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Analysis of Wind Power Ancillary Services Characteristics ... - NREL

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5<br />

4<br />

Ratio <strong>of</strong> Change<br />

Summer<br />

Winter<br />

100<br />

90<br />

3<br />

Positive Changes<br />

80<br />

n*∆P 2 / t [(% / min) 2 ]<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

-1<br />

-2<br />

-3<br />

Negative Changes<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

-4<br />

-5<br />

10<br />

Pos. + Neg. Changes<br />

0<br />

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24<br />

Hour <strong>of</strong> the Day<br />

Figure 4-5. Number <strong>of</strong> occurrences weighted with the square <strong>of</strong> the slope <strong>of</strong> 1-hour regression for<br />

the total output <strong>of</strong> 17 turbines (Group 2)<br />

n*∆P 2 / t [(% / min) 2 ]<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

Positive Changes<br />

1-hour regression<br />

4-hour regression<br />

-6<br />

-8<br />

Negative Changes<br />

Pos. + Neg. Changes<br />

-10<br />

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24<br />

Hour <strong>of</strong> the Day<br />

Figure 4-6. Number <strong>of</strong> occurrences weighted with the square <strong>of</strong> the slope <strong>of</strong> 1-hour regression for<br />

the total output <strong>of</strong> 15 turbines (Group 3)<br />

14

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