Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle Chapter 2 A ...
Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle Chapter 2 A ...
Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle Chapter 2 A ...
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Condition (39) points to a key implication of <strong>the</strong> property of non-separability<br />
(! 6= 0): equilibrium output is no longer invariant to monetary policy, at least<br />
to <strong>the</strong> extent that <strong>the</strong> latter implies variations in <strong>the</strong> nominal interest rate.<br />
In o<strong>the</strong>r words, monetary policy is not neutral. As a result, equilibrium condition<br />
(39) does not su¢ ce to determine <strong>the</strong> equilibrium level of output, in<br />
contrast with <strong>the</strong> economy with separable utility analyzed above. In order to<br />
pin down <strong>the</strong> equilibrium path of output <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r endogenous variables we<br />
need to combine (39) with <strong>the</strong> remaining equilibrium conditions, including a<br />
description of monetary policy.<br />
One such additional condition can be obtained by imposing <strong>the</strong> goods<br />
market clearing condition y t = c t on Euler equation (37), which yields an<br />
equation relating <strong>the</strong> nominal interest rate to <strong>the</strong> expected path of output<br />
<strong>and</strong> expected in‡ation:<br />
y t = E t fy t+1 g<br />
1<br />
(i t E t f t+1 g ! E t fi t+1 g ) (40)<br />
Finally, we need an equation which describes how monetary policy is<br />
conducted. For <strong>the</strong> purposes of illustration we assume that <strong>the</strong> central bank<br />
follows <strong>the</strong> simple in‡ation-based interest rate rule<br />
i t = + t + v t (41)<br />
where v t now represents an exogenous policy disturbance, assumed to follow<br />
<strong>the</strong> stationary AR(1) process<br />
v t = v v t<br />
1 + " v t<br />
Similarly, <strong>and</strong> for concreteness, we assume that <strong>the</strong> technology parameter<br />
follows <strong>the</strong> AR(1) process<br />
a t = a a t<br />
1 + " a t<br />
Using (41) to eliminate <strong>the</strong> nominal rate in (39) <strong>and</strong> (40), <strong>and</strong> combining<br />
<strong>the</strong> resulting two equations we can obtain (after some algebraic manipulation)<br />
<strong>the</strong> following closed form expressions for <strong>the</strong> equilibrium level of in‡ation, <strong>the</strong><br />
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