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SPECIAL EARTH DAY DOUBLE ISSUE - AutoWeek

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commodity. The first one<br />

might have been the original<br />

Beetle, at least in some corners.<br />

The first Rabbit GTi fit<br />

the mold, as do the more recently<br />

introduced New Beetle<br />

and PT Cruiser. All appealed<br />

to some beyond their smallcar<br />

utility. Toyota’s Prius, for<br />

example, probably appeals for<br />

the image it creates as much<br />

as for its hybrid technology.<br />

The current king of image<br />

compacts, at least among<br />

enthusiasts, is the Mini.<br />

Buyers care less that these<br />

cars are inexpensive or economical<br />

to operate and more<br />

that they want the car.<br />

“The Mini has shown you<br />

can give little cars a premium<br />

brand,” says Jim Hall, managing<br />

partner at the industry<br />

analysis firm 2953 Analytics.<br />

“B-cars will have to build a<br />

similar impact on a broader<br />

scale if sales are going to grow<br />

here substantially. They’ll<br />

need a tremendous amount of<br />

character, either through dynamics<br />

or styling. Buyers expect<br />

a payback beyond good<br />

mileage or the entry price.”<br />

Ford’s marketing boss contends<br />

that the Fiesta is there.<br />

“The feedback from [the<br />

Detroit show] was overwhelmingly<br />

good—the look,<br />

the craftsmanship inside,”<br />

Felice says. “Everything<br />

seemed to strike a positive<br />

chord, and we know what this<br />

car does dynamically. We see<br />

Fiesta as a vehicle to aspire to,<br />

rather than a vehicle people<br />

have to buy for the fuel economy<br />

or the price.”<br />

Of course, the unidentified<br />

element behind this could-be<br />

wave of little cars is new<br />

CAFE legislation. A bill<br />

signed by President Bush in<br />

December 2007 raises a manufacturer’s<br />

fleet average at<br />

least 40 percent by 2020, to 35<br />

mpg. It also gives the federal<br />

bureaucracy more teeth to<br />

enforce—and raise—the standard<br />

without legislative intervention.<br />

While car companies<br />

still will be able to buy their<br />

way out with a gas-guzzler tax,<br />

that will be more difficult than<br />

it has been in the last three<br />

decades. Those companies<br />

will have to demonstrate that<br />

they made a genuine effort to<br />

meet the standard and failed.<br />

The new CAFE is anything<br />

but a slam-dunk. And for all<br />

the talk of plug-in hybrids,<br />

E85 and other alternative<br />

fuels, petroleum will remain<br />

the backbone of personal<br />

transportation at least<br />

through 2020. No carmaker<br />

wants to be forced to manage<br />

its mix or to try to manipulate<br />

the market based on its production<br />

capacity or to raise<br />

the price of less fuel-efficient<br />

vehicles to the point where no<br />

one buys them.<br />

Which brings us back to<br />

B-cars. As auto companies<br />

ponder their prospects under<br />

new U.S. CAFE rules (sweating<br />

at least a little), how can<br />

they overlook an option that’s<br />

well developed and in demand<br />

just about everywhere else in<br />

the world?<br />

To that end, and our bene-<br />

fit, carmakers will sweeten<br />

the pot, with more vehicles<br />

based on a B-class footprint<br />

that add interior volume, performance<br />

and appeal. Beyond<br />

the new, stretched Mini<br />

Clubman, BMW is developing<br />

a Mini-based crossover in the<br />

mold of its X3. Volkswagen<br />

America CEO Stefan Jacoby<br />

says his company is considering<br />

a range of B-class VWs for<br />

North America, starting at<br />

about $13,000 dollars and<br />

powered by a turbocharged<br />

1.4-liter four.<br />

Even smaller A-class cars<br />

can’t be far behind. The Smart<br />

car is here, and GM has raised<br />

the prospect of an A-car for<br />

the United States based on its<br />

Beat concept.<br />

Moving up from the small<br />

end, analysts expect B-carsized,<br />

direct-injected turbo<br />

engines (1.2 to 1.4 liters) in<br />

larger cars such as the Civic,<br />

the Cobalt and the Saturn<br />

Astra. Those at the Detroit<br />

show saw Audi’s dieselpowered<br />

R8 supercar and<br />

heard executives talking<br />

about full-size, four-cylinder<br />

pickups and SUVs.<br />

Enthusiasts may bemoan<br />

the politics of CAFE or the<br />

effect the environmental<br />

movement has on their<br />

lifestyle, but the prospects<br />

are interesting. And remembering<br />

that the original Fiesta<br />

lasted only three model years<br />

in the States, we can be sure<br />

that many of these prospects<br />

will fail.<br />

“The possibilities are<br />

fascinating,” says analyst<br />

Hall. “We are heading into<br />

the decade of big changes,<br />

big introductions and big<br />

mistakes.” c<br />

IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII<br />

OTHER<br />

B-LIEVERS<br />

The Mini, the Aveo and the Fit<br />

(along with the Toyota Yaris, the<br />

Kia Rio and the Nissan Versa) saw<br />

sales rise 30 percent in 2007.<br />

> MINI COOPER > CHEVY AVEO > HONDA FIT<br />

APRIL 21, 2008 AUTOWEEK 23

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