />
3 Canon PowerShot G10 Compact 480 74 242.86%<br />
9 Canon PowerShot A1000 IS Compact 170 71 21.43%<br />
13 Panasonic Lumix DMC-TS1 Compact 350 70 150.00%<br />
18 Kodak EasyShare M1033 Compact 140 68 0.00%<br />
20 Canon PowerShot D10 Compact 300 68 114.29%<br />
Min 21.43%<br />
Max 242.86%<br />
Range 221.43%<br />
Avg 132.14%<br />
23
Subcompact Models<br />
Overall<br />
Price<br />
Relative<br />
Rank Brand Line Model<br />
SD1200 IS<br />
Family Price Score to Kodak<br />
10 Canon PowerShot ELPH Subcompact 200 71 53.85%<br />
11 Panasonic Lumix DMC-ZR1 Subcompact 240 71 84.62%<br />
12 Fujifilm Finepix<br />
Exilim<br />
F200EXR Subcompact 320 70 146.15%<br />
14 Casio Card EX-S12 Subcompact 200 69 53.85%<br />
15 Canon PowerShot SX110 IS Subcompact 250 69 0.00%<br />
17 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-G3 Subcompact 420 68 223.08%<br />
19 Canon PowerShot SD780 IS ELPH Subcompact 220 68 69.23%<br />
22 Canon PowerShot SD980 IS ELPH Subcompact 330 68 153.85%<br />
23 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-T90 Subcompact 250 67 92.31%<br />
24 Samsung SL102 Subcompact 100 67 -23.08%<br />
25 Kodak EasyShare C160 Subcompact 90 65 -30.77%<br />
26 GE E1250TW Subcompact 160 65 23.08%<br />
27 Kodak EasyShare M320 Subcompact 130 65 0.00%<br />
Min -23.08%<br />
Max 223.08%<br />
Range 246.15%<br />
Avg 79.72%<br />
24
Exhibit 7 – Competitor <strong>Business</strong> Descriptions 2<br />
We chose the following companies as competitors because of the similarities in product type and customer focus. The<br />
following ten companies make up the ―competitor median‖ referenced in the analysis section.<br />
Canon Inc.<br />
Canon Inc. is a manufacturer of business machines, cameras, and optical and other products. Canon offers business<br />
machines including office imaging products, such as office network digital multifunction devices (MFDs), color network<br />
digital MFDs, office copying machines and personal-use copying machines; computer peripherals, including laser beam<br />
printers, inkjet printers and scanners and business information products, such as personal computers, servers, document<br />
scanners, calculators and micrographic equipment. Canon also manufactures and markets digital cameras, film cameras,<br />
digital video camcorders, lenses and various camera accessories. Canon's optical and other products mainly include<br />
semiconductor production equipment, mirror projection mask aligners for liquid crystal display (LCD) panels,<br />
broadcasting equipment, medical equipment, large format printers, and electronic components. On March 31, 2008, it<br />
acquired a 24.9% stake in Hitachi Displays, Ltd. For the nine months ended 30 September 2009, CANON INC.'s revenues<br />
decreased 27% to Y2.255T. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income decreased 76% to Y70.08B. Revenues reflect lower sales volume<br />
from business machines, cameras and optical & other products business segments. Lower net income also suffers from<br />
higher percentage of cost of sales and SGA expense, as well as significantly decreased interest & dividend income.<br />
Fujifilm Holdings Corp.<br />
FUJIFILM Holdings Corporation is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the provision of imaging, information and<br />
document solutions. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in three business segments. The Imaging Solution segment offers color films,<br />
digital cameras, photo-finishing machines, and color papers, chemical and services for instant printing. The information<br />
Solution segment offers medical systems, life-science machinery, graphic system machinery, front panel display<br />
materials, recording media, optical devices, electronic components and inkjet materials. The Document Solution segment<br />
offers printers, copy machines, production service-related products, paper, consumer goods and others. For the six months<br />
ended 30 September 2009, FUJIFILM Holdings Corp.'s revenues decreased 22% to Y1.043T. Net loss totaled Y5.41B, vs.<br />
an income of Y45.38B. Revenues reflect decreased sales from all its business segments. The company's net loss also<br />
suffers from higher percentage of cost of sales and selling, general & administrative expense, decreases interest &<br />
dividend income as well as higher exchange loss.<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co.<br />
Hewlett-Packard <strong>Company</strong> is a provider of products, technologies, software, solutions and services to individual<br />
consumers, small- and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and large enterprises, including the public and education sectors.<br />
Its offerings span personal computing and other access devices; imaging and printing-related products and services;<br />
enterprise information technology infrastructure, including enterprise storage and server technology and software that<br />
optimizes business technology investments, and multi-vendor customer services, including technology support and<br />
maintenance, consulting and integration and outsourcing services, as well as application services and business process<br />
outsourcing. During the fiscal year ended October 31, 2008, its operations were organized into seven business segments:<br />
Enterprise Storage and Servers, HP Services, HP Software, the Personal Systems Group, the Imaging and Printing Group,<br />
HP Financial Services and Corporate Investments. For the fiscal year ended 31 October 2009, Hewlett- Packard<br />
<strong>Company</strong>'s revenues fell 3% to $114.40B. Revenues reflect a decrease in income from <strong>Company</strong>'s Products & Services.<br />
Hewlett-Packard <strong>Company</strong> is a provider of Products, technologies, software, solutions & services to individual<br />
consumers, small & medium-sized businesses & large enterprises, including the public and education sectors.<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd.<br />
Ricoh <strong>Company</strong>, Ltd. (Ricoh) is engaged in the manufacturing of office automation equipment. Ricoh's principal products<br />
include copiers (such as plain paper copiers (PPCs)), printers (multi-functional printers (MFPs), laser printers and<br />
2 Source: Reuters<br />
25
GELJET printers), production printing products and facsimile machines. Ricoh is also a manufacturer of digital and<br />
advanced electronic devices such as semiconductor devices. Ricoh supports its office and production printing equipment<br />
businesses by offering customers various solution systems that work with personal computers (PC) and servers, and<br />
related product support and after-sales services to assist customers in utilizing the Ricoh products that they purchase.<br />
Ricoh also offers various supplies and peripheral products to be used with its products and systems. Ricoh operates in<br />
three segments: Imaging and Solutions, Industrial Products and Other. In August 2008, Ricoh Elemex Corporation<br />
becomes a wholly owned subsidiary of the <strong>Company</strong>. For the six months ended 30 September 2009, RICOH<br />
COMPANY,LTD.'s revenues decreased 7% to Y988.79B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income decreased 95% to Y1.81B.<br />
Revenues reflect lower sales from image & solution, industrial and other business segments due to unfavorable business<br />
environment. Net income also suffers from higher percentage of selling, general & admin expenses, as well as increased<br />
interest expenses.<br />
Sony Corp.<br />
Sony Corporation (Sony) is engaged in the development, design, manufacture and sale of various kinds of electronic<br />
equipment, instruments and devices. Sony operates in five segments: Electronics, which develops, designs, manufactures<br />
and sells electronic equipment, instruments and devices for consumer and professional markets; Games, in which Sony<br />
Computer Entertainment Inc. (SCEI) develops, produces, markets and distributes PlayStation 2 (PS2), PSP (PlayStation<br />
Portable) (PSP) and PLAYSTATION 3 (PS3) hardware and related software; Pictures, which encompasses motion picture<br />
production and distribution, television production and distribution, and digital content creation and distribution; Financial<br />
Services, which includes the activities of Sony Financial Holdings Inc. (SFH), and All Other, which comprises Sony<br />
Music Entertainment (SME) and Sony Music Entertainment (Japan) Inc. (SMEJ). On October 1, 2008, it acquired<br />
Bertelsmann's 50% interest in SONY BMG MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT (SONY BMG). For the six months ended 30<br />
September 2009, SONY CORPORATION's revenues decreased 20% to Y3.261T. Net loss totaled Y63.40B, vs. an<br />
income of Y55.79B. Revenues reflect decreased sales volume from United States and Europe markets. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net<br />
loss also suffers from higher percentage of selling, general and administration expenses, increased interest expenses, as<br />
well as decreased interest & dividend income.<br />
Xerox Corp.<br />
Xerox Corporation (Xerox) is engaged in developing, manufacturing, marketing, servicing and financing a range of<br />
document equipments, software, solutions and services. Digital systems include printing and publishing systems; digital<br />
presses, advanced and basic multifunctional devices (MFD's), which can print, copy, scan and fax; digital copiers; laser<br />
and solid ink printers, and fax machines. The <strong>Company</strong> provides software and workflow solutions with which businesses<br />
can print books, create personalized documents for their customers, and scan and route digital information. Xerox also<br />
offers software, support and supplies, such as toner, paper and ink. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in three business segments:<br />
production, office and other. During the year ended December 31, 2008, the <strong>Company</strong> completed the acquisition of<br />
Veenman B.V. (Veenman) and Global Imaging Systems, Inc. (GIS). For the nine months ended 30 September 2009,<br />
Xerox Corporation's revenues decreased 17% to $10.96B. Net income increased 33% to $305M. Revenue reflects a<br />
decrease in revenues from production, office and other segments. Net income reflects a decrease in cost of sales &<br />
services, lower equipment financing interest, a decrease in selling, administrative & general expenses and lower litigation<br />
charges.<br />
Nikon Corp.<br />
NIKON CORPORATION is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the manufacture and sale of optical products. The<br />
<strong>Company</strong> is active in four business segments. The Precision Apparatus segment offers semiconductor exposure apparatus<br />
and liquid crystal (LC) exposure apparatus. The image segment provides digital cameras, film cameras and<br />
interchangeable lens. The Instruments segment offers microscopes, measuring machines and semiconductor inspection<br />
equipment. The Others segment provides glass materials, telescopes, glasses and survey airplanes. The <strong>Company</strong> has 65<br />
subsidiaries and 10 associated companies in the country and overseas markets. As of August 19, 2009, the <strong>Company</strong> held<br />
26
a 92.17% stake in Metis NV. For the six months ended 30 September 2009, NIKON CORPORATION's revenues<br />
decreased 24% to Y368.09B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net loss totaled Y17.67B, vs. an income of Y33.62B. Revenues reflect lower<br />
sales from precision equipment business and imaging product business. Net loss also suffers from higher percentage of<br />
cost of sales and SGA expense, significantly increased exchange loss, as well as the presence of Y1.35B loss on business<br />
reorganization.<br />
Olympus Corp.<br />
OLYMPUS CORPORATION is a Japan-based manufacturer engaged in five main business segments. Its Imaging<br />
segment offers digital cameras, film cameras and voice recorders. The Medical segment offers medical endoscopes,<br />
surgical endoscopes, endoscope disposal equipment and ultrasonic endoscopes. The Life Science segment offers clinical<br />
hemanalysis systems, biological microscopes and industrial microscopes. The Information Communication segment sells<br />
semiconductor-related equipment, electronic machines, network systems an d mobile terminals, such as cellular phones,<br />
as well as provides mobile solutions and mobile contents services. The Others segment offers industrial endoscopes,<br />
nondestructive inspection equipment, printers and bar code scanners, as well as develops systems. In August 2009, the<br />
<strong>Company</strong> transferred its analytical instrumentation business to its wholly owned subsidiary, which has been engaged in<br />
the manufacturing and sale of clinical laboratory examination equipment. For the six months ended 30 September 2009,<br />
OLYMPUS CORPORATION's revenues decreased 19% to Y435.42B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income totaled Y36.19B, up<br />
from Y3.60B. Revenues reflect lower sales from imaging, medical and life science business segments. Net income<br />
benefits from a lower percentage of SG&A expenses, decreased foreign exchange losses, and the presence of Y46.27B<br />
gains on transfer of business.<br />
Lexmark International Inc.<br />
Lexmark International, Inc.(Lexmark) is engaged in developing, manufacturing and supplying printing and imaging<br />
solutions for offices and homes. Its products include laser printers, inkjet printers, multifunction devices, and associated<br />
supplies, services and solutions. Lexmark develops and owns the technology for its laser and inkjet products and related<br />
solutions. Lexmark also sells dot matrix printers for printing single and multi-part forms by business users. The <strong>Company</strong><br />
operates in the office products industry. The <strong>Company</strong> is primarily managed along divisional lines: the Printing Solutions<br />
and Services Division and the Imaging Solutions Division. Lexmark's products are sold in more than 150 countries in<br />
North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, the Pacific Rim and the Caribbean. For the nine months<br />
ended 30 September 2009, Lexmark International, Inc.'s revenues decreased 19% to $2.81B. Net income decreased 61%<br />
to $86.2M. Revenues reflect a decrease in income from sales volume of the <strong>Company</strong>. Net income also reflects decreased<br />
operating margin, an increase in restructuring & related charges, the presence of net impairment losses on securities and<br />
the presence of interest expense net vs. an interest income net.<br />
Seiko Epson Corp.<br />
SEIKO EPSON CORPORATION is a Japan-based company primarily involved in the development, manufacture and sale<br />
of information equipment, electronic devices and precision equipment. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in four business segments.<br />
The Information Equipment segment offers printers, liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors and personal computers,<br />
among others. The Electronic Devices segment provides thin-film transistor (TFT) LCD panels, crystal devices and<br />
semiconductors. The Precision Equipment segment offers watches and plastic lens under the brand name Seiko, as well as<br />
factory automation (FA) equipment. The Others segment is engaged in the distribution and transportation services, the<br />
provision of maintenance services for facilities, as well as the insurance agency and travel agency businesses. For the six<br />
months ended 30 September 2009, Seiko Epson Corporation's revenues decreased 27% to Y449.63B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net<br />
loss totaled Y29.19B, vs. an income of Y11.72B. Revenues reflect lower sales especially from electronic device business<br />
segment. Net loss also suffers from a higher percentage of selling, general & administrative expenses, as well as the<br />
presence of Y2.42B impairment losses.<br />
27
Exhibit 8 – Profitability Scenario <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
28
Exhibit 9: Comparison of accounting methods<br />
International Comparison of Accounting Standards-Overview of Major Japanese GAAP, IAS/IFRS, and US GAAP<br />
Accounting Standards Items Japanese GAAP IAS/IFRS US GAAP<br />
Financial Instruments<br />
<strong>Business</strong> Combinations<br />
Impairment of Assets<br />
Retirement benefits<br />
Income Taxes<br />
Measurement of securities<br />
Estimating potential credit<br />
losses/impairment<br />
Derecognition of financial assets<br />
Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />
depending on category<br />
Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />
depending on category<br />
Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />
depending on category<br />
Discounted future cash flows Discounted future cash flows Discounted future cash flows<br />
Legal isolation required (financialcomponent<br />
approach)<br />
Legal isolation not required (primarily risks<br />
and rewards approach)<br />
Legal isolation required (financialcomponent<br />
approach)<br />
Measurement of derivatives Fair value Fair value Fair value<br />
Hedge accounting When hedging criteria are met When hedging criteria are met When hedging criteria are met<br />
Basic method Purchase method Purchase method Purchase method<br />
Pooling of interests method<br />
Exceptionally used only when strict criteria<br />
are met<br />
Purchase method only Purchase method only<br />
Goodwill Strictly amortized with impairment Not amortized, impairment only Not amortized, impairment only<br />
Grouping<br />
Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />
assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />
independent of cash flows of other assets<br />
Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />
assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />
independent of cash flows of other assets<br />
Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />
assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />
independent of cash flows of other assets<br />
Indication of impairment Assessed Assessed Assessed<br />
Recognition test Undiscounted future cash flows<br />
Measurement<br />
Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />
price and value in use)<br />
Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />
price and value in use)<br />
Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />
price and value in use)<br />
Undiscounted future cash flows<br />
Fair value<br />
Reversal of impairment losses Prohibited Reversed (excluding goodwill) Prohibited<br />
Recognition of liability<br />
Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />
unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />
service cost, minus plan assets<br />
Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />
unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />
service cost, minus plan assets<br />
Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />
unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />
service cost, minus plan assets<br />
Actuarial gains/losses Strictly amortized without corridor Corridor amortization Corridor amortization<br />
Recognition of additional minimum<br />
liability<br />
Not recognized Not recognized Unfunded accumulated benefit obligations<br />
Basic method Asset liability method Asset liability method Asset liability method<br />
Recording of deferred tax assets Based on recoverability/realizability Based on recoverability/realizability Based on recoverability/realizability<br />
Research & Development Development costs Expensed when incurred Capitalized Expensed when incurred<br />
Consolidated Financial<br />
Statements<br />
Scope of subsidiaries Based on control Based on control Based on majority voting interest<br />
Presentation of minority interests Between liability and equity Equity<br />
Between liability and equity (under<br />
deliberation to change to equity<br />
Investment Property Measurement Cost Fair value or cost Generally cost<br />
Source: IASplus.com<br />
Indicates inconsistency<br />
30
Exhibit 10: Operating cost breakdown<br />
Operating costs as % of sales (ex-restructuring/other)<br />
FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Kodak 22% 22% 23% 24% 25% 25% 25% 25%<br />
Canon 35% 33% 33% 33% 34% 36% 36% 34%<br />
FujiFilm 35% 32% 32% 33% 32% 33% 33% 32%<br />
Nikon 31% 28% 27% 27% 28% 31% 34%<br />
SG&A (ex-advertising) as % of sales<br />
FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Kodak 13.1% 13.3% 15.0% 15.1% 14.7% 14.9% 14.5% 14.5%<br />
Canon 23.3% 22.1% 22.3% 22.5% 22.6% 24.9% 25.5% 24.5%<br />
FujiFilm 26.6% 24.7% 24.8% 24.6% 23.6% 24.0% 24.3% 24.2%<br />
Nikon 15.2% 14.2% 14.7% 15.3% 16.1% 18.7% 20.6%<br />
Advertising costs as % of sales<br />
FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Kodak 3.7% 3.8% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8%<br />
Canon 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.3%<br />
FujiFilm 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2%<br />
Nikon 8.5% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.1%<br />
R/D costs as % of sales<br />
FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Kodak 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9%<br />
Canon 9.1% 8.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 7.5%<br />
FujiFilm 7.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.8% 6.3% 6.1%<br />
Nikon 7.0% 6.1% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.9%<br />
Restructuring costs as % of sales<br />
FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Kodak 1.5% 5.3% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 0.8% 5.0%<br />
Canon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />
FujiFilm 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />
Nikon 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />
Source: <strong>Company</strong> reports, Factset Fundamentals<br />
31
Exhibit 11 - Cash Conversion Cycle<br />
Days of Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. 72 days 71 days 82 days 75 days 68 days 67 days 63 days 65 days 69 days<br />
Canon Inc. 63 days 62 days 64 days 62 days 63 days 62 days 61 days 59 days 59 days<br />
FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 77 days 80 days 77 days 77 days 75 days 77 days 75 days 77 days 85 days<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co. 73 days 72 days 70 days 72 days 74 days 78 days 70 days 60 days 61 days<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd. 115 days 120 days 114 days 117 days 120 days 105 days 86 days 90 days 93 days<br />
Sony Corp. 51 days 48 days 53 days 51 days 50 days 53 days 50 days 53 days 59 days<br />
Xerox Corp. 117 days 108 days 112 days 116 days 120 days 128 days 132 days 133 days 142 days<br />
Nikon Corp. 62 days 56 days 58 days 62 days 64 days 69 days 79 days 79 days 90 days<br />
Olympus Corp. 61 days 64 days 61 days 61 days 58 days 59 days 62 days 63 days 62 days<br />
Lexmark International Inc. 45 days 41 days 43 days 44 days 49 days 47 days 47 days 55 days 57 days<br />
Seiko Epson Corp. 56 days 51 days 54 days 59 days 58 days 57 days 54 days 62 days -<br />
Mean 72 days 70 days 72 days 72 days 73 days 73 days 71 days 72 days 78 days<br />
EK (+/-) 0 days 0 days 10 days 2 days -5 days -6 days -7 days -7 days -9 days<br />
Median 63 days 64 days 64 days 62 days 64 days 67 days 63 days 63 days 66 days<br />
EK (+/-) 10 days 6 days 17 days 12 days 4 days 0 days 0 days 2 days 3 days<br />
Days of Inventory on Hand (DIO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. 48 days 48 days 50 days 50 days 47 days 43 days 44 days 49 days 60 days<br />
Canon Inc. 94 days 92 days 92 days 89 days 95 days 100 days 103 days 104 days 106 days<br />
FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 89 days 95 days 87 days 87 days 87 days 87 days 85 days 88 days 93 days<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co. 37 days 32 days 36 days 38 days 38 days 39 days 40 days 48 days 59 days<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd. 54 days 57 days 53 days 53 days 55 days 54 days 52 days 57 days 64 days<br />
Sony Corp. 55 days 60 days 60 days 54 days 51 days 48 days 47 days 46 days 55 days<br />
Xerox Corp. 46 days 44 days 44 days 46 days 47 days 46 days 49 days 54 days 73 days<br />
Nikon Corp. 183 days 172 days 169 days 179 days 189 days 205 days 244 days 258 days 243 days<br />
Olympus Corp. 61 days 68 days 59 days 54 days 58 days 68 days 91 days 103 days 118 days<br />
Lexmark International Inc. 48 days 55 days 50 days 46 days 44 days 47 days 48 days 53 days 56 days<br />
Seiko Epson Corp. 64 days 71 days 66 days 66 days 59 days 60 days 61 days 68 days -<br />
Mean 71 days 72 days 70 days 69 days 70 days 73 days 79 days 84 days 92 days<br />
EK (+/-) -23 days -24 days -19 days -19 days -23 days -29 days -35 days -35 days -32 days<br />
Median 55 days 60 days 59 days 54 days 55 days 54 days 52 days 57 days 68 days<br />
EK (+/-) -7 days -12 days -9 days -3 days -8 days -10 days -9 days -8 days -8 days<br />
Days of Payables Outstanding (DPO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. 67 days 123 days 108 days 38 days 33 days 33 days 32 days 31 days 31 days<br />
Canon Inc. 86 days 79 days 84 days 85 days 92 days 91 days 94 days 90 days 90 days<br />
FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 74 days 68 days 73 days 72 days 75 days 84 days 81 days 74 days 71 days<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co. 55 days 52 days 55 days 58 days 53 days 56 days 55 days 47 days 48 days<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd. 105 days 95 days 103 days 107 days 111 days 109 days 104 days 103 days 107 days<br />
Sony Corp. 116 days 111 days 120 days 117 days 116 days 117 days 113 days 112 days 113 days<br />
Xerox Corp. 43 days 48 days 45 days 43 days 42 days 39 days 36 days 32 days 32 days<br />
Nikon Corp. 110 days 99 days 110 days 110 days 112 days 118 days 126 days 105 days 115 days<br />
Olympus Corp. 55 days 50 days 54 days 55 days 53 days 61 days 76 days 75 days 78 days<br />
Lexmark International Inc. 65 days 73 days 67 days 62 days 63 days 59 days 48 days 47 days 52 days<br />
Seiko Epson Corp. 44 days 39 days 43 days 44 days 44 days 50 days 47 days 47 days -<br />
Mean 75 days 76 days 78 days 72 days 72 days 74 days 74 days 69 days 74 days<br />
EK (+/-) -7 days 47 days 30 days -34 days -39 days -41 days -42 days -38 days -42 days<br />
Median 67 days 73 days 73 days 62 days 63 days 61 days 76 days 74 days 74 days<br />
EK (+/-) 0 days 50 days 35 days -24 days -30 days -28 days -45 days -43 days -43 days<br />
Cash Conversion Cycle 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />
Eastman Kodak Co. 53 days -5 days 24 days 87 days 81 days 77 days 75 days 83 days 98 days<br />
Canon Inc. 70 days 76 days 72 days 67 days 66 days 70 days 70 days 73 days 74 days<br />
FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 91 days 107 days 91 days 92 days 87 days 80 days 79 days 91 days 107 days<br />
Hewlett-Packard Co. 55 days 52 days 52 days 51 days 59 days 61 days 55 days 61 days 73 days<br />
Ricoh Co. Ltd. 65 days 82 days 65 days 63 days 64 days 50 days 34 days 44 days 50 days<br />
32
Sony Corp. -11 days -4 days -7 days -12 days -14 days -16 days -17 days -14 days 1 days<br />
Xerox Corp. 119 days 103 days 112 days 119 days 125 days 135 days 145 days 155 days 183 days<br />
Nikon Corp. 135 days 129 days 117 days 132 days 141 days 156 days 197 days 231 days 218 days<br />
Olympus Corp. 68 days 83 days 66 days 60 days 63 days 65 days 77 days 90 days 102 days<br />
Lexmark International Inc. 28 days 23 days 26 days 28 days 30 days 35 days 47 days 61 days 61 days<br />
Seiko Epson Corp. 76 days 83 days 78 days 81 days 73 days 67 days 69 days 83 days<br />
Mean 68 days 66 days 63 days 70 days 70 days 71 days 76 days 87 days 97 days<br />
EK (+/-) -15 days -71 days -39 days 17 days 11 days 6 days 0 days -4 days 1 days<br />
Median 68 days 82 days 66 days 67 days 66 days 67 days 70 days 83 days 86 days<br />
EK (+/-) -15 days -86 days -42 days 20 days 15 days 10 days 5 days 0 days 12 days<br />
33
Exhibit 12 – EK Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />
EK Financial Statement projections - Continuing Operations<br />
(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />
Revenue $10,568.0 $10,301.0 $9,416.0 $7,434.2 $8,125.1 $8,133.3 $7,912.6 $7,622.6 $7,314.5 $7,001.6 $6,706.0 $6,430.5 $6,179.0<br />
COGS 7,825.0 7,628.0 7,275.0 6,037.3 6,221.7 6,128.4 5,964.2 5,725.9 5,470.4 5,207.4 4,953.4 4,709.9 4,479.6<br />
Gross Profit 2,743.0 2,673.0 2,141.0 1,396.8 1,903.4 2,005.0 1,948.4 1,896.7 1,844.1 1,794.2 1,752.6 1,720.6 1,699.4<br />
SG&A (excl. Advertising) 1,567.0 1,378.0 1,236.0 970.3 1,063.0 1,059.4 1,023.3 977.2 928.5 879.1 831.9 787.3 745.9<br />
Advertising 366.0 394.0 350.0 254.8 273.9 283.1 289.2 294.7 300.1 305.3 311.4 318.2 325.8<br />
R&D 578.0 549.0 501.0 364.0 395.2 400.7 397.9 392.5 386.7 380.6 375.4 371.3 368.4<br />
EBIT 232.0 352.0 54.0 (192.3) 171.3 261.8 238.0 232.3 228.9 229.1 233.9 243.8 259.4<br />
D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />
EBITDA 1,427.0 1,137.0 554.0 277.9 619.4 692.0 654.2 639.5 628.6 622.6 622.4 628.3 641.1<br />
NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) 191.4 290.4 44.6 (158.6) 141.3 216.0 196.4 191.6 188.8 189.0 193.0 201.1 214.0<br />
D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />
Restructuring (after tax) 618.8 547.0 122.9 133.4 121.9 116.7 114.2 113.0 112.4 112.1 112.0 111.9 111.9<br />
Cap-Ex 335.0 259.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0<br />
Free Cash Flow (excl dividends) $432.7 $269.4 $167.6 ($75.8) $213.5 $275.5 $244.3 $231.8 $222.1 $216.4 $215.5 $219.8 $229.8<br />
Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Gross Margin 26.0% 25.9% 22.7% 18.8% 23.4% 24.7% 24.6% 24.9% 25.2% 25.6% 26.1% 26.8% 27.5%<br />
SG&A margin 18.3% 17.2% 16.8% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.6% 16.7% 16.8% 16.9% 17.0% 17.2% 17.3%<br />
R&D margin 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.0%<br />
EBIT margin 2.2% 3.4% 0.6% -2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.2%<br />
EBITDA margin 11.3% 7.6% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2%<br />
Key Assumptions:<br />
* 2009 assumptions are based on results through Q3 2009 with a seasonality uptick for the fourth quarter.<br />
Key cash flow assumptions stated for segments below. Note that these are pro forma numbers and there might be immaterial differences with the aggregated<br />
segments due to slightly different treatment of ―Other‖ income and expense items.<br />
34
Exhibit 13 – CDG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />
Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG) - Continuing Operations<br />
(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />
Revenue 3,013.0 3,247.0 3,088.0 2,390.1 2,525.1 2,695.9 2,886.2 3,085.4 3,289.9 3,493.0 3,705.3 3,926.4 4,153.6<br />
COGS 2,491.2 2,419.0 2,495.0 2,007.7 2,020.1 2,048.8 2,193.5 2,322.7 2,452.2 2,576.9 2,704.4 2,834.0 2,963.3<br />
Gross Profit 521.8 828.0 593.0 382.4 505.0 647.0 692.7 762.7 837.7 916.0 1,000.9 1,092.4 1,190.3<br />
SG&A (excl. Advertising) 378.8 358.6 345.0 267.0 282.1 301.2 322.5 344.7 367.6 390.2 414.0 438.7 464.1<br />
Advertising 219.6 236.4 210.0 167.3 176.8 188.7 202.0 216.0 230.3 244.5 259.4 274.9 290.8<br />
R&D 281.0 250.0 215.0 166.4 175.8 187.7 200.9 214.8 229.1 243.2 258.0 273.4 289.2<br />
EBIT (357.6) (17.0) (177.0) (218.3) (129.7) (30.6) (32.8) (12.8) 10.8 38.1 69.6 105.5 146.3<br />
D&A 188.0 92.0 105.0 94.5 89.8 87.5 87.5 91.3 95.1 99.2 103.4 107.8 112.4<br />
EBITDA (169.6) 75.0 (72.0) (123.8) (39.9) 56.9 54.8 78.5 105.9 137.3 173.0 213.3 258.7<br />
NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) (295.1) (14.0) (146.0) (180.1) (107.0) (25.2) (27.0) (10.6) 8.9 31.4 57.4 87.1 120.7<br />
D&A 188.0 92.0 105.0 94.5 89.8 87.5 87.5 91.3 95.1 99.2 103.4 107.8 112.4<br />
Restructuring (after tax) 82.7 53.6 34.7 38.1 34.3 32.6 31.8 31.4 31.2 31.1 31.0 31.0 31.0<br />
Cap-Ex 102.0 94.0 96.0 100.1 104.3 108.8 113.4 118.2 123.3 128.5 134.0 139.7 145.6<br />
Free Cash Flow (291.7) (69.7) (171.7) (223.8) (155.8) (79.1) (84.7) (68.9) (50.4) (29.0) (4.2) 24.2 56.5<br />
Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Gross Margin 17.3% 25.5% 19.2% 16.0% 20.0% 24.0% 24.0% 24.7% 25.5% 26.2% 27.0% 27.8% 28.7%<br />
SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 19.9% 18.3% 18.0% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2%<br />
R&D margin 9.3% 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%<br />
EBIT margin -11.9% -0.5% -5.7% -9.1% -5.1% -1.1% -1.1% -0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5%<br />
EBITDA margin -5.6% 2.3% -2.3% -5.2% -1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 6.2%<br />
Key Assumptions:<br />
Sales for CDG follow are 1.5x CBO GDP projections. (Congressional Budget Office)<br />
35
Exhibit 14 – FPEG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />
Film, Photofinishing and Entertainment Group (FPEG) - Continuing Operations<br />
(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />
Revenue 4,254.0 3,632.0 2,987.0 2,456.5 2,727.7 2,648.4 2,448.0 2,209.3 1,959.4 1,707.7 1,460.0 1,217.8 984.4<br />
COGS 2,853.8 2,771.0 2,335.0 1,965.2 2,100.3 2,039.3 1,884.9 1,701.2 1,508.7 1,314.9 1,124.2 937.7 758.0<br />
Gross Profit 1,400.2 861.0 652.0 491.3 627.4 609.1 563.0 508.1 450.7 392.8 335.8 280.1 226.4<br />
SG&A (excl. Advertising) 509.5 382.1 281.5 231.5 257.1 249.6 230.7 208.2 184.7 160.9 137.6 114.8 92.8<br />
Advertising 128.1 137.9 122.5 74.0 82.1 79.8 73.7 66.5 59.0 51.4 44.0 36.7 29.6<br />
R&D 33.0 60.0 52.0 42.8 47.5 46.1 42.6 38.5 34.1 29.7 25.4 21.2 17.1<br />
EBIT 729.6 281.0 196.0 143.1 240.7 233.7 216.0 194.9 172.9 150.7 128.8 107.5 86.9<br />
D&A 498.0 379.0 193.0 173.7 156.3 140.7 126.6 114.0 102.6 92.3 83.1 74.8 67.3<br />
EBITDA 1,227.6 660.0 389.0 316.8 397.0 374.4 342.6 308.9 275.5 243.0 211.9 182.2 154.2<br />
NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) 602.0 231.8 161.7 118.0 198.6 192.8 178.2 160.8 142.6 124.3 106.3 88.7 71.7<br />
D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />
Restructuring (after tax) 70.0 45.4 29.7 32.7 29.4 27.9 27.2 26.9 26.7 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.6<br />
Cap-Ex 56.0 65.0 40.0 36.4 38.5 37.9 36.5 34.7 32.7 30.6 28.4 26.0 23.6<br />
FCF 974.0 500.5 285.0 222.6 287.0 267.7 241.1 213.2 185.7 159.4 134.4 110.8 88.8<br />
Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Gross Margin 32.9% 23.7% 21.8% 20.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0%<br />
SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 15.0% 14.3% 13.5% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4%<br />
R&D margin 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%<br />
EBIT margin 17.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8%<br />
EBITDA margin 28.9% 18.2% 13.0% 12.9% 14.6% 14.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1% 14.2% 14.5% 15.0% 15.7%<br />
36
Exhibit 15 – GCG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />
Graphic Communications Group (GCG) - Continuing Operations<br />
(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />
Revenue 3,287.0 3,413.0 3,334.0 2,580.5 2,865.3 2,782.1 2,571.5 2,320.8 2,058.3 1,793.9 1,533.7 1,279.3 1,034.0<br />
COGS 2,480.0 2,438.0 2,445.0 2,064.4 2,101.3 2,040.2 1,885.8 1,702.0 1,509.4 1,315.6 1,124.7 938.2 758.3<br />
Gross Profit 807.0 975.0 889.0 516.1 764.0 741.8 685.7 618.8 548.8 478.3 409.0 341.1 275.7<br />
SG&A (excl. Advertising) 678.7 637.3 609.5 471.8 523.8 508.6 470.1 424.3 376.3 327.9 280.4 233.9 189.0<br />
Advertising 18.3 19.7 17.5 13.5 15.0 14.6 13.5 12.2 10.8 9.4 8.1 6.7 5.4<br />
R&D 200.0 214.0 231.0 154.8 171.9 166.9 154.3 139.2 123.5 107.6 92.0 76.8 62.0<br />
EBIT (90.0) 104.0 31.0 (124.0) 53.2 51.7 47.8 43.1 38.3 33.3 28.5 23.8 19.2<br />
D&A 221.0 195.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0<br />
EBITDA 131.0 299.0 224.0 69.0 246.2 244.7 240.8 236.1 231.3 226.3 221.5 216.8 212.2<br />
NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) (74.3) 85.8 25.6 (102.3) 43.9 42.7 39.4 35.6 31.6 27.5 23.5 19.6 15.9<br />
D&A 221.0 195.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0<br />
Restructuring (after tax) 31.4 47.9 40.4 44.5 40.0 38.0 37.1 36.6 36.4 36.3 36.2 36.2 36.2<br />
Cap-Ex 142.0 98.0 118.0 104.7 104.7 104.7 100.7 95.8 90.4 84.6 78.4 71.9 65.0<br />
FCF (26.6) 135.0 60.2 (58.5) 92.2 93.0 94.7 96.2 97.8 99.7 101.9 104.5 107.7<br />
Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />
Gross Margin 24.6% 28.6% 26.7% 20.0% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7%<br />
SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 21.2% 19.2% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8%<br />
R&D margin 6.1% 6.3% 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%<br />
EBIT margin -2.7% 3.0% 0.9% -4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%<br />
EBITDA margin 4.0% 8.8% 6.7% 2.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 11.2% 12.6% 14.4% 16.9% 20.5%<br />
37
Exhibit 16 – Segment Valuations and Key Assumptions<br />
<strong>Business</strong> Segment CDG FPEG GCG Combined<br />
Long-term growth rate 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 1.50%<br />
Grows slightly less than overall Traditional business slowly being There will always be a need for Weighted average based<br />
economy. Reflects transition to digital replaced by digital filming<br />
commercial printing, but the business on current assets.<br />
products and increased adoption of techniques. Kodak is involved in these should grow at a slower rate than the<br />
cell phones as primary cameras. business lines because they make overall economy, which we are<br />
Reasoning<br />
sensors for cameras, but long-term we<br />
do not believe there will be any<br />
growth in this business.<br />
assuming to grow at a long-term rate<br />
of 3%<br />
Total Shares Outstanding for EK 268.19 268.19 268.19 268.19<br />
Scenario 1 - No restructuring, gross debt<br />
WACC (levered) 15.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.5%<br />
Value (148.0) 1,508.1 952.2 2,312.3<br />
Value per Share ($0.55) $5.62 $3.55 $8.62<br />
Scenario 2 - No restructuring, net debt<br />
WACC (levered) 17.7% 14.0% 14.4% 15.1%<br />
Value (149.9) 1,392.4 847.7 2,090.2<br />
Value per Share ($0.56) $5.19 $3.16 $7.79<br />
Scenario 3 - Restructuring, gross debt<br />
WACC (levered) 15.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.5%<br />
Value (324.9) 1,265.9 649.2 1,590.2<br />
Value per Share ($1.21) $4.72 $2.42 $5.93<br />
Scenario 4 - Restructuring, net debt<br />
WACC (levered) 17.7% 14.0% 14.4% 15.1%<br />
Value (312.5) 1,167.3 571.7 1,426.5<br />
Value per Share ($1.17) $4.35 $2.13 $5.32<br />
A5 stock valuation<br />
Scenario 5 - Management Guidance WACC<br />
WACC (levered) 23.0% 18.2% 18.7% 19.6%<br />
Value (293.8) 959.2 423.0 1,088.4<br />
Value per Share ($1.10) $3.58 $1.58 $4.06<br />
38
Exhibit 17 – Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> of Traditional Sales Lines<br />
We performed a regression analysis of Kodak using data on magazine and newspaper circulation, internet users, and GDP. We were not able to generate any<br />
meaningful regression results by looking at individual segments because of Kodak‘s continuous reorganizations. The data sets were chosen because they show<br />
clear trends that can be projected forward and relate directly to Kodak‘s customers, except for internet users, which we picked as a general proxy for the transition<br />
from traditional imaging and media to digital. People do not buy printers and digital cameras unless they have a computer.<br />
Millions<br />
400<br />
350<br />
300<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010<br />
(Magazine Publishers of America)<br />
Magazines<br />
Year<br />
Subscription<br />
Single Copy<br />
Total<br />
39
70,000<br />
60,000<br />
50,000<br />
40,000<br />
30,000<br />
20,000<br />
10,000<br />
0<br />
(Newspaper Association of America)<br />
920<br />
918<br />
916<br />
914<br />
912<br />
910<br />
908<br />
906<br />
904<br />
902<br />
900<br />
U.S. Newspaper Circulation (000's)<br />
1990 1995 2000 2005<br />
(Newspaper Association of America)<br />
Total Newspapers<br />
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />
40
Millions<br />
1800.0<br />
1600.0<br />
1400.0<br />
1200.0<br />
1000.0<br />
800.0<br />
600.0<br />
400.0<br />
200.0<br />
0.0<br />
(Miniwatts Marketing Group)<br />
The regression output shows that Newspapers, Circulation, and the natural log of Internet users are all significant predictors of Kodak‘s consolidated revenues.<br />
Sales should roughly follow the following equation:<br />
113566.3 - 159.535 *(Newspapers) + 666.5 *(Circulation) + 977.8 *LN(Internet_Users)<br />
We used this along with simple projections based on newspaper circulation and internet user data to predict revenues going forward.<br />
SUMMARY<br />
OUTPUT<br />
Internet Users<br />
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />
Regression Statistics<br />
Multiple R 0.93<br />
R Square 0.86<br />
Adjusted R Square 0.83<br />
Standard Error 913.95<br />
Observations 19<br />
Year<br />
41
ANOVA<br />
df SS MS F Significance F<br />
Regression 3 74772215.47 24924071.82 29.83807635 1.43957E-06<br />
Residual 15 12529664.21 835310.9475<br />
Total 18 87301879.68<br />
Coefficients<br />
Standard<br />
Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%<br />
Intercept 113,566.3 26,499.0 4.2857 0.0007 57,085.1 170,047.5 57,085.1 170,047.5<br />
Newspapers -159.5 32.7 -4.8780 0.0002 -229.2 -89.8 -229.2 -89.8<br />
Circulation 666.5 97.1 6.8663 0.0000 459.6 873.4 459.6 873.4<br />
LN(Internet users) 977.8 231.8 4.2180 0.0007 483.7 1,471.9 483.7 1,471.9<br />
42
Exhibit 18 – Sensitivity <strong>Analysis</strong> of Stock Price<br />
We performed multiple sensitivity analyses to give an idea of what the company is worth under different assumptions. The first one looks at the WACC sensitivity<br />
with and without estimated restructuring charges reflected in free cash flows. Diluted Values reflect complete conversion of KKR warrants and convertible debt<br />
even though effective strike prices are $5.50 and $7.41, respectively.<br />
With Restructuring Charges<br />
WACC 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />
Stock Value $6.06 $5.69 $5.34 $5.03 $4.73 $4.46 $4.20 $3.97 $3.74 $3.54 $3.35<br />
Diluted Value $4.54 $4.27 $4.01 $3.77 $3.55 $3.34 $3.15 $2.97 $2.81 $2.65 $2.51<br />
WACC using gross debt<br />
(not conservative)<br />
Without Restructuring Charges<br />
WACC 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />
Stock Value $8.81 $8.30 $7.83 $7.39 $6.99 $6.61 $6.26 $5.94 $5.64 $5.35 $5.09<br />
Diluted Value $6.61 $6.23 $5.87 $5.54 $5.24 $4.96 $4.70 $4.45 $4.23 $4.01 $3.82<br />
This second sensitivity analysis looks at the weighted-average terminal growth rate of the three business segments vs. the company WACC.<br />
WACC<br />
$5.32 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />
Growth 0.50% $5.88 $5.52 $5.19 $4.89 $4.60 $4.34 $4.09 $3.86 $3.65 $3.45 $3.27<br />
1.00% $5.96 $5.60 $5.26 $4.95 $4.66 $4.39 $4.14 $3.91 $3.70 $3.49 $3.30<br />
1.50% $6.06 $5.69 $5.34 $5.03 $4.73 $4.46 $4.20 $3.96 $3.74 $3.54 $3.35<br />
2.00% $6.17 $5.79<br />
$5.43<br />
$5.11 $4.81<br />
$4.53 $4.27<br />
$4.02 $3.80 $3.59 $3.39<br />
2.50% $6.29 $5.90 $5.54 $5.20 $4.90 $4.61 $4.34 $4.09 $3.86 $3.65 $3.45<br />
3.00% $6.43 $6.03 $5.66 $5.31 $5.00 $4.70 $4.43 $4.17 $3.93 $3.71 $3.51<br />
3.50% $6.60 $6.18 $5.80 $5.44 $5.11 $4.81 $4.53<br />
$4.26<br />
$4.02 $3.79 $3.58<br />
4.00% $6.80 $6.36 $5.96 $5.60 $5.25 $4.94 $4.64 $4.37 $4.12 $3.88 $3.66<br />
A5 Valuation<br />
WACC using net debt<br />
(A5’s choice)<br />
WACC using management<br />
guidance<br />
Current Stock Price $4.40 (12/11/09)<br />
43
Exhibit 19 – Cash Benefit of Financing Transactions<br />
Kodak cost of debt 13.85%<br />
Private Placement of Convertible Debt<br />
Face Value<br />
Discount<br />
Coupon<br />
Principle Accrual<br />
Due Date<br />
KKR Debt w/ Warrants<br />
Face Value<br />
KKR Fee from EK<br />
Discount<br />
Coupon<br />
Principle Accrual<br />
Due Date<br />
Year<br />
KKR transaction<br />
Interest<br />
Interest payments at cost of debt<br />
$ Saved<br />
PV<br />
NPV of Savings 53.8<br />
PP of Convertible Debt<br />
Interest<br />
Interest payments at cost of debt<br />
$ Saved<br />
PV<br />
NPV of Savings 127.7<br />
Cash payments saved<br />
Combined NPV 181.5<br />
$400.0<br />
0%<br />
7%<br />
0.00%<br />
2017<br />
$300.0<br />
$15.0<br />
4%<br />
10%<br />
0.50%<br />
2017<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />
30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0<br />
41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5<br />
11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5<br />
10.1 8.9 7.8 6.9 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.1<br />
28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0<br />
55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4<br />
27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4<br />
24.1 21.1 18.6 16.3 14.3 12.6 11.0 9.7<br />
38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9<br />
44
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https://www.capitaliq.com<br />
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Kodak, E. (2009, December). About Kodak. Retrieved October 20, 2009, from Kodak.com: www.kodak.com<br />
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http://www.magazine.org/consumer_marketing/circ_trends/1318.aspx<br />
Miniwatts Marketing Group. (n.d.). Internet World Stats. Retrieved November 30, 2009, from Internet Growth Statistics:<br />
http://www.internetworldstats.com/emarketing.htm<br />
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