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HEALTHCARE<br />

S I N G A P O R E<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>:<br />

<strong>Room</strong> <strong>For</strong> <strong>Growth</strong><br />

October 2007


Contents<br />

Executive Summary ......................................................................... 1<br />

Investment Highlights<br />

– <strong>Room</strong> from <strong>Growth</strong> at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital ....................................... 2<br />

– Leveraging on Extensive Network to Dominate<br />

Corporate Market ......................................................................... 5<br />

– Prime Beneficiary of Liberalisation of Medisave ......................... 7<br />

Valuation .......................................................................................... 8<br />

Financials .......................................................................................... 9<br />

Company Background ................................................................... 12<br />

Risk Factors .................................................................................... 15<br />

Financial Statements ...................................................................... 16<br />

Appendix: Medisave Withdrawal Limits........................................ 19


23 October 2007<br />

Initiate Coverage<br />

R AFFLES MEDICAL GROUP<br />

<strong>Room</strong> <strong>For</strong> <strong>Growth</strong><br />

BUY<br />

Current Price : S$1.42<br />

Target (12-mth): S$2.05<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> (RMG) is an integrated private healthcare provider. It operates<br />

a network of 60 family medicine clinics in Singapore and four clinics in Hong Kong.<br />

RMG's flagship <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital commenced operations in Mar 01 and offers services<br />

across 35 medical disciplines organised into 10 specialist clinics. The hospital delivers<br />

integrated and coordinated medical care through its unique <strong>Group</strong> Practice Model.<br />

<strong>Room</strong> for growth at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital has stepped up the pace of<br />

expansion adding 25 beds in 1H07 and making plans to add another 25 beds in 2H07<br />

to bring the total to 200 beds. The recruitment of more specialists has increased<br />

revenue intensity at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. Volume of international patients has also<br />

expanded due to the regional economic recovery. The higher throughput of patients<br />

will provide economies of scale, improved operating efficiency and better margins.<br />

Leveraging on extensive network to dominate corporate market. RMG operates the<br />

largest network of 60 family medicine clinics in Singapore. It leverages on this extensive<br />

network to build up a base of 5,000 corporate clients. Notable contracts include an<br />

eight-year S$84.5m contract awarded by the Ministry of Home Affairs for general,<br />

medical, dental, specialist outpatient and psychiatric rehabilitation services. Corporate<br />

clients account for 65% of patient volume at its chain of clinics and 35% of patient<br />

volume at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital.<br />

Prime beneficiary of liberalisation of Medisave. Usage of Medisave has been extended<br />

to treatment of chronic diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, high cholesterol<br />

level and stroke at the outpatient level. The Ministry of Health estimated that S$250m<br />

would be withdrawn annually for these outpatient treatments. The daily withdrawal<br />

limit for Medisave claims has also been increased from S$400 to S$450 for<br />

hospitalisation and from S$200 to S$300 for approved day surgeries.<br />

Initiate coverage with BUY. We like RMG for the growth momentum at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital.<br />

Our target price is S$2.05 based on our three-stage discounted cash flow model.<br />

Sector<br />

Healthcare<br />

Bloomberg<br />

RFMD SP<br />

Website www.rafflesmedical.com<br />

Exchange Rate<br />

S$1.463/US$<br />

52-Wk Range (S$) 1.61/0.823<br />

52-Wk Avg Daily Vol. ('000) 485<br />

No. of Shares (m) 515.0<br />

Market Cap (S$m) 731.3<br />

(US$m) 499.8<br />

Major Shareholders (%)<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> Hldgs P/L 40.2<br />

Dr Loo Choon Yong 10.2<br />

Book NTA per Share (S$) 0.37<br />

ROE (%) 14.3<br />

Net Cash per Share (S$) 0.22<br />

Alternative Instruments<br />

Nil<br />

Results Due<br />

1Q: Apr 1H: Jul<br />

3Q: Oct Final: Feb<br />

(S$)<br />

2.00<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>/STI (RHS)<br />

1.50<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong><br />

1.00<br />

0.50<br />

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct<br />

1.2<br />

1.1<br />

1.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

Market PE - STI (x)<br />

2006 16.2<br />

2007F 18.6<br />

Analyst:<br />

Jonathan Koh, CFA<br />

(65) 6539 1026<br />

jonathankoh@uobkayhian.com<br />

Net EPS EV/<br />

Year to Turnover EBITDA Profit EPS <strong>Growth</strong> PE EBITDA DPS*<br />

31 Dec (S$m) (S$m) (S$m) (¢) (%) (x) (x) (¢)<br />

2005 112.9 16.6 12.0 2.7 23.9 51.9 42.2 1.4<br />

2006 134.2 22.6 15.7 3.5 27.9 40.6 30.6 2.3<br />

2007F# 167.0 29.5 30.6 5.9 69.9 23.9 25.9 3.0<br />

2008F 209.3 39.7 27.4 5.3 (10.4) 26.6 18.9 3.5<br />

2009F 230.3 43.5 30.9 6.0 12.6 23.7 17.0 4.0<br />

Consensus net profit -- FY05: S$29.2m # 2007F earnings include fair value gain of S$12.5m from a 50% stake in CapitaLand-<strong>Raffles</strong> Properties.<br />

-- FY06: S$31.1m * Excludes special dividend of 1.36¢ for 2005 and 2006<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 1


Investment Highlights<br />

ROOM FOR GROWTH AT RAFFLES HOSPITAL<br />

The flagship <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital is a tertiary hospital with licence for 380 beds, 12<br />

operating theatres, six delivery rooms, a 20-bed intensive care unit, a 24-hour<br />

walk-in clinic and accident & emergency department. The hospital commenced<br />

operations on 31 Mar 01 with the transfer of seven patients from <strong>Raffles</strong><br />

SurgiCentre at Clemenceau Avenue. It broke even in 2002 within two years<br />

after opening. Revenue contribution from <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital has since expanded<br />

at a CAGR of 22.4% over the past five years.<br />

Building scale at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital grew marginally from 100<br />

beds in Mar 02 to 150 beds in Dec 06. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital has stepped up the pace<br />

of expansion with an additional 25 beds in 1H07. Management plans to add<br />

another 25 beds in 2H07, bringing the total to 200 beds. The recruitment of<br />

more specialists has increased revenue intensity at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. Volume of<br />

international patients has also expanded due to the regional economic recovery.<br />

The higher throughput of patients will provide economies of scale, improved<br />

operating efficiency and better margins.<br />

Positive impact from operating<br />

leverage.<br />

Figure 1: <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital<br />

Source: RMG<br />

2 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Figure 2: Revenue Contribution From Hospital Services<br />

(S$m)<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

CAGR: 22.4%<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

Source: RMG<br />

Building up revenue intensity. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital offers services across 35 medical<br />

disciplines organised into 10 specialist clinics. It aims to increase revenue intensity<br />

by handling more complex procedures such as renal transplants, cancer<br />

treatments and heart surgeries. The hospital has recruited more skilled<br />

specialists in areas such as gastroenterology, endocrinology, development<br />

paediatrics, ophthalmology and obstetrics & gynaecology so as to increase revenue<br />

intensity.<br />

New hiring boosts revenue<br />

intensity.<br />

Key revenue contributors at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital are <strong>Raffles</strong> Women's Centre, <strong>Raffles</strong><br />

Internal Medicine Centre, <strong>Raffles</strong> Cancer Centre and <strong>Raffles</strong> Heart Centre:<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> Women's Centre has a team of 10 specialists, making it the largest<br />

obstetrics & gynaecology practice in Singapore. It offers a comprehensive range<br />

of obstetrics & gynaecology services including foetal screening services, highrisk<br />

pregnancy management and treatments for fertility such as super-ovulation<br />

& intrauterine insemination, in-vitro fertilisation and intra cytoplasmic sperm<br />

injection. The centre has set up four outreach clinics with fertility services to<br />

help the growing number of patients requiring assistance for conception.<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> Internal Medicine Centre offers prevention, diagnosis and treatment<br />

for a wide range of medical sub-specialties. The centre has recruited more<br />

specialists to support higher patient throughput. It has also strengthened the<br />

gastroenterology department to offer advanced gastro-intestinal and hepatology<br />

(liver, gall bladder and bile duct) procedures.<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> Cancer Centre is affiliated to New York-based Memorial Sloan-Kettering<br />

Cancer Centre, a renowned cancer research centre. The centre provides cancer<br />

screening, diagnosis, radiotherapy and other treatment services. The centre<br />

has developed genetic screening programmes, genetic counselling and genetic<br />

risk screening packages.<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 3


<strong>Raffles</strong> Heart Centre has expanded with the recruitment of more interventional<br />

cardiologists. The centre is seeing an increase in cases for angioplasty & stent<br />

implantation and coronary artery bypass grafting. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital has also<br />

acquired a 64-slice Computed Tomography (CT) Scanner for ultra fast imaging<br />

for heart and coronary arteries.<br />

Building up volume of international patients. International patients from core<br />

markets such as Indonesia and Malaysia have increased due to economic recovery<br />

in the region. There were contributions from new markets such as Vietnam,<br />

Bangladesh, Myanmar, India, Mongolia and Russia. International patients from<br />

Vietnam and Russia are the fastest-growing segments. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital aims to<br />

attract middle-class patients from across Asia. 35% of hospital patients are<br />

foreigners from over 100 countries. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital targets to increase<br />

international patients to 50% of patient volume in two years.<br />

International patients boost<br />

revenue intensity.<br />

Figure 3: International Patients Inflow to Singapore<br />

('000)<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

CAGR: 17.7%<br />

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

Source: Ministry of Health, Frost & Sullivan<br />

Planning overseas expansion in China and Middle East. RMG plans to expand<br />

regionally beyond Singapore. It will explore opportunities for co-ownership of<br />

regional hospitals and medical centres at key cities in China such as Shanghai<br />

and Beijing. It also plans to develop healthcare consultancy and management<br />

services in the Middle East. Overseas expansion is targetted at well-heeled<br />

international patients who can afford quality healthcare. Overseas facilities<br />

provide a growing stream of referrals for <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital and are channels for<br />

follow-up consultations.<br />

Exploring opportunities in<br />

China.<br />

4 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


LEVERAGING ON EXTENSIVE NETWORK TO DOMINATE CORPORATE<br />

MARKET<br />

RMG is a managed healthcare provider. It enters into contracts with corporate<br />

clients to provide primary, specialist and hospitalisation care for their employees<br />

at pre-agreed rates based on headcount. Corporate clients outsource their<br />

staff healthcare needs to RMG, which controls healthcare cost and handles all<br />

related administrative work.<br />

Significant player in corporate market. RMG has the largest network of 60<br />

family medicine clinics in Singapore. The company has leveraged on its<br />

extensive network to build a base of 5,000 corporate clients. They include<br />

Singapore Power, Singapore Airlines, DBS Bank, CapitaLand, Seagate and<br />

KPMG. Corporate clients account for 65% of patient volume at its chain of<br />

clinics and 35% of patient volume at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. The clinics also provide<br />

a recurrent source of referrals for <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital.<br />

Corporate clients provide<br />

recurrent revenue and stable<br />

growth.<br />

Notable contracts include an eight-year S$84.5m contract awarded by the<br />

Ministry of Home Affairs for the provision of general, medical, dental, specialist<br />

outpatient and psychiatric rehabilitation services. The contract covers several<br />

departments within the Ministry of Home Affairs, including Singapore Prison<br />

Service, Singapore Police <strong>For</strong>ce and Central Narcotics Bureau. The contract<br />

to provide medical services at Changi International Airport has been renewed<br />

for another five years. Existing medical centres are located at the two terminals<br />

and cargo complex. A new medical centre will be added at Terminal 3 to<br />

provide general practice, health screening, obstetrics & gynaecology and<br />

aesthetics services.<br />

Figure 4: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> Clinics<br />

Source: RMG<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 5


Figure 5: Revenue Contribution From Healthcare Services<br />

(S$m)<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

CAGR: 2.4%<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

Source: RMG<br />

Strengthening network of clinics. RMG has upgraded some existing clinics into<br />

integrated medical centres offering comprehensive services, including specialist<br />

treatments such as aesthetics, paediatrics and gynaecology, health screening<br />

services, laboratory services, x-ray and other diagnostic tests. To date, there are<br />

six integrated medical centres located at OUB Centre, Changi International<br />

Airport, Tampines Junction, Compass Point, Jurong East and Causeway Point.<br />

Expanding scope of services at<br />

integrated medical centres.<br />

In Apr 06, RMG launched a traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) clinic housed<br />

within <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. The clinic has since expanded into a two-unit centre<br />

and offers acupuncture and acupressure treatments. The TCM clinic works<br />

closely with specialist centres to provide complementary treatment for back<br />

pain, infertility, asthma, migraine and cancer.<br />

6 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


PRIME BENEFICIARY OF LIBERALISATION OF MEDISAVE<br />

Benefitting from changes in government policy. The daily withdrawal limit for<br />

Medisave claims was revised up from S$400 to S$450 for hospitalisation and<br />

from S$200 to S$300 for approved day surgeries with effect from 1 May 07<br />

(Appendix). Usage of Medisave will also be allowed for diagnostic scans such as<br />

magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and CT scans, if they form parts of outpatient<br />

cancer treatment. This will take effect before end-07. Currently, usage of<br />

Medisave is only allowed for payment of inpatient diagnostic scans.<br />

The usage of Medisave is now extended to treatment of chronic diseases. Usage<br />

of Medisave was extended to diabetes with effect from 1 Oct 06 and to<br />

hypertension, high cholesterol level and stroke with effect from 1 Jan 07. These<br />

changes enable more patients to seek private healthcare. The Ministry of Health<br />

has estimated that S$250m would be withdrawn annually for these outpatient<br />

treatments.<br />

S$250m to be withdrawn p.a.<br />

for outpatient treatment of<br />

chronic diseases.<br />

RMG is well positioned to benefit from the change in government policy as it<br />

has the largest network of family medicine clinics in Singapore. It has<br />

strengthened its network of clinics to handle chronic illnesses at the outpatient<br />

level.<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 7


Valuation<br />

RMG trades at 2007 PE of 20.2x (33.8x if we exclude fair value gain of S$12.5m<br />

from a 50% stake in CapitaLand-<strong>Raffles</strong> Properties) and 2008 PE of 26.6x.<br />

Healthcare providers in the region trade at an average prospective PE of 24.4x.<br />

The rich valuation reflects quality of earnings and solid growth prospects for<br />

the healthcare industry in Asia.<br />

Rich valuation reflects high<br />

quality earnings.<br />

Target price based on DCF. Our target price for RMG is S$2.05 based on our<br />

three-stage discounted cash flow (DCF) model. Our assumptions are as follows:<br />

a) risk free rate at 2.8%,<br />

b) beta of 0.8x,<br />

c) equity risk premium at 7%,<br />

d) WACC of 8.4%, and<br />

e) terminal growth of 3%.<br />

Figure 6: Valuation – Healthcare<br />

Company Name Mkt Cap Rec Price @ Target PE (x) P/B ROE Div Yield<br />

(US$m) 22 Oct 07 Hist. Current <strong>For</strong>ward (x) (%) (%)<br />

Singapore<br />

Pacific Healthcare 83.2 Not Rated 0.44 - 26.0 n.a. n.a. 2.5 10.0 1.8<br />

Parkway Holdings 2,044.1 Not Rated 3.88 - 36.8 32.9 28.1 6.8 13.2 2.8<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 499.9 BUY 1.42 S$2.05 40.6 33.8 26.8 5.7 14.3 2.0<br />

Thomson <strong>Medical</strong> Centre 128.7 Not Rated 0.645 - 27.7 20.8 16.5 2.4 9.1 2.8<br />

Thailand<br />

Bangkok Chain Hospital 255.1 Not Rated 8.45 - 19.6 17.5 15.3 3.2 17.1 3.0<br />

Bangkok Dusit Med Service 1,425.0 BUY 37.00 Bt51.90 43.0 26.4 19.5 4.5 15.0 1.4<br />

Bumrungrad Hospital 1,035.5 SELL 44.75 - 28.5 26.3 22.4 9.0 37.2 1.9<br />

Malaysia<br />

KPJ Healthcare 202.5 Not Rated 3.30 - 16.3 13.4 11.5 1.5 9.6 4.2<br />

Average 29.8 24.4 20.0 4.5 15.7 2.5<br />

Source: Bloomberg, UOB Kay Hian<br />

8 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Financials<br />

30 years of uninterrupted growth. RMG has established an impeccable track<br />

record since its inception in 1976. The company was incorporated and started<br />

to promote RMG's corporate identity in 1989. Since then, revenue has<br />

expanded at a CAGR of 20.5% over the past 15 years. This was driven by the<br />

expansion of its network from 27 clinics in 1997 to 60 clinics in 2006. Revenue<br />

has been boosted by contribution and growth from <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital since 2001.<br />

Figure 7: Revenue<br />

(S$m)<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

CAGR: 20.5%<br />

FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06<br />

Source: RMG<br />

Revenue contribution from Hospital Services grew at a CAGR of 22.4% over<br />

the past five years and expanded from 37.1% of sales in 2002 to 54.8% in 2006.<br />

Revenue contribution from Hospital Services exceeded Healthcare Services in<br />

2005 when it generated sales of S$60.2m, or 53.3% of total sales.<br />

Contribution from Hospital<br />

Services becoming more<br />

important.<br />

EBITDA margin at Hospital Services increased from 8.4% in 2002 to 20.3% in<br />

2006 due to improved operating efficiencies at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital. EBITDA margin<br />

for Healthcare Services has averaged 13.2% over the last five years. The<br />

contraction in margins for Healthcare Services in 2005 was an aberration due<br />

to start-up losses of S$0.9m from RMG's subsidiary International <strong>Medical</strong> Insurers<br />

(IMI). Hospital Services accounted for 66.2% of group EBITDA in 2006.<br />

Figure 8: EBITDA Margin for Healthcare Services<br />

(%)<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

Source: RMG<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 9


Figure 9: EBITDA Margin for Hospital Services<br />

(%)<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006<br />

Source: RMG<br />

Solid 2Q07 results. Revenue increased 26.3% yoy to S$41.4m. Revenue from<br />

Hospital Services grew 33.2% yoy to S$24.2m. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital has benefitted<br />

from increased patient volume driven by a wider range of specialist treatments.<br />

There was also positive impact from the economic recovery in the region,<br />

especially in China and India. Revenue from Healthcare Services grew 17.6%<br />

to S$17.1m. Healthcare Services benefitted from the buoyant domestic<br />

economy, which resulted in more hiring and more demand for quality healthcare<br />

for employees.<br />

EBITDA margin expanded from 16.3% in 2Q06 to 17.9% in 2Q07. The<br />

improvement was a result of economies of scale and improved operating<br />

efficiencies from higher patient volume for both Healthcare Services and<br />

Hospital Services. RMG booked in a fair value gain of S$12.5m from its 50%<br />

stake in CapitaLand-<strong>Raffles</strong> Properties. Pre-tax profit would have increased<br />

43% yoy if we exclude the one-off fair value gain.<br />

Figure 10: Segmental Breakdown (2Q07)<br />

Healthcare<br />

Services<br />

41.4%<br />

Hospital<br />

Services<br />

58.6%<br />

Source: RMG<br />

10 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Full ownership of <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital building. RMG has acquired the remaining<br />

50% stake in CapitaLand-<strong>Raffles</strong> Properties, which owns the <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital<br />

building, from CapitaLand for S$66.9m. Gaining full control provides the<br />

flexibility to improve or alter the use of various parts of the hospital building.<br />

The acquisition is funded by a placement of 50m new shares at S$1.30 each.<br />

25m new shares were issued to both Temasek Holdings and Qatar Investment<br />

Authority and both investors will each own 4.9% of RMG. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital is<br />

located on the fringe of the central business district and was valued at S$215m<br />

in Jun 07.<br />

Gaining full control of the <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital building also provides flexibility if<br />

management decides to move towards an asset-light strategy. RMG could<br />

consider divesting the building to a real estate investment trust (REIT). This<br />

would raise funds for significant expansion in China and the Middle East.<br />

Offers attractive dividend yield. RMG has maintained a payout ratio of 100%<br />

over the past three financial years. The high payout ratio is supported by strong<br />

cash flow from operations. The company paid a total dividend of 4 cents for<br />

2006, comprising an interim and final dividend of 2.5 cents and a special<br />

dividend of 1.5 cents. This represents a yield of 2.8%.<br />

High dividend payout ratio.<br />

Management plans to at least maintain the interim and final dividend. The<br />

payment of special dividend is subject to the financial performance of the<br />

company and requirements for capex.<br />

Figure 11: Dividend per Share<br />

(S¢)<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

FY04 FY05 FY06<br />

Interim & Final Dividend<br />

Special Dividend<br />

Source: RMG<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 11


Company Background<br />

RMG was established in 1976 with two clinics in the central business district and<br />

has grown to become an integrated healthcare provider. It operates a network<br />

of 60 family medicine clinics in Singapore and four in Hong Kong. It also<br />

manages clinics at Changi International Airport in Singapore and Chek Lap<br />

Kok International Airport in Hong Kong. RMG upgraded its Jakarta office into<br />

an international medical centre in 2005 and has representative offices in<br />

Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, India, Myanmar and Vietnam.<br />

Celebrated 30th anniversary<br />

in 2006.<br />

RMG's flagship <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital, a tertiary hospital with licence for 380 beds,<br />

was opened in Mar 01. The hospital provides a full complement of specialist<br />

medical and diagnostic services for both inpatients and outpatients. Its key<br />

competencies include oncology, cardiology, obstetrics & gynaecology,<br />

gastroenterology & general surgery, orthopaedic surgery, plastic & reconstructive<br />

surgery and paediatrics. <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital offers services across 35 medical<br />

disciplines organised into 10 specialist clinics.<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Practice Model provides differentiation. Doctors work in multidisciplinary<br />

teams at RMG under its unique <strong>Group</strong> Practice Model. The model<br />

delivers integrated and coordinated medical care that is peer reviewed and<br />

medically audited. It harnesses the strengths of team members in various subspecialities<br />

to work together in serving the varied needs of corporate and<br />

individual clients. The model also institutionalises good medical practices and<br />

professional development.<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Practice Model promotes<br />

sound medical practices.<br />

RMG employs a total of 1,000 employees, including 170 medical doctors (about<br />

60 are medical specialists). Employees receive basic salaries and variable bonuses<br />

(or profit share). In addition, more than 300 employees are incentivised via its<br />

employee share option scheme. The remuneration system thus encourages<br />

long-term service.<br />

12 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Long-term potential in insurance business. IMI is a specialist healthcare insurer.<br />

It converted its general insurance licence into a life insurance licence in Mar<br />

06 after receiving approval from the Monetary Authority of Singapore. The<br />

licence allows IMI to write long-term health insurance policies, including<br />

portable medical health plans for individuals and group term life insurance for<br />

corporate clients.<br />

IMI currently accounts for less than 5% of group sales but has tremendous<br />

long-term growth potential. It plans to expand its distribution network and<br />

create innovative and personalised medical insurance plans. The corporate<br />

client base has expanded after securing several group insurance contracts. The<br />

number of members crossed the 60,000 mark in 2006.<br />

Figure 12: Management Team<br />

Executive Chairman<br />

Dr Loo Choon Yong<br />

General Manager<br />

Business Development<br />

Dr Prem Kumar Nair<br />

General Manager<br />

Management Services<br />

Hilda Yap<br />

<strong>Group</strong> Financial<br />

Controller<br />

Kimmy Goh<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong><br />

Clinics<br />

<strong>Medical</strong> Director<br />

Dr Wilson Wong<br />

General Manager<br />

Dr Kenneth Wu<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital<br />

<strong>Medical</strong> Director<br />

Prof Walter Tan<br />

Deputy <strong>Medical</strong><br />

Director<br />

Dr Yang Ching Yu<br />

General Manager<br />

Thomas Lee<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital<br />

International<br />

General Manager<br />

Lawrence Lim<br />

International<br />

<strong>Medical</strong> Insurers<br />

General Manager<br />

Dr Yii Hee Seng<br />

Source: RMG<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 13


Figure 13: Corporate Milestones<br />

1976 • Partners Dr Loo Choon Yong and Dr Alfred Loh took over Teng's Clinics at Cecil Street and Maxwell House, and operated<br />

the practice under the name Drs Teng & Partners on 1 August.<br />

1980 • The Cecil Street clinic was relocated to Tuan Sing Tower and the name of the practice was changed to RMG, adopting its<br />

name from Dr Loo and Dr Loh's alma mater - <strong>Raffles</strong> Institution.<br />

1982 • RMG established its flagship clinic in the Straits Trading Building in the commercial centre <strong>Raffles</strong> Place.<br />

1989 • Incorporated.<br />

• Started to promote RMG's corporate identity.<br />

1990 • RMG was appointed in June to be the exclusive medical provider for Changi International Airport, operating clinics in<br />

Passenger Terminals 1 and 2 and the Cargo Complex.<br />

• <strong>Raffles</strong> Denticare was established. First clinic opened at Terminal 2.<br />

1992 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Diagnostica was set up to provide laboratory and radiology services to complement the <strong>Group</strong>'s medical services.<br />

1993 • <strong>Raffles</strong> SurgiCentre opened on 18 September at No. 182 Clemenceau Avenue as the first standalone day surgery centre in<br />

Southeast Asia.<br />

1994 • RMG's flagship clinic in Straits Trading Building was moved to Caltex House.<br />

1995 • RMG opened its first overseas clinic in Hong Kong at the Lane Crawford Building on Queen's Road in December.<br />

1996 • RMG started its managed care programme - <strong>Raffles</strong> Care - under an exempt insurance licence from the Monetary Authority<br />

of Singapore.<br />

1997 • RMG acquired medical group Drs Oram & Partners that provided a platform for expansion of its Hong Kong practice in<br />

January.<br />

• RMG became the first full-fledged healthcare provider to go public in Singapore when it got listed on SGX SESDAQ on 11<br />

April.<br />

1998 • RMG was appointed exclusive medical provider for Hong Kong's new Chek Lap Kok International Airport.<br />

2000 • RMG set up first Representative Office in Jakarta.<br />

• RMG was appointed to provide medical services to the departments under the Ministry of Home Affairs - the Singapore<br />

Police <strong>For</strong>ce, Central Narcotics Bureau and Prisons Department.<br />

• RMG's listing was transferred to the Main Board of the Singapore Stock Exchange on 10 July.<br />

2001 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital commenced operation on 31 March. The first inpatients of <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital were seven patients transferred<br />

from the SurgiCentre.<br />

• The first <strong>Raffles</strong> baby was born at 7.20pm, 19 July. She was delivered by Consultant Obstetrician Dr Joan Thong Pao Wen.<br />

2002 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital was officially opened by then Deputy Prime Minister Mr Lee Hsien Loong on 16 March.<br />

• RMG's humanitarian arm - The <strong>Medical</strong> Foundation - was set up to serve the community.<br />

• First open heart surgery was successfully performed in June.<br />

• RMG achieved <strong>Group</strong> wide ISO 9001: 2000 certification in October.<br />

• RMG's flagship clinic at Caltex House was moved to OUB Centre in December.<br />

2003 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Japanese Clinic was set up on 15 January to serve its Japanese clientele.<br />

• RMG was appointed to provide temperature screening at all checkpoints during the SARS period.<br />

• <strong>Raffles</strong> Health was launched in March to develop and distribute quality personal healthcare products. Among its earliest<br />

products was the SARS Protect kit.<br />

• Epic separation surgery of Iranian twins Laleh and Ladan Bijani was carried out in July.<br />

• The Korean twins Ji Hye and Sa Rang were successfully separated in July.<br />

2004 • RMG set up Representative Office in Dhaka, Bangladesh in June.<br />

• The first living donor renal transplant was successfully performed on a Korean businessman on 13 September.·<br />

Acupuncture service was introduced for outpatients in November, and extended to inpatients in Apr 05.<br />

• RMG's humanitarian arm, renamed Asian <strong>Medical</strong> Foundation, sent its first relief mission to Aceh on 26 December to assist<br />

in the 2004 Boxing Day Asian tsunami crisis.<br />

2005 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital grew as an international patient hub with a third of the hospital's patients being foreigners, comprising<br />

nationals from more than 100 countries.<br />

• International <strong>Medical</strong> Insurers was issued a full insurance licence by the Monetary Authority of Singapore in November.<br />

2006 • <strong>Raffles</strong> Chinese Medicine opened on 1 April to offer services in herbal medicine, acupressure, and acupuncture.·<br />

Patient Liaison Office in Ho Chih Minh City in Vietnam was set up on 1 February.<br />

• RMG commemorated its 30th anniversary on 29 July.<br />

2007 • RMG acquired the remaining 50% stake in CapitaLand-<strong>Raffles</strong> Properties from CapitaLand for S$66.9m.<br />

• RMG completed placement of 50m new shares at S$1.30 each. 25m new shares were issued to both Temasek Holdings and<br />

Qatar Investment Authority, with both investors owning 4.9% of RMG each.<br />

Source: RMG<br />

14 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Risk Factors<br />

Macro economic uncertainties. Slower growth or recession in regional countries<br />

could affect arrivals for international patients. <strong>For</strong> example, volume for<br />

international patients coming to Singapore was negatively affected during the<br />

Asia Financial Crisis in 1997.<br />

Outbreak of communicable diseases. Patient volume at <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital would<br />

be affected by an outbreak of communicable diseases such as Avian Flu and<br />

SARS. Interestingly, revenue generated by <strong>Raffles</strong> Hospital grew 14.7% in 2003<br />

despite the SARS outbreak.<br />

Escalation in cost pressures. Staff cost is the largest cost item and accounted<br />

for 51.6% of sales in 2006. Margins would be affected if the supply of doctors<br />

and nurses is constrained, resulting in competition between healthcare providers<br />

to attract staff with higher pay.<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 15


Figure 14: Segmental Breakdown<br />

Year to 31 Dec 2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F<br />

Turnover (S$m)<br />

Healthcare Services 52.6 60.7 73.0 88.2 99.2<br />

Hospital Services 60.2 73.5 93.8 121.0 131.0<br />

Investment Holdings 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1<br />

Total 112.9 134.2 166.9 209.3 230.3<br />

(%)<br />

Healthcare Services 46.6 45.2 43.7 42.1 43.1<br />

Hospital Services 53.3 54.8 56.2 57.8 56.9<br />

Investment Holdings 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>, UOB Kay H ian<br />

Figure 15: Profit & Loss<br />

Year to 31 Dec (S$m) 2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F<br />

Turnover 112.9 134.2 167.0 209.3 230.3<br />

Other Operating Income 0.9 1.9 1.4 2.0 2.0<br />

Inventories & Consumables Used (13.7) (16.6) (20.1) (25.1) (27.6)<br />

Staff Costs (61.5) (69.3) (84.0) (104.6) (115.2)<br />

Other Operating Expense (22.1) (27.7) (34.8) (41.9) (46.1)<br />

EBITDA 16.6 22.6 29.5 39.7 43.5<br />

Depreciation (3.1) (3.4) (3.8) (4.0) (4.0)<br />

Interest Expense (0.1) (0.1) (1.1) (2.2) (1.8)<br />

Associated Companies 1.4 0.9 13.1 0.0 0.0<br />

Pre-tax Profit 14.8 20.0 37.6 33.5 37.7<br />

Tax (2.8) (4.3) (7.0) (6.0) (6.8)<br />

Profit After Tax 12.0 15.8 30.7 27.4 30.9<br />

Minority Interests (0.1) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.0<br />

Net Profit 12.0 15.7 30.6 27.4 30.9<br />

Source: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>, UOB Kay H ian<br />

16 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Figure 16: Balance Sheet<br />

Year to 31 Dec (S$m) 2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F<br />

Fixed Assets 21.4 20.2 231.4 230.4 229.4<br />

Associated Companies 53.0 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Intangibles 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2<br />

Other Long-Term Assets 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4<br />

Current Assets<br />

Stocks 2.9 3.4 4.6 5.7 6.3<br />

Trade Debtors 9.6 13.6 16.0 20.1 22.1<br />

Bank Deposits & Cash 35.1 41.9 8.9 22.8 16.1<br />

Investments 13.0 14.3 12.0 12.0 12.0<br />

Others 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.2<br />

Total 63.3 76.4 44.9 64.3 60.7<br />

Total Assets 138.9 151.8 277.7 296.3 291.7<br />

Current Liabilities<br />

Trade Creditors 22.5 27.3 32.0 40.1 44.2<br />

Borrowings 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0<br />

Others 5.7 8.6 9.5 10.4 11.5<br />

Total 30.5 37.9 43.5 52.6 57.6<br />

Long-Term Loans 0.0 0.0 40.0 40.0 20.0<br />

Other Long-Term Liabilities 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0<br />

Capital & Reserves<br />

Share Capital 40.0 101.1 166.1 166.1 166.1<br />

Share Premium & Capital Reserves 57.3 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7<br />

Revenue & General Reserves 10.2 10.1 25.3 34.7 45.0<br />

Shareholders' Funds 107.5 112.9 193.0 202.5 212.8<br />

Minority Interests 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3<br />

Total Equity & Liabilities 138.9 151.8 277.7 296.3 291.7<br />

Source: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>, UOB Kay H ian<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 17


Figure 17: Cash Flow<br />

Year to 31 Dec (S$m) 2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F<br />

Operating 15.6 19.7 29.4 34.9 37.0<br />

Pre-tax Profit 14.8 20.0 37.6 33.5 37.7<br />

Depreciation 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.0<br />

Working Capital Changes 0.9 0.7 1.2 2.9 1.4<br />

Income Taxes Paid (2.8) (4.3) (7.0) (6.0) (6.8)<br />

Others (0.4) (0.2) (6.2) 0.6 0.6<br />

Investing (7.9) (1.9) (69.9) (3.0) (3.0)<br />

Capex (5.8) (2.3) (3.0) (3.0) (3.0)<br />

Acquisitions of Subsidaries/Associates 0.0 0.0 (66.9) 0.0 0.0<br />

Sale of Fixed Assets 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Others (2.8) 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Financing (5.0) (10.7) 7.6 (18.0) (40.6)<br />

Share Issue 3.0 4.8 65.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Proceeds from Borrowings 0.3 (0.4) (42.0) 0.0 (20.0)<br />

Dividend Paid (8.0) (15.5) (15.5) (18.0) (20.6)<br />

Others (0.2) 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0<br />

Net Increase/Decrease 2.7 7.1 (32.9) 13.9 (6.6)<br />

Beginning Cash & Equivalent 32.0 34.8 41.8 8.9 22.8<br />

Ending Cash & Equivalent 34.8 41.8 8.9 22.8 16.1<br />

Source: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>, UOB Kay H ian<br />

Figure 18: Ratios<br />

Year to 31 Dec (%) 2005 2006 2007F 2008F 2009F<br />

<strong>Growth</strong><br />

Turnover 11.3 18.9 24.4 25.3 10.1<br />

EBITDA 15.6 36.4 30.5 34.6 9.5<br />

Pre-tax Profit 18.9 35.5 87.7 (11.1) 12.6<br />

Net Profit 26.1 31.4 94.9 (10.4) 12.6<br />

EPS 23.8 28.1 101.0 (24.3) 12.6<br />

Profitability<br />

EBIDTA Margin 14.7 16.8 17.7 19.0 18.9<br />

Pre-tax Margin 13.1 14.9 22.5 16.0 16.4<br />

Net Margin 10.6 11.7 18.3 13.1 13.4<br />

ROA 9.0 10.9 14.3 9.6 10.5<br />

ROE 11.5 14.3 20.0 13.9 14.9<br />

Leverage<br />

Total Debt/Total Assets 1.7 1.3 15.1 14.2 7.5<br />

Total Debt/Equity 2.2 1.8 21.8 20.7 10.3<br />

Net Cash(Debt)/Equity 30.5 35.4 (17.2) (9.5) (2.8)<br />

Interest Cover (x) 183.7 184.9 33.8 16.2 22.4<br />

Source: <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong>, UOB Kay H ian<br />

18 <strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong>


Appendix<br />

MEDISAVE WITHDRAWAL LIMITS<br />

TYPES OF TREATMENTS<br />

<strong>For</strong> Inpatient Treatment<br />

WITHDRAWAL LIMITS<br />

<strong>Medical</strong>/surgical inpatient cases<br />

Approved day surgeries<br />

Psychiatric treatment<br />

Stay in approved community hospitals<br />

Stay in approved convalescent hospitals<br />

Stay in approved hospices<br />

Day care at Senior Citizens in Health Care Centres<br />

S$450 per day + Surgical limits according to the Table of Operations<br />

(as of 1 May 07).<br />

S$300 per day + Surgical limits according to the Table of Operations<br />

(as of 1 May 07).<br />

S$150 per day up to $5,000 a year<br />

S$150 per day up to $3,500 a year<br />

S$50 per day up to $3,000 a year<br />

S$160 per day for approved inpatient medical treatment<br />

S$20 per day up to $1,500 a year<br />

<strong>For</strong> Outpatient Treatment<br />

Hepatitis B Vaccination<br />

Outpatient treatments of approved chronic diseases (Diabetes,<br />

Hypertension, Lipids Disorders, Stroke)<br />

Assisted conception procedures<br />

Renal dialysis treatment<br />

Radiotherapy<br />

• External Radiotherapy<br />

• Brachytherapy with external radiotherapy<br />

• Brachytherapy without external radiotherapy<br />

• Superficial X-ray<br />

• Stereotactic radiotherapy<br />

Chemotherapy(includes analgesic medication and suppressive<br />

treatments such as neuroendocrine and nuclear medicine<br />

treatments)<br />

HIV anti-retroviral drugs(includes drugs used to treat opportunistic<br />

infections)<br />

Thalassaemia treatment(Desferral drug and blood transfusion)<br />

Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy<br />

Outpatient Intravenous Antibiotic Treatment<br />

Rental of devices for Long-term Oxygen Therapy and Infant<br />

Continuous Positive Airway Pressure Therapy<br />

Immuno-Suppressant Drugs such as Cyclosporin and Tacrolimus<br />

• Below 12 years old - S$25<br />

• Between 12 to 19 years old - S$35<br />

• 19 years old and above - S$50<br />

S$300 per year per Medisave account<br />

Use of Medisave up to 3 treatment cycles per patient (only<br />

patient's and spouse's Medisave may be used). <strong>For</strong> Assisted<br />

Conception Procedures' treatments received on or after 1 Aug 04,<br />

the withdrawal limits are:<br />

• 1st withdrawal - S$6,000<br />

• 2nd withdrawal - S$5,000<br />

• 3rd withdrawal - S$4,000<br />

S$450 per month (Only patient's Medisave may be used. <strong>For</strong><br />

patients aged 18 and below, parents' Medisave may be used.)<br />

• S$80 per treatment<br />

• S$300 per treatment<br />

• S$360 per treatment<br />

• S$30 per treatment<br />

• S$2,800 per treatment<br />

S$300 for 7-day treatment cycle<br />

S$1,200 for 21/28-day treatment cycle<br />

S$550 per month (Only patient's Medisave may be used. <strong>For</strong><br />

patients aged 18 and below, the parent's Medisave may be used.)<br />

S$350 per month<br />

S$100 per treatment<br />

S$600 per weekly cycle, up to S$2,400 a year<br />

S$75 per month<br />

S$300 per month<br />

Source: Ministry of Health<br />

<strong>Raffles</strong> <strong>Medical</strong> <strong>Group</strong> 19


As of 23 October 2007, the analyst and his / her immediate family do not hold positions in the securities<br />

recommended in this report.<br />

We have based this document on information obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not<br />

make any representation or warranty nor accept any responsibility or liability as to its accuracy, completeness or<br />

correctness. Expressions of opinion contained herein are those of UOB Kay Hian Research Pte Ltd only and are<br />

subject to change without notice. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the<br />

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