Exchange rate dynamics, asset market structure and the role of the ...
Exchange rate dynamics, asset market structure and the role of the ...
Exchange rate dynamics, asset market structure and the role of the ...
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signi…es a log-deviation from steady state. The implication <strong>of</strong> this is that <strong>the</strong> real exchange<br />
<strong>rate</strong> is perfectly correlated with <strong>and</strong> less volatile than <strong>the</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> trade. Both <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se<br />
characteristics are at odds with <strong>the</strong> data.<br />
2.5 Market Equilibrium<br />
The solution to our model satis…es <strong>the</strong> following <strong>market</strong> equilibrium conditions must hold<br />
for <strong>the</strong> home <strong>and</strong> foreign country:<br />
1. Home-produced intermediate goods <strong>market</strong> clears:<br />
y t<br />
= c Ht + c H t<br />
+ x Ht + x H t<br />
(23)<br />
2. Foreign-produced intermediate goods <strong>market</strong> clears:<br />
y t = c F t<br />
+ c F t<br />
+ x Ft + x F t<br />
(24)<br />
3. Bond Market clears:<br />
B t + B t = 0 (25)<br />
2.6 Solution technique<br />
Before solving, I log-linearize <strong>the</strong> model around <strong>the</strong> nonstochastic steady state. In a neighborhood<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> nonstochastic steady state one can analyze <strong>the</strong> linearization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model,<br />
provided that <strong>the</strong> r<strong>and</strong>om shocks are su¢ ciently small. This procedure is st<strong>and</strong>ard in stochastic<br />
rational expectations macroeconomic models <strong>and</strong> is valid (i.e. yields a close approximation)<br />
provided <strong>the</strong> stochastic disturbances have a su¢ ciently small support. For a<br />
justi…cation see Appendix A.3 <strong>of</strong> Woodford (2003). The linearization thus yields a set <strong>of</strong><br />
equations describing <strong>the</strong> equilibrium ‡uctuations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> model. The log-linearization yields<br />
a system <strong>of</strong> linear di¤erence equations which can be expressed as a singular dynamic system<br />
<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> following form:<br />
AE t y(t + 1 j t) = By(t) + Cx(t)<br />
where y(t) is ordered so that <strong>the</strong> non-predetermined variables appear …rst <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> predetermined<br />
variables appear last, <strong>and</strong> x(t) is a martingale di¤erence sequence. There are four<br />
10