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Assessment of Adverse Events in the Demise of Pediatric Burn ...

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The Journal <strong>of</strong> TRAUMA Injury, Infection, and Critical Care<br />

Table 4 Significance <strong>of</strong> Medical Error to Death<br />

Cause <strong>of</strong> Death<br />

Average Score<br />

Diffuse alveolar lung damage 1.7<br />

Hypovolemia/<strong>in</strong>adequate resuscitation 3.0<br />

Airway loss/aspiration 3.5<br />

Pneumonia 2.3<br />

<strong>Burn</strong> wound sepsis 2.5<br />

Anoxia 1.5<br />

Drug reaction 3.9<br />

Cumulative score 2.4 ( 0.06).<br />

Scale: 1 0%–15%; 2 16%–50%; 3 51%–84%; 4 <br />

85%–100%.<br />

-statistics for <strong>in</strong>ter-rater agreement 0.7 considered significant.<br />

Table 5 Inter-Rater Variability for Percent Chance<br />

that Error Caused Death<br />

Reviewers<br />

Scores<br />

1 2 3 4<br />

1 51 (72) 16 (22) 29 (41) 25 (35)<br />

2 5 (7) 12 (17) 1 (1) 17 (24)<br />

3 7 (10) 7 (10) 5 (7) 8 (11)<br />

4 8 (11) 36 (51) 36 (51) 21 (29)<br />

Mean SD 1.61 1.06 2.89 1.26 2.37 1.83 2.35 1.24<br />

Values presented as no. patients (%) for each score given by a<br />

reviewer.<br />

Cumulative score 2.3 ( 0.06).<br />

Table 6 Inter-Rater Variability for Percent Chance <strong>of</strong><br />

Surviv<strong>in</strong>g had Error not Occurred<br />

Reviewers<br />

Scores<br />

1 2 3 4<br />

1 50 (71) 21 (29) 27 (38) 31 (44)<br />

2 6 (8) 23 (32) 6 (8) 21 (29)<br />

3 6 (8) 13 (18) 13 (18) 4 (6)<br />

4 9 (13) 14 (20) 25 (35) 15 (21)<br />

Mean SD 1.61 1.06 2.89 1.10 2.17 1.73 2.04 1.16<br />

Values presented as no. patients (%) for each score given by a<br />

reviewer.<br />

Cumulative score 2.0 ( 0.06).<br />

0.48. As to whe<strong>the</strong>r adverse events contributed to death,<br />

reviewers noted diffuse alveolar lung damage as <strong>the</strong> most<br />

common contribut<strong>in</strong>g factor to death (Table 3). <strong>Burn</strong> wound<br />

sepsis, pneumonia, hypovolemia or <strong>in</strong>adequate resuscitation,<br />

and airway loss or aspiration completed <strong>the</strong> five most commonly<br />

noted factors contribut<strong>in</strong>g to a child’s demise. There<br />

was no significant <strong>in</strong>ter-rater agreement <strong>in</strong> designat<strong>in</strong>g an<br />

adverse contribut<strong>in</strong>g factor with a maximum score for burn<br />

wound sepsis at 0.53.<br />

Reviewer’s assessment as to <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> any error<br />

<strong>in</strong> each child’s death is shown <strong>in</strong> Table 4. The cumulative<br />

score for all patients on a1to4scale was 2.4. Thus, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

aggregate op<strong>in</strong>ion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> reviewers, suboptimal care contributed<br />

significantly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> demise <strong>of</strong> approximately 50% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

burn victims. Stratify<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> any deficiency <strong>in</strong><br />

care by cause <strong>of</strong> death, drug reaction, airway loss or aspiration,<br />

and hypovolemia or <strong>in</strong>adequate resuscitation was considered<br />

by <strong>the</strong> reviewers to be frequently associated with<br />

negligence. In contrast, error was not deemed <strong>of</strong> much importance<br />

to ei<strong>the</strong>r anoxic bra<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>jury or diffuse alveolar lung<br />

damage. The impact <strong>of</strong> a medical misadventure on <strong>the</strong> demise<br />

<strong>of</strong> each child was also assessed by <strong>the</strong> reviewer’s determ<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

<strong>of</strong> a percentage chance that error contributed to a child’s<br />

death (Table 5). Also scaled 1 to 4, physician reviewers<br />

assessed a cumulative score for this impact <strong>of</strong> error at 2.3,<br />

translat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> reviewer’s perception that medical misadventure<br />

contributed to a child’s demise is about 50% <strong>of</strong> all<br />

burn victims. There was, however, a wide range <strong>of</strong> disagreement<br />

as to <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> error with a score <strong>of</strong> only 0.06.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r determ<strong>in</strong>ation as to <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> medical error<br />

was assessed by <strong>the</strong> reviewers as <strong>the</strong> percentage chance that<br />

<strong>the</strong> child would have survived had <strong>the</strong> error not occurred.<br />

Aga<strong>in</strong> scaled 1 to 4, reviewers assigned this an overall 2.0<br />

score, mean<strong>in</strong>g approximately one-third <strong>of</strong> all deaths could<br />

have been prevented had a deficiency <strong>in</strong> care not occurred<br />

(Table 6). Aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ter-rater variability was high with a <br />

score <strong>of</strong> 0.06.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong>re was a wide range <strong>of</strong> disagreement concern<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>cidence and severity <strong>of</strong> medical error, this<br />

disparity <strong>of</strong> op<strong>in</strong>ion did not seem to arise from differences as<br />

to <strong>the</strong> seriousness <strong>of</strong> an adverse event because <strong>the</strong> range <strong>of</strong><br />

values that raters gave for significance <strong>of</strong> error was usually<br />

relatively narrow. In general, <strong>the</strong>re were only systematic<br />

differences between raters. For example, rater 3 assessed <strong>the</strong><br />

significance <strong>of</strong> error for pneumonia as 1 (i.e. no error)<br />

whereas <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r reviewers typically gave rat<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>of</strong> 2 or 3.<br />

Rater 3 also assessed any deficiencies <strong>in</strong> care for burn wound<br />

sepsis as 1 <strong>in</strong> about half <strong>the</strong> cases, whereas <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r reviewers<br />

almost universally assigned burn wound sepsis to a rat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>of</strong> 2 or 3. Reviewer 4 <strong>of</strong>ten rated <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> medical<br />

error for anoxia as a3to4suggest<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>in</strong> his op<strong>in</strong>ion<br />

someth<strong>in</strong>g could have been performed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itial resuscitation<br />

to preserve bra<strong>in</strong> function. In contrast, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r reviewers<br />

rated <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> error for anoxia as a1or2<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicative <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir op<strong>in</strong>ion as to <strong>the</strong> futility <strong>of</strong> any medical<br />

<strong>in</strong>tervention to forego <strong>the</strong> anoxic bra<strong>in</strong> death. Op<strong>in</strong>ions also<br />

varied as to <strong>the</strong> significance <strong>of</strong> error with diffuse alveolar<br />

lung damage. For example, rater 2 consistently assigned a<br />

significance <strong>of</strong> error <strong>of</strong> 3 for children dy<strong>in</strong>g primarily from<br />

lung <strong>in</strong>jury and <strong>the</strong>reby convey<strong>in</strong>g his op<strong>in</strong>ion that someth<strong>in</strong>g<br />

might have been performed to forego pulmonary failure.<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r reviewers consistently gave diffuse alveolar damage an<br />

error significance score <strong>of</strong> 1.<br />

DISCUSSION<br />

The overall mortality for this 10-year review was only<br />

2.4%; far less than that reported from <strong>the</strong> national burn<br />

registry. 7 As to be expected, <strong>the</strong>re was a significantly greater<br />

extent <strong>of</strong> burn <strong>in</strong>jury and a higher <strong>in</strong>cidence <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>halation<br />

816 October 2007

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