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parti: objectives and features of the new reporting system 159 - TARA

parti: objectives and features of the new reporting system 159 - TARA

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statistical <strong>reporting</strong> by institutions to <strong>the</strong> Bank. The <strong>new</strong> <strong>reporting</strong> <strong>system</strong> permits<br />

for <strong>the</strong> first time, <strong>the</strong> compilation <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> different monetary aggregates on a<br />

proper conceptual basis In addition, by identifying inter-institutional items<br />

separately, it facilitates <strong>the</strong> derivation <strong>of</strong> wider monetary aggregates While a<br />

definitive series <strong>of</strong> such aggregates must await <strong>the</strong> extension <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> basis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>new</strong><br />

<strong>reporting</strong> <strong>system</strong> to o<strong>the</strong>r financial institutions, <strong>the</strong> availability <strong>of</strong> inter-institutional<br />

items permits <strong>the</strong> computation <strong>of</strong> more accurate series such as M2H. In fact <strong>the</strong><br />

Bank's forthcoming Annual Report includes a wider monetary aggregate which<br />

extends M3 to include deposits at o<strong>the</strong>r financial institutions. In my role as a<br />

financial statistician, I consider it important to facilitate <strong>the</strong> derivation <strong>of</strong> as wide a<br />

range <strong>of</strong> monetary aggregates as possible While <strong>the</strong> Bank has had to opt for<br />

<strong>parti</strong>cular aggregates for policy purposes, this will be subject to review, especially<br />

when sufficient observations are available to facilitate statistical tests<br />

The exclusion <strong>of</strong> non-resident deposits from <strong>the</strong> series at present adopted by <strong>the</strong><br />

Bank has been raised There has been some speculation regarding <strong>the</strong> au<strong>the</strong>nticity<br />

<strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> those deposits, but no hard evidence has been forthcoming Our statistics<br />

<strong>and</strong> enquiries indicate that <strong>the</strong> countries <strong>of</strong> origin <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se deposits have extensive<br />

expatriate Irish communities <strong>and</strong> that <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> lodgements from abroad is<br />

supported to some extent by <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> cheques/drafts passing through <strong>the</strong><br />

banks' clearing <strong>system</strong>s. The currency composition <strong>of</strong> non-resident deposits, <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> Irish-pound deposits, in <strong>parti</strong>cular, has been instanced in <strong>the</strong> media as<br />

evidence that such deposits must be bogus However, unlike <strong>the</strong> situation in o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

countries, it is not possible for non residents to open foreign-currency accounts at<br />

branches <strong>of</strong> Associated Banks throughout <strong>the</strong> country, such facilities are available<br />

only at head <strong>of</strong>fices or so-called "foreign or international branches" in Dublin The<br />

number <strong>of</strong> Irish people, relative to <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Republic, ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

living or working periodically abroad, is significant, so we should not be surprised at<br />

<strong>the</strong> existence <strong>of</strong> a large amourit <strong>of</strong> non-resident deposits Incidentally, <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong><br />

such deposits is not a recent phenomenon. Supplementary data available m <strong>the</strong><br />

Bank indicates that <strong>the</strong> growth was also significant at times during <strong>the</strong> 1970s We<br />

must be careful not to draw too many conclusions fiom developments in a series for<br />

which published data are available for only a few years<br />

The separate identification <strong>of</strong> inter-institutional items in a Supplement to <strong>the</strong> <strong>new</strong><br />

Monthly Bank Return will be <strong>of</strong> assistance in <strong>the</strong> compilation <strong>of</strong> flow-<strong>of</strong>-funds data<br />

The proposed change to <strong>the</strong> basis on which o<strong>the</strong>r financial institutions report data to<br />

<strong>the</strong> Bank to make <strong>the</strong>m comparable with <strong>the</strong> <strong>new</strong> monthly <strong>reporting</strong> <strong>system</strong> for<br />

licensed banks should also facilitate <strong>the</strong> compilation <strong>of</strong> such data flows. A <strong>new</strong><br />

quarterly sectoral distribution return, covering both deposits <strong>and</strong> lending, is also<br />

under consideration within <strong>the</strong> Bank.<br />

2 Continuity <strong>of</strong> Series: Any developmental work on statistics raises a continuity<br />

issue. However, I doubt if <strong>the</strong>re is anyone here who would consider continuity <strong>of</strong><br />

data series more important than <strong>the</strong> relevance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data <strong>the</strong>mselves Never<strong>the</strong>less,<br />

for those concerned with continuity, it is proposed to continue to update for some<br />

time, <strong>and</strong> make available on request, <strong>the</strong> old money supply <strong>and</strong> credit series. It is<br />

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