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Greg Arling, PhD Indiana University Center for Aging Research ...

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<strong>Greg</strong> <strong>Arling</strong>, <strong>PhD</strong><br />

<strong>Indiana</strong> <strong>University</strong> <strong>Center</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Aging</strong> <strong>Research</strong><br />

Kathleen Abrahamson, <strong>PhD</strong><br />

Veterans Health Administration – <strong>Indiana</strong>polis<br />

Valerie Cooke and Teresa Lewis<br />

Minnesota Department of Human Services<br />

Robert L Kane, MD<br />

<strong>University</strong> of Minnesota School of Public Health


Determine the influence of facility and<br />

market characteristics on community<br />

discharges from Minnesota nursing<br />

homes<br />

Apply findings to a statewide<br />

intervention to promote resident<br />

transitions from nursing home to<br />

community


Individual, facility, and community<br />

characteristics likely combine to<br />

influence transitions from nursing<br />

home to community<br />

Yet, prior research has focused on<br />

individual characteristics excluding<br />

the context of the discharge process


Community discharges are concentrated<br />

heavily in the first 90 days after admission<br />

Resident-level factors were highly<br />

predictive of community discharge – health<br />

and functional status, pay source, and<br />

resident preferences<br />

Yet, a sizable proportion of residents who<br />

became long stay preferred returning to the<br />

community (64%) and seemed capable of<br />

doing so (40%)<br />

Why did they remain in the facility?


Facility staff do not recognize or support<br />

the resident’s desire to return home<br />

Facilities do not have the resources or<br />

services to facilitate transitions<br />

Transitions threaten facility revenue,<br />

e.g., reduced occupancy<br />

Community based long term care<br />

(CBLTC) alternatives are unavailable


Sample<br />

• Annual cohort (July 2005-June 2006) of 22,469<br />

admissions to 380 Minnesota nursing homes<br />

Data Sources<br />

• Resident – MDS assessments at admission and<br />

90 days<br />

• Facility – State Medicaid cost reports and<br />

administrative systems<br />

• Market – Area Resource File and state<br />

administrative systems


Resident having a preference (MDS: H1a)<br />

or support (MDS: H1b)<strong>for</strong> returning to the<br />

community as recorded by NH staff at<br />

admission<br />

• Preference OR Support =1<br />

• Neither Preference nor support = 0<br />

Community discharge within 90 days of<br />

admission<br />

• Discharge to home or assisted living = 1<br />

• Remained in the facility, died, or nursing home<br />

transfer = 0


75 markets representing individual or<br />

combinations of contiguous Minnesota<br />

counties<br />

Market defined according to:<br />

• Among facilities in the market, the % of nursing<br />

home admissions coming from that market<br />

• Among persons in the market who are admitted to<br />

nursing homes, the % entering a facility in that<br />

market<br />

Counties making up the markets are the<br />

primary locus <strong>for</strong> community care funding<br />

and delivery


Resident-level hierarchical general linear<br />

models (HGLM) with P/S and CD as<br />

outcomes and facility and market as random<br />

effects<br />

Facility-level empirical Bayes (EB) residuals<br />

estimated from resident-level models<br />

Facility-level hierarchical linear models<br />

(HLM) with adjusted facility PS and CD rates<br />

(EB residuals) as outcomes and market as a<br />

random effect


Model the resident’s<br />

• Preference/support<strong>for</strong> community discharge<br />

• Community dischargewithin 90 days of<br />

admission<br />

Adjust <strong>for</strong> resident-level covariates<br />

• Admission source – hospital or community<br />

• Pay source - Medicare or Medicaid<br />

• Major diagnoses – hip fracture or end-stage<br />

disease<br />

• ADL dependency, cognitive status, &Continence


Produce adjusted facility-level rates<br />

• Proportion of residents preferring or support <strong>for</strong><br />

community discharge<br />

• Rate of community discharges within 90 days of<br />

admission<br />

Adjusted facility rates are estimated as<br />

empirical Bayes (EB) residuals representing<br />

• Variation that remains between facilities in their<br />

rates of preference/support and community<br />

discharge<br />

• After controlling <strong>for</strong> the characteristics of their<br />

residents


Examine relationships between adjusted<br />

facility-level rates of preference/support<br />

and community discharge and<br />

• Facility characteristics<br />

• Market characteristics<br />

HLM models<br />

• Level 1: facility<br />

• Level 2: market<br />

• Market treated as a random effect


Facilities having a higher proportion of<br />

residents preferring or having support to<br />

return to the community (adjusted)<br />

• Higher average resident acuity<br />

• Higher percentage Medicare and lower<br />

percentage Medicaid residents<br />

• More nursing hours per resident day<br />

• Located in markets with high average NH<br />

occupancy


Facilities having a higher community<br />

discharge rate (adjusted )<br />

• Higher percentage of Medicare residents and<br />

lower percentage Medicaid<br />

• More nursing hours per resident day<br />

• Higher facility occupancy rate<br />

• Higher percentage of residents preferring or<br />

having support <strong>for</strong> community discharge<br />

• Located in markets with more CBLT recipients in<br />

relation to NH recipients


Facility business model emphasizing<br />

• Post-acute care&diversified revenue streams<br />

(particularly Medicare and private pay)<br />

• While Maintaining high occupancy levels<br />

Sufficient nursing staff resources to<br />

prepare residents <strong>for</strong> transitions<br />

Facility culture that respects resident and<br />

family preferences<br />

Availability of CBLTC alternatives in the<br />

local health care market


Community agencies should take the lead<br />

in transition counseling, patient education,<br />

CBLC referrals, etc.<br />

Nursing facilities need to plan <strong>for</strong> and<br />

facilitate transitions<br />

Intervention should be targeted at<br />

residents:<br />

• Early in the NH stay (90-180 days)<br />

• Want to return to the community<br />

• Otherwise would become long stay<br />

Targeted at facilities with low community<br />

discharge rates


States should enact policies that encourage<br />

facilities to:<br />

• Reduce their unused bed capacity<br />

• Balance their mix of payers<br />

• Invest in nurse staffing<br />

• Take other steps to develop business models<br />

consistent with state goals <strong>for</strong> long-term care<br />

rebalancing<br />

States should expand HCBS funding,<br />

particularly in markets with low community<br />

discharge rates

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