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<strong>Integrated</strong> <strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Alejandro Castano<br />

Fall, 2009<br />

Joe Czechowicz<br />

Wisconsin School of <strong>Business</strong><br />

975 University Ave<br />

Madison, WI 53706<br />

608-262-1550<br />

For over one hundred years, Eastman Kodak <strong>Company</strong> has provided imaging<br />

products to consumers, earning brand equity through innovation. Today, Kodak<br />

struggles with declining revenue and steep restructuring costs as it transitions to<br />

the digital imaging market.<br />

Troy Golden<br />

Matt Johnson Lindsay Kruger


Contents<br />

Contents .................................................................................................................................................................................. 2<br />

Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................ 4<br />

<strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> .................................................................................................................................................................. 5<br />

Organizational Structure ..................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />

Financial <strong>Analysis</strong> ............................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />

Performance Indicators ................................................................................................................................................... 5<br />

Quality of Financial Statements ...................................................................................................................................... 6<br />

Financing and Capital Structure ...................................................................................................................................... 7<br />

Valuation ......................................................................................................................................................................... 7<br />

Kodak‘s Current Marketing Strategy .................................................................................................................................. 8<br />

Consumer ........................................................................................................................................................................ 8<br />

Positioning ...................................................................................................................................................................... 8<br />

Product ............................................................................................................................................................................ 9<br />

Price ................................................................................................................................................................................ 9<br />

Placement ...................................................................................................................................................................... 10<br />

Promotion ...................................................................................................................................................................... 10<br />

Recommendations ................................................................................................................................................................. 12<br />

Appendix ............................................................................................................................................................................... 14<br />

Exhibit 1 – Products <strong>Analysis</strong> ........................................................................................................................................... 14<br />

Digital Cameras............................................................................................................................................................. 14<br />

Printers .......................................................................................................................................................................... 15<br />

Digital Picture Frames .................................................................................................................................................. 16<br />

Photo Storage ................................................................................................................................................................ 16<br />

Exhibit 2 – ―It‘s time to smile‖ Campaign ........................................................................................................................ 18<br />

Exhibit 3 – Competitor Endorsements .............................................................................................................................. 22<br />

Exhibit 4 – Economic Value Pricing ................................................................................................................................. 22<br />

Exhibit 5 – Kodak Product Pricing ................................................................................................................................... 22<br />

Exhibit 6 ............................................................................................................................................................................ 23<br />

Point And Shoot Models: Rankings And Price ............................................................................................................. 23<br />

Compiled from ConsumerReports.org .......................................................................................................................... 23<br />

Exhibit 7 – Competitor <strong>Business</strong> Descriptions ................................................................................................................. 25<br />

Canon Inc. ..................................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />

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Fujifilm Holdings Corp. ................................................................................................................................................ 25<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co. ..................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd. ............................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />

Sony Corp. .................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />

Xerox Corp. ................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />

Nikon Corp. ................................................................................................................................................................... 26<br />

Olympus Corp. .............................................................................................................................................................. 27<br />

Lexmark International Inc. ............................................................................................................................................ 27<br />

Seiko Epson Corp.......................................................................................................................................................... 27<br />

Exhibit 8 – Profitability Scenario <strong>Analysis</strong> ....................................................................................................................... 28<br />

Exhibit 9: Comparison of accounting methods ................................................................................................................. 30<br />

Exhibit 10: Operating cost breakdown ............................................................................................................................. 31<br />

Exhibit 11 - Cash Conversion Cycle ................................................................................................................................ 32<br />

Exhibit 12 – EK Pro Forma Financial Statements ............................................................................................................ 34<br />

Exhibit 13 – CDG Pro Forma Financial Statements ......................................................................................................... 35<br />

Exhibit 14 – FPEG Pro Forma Financial Statements ........................................................................................................ 36<br />

Exhibit 15 – GCG Pro Forma Financial Statements ......................................................................................................... 37<br />

Exhibit 16 – Segment Valuations and Key Assumptions ................................................................................................. 38<br />

Exhibit 17 – Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> of Traditional Sales Lines ........................................................................................... 39<br />

Exhibit 18 – Sensitivity <strong>Analysis</strong> of Stock Price .............................................................................................................. 43<br />

Exhibit 19 – Cash Benefit of Financing Transactions ...................................................................................................... 44<br />

Works Cited .......................................................................................................................................................................... 45<br />

3


Executive Summary<br />

Eastman Kodak Co. was founded in 1892 by George Eastman and offers imaging products for leisure,<br />

commercial, entertainment, and scientific purposes. Traded on the New York Stock Exchange (symbol: EK), the<br />

company reported over $9 billion in revenue and $9 billion in assets in FY08. Kodak is organized along three segments:<br />

the Graphic Communications Group (GCG); the Film, Photofinishing, and Entertainment Group (FPEG); and the<br />

Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG). Kodak‘s history is one of innovation, but the company was slow to react to the<br />

digital revolution. Kodak has struggled to overcome this legacy ever since.<br />

Through our due diligence, we have uncovered that Kodak must improve gross margins to become profitable in<br />

2010. Our sensitivity analysis shows that sales growth alone will not lead to profitability. We have identified a target<br />

gross margin of 27.5% to become profitable in 2010.<br />

Kodak entered into two financing transactions over the past two months involving convertible debt and warrants.<br />

These transactions allowed Kodak to raise almost $700 million in cash, while saving around $35 million per year in<br />

interest. In exchange for the savings, existing shareholders will potentially give up 25% of the equity value. Kodak also<br />

continues to sell significant assets and intellectual property rights, including its OLED business, a potential next-<br />

generation flat-panel display technology that Kodak pioneered over the last couple of decades (Kodak, 2009).<br />

Kodak positions itself as the user-friendly choice for amateur users of imaging products. The company‘s product<br />

attributes detract from this position. In general, Kodak products are priced below the competition. Kodak‘s lower price,<br />

though offering a benefit to some consumers, signals inferior quality to the market. Kodak‘s placement strategy employs<br />

wide market coverage, ensuring easy access for consumers. Presently, Kodak does not direct consumers to preferred<br />

channels. Kodak recently launched an integrated, multi-media marketing campaign. The campaign touches on multiple<br />

product lines, rather than emphasizing an ‗energizer‘ product.<br />

The following are our key recommendations: (1) redesign Kodak‘s marketing communication message to position<br />

it as the premier provider of imaging solutions that connects the consumer with their loved ones; (2) through marketing<br />

communications, walk the consumer from image capturing, through storage, to sharing, allowing them to process each of<br />

Kodak‘s product offerings; (3) increase marketing focus on digital cameras to leverage brand equity (reposition); (4)<br />

increase prices on digital cameras.<br />

4


<strong>Company</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Organizational Structure<br />

Eastman Kodak is an international corporation with over 24,000 employees, over $9 billion in annual sales<br />

(FY08), and over $9 billion in assets (FY08).<br />

The company is organized along three segments: the Graphic Communications Group (GCG); the Film,<br />

Photofinishing, Entertainment Group (FPEG); and the Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG). Thirty-nine percent of<br />

Kodak‘s revenue comes from the GCG segment, which provides products and services to businesses with large scale<br />

printing operations. Thirty-one percent of Kodak‘s revenue comes from the FPEG segment, which provides traditional<br />

photographic products and services to consumer, professional, and industrial markets. Thirty percent of Kodak‘s revenue<br />

comes from the CDG segment, which provides digital consumer products.<br />

Kodak began in the late nineteenth century with George Eastman‘s advance in dry plate technology, which<br />

allowed photography to become an amateur pursuit. Since then, Kodak has continued to excel in technological<br />

innovation. The company issued over 19,000 U.S. patents between 1900 and 1999. In 1935, Kodak introduced<br />

Kodachrome film, the first commercially successful amateur color film. NASA relied on a Kodak camera to take photos<br />

on the moon and transmit them to earth. Also, Kodak invented the first digital camera in 1975 (Kodak, 2009).<br />

Kodak reacted slowly to the digital revolution. Since the takeoff of digital cameras, Kodak has seen revenues<br />

plummet from $15 billion to $9.4 billion (Butcher, 2009). Kodak has cut 40,000 jobs over the last five years, and plans to<br />

eliminate 3,500 to 4,500 in 2009 (Dobbin, 2009). Since 2003, Kodak has sought to meet this challenge with robust<br />

restructuring programs. Approximately 80% of Kodak revenue is from new products and services developed within the<br />

last five years (Butcher, 2009). Approximately 60% of Kodak employees have been there less than four years (Butcher,<br />

2009).<br />

Financial <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Performance Indicators<br />

Kodak faces the challenge of high restructuring costs and declining demand for its digital products, while trying<br />

to redefine its organizational structure and brand name. On top of company-specific problems, Kodak faces a stiff macro-<br />

economic headwind, as consumers continue to watch their spending on luxury items. To combat these problems, Kodak<br />

has cut costs via layoffs and reductions in R&D expenditures, removed dividend payments to common stockholders and<br />

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targeted its cash conversion cycle. In the near term, Kodak appears to be poorly positioned to handle an extended<br />

economic contraction, and must act immediately to generate additional revenues and profits.<br />

Negatives for FY08 vs. Competitors<br />

Revenues: Kodak experienced revenue growth (pro-forma) of -2.5% and -8.6% in FY07 and FY08, respectively.<br />

The median competitor revenue growth was 6.7% and -8.6% in FY07 and FY08, respectively. We attribute the quicker<br />

revenue decline to the company‘s inability to resonate with consumers.<br />

Rapidly declining gross margins. Since Kodak introduced its ―digital plan‖ in 2003, gross margins have declined<br />

sharply from a high of 36% to the current low of around 20% (23% FY08 vs. competitor median of 36%). The decline in<br />

margins is a pressing issue. We believe our marketing recommendations give Kodak the best chance of survival.<br />

Return-on-Equity (Dupont): Kodak has seen its ROE go from 24.5% in FY02 (vs. 6.6% for competitors) to -<br />

44.4% in FY05 (vs. 10.4% for competitors), to -36.4% (vs. 0.6% for competitors) in FY08. One of the distinguishing<br />

detractors comes from Kodak‘s above median equity multiplier at 5.4x (vs. 2.7x for competitors). As the industry and<br />

economy deteriorated, Kodak suffered from higher financial leverage relative to its peers (3-yr average of 6.4x vs. 2.7x<br />

for competitors) that accelerated the decline of profitability.<br />

Positives for FY08 vs. Competitors<br />

Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC): Kodak has reduced its cash conversion cycle to -5 days for FY08, versus a<br />

competitor median of 82 days (FactSet Research Systems, 2009). Kodak accomplished the improvement in CCC through<br />

extensions of terms on accounts payable, while maintaining steady inventory and days of sales outstanding.<br />

Lean operating costs: Kodak has been successful in cutting SG&A costs as a percentage of sales. By reducing its<br />

workforce, Kodak expects future cost savings of over $300 million. Current operating costs (ex-restructuring and goodwill<br />

write-offs) of 22% are well below Canon (35%), Fujifilm (35%) and Nikon (31%). If Kodak can survive the economic<br />

contraction and continue to operate at current levels in comparison to its competitors, we believe the company can survive<br />

and return to profitability.<br />

Quality of Financial Statements<br />

Kodak reports under US GAAP (Exhibit 9). Inconsistency in Kodak‘s financial reports inhibits the ability to<br />

serially compare and forecast financial performance. Through our due diligence process, we discovered that Kodak is<br />

more aggressive (8%) than Canon in respect to estimating expected returns on assets (6.5%) of pension plan obligations.<br />

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Restatements: Kodak restated financial statements in 2003 and 2004 due to mistakes in reporting income taxes,<br />

accruals for pensions and other post-retirement benefits due to the rapid turnover (firing) of 15,000 workers. The<br />

restatement reduced reported earnings by $85 million (effect from income tax error - $56 million, effect from pension<br />

errors – $29 million), decreased retained earnings and decreased cash flow from operations.<br />

Reclassifications: Continuous restructuring of the company prevents proper historical comparisons beyond three<br />

years. The reclassifications also introduce discrepancies between segment breakdowns and total firm numbers.<br />

Change in useful life of assets: In the first quarter of 2008, the company performed an updated analysis of<br />

expected useful lives on its traditional film and paper business. This analysis resulted in an increase in useful lives, which<br />

in turn will result in decreasing depreciation expenses ($107 million), increasing net income, increasing retained earnings<br />

and increasing assets in the future.<br />

Impairment of goodwill: In 4Q08, Kodak re-evaluated all of its business segments with an increased WACC<br />

between 18.5% and 23.0% to reflect the rapidly deteriorating environment. Due to the estimated future cash flows being<br />

less than the overall cost of the GCG segment, Kodak reported a pre-tax, non-cash $785 million impairment charge.<br />

Financing and Capital Structure<br />

Many of Kodak‘s financing decisions are being dictated by its weak financial position. The company is relying on<br />

convertible securities and warrants in order to secure debt financing at bearable costs (around 8.5%, Exhibit 19) while<br />

giving up significant upside of around 25% of common stock if the company recovers. Equity financing is not an option<br />

due to the low market value of Kodak‘s common stock relative to its operating and financing cash needs. It has decided to<br />

cut its dividend and discontinue stock repurchases after spending over $450 million of needed cash in 2008.<br />

Valuation<br />

Discounted Cash Flow <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

We valuate Kodak‘s stock at $5.32. This makes the share price of $4.40 as of 12/11/09 slightly undervalued. The<br />

DCF analysis was performed using a two-stage model in which we estimated the cash flows for Kodak‘s three business<br />

segments, CDG, FPEG and GCG, through 2018, and then calculated a terminal value based on assumed long-term growth<br />

rates (Exhibits 15).<br />

Kodak has re-organized its business segments repeatedly, making it difficult to compare revenues and costs over a<br />

long period and establish any significant trend at the segment level. Second, the business is undergoing rapid changes as a<br />

result of the technological shift to digital products, which has increased volatility and made it very difficult to establish<br />

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any kind of even a short-term trend. We ended up using a regression model of Kodak‘s overall revenues with several<br />

factors related to their traditional business segments to predict revenues going forward for GCG and FPEG, which most<br />

closely resemble Kodak‘s traditional combined business lines since 1990 (Exhibit 16). Finally, we believe that our WACC<br />

calculation could be undervaluing Kodak‘s risk based on management expectations for the cost of capital (Kodak, 2009).<br />

Exhibit 17 contains a sensitivity table of the stock value based on WACC and long-term growth rates.<br />

WACC<br />

We estimated a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 15.1% for the overall company based on a risk-free<br />

rate of 3.2%, and a market risk premium of 7.4% 1 (Kavajecz, 2009, p. 19). We calculated Kodak‘s equity beta of 1.68<br />

from September 2002 through November 2009. We chose this time period to accurately reflect the increased volatility of<br />

Kodak‘s share price relative to the market based on the company‘s digital transition. We also used industry comparables<br />

to estimate the cost of capital for each of Kodak‘s business units, and then increased them by a factor based on the<br />

company WACC, which we assume reflects significant additional risk of bankruptcy as indicated by the stock volatility<br />

relative to the S&P 500 (Exhibit 15).<br />

Kodak’s Current Marketing Strategy<br />

Consumer<br />

Kodak is likely targeting a segment of the consumer market that meets the following criteria: (1) adult, post-<br />

baccalaureate, 25-40 years old; (2) active/ involved; (3) caring about relationships (friends & family); (4) non-<br />

professional, sub-standard skills in photography; (5) high interest in capturing images of life (freeze in time) and sharing<br />

those images in digital or printed form.<br />

Positioning<br />

Kodak‘s marketing decisions (explained below) imply the following positioning statement: Kodak is preferred by<br />

adults who are active, busy and care about meaningful relationships and want to encapsulate and share important<br />

moments in their lives, because Kodak’s products enable them to capture, share, display, and store pictures and create<br />

keepsakes, with more ease than competitors like Canon, Nikon, and Fujifilm.<br />

1 Risk premium over government bonds: 13.0% - 5.6% = 7.4%<br />

8


Product<br />

Kodak fails to offer clear, distinguishing benefits to consumers. The company attempts to position itself as a<br />

provider of ‗user-friendly‘ products, typically offering products whose names include the word ‗easy‘. However, some of<br />

Kodak‘s product attributes detract from the credibility of this position (Exhibit 2). Other than a long battery life, the<br />

Kodak EasyShare M1033 digital camera features few differentiating attributes that appeal to the user-friendly consumer.<br />

The Kodak EasyShare 5300 printer has a cumbersome interface and PC Loader tray that lacks built-in networking<br />

capability. Kodak‘s ‗user-friendly‘ position is undermined with products that do not deliver the promised benefit.<br />

Kodak develops products quickly due to its competitive environment. A comprehensive program designed to<br />

include all desirable features is nearly impossible due to the speed at which the industry evolves.<br />

Product types face different risk scenarios depending on their newness to the company and their newness to the<br />

market. Digital cameras are familiar to the market and to Kodak. Thus, a line extension of Kodak‘s digital cameras<br />

creates a risk of cannibalization and a lack of incremental sales. Kodak‘s new approach to printers, with higher upfront<br />

costs and lower ink costs, presents different risks. The product type is new to the market and new to the company,<br />

representing a new to the world concept. Thus, the product introduction is at risk of a lack of company-market fit.<br />

Price<br />

Using the economic pricing model (Exhibit 5), a firm strives to deliver products that demand a price premium<br />

over its competitors. Based on this, we compared the pricing of Kodak‘s core consumer products (digital cameras and<br />

inkjet printers), and its secondary consumer products (digital picture frames and Kodak Gallery), to the pricing of its<br />

direct competitors in each category. In the compact digital camera segment, Kodak‘s products are generally priced below<br />

the products of its most direct competitors of Canon, Nikon, and Fujifilm. For example, Kodak cameras sell in the range<br />

of $80 to $160, while cameras offered by the competitors sell in the range of $110 to $500 (Consumers Union of U.S.,<br />

2009). This price differential implies that Kodak is suffering from negative price differentiation. While a lower price<br />

may offer the benefit of capturing a large portion of the price sensitive consumer, we believe that the lower price signals<br />

lower quality to the consumer, when in actuality Kodak‘s cameras deliver comparable quality to that of its competitors.<br />

According to ConsumerReports.org, Kodak holds four of the top twenty-six spots in the point and shoot digital camera<br />

category, only behind Canon, which dominates the rankings with nine of the top spots—Fujifilm has two cameras ranked<br />

in the top twenty-six, while Nikon has zero (Consumers Union of U.S., 2009). As a result, we believe that there is an<br />

opportunity for Kodak to raise its prices in this segment. The other consumer products do not suffer from negative price<br />

9


differentiation, and thus we do not believe an opportunity exists to change the pricing of these products (see Exhibit 6 for<br />

further discussion on pricing of printers, digital frames, and Kodak Gallery products).<br />

Placement<br />

Overall, Kodak‘s placement strategy is similar to that of its competitors, in each of the main consumer product<br />

categories. Digital cameras, inkjet printers, and digital picture frames, are typically sold through each company‘s website,<br />

and through all major retailers such as Best Buy, Target, and Wal-Mart, both in stores and online. The photo storage<br />

products are all offered exclusively online. Kodak‘s placement employs wide market coverage because its products are<br />

easily accessible to all consumers. It is difficult for Kodak to differentiate itself within the placement component of the<br />

marketing framework; however, it is important that it monitors the retailers to ensure both consistency across channels<br />

and alignment of objectives between itself and the retailers.<br />

Promotion<br />

Understanding the consumer<br />

Kodak‘s target consumers have lower levels of expertise than an amateur photographer. They are typically more<br />

concerned about the moments captured in pictures and video rather than the art or technical skills required to do so. These<br />

consumers will likely look to an expert (or perceived expert) in the field of photography for advice if any questions arise.<br />

Thus, the level of involvement of Kodak‘s consumer tends to be low. While in some cases, consumers may do some<br />

research to learn about the product they‘re seeking, this type of research is typically shallow in technicalities or details.<br />

Once these consumers have learned what brands are reliable, where the best deals are, and how to obtain the product, they<br />

are ready to purchase. This is when Kodak must be ready to sell.<br />

Marketing objectives<br />

Increased sales is the ultimate marketing objective for Kodak. At the same time, Kodak‘s promotional strategy<br />

seems to have more specific goals depending on where the consumer is within the buying process. Prior to purchasing,<br />

Kodak wants to represent ‗peace of mind‘, fun, and overall inspiration (Exhibit 3, figure 8). The following historic tag-<br />

lines are indicative of such intentions: ―you press the button, we do the rest‖ in 1888 (Kodak, 2009), ―the Kodak<br />

moment‖, ―Share Moments, Share Life‖ in 2001, and its most recent campaign ―It‘s time to smile‖ (Exhibit 3), which will<br />

run for at least one year. These campaigns fit Kodak‘s aim to offer an easy way for consumers to capture the best<br />

moments of their lives. Kodak also appeals to creative consumers who are interested in creating picture books, cards, t-<br />

10


shirts, and the like. These additional, creative options entice the consumer to invest more in Kodak products (Exhibit 3,<br />

figure 3). Hence, after the first purchase, Kodak‘s goal is to create a repeat customer.<br />

Reseller <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

The availability of products is vital to Kodak‘s success. Therefore, Kodak must ensure the consumer is directly<br />

connected to preferred retailers whenever they are ready to buy. Unfortunately, that is not always the case in Kodak‘s<br />

current marketing campaign. While Kodak is improving its presence amongst consumers by using several digital<br />

initiatives, it is not always clear what is the best way to obtain the products. There is not always a link or message that<br />

directs consumers to retailers Kodak prefers. Consequently, consumers interested in purchasing Kodak products may find<br />

inconsistent messages while searching for a channel (e.g. prices far lower than Kodak recommends, Exhibit 3, fig. 9).<br />

Marketing Communications<br />

Kodak‘s marketing communications today are focused on triggering emotions and presenting an argument in<br />

favor of some of its product attributes. The company‘s latest campaign, ―It‘s time to smile,‖ stems from the consumer<br />

insight that today‘s work-life balance and the economic situation have negatively impacted relationships (Exhibit 3); even<br />

though, consumers perceive it is easier to connect with friends and family today than it was 5 years ago (thanks to e-mail,<br />

cell phones, and social networks) (Kodak, 2009). Kodak seeks to connect with the consumer at an emotional level and<br />

encourage them to smile and make others smile – all while capturing and sharing their newfound happy moments with<br />

Kodak products. However, the company fails to deliver a clear and differentiating promise that resonates with a<br />

meaningful number of consumers.<br />

Even though Kodak‘s new integrated marketing campaign is present in all major social media channels<br />

(Facebook, Twitter, YouTube) the company‘s number of followers is significantly lower when compared with those of<br />

competitors and other successful brands. On Facebook, as of December 12, 2009, Kodak has 47,342 fans, while Canon<br />

and Nikon have 119,165 and 117,574 respectively. The #1 brand on Facebook, Coca-Cola, dwarfs these numbers with<br />

over four million fans. Kodak cannot afford to lose in the digital space as social media has the powerful effect of creating<br />

communities of ever-growing fans who evangelize the brand – all at a relatively low and fixed cost.<br />

Without fans, the success of the social media initiative is in danger. For example, assume aggressively that the<br />

ideal Kodak consumer spends $200 per year for 20 years in a variety of products totaling $4,000. Also, assume Kodak‘s<br />

contribution margin stays at nearly 25% so each customer is worth $1000 to the company. If an integrated digital<br />

11


campaign of the magnitude that Kodak is implementing costs nearly $10 million per year to maintain, the company will<br />

need 10,000 of these consumers to break even (Charlene Li., 2008). At less than 50,000 fans, the conversion rate needed<br />

(20%) is quite high, considering that Facebook claims a conversion rate of only 10% for its advertising (Facebook, 2009).<br />

Even at a more aggressive conversion rate of 15%, Kodak needs much higher numbers to succeed and be profitable.<br />

Currently Kodak does not utilize the services of a celebrity spokesperson. This reduces any risks of brand<br />

confusion or poor representation, commonly associated with endorsements. However, Kodak is betting too much on the<br />

strength of its brand alone, while competitors enlist the help of famous characters like Ashton Kutcher (Nikon), and Maria<br />

Sharapova (Canon) to energize its brand.<br />

Promotion Conclusion<br />

Overall, there seems to be a lack of buzz, energy, top-of-mind awareness, or fuel behind the Kodak brand. The<br />

current marketing campaigns are not driving the number of customers necessary to create the sense of community that<br />

Kodak is expecting, nor generating the revenues the company needs to survive.<br />

Recommendations<br />

Kodak fails to position itself as the indisputable solution between today‘s consumers and their need for<br />

connection. Therefore, Kodak must focus on delivering a clearer message, a differentiating promise, and products that<br />

meet such a promise. For example: Kodak is the premier provider of imaging solutions that bring your loved ones within<br />

arm’s reach.<br />

Additionally, Kodak‘s marketing campaign should present one path within the imaging process that allows the<br />

consumer to process the company‘s offerings. For instance, prioritize marketing efforts according to the following process<br />

(1 = highest priority): (1) take great pictures with Kodak digital cameras, (2) print quality pictures for less with Kodak<br />

photo printers (3) store your pictures at the KodakGallery, where you can create unique keepsakes (4) display your<br />

pictures in our industry-leading Kodak digital frames. Instead of overwhelming the consumer with all the options Kodak<br />

has to offer, focusing the message on one product at a time can be more effective for Kodak‘s target consumer.<br />

We feel that additional emphasis should be placed on digital cameras, with the other products—printers, frames,<br />

and Kodak Gallery—supporting digital cameras as complementary products that round-out the digital imaging experience.<br />

Kodak‘s 120-year history as the premier provider of photography products lends itself to this strategy of emphasizing<br />

digital cameras. This focused strategy can be accomplished through changes in each of the components of the marketing<br />

framework, while keeping in mind the desired positioning for Kodak‘s product-line.<br />

12


Because Kodak is targeting the novice photographer segment, it is important that its products incorporate easy-to-<br />

use attributes and automatic features that deliver high-quality photos. Currently, Kodak‘s digital cameras compete well<br />

on the number of functions offered yet do not necessarily differentiate themselves. The same holds true for the printer<br />

category with complaints of complicated interfaces, cumbersome loader trays, and a lack of built-in networking<br />

capabilities. Kodak should strive to simplify its products across its entire product line and further educate customers of<br />

the easy-to-use features through its marketing campaign.<br />

Kodak prices its camera products well below the products of its main competitors. On average, Kodak cameras<br />

cost 31%, 132%, and 80% less than products of similar quality in the super-zoom, compact, and subcompact categories,<br />

respectively (Exhibit 6) (Consumers Union of U.S., 2009). Kodak‘s products are consistently ranked comparably to those<br />

of the competition. Thus, Kodak should demand similar prices for its products. Kodak should be able to increase its<br />

prices by at least 20% on the competitively ranked cameras to signal quality to the consumer without decreasing volumes,<br />

thus increasing profitability. This price increase will address the problem Kodak faces with poor gross margins in the<br />

CDG segment, and lead this segment towards profitability in the future. Success with an increased pricing strategy is<br />

dependent on Kodak effectively communicating the brand quality to the consumer.<br />

Kodak is dependent on its resellers to increase awareness and educate the consumers about its products. Kodak<br />

should work closely with its main retailers to encourage promotion of its digital product suite consisting of cameras,<br />

printers, frames, and Kodak Gallery. Kodak must first educate the retail sales representatives on the features of its<br />

products, namely the differentiating features that will focus on the ease-of-use theme. In addition, the products should be<br />

placed strategically within the stores, to encourage bundling of the Kodak product-line.<br />

In promotions, Kodak needs to improve the level of energy behind the Kodak brand. For this purpose, a celebrity<br />

spokesperson could be highly effective. Because Kodak‘s consumer is relatively low involvement and the market is<br />

already cluttered with many reasonable options (Canon, Nikon, Sony, Casio, etc.), a credible spokesperson should serve to<br />

hold the consumer‘s hand and guide them to buy Kodak products.<br />

The current advertising budget may need to be revised, but an increase is not automatically necessary. Kodak<br />

should continue leveraging and improving its presence on the Internet through various digital initiatives.<br />

Kodak implementing these recommendations will lead to increased sales and margins and ultimately allow the<br />

company to regain its position as a world leader in its industry.<br />

13


Appendix<br />

Exhibit 1 – Products <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Digital Cameras<br />

Key<br />

Attributes<br />

Kodak<br />

EasyShare<br />

M1033<br />

Canon<br />

Powershot<br />

A1100 IS<br />

Meaningfulness to<br />

Market/Consumer<br />

Price $140 $140 Consumers value quality<br />

products at an affordable price<br />

Mega<br />

10 12 Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Pixels<br />

which capture quality images<br />

Zoom 3x 4x Consumers value digital cameras<br />

which capture quality images<br />

Video Yes, with sound Yes, with Consumers value digital cameras<br />

sound which capture quality video<br />

Battery<br />

220 140 shots Longer battery life lowers cost<br />

Life<br />

and adds convenience, creating<br />

value for the consumer<br />

Image<br />

Yes Yes Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Stabilizer<br />

which capture quality images<br />

Face<br />

Yes Yes Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Detection<br />

which are easy to use<br />

Wide<br />

No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Angle<br />

which capture quality images<br />

Manual<br />

No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Controls<br />

which are easy to use<br />

Manual<br />

No No Consumers value digital cameras<br />

Focus<br />

which are easy to use<br />

Point of<br />

Differentiation<br />

n/a<br />

Negative<br />

Negative<br />

n/a<br />

Positive<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

14


Printers<br />

Key<br />

Attributes<br />

Kodak<br />

EasyShare<br />

5300<br />

HP<br />

Photosmart<br />

C6180<br />

Meaningfulness to<br />

Market/Consumer<br />

Price $199.99 300 Consumers value printers which<br />

are affordable<br />

Cheaper<br />

Ink<br />

Printing<br />

Speed<br />

Built in<br />

Networking<br />

User<br />

Interface<br />

Paper<br />

printing<br />

quality<br />

Photo<br />

printing<br />

quality<br />

Hardware-<br />

paper tray<br />

$9.99 for black,<br />

$14.99 for<br />

color<br />

Presently,<br />

ink costs<br />

double or<br />

more;<br />

newly<br />

introduced<br />

ink costs<br />

$14.99 for<br />

black,<br />

$17.99 for<br />

color<br />

Marginally<br />

Faster<br />

Consumers value affordable<br />

printer ink<br />

Point of<br />

Differentiation<br />

Positive<br />

Positive<br />

Consumers value fast printers Negative<br />

No Yes Consumers value printers which<br />

are easy to use<br />

newer photos<br />

better<br />

Better Consumers value printers which<br />

are easy to use<br />

older<br />

photos<br />

better<br />

Consumers value high quality<br />

printers<br />

Consumers value high quality<br />

printers<br />

worse Consumers value printers which<br />

are easy to use<br />

Negative<br />

Negative<br />

n/a<br />

n/a<br />

Negative<br />

15


Digital Picture Frames<br />

Products Compared: Kodak Easyshare 10‖ W1020 Wireless Digital Frame vs. Sony 10.2‖ Widescreen LCD Digital Frame<br />

Attribute: Kodak Sony<br />

Built-In<br />

Wi-Fi<br />

Technology<br />

Included<br />

Resolution 800x480<br />

Source: www.Kodak.com; www.bestbuy.com<br />

Photo Storage<br />

Key Attributes Kodak<br />

Gallery<br />

Price Purchase of<br />

services<br />

necessary<br />

Requirements yearly<br />

purchase<br />

Not<br />

included<br />

1024 x 600<br />

(better)<br />

Meaningfulness to<br />

Market/Consumer<br />

Important because makes the<br />

product more functional and<br />

easier to use<br />

Higher resolution is perceived as<br />

higher quality<br />

Flickr Meaningfulness to<br />

Market/Consumer<br />

Free Customers value the ability to<br />

store photos in a safe and<br />

secure way, with ease and at<br />

minimum or no cost.<br />

Point of<br />

Differentiation<br />

Positive<br />

Negative<br />

Point of<br />

Differentiation<br />

Negative<br />

None " " Negative<br />

Does Kodak<br />

have<br />

Credibility?<br />

Yes, because<br />

Kodak is<br />

known for its<br />

innovation and<br />

excellence in<br />

technology.<br />

This is an<br />

important<br />

attribute of<br />

digital frames,<br />

and therefore,<br />

Kodak should<br />

likely address<br />

the deficiency<br />

vs. the<br />

competition<br />

Credibility<br />

16


Storage Limit No Yes Customers want the ability to<br />

store as many pictures as<br />

possible so they don't have to<br />

delete or move photos<br />

Join<br />

Clubs/Groups<br />

No Yes Consumers enjoy connecting<br />

with others whom share<br />

similar interests; provides a<br />

sense of community<br />

Video Clips Yes No Consumers increasingly use<br />

digital camera devices to take<br />

videos in addition to photos,<br />

so the ability to store videos<br />

is valued<br />

Albums/Flipbooks Yes No This allows customers to<br />

creatively store and share<br />

their photos as keepsakes<br />

Prints and Editing Yes No This feature delivers<br />

convenience by allowing<br />

users to store, edit, and print<br />

photos in one central place<br />

Source: www.kodakgallery.com;<br />

Positive Kodak is a<br />

trusted<br />

company so<br />

customers<br />

believe that<br />

they have the<br />

ability to offer<br />

unlimited<br />

storage with no<br />

problems<br />

Negative<br />

Positive Kodak is<br />

known for its<br />

excellence in<br />

photography<br />

so customers<br />

have<br />

Positive confidence in<br />

its ability to<br />

deliver on<br />

these<br />

Positive<br />

attributes.<br />

17


Exhibit 2 – “It’s time to smile” Campaign<br />

Figure 1 - Reason for campaign. Source: Kodak.com<br />

Figure 2 - Consumer Insight. Source: Kodak.com<br />

18


Figure 3 - Product Portfolio. Source: Kodak.com<br />

Figure 4 - People in need to connect. Source: Kodak.com<br />

19


Figure 5 - Connecting with digital camera. Source: Kodak.com<br />

Figure 6 – Use of social media<br />

Figure 7 – Viral Campaign<br />

20


Figure 8 - Video ads for YouTube and TV. Source: YouTube/Kodak<br />

Figure 9 – sample banner, no link to purchase. Source: tweetPhoto.com<br />

Figure 10 – price advertised on Kodak.com<br />

Figure 11 - Prices of other online retailers<br />

21


Exhibit 3 – Competitor Endorsements<br />

Figure 12 – Ashton Kutche, Nikon<br />

Figure 13 – Maria Sharapova<br />

Exhibit 4 – Economic Value Pricing<br />

According to the economic value-pricing model, a firm‘s product price is a sum of its reference value and its<br />

differentiation value. As such, the reference value for Kodak‘s products is the price of its competitor‘s comparable<br />

products, while differentiation value is the price premium (or discount) captured by Kodak‘s products due to additional<br />

(or fewer) benefits offered, as perceived by the consumer.<br />

Figure 14 - Economic Value Pricing<br />

Exhibit 5 – Kodak Product Pricing<br />

Within the all-in-one inkjet printer category, Kodak‘s prices are slightly higher than those of Hewlett Packard (HP) and<br />

Canon, which is consistent with its current campaign to charge a small premium for the printer, while offering the ink at<br />

significantly lower prices. In addition, to offset the price premium, Kodak is partnering with retailers such as Best Buy to<br />

offer a $50 discount on a printer, when a customer recycles an old printer. The digital picture frame market is highly<br />

fragmented with 15 different brands ranked in the top 20 by Consumer Reports (add works cited). Kodak‘s price range of<br />

$60-$230 is consistent with the pricing of other brands. An exception to this is the pricing of Kodak‘s recently released<br />

wireless OLED frame, which demands an extreme price premium, at a price of $999, because it is the only frame offered<br />

22


to the consumer market, using this advanced technology. Kodak‘s position in the high-end digital frame market is a<br />

significant opportunity for the company going forward. Finally, within the photo storage product market, Kodak‘s prices<br />

are consistent with competitors such as Shutterfly and Flickr, with all three offering unlimited storage and 4x6 prints in<br />

the $.10-$.15 range. However, Kodak is unique in requiring members to make a minimum annual purchase, depending on<br />

the size of their photo storage.<br />

Exhibit 6<br />

Point And Shoot Models: Rankings And Price<br />

Compiled from ConsumerReports.org<br />

Super Zoom Models<br />

Overall<br />

Price<br />

Relative<br />

Rank Brand Line Model Family Price Score to Kodak<br />

1 Canon PowerShot SX10 IS Super zoom 390 78 56.00%<br />

2 Canon PowerShot SX1 IS Super zoom 550 75 120.00%<br />

4 Casio Exilim EX-H10 Super zoom 300 73 20.00%<br />

5 Casio Exilim EX-FH20 Super zoom 400 73 60.00%<br />

6 Fujifilm Finepix F70 EXR Super zoom 240 72 -4.00%<br />

7 Kodak EasyShare Z950 Super zoom 250 72 0.00%<br />

8 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-H20 Super zoom 280 72 12.00%<br />

16 Samsung HZ10W Super zoom 230 69 -8.00%<br />

21 Olympus Stylus 9000 Super zoom 230 68 -8.00%<br />

Compact Models<br />

Max -8.00%<br />

Min 120.00%<br />

Range 128.00%<br />

Avg 31.00%<br />

Overall<br />

Price<br />

Relative<br />

Rank Brand Line Model Family Price Score to Kodak<br />

3 Canon PowerShot G10 Compact 480 74 242.86%<br />

9 Canon PowerShot A1000 IS Compact 170 71 21.43%<br />

13 Panasonic Lumix DMC-TS1 Compact 350 70 150.00%<br />

18 Kodak EasyShare M1033 Compact 140 68 0.00%<br />

20 Canon PowerShot D10 Compact 300 68 114.29%<br />

Min 21.43%<br />

Max 242.86%<br />

Range 221.43%<br />

Avg 132.14%<br />

23


Subcompact Models<br />

Overall<br />

Price<br />

Relative<br />

Rank Brand Line Model<br />

SD1200 IS<br />

Family Price Score to Kodak<br />

10 Canon PowerShot ELPH Subcompact 200 71 53.85%<br />

11 Panasonic Lumix DMC-ZR1 Subcompact 240 71 84.62%<br />

12 Fujifilm Finepix<br />

Exilim<br />

F200EXR Subcompact 320 70 146.15%<br />

14 Casio Card EX-S12 Subcompact 200 69 53.85%<br />

15 Canon PowerShot SX110 IS Subcompact 250 69 0.00%<br />

17 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-G3 Subcompact 420 68 223.08%<br />

19 Canon PowerShot SD780 IS ELPH Subcompact 220 68 69.23%<br />

22 Canon PowerShot SD980 IS ELPH Subcompact 330 68 153.85%<br />

23 Sony Cyber-shot DSC-T90 Subcompact 250 67 92.31%<br />

24 Samsung SL102 Subcompact 100 67 -23.08%<br />

25 Kodak EasyShare C160 Subcompact 90 65 -30.77%<br />

26 GE E1250TW Subcompact 160 65 23.08%<br />

27 Kodak EasyShare M320 Subcompact 130 65 0.00%<br />

Min -23.08%<br />

Max 223.08%<br />

Range 246.15%<br />

Avg 79.72%<br />

24


Exhibit 7 – Competitor <strong>Business</strong> Descriptions 2<br />

We chose the following companies as competitors because of the similarities in product type and customer focus. The<br />

following ten companies make up the ―competitor median‖ referenced in the analysis section.<br />

Canon Inc.<br />

Canon Inc. is a manufacturer of business machines, cameras, and optical and other products. Canon offers business<br />

machines including office imaging products, such as office network digital multifunction devices (MFDs), color network<br />

digital MFDs, office copying machines and personal-use copying machines; computer peripherals, including laser beam<br />

printers, inkjet printers and scanners and business information products, such as personal computers, servers, document<br />

scanners, calculators and micrographic equipment. Canon also manufactures and markets digital cameras, film cameras,<br />

digital video camcorders, lenses and various camera accessories. Canon's optical and other products mainly include<br />

semiconductor production equipment, mirror projection mask aligners for liquid crystal display (LCD) panels,<br />

broadcasting equipment, medical equipment, large format printers, and electronic components. On March 31, 2008, it<br />

acquired a 24.9% stake in Hitachi Displays, Ltd. For the nine months ended 30 September 2009, CANON INC.'s revenues<br />

decreased 27% to Y2.255T. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income decreased 76% to Y70.08B. Revenues reflect lower sales volume<br />

from business machines, cameras and optical & other products business segments. Lower net income also suffers from<br />

higher percentage of cost of sales and SGA expense, as well as significantly decreased interest & dividend income.<br />

Fujifilm Holdings Corp.<br />

FUJIFILM Holdings Corporation is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the provision of imaging, information and<br />

document solutions. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in three business segments. The Imaging Solution segment offers color films,<br />

digital cameras, photo-finishing machines, and color papers, chemical and services for instant printing. The information<br />

Solution segment offers medical systems, life-science machinery, graphic system machinery, front panel display<br />

materials, recording media, optical devices, electronic components and inkjet materials. The Document Solution segment<br />

offers printers, copy machines, production service-related products, paper, consumer goods and others. For the six months<br />

ended 30 September 2009, FUJIFILM Holdings Corp.'s revenues decreased 22% to Y1.043T. Net loss totaled Y5.41B, vs.<br />

an income of Y45.38B. Revenues reflect decreased sales from all its business segments. The company's net loss also<br />

suffers from higher percentage of cost of sales and selling, general & administrative expense, decreases interest &<br />

dividend income as well as higher exchange loss.<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co.<br />

Hewlett-Packard <strong>Company</strong> is a provider of products, technologies, software, solutions and services to individual<br />

consumers, small- and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and large enterprises, including the public and education sectors.<br />

Its offerings span personal computing and other access devices; imaging and printing-related products and services;<br />

enterprise information technology infrastructure, including enterprise storage and server technology and software that<br />

optimizes business technology investments, and multi-vendor customer services, including technology support and<br />

maintenance, consulting and integration and outsourcing services, as well as application services and business process<br />

outsourcing. During the fiscal year ended October 31, 2008, its operations were organized into seven business segments:<br />

Enterprise Storage and Servers, HP Services, HP Software, the Personal Systems Group, the Imaging and Printing Group,<br />

HP Financial Services and Corporate Investments. For the fiscal year ended 31 October 2009, Hewlett- Packard<br />

<strong>Company</strong>'s revenues fell 3% to $114.40B. Revenues reflect a decrease in income from <strong>Company</strong>'s Products & Services.<br />

Hewlett-Packard <strong>Company</strong> is a provider of Products, technologies, software, solutions & services to individual<br />

consumers, small & medium-sized businesses & large enterprises, including the public and education sectors.<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd.<br />

Ricoh <strong>Company</strong>, Ltd. (Ricoh) is engaged in the manufacturing of office automation equipment. Ricoh's principal products<br />

include copiers (such as plain paper copiers (PPCs)), printers (multi-functional printers (MFPs), laser printers and<br />

2 Source: Reuters<br />

25


GELJET printers), production printing products and facsimile machines. Ricoh is also a manufacturer of digital and<br />

advanced electronic devices such as semiconductor devices. Ricoh supports its office and production printing equipment<br />

businesses by offering customers various solution systems that work with personal computers (PC) and servers, and<br />

related product support and after-sales services to assist customers in utilizing the Ricoh products that they purchase.<br />

Ricoh also offers various supplies and peripheral products to be used with its products and systems. Ricoh operates in<br />

three segments: Imaging and Solutions, Industrial Products and Other. In August 2008, Ricoh Elemex Corporation<br />

becomes a wholly owned subsidiary of the <strong>Company</strong>. For the six months ended 30 September 2009, RICOH<br />

COMPANY,LTD.'s revenues decreased 7% to Y988.79B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income decreased 95% to Y1.81B.<br />

Revenues reflect lower sales from image & solution, industrial and other business segments due to unfavorable business<br />

environment. Net income also suffers from higher percentage of selling, general & admin expenses, as well as increased<br />

interest expenses.<br />

Sony Corp.<br />

Sony Corporation (Sony) is engaged in the development, design, manufacture and sale of various kinds of electronic<br />

equipment, instruments and devices. Sony operates in five segments: Electronics, which develops, designs, manufactures<br />

and sells electronic equipment, instruments and devices for consumer and professional markets; Games, in which Sony<br />

Computer Entertainment Inc. (SCEI) develops, produces, markets and distributes PlayStation 2 (PS2), PSP (PlayStation<br />

Portable) (PSP) and PLAYSTATION 3 (PS3) hardware and related software; Pictures, which encompasses motion picture<br />

production and distribution, television production and distribution, and digital content creation and distribution; Financial<br />

Services, which includes the activities of Sony Financial Holdings Inc. (SFH), and All Other, which comprises Sony<br />

Music Entertainment (SME) and Sony Music Entertainment (Japan) Inc. (SMEJ). On October 1, 2008, it acquired<br />

Bertelsmann's 50% interest in SONY BMG MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT (SONY BMG). For the six months ended 30<br />

September 2009, SONY CORPORATION's revenues decreased 20% to Y3.261T. Net loss totaled Y63.40B, vs. an<br />

income of Y55.79B. Revenues reflect decreased sales volume from United States and Europe markets. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net<br />

loss also suffers from higher percentage of selling, general and administration expenses, increased interest expenses, as<br />

well as decreased interest & dividend income.<br />

Xerox Corp.<br />

Xerox Corporation (Xerox) is engaged in developing, manufacturing, marketing, servicing and financing a range of<br />

document equipments, software, solutions and services. Digital systems include printing and publishing systems; digital<br />

presses, advanced and basic multifunctional devices (MFD's), which can print, copy, scan and fax; digital copiers; laser<br />

and solid ink printers, and fax machines. The <strong>Company</strong> provides software and workflow solutions with which businesses<br />

can print books, create personalized documents for their customers, and scan and route digital information. Xerox also<br />

offers software, support and supplies, such as toner, paper and ink. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in three business segments:<br />

production, office and other. During the year ended December 31, 2008, the <strong>Company</strong> completed the acquisition of<br />

Veenman B.V. (Veenman) and Global Imaging Systems, Inc. (GIS). For the nine months ended 30 September 2009,<br />

Xerox Corporation's revenues decreased 17% to $10.96B. Net income increased 33% to $305M. Revenue reflects a<br />

decrease in revenues from production, office and other segments. Net income reflects a decrease in cost of sales &<br />

services, lower equipment financing interest, a decrease in selling, administrative & general expenses and lower litigation<br />

charges.<br />

Nikon Corp.<br />

NIKON CORPORATION is a Japan-based company mainly engaged in the manufacture and sale of optical products. The<br />

<strong>Company</strong> is active in four business segments. The Precision Apparatus segment offers semiconductor exposure apparatus<br />

and liquid crystal (LC) exposure apparatus. The image segment provides digital cameras, film cameras and<br />

interchangeable lens. The Instruments segment offers microscopes, measuring machines and semiconductor inspection<br />

equipment. The Others segment provides glass materials, telescopes, glasses and survey airplanes. The <strong>Company</strong> has 65<br />

subsidiaries and 10 associated companies in the country and overseas markets. As of August 19, 2009, the <strong>Company</strong> held<br />

26


a 92.17% stake in Metis NV. For the six months ended 30 September 2009, NIKON CORPORATION's revenues<br />

decreased 24% to Y368.09B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net loss totaled Y17.67B, vs. an income of Y33.62B. Revenues reflect lower<br />

sales from precision equipment business and imaging product business. Net loss also suffers from higher percentage of<br />

cost of sales and SGA expense, significantly increased exchange loss, as well as the presence of Y1.35B loss on business<br />

reorganization.<br />

Olympus Corp.<br />

OLYMPUS CORPORATION is a Japan-based manufacturer engaged in five main business segments. Its Imaging<br />

segment offers digital cameras, film cameras and voice recorders. The Medical segment offers medical endoscopes,<br />

surgical endoscopes, endoscope disposal equipment and ultrasonic endoscopes. The Life Science segment offers clinical<br />

hemanalysis systems, biological microscopes and industrial microscopes. The Information Communication segment sells<br />

semiconductor-related equipment, electronic machines, network systems an d mobile terminals, such as cellular phones,<br />

as well as provides mobile solutions and mobile contents services. The Others segment offers industrial endoscopes,<br />

nondestructive inspection equipment, printers and bar code scanners, as well as develops systems. In August 2009, the<br />

<strong>Company</strong> transferred its analytical instrumentation business to its wholly owned subsidiary, which has been engaged in<br />

the manufacturing and sale of clinical laboratory examination equipment. For the six months ended 30 September 2009,<br />

OLYMPUS CORPORATION's revenues decreased 19% to Y435.42B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net income totaled Y36.19B, up<br />

from Y3.60B. Revenues reflect lower sales from imaging, medical and life science business segments. Net income<br />

benefits from a lower percentage of SG&A expenses, decreased foreign exchange losses, and the presence of Y46.27B<br />

gains on transfer of business.<br />

Lexmark International Inc.<br />

Lexmark International, Inc.(Lexmark) is engaged in developing, manufacturing and supplying printing and imaging<br />

solutions for offices and homes. Its products include laser printers, inkjet printers, multifunction devices, and associated<br />

supplies, services and solutions. Lexmark develops and owns the technology for its laser and inkjet products and related<br />

solutions. Lexmark also sells dot matrix printers for printing single and multi-part forms by business users. The <strong>Company</strong><br />

operates in the office products industry. The <strong>Company</strong> is primarily managed along divisional lines: the Printing Solutions<br />

and Services Division and the Imaging Solutions Division. Lexmark's products are sold in more than 150 countries in<br />

North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, the Pacific Rim and the Caribbean. For the nine months<br />

ended 30 September 2009, Lexmark International, Inc.'s revenues decreased 19% to $2.81B. Net income decreased 61%<br />

to $86.2M. Revenues reflect a decrease in income from sales volume of the <strong>Company</strong>. Net income also reflects decreased<br />

operating margin, an increase in restructuring & related charges, the presence of net impairment losses on securities and<br />

the presence of interest expense net vs. an interest income net.<br />

Seiko Epson Corp.<br />

SEIKO EPSON CORPORATION is a Japan-based company primarily involved in the development, manufacture and sale<br />

of information equipment, electronic devices and precision equipment. The <strong>Company</strong> operates in four business segments.<br />

The Information Equipment segment offers printers, liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors and personal computers,<br />

among others. The Electronic Devices segment provides thin-film transistor (TFT) LCD panels, crystal devices and<br />

semiconductors. The Precision Equipment segment offers watches and plastic lens under the brand name Seiko, as well as<br />

factory automation (FA) equipment. The Others segment is engaged in the distribution and transportation services, the<br />

provision of maintenance services for facilities, as well as the insurance agency and travel agency businesses. For the six<br />

months ended 30 September 2009, Seiko Epson Corporation's revenues decreased 27% to Y449.63B. The <strong>Company</strong>'s net<br />

loss totaled Y29.19B, vs. an income of Y11.72B. Revenues reflect lower sales especially from electronic device business<br />

segment. Net loss also suffers from a higher percentage of selling, general & administrative expenses, as well as the<br />

presence of Y2.42B impairment losses.<br />

27


Exhibit 8 – Profitability Scenario <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

28


Exhibit 9: Comparison of accounting methods<br />

International Comparison of Accounting Standards-Overview of Major Japanese GAAP, IAS/IFRS, and US GAAP<br />

Accounting Standards Items Japanese GAAP IAS/IFRS US GAAP<br />

Financial Instruments<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Combinations<br />

Impairment of Assets<br />

Retirement benefits<br />

Income Taxes<br />

Measurement of securities<br />

Estimating potential credit<br />

losses/impairment<br />

Derecognition of financial assets<br />

Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />

depending on category<br />

Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />

depending on category<br />

Fair value or amortized cost (bonds)<br />

depending on category<br />

Discounted future cash flows Discounted future cash flows Discounted future cash flows<br />

Legal isolation required (financialcomponent<br />

approach)<br />

Legal isolation not required (primarily risks<br />

and rewards approach)<br />

Legal isolation required (financialcomponent<br />

approach)<br />

Measurement of derivatives Fair value Fair value Fair value<br />

Hedge accounting When hedging criteria are met When hedging criteria are met When hedging criteria are met<br />

Basic method Purchase method Purchase method Purchase method<br />

Pooling of interests method<br />

Exceptionally used only when strict criteria<br />

are met<br />

Purchase method only Purchase method only<br />

Goodwill Strictly amortized with impairment Not amortized, impairment only Not amortized, impairment only<br />

Grouping<br />

Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />

assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />

independent of cash flows of other assets<br />

Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />

assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />

independent of cash flows of other assets<br />

Lowest level (smallest identifiable group of<br />

assets) for which cash flows are largely<br />

independent of cash flows of other assets<br />

Indication of impairment Assessed Assessed Assessed<br />

Recognition test Undiscounted future cash flows<br />

Measurement<br />

Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />

price and value in use)<br />

Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />

price and value in use)<br />

Recoverable amount (higher of net selling<br />

price and value in use)<br />

Undiscounted future cash flows<br />

Fair value<br />

Reversal of impairment losses Prohibited Reversed (excluding goodwill) Prohibited<br />

Recognition of liability<br />

Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />

unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />

service cost, minus plan assets<br />

Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />

unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />

service cost, minus plan assets<br />

Retirement benefit obligation adjusted for<br />

unrecognized actuarial gains/losses and past<br />

service cost, minus plan assets<br />

Actuarial gains/losses Strictly amortized without corridor Corridor amortization Corridor amortization<br />

Recognition of additional minimum<br />

liability<br />

Not recognized Not recognized Unfunded accumulated benefit obligations<br />

Basic method Asset liability method Asset liability method Asset liability method<br />

Recording of deferred tax assets Based on recoverability/realizability Based on recoverability/realizability Based on recoverability/realizability<br />

Research & Development Development costs Expensed when incurred Capitalized Expensed when incurred<br />

Consolidated Financial<br />

Statements<br />

Scope of subsidiaries Based on control Based on control Based on majority voting interest<br />

Presentation of minority interests Between liability and equity Equity<br />

Between liability and equity (under<br />

deliberation to change to equity<br />

Investment Property Measurement Cost Fair value or cost Generally cost<br />

Source: IASplus.com<br />

Indicates inconsistency<br />

30


Exhibit 10: Operating cost breakdown<br />

Operating costs as % of sales (ex-restructuring/other)<br />

FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Kodak 22% 22% 23% 24% 25% 25% 25% 25%<br />

Canon 35% 33% 33% 33% 34% 36% 36% 34%<br />

FujiFilm 35% 32% 32% 33% 32% 33% 33% 32%<br />

Nikon 31% 28% 27% 27% 28% 31% 34%<br />

SG&A (ex-advertising) as % of sales<br />

FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Kodak 13.1% 13.3% 15.0% 15.1% 14.7% 14.9% 14.5% 14.5%<br />

Canon 23.3% 22.1% 22.3% 22.5% 22.6% 24.9% 25.5% 24.5%<br />

FujiFilm 26.6% 24.7% 24.8% 24.6% 23.6% 24.0% 24.3% 24.2%<br />

Nikon 15.2% 14.2% 14.7% 15.3% 16.1% 18.7% 20.6%<br />

Advertising costs as % of sales<br />

FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Kodak 3.7% 3.8% 3.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8%<br />

Canon 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 2.4% 2.3%<br />

FujiFilm 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2%<br />

Nikon 8.5% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.1%<br />

R/D costs as % of sales<br />

FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Kodak 5.3% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9%<br />

Canon 9.1% 8.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 7.5%<br />

FujiFilm 7.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.8% 6.3% 6.1%<br />

Nikon 7.0% 6.1% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.9%<br />

Restructuring costs as % of sales<br />

FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Kodak 1.5% 5.3% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 0.8% 5.0%<br />

Canon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />

FujiFilm 0.0% 0.0% 3.4% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />

Nikon 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%<br />

Source: <strong>Company</strong> reports, Factset Fundamentals<br />

31


Exhibit 11 - Cash Conversion Cycle<br />

Days of Sales Outstanding (DSO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Eastman Kodak Co. 72 days 71 days 82 days 75 days 68 days 67 days 63 days 65 days 69 days<br />

Canon Inc. 63 days 62 days 64 days 62 days 63 days 62 days 61 days 59 days 59 days<br />

FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 77 days 80 days 77 days 77 days 75 days 77 days 75 days 77 days 85 days<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co. 73 days 72 days 70 days 72 days 74 days 78 days 70 days 60 days 61 days<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd. 115 days 120 days 114 days 117 days 120 days 105 days 86 days 90 days 93 days<br />

Sony Corp. 51 days 48 days 53 days 51 days 50 days 53 days 50 days 53 days 59 days<br />

Xerox Corp. 117 days 108 days 112 days 116 days 120 days 128 days 132 days 133 days 142 days<br />

Nikon Corp. 62 days 56 days 58 days 62 days 64 days 69 days 79 days 79 days 90 days<br />

Olympus Corp. 61 days 64 days 61 days 61 days 58 days 59 days 62 days 63 days 62 days<br />

Lexmark International Inc. 45 days 41 days 43 days 44 days 49 days 47 days 47 days 55 days 57 days<br />

Seiko Epson Corp. 56 days 51 days 54 days 59 days 58 days 57 days 54 days 62 days -<br />

Mean 72 days 70 days 72 days 72 days 73 days 73 days 71 days 72 days 78 days<br />

EK (+/-) 0 days 0 days 10 days 2 days -5 days -6 days -7 days -7 days -9 days<br />

Median 63 days 64 days 64 days 62 days 64 days 67 days 63 days 63 days 66 days<br />

EK (+/-) 10 days 6 days 17 days 12 days 4 days 0 days 0 days 2 days 3 days<br />

Days of Inventory on Hand (DIO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Eastman Kodak Co. 48 days 48 days 50 days 50 days 47 days 43 days 44 days 49 days 60 days<br />

Canon Inc. 94 days 92 days 92 days 89 days 95 days 100 days 103 days 104 days 106 days<br />

FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 89 days 95 days 87 days 87 days 87 days 87 days 85 days 88 days 93 days<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co. 37 days 32 days 36 days 38 days 38 days 39 days 40 days 48 days 59 days<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd. 54 days 57 days 53 days 53 days 55 days 54 days 52 days 57 days 64 days<br />

Sony Corp. 55 days 60 days 60 days 54 days 51 days 48 days 47 days 46 days 55 days<br />

Xerox Corp. 46 days 44 days 44 days 46 days 47 days 46 days 49 days 54 days 73 days<br />

Nikon Corp. 183 days 172 days 169 days 179 days 189 days 205 days 244 days 258 days 243 days<br />

Olympus Corp. 61 days 68 days 59 days 54 days 58 days 68 days 91 days 103 days 118 days<br />

Lexmark International Inc. 48 days 55 days 50 days 46 days 44 days 47 days 48 days 53 days 56 days<br />

Seiko Epson Corp. 64 days 71 days 66 days 66 days 59 days 60 days 61 days 68 days -<br />

Mean 71 days 72 days 70 days 69 days 70 days 73 days 79 days 84 days 92 days<br />

EK (+/-) -23 days -24 days -19 days -19 days -23 days -29 days -35 days -35 days -32 days<br />

Median 55 days 60 days 59 days 54 days 55 days 54 days 52 days 57 days 68 days<br />

EK (+/-) -7 days -12 days -9 days -3 days -8 days -10 days -9 days -8 days -8 days<br />

Days of Payables Outstanding (DPO) 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Eastman Kodak Co. 67 days 123 days 108 days 38 days 33 days 33 days 32 days 31 days 31 days<br />

Canon Inc. 86 days 79 days 84 days 85 days 92 days 91 days 94 days 90 days 90 days<br />

FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 74 days 68 days 73 days 72 days 75 days 84 days 81 days 74 days 71 days<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co. 55 days 52 days 55 days 58 days 53 days 56 days 55 days 47 days 48 days<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd. 105 days 95 days 103 days 107 days 111 days 109 days 104 days 103 days 107 days<br />

Sony Corp. 116 days 111 days 120 days 117 days 116 days 117 days 113 days 112 days 113 days<br />

Xerox Corp. 43 days 48 days 45 days 43 days 42 days 39 days 36 days 32 days 32 days<br />

Nikon Corp. 110 days 99 days 110 days 110 days 112 days 118 days 126 days 105 days 115 days<br />

Olympus Corp. 55 days 50 days 54 days 55 days 53 days 61 days 76 days 75 days 78 days<br />

Lexmark International Inc. 65 days 73 days 67 days 62 days 63 days 59 days 48 days 47 days 52 days<br />

Seiko Epson Corp. 44 days 39 days 43 days 44 days 44 days 50 days 47 days 47 days -<br />

Mean 75 days 76 days 78 days 72 days 72 days 74 days 74 days 69 days 74 days<br />

EK (+/-) -7 days 47 days 30 days -34 days -39 days -41 days -42 days -38 days -42 days<br />

Median 67 days 73 days 73 days 62 days 63 days 61 days 76 days 74 days 74 days<br />

EK (+/-) 0 days 50 days 35 days -24 days -30 days -28 days -45 days -43 days -43 days<br />

Cash Conversion Cycle 3 Yr Avg FY08 FY07 FY06 FY05 FY04 FY03 FY02 FY01<br />

Eastman Kodak Co. 53 days -5 days 24 days 87 days 81 days 77 days 75 days 83 days 98 days<br />

Canon Inc. 70 days 76 days 72 days 67 days 66 days 70 days 70 days 73 days 74 days<br />

FUJIFILM Holdings Corp. 91 days 107 days 91 days 92 days 87 days 80 days 79 days 91 days 107 days<br />

Hewlett-Packard Co. 55 days 52 days 52 days 51 days 59 days 61 days 55 days 61 days 73 days<br />

Ricoh Co. Ltd. 65 days 82 days 65 days 63 days 64 days 50 days 34 days 44 days 50 days<br />

32


Sony Corp. -11 days -4 days -7 days -12 days -14 days -16 days -17 days -14 days 1 days<br />

Xerox Corp. 119 days 103 days 112 days 119 days 125 days 135 days 145 days 155 days 183 days<br />

Nikon Corp. 135 days 129 days 117 days 132 days 141 days 156 days 197 days 231 days 218 days<br />

Olympus Corp. 68 days 83 days 66 days 60 days 63 days 65 days 77 days 90 days 102 days<br />

Lexmark International Inc. 28 days 23 days 26 days 28 days 30 days 35 days 47 days 61 days 61 days<br />

Seiko Epson Corp. 76 days 83 days 78 days 81 days 73 days 67 days 69 days 83 days<br />

Mean 68 days 66 days 63 days 70 days 70 days 71 days 76 days 87 days 97 days<br />

EK (+/-) -15 days -71 days -39 days 17 days 11 days 6 days 0 days -4 days 1 days<br />

Median 68 days 82 days 66 days 67 days 66 days 67 days 70 days 83 days 86 days<br />

EK (+/-) -15 days -86 days -42 days 20 days 15 days 10 days 5 days 0 days 12 days<br />

33


Exhibit 12 – EK Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />

EK Financial Statement projections - Continuing Operations<br />

(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />

Revenue $10,568.0 $10,301.0 $9,416.0 $7,434.2 $8,125.1 $8,133.3 $7,912.6 $7,622.6 $7,314.5 $7,001.6 $6,706.0 $6,430.5 $6,179.0<br />

COGS 7,825.0 7,628.0 7,275.0 6,037.3 6,221.7 6,128.4 5,964.2 5,725.9 5,470.4 5,207.4 4,953.4 4,709.9 4,479.6<br />

Gross Profit 2,743.0 2,673.0 2,141.0 1,396.8 1,903.4 2,005.0 1,948.4 1,896.7 1,844.1 1,794.2 1,752.6 1,720.6 1,699.4<br />

SG&A (excl. Advertising) 1,567.0 1,378.0 1,236.0 970.3 1,063.0 1,059.4 1,023.3 977.2 928.5 879.1 831.9 787.3 745.9<br />

Advertising 366.0 394.0 350.0 254.8 273.9 283.1 289.2 294.7 300.1 305.3 311.4 318.2 325.8<br />

R&D 578.0 549.0 501.0 364.0 395.2 400.7 397.9 392.5 386.7 380.6 375.4 371.3 368.4<br />

EBIT 232.0 352.0 54.0 (192.3) 171.3 261.8 238.0 232.3 228.9 229.1 233.9 243.8 259.4<br />

D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />

EBITDA 1,427.0 1,137.0 554.0 277.9 619.4 692.0 654.2 639.5 628.6 622.6 622.4 628.3 641.1<br />

NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) 191.4 290.4 44.6 (158.6) 141.3 216.0 196.4 191.6 188.8 189.0 193.0 201.1 214.0<br />

D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />

Restructuring (after tax) 618.8 547.0 122.9 133.4 121.9 116.7 114.2 113.0 112.4 112.1 112.0 111.9 111.9<br />

Cap-Ex 335.0 259.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0 254.0<br />

Free Cash Flow (excl dividends) $432.7 $269.4 $167.6 ($75.8) $213.5 $275.5 $244.3 $231.8 $222.1 $216.4 $215.5 $219.8 $229.8<br />

Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Gross Margin 26.0% 25.9% 22.7% 18.8% 23.4% 24.7% 24.6% 24.9% 25.2% 25.6% 26.1% 26.8% 27.5%<br />

SG&A margin 18.3% 17.2% 16.8% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.6% 16.7% 16.8% 16.9% 17.0% 17.2% 17.3%<br />

R&D margin 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.0%<br />

EBIT margin 2.2% 3.4% 0.6% -2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 4.2%<br />

EBITDA margin 11.3% 7.6% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.0% 6.2%<br />

Key Assumptions:<br />

* 2009 assumptions are based on results through Q3 2009 with a seasonality uptick for the fourth quarter.<br />

Key cash flow assumptions stated for segments below. Note that these are pro forma numbers and there might be immaterial differences with the aggregated<br />

segments due to slightly different treatment of ―Other‖ income and expense items.<br />

34


Exhibit 13 – CDG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />

Consumer Digital Imaging Group (CDG) - Continuing Operations<br />

(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />

Revenue 3,013.0 3,247.0 3,088.0 2,390.1 2,525.1 2,695.9 2,886.2 3,085.4 3,289.9 3,493.0 3,705.3 3,926.4 4,153.6<br />

COGS 2,491.2 2,419.0 2,495.0 2,007.7 2,020.1 2,048.8 2,193.5 2,322.7 2,452.2 2,576.9 2,704.4 2,834.0 2,963.3<br />

Gross Profit 521.8 828.0 593.0 382.4 505.0 647.0 692.7 762.7 837.7 916.0 1,000.9 1,092.4 1,190.3<br />

SG&A (excl. Advertising) 378.8 358.6 345.0 267.0 282.1 301.2 322.5 344.7 367.6 390.2 414.0 438.7 464.1<br />

Advertising 219.6 236.4 210.0 167.3 176.8 188.7 202.0 216.0 230.3 244.5 259.4 274.9 290.8<br />

R&D 281.0 250.0 215.0 166.4 175.8 187.7 200.9 214.8 229.1 243.2 258.0 273.4 289.2<br />

EBIT (357.6) (17.0) (177.0) (218.3) (129.7) (30.6) (32.8) (12.8) 10.8 38.1 69.6 105.5 146.3<br />

D&A 188.0 92.0 105.0 94.5 89.8 87.5 87.5 91.3 95.1 99.2 103.4 107.8 112.4<br />

EBITDA (169.6) 75.0 (72.0) (123.8) (39.9) 56.9 54.8 78.5 105.9 137.3 173.0 213.3 258.7<br />

NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) (295.1) (14.0) (146.0) (180.1) (107.0) (25.2) (27.0) (10.6) 8.9 31.4 57.4 87.1 120.7<br />

D&A 188.0 92.0 105.0 94.5 89.8 87.5 87.5 91.3 95.1 99.2 103.4 107.8 112.4<br />

Restructuring (after tax) 82.7 53.6 34.7 38.1 34.3 32.6 31.8 31.4 31.2 31.1 31.0 31.0 31.0<br />

Cap-Ex 102.0 94.0 96.0 100.1 104.3 108.8 113.4 118.2 123.3 128.5 134.0 139.7 145.6<br />

Free Cash Flow (291.7) (69.7) (171.7) (223.8) (155.8) (79.1) (84.7) (68.9) (50.4) (29.0) (4.2) 24.2 56.5<br />

Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Gross Margin 17.3% 25.5% 19.2% 16.0% 20.0% 24.0% 24.0% 24.7% 25.5% 26.2% 27.0% 27.8% 28.7%<br />

SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 19.9% 18.3% 18.0% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2%<br />

R&D margin 9.3% 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0%<br />

EBIT margin -11.9% -0.5% -5.7% -9.1% -5.1% -1.1% -1.1% -0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5%<br />

EBITDA margin -5.6% 2.3% -2.3% -5.2% -1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 6.2%<br />

Key Assumptions:<br />

Sales for CDG follow are 1.5x CBO GDP projections. (Congressional Budget Office)<br />

35


Exhibit 14 – FPEG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />

Film, Photofinishing and Entertainment Group (FPEG) - Continuing Operations<br />

(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />

Revenue 4,254.0 3,632.0 2,987.0 2,456.5 2,727.7 2,648.4 2,448.0 2,209.3 1,959.4 1,707.7 1,460.0 1,217.8 984.4<br />

COGS 2,853.8 2,771.0 2,335.0 1,965.2 2,100.3 2,039.3 1,884.9 1,701.2 1,508.7 1,314.9 1,124.2 937.7 758.0<br />

Gross Profit 1,400.2 861.0 652.0 491.3 627.4 609.1 563.0 508.1 450.7 392.8 335.8 280.1 226.4<br />

SG&A (excl. Advertising) 509.5 382.1 281.5 231.5 257.1 249.6 230.7 208.2 184.7 160.9 137.6 114.8 92.8<br />

Advertising 128.1 137.9 122.5 74.0 82.1 79.8 73.7 66.5 59.0 51.4 44.0 36.7 29.6<br />

R&D 33.0 60.0 52.0 42.8 47.5 46.1 42.6 38.5 34.1 29.7 25.4 21.2 17.1<br />

EBIT 729.6 281.0 196.0 143.1 240.7 233.7 216.0 194.9 172.9 150.7 128.8 107.5 86.9<br />

D&A 498.0 379.0 193.0 173.7 156.3 140.7 126.6 114.0 102.6 92.3 83.1 74.8 67.3<br />

EBITDA 1,227.6 660.0 389.0 316.8 397.0 374.4 342.6 308.9 275.5 243.0 211.9 182.2 154.2<br />

NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) 602.0 231.8 161.7 118.0 198.6 192.8 178.2 160.8 142.6 124.3 106.3 88.7 71.7<br />

D&A 1,195.0 785.0 500.0 470.2 448.1 430.2 416.2 407.2 399.7 393.5 388.5 384.6 381.7<br />

Restructuring (after tax) 70.0 45.4 29.7 32.7 29.4 27.9 27.2 26.9 26.7 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.6<br />

Cap-Ex 56.0 65.0 40.0 36.4 38.5 37.9 36.5 34.7 32.7 30.6 28.4 26.0 23.6<br />

FCF 974.0 500.5 285.0 222.6 287.0 267.7 241.1 213.2 185.7 159.4 134.4 110.8 88.8<br />

Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Gross Margin 32.9% 23.7% 21.8% 20.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0% 23.0%<br />

SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 15.0% 14.3% 13.5% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4%<br />

R&D margin 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%<br />

EBIT margin 17.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8%<br />

EBITDA margin 28.9% 18.2% 13.0% 12.9% 14.6% 14.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1% 14.2% 14.5% 15.0% 15.7%<br />

36


Exhibit 15 – GCG Pro Forma Financial Statements<br />

Graphic Communications Group (GCG) - Continuing Operations<br />

(Fiscal year ends 12/31) 2006 2007 2008 2009E* 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E<br />

Revenue 3,287.0 3,413.0 3,334.0 2,580.5 2,865.3 2,782.1 2,571.5 2,320.8 2,058.3 1,793.9 1,533.7 1,279.3 1,034.0<br />

COGS 2,480.0 2,438.0 2,445.0 2,064.4 2,101.3 2,040.2 1,885.8 1,702.0 1,509.4 1,315.6 1,124.7 938.2 758.3<br />

Gross Profit 807.0 975.0 889.0 516.1 764.0 741.8 685.7 618.8 548.8 478.3 409.0 341.1 275.7<br />

SG&A (excl. Advertising) 678.7 637.3 609.5 471.8 523.8 508.6 470.1 424.3 376.3 327.9 280.4 233.9 189.0<br />

Advertising 18.3 19.7 17.5 13.5 15.0 14.6 13.5 12.2 10.8 9.4 8.1 6.7 5.4<br />

R&D 200.0 214.0 231.0 154.8 171.9 166.9 154.3 139.2 123.5 107.6 92.0 76.8 62.0<br />

EBIT (90.0) 104.0 31.0 (124.0) 53.2 51.7 47.8 43.1 38.3 33.3 28.5 23.8 19.2<br />

D&A 221.0 195.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0<br />

EBITDA 131.0 299.0 224.0 69.0 246.2 244.7 240.8 236.1 231.3 226.3 221.5 216.8 212.2<br />

NOPAT (EBIT * (1-tax)) (74.3) 85.8 25.6 (102.3) 43.9 42.7 39.4 35.6 31.6 27.5 23.5 19.6 15.9<br />

D&A 221.0 195.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0 193.0<br />

Restructuring (after tax) 31.4 47.9 40.4 44.5 40.0 38.0 37.1 36.6 36.4 36.3 36.2 36.2 36.2<br />

Cap-Ex 142.0 98.0 118.0 104.7 104.7 104.7 100.7 95.8 90.4 84.6 78.4 71.9 65.0<br />

FCF (26.6) 135.0 60.2 (58.5) 92.2 93.0 94.7 96.2 97.8 99.7 101.9 104.5 107.7<br />

Margin <strong>Analysis</strong><br />

Gross Margin 24.6% 28.6% 26.7% 20.0% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7% 26.7%<br />

SG&A margin (incl. Advertising) 21.2% 19.2% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8% 18.8%<br />

R&D margin 6.1% 6.3% 6.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0%<br />

EBIT margin -2.7% 3.0% 0.9% -4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%<br />

EBITDA margin 4.0% 8.8% 6.7% 2.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 11.2% 12.6% 14.4% 16.9% 20.5%<br />

37


Exhibit 16 – Segment Valuations and Key Assumptions<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Segment CDG FPEG GCG Combined<br />

Long-term growth rate 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 1.50%<br />

Grows slightly less than overall Traditional business slowly being There will always be a need for Weighted average based<br />

economy. Reflects transition to digital replaced by digital filming<br />

commercial printing, but the business on current assets.<br />

products and increased adoption of techniques. Kodak is involved in these should grow at a slower rate than the<br />

cell phones as primary cameras. business lines because they make overall economy, which we are<br />

Reasoning<br />

sensors for cameras, but long-term we<br />

do not believe there will be any<br />

growth in this business.<br />

assuming to grow at a long-term rate<br />

of 3%<br />

Total Shares Outstanding for EK 268.19 268.19 268.19 268.19<br />

Scenario 1 - No restructuring, gross debt<br />

WACC (levered) 15.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.5%<br />

Value (148.0) 1,508.1 952.2 2,312.3<br />

Value per Share ($0.55) $5.62 $3.55 $8.62<br />

Scenario 2 - No restructuring, net debt<br />

WACC (levered) 17.7% 14.0% 14.4% 15.1%<br />

Value (149.9) 1,392.4 847.7 2,090.2<br />

Value per Share ($0.56) $5.19 $3.16 $7.79<br />

Scenario 3 - Restructuring, gross debt<br />

WACC (levered) 15.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.5%<br />

Value (324.9) 1,265.9 649.2 1,590.2<br />

Value per Share ($1.21) $4.72 $2.42 $5.93<br />

Scenario 4 - Restructuring, net debt<br />

WACC (levered) 17.7% 14.0% 14.4% 15.1%<br />

Value (312.5) 1,167.3 571.7 1,426.5<br />

Value per Share ($1.17) $4.35 $2.13 $5.32<br />

A5 stock valuation<br />

Scenario 5 - Management Guidance WACC<br />

WACC (levered) 23.0% 18.2% 18.7% 19.6%<br />

Value (293.8) 959.2 423.0 1,088.4<br />

Value per Share ($1.10) $3.58 $1.58 $4.06<br />

38


Exhibit 17 – Regression <strong>Analysis</strong> of Traditional Sales Lines<br />

We performed a regression analysis of Kodak using data on magazine and newspaper circulation, internet users, and GDP. We were not able to generate any<br />

meaningful regression results by looking at individual segments because of Kodak‘s continuous reorganizations. The data sets were chosen because they show<br />

clear trends that can be projected forward and relate directly to Kodak‘s customers, except for internet users, which we picked as a general proxy for the transition<br />

from traditional imaging and media to digital. People do not buy printers and digital cameras unless they have a computer.<br />

Millions<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010<br />

(Magazine Publishers of America)<br />

Magazines<br />

Year<br />

Subscription<br />

Single Copy<br />

Total<br />

39


70,000<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

(Newspaper Association of America)<br />

920<br />

918<br />

916<br />

914<br />

912<br />

910<br />

908<br />

906<br />

904<br />

902<br />

900<br />

U.S. Newspaper Circulation (000's)<br />

1990 1995 2000 2005<br />

(Newspaper Association of America)<br />

Total Newspapers<br />

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />

40


Millions<br />

1800.0<br />

1600.0<br />

1400.0<br />

1200.0<br />

1000.0<br />

800.0<br />

600.0<br />

400.0<br />

200.0<br />

0.0<br />

(Miniwatts Marketing Group)<br />

The regression output shows that Newspapers, Circulation, and the natural log of Internet users are all significant predictors of Kodak‘s consolidated revenues.<br />

Sales should roughly follow the following equation:<br />

113566.3 - 159.535 *(Newspapers) + 666.5 *(Circulation) + 977.8 *LN(Internet_Users)<br />

We used this along with simple projections based on newspaper circulation and internet user data to predict revenues going forward.<br />

SUMMARY<br />

OUTPUT<br />

Internet Users<br />

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />

Regression Statistics<br />

Multiple R 0.93<br />

R Square 0.86<br />

Adjusted R Square 0.83<br />

Standard Error 913.95<br />

Observations 19<br />

Year<br />

41


ANOVA<br />

df SS MS F Significance F<br />

Regression 3 74772215.47 24924071.82 29.83807635 1.43957E-06<br />

Residual 15 12529664.21 835310.9475<br />

Total 18 87301879.68<br />

Coefficients<br />

Standard<br />

Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%<br />

Intercept 113,566.3 26,499.0 4.2857 0.0007 57,085.1 170,047.5 57,085.1 170,047.5<br />

Newspapers -159.5 32.7 -4.8780 0.0002 -229.2 -89.8 -229.2 -89.8<br />

Circulation 666.5 97.1 6.8663 0.0000 459.6 873.4 459.6 873.4<br />

LN(Internet users) 977.8 231.8 4.2180 0.0007 483.7 1,471.9 483.7 1,471.9<br />

42


Exhibit 18 – Sensitivity <strong>Analysis</strong> of Stock Price<br />

We performed multiple sensitivity analyses to give an idea of what the company is worth under different assumptions. The first one looks at the WACC sensitivity<br />

with and without estimated restructuring charges reflected in free cash flows. Diluted Values reflect complete conversion of KKR warrants and convertible debt<br />

even though effective strike prices are $5.50 and $7.41, respectively.<br />

With Restructuring Charges<br />

WACC 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />

Stock Value $6.06 $5.69 $5.34 $5.03 $4.73 $4.46 $4.20 $3.97 $3.74 $3.54 $3.35<br />

Diluted Value $4.54 $4.27 $4.01 $3.77 $3.55 $3.34 $3.15 $2.97 $2.81 $2.65 $2.51<br />

WACC using gross debt<br />

(not conservative)<br />

Without Restructuring Charges<br />

WACC 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />

Stock Value $8.81 $8.30 $7.83 $7.39 $6.99 $6.61 $6.26 $5.94 $5.64 $5.35 $5.09<br />

Diluted Value $6.61 $6.23 $5.87 $5.54 $5.24 $4.96 $4.70 $4.45 $4.23 $4.01 $3.82<br />

This second sensitivity analysis looks at the weighted-average terminal growth rate of the three business segments vs. the company WACC.<br />

WACC<br />

$5.32 13% 14.0% 15.0% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 19.0% 20.0% 21.0% 22.0% 23.0%<br />

Growth 0.50% $5.88 $5.52 $5.19 $4.89 $4.60 $4.34 $4.09 $3.86 $3.65 $3.45 $3.27<br />

1.00% $5.96 $5.60 $5.26 $4.95 $4.66 $4.39 $4.14 $3.91 $3.70 $3.49 $3.30<br />

1.50% $6.06 $5.69 $5.34 $5.03 $4.73 $4.46 $4.20 $3.96 $3.74 $3.54 $3.35<br />

2.00% $6.17 $5.79<br />

$5.43<br />

$5.11 $4.81<br />

$4.53 $4.27<br />

$4.02 $3.80 $3.59 $3.39<br />

2.50% $6.29 $5.90 $5.54 $5.20 $4.90 $4.61 $4.34 $4.09 $3.86 $3.65 $3.45<br />

3.00% $6.43 $6.03 $5.66 $5.31 $5.00 $4.70 $4.43 $4.17 $3.93 $3.71 $3.51<br />

3.50% $6.60 $6.18 $5.80 $5.44 $5.11 $4.81 $4.53<br />

$4.26<br />

$4.02 $3.79 $3.58<br />

4.00% $6.80 $6.36 $5.96 $5.60 $5.25 $4.94 $4.64 $4.37 $4.12 $3.88 $3.66<br />

A5 Valuation<br />

WACC using net debt<br />

(A5’s choice)<br />

WACC using management<br />

guidance<br />

Current Stock Price $4.40 (12/11/09)<br />

43


Exhibit 19 – Cash Benefit of Financing Transactions<br />

Kodak cost of debt 13.85%<br />

Private Placement of Convertible Debt<br />

Face Value<br />

Discount<br />

Coupon<br />

Principle Accrual<br />

Due Date<br />

KKR Debt w/ Warrants<br />

Face Value<br />

KKR Fee from EK<br />

Discount<br />

Coupon<br />

Principle Accrual<br />

Due Date<br />

Year<br />

KKR transaction<br />

Interest<br />

Interest payments at cost of debt<br />

$ Saved<br />

PV<br />

NPV of Savings 53.8<br />

PP of Convertible Debt<br />

Interest<br />

Interest payments at cost of debt<br />

$ Saved<br />

PV<br />

NPV of Savings 127.7<br />

Cash payments saved<br />

Combined NPV 181.5<br />

$400.0<br />

0%<br />

7%<br />

0.00%<br />

2017<br />

$300.0<br />

$15.0<br />

4%<br />

10%<br />

0.50%<br />

2017<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0<br />

41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5 41.5<br />

11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5 11.5<br />

10.1 8.9 7.8 6.9 6.0 5.3 4.7 4.1<br />

28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0 28.0<br />

55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4 55.4<br />

27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4 27.4<br />

24.1 21.1 18.6 16.3 14.3 12.6 11.0 9.7<br />

38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9 38.9<br />

44


Works Cited<br />

Bureau of Economic <strong>Analysis</strong>. (n.d.). National Economic Accounts. Retrieved November 30, 2009, from bea.gov:<br />

http://www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp<br />

Butcher, D. (2009, June 3). Retrieved December 12, 2009, from Mobile Marketer:<br />

http://www.mobilemarketer.com/cms/news/advertising/3393.html<br />

Charlene Li., J. B. (2008). Talking with the Groundswell. In J. B. Charlene Li., Groundswell. Boston, MA: Harvard<br />

<strong>Business</strong> School Publishing Corporation.<br />

Congressional Budget Office. (n.d.). Appendix A - CBO's Economic Projections for 2009 to 2019. Retrieved November<br />

30, 2009, from cbo.gov: http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/100xx/doc10014/AppendixA.7.2.shtml<br />

Consumers Union of U.S., I. (2009). Retrieved December 12, 2009, from ConsumerReports.org:<br />

http://www.consumerreports.org<br />

Dobbin, B. (2009, January 29). Retrieved December 12, 2009, from The Huffington Post:<br />

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/01/29/kodak-to-slash-up-to-4500_n_162133.html<br />

Eastman Kodak. (2009, February 27). Filings and Annual Reports. Retrieved October 6, 2009, from Capital IQ:<br />

https://www.capitaliq.com<br />

Facebook. (2009). Facebook. Retrieved December 12, 2009, from http://www.facebook.com<br />

FactSet Research Systems. (2009). FactSet Fundamentals 2009.4A.<br />

Google. (n.d.). Eastman Kodak <strong>Company</strong> Financials. Retrieved November 3, 2009, from Google Finance:<br />

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:EK&fstype=ii<br />

Kavajecz, K. (2009). Module 5, Risk, Returns and the Capital Asset Pricing Model. Madison, WI.<br />

Kodak, E. (2009, December). About Kodak. Retrieved October 20, 2009, from Kodak.com: www.kodak.com<br />

Magazine Publishers of America. (n.d.). Retrieved November 30, 2009, from magazine.org:<br />

http://www.magazine.org/consumer_marketing/circ_trends/1318.aspx<br />

Miniwatts Marketing Group. (n.d.). Internet World Stats. Retrieved November 30, 2009, from Internet Growth Statistics:<br />

http://www.internetworldstats.com/emarketing.htm<br />

Newspaper Association of America. (n.d.). Total Paid Circulation. Retrieved November 30, 2009, from Newspaper<br />

Association of America: http://www.naa.org/TrendsandNumbers/Total-Paid-Circulation.aspx

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