THE SUN IN THE LUNAR MANSIONS Buz & Golda Overbeck ...
THE SUN IN THE LUNAR MANSIONS Buz & Golda Overbeck ...
THE SUN IN THE LUNAR MANSIONS Buz & Golda Overbeck ...
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<strong>THE</strong> <strong>SUN</strong> <strong>IN</strong> <strong>THE</strong> <strong>LUNAR</strong> <strong>MANSIONS</strong><br />
<strong>Buz</strong> & <strong>Golda</strong> <strong>Overbeck</strong><br />
ABSTRACT<br />
The solar positions of 2,493 Clergy were<br />
submitted to statistical analysis in 3<br />
"Zodiacs" and 4 Lunar Mansion schemes.<br />
In effect, 8 Sidereal and 4 Tropical<br />
classes of 27 or 28 Mansions were tested<br />
for a total of 12 Lunar Zodiacs, Of<br />
these, 7 permitted rejection of the Null<br />
Hypothesis at the .05 level. The Tropical<br />
solar distribution in the 28 Lunar Mansions,<br />
measured from 00 Taurus was the most<br />
significant with a percentile of 99.8%.<br />
<strong>IN</strong>TRODUCTION<br />
In an article entitled <strong>LUNAR</strong> ZODIACS-STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, The Constellations,<br />
Vol. 2 No. 2., December 1976, Mike Black gives the results of his "Statistical<br />
Study of the Lunar Zodiac." In his study, Mr. Black tested four lunar zodiacs as<br />
follows:<br />
CLASS<br />
CLASS<br />
A<br />
B<br />
1. 27 Asterisms Mansions from 00 Aries<br />
2. 27 Asterisms Mansions from Q0 Taurus<br />
3. 28 Asterisms Mansions from 00 Aries<br />
4. 28 Asterisms Mansions from 00 Taurus<br />
The source of his data was taken from PROFESSION AND BIRTH DATE, Donald A. Bradley,<br />
Llewellyn Publications 1950, consisti fte Inetar zodiacal distributions of<br />
2,492 Clergyman. Although he tested the distributions of the Sun, Moon, Mercury,<br />
Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn, the solar study was the major one discussed and it<br />
is with that which we concern ourselves.<br />
Black gives the results of his study as follows:<br />
CLASS X2 VALUE ODDS<br />
A 00 Aries 43.50 47 to 1<br />
A 00 Taurus 46.66 90 to 1<br />
B 00 Aries 29.62 Negligible<br />
B 00 Taurus 60.00 More than 1,000 to 1<br />
He concludes "This not only seems to affirm that the original Lunar Zodiac of<br />
28 Asterisms is the only true lunar zodiac, but also confirms Cyril Fagan’s<br />
long-held contention that Taurus is the 1st sign of the zodiac."<br />
The project included here, is an attempt to duplicate his results.
The subject of the lunar mansions is an intriguing one, coming from Astrologys very<br />
beginnings. There can be no doubt that the earliest Astrology was based on a lunar<br />
zodiac and at least three such schemes have survived to present days, from India,<br />
China, and Arabia. Of these, it is the Hindu version we intend to explore in this<br />
article.<br />
It appears that the original Hindu Lunar Zodiac was made up of 28 Nakshatras, or<br />
Constellations, each exactly 12 51’ in length. At an undertermined period, this<br />
was changed to 27 Mansions of 13 20’. Why this was done is not known, however,<br />
there is evidence to suppose the reasons were numerological. In any case, so it<br />
remains, and the Hindu Lunar Zodiac of today may be defined as being comprised of<br />
27 Nakshatras, each 13 20t in length, measured from 0 Aries.<br />
However, the research of Fagan and others raises doubts as to the authenticity of<br />
this scheme. This research establishes that at the time of Parasara Circa 3,000 BC<br />
the Vernal Point was in Taurus, and this is confirmed by the fact that most ancient<br />
Lunar Mansion lists begin with the Pleaides. If this is so, then perhaps the<br />
Mansions should be taken from that point today.<br />
These are the questions that Mike Black attempted to answer in his report;<br />
however, in reading this report there were certain things that bothered us.<br />
1. TOO MUCH ROOM FOR ERROR. Bradleys totals are given in whole degrees;<br />
that is, the fractional part of the solar position was ‘rounded up’ to<br />
the next highest degree. This is fine and acceptable. However, in order<br />
to work from Bradleys table of degree totals, Mr. Black rounded-up the<br />
Asterisms position to the next whole number. In this way, the length of<br />
an Asterism, in the 27 Mansion scheme, was rounded up from 13 20’ to 14 .<br />
This changes the Lunar Zodiac from 27 Asterisms, each exactly 13 20’ in<br />
length, to one of the following patterns: 14 , 13 , 13 , 14 , 13 , 13 ...<br />
The 28 Mansion zodiac is treated in the same way, resulting in the pattern:<br />
13 , 13 , 13 , 13 , 13 , 13 , 12 .. .this use of rounded up Mansions<br />
from rounded up degree totals made us nervous<br />
2. <strong>THE</strong> AYANAMSA. Black states that the mean SVP’ for Bradleys study was<br />
70<br />
08’ Pisces, the compliment of which gives an ayanamsa of 22 52’ at<br />
the center of his data span, 3-25-1830 to 4-25-1899 or 1865. Curiously,<br />
this mean value differs from the low end and high end value of the ‘true’<br />
Ayansmsa by – 29’ which is exactly the difference between a 27 and 28<br />
based Mansion, 13 20’ - 12 51’ = 29’. This increases the margin<br />
for error.<br />
3. A supiciously high chi square value of 60 for "28 degrees of freedom".<br />
It should be 27 DOE for the 28 based zodiac and 26 DOE for the 27<br />
4. The lack of data, or documentation in the article itself.<br />
These were our principle objections to the study and our main reason for attempting<br />
to duplicate it. However, it was not the only reason, as there were other questions<br />
we hoped to answer at the same time<br />
‘The SVP, or Synetic Vernal Point, is the name given by Bradley to his refinement<br />
of Fagans original value
We assumed, as did Black, that the Mansions are a product of Constellational<br />
Astrology and so should be viewed within the frame work of the Sidereal Zodiac.<br />
This was a natural assumption as we are working with the Hindu Mansions and<br />
Indian Astrology was, and is, ex-precessional. Yet precession is measured<br />
astrologically by the Ayansmsa which is supposed to measure the distance between<br />
Sidereal and Tropical starting points at any given time. Yet, there is little<br />
global agreement on this value. Ironically, Western Sidereal Astrologers have<br />
unanimously accepted Bradleys value mentioned above, while the Hindus have yet<br />
to settle the matter. We know of at least three 3 different values of the<br />
Ayanamsa in use by Indian Astrologers today.<br />
In light of this, we felt that a true test of the Hindu Mansion scheme should<br />
include the adoption of an Ayanamsa indiginous to the system, and of the three<br />
mentioned above, we chose to use the value accepted by the Indian Government,<br />
known also as the Lahiri Ayanamsa. This value differs from the SVP used in<br />
Blacks study by approximately 541 and its mean value for 1865 is 8 Pisces 02’<br />
We give this for comparison only, as the actual value was used in each case.<br />
There was one other test we wanted to build in which addressed the Zodiac<br />
question directly.<br />
We wanted to check our earlier assumption that the Mansions, if valid, should<br />
be so only in the Sidereal Zodiac. To do this we decided to test the<br />
distribution in the Tropical Zodiac at the same time. This was done, with<br />
rather surprising results.<br />
Our final model then, involved the testing of three groups of four schemes,<br />
as follows:<br />
Group 1. Tropical Zodiac ... TZ<br />
Group 2. Sidereal Zodiac ... Fagan/Bradley Ayanamsa SZF<br />
Group 3. Sidereal Zodiac ... Hindu/Lahiri Ayanamsa SZL<br />
Scheme 1. Aries Fiducial ... 27 Mansions<br />
Scheme 2. Taurus Fiducial ... 27 Mansions<br />
Scheme 3. Aries Fiducial ... 28 Mansions<br />
Scheme 4. Taurus Fiducial . . . 28 Mansions<br />
I<br />
DATA<br />
The source of our data was PROFESSIONS AND BIRTH DATE, table 25.. .Birthdates<br />
of 2,492 Eminent Clergyman, pages 109-117. We counted, and used, 2,493 dates<br />
which were stored on tape to be accessed by the program used in the analysis.<br />
II<br />
METHOD<br />
The procedure used was to recalculate the Solar Distribution, given in<br />
Bradleys Profession and Birth Date, from the dates contained therein.<br />
The Solar positions, as in that study, were computed for 12:00 GMT, and<br />
were not rounded. The Mansion positions were determined and tallied for<br />
each of our four schemes. The actual calculations and distributions were<br />
done on a PET 2001 32K Computer using a program developed by the authors.<br />
Three ‘runs’ were performed, one for each group. For groups 2 and 3,<br />
the Tropical Solar longitude was calculated, the appropriate /1yanamsa was<br />
computed for the date, then subtracted from the TZ position to give the<br />
equivilent SZ position for each date. The Mansion positions were then<br />
determined and tallied.
Each run produced 3 solar distributions in our four mansion schemes,<br />
which gives us our observed frquency of occurance.<br />
To determine the expected frequencies, a very direct method was taken.<br />
A program was developed which calculated the ACTUAL distribution over<br />
the time span. The solar longitudes were calculated for 12:00 GMT<br />
starting March 25, 1830 and continuing for every subsequent day up to<br />
and including April 25, 1899, the last date given.<br />
As before, three runs were made, one for each group, each consisting<br />
of 25,233 solar calculations, the range of the data in days. Each<br />
run produced 3 solar distributions in our four Mansion schemes,<br />
representing the ACTUAL solar distribution over the time span. From this,<br />
the EXPECTED frequencies, probabilities for each Mansion in each scheme<br />
was calculated by the formula:<br />
P = NF/D<br />
III TEST STATISTIC<br />
Where P = The probability of occurance<br />
F = The actual frequencies<br />
D = The time span of the data in days<br />
N = Sample Size 2,493<br />
The test statistic used was a Chi-square contingency test of independence.<br />
This was selected to test the Null Hypothesis that the observed and expected<br />
frequencies are both from the same underlying distribution. Our hypothesis<br />
then, is that there is nothing unusual or significant about the number of<br />
observed clergy Suns in each Mansion compared with the number of actual Suns<br />
in each Mansion: they are both different expressions of the same underlying<br />
distribution.<br />
In order to reject this Hypothesis, at the .05 level, we require the<br />
following chi-square values:<br />
For 27 Mansions with 26 degrees of freedom: 38.89<br />
For 28 Mansions with 27 degrees of freedom: 40.11<br />
An ‘off the shelf’ program was used to calculate the 2x27 and 2x28 tables<br />
for each group.<br />
IV<br />
RESULTS<br />
The table below summarizes the results of each test by giving the chi-square<br />
statistic and level of significance for each group and scheme.<br />
SIDEREAL SF7 SIDEREAL sLF TROPICAL<br />
X2 38.66 43.74 42.01<br />
ARIES / 27<br />
. Level .052 .016 .024<br />
43.93<br />
27<br />
37.96 44.42<br />
TAURUS!<br />
. Level .015 .061 .013<br />
X2 32.58 33.41 39.96<br />
ARIES/28<br />
. Level .211 .184 .052<br />
x2 50.04<br />
TAURUS/20.<br />
44.46 53.02<br />
Level .005 .019 .002
The solar positions of 2,493 clergymen have been tested in 12 Lunar Zodiacs,<br />
of these, 7 allow rejection of the Null Hypothesis at the .05 level. Ranked<br />
in order of significance, these are:<br />
GROUP SCHEME LEVEL ODDS to 1<br />
1. Tropical 28/Taurus .002 500<br />
2. Sidereal SZF 28/Taurus .005 200<br />
3. Tropical 27/Taurus .013 77<br />
4. Sidereal SZF 27/Taurus .015 67<br />
5. Sidereal SZL 27/Taurus .016 63<br />
6. Sidereal SZL 28/Taurus .019 53<br />
7. Tropical 27/Aries .024 42<br />
V<br />
CONCLUSIONS<br />
We were partially able to duplicate the results of Blacks study in as<br />
far as it went.<br />
Our results show, that of the 4 SFZ Zodiacs tested by Black, the 28 Lunar<br />
Mansion scheme beginning from Taurus leads the rest, although our statistic<br />
is more modest, 50 vs 60.<br />
However, and much to our surprise, of the 12 Zodiacs tested, it is the<br />
Tropical Solar Longitudes in the 28 Mansions measured for 0 Taurus which<br />
dominates the study with a percentile of 99.8%.<br />
Of equal surprise is that 7 of our 12 Zodiacs allowed rejection of the<br />
Null Hypothesis at the 0.05 level. This makes us suspicious of the adopted<br />
rejection level, and the statistical significance of our results difficult<br />
to access. In truth, this study has asked more questions than it has<br />
answered, and we are suspending any conclusions we might have until we can<br />
attempt to replicate this study.<br />
What perhaps is most clearly shown by this study is the need for caution in working<br />
with samples of this sort, and restraints in infering too much. However, the<br />
results are interesting enough to encourage further investigation of the<br />
Lunar Mansions.
LUNPR M1NSIONS<br />
Subject; CLEPGY<br />
Factor:<br />
SIDEREAL<br />
N:<br />
2,493<br />
Date:<br />
August 1979<br />
Range: From March 25, 183Q To April 25, 1899<br />
ARIES/27 TAURUS/27 ARJES/28 TAURUS/28<br />
MANSIONU Obs Exp. Obs Exp. X Obs Exp. XZ Obs Exp. X2<br />
1 74 92.61 3.74 84 93.51 .97 70 89.16 4.12 83 90.25 .6<br />
2 89 93.42 .21 112 96.66 2.43 86 90.15 .19 103 92.68 1.15<br />
3<br />
4<br />
90<br />
101<br />
93.87<br />
95.58<br />
.16<br />
.31<br />
63<br />
69<br />
92.25<br />
93.06<br />
9.28<br />
6.22<br />
89<br />
89<br />
90.6<br />
91.32<br />
.03<br />
.06<br />
64<br />
68<br />
89.27<br />
90.35<br />
7.15<br />
5.53<br />
5 76 93.51 3.28 90 94.77 .24 90 91.59 .03 79 90.71 1.51<br />
6 71 93.06 5.23 106 95.85 1.07 60 88.98 9.44 104 92.68 1.38<br />
7 77 93.78 3 100 95.31 .23 71 90.06 4.03 97 91.87 .29<br />
8 105 95.85 .87 114 95.67 3.51 95 91.95 .1 109 92.41 2.98<br />
9 102 95.49 .44 103 94.5 .76 103 92.49 1.19 106 91.69 2.23<br />
10 111 95.76 2.43 84 91.89 .68 102 92.13 1.06 83 89.27 .44<br />
11 112 95.13 2.99 105 93.15 1.51 102 91.5 1.2 92 89.18 .09<br />
12 84 92.25 .74 109 93.06 2.73 97 90.42 .48 106 89.99 2.85<br />
13 95 92.61 .06 85 90.19 .3 94 89.7 .21 95 88.46 .48<br />
14 115 93.6 4.89 95 90.55 .22 98 89.34 .84 73 85.76 1.9<br />
15 87 90.55 .14 93 90.1 .09 101 89.07 1.6 101 87.92 1.95<br />
16 89 90.19 .02 89 89.2 0 78 86.47 .83 89 86.57 .07<br />
17 96 90.37 .35 93 89.74 .12 95 87.64 .62 77 85.31 .81<br />
18 98 90.1 .69 89 89.11 0 92 86.92 3 95 86.75 .78<br />
19 84 88.75 .25 86 89.02 .1 84 85.93 .04 81 85.67 .25<br />
20 98 90.01 .71 103 90.81 1.63 85 85.93 .01 91 86.48 .24<br />
21 82 88.57 .49 97 90.81 .42 88 86.11 .04 110 88.64 5.15<br />
22 *98 90.37 .65 88 92.78 .06 85 85.84 .01 88 87.11 .01<br />
23 107 91.53 2.61 101 91.07 .87 94 87.1 .53 81 86.84 .39<br />
24 85 89.92 .27 77 93.35 2.26 101 88.0 1.89 93 88.46 .23<br />
25 90 90.9 .01 89 92.61 .23 83 86.83 .17 71 88.1 3.32<br />
26 84 91.62 .63 73 94.25 4.02 88 87.8: 0 89 90.53 .03<br />
27 93 93.6 0 96 94.23 .03 81 88.4 .63 71 89. 3.64<br />
28 - - - - - - 91 90.3 0 94 90.97 .1<br />
Sum X2 38.66 Sum X2<br />
Percentile 94.75 Percentile<br />
Sig. Level .053 Sig. Level<br />
19<br />
Odds to 1<br />
Odds to 1<br />
98.5<br />
.015<br />
66<br />
Sum X2 32.58<br />
Percentile 78.9<br />
Sig. Level .211<br />
Odds to 1<br />
Sum X2 50.04<br />
Percentile 99.5<br />
Sig. Level .005<br />
Odds to 1 200<br />
DOF = 26 DOF 26 DOF = 27 DCF = 27
<strong>LUNAR</strong> <strong>MANSIONS</strong><br />
Subject; CLEPGY Factor: LAHIPI N: 2,493 Date: August 1979<br />
Range: From March 25, 1830 To pril 25, 1899<br />
ARIES/27 TAURUS/27 ARIES/28 TAURUS/28<br />
MANSIONL Obs Exp. X2 Obs Exp. X Obs Exp. Obs Exp. X2<br />
1 76 927 3.01 86 93.69 .63 74 89.45 2.67 84 90.68<br />
2 87 93.24 .42 105 95.76 .89 85 89.9 .27 100 92.49 - .61<br />
3 90 94.05 .17 65 92.61 8.23 89 90.98 .04 67 89.78 5.78<br />
4 98 94.95 .1 72 93.33 4.88 88 90.88 .1 68 90.14 5.44<br />
5 84 94.23 1.11 88 94.68 .47 90 91.61 .03 76 90.59 2.35<br />
6 67 92.88 7.21 103 95.76 .55 60 89 9.45 103 93.03 1.07<br />
7 81 94.05 1.81 104 95.31 .79 68 89.81 5.3 93 91.68 .02<br />
8 103 95.85 .53 114 95.94 3.4 96 92.15 .16 115 93.39 5.<br />
9 95 94.68 0 99 93.96 .27 107 92.87 2.15 104 91.86 1.61<br />
10 120 96.66 5.64 86 92.43 .45 98 91.7 .43 81 89.15 .75<br />
11 108 94.95 1.79 100 92.7 .57 104 91.61 1.68 97 90.05 .54<br />
12 82 91.89 1.07 118 93.87 6.2 96 90.71 .31 104 90.05 2.16<br />
13 100 93.06 .52 85 90.28 .31 89 89.63 0 93 82.12 1.44<br />
14 112 93.33 3.73 88 89.92 .04 104 89.99 2.18 75 86.27 1.47<br />
15 90 90.9 .01 96 90.19 .37 100 89.09 1.34 101 88.16 1.87<br />
16 80 89.47 1. 92 89.65 .06 80 86.57 .5 91 87.17 .17<br />
17 100 90.63 .97 92 8.47 .07 91 87.2 .17 78 85.55 .67<br />
18 97 90.28 .5 88 89.11 .01 94 87.38 .5 93 86.9 .43<br />
19 83 88.57 .35 88 89.29 .02 82 85.67 .16 83 85.91 .1<br />
20 102 90.28 1.52 98 90.19 .68 92 86.57 .34 89 86.72 .06<br />
21 76 88.21 1.69 104 91.35 1.75 84 85.76 .04 101 87.98 1.93<br />
22 .104 90.72 1.94 85 90.1 .29 86 86.12 0 9’ 87.89 .42<br />
23 110 91.89 3.57 96 91.62 .21 95 87.2 .7 5 87.35 .06<br />
24 83 9.65 .49 83 91.8 .84 99 87.74 1.44 93 88.88 .19<br />
25 90.55 .34 87 93.24 .42 85 87.02 .05 73 88.25 2.64<br />
26 92 91.98 0 79 92.97 2.1 87 87.74 .01 87 90.5 .14<br />
27 88 93.33 .3 92 93.78 .03 84 88.46 .22 73 89.51 3.05<br />
28 - - - - - - 86 90.08 .18 92 90.95 .01<br />
Sum X2 43.73 Sum X2 37.96 Sum X2 33.41 Sum X2 44.46<br />
Percentile 98.4 Percentile 93.9 Percentile 81.6 Percentile 98.1<br />
Sig. Level .016 Sig. Level .061 Sig. Level .184 Sig. Level .019<br />
Odds to 1 62 Odds to 1 16 Odds to 1 5 Odds to 1 52<br />
tXJF = 26 DOF = 26 D0F = 27 DOF = 27
<strong>LUNAR</strong> <strong>MANSIONS</strong><br />
Subject; CLERGY Factor: TROPICAL N: 2,493 Date:<br />
August 1979<br />
Range: From March 25, 1830 To<br />
April 25, 1899<br />
ARIES/27 TAURUS/27 ARIES/28 TAURUS/28<br />
MANSION Obs Exp. X2 Obs X2 Obs X Obs Exp. X2<br />
1<br />
2<br />
76<br />
88<br />
91 .44<br />
93.42<br />
2.6<br />
.31<br />
73<br />
97<br />
92.16<br />
94.32<br />
3.98<br />
.07<br />
74<br />
84<br />
88.2<br />
90<br />
2.98<br />
.4<br />
67<br />
93<br />
88.48<br />
90.99<br />
5.21<br />
.04<br />
3 74 92.34 3.64 84 93.78 1.02 77 89.64 1.78 88 91.08 .1<br />
4 98 94.5 .12 102 95.49 .44 89 90.45 .02 100 92.16 .07<br />
5 88 94.05 .38 62 92.43 10.02 82 90.36 .77 58 88.64 10.71<br />
6 108 96.02 1.49 76 93.51 3.27 101 92.34 .81 67 89.65 5.72<br />
7 62 92.16 9.87 94 95.13 .02 69 89.64 4.75 87 91.53 .22<br />
8 69 93.06 6.22 107 96.11 1.23 71 90.09 4.04 105 92.88 1.58<br />
9 88 94.59 .45 101 95.04 .37 76 90.45 2.3 96 91.62 .21<br />
10 108 96.2 1.44 108 95.13 1.74 100 92.52 .6 112 92.79 3.98<br />
11 102 95.22 .48 102 94.14 .65 90 91.35 .02 99 90.9 .72<br />
12 112 95.67 2.78 96 92.88 .1 117 93.15 6.1 80 88.57 .88<br />
13 101 94.14 .49 105 93.06 1.53 101 91.35 1.01 94 89.38 .24<br />
14 88 92.34 .2 97 91.71 .3 86 89.55 .14 113 90.55 5.51<br />
15 105 93.24 1.48 77 89.16 1.66 92 89.28 .08 82 87.13 .3<br />
16 104 92.43 1.44 .107 91.62 2.58 106 90.09 2.8 85 86.86 .84<br />
17 86 90.36 .21 94 89.91 .18 94 88.29 .36 93 87.13 .4<br />
18 95 90.45 .22 80 88.47 .81 75 86.13 1.44 95 87.04 .73<br />
19 97 90.27 .5 98 90 .71 101 87.93 1.94 81 85.69 .26<br />
20 85 89.01 .18 84 88.74 .25 92 86.94 .29 94 86.68 .62<br />
21 92 89.46 .07 93 89.73 .11 76 85.15 .98 73 84.88 1.66<br />
22 89 89.19 0 111 91.62 4.09 96 86.85 .96 93 86.66 .43<br />
23 90 89.37 0 91 90.18 0 81 85.63 .25 111 88.75 5.58<br />
24 105 91.08 2.12 86 90.54 .23 92 86.67 .32 84 86.86 .09<br />
25 95 90.54 .21 101 92.16 .84 96 - 87.21 .88 86 87.49 .03<br />
26 86 90.09 .18 72 91.44 4.13 93 87.57 .33 94 88.75 .31<br />
27 102 92.25 1.02 95 94.41 0 86 87.21 .01 76 88.84 1.85<br />
28 - - - - -<br />
- 96 88.74 .59 87 90.63 .15<br />
Sum X2 42.01<br />
Percentile 97.55<br />
Sig. Level .024<br />
Odds to 1 40<br />
Sum X2<br />
Percentile<br />
Sig. Level<br />
Odds to 1<br />
44.42<br />
98.64<br />
.013<br />
73<br />
Sum X2 39.96<br />
Percentile_94.83<br />
Sig. Level .052<br />
Odds tol 19<br />
Sum X2 53.02<br />
Percentile 99.8<br />
Sig. Level .002<br />
Odds to 1 499<br />
D0F = 26 DOF = 26 DOF - 27 DOF = 27