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Figure 4. Human Development Índex as a function of per capita residential<br />

electricity consumption by country (UNDP, 2011 and IEA, 2010)<br />

HDI<br />

1<br />

0,9<br />

0,8<br />

0,7<br />

0,6<br />

0,5<br />

0,4<br />

0,3<br />

0,2<br />

0,1<br />

Human Development Index (UNDP, 2010) and Residential Electricity Consumption (IEA, 2010), year 2008<br />

1<br />

2<br />

4 5<br />

3<br />

y = 0,1033Ln(x) + 0,0316<br />

R 2 = 0,8342<br />

Zone 1: low HDI (below 0.5) and extremely low<br />

electricity consumption (below 200 kWh/cap.yr)<br />

Zone 2: medium HDI (between 0.5 and 0.8) and very<br />

low electricity consumption (200-800 kWh/cap.yr)<br />

Zone 3: near high HDI (between 0.7 and 0.8) and<br />

low electricity consumption (between 800 and 1427<br />

kWh/cap.yr, below the World average)<br />

Zone 4: high HDI (above 0.8) and low electricity<br />

consumption, below the World average<br />

Zone 5: high HDI and high electricity consumption<br />

(between 1 and 2 times the World average)<br />

© Lucon and Goldemberg, 2011<br />

0<br />

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000<br />

200 800 1427<br />

World Average<br />

~2 x<br />

World Average<br />

per capita residential electricity consumption (kWh/yr)<br />

Figure 5. Synthesis of 164 scenarios (IPCC, 2011), considering RE supply, CO2<br />

emissions and CO2 concentration pathways in the atmosphere. Central thick<br />

lines correspond to the statistical medians.<br />

6

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