Underwater mortgages and mortgage default risk in a recourse market

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Dutch Housing Market Maximum loan amount and proportion of guarantees Schilder & Francke (UvA/ASRE/Ortec) Underwater mortgages/mortgage default risk ERES 2012 8 / 36
Dutch Housing Market House Price Index and Number of Sales 0.25 0.00 log Real House Price Index −0.25 −0.50 −0.75 25000 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Number of Sales 20000 15000 10000 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Schilder & Francke (UvA/ASRE/Ortec) Underwater mortgages/mortgage default risk ERES 2012 9 / 36
Page 1 and 2: Underwater mortgages and mortgage d
Page 3 and 4: Dutch Housing Market Mortgage debt
Page 5 and 6: High leverage Dutch Housing Market
Page 7: Dutch Housing Market National Mortg
Page 11 and 12: Literature Real Estate Literature o
Page 13 and 14: Data and models (2) Data and Models
Page 15 and 16: Data and Models Guarantees and acce
Page 17 and 18: Results determinants households bei
Page 19 and 20: Results determinants households bei
Page 21 and 22: Results default probability: durati
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Page 27 and 28: ddddl ddddl ddl ddl dl Schilder & F
Page 29 and 30: edl dddl ddl Schilder & Francke
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Page 33 and 34: ddddl ddddl dl dl dl Schilder & Fra

Underwater mortgages and mortgage default risk in a recourse market

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