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Statistics of the<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> & Credit Insurance Market<br />

in Latin America<br />

Report updated as of December 2011<br />

Presented by: Juan Fernando Serrano<br />

<strong>APF</strong> – PASA XXIV GENERAL ASSEMBLY


<strong>Surety</strong>


:: Conclusions<br />

Latin America<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

% of All Lines of Business by country<br />

Annual growth<br />

Growth 2009 - 2010<br />

Growth 2010 - 2011<br />

Average growth 2005 - 2011<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

% GDP by country<br />

% Public Expense by country<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio by country<br />

Technical Result by country<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Combined Ratio by country<br />

% Ceded Premium by country<br />

Market share by country<br />

Top 40 Individual Regional Ranking<br />

Market share Top 10 Indiv. Companies<br />

Top 40 International Regional Ranking<br />

Market share Top 10 International Companies<br />

Local, Global & Regional Cos. Market Share<br />

Available Info by Line of Business<br />

Relevant Figures


'000 USD<br />

Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

2.500.000<br />

2.000.000<br />

1.500.000<br />

1.000.000<br />

500.000<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

24%<br />

839.109<br />

1.040.186<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

25% 25%<br />

1.298.695<br />

1.619.020 1.664.734<br />

1.761.085<br />

2.141.939<br />

3%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

6%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth<br />

22%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

•Figures as of 12 months<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

2.500.000<br />

2.000.000<br />

1.500.000<br />

1.000.000<br />

500.000<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

1.778.735<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

-<br />

63%<br />

63%<br />

1.861.130<br />

61% 61% 59%<br />

1.983.701<br />

2.055.757<br />

30% 31% 31% 31%<br />

2.141.939<br />

33%<br />

21% 21% 19% 19% 19%<br />

5%<br />

7%<br />

4%<br />

4%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

2,00%<br />

1,50%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,00%<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

1,41% 1,43% 1,47%<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

1,55% 1,52%<br />

1,40% 1,40%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business by<br />

country<br />

12%<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

11,3%<br />

7,0%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

4,9%<br />

*Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

3,9% 3,8% 3,7% 3,3% 2,6% 2,6% 2,1% 1,8% 1,8% 1,4% 1,1% 1,1% 0,9% 0,6% 0,6% 0,3%<br />

Pan Ecu Col Par* Bol Gua Dom Nic Sal Méx Arg* Ven Reg Hon Uru P Ri Bra Per Chi


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of<br />

Business<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

24%<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

22% 21%<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

25% 25%<br />

18%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

3%<br />

5%<br />

6%<br />

15%<br />

22%<br />

22%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Growth 2009 - 2010 by country<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-40%<br />

-50%<br />

46%<br />

Figures as of December 2010<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

31% 27%<br />

19%<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

13% 13% 12% 12% 10%<br />

6% 4% 2%<br />

-3% -3% -5% -5%<br />

Pan Par* Col Uru Bra Méx Chi Dom P Ri Reg Ecu Gua Nic Bol Arg* Sal Per Hon Ven<br />

-10%<br />

-24%<br />

-38%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Growth 2010 - 2011 by country<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

-60%<br />

44% 41%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

31% 25% 24% 24% 22% 22% 20% 19% 18% 15% 15% 15%<br />

Arg* Chi Par* Pan Bra Ven Bol Reg Nic Méx Ecu Sal Col Uru Gua Per Hon<br />

9%<br />

5%<br />

0%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Growth 2010 - 2011 by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

7%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

44%<br />

22% 24%<br />

41%<br />

15% 18% 19% 20%<br />

15%<br />

9%<br />

0%<br />

25%<br />

54%<br />

0% 0%<br />

0%<br />

0%<br />

0%<br />

-1%<br />

-1%<br />

-2%<br />

34%<br />

-4%<br />

31%<br />

26% 25% -4%<br />

24% -5% 24% 24%<br />

20%<br />

18%<br />

18%<br />

15%<br />

18%<br />

-6% 15%<br />

12%<br />

11%<br />

-5% -5%<br />

5%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

1%<br />

Arg* Bol Bra Chi Col Ecu Sal Gua Hon Méx Nic Pan Par* Per Uru Ven<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

USD Growth Local currency Growth Exchange Rate Growth<br />

5%<br />

8%<br />

6%<br />

4%<br />

2%<br />

0%<br />

-2%<br />

-4%<br />

-6%<br />

-8%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Average Growth 2005 - 2011 by<br />

country<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

40%<br />

34%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

30% 27% 26% 26% 25% 24% 24% 22%<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

18% 17% 17%<br />

9% 9% 9% 8%<br />

Bra Pan Ven Per Bol Ecu Par* Col Hon Arg* Uru Reg Chi Sal Dom Gua Nic Méx P Ri<br />

6%<br />

-7%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,30%<br />

0,25%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,15%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,00%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

0,22%<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,23%<br />

0,24%<br />

0,25%<br />

0,24%<br />

0,22%<br />

0,23%<br />

0,031% 0,033% 0,035% 0,038% 0,042% 0,036% 0,038%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of GDP by country<br />

0,45%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,25%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,15%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,41%<br />

0,14%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

GDP: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,11%<br />

0,06% 0,05% 0,05% 0,05% 0,05% 0,05% 0,05% 0,04% 0,04% 0,04% 0,04% 0,02% 0,02% 0,02% 0,01% 0,01%<br />

Pan Ecu Col Ven Sal Arg* Gua Bol P Ri Nic Par* Dom Méx Reg Hon Uru Bra Chi Per


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of Public Expense by country<br />

3,5%<br />

3,0%<br />

2,5%<br />

2,0%<br />

1,5%<br />

1,0%<br />

0,5%<br />

0,0%<br />

3,1%<br />

1,2%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

0,7% 0,7%<br />

*Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,5% 0,5% 0,5% 0,4% 0,4% 0,3% 0,3% 0,3%<br />

0,3% 0,2%<br />

0,2% 0,1% 0,1% 0,1% 0,1%<br />

Pan Ecu Col Ven Dom Sal Gua P Ri Par* Arg* Méx Bol Nic Reg Uru Hon Per Bra Chi


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

26%<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

26%<br />

34%<br />

26%<br />

16%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

Loss Ratio Gross Premium: Argentina Figures from 2009, Bolivia, 2008, Paraguay 2007<br />

32%<br />

23%<br />

13%<br />

34%<br />

25%<br />

14%<br />

29%<br />

30% 30%<br />

22% 21%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

16%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

14%<br />

33%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio &Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

9%<br />

1%<br />

142%<br />

88%<br />

41% 42%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

14% 13%<br />

25%<br />

30% 32%<br />

19% 20%<br />

24%<br />

19%<br />

10%<br />

-1%<br />

55%<br />

17%<br />

33%<br />

0%<br />

3%<br />

3% 4%<br />

19%<br />

14%<br />

Arg* Bol Bra Chi Col Dom Ecu Gua Méx Par* Per Uru Ven Reg<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Not available: El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Puerto Rico<br />

Countries with First Requirement <strong>Surety</strong>


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio Earned Premium by country<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-1% 0%<br />

1% 1% 3%<br />

14% 17% 19% 19% 19% 20% 23%<br />

30%<br />

38% 41% 42%<br />

Par* Uru Arg* Nic Ven Bra Per Méx Ecu Reg Gua Sal Chi Pan Col Dom Bol<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Not available: Honduras, Nicaragua, Puerto Rico<br />

Countries with First Requirement <strong>Surety</strong><br />

142%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio Written Premium by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

3%<br />

4%<br />

9%<br />

10%<br />

13%<br />

14%<br />

20%<br />

24%<br />

25%<br />

30% 32% 33%<br />

Uru Ven Arg* Méx Bra Reg Chi Gua Col Dom Ecu Per Par* Bol<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Not available: El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Puerto Rico<br />

Countries with First Requirement <strong>Surety</strong><br />

55%<br />

88%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Technical Result (% Written Premiums) by<br />

country<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

57% 56%<br />

47%<br />

45%<br />

38% 37% 36% 36%<br />

34% 33%<br />

31%<br />

26% 25%<br />

Par* Uru Gua Arg* Ven Méx Ecu Chi Per Reg Bra Dom Col Pan<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

Not available: Bolivia, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Puerto Rico<br />

Countries with First Requirement <strong>Surety</strong><br />

16%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

38%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

3% 76%<br />

27%<br />

9% 8%<br />

3% 64%<br />

26% 26% 23% 25% 22% 21% 19%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

Chile: Admin. Expenses of Credit & <strong>Surety</strong> Companies<br />

Ecuador, Peru: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

1%<br />

65%<br />

36%<br />

40%<br />

5% 1%<br />

2% 69%<br />

2% 0% 1%<br />

61%<br />

63%<br />

59%<br />

41% 41% 41%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

-2% 0% -2%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

7%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

25%<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

27%<br />

36%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

Chile: Admin. Expenses of Credit & <strong>Surety</strong> Companies<br />

40%<br />

Ecuador, Peru: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

46%<br />

52%<br />

59%<br />

61%<br />

67%<br />

69% 71% 73%<br />

Ecu Bra Par* Pan Chi Ven Per Reg Uru Méx Gua Arg* Dom Col<br />

93%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

65%<br />

26%<br />

20%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

48%<br />

16%<br />

17% 16%<br />

15% 15% 14% 15% 14%<br />

2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

Chile: Admin. Expenses of Credit & <strong>Surety</strong> Companies<br />

Ecuador, Peru: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

45%<br />

13%<br />

15% 17% 17%<br />

48% 47% 49%<br />

46%<br />

14% 16% 17% 14%<br />

16% 17% 18%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Acquisition Expense Gross Administrative Expenses Gross<br />

Loss Ratio Written Premium Gross Combined Ratio<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio by country<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

25%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

38%<br />

43%<br />

46%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

Chile: Admin. Expenses of Credit & <strong>Surety</strong> Companies<br />

Ecuador, Peru: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

50%<br />

55% 55% 55% 56%<br />

Bra Ven Chi Reg Per Méx Uru Dom Ecu Arg* Gua Col<br />

64%<br />

65%<br />

71%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net & Gross Combined Ratio by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

71%<br />

64%<br />

25% 25%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

40%<br />

43%<br />

93%<br />

Not available: El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Puerto Rico<br />

Countries with First Requirement <strong>Surety</strong><br />

71%<br />

73%<br />

55% 56%<br />

7%<br />

69%<br />

65% 67%<br />

55%<br />

27%<br />

71%<br />

52% 50%<br />

61%<br />

55%<br />

Arg* Bra Chi Col Dom Ecu Gua Méx Par* Per Uru Ven Reg<br />

Net Combined Ratio Gross Combined Ratio<br />

46%<br />

38%<br />

59%<br />

46%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

40%<br />

*Argentina, Paraguay,: Año fiscal junio<br />

Not available: Honduras, Puerto Rico<br />

42%<br />

49%<br />

54%<br />

57% 57%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

55%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

33%<br />

40%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

*Argentina, Paraguay,: Año fiscal junio<br />

Not available: Honduras, Puerto Rico<br />

44% 45% 45%<br />

47%<br />

49%<br />

54% 55% 56% 57%<br />

Sal Gua Par* Méx Uru Arg* Per Col Reg Dom Ven Bra Bol Ecu Chi Nic Pan<br />

62%<br />

70%<br />

74%<br />

76%<br />

80%<br />

87%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Market Share by country 2.141,9<br />

US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Venezuela<br />

8,9% (8,8%)<br />

Ecuador<br />

4,3% (4,5%)<br />

Panama<br />

5,8% (5,7%)<br />

Argentina*<br />

10,6% (9%)<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico<br />

2,1% (2,6%)<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

Colombia<br />

16,9% (17,8%)<br />

Others**<br />

6,4% (6,7%)<br />

Brazil<br />

22,7% (22,3%)<br />

** Includes: Bolivia, Dominicana, Chile, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Peru, Paraguay, Uruguay, El Salvador<br />

Mexico<br />

22,2% (22,7%)


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Regional Ranking Top 40 Individual<br />

Companies 2011<br />

Company Ctry. Rank. 2011 Rank. 2010 Rank. Ctry. Val. 000 Annual Growth Share L.A. Accum. Company Ctry. Rank. 2011 Rank. 2010 Rank. Ctry. Val. 000 Annual Growth. Share L.A. Accum.<br />

MALUCELLI Bra 1 1 1 153.242 8,0% 7,2% 7% ANCON Pan 21 12 2 23.925 -14,2% 1,1% 51%<br />

ASERTA Mex 2 2 1 135.304 13,0% 6,3% 13% ATLAS Mex 22 21 6 22.442 9,0% 1,0% 52%<br />

MRREY NYL Mex 3 3 2 119.358 20,8% 5,6% 19% DORAMA Mex 23 27 7 21.394 26,7% 1,0% 53%<br />

SOFIMEX Mex 4 4 3 78.030 16,8% 3,6% 23% BOLIVAR Col 24 25 6 20.763 15,5% 1,0% 54%<br />

CONFIANZA Col 5 5 1 69.330 10,9% 3,2% 26% CONDOR Col 25 23 7 20.706 8,6% 1,0% 55%<br />

FATOR Bra 6 6 2 67.268 38,8% 3,1% 29% CHARTIS Pan 26 58 3 20.072 189,6% 0,9% 56%<br />

ESTADO Col 7 7 2 55.140 17,5% 2,6% 32% CHUBB Arg 27 28 3 20.034 21,2% 0,9% 57%<br />

UBF Bra 8 9 3 46.935 13,6% 2,2% 34% INBURSA Mex 28 34 8 19.798 36,2% 0,9% 58%<br />

PRIMERO Mex 9 10 4 34.719 13,6% 1,6% 35% CORPORAT. Ven 29 32 3 19.778 23,9% 0,9% 59%<br />

LIBERTY Col 10 11 3 33.767 17,2% 1,6% 37% BERKLEY Bra 30 20 6 19.621 -8,1% 0,9% 60%<br />

HighMIRA Ven 11 13 1 32.708 23,8% 1,5% 39% ITAU Bra 31 8 7 18.411 -58,7% 0,9% 61%<br />

SURA Col 12 15 4 31.137 23,2% 1,5% 40% SOLIDARIA Col 32 37 8 18.042 31,4% 0,8% 62%<br />

CESCE Bra 13 16 4 30.759 25,9% 1,4% 41% CONFIANZA Ecu 33 33 1 17.856 19,0% 0,8% 62%<br />

ACG Arg 14 14 1 30.063 18,3% 1,4% 43% ALLIANZ Bra 34 30 8 17.562 8,8% 0,8% 63%<br />

PIRAMIDE Ven 15 17 2 29.877 23,8% 1,4% 44% ZURICH Bra 35 167 9 17.550 1879,6% 0,8% 64%<br />

CHUBB Mex 16 18 5 28.252 27,7% 1,3% 46% ASEGCAUC Arg 36 31 4 17.358 8,1% 0,8% 65%<br />

AUSTRAL Bra 17 191 5 26.260 4415,8% 1,2% 47% M<strong>APF</strong>RE Col 37 24 9 17.257 -7,0% 0,8% 66%<br />

MUNDIAL Col 18 19 5 24.477 13,4% 1,1% 48% TESTIMONIO Arg 38 154 5 17.225 1370,5% 0,8% 67%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Arg 19 22 2 24.259 23,5% 1,1% 49% COLPATRIA Col 39 35 10 16.916 20,8% 0,8% 67%<br />

ASSA Pan 20 26 1 24.186 40,9% 1,1% 50% AFIANZAD. Arg 40 39 6 16.913 39,1% 0,8% 68%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Regional Market Share Top 10 Individual<br />

Companies 2.141,9 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

LIBERTY Col<br />

1,6% (1,6%)<br />

PRIMERO Mex<br />

1,6% (1,7%)<br />

UBF Bra<br />

2,2% (2,3%)<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

ESTADO Col<br />

2,6% (2,7%)<br />

Others 362<br />

63% (61,1%)<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

FATOR Bra<br />

3,1% (2,8%)<br />

MALUCELLI Bra<br />

7,2% (8,1%)<br />

ASERTA Mex<br />

6,3% (6,8%)<br />

MRREY NYL Mex<br />

5,6% (5,6%)<br />

SOFIMEX Mex<br />

3,6% (3,8%)<br />

CONFIANZA Col<br />

3,2% (3,5%)


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Regional Ranking Top 40 Companies,<br />

grouping international affiliates & subsidiaries 2011<br />

Company Ctry. Rank. 2011 Rank. 2010 Val. 000 Annual Growth Share L.A. Accum. Company Ctry. Rank. 2011 Rank. 2010 Val. 000 Annual Growth Share L.A. Accum.<br />

TRAVELERS Glb 1 1 158.687 7,9% 7,4% 7% BERKLEY Glb 21 18 26.473 -0,4% 1,2% 59%<br />

ASERTA Mex 2 2 135.304 13,0% 6,3% 14% AUSTRAL Bra 22 149 26.260 4415,8% 1,2% 59%<br />

NYLIFE Glb 3 3 119.358 20,8% 5,6% 20% MUNDIAL Col 23 22 24.477 13,4% 1,1% 60%<br />

SOFIMEX Mex 4 4 78.030 16,8% 3,6% 24% ASSA Reg 24 27 24.453 40,3% 1,1% 61%<br />

CHUBB Glb 5 7 71.135 30,3% 3,3% 27% <strong>Surety</strong> Arg 25 24 24.259 23,5% 1,1% 62%<br />

CONFIANZA Col 6 6 69.330 10,9% 3,2% 30% ANCON Pan 26 17 23.925 -14,2% 1,1% 64%<br />

FATOR Bra 7 9 67.268 38,8% 3,1% 33% ATLAS Mex 27 23 22.442 9,0% 1,0% 65%<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE Glb 8 5 61.349 -4,7% 2,9% 37% DORAMA Mex 28 28 21.394 26,7% 1,0% 66%<br />

CESCE Glb 9 8 58.521 20,7% 2,7% 39% BOLIVAR Reg 29 26 20.782 15,6% 1,0% 67%<br />

ESTADO Col 10 10 55.140 17,5% 2,6% 42% CONDOR Col 30 25 20.706 8,6% 1,0% 68%<br />

UBF Bra 11 12 46.935 13,6% 2,2% 44% INBURSA Mex 31 33 19.798 36,2% 0,9% 69%<br />

LIBERTY Glb 12 13 43.532 29,2% 2,0% 46% CORPORAT. Ven 32 31 19.778 23,9% 0,9% 69%<br />

SURA Reg 13 14 37.100 19,0% 1,7% 48% CONSTITUCION Reg 33 38 19.254 46,9% 0,9% 70%<br />

Chartis (AIG) Glb 14 41 34.954 198,7% 1,6% 49% ITAÚ Reg 34 11 18.411 -58,7% 0,9% 73%<br />

PRIMERO Mex 15 15 34.719 13,6% 1,6% 51% SOLIDARIA Col 35 37 18.042 31,4% 0,8% 74%<br />

RSA Glb 16 16 33.519 15,0% 1,6% 52% CONFIANZA Ecu 36 32 17.856 19,0% 0,8% 74%<br />

HighMIRA Ven 17 19 32.708 23,8% 1,5% 54% ASEGCAUC Arg 37 30 17.358 8,1% 0,8% 75%<br />

ZURICH Glb 18 44 32.180 198,7% 1,5% 54% TESTIMONIO Arg 38 120 17.225 1370,5% 0,8% 75%<br />

PIRAMIDE Ven 19 21 29.877 23,8% 1,4% 56% COLPATRIA Col 39 35 16.916 20,8% 0,8% 76%<br />

ALLIANZ Glb 20 20 28.343 14,8% 1,3% 57% AFIANZADORA Arg 40 40 16.913 39,1% 0,8% 77%<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies Glb: Global (Multinational) Reg: Regional (Multi Latin)


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Regional Market Share Top 10 Companies,<br />

grouping international affiliates & subsidiaries 2.141,9 US$ MM 2011<br />

(2010)<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

ESTADO Col<br />

2,6% (2,7%)<br />

CESCE Glb<br />

2,7% (2,8%)<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE Glb<br />

2,9% (3,7%)<br />

FATOR Bra<br />

3,1% (2,8%)<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Others 280<br />

59,3% (56,8%)<br />

CONFIANZA Col<br />

3,2% (3,5%)<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

CHUBB Glb<br />

3,3% (3,1%)<br />

NYLIFE Glb<br />

5,6% (5,6%)<br />

SOFIMEX Mex<br />

3,6% (3,8%)<br />

TRAVELERS Glb<br />

7,4% (8,4%)<br />

ASERTA Mex<br />

6,3% (6,8%)


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Local, Global & Regional Companies Market<br />

Share 2.141,9 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

Figures as of December 2011 except for: El Salvador, Uruguay (September 2011 12 ms), Paraguay (June 2011), Dominicana, Puerto Rico<br />

(December 2010), Venezuela (projected figures to December 2011)<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Regional<br />

6,9% (8,2%)<br />

Global<br />

33,9% (33,7%)<br />

Argentina, Paraguay: Fiscal year June<br />

Puerto Rico: Includes figures of non resident companies<br />

Global: Multinational Regional: Multi-Latin Local: National<br />

Local<br />

59,2% (58,1%)


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Available Info by Line of Business<br />

Arg Bol Bra Chi Col Dom Ecu Sal Gua Hon Méx Nic Pan Par Per P Ri Uru Ven<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √<br />

Financial Bonds √ √<br />

Supply √<br />

Purchase & Sale √<br />

Rental Bonds √<br />

Performance Bonds √ √ √ √ √<br />

Bid Bonds √ √<br />

Completion Bonds √ √ √<br />

Performance Bonds of Work √ √<br />

Sevice Delivery Bonds √<br />

Supply Delivery Bonds √ √<br />

Advance Payment Bond √ √<br />

Judicial Bonds √ √ √<br />

Penal √<br />

Non Penal √<br />

Motor vehicle driver's coverage √<br />

Customs Bonds √ √<br />

•Brazil: Performance Bonds for public and private sectors: Sureties Public Obligations, Sureties Private Obligations, Sureties Public Consession<br />

<strong>Surety</strong>, Insured Bonds, Stop Loss


<strong>Surety</strong><br />

Premiums<br />

Figures USD Thousands<br />

Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

Market Share<br />

Num.<br />

Companies<br />

Premiums /<br />

Num.<br />

Companies<br />

Num. Companies<br />

80% Market<br />

Growth 10-<br />

11* <strong>Surety</strong><br />

Premiums<br />

Growth 10-11*<br />

All Lines of<br />

Business<br />

Premiums<br />

Technical<br />

Result (%<br />

Premiums)<br />

Earned<br />

Net Combined<br />

Premium Loss<br />

Ratio<br />

Ratio<br />

% Ceded<br />

Premiums<br />

Argentina 227.357 10,6% 63 3.609 13 44% 46% 45% 1% 71% 47%<br />

Bolivia 11.390 0,5% 7 1.627 3 22% 20% - 142% - 70%<br />

Brazil 487.075 22,7% 26 18.734 9 24% 23% 31% 14% 25% 62%<br />

Chile 24.921 1,2% 14 1.780 4 41% 17% 36% 30% 40% 76%<br />

Colombia 360.990 16,9% 22 16.409 9 15% 18% 25% 41% 93% 54%<br />

Dominicana 22.430 1,0% 23 975 5 - - 26% 42% 73% 56%<br />

Ecuador 92.898 4,3% 32 2.903 9 18% 21% 36% 19% 7% 74%<br />

El Salvador 12.026 0,6% 10 1.203 4 15% 3% - 23% - 33%<br />

Guatemala 22.859 1,1% 11 2.078 4 9% 23% 47% 20% 69% 40%<br />

Honduras 3.630 0,2% 7 519 2 0% 9% - - - -<br />

Mexico 475.896 22,2% 15 31.726 5 19% 16% 37% 19% 67% 45%<br />

Nicaragua 3.239 0,2% 5 648 3 20% 6% - - - 80%<br />

Panama 125.130 5,8% 21 5.959 6 25% 14% 16% 38% 36% 87%<br />

Paraguay 9.835 0,5% 32 307 11 31% 32% 57% -1% 27% 44%<br />

Peru 16.599 0,8% 7 2.371 2 5% 15% 34% 17% 52% 49%<br />

Puerto Rico 45.080 2,1% 34 1.326 7 - - - - - -<br />

Uruguay 9.604 0,4% 6 1.601 1 15% 20% 56% 0% 61% 45%<br />

Venezuela 190.981 8,9% 37 5.162 11 24% 24% 38% 3% 46% 57%<br />

Region 2.141.939 100% 372 5.758 108 22% 22% 33% 19% 59% 55%


Latin America - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 2.142 millions � 22% from 2010, just like All Lines of<br />

Business Premiums � 22%.<br />

• Countries with highest USD growth 2010 - 2011 Argentina (44%), Chile (41%), Paraguay (31%).<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 1,4% of Insurance Portfolio in the Region (stable from 2005), & the countries with<br />

highest % of All Lines of Business : : Panama (11,3%) Ecuador (7,0%), Colombia (4,9%).<br />

• Represents 0,23% of Public Expense : Panama 3,1%, Ecuador 1,2%<br />

• Local Insurers concentrate 59% market, Global 34% & Regional 7%.<br />

• Brazil (23%), Mexico (22%), Colombia (17%), Argentina (11%), & Venezuela (9%) concentrate 82% of<br />

premium amount in the Region. (Venezuela figures projected to September 2011 12 months)<br />

• 372 Insurance Groups operate in the Region with an average premium of approx. USD 5,8 million,<br />

including 21 non resident companies in Puerto Rico<br />

• Loss Ratio Earned Premium 19% (2011) � 21% (2010) & R. Technical Result 33% (2011) � 30% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 59% (2011) � 63% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 5%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (stable), Technical<br />

Result (� 1 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 1 p.p.)


USD 487,1 millions<br />

22,7%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Brazil<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

600.000<br />

500.000<br />

400.000<br />

300.000<br />

200.000<br />

100.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07<br />

90%<br />

07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

27%<br />

71.251<br />

14%<br />

75%<br />

90.179<br />

46%<br />

171.582<br />

58%<br />

270.310<br />

38%<br />

29%<br />

347.511<br />

392.646<br />

13%<br />

0%<br />

487.075<br />

24%<br />

18%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth Local currency Growth<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of 12 months<br />

520.000<br />

480.000<br />

440.000<br />

400.000<br />

360.000<br />

320.000<br />

280.000<br />

240.000<br />

200.000<br />

160.000<br />

120.000<br />

80.000<br />

40.000<br />

-<br />

23%<br />

392.646<br />

15%<br />

13%<br />

25%<br />

424.343<br />

25%<br />

453.183<br />

29%<br />

468.281<br />

16%<br />

12% 12% 12%<br />

10%<br />

8%<br />

8%<br />

7% 3% 4%<br />

31%<br />

487.075<br />

25%<br />

14%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

0,80%<br />

0,70%<br />

0,60%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

0,31% 0,31%<br />

0,47%<br />

0,61%<br />

0,73%<br />

0,63% 0,64%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of Business<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

27%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

28%<br />

90%<br />

25%<br />

58%<br />

21%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

29%<br />

7%<br />

13%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

31%<br />

24%<br />

23%


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,10%<br />

0,09%<br />

0,08%<br />

0,07%<br />

0,06%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,04%<br />

0,03%<br />

0,02%<br />

0,01%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

0,04%<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,04%<br />

0,008% 0,008%<br />

0,06%<br />

0,013%<br />

0,08%<br />

0,017%<br />

0,09%<br />

0,022%<br />

0,08%<br />

0,019%<br />

0,09%<br />

0,019%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written Premiums)<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

44%<br />

-24%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

29%<br />

45% 44%<br />

17%<br />

13%<br />

56%<br />

10%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

23%<br />

21%<br />

23%<br />

15% 14%<br />

15%<br />

15% 13% 11% 13%<br />

6%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

31%


150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

-50%<br />

-100%<br />

-150%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

76%<br />

-24%<br />

-74% -22%<br />

63%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

34%<br />

45% 44% 56%<br />

-73%<br />

56% 44%<br />

-85%<br />

16%<br />

60%<br />

38%<br />

34%<br />

23% 15%<br />

13%<br />

32%<br />

14% 25%<br />

9%<br />

-41% -52% -36%<br />

-21%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

56%<br />

12%<br />

44%<br />

24%<br />

9%<br />

15%<br />

Brazil: Administrative Expenses of <strong>Surety</strong> Companies only<br />

11%<br />

5%<br />

6%<br />

22%<br />

7%<br />

21% 20%<br />

7%<br />

9%<br />

25%<br />

12%<br />

15% 13% 11% 13%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross Administrative Expenses Gross<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

84%<br />

86%<br />

90%<br />

83%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

81%<br />

75%<br />

62%


USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2011* 2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

MALUCELLI 1 153.242 31% 1 141.936 36% 1 111.881 32% 1 115.167 43%<br />

FATOR 2 67.268 14% 2 48.461 12% 8 12.237 4% 11 2.018 1%<br />

UBF 3 46.935 10% 4 41.329 11% 2 48.690 14% 3 29.028 11%<br />

CESCE 4 30.759 6% 5 24.423 6% 6 20.961 6% 2 40.208 15%<br />

AUSTRAL 5 26.260 5% 23 582 0% 27 0 0% 26 0 0%<br />

BERKLEY 6 19.621 4% 6 21.359 5% 7 16.503 5% 5 20.225 7%<br />

ITAU 7 18.411 4% 3 44.615 11% 4 32.340 9% 4 27.552 10%<br />

ALLIANZ 8 17.562 4% 7 16.149 4% 9 10.686 3% 7 8.158 3%<br />

ZURICH 9 17.550 4% 20 887 0% 5 32.261 9% 33 -11 0%<br />

FAIRFAX 10 16.214 3% 14 3.102 1% 26 0 0% 25 0 0%<br />

Selected Market 413.821 85% 342.842 87% 285.561 82% 242.345 90%<br />

Remaining Market 73.254 15% 49.804 13% 61.951 18% 27.965 10%<br />

Total Market 487.075 100% 392.646 100% 347.511 100% 270.310 100%


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 487,1 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

ALLIANZ<br />

4% (4%)<br />

ITAU<br />

4% (11%)<br />

ZURICH<br />

4% (0%)<br />

BERKLEY<br />

4% (5%)<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

AUSTRAL<br />

5% (0%)<br />

FAIRFAX<br />

3% (1%)<br />

Others 15<br />

15% (13%)<br />

CESCE<br />

6% (6%)<br />

UBF<br />

10% (11%)<br />

MALUCELLI<br />

31% (36%)<br />

FATOR<br />

14% (12%)


USD thousands<br />

Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

*Figures as of December 2011<br />

Brazil Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 487.075 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 22,7% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 26 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 18.734 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 9 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 24% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 23% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 31% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 14% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 25% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 62% 55%


Brazil - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 487,1 millions � 24% from 2010 (� 18% reales),<br />

while All Lines of Business Premiums � 23% (� 17% reales)<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 0,64% of insurance portfolio (0.63% 2010)<br />

• Represents 0.02% of GDP & 0,09% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 23% of the Premium amount in the Region (22% 2010)<br />

• 9 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• Very Good Loss Ratio Earned Premium 14% (2011) � 15% (2010) & Very Good Technical Result<br />

31% (2011) � 23% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 25% (2011) � 13% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 6%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (stable),<br />

Technical Result (� 2 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 3 p.p.)<br />

• Average Exchange Rate for the year 1,67 (2011) � (5%) 1,76 (2010)


USD 361,0 millions<br />

16,9%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Colombia<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

400.000<br />

350.000<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

24%<br />

22%<br />

102.846<br />

22%<br />

38%<br />

125.539<br />

173.086 176.873<br />

2%<br />

-2%<br />

39%<br />

53%<br />

246.336<br />

313.454<br />

27%<br />

11%<br />

360.990<br />

12%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth Local currency Growth<br />

15%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of 12 months<br />

400.000<br />

350.000<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

0<br />

99% 101% 99%<br />

313.454<br />

323.181<br />

343.065<br />

103%<br />

349.441<br />

47% 48% 46% 48%<br />

21% 3% 20%<br />

6% 21%<br />

2% 20%<br />

3%<br />

360.990<br />

93%<br />

41%<br />

25%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

6,00%<br />

5,00%<br />

4,00%<br />

3,00%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

3,66%<br />

3,88%<br />

4,19%<br />

3,44%<br />

4,67%<br />

5,00% 4,90%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of<br />

Business<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

22%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

15%<br />

38%<br />

28%<br />

2%<br />

24%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

39%<br />

2%<br />

27%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

19%<br />

15%<br />

18%


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,80%<br />

0,70%<br />

0,60%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

0,45%<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,50%<br />

0,54%<br />

0,48%<br />

0,070% 0,078% 0,082% 0,076%<br />

0,66% 0,67% 0,69%<br />

0,106% 0,110% 0,112%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

37%<br />

34%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

32%<br />

24%<br />

18%<br />

36%<br />

35%<br />

27%<br />

32%<br />

51%<br />

30%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

44%<br />

24% 22%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

21%<br />

47%<br />

34%<br />

21%<br />

41%<br />

25%<br />

25%


120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

1%<br />

54%<br />

5%<br />

37%<br />

96%<br />

3%<br />

46%<br />

6%<br />

24%<br />

78%<br />

46%<br />

4%<br />

35%<br />

55%<br />

51%<br />

-1% -1%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

-2%<br />

82%<br />

4%<br />

109%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

3%<br />

41%<br />

44%<br />

87%<br />

44%<br />

10%<br />

47%<br />

-2%<br />

99%<br />

4%<br />

47%<br />

2%<br />

41%<br />

93%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%


100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

86%<br />

32%<br />

20%<br />

66%<br />

26%<br />

20%<br />

70%<br />

25%<br />

19%<br />

80%<br />

27%<br />

20%<br />

34%<br />

30%<br />

34%<br />

27%<br />

18%<br />

21%<br />

25%<br />

0% 1% -1% 2% 1% -1% 2%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross<br />

Administrative Expenses Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

63%<br />

20%<br />

20%<br />

80%<br />

22%<br />

25%<br />

71%<br />

23%<br />

21%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

41%<br />

44%<br />

44%<br />

52% 51%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

50%<br />

54%


USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011<br />

Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2011 2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

CONFIANZA 1 69.330 19% 1 62.502 20% 1 54.939 22% 1 37.713 21%<br />

ESTADO 2 55.140 15% 2 46.913 15% 2 38.215 16% 3 19.117 11%<br />

LIBERTY 3 33.767 9% 3 28.819 9% 3 19.777 8% 9 6.999 4%<br />

SURAMERICANA 4 31.137 9% 4 25.264 8% 4 18.984 8% 2 24.460 14%<br />

MUNDIAL 5 24.477 7% 5 21.584 7% 6 15.238 6% 4 17.487 10%<br />

BOLIVAR 6 20.763 6% 8 17.969 6% 8 13.782 6% 5 13.865 8%<br />

CONDOR 7 20.706 6% 6 19.068 6% 5 15.466 6% 6 13.327 8%<br />

SOLIDARIA 8 18.042 5% 10 13.732 4% 12 7.748 3% 11 4.372 2%<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE 9 17.257 5% 7 18.552 6% 7 15.193 6% 7 10.505 6%<br />

COLPATRIA 10 16.916 5% 9 13.998 4% 10 9.094 4% 10 5.966 3%<br />

Selected Market 307.535 85% 268.401 86% 208.437 85% 153.811 87%<br />

Remaining Market 53.454 15% 45.054 14% 37.900 15% 23.063 13%<br />

Total Market 360.990 100% 313.454 100% 246.336 100% 176.874 100%


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 361,0 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE<br />

5% (6%)<br />

SOLIDARIA<br />

5% (4%)<br />

CONDOR<br />

6% (6%)<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

COLPATRIA<br />

5% (4%)<br />

BOLIVAR<br />

6% (6%)<br />

MUNDIAL<br />

7% (7%)<br />

Others 12<br />

15% (14%)<br />

SURAMERICANA<br />

9% (8%)<br />

CONFIANZA<br />

19% (20%)<br />

ESTADO<br />

15% (15%)<br />

LIBERTY<br />

9% (9%)


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Colombia Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 360.990 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 16,9% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 22 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 16.409 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 9 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 15% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 18% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 25% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 41% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 93% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 54% 55%


Colombia - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 361,0 millions � 15% from 2010 (� 12% pesos),<br />

while All Lines of Business Premiums � 18% (� 15% pesos)<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 4,90% of insurance portfolio (5,00% 2010)<br />

• Represents 0.11% of GDP & 0,69% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 17% of the Premium amount in the Region (18% 2010)<br />

• 9 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• High Loss Ratio Earned Premium 41% (2011) � 47% (2010) & Good Technical Result 25% (2011)<br />

� 21% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 93% (2011) � 99% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 4%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (� 2 p.p.),<br />

Technical Result (� 1 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 1 p.p.)<br />

• Average Exchange Rate for the year 1.854,02 (2011) �(2%) 1.901,45 (2010)


USD 475,9 millions<br />

22,2%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Mexico<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

500.000<br />

450.000<br />

400.000<br />

350.000<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

-<br />

11%<br />

19%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

348.491<br />

11%<br />

11%<br />

385.190<br />

11%<br />

427.163<br />

5%<br />

447.171<br />

7%<br />

353.574<br />

399.223<br />

475.896<br />

-21%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

-4%<br />

13%<br />

6%<br />

18%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth Local currency Growth<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

-20%<br />

-25%


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of 12 months<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

500.000<br />

450.000<br />

400.000<br />

350.000<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

0<br />

71% 72% 70%<br />

399.223<br />

410.094<br />

433.475<br />

460.415<br />

475.896<br />

68% 67%<br />

37% 37% 39% 38% 37%<br />

18% 19% 18% 18% 19%<br />

3% 6% 6% 3%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

3,00%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,00%<br />

2,60%<br />

2,45%<br />

2,35% 2,33%<br />

1,98% 2,03% 2,10%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of Business<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

-15%<br />

-20%<br />

-25%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

11%<br />

17%<br />

11%<br />

16%<br />

5%<br />

6%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

-21%<br />

-7%<br />

13%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

10%<br />

19%<br />

16%


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,45%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,25%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,15%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,38% 0,39% 0,39%<br />

0,38%<br />

0,34% 0,33%<br />

0,34%<br />

0,041% 0,040% 0,042% 0,041% 0,040% 0,039% 0,040%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written Premiums)<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

35%<br />

31%<br />

31% 33%<br />

32%<br />

27%<br />

26%<br />

17%<br />

37%<br />

29%<br />

19%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

31%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

37% 37% 37%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

18%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

10%


100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

4% 87%<br />

32%<br />

20%<br />

31%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

2%<br />

71%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

33%<br />

1%<br />

73%<br />

31%<br />

15%<br />

26%<br />

1%<br />

81%<br />

36%<br />

15%<br />

29%<br />

0% 0%<br />

72% 71%<br />

35% 37%<br />

16%<br />

15%<br />

36%<br />

12%<br />

20% 18% 19%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

0%<br />

67%<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

86%<br />

23%<br />

25%<br />

23%<br />

25%<br />

27%<br />

27%<br />

35%<br />

25%<br />

2%<br />

27%<br />

2%<br />

17%<br />

0%<br />

19%<br />

0%<br />

15%<br />

0%<br />

17%<br />

0%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

66%<br />

12%<br />

25%<br />

61%<br />

20%<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross<br />

67%<br />

22%<br />

Administrative Expenses Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

63%<br />

21%<br />

66%<br />

21%<br />

55%<br />

20%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


50%<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

32%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

29%<br />

36%<br />

40%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

42%<br />

43%<br />

45%


USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2011 2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

ASERTA 1 135.304 28% 1 119.727 30% 1 98.638 28% 1 118.508 27%<br />

MRREY NYL 2 119.358 25% 2 98.842 25% 2 88.839 25% 2 115.901 26%<br />

SOFIMEX 3 78.030 16% 3 66.819 17% 3 58.373 17% 3 72.113 16%<br />

PRIMERO 4 34.719 7% 4 30.567 8% 4 28.720 8% 6 28.657 6%<br />

CHUBB 5 28.252 6% 5 22.125 6% 7 17.335 5% 8 13.880 3%<br />

ATLAS 6 22.442 5% 6 20.580 5% 6 19.259 5% 7 22.040 5%<br />

DORAMA 7 21.394 5% 7 16.892 4% 5 19.301 5% 5 31.429 7%<br />

INBURSA 8 19.798 4% 8 14.535 4% 8 12.610 4% 4 31.696 7%<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE 9 6.317 1% 9 4.352 1% 11 2.890 1% 11 2.874 1%<br />

HSBC 10 4.195 1% 14 0 0% 9 2.927 1% 10 4.028 1%<br />

Selected Market 469.808 99% 394.440 99% 348.892 99% 441.127 99%<br />

Remaining Market 6.087 1% 4.782 1% 4.682 1% 6.044 1%<br />

Total Market 475.896 100% 399.223 100% 353.574 100% 447.171 100%


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 475,9 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

DORAMA<br />

5% (4%)<br />

ATLAS<br />

5% (5%)<br />

CHUBB<br />

6% (6%)<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

PRIMERO<br />

7% (8%)<br />

INBURSA<br />

4% (4%)<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE<br />

1% (1%)<br />

SOFIMEX<br />

16% (17%)<br />

HSBC<br />

1% (0%) Others 5<br />

1% (1%)<br />

ASERTA<br />

28% (30%)<br />

MRREY NYL<br />

25% (25%)


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Does not include Fidelity<br />

Mexico Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 475.896 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 22,2% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 15 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 31.726 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 5 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 19% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 16% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 37% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 19% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 67% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 45% 55%


Mexico - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 475,9 millions � 19% from 2010 (� 18% en pesos),<br />

just like All Lines of Business Premiums � 16% (� 14% en pesos)<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 2,0% of insurance portfolio<br />

• Represents 0.04% of GDP & 0,34% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 22% of the Premium amount in the Region (23% 2010)<br />

• 5 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• Excellent Loss Ratio Earned Premium 10% (2011) � 17% (2010) & Very Good Technical Result<br />

37% (2011) 37% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 67% (2011) � 71% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 5%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (stable) ,<br />

Technical Result (stable), Net Combined Ratio (� 1 p.p.)<br />

• Average Exchange Rate for the year 12,49 (2011) � (1%) 12,63 (2010)


USD 227,4 millions<br />

10,6%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Argentina<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

240.000<br />

200.000<br />

160.000<br />

120.000<br />

80.000<br />

40.000<br />

72.682<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

32%<br />

28%<br />

96.276<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

35%<br />

32% 26%<br />

123.671<br />

24%<br />

152.793<br />

18%<br />

9%<br />

165.881<br />

158.176<br />

227.357<br />

44%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009<br />

-5%<br />

2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth Local currency Growth<br />

8%<br />

54%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

240.000<br />

200.000<br />

160.000<br />

120.000<br />

80.000<br />

40.000<br />

175.826<br />

39%<br />

•Figures as of 12 months (Including December)<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

-<br />

75%<br />

6%<br />

6%<br />

70% 70% 69% 71%<br />

186.021<br />

42%<br />

1%<br />

8%<br />

201.679<br />

42%<br />

2%<br />

215.103<br />

44%<br />

0%<br />

7% 6%<br />

227.357<br />

45%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

1%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

2,50%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,50%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,00%<br />

1,70%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

1,93%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

2,04% 2,03% 2,04%<br />

1,82% 1,79%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of<br />

Business<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

32%<br />

16%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

28%<br />

22%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

24%<br />

24%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10<br />

-5%<br />

10-11*<br />

9%<br />

8% 7%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

44%<br />

46%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,40%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,25%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,15%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,33%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,36%<br />

0,36%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,040% 0,045% 0,047% 0,047% 0,054%<br />

0,29%<br />

0,043%<br />

0,35%<br />

0,052%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

5%<br />

49%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

14%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

Argentina: Loss Ratio Written Premium, Figures from 2009<br />

43% 44% 45%<br />

11%<br />

9% 9%<br />

25%<br />

40%<br />

-1%<br />

3%<br />

46% 45%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

1%<br />

9%


80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

51%<br />

60%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

52%<br />

69%<br />

4%<br />

5%<br />

4%<br />

14%<br />

4%<br />

11% 9%<br />

4%<br />

9%<br />

4%<br />

-1%<br />

8%<br />

1%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008<br />

-1%<br />

2009 2010 2011*<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

61%<br />

47% 55%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

62%<br />

60%<br />

73%<br />

63%<br />

66%<br />

61%<br />

71%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

75%<br />

29%<br />

22%<br />

25%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

57%<br />

31%<br />

23%<br />

3%<br />

64%<br />

32%<br />

23%<br />

2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross Administrative Expenses Gross<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

9%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

45%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

49%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

47%<br />

51%<br />

52% 51%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

47%


USD thousands<br />

* Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

Dec 2011* Jun 2010 Jun 2009 Jun 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

ACG 1 30.063 13% 1 25.406 16% 1 28.576 17% 1 27.435 18%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> 2 24.259 11% 2 19.645 12% 2 20.556 12% 3 17.121 11%<br />

CHUBB 3 20.034 9% 3 16.528 10% 4 17.432 11% 2 18.599 12%<br />

ASEGCAUC 4 17.358 8% 4 16.057 10% 3 18.088 11% 4 16.956 11%<br />

TESTIMONIO 5 17.225 8% 22 1.171 1% 39 191 0% 44 50 0%<br />

AFIANZADORA 6 16.913 7% 5 12.154 8% 5 12.920 8% 5 11.338 7%<br />

ZURICH 7 11.570 5% 7 7.542 5% 7 7.769 5% 7 6.008 4%<br />

ALBA 8 10.677 5% 6 7.733 5% 6 10.469 6% 6 10.868 7%<br />

PRUDENCIA 9 7.741 3% 15 2.460 2% 15 2.626 2% 14 2.600 2%<br />

ALLIANZ 10 6.985 3% 10 4.308 3% 9 4.241 3% 12 2.964 2%<br />

Selected Market 162.826 72% 113.006 71% 122.865 74% 113.939 75%<br />

Remaining Market 64.531 28% 45.170 29% 43.015 26% 38.854 25%<br />

Total Market 227.357 100% 158.176 100% 165.881 100% 152.793 100%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 227,4 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

ALLIANZ<br />

3% (3%)<br />

PRUDENCIA<br />

3% (2%)<br />

ALBA<br />

5% (5%)<br />

Figures as of December 2011 12 months<br />

Others 53<br />

28% (29%)<br />

ZURICH<br />

5% (5%)<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

AFIANZADORA<br />

7% (8%)<br />

ACG<br />

13% (16%)<br />

<strong>Surety</strong><br />

11% (12%)<br />

CHUBB<br />

9% (10%)<br />

ASEGCAUC<br />

8% (10%)<br />

TESTIMONIO<br />

8% (1%)


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June except for COFACE December<br />

Argentina Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 227.357 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 10,6% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 63 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 3.609 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 13 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 44% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 46% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 45% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 1% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 71% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 47% 55%


Argentina - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 12ms USD 227,4 millions � 44% from 2010 (� 54%<br />

pesos), while All Lines of Business Premiums � 46% (� 57% pesos).<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 1,79% of insurance portfolio (1,82% 2010)<br />

• Represents 0.05% of GDP & 0,35% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 10,6% of the Premium amount in the Region (9% 2010)<br />

• 13 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• Excellent Loss Ratio Earned Premium 1% (2011) � -1% (2010) & Excellent Technical Result 45%<br />

(2011) � 46% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 71% (2011) � 66% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 7%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (� 1 p.p.),<br />

Technical Result (� 1 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 1 p.p.)<br />

• Average Exchange Rate for the year 4,21 (2011) � (7%) 3,95 (2010)


USD 125,1 millions<br />

5,8%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Panama<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

140.000<br />

120.000<br />

100.000<br />

80.000<br />

60.000<br />

40.000<br />

20.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

85%<br />

23.923<br />

44.307 47.290<br />

26%<br />

59.510<br />

68.820<br />

100.345<br />

125.130<br />

2005<br />

7%<br />

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

16%<br />

46%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth<br />

25%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of 12 months<br />

140.000<br />

120.000<br />

100.000<br />

80.000<br />

60.000<br />

40.000<br />

20.000<br />

0<br />

26%<br />

100.345<br />

22%<br />

18%<br />

17%<br />

114.952<br />

18%<br />

18%<br />

29%<br />

118.806<br />

24%<br />

15% 3% -12%<br />

42%<br />

30%<br />

104.283<br />

38%<br />

125.130<br />

16% 17% 16%<br />

20%<br />

36%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

12,00%<br />

10,00%<br />

8,00%<br />

6,00%<br />

4,00%<br />

2,00%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

5,38%<br />

8,38%<br />

7,34%<br />

7,46%<br />

7,87%<br />

10,37%<br />

11,32%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of Business<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

85%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

19%<br />

7%<br />

22%<br />

26%<br />

24%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

16%<br />

10%<br />

46%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

11%<br />

25%<br />

14%


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

3,50%<br />

3,00%<br />

2,50%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,50%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

1,18%<br />

0,155%<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

2,09%<br />

2,11%<br />

2,49%<br />

2,24%<br />

0,259% 0,239% 0,257% 0,277%<br />

2,80%<br />

0,374%<br />

3,09%<br />

0,414%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

50%<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

2%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

37%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

Loss Ratio Gross Premium: Not available<br />

41%<br />

22%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

34%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

27%<br />

43%<br />

20%<br />

26%<br />

18%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums<br />

38%<br />

16%


150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

-50%<br />

-100%<br />

-150%<br />

Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

54%<br />

2%<br />

-79%<br />

-22%<br />

43%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

41% 30% 34% 43%<br />

-8%<br />

-92%<br />

56%<br />

-88%<br />

-1%<br />

66%<br />

-105%<br />

-5%<br />

72%<br />

-99%<br />

17%<br />

64% 22%<br />

26%<br />

-69%<br />

62%<br />

38%<br />

-64%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

36%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%


100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

78%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

84% 84% 84%<br />

87% 87% 87%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2011 2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

ASSA 1 24.186 19% 2 17.161 17% 4 7.246 11% 4 9.708 16%<br />

ANCON 2 23.925 19% 1 27.876 28% 1 21.421 31% 3 10.594 18%<br />

CHARTIS 3 20.072 16% 5 6.932 7% 6 5.722 8% 6 4.388 7%<br />

INTERNACIONAL 4 11.717 9% 3 16.409 16% 2 9.044 13% 2 11.041 19%<br />

NACIONAL 5 10.618 8% 8 3.573 4% 18 0 0% 18 0 0%<br />

CONSTITUCION 6 9.573 8% 7 4.781 5% 10 1.538 2% 15 0 0%<br />

QBE 7 9.312 7% 4 7.148 7% 5 6.404 9% 5 5.408 9%<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE 8 5.992 5% 6 5.730 6% 3 8.330 12% 1 12.763 21%<br />

HSBC 9 1.969 2% 12 1.676 2% 7 3.365 5% 9 1.245 2%<br />

SURAMERICANA 10 1.798 1% 9 2.931 3% 9 1.656 2% 7 1.749 3%<br />

Selected Market 119.160 95% 94.218 94% 64.726 94% 56.895 96%<br />

Remaining Market 5.969 5% 6.127 6% 4.094 6% 2.615 4%<br />

Total Market 125.130 100% 100.345 100% 68.820 100% 59.510 100%


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 125,1 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE<br />

5% (6%)<br />

QBE<br />

7% (7%)<br />

CONSTITUCION<br />

8% (5%)<br />

NACIONAL<br />

8% (4%)<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

HSBC SURAMERICANA<br />

2% (2%) 1% (3%)<br />

INTERNACIONAL<br />

9% (16%)<br />

Others 9<br />

5% (6%)<br />

ASSA<br />

19% (17%)<br />

CHARTIS<br />

16% (7%)<br />

ANCON<br />

19% (28%)


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Panama Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 125.130 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 5,8% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 21 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 5.959 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 6 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 25% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 14% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 16% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 38% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 36% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 87% 55%


Panama - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 125,1 millions � 25% from 2010, while All Lines of<br />

Business Premiums � 14%.<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 11,32% of insurance portfolio (10,37% 2010)<br />

• Represents 0,41% of GDP & 3,09% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 5,8% of the Premium amount in the Region<br />

• 6 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• High Loss Ratio Earned Premium 38% (2011) � 26% (2010) & Low Technical Result 16% (2011) �<br />

18% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 36% (2011) � 22% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 6%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (� 3 p.p.),<br />

Technical Result (stable), Net Combined Ratio (� 4 p.p.)


USD 191,0 millions<br />

8,9%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Venezuela<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

* Figures projected to December 2011<br />

Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

101%<br />

60.267<br />

105%<br />

31%<br />

31%<br />

121.064<br />

159.164<br />

66%<br />

66%<br />

263.577<br />

250.638<br />

-5%<br />

-5%<br />

154.454<br />

-38%<br />

23%<br />

24%<br />

190.981<br />

24%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth Local currency Growth<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

-60%


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

3,00%<br />

2,50%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,50%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,00%<br />

* Figures projected to December 2011<br />

1,83%<br />

2,47%<br />

2,22%<br />

2,55%<br />

1,94%<br />

1,78% 1,78%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of<br />

Business<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

-40%<br />

-60%<br />

101%<br />

* Figures projected to December 2011<br />

31%<br />

66%<br />

49% 47% 44%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

-5%<br />

25%<br />

-38%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

-33%<br />

24%<br />

24%


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

0,80%<br />

0,70%<br />

0,60%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,37%<br />

0,042%<br />

* Figures projected to December 2011<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,56% 0,55%<br />

0,70%<br />

0,56%<br />

0,066% 0,070% 0,085% 0,077%<br />

0,58%<br />

0,053%<br />

0,67%<br />

0,062%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

40%<br />

Available figures as of December 2010<br />

36%<br />

38%<br />

3%<br />

3% 3%<br />

4% 4%<br />

2% 1% 1%<br />

1%<br />

3% 3% 3%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

34%<br />

38% 38%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Available figures as of December 2010<br />

Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

13%<br />

30%<br />

54%<br />

42%<br />

6%<br />

23%<br />

30%<br />

10% 12% 11%<br />

50%<br />

8%<br />

47%<br />

6%<br />

2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 3%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

31%<br />

7%<br />

51%<br />

5%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

39%<br />

4%<br />

46%<br />

5%<br />

34%<br />

4%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

0%<br />

48%<br />

8%<br />

19%<br />

17%<br />

Available figures as of December 2010<br />

36%<br />

5%<br />

16%<br />

14%<br />

39%<br />

4%<br />

17%<br />

40%<br />

38% 38%<br />

3% 2% 2%<br />

17% 18% 15%<br />

15% 16% 14% 16%<br />

3% 1% 3% 3% 4% 4%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010<br />

Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross Administrative Expenses Gross<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Available figures as of December 2010<br />

Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

44%<br />

34%<br />

48%<br />

49%<br />

57% 57%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010


USD thousands<br />

Figures as of December 2010<br />

Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Valor % Merc. Rank. Valor<br />

%<br />

Merc.<br />

Rank. Valor<br />

%<br />

Merc.<br />

HighMIRA 1 26.417 17% 3 22.040 9% 2 28.318 11%<br />

PIRAMIDE 2 24.133 16% 2 32.655 13% 3 24.917 9%<br />

CORPORATIVOS 3 15.965 10% 1 43.245 17% 1 54.491 21%<br />

OCCIDENTAL 4 11.517 7% 4 17.950 7% 5 18.830 7%<br />

ESTAR 5 11.470 7% 9 9.308 4% 17 3.858 1%<br />

TRANSEGURO 6 10.194 7% 7 11.715 5% 7 9.458 4%<br />

CARONI 7 9.413 6% 5 13.326 5% 18 3.658 1%<br />

HORIZONTE 8 5.154 3% 31 1.332 1% 15 4.228 2%<br />

CONSTITUCION 9 3.972 3% 10 7.722 3% 20 3.402 1%<br />

CATATUMBO 10 3.738 2% 19 3.164 1% 10 6.888 3%<br />

Selected Market 121.972 79% 162.458 65% 158.050 60%<br />

Remaining Market 32.482 21% 88.180 35% 105.527 40%<br />

Total Market 154.454 100% 250.638 100% 263.577 100%


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 154,4 US$ MM 2010 (2009)<br />

CATATUMBO<br />

2% (1%)<br />

CONSTITUCION<br />

3% (3%)<br />

HORIZONTE<br />

3% (1%)<br />

CARONI<br />

6% (5%)<br />

Figures as of December 2010<br />

Others 27<br />

21% (35%)<br />

TRANSEGURO<br />

7% (5%)<br />

ESTAR<br />

7% (4%)<br />

OCCIDENTAL<br />

7% (7%)<br />

HighMIRA<br />

17% (9%)<br />

PIRAMIDE<br />

16% (13%)<br />

CORPORATIVOS<br />

10% (17%)


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Venezuela: Figures projected to December 2011<br />

Venezuela Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 190.981 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 8,9% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 37 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 5.162 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 11 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 24% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 24% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 38% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 3% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 46% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 57% 55%


Venezuela - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2010 USD 154 millions � 38% from 2009 (� 23% bolívares fuertes),<br />

while All Lines of Business Premiums � 33% (� 34% bolívares fuertes). As of December 2011 All Lines of<br />

Business Premiums � 24% (� 24% bf)<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums projected as of December 2011 USD 191,0 millions � 24% from 2010 (� 24% bolívares<br />

fuertes)<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 1,78% of insurance portfolio (1,94% 2009)<br />

• Represents 0.06% of GDP & 0,67% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 9% of the Premium amount in the Region (9% 2010)<br />

• 11 Companies concentrate 80% Market (2010)<br />

• Excellent Loss Ratio Earned Premium 3% (2010) 3% (2009) & Very Good Technical Result 38% (2010) 38%<br />

(2009)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 46% (2010) � 51% (2009)<br />

• Average Exchange Rate for the year 4,30 (2011) (stable) 4,30 (2010) 2,15 (2009)


USD 93,0 millions<br />

4,3%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums & Growth<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

Annual growth<br />

% GDP & Public Expense<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Ranking of companies<br />

Insurers’ Market Share<br />

Relevant Figures<br />

Conclusions<br />

Ecuador<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% Ceded Premiums


'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums & Growth<br />

100.000<br />

90.000<br />

80.000<br />

70.000<br />

60.000<br />

50.000<br />

40.000<br />

30.000<br />

20.000<br />

10.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

29%<br />

27.195<br />

16%<br />

35.145<br />

40.916<br />

88%<br />

76.964 76.155<br />

-1%<br />

4%<br />

78.969<br />

92.898<br />

18%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums USD Growth<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

'000 USD<br />

•Figures as of 12 months<br />

100.000<br />

90.000<br />

80.000<br />

70.000<br />

60.000<br />

50.000<br />

40.000<br />

30.000<br />

20.000<br />

10.000<br />

0<br />

34%<br />

34%<br />

78.969 80.039<br />

21%<br />

17%<br />

19%<br />

13%<br />

36%<br />

86.750<br />

11%<br />

34%<br />

90.134<br />

23%<br />

17%<br />

1% 8% 4% 3%<br />

4%<br />

36%<br />

92.898<br />

19%<br />

Dc.10* Mr.11* Jn.11* Sp.11* Dc.11*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium <strong>Surety</strong> Quarterly Growth<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

7%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % of All Lines of Business<br />

10,00%<br />

9,00%<br />

8,00%<br />

7,00%<br />

6,00%<br />

5,00%<br />

4,00%<br />

3,00%<br />

2,00%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

5,01%<br />

5,70%<br />

6,03%<br />

8,71%<br />

8,08%<br />

7,13% 6,95%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums Annual Growth vs. All Lines of Business<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

29%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

14%<br />

16%<br />

10%<br />

88%<br />

30%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

-1%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Growth All Lines of B. Premiums Growth<br />

7%<br />

4%<br />

18%<br />

18%<br />

21%


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Premiums as % GDP & % of Public Expense<br />

1,40%<br />

1,20%<br />

1,00%<br />

0,80%<br />

0,60%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,00%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

0,66%<br />

GDP, Public Expense: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,76%<br />

0,79%<br />

0,074% 0,084% 0,090%<br />

1,29%<br />

1,19%<br />

1,16%<br />

1,22%<br />

0,142% 0,146% 0,134% 0,141%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / GDP <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums / Public Expense


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

50%<br />

45%<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

15%<br />

23%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

42%<br />

14%<br />

12%<br />

39%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

6%<br />

28%<br />

42%<br />

10%<br />

18%<br />

32%<br />

34% 34%<br />

27%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Technical Result / Written Premiums Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

25%<br />

21%<br />

44%<br />

32%<br />

19%<br />

36%


100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

-50%<br />

-100%<br />

-150%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Net Combined Ratio<br />

5%<br />

49%<br />

15% 12% 6% 10%<br />

1%<br />

-12%<br />

-81% -22%<br />

-84%<br />

Ecuador: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

5% 4% 4%<br />

45% 49% 48%<br />

-104%<br />

-44%<br />

-61% -60%<br />

4%<br />

22% 4% 3%<br />

52%<br />

17%<br />

45% 45%<br />

7%<br />

25% 21% 19%<br />

-52%<br />

-60%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium(Net) Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-40%<br />

-50%


80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

54%<br />

12%<br />

56%<br />

47%<br />

13%<br />

10%<br />

36%<br />

11%<br />

50%<br />

11%<br />

10%<br />

43%<br />

12%<br />

14%<br />

12%<br />

11%<br />

12%<br />

11%<br />

23%<br />

1%<br />

10%<br />

14%<br />

1%<br />

28%<br />

1%<br />

11%<br />

18%<br />

1%<br />

27%<br />

1%<br />

44%<br />

1%<br />

32%<br />

1%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Loss Ratio Written Premium Acquisition Expense Gross<br />

Administrative Expenses Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

Ecuador: Admin. Expenses of All lines of Business<br />

68%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: % Ceded Premiums<br />

75%<br />

77%<br />

79%<br />

76% 75% 75% 74%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers Ranking<br />

2011 2010 2009 2008<br />

Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. % Rank. Val. %<br />

CONFIANZA 1 17.856 19% 1 15.006 19% 1 14.981 20% 1 14.008 18%<br />

ORIENTE 2 11.963 13% 2 10.126 13% 2 9.847 13% 2 8.048 10%<br />

EQUINOCCIAL 3 11.020 12% 3 7.843 10% 4 6.565 9% 3 5.976 8%<br />

TOPSEG 4 8.410 9% 5 6.927 9% 5 5.700 7% 6 5.301 7%<br />

ASUR 5 8.377 9% 6 5.432 7% 7 4.584 6% 5 5.524 7%<br />

QBE 6 7.222 8% 4 7.053 9% 3 7.099 9% 4 5.904 8%<br />

LATINA 7 4.148 4% 7 3.650 5% 8 3.914 5% 11 2.851 4%<br />

CAUCIONES 8 3.654 4% 12 2.083 3% 19 368 0% 33 0 0%<br />

COLON 9 3.033 3% 9 2.704 3% 11 2.934 4% 10 2.929 4%<br />

INTEROCEANICA 10 1.890 2% 10 2.475 3% 9 3.721 5% 8 4.001 5%<br />

Selected Market 77.573 84% 63.299 80% 59.713 78% 54.542 71%<br />

Remaining Market 15.325 16% 15.670 20% 16.442 22% 22.422 29%<br />

Total Market 92.898 100% 78.969 100% 76.155 100% 76.964 100%


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Insurers’ Market Share 90,1 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

INTEROCEANICA<br />

2% (3%)<br />

COLON<br />

3% (3%)<br />

CAUCIONES<br />

4% (3%)<br />

LATINA<br />

4% (5%)<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

QBE<br />

8% (9%)<br />

Others 22<br />

16% (20%)<br />

ASUR<br />

9% (7%)<br />

TOPSEG<br />

9% (9%)<br />

CONFIANZA<br />

19% (19%)<br />

ORIENTE<br />

13% (13%)<br />

EQUINOCCIAL<br />

12% (10%)


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Relevant Figures<br />

USD thousands<br />

*Figures as of December 2011.<br />

Ecuador Region<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 92.898 2.141.939<br />

Market Share 4,3% 100%<br />

Num. Companies 32 372<br />

Premiums / Num. Companies 2.903 5.758<br />

Num. Companies 80% Market 9 108<br />

Growth 10-11* <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums 18% 22%<br />

Growth 10-11* All Lines of Business Premiums 21% 22%<br />

Technical Result (% Premiums) 36% 33%<br />

Earned Premium Loss Ratio 19% 19%<br />

Net Combined Ratio 7% 59%<br />

% Ceded Premiums 74% 55%


Ecuador - <strong>Surety</strong>: Conclusions<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> Premiums as of December 2011 USD 92,9 millions � 18% from 2010, while All Lines of<br />

Business Premiums � 21%.<br />

• <strong>Surety</strong> represents 6,95% of insurance portfolio (7,13% 2010)<br />

• Represents 0.14% of GDP & 1,22% of Public Expense<br />

• Concentrates 4% of the Premium amount in the Region (4% 2010)<br />

• 9 Companies concentrate 80% Market<br />

• Very Good Loss Ratio Earned Premium 19% (2011) � 21% (2010) & Very Good Technical Result<br />

36% � (2011) 34% (2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 7% (2011) � 17% (2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 4%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (stable),<br />

Technical Result (� 1 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 2 p.p.)


Credit Insurance


:: Conclusions<br />

Latin America<br />

Credit Insurance Premiums & Growth<br />

Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

% of All Lines of Business<br />

% of All Lines of Business by country<br />

Annual growth<br />

Growth 2009 - 2010<br />

Growth 2010 - 2011<br />

Average Growth 2005 - 2011<br />

% GDP<br />

% GDP by country<br />

% of <strong>Surety</strong> & Credit by Country<br />

Loss Ratio & Technical Result<br />

Loss Ratio by country<br />

Technical Result by country<br />

Combined Ratio<br />

Combined Ratio by country<br />

% Ceded Premiums by country<br />

Market share by country<br />

Regional Ranking Indiv. Companies<br />

Market share Top 10 Indiv. Companies<br />

Regional Ranking International Companies<br />

Market Share International Companies<br />

Available Info by Line of Business<br />

Relevant Figures


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums & Growth<br />

'000 USD<br />

*Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

-<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

26%<br />

24%<br />

30%<br />

-4%<br />

20%<br />

21%<br />

97.202 122.268 151.870 197.772 190.474 228.775 276.134<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Credit Premiums USD Growth<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums, Loss Ratio & Results Trend<br />

*Figures as of 12 months<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

'000 USD<br />

300.000<br />

250.000<br />

200.000<br />

150.000<br />

100.000<br />

50.000<br />

-<br />

49%<br />

29%<br />

31%<br />

28%<br />

38%<br />

25%<br />

62%<br />

66%<br />

32% 34%<br />

22%<br />

22%<br />

28%<br />

24%<br />

24%<br />

7% 8% 4% 0%<br />

228.775 244.963 265.733 275.477 276.134<br />

Dic.2010 Mar.2011* Jun.2011* Sep.2011* Dic.2011<br />

Credit Premiums Technical Result Loss Ratio Earned Premium<br />

Combined Ratio Quarterly Growth<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%


Latin America – Credit Ins.: Credit Premiums (% All Lines of<br />

Business)<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

0,25%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,15%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,05%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,18% 0,19% 0,19%<br />

0,21%<br />

0,19% 0,19% 0,19%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Credit Premiums (% All Lines of<br />

Business) by country<br />

0,80%<br />

0,70%<br />

0,60%<br />

0,50%<br />

0,40%<br />

0,30%<br />

0,20%<br />

0,10%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,75%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

0,41%<br />

0,30%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

0,24%<br />

0,19% 0,19%<br />

0,12% 0,12%<br />

0,06% 0,05% 0,03%<br />

Chi Ecu Col Méx Arg Reg Bol Bra Per Uru Ven


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Annual growth Credit Premiums vs. All<br />

Lines of Business<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

26%<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

23%<br />

24%<br />

24%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11*<br />

-4%<br />

5%<br />

20%<br />

Credit Premiums Growth All Lines of Business Premiums Growth<br />

16%<br />

21%<br />

23%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Growth 2009 - 2010 by country<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

-30%<br />

-40%<br />

39%<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

31%<br />

27% 26%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

22%<br />

20%<br />

12% 12%<br />

Arg Méx Ecu Chi Bol Reg Bra Col Uru Per Ven<br />

9%<br />

5%<br />

-34%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Growth 2010-2011 by country<br />

200%<br />

150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

-50%<br />

-100%<br />

168%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

81%<br />

35%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

27% 25% 21% 21% 20%<br />

12% 9%<br />

Uru Ecu Arg Chi Per Ven Reg Bra Col Méx Bol<br />

-43%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Average Growth 2005-2011 by<br />

country<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

67%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

30%<br />

28%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

23% 22% 22%<br />

20% 20%<br />

13% 11% 8%<br />

Ecu Bol Arg Bra Chi Uru Col Reg Méx Per Ven


Latin America – Credit Ins.: Premiums (% GDP)<br />

60,000%<br />

50,000%<br />

40,000%<br />

30,000%<br />

20,000%<br />

10,000%<br />

0,000%<br />

•Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

GDP: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,39<br />

0,42<br />

0,44<br />

0,49<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

0,51<br />

0,50<br />

0,52


Latin America – Credit Ins.: Premiums as % of GDP by country<br />

0,04%<br />

0,03%<br />

0,03%<br />

0,02%<br />

0,02%<br />

0,01%<br />

0,01%<br />

0,00%<br />

0,030%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

GDP: Figures as of 2011<br />

0,008%<br />

0,007%<br />

0,006% 0,005%<br />

0,005%<br />

0,004%<br />

0,002% 0,001% 0,001% 0,001%<br />

Chi Ecu Col Arg Reg Méx Bra Bol Ven Per Uru


Latin America – Credit Ins. : % of <strong>Surety</strong> & Credit Insurance by<br />

Country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

25%<br />

75%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

16% 13% 10% 10% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2%<br />

Chi Bra Reg Méx Arg Per Col Ecu Uru Bol Ven<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

84% 87% 90% 90% 92% 94% 94% 96% 97% 98%<br />

<strong>Surety</strong> Credit Ins.


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Loss Ratio & Technical Result (% Written<br />

Premiums)<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

32%<br />

34%<br />

58%<br />

38%<br />

50%<br />

46%<br />

28% 29% 30%<br />

76%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

53%<br />

72%<br />

83%<br />

20% 19%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium Technical Result (% Written Premium) Loss Ratio Written Premium<br />

22%<br />

29%<br />

13%<br />

34%<br />

24%<br />

22%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Loss Ratio Earned Premium by country<br />

400%<br />

350%<br />

300%<br />

250%<br />

200%<br />

150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

2% 4% 6% 12% 15%<br />

29%<br />

34%<br />

52%<br />

78%<br />

124%<br />

Per Arg Ecu Bra Ven Méx Reg Col Chi Uru Bol<br />

349%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Loss Ratio Written Premium by country<br />

400%<br />

350%<br />

300%<br />

250%<br />

200%<br />

150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

5%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

8%<br />

15% 18% 20% 22% 28% 29%<br />

Per Arg Ecu Méx Ven Reg Col Bra Uru Chi Bol<br />

37%<br />

61%<br />

359%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Technical Result (% Written Premiums) by<br />

country<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

-10%<br />

-20%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

40% 38%<br />

35%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

32%<br />

29%<br />

Technical Result : Technical Income - Technical Cost (not including Admin. Cost)<br />

25% 24%<br />

Arg Ven Ecu Per Col Bra Reg Méx Chi Uru<br />

22%<br />

18%<br />

-12%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Net Combined Ratio<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

150%<br />

100%<br />

50%<br />

0%<br />

-50%<br />

-100%<br />

2%<br />

82%<br />

32%<br />

-70%<br />

47%<br />

70%<br />

68%<br />

58% 50%<br />

-60% -57%<br />

Brazil, Chile , Peru: % of Admin. Expenses of Credit Insurance Companies<br />

-4%<br />

2%<br />

64% 62%<br />

1%<br />

48%<br />

76% 72%<br />

-41%<br />

85%<br />

2%<br />

55%<br />

96%<br />

-33%<br />

2%<br />

61%<br />

22%<br />

-36%<br />

49%<br />

0%<br />

58%<br />

66%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

34%<br />

-25%<br />

Loss Ratio Earned Premium Acquisition Expense Administrative Expenses<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Net Combined Ratio


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Net Combined Ratio by country<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

200%<br />

180%<br />

160%<br />

140%<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

34%<br />

42%<br />

49%<br />

Brazil, Chile , Peru: % of Admin. Expenses of Credit Insurance Companies<br />

62% 64% 66% 68%<br />

127%<br />

134%<br />

182%<br />

Bra Arg Ecu Méx Col Reg Per Chi Ven Uru


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Gross Combined Ratio<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

120%<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

-20%<br />

60% 61%<br />

22% 20%<br />

4%<br />

34%<br />

38%<br />

46%<br />

1% -1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0%<br />

Brazil, Chile , Peru: % of Admin. Expenses of Credit Insurance Companies<br />

4%<br />

72%<br />

20%<br />

5%<br />

76%<br />

17%<br />

6%<br />

53%<br />

109%<br />

17%<br />

8%<br />

83%<br />

39%<br />

16%<br />

9%<br />

13%<br />

48%<br />

17%<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Non Proportional Reinsurance Gross Loss Ratio Written Premium Comisiones Pagadas / Primas Emitidas<br />

Admin. Expenses Gross Gross Combined Ratio<br />

8%<br />

22%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Gross Combined Ratio by country<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

Bolivia: Not available<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

30%<br />

36%<br />

40%<br />

41%<br />

Brazil, Chile , Peru: % of Admin. Expenses of Credit Insurance Companies<br />

47% 48% 48%<br />

72% 72%<br />

Per Bra Arg Ecu Méx Reg Col Ven Uru Chi<br />

87%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: % Ceded Premiums by country<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

26%<br />

55%<br />

55%<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

59%<br />

62% 64% 66% 67%<br />

70%<br />

83% 83%<br />

Chi Per Ecu Uru Bra Bol Arg Col Reg Ven Méx


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Market Share by country 276,1<br />

US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

Colombia 8,1% (8,7%)<br />

Argentina 8,9% (7,9%)<br />

México 19,9% (22,0%)<br />

Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

Argentina: Fiscal year June<br />

Venezuela: Figures provided by La Mundial (CESCE)<br />

* Includes: Bolivia, Peru,, Uruguay,<br />

Ecuador 2,0% (1,3%)<br />

Venezuela 1,3% (1,3%)<br />

Others* 0,8% (0,9%)<br />

Chile 26,5% (25,2%)<br />

Brazil 32,5% (32,6%)


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Regional Ranking<br />

(International Companies)<br />

2011 2010 2009 2008<br />

Company Rank. Val. % L,A. Rank. Val. % L,A. Rank. Val. % L,A. Rank. Val. % L,A.<br />

COFACE 1 109.491 40% 1 82.278 36% 1 69.327 36% 1 67.895 34%<br />

Atradius 2 70.688 26% 2 57.984 25% 2 40.618 21% 2 46.272 23%<br />

Euler Hermes 3 38.773 14% 3 32.925 14% 4 26.859 14% 5 23.177 12%<br />

CESCE 4 30.628 11% 4 29.408 13% 3 28.571 15% 4 28.823 15%<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE 5 17.447 6% 5 21.400 9% 5 22.695 12% 3 29.395 15%<br />

Total Int. 267.027 97% 223.995 98% 188.070 99% 195.562 99%<br />

Others 9.108 3% 4.780 2% 2.403 1% 2.210 1%<br />

Total L.A. 276.134 100% 228.775 100% 190.473 100% 197.772 100%<br />

* Figures as of December 2011, except for Uruguay September 2011 12 ms.<br />

ATRADIUS: Includes the Crédito & Caución Company


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Premiums Regional Market Share<br />

(International Companies) 276,1 US$ MM 2011 (2010)<br />

Before joint venture Euler Hermes - Mapfre After joint venture Euler Hermes - Mapfre<br />

CESCE<br />

11% (13%)<br />

Euler H<br />

14% (14%)<br />

M<strong>APF</strong>RE<br />

6% (9%)<br />

Others 10:<br />

3% (2%)<br />

Atradius<br />

26% (25%)<br />

ATRADIUS: Includes the Crédito & Caución Company<br />

COFACE<br />

40% (36%)<br />

Euler H. +<br />

Mapfre 20%<br />

(24%)<br />

CESCE<br />

11% (13%)<br />

Others 10:<br />

3% (2%)<br />

Atradius<br />

26% (25%)<br />

COFACE<br />

40% (36%)


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Available Info by Line of Business<br />

Arg Bol Bra Chi Col Ecu Méx Per Uru Ven<br />

Credit √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √ √<br />

Export Credit √ √ √ √ √ √<br />

Political Risk √<br />

Commercial Risk √<br />

Domestic Credit √ √ √ √ √ √<br />

Commercial Risk √


Figures USD Thousands<br />

Credit<br />

Premiums<br />

Latin America - Credit Ins.: Relevant Figures<br />

Market<br />

Share<br />

Num.<br />

Companies<br />

Premiums /<br />

Num.<br />

Companies<br />

Num.<br />

Companies<br />

80% Market<br />

Growth 10-<br />

11* Credit<br />

Premiums<br />

Growth 10-<br />

11* All Lines<br />

of Business<br />

Premiums<br />

Technical<br />

Result (%<br />

Premiums)<br />

Earned<br />

Premium Loss<br />

Ratio<br />

Combined<br />

Ratio<br />

% Ceded<br />

Premiums<br />

Argentina 24.518 8,9% 6 4.086 2 35% 46% 40% 4% 42% 66%<br />

Bolivia 372 0,1% 3 124 2 -43% 20% - 349% - 64%<br />

Brazil 89.841 32,5% 5 17.968 2 20% 23% 25% 12% 34% 62%<br />

Chile 73.086 26,5% 6 12.181 2 27% 17% 18% 78% 127% 26%<br />

Colombia 22.251 8,1% 5 4.450 3 12% 18% 29% 52% 64% 67%<br />

Ecuador 5.526 2,0% 2 2.763 1 81% 21% 35% 6% 49% 55%<br />

Mexico 54.922 19,9% 6 9.154 3 9% 16% 22% 29% 62% 83%<br />

Peru 1.512 0,5% 2 756 1 25% 15% 32% 2% 68% 55%<br />

Uruguay 411 0,1% 1 411 1 168% 20% -12% 124% 182% 59%<br />

Venezuela 3.695 1,3% 1 3.695 1 21% 24% 38% 15% 134% 83%<br />

Region 276.134 100% 37 7.463 18 21% 23% 24% 34% 66% 70%


Latin America - Credit Ins.: Conclusions<br />

• Credit Premiums as of December 2011 USD 276,1 millions � 21% from December 2010, while All<br />

Lines of Business Premiums � 23%<br />

• Countries with highest growth (2010-2011): Uruguay 168%, Ecuador 81%, Argentina 35%<br />

• Credit Ins. represents 0,19% of insurance portfolio, Chile (0,75%), Ecuador (0,41%)<br />

• International companies (5) concentrate 97% mercado (98% 2010)<br />

• Brazil (33%), Chile (27%) & Mexico (20%) concentrate 80% of Credit Insurance in the Region<br />

• 37 Insurance Groups operate in the Region with an average premium of USD 7.4 millions<br />

• Credit Insurance + <strong>Surety</strong> : Credit Insurance 13% (Chile 75%)<br />

• Loss Ratio Earned Premium 34% (2011) � 22% (2010) & Technical Result 24% (2011) � 29%<br />

(2010)<br />

• Net Combined Ratio 66% (2011) � (49% 2010)<br />

• Quarterly Trend Dec. 2010 - Dec. 2011: Premiums (� 5%), Loss Ratio Earned Premium (� 3 p.p.),<br />

Technical Result (� 1 p.p.), Net Combined Ratio (� 4 p.p.)


ANNEXES<br />

:: Exchange Rates<br />

:: Glossary of Indices<br />

:: Official Sources


Average Exchange Rate for the year<br />

* December 2011<br />

Exchange Rates<br />

Country Currency 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*<br />

Argentina Peso 2,94 3,00 3,09 3,14 3,41 3,95 4,21<br />

Bolivia Boliviano 8,06 8,01 7,83 7,22 7,02 7,02 6,94<br />

Brazil Real 2,42 2,18 2,00 1,85 2,00 1,76 1,67<br />

Chile Peso 559,77 530,28 522,47 522,46 559,61 510,25 483,67<br />

Colombia Peso 2.320,77 2.357,98 2.078,00 1.989,35 2.180,19 1.901,45 1.854,02<br />

Dominicana Peso 30,17 33,19 33,08 34,41 35,89 36,74 -<br />

Ecuador Dólar 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00<br />

El Salvador Dólar 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00<br />

Guatemala Quetzal 7,64 7,60 7,68 7,56 8,14 8,06 7,77<br />

Honduras Lempira 19,00 19,03 19,03 19,03 19,03 19,03 19,05<br />

Mexico Peso 10,89 10,90 10,93 11,15 13,50 12,63 12,49<br />

Nicaragua Córdoba 17,15 18,00 18,44 19,37 20,34 21,36 22,42<br />

Panama Balboa 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00<br />

Paraguay Guaraní 6.125,13 5.963,33 5.250,14 4.651,69 4.684,14 4.786,52 4.510,30<br />

Peru Nuevo Sol 3,43 3,20 3,00 3,14 2,89 2,81 2,69<br />

Puerto Rico Dólar 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 1,00 -<br />

Uruguay Peso 24,20 24,45 23,44 20,95 22,57 20,06 19,11<br />

Venezuela Bolívar 2,11 2,15 2,15 2,15 2,15 4,30 4,30


Glossary of Financial Indices<br />

• Earned Premium Loss Ratio: Losses reported by the company versus earned premium or<br />

accrued proportionately to the life of the policy. Total Cost of Net Losses / (Net Premiums<br />

Earned – Cost of Technical Reserves)<br />

• Combined Ratio: Ratio that measures the operational perfomance of a company as a<br />

function of it’s technical costs. Earned Premium Loss Ratio + Administrative Expenses (% of<br />

Premiums Earned) + Net Intermediation Cost (% of Premiums Earned)<br />

• Technical Result : Income - Technical Costs (excluding Admin Costs)


Sources of Official Information<br />

• Argentina: Superintendencia de Seguros de la Nación<br />

• Bolivia: Superintendencia de Pensiones, Valores y Seguros<br />

• Brazil: Superintendencia de Seguros Privados<br />

• Chile: Superintendencia de Valores y Seguros<br />

• Colombia: Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia<br />

• Dominicana: Superintendencia de Seguros de República Dominicana<br />

• Ecuador: Superintendencia de Bancos y Seguros<br />

• El Salvador: Superintendencia de Seguros y Fianzas<br />

• Guatemala: Superintendencia de Bancos de Guatemala<br />

• Honduras: Comisión Nacional de Bancos y Seguros<br />

• Mexico: Comisión Nacional de Seguros y Fianzas<br />

• Nicaragua: Superintendencia de Bancos y Otras Instituciones Financieras<br />

• Panama: Superintendencia de Seguros y Reaseguros<br />

• Paraguay: Superintendencia de Seguros<br />

• Peru: Superintendencia de Banca Seguros y Pensiones<br />

• Puerto Rico: Oficina del Comisionado de Seguros<br />

• Uruguay: Banco Central<br />

• Venezuela: Cámara de Aseguradores de Venezuela

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