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Mr. Rentaro Iida, Ph.D Candidate, Georgetown University

Mr. Rentaro Iida, Ph.D Candidate, Georgetown University

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Interest Groups, Party Polarization, and<br />

the Structure of Abortion Debate:<br />

Dynamic Network Analysis of Abortion<br />

Debate 1970-1994<br />

<strong>Rentaro</strong> <strong>Iida</strong><br />

<strong>Georgetown</strong> <strong>University</strong><br />

Prepared for USJI Week Event 5, September 9 th 2010.


A question of party realignment and<br />

interest groups<br />

• How do parties change their issue positions?<br />

– My argument: “A small set of single issue groups and<br />

ideas they advocated had impacts on how parties<br />

stand on a issue.”<br />

– Case: Over the past three decades, the Republican<br />

party and Democrat party have become increasingly<br />

divided on the abortion issue.<br />

– Theory & method: “Networks”


Why should we care?<br />

• Arguments about a few political elites including<br />

interest groups with ideological motives, that<br />

doesn’t necessarily have direct ties to mass public,<br />

have become overrepresented in the US politics<br />

(cf. Skocpol 2004).<br />

• They may be undermining representative<br />

democracy by skipping party (electoral) process,<br />

causing American politics to be polarized. (cf.<br />

Fiorina et al. 2005, Crenson and Ginsberg 2002)


What is a party? How should we understand interactions<br />

between interest groups and political parties?<br />

• Existing Theories<br />

– Coalitions of politicians who is seeking office, and the<br />

institutions which makes the coordination easy (cf.<br />

Aldrich 1995).<br />

– Parties as coalitions of interest groups (Cohen et al.<br />

2008; Bawn et al. 2007)<br />

– Parties as networks (Masket et al. 2009, Koger et al.<br />

2009)<br />

• However, a very few empirical works on party<br />

realignments conceptualizing parties as networks.


Challenges on data<br />

• Data on interest group activities are extremely<br />

hard to collect in general.<br />

• Conventional empirical strategies<br />

– Uses of various surveys and/or congressional roll calls<br />

• There are very few data on party activities<br />

involving diverse set of actors.<br />

• The conventional empirical strategies tend to<br />

require scholars to focus on one set of actors at a<br />

time.


Which set of actors moved first?


Alternatives: Network Analysis &<br />

Theory<br />

• Many interesting changes in party politics do not start<br />

with what’s changing within one set of actors, but<br />

what’s happening between different types of actors.<br />

• Party is a network among diverse set of actors.<br />

– Theory: Therefore, “what parties stand for” develops<br />

through intentional “brokering” efforts between interest<br />

groups and public figures like Presidents and legislators.<br />

• Network analysis: a tool to visualize and quantify such<br />

structures.<br />

– Treating the abortion debate as a dynamic network.


Data construction<br />

• Using content analysis data gathered by Ferree, Gamson, Gerhard, and Rucht<br />

(2002) on the development of abortion discourse from 1962 to 1994, I was able to<br />

build such network data. They have looked sample of New York Times and LA<br />

Times identified eight “frames” as well as 315 subsets of idea-elements, such as<br />

“abortion is murder” and “women have a right to self-defense” spoken by over<br />

2000 different political actors including journalists, interest groups, politicians<br />

nested in 128 different organization.


What should we expect from the data?<br />

• We should see more networking activities (i.e.<br />

idea sharing activities) over time.<br />

• We should see more networking activities across<br />

different types of actors over time.<br />

• Interest groups of both side should first become<br />

central in the discourse network.<br />

• Politicians other actor should become central in<br />

the networks later.<br />

• We should see more meaningful clusters of actors<br />

developing over time.


speaker network 1970-75<br />

speaker network 1989-94


Count of Ties at Individual Speaker Level (1970-1994)


Count of ties at organizational category level (1970-1994)


Eigenvector Centrality<br />

• A measure about how much a particular node<br />

is connected to well-connected nodes.<br />

– Applications for webpages, congressional speech<br />

etc.<br />

– Tells you about how much control you have for the<br />

network.


Community detections, and<br />

modularity<br />

Identify which actors tend to<br />

share idea-together and group<br />

them into “communities”.<br />

Modularity = (number of ties<br />

within community)- (expected<br />

value of such ties)<br />

e.g. An application in measuring<br />

polarizations in Congress.


Conclusions<br />

• We should theorize party realignment as evolutions of<br />

networks containing diverse set of actors.<br />

• In the case of abortion, interest groups seemed to had a<br />

first-mover advantage in shaping what will be discussed in<br />

media, the politicians and groups with broader focus later<br />

adopted the same kind of language to discuss the abortion.<br />

• In order for an issue to become an salient party cleavage, a<br />

single issue groups has to involve diverse set of people.<br />

Interest<br />

groups?<br />

Polarization of<br />

Media discourse

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