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Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

Key performance indicators<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Five year circulation trend<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-6<br />

-8<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

% variance<br />

-10<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Copies per capita<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

/ hundred adults<br />

0<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Circulation mix<br />

% subscription<br />

% single copy<br />

100<br />

90<br />

Source: World Press Trends<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

Switzerland<br />

United Kingdom<br />

0<br />

% single copy<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Impact of subscription on circulation<br />

15.0<br />

% variance - 1994 - 1999<br />

Estonia<br />

Croatia<br />

10.0<br />

Brazil<br />

Malaysia<br />

5.0<br />

Ireland<br />

Colombia<br />

Spain<br />

France<br />

Norway<br />

Japan<br />

0.0<br />

0.0 10.0 Italy 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 Finland Switzerland<br />

90.0 100.0<br />

Belgium<br />

UK<br />

Latvia Germany -USA -Iceland<br />

-5.0<br />

DenmarkNetherlands<br />

China<br />

Greece<br />

Sweden Luxembourg<br />

-10.0<br />

% of sale from subscription<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

Source: World Press Trends/eVolt.Co


The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Impact of subscriptions on circulation<br />

Year on year trends - selected markets<br />

Highest penetration group<br />

Single<br />

Copy<br />

Delivered copy<br />

%<br />

difference<br />

Japan<br />

Sweden<br />

-5.1<br />

-18.9<br />

-1.1<br />

0.4<br />

+4.0<br />

+19.3<br />

High penetration mix distribution group<br />

Denmark<br />

Estonia<br />

-25.0<br />

-46.4<br />

-5.2<br />

26.0<br />

+19.7<br />

+72.4<br />

Germany<br />

Iceland<br />

Luxembourg<br />

5.2<br />

7.3<br />

-6.3<br />

-10.1<br />

-10.1<br />

-0.7<br />

-15.3<br />

-17.4<br />

+5.6<br />

Netherlands<br />

-14.8<br />

-7.1<br />

+7.6<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

Source: World Press Trends/eVolt.Co


witzerland<br />

Kingdom<br />

Sweden<br />

Spain<br />

Portugal<br />

Ireland<br />

France<br />

Finland<br />

Austria<br />

S<br />

United<br />

Source: World Press Trends<br />

xembourg<br />

N<br />

etherlands<br />

Italy<br />

Lu<br />

Germany<br />

Denmark<br />

Belgium<br />

Key indicators<br />

Population age profile<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

Turkey<br />

Estonia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Croatia<br />

Czech<br />

Republic<br />

Hungary<br />

Poland<br />

Slovakia<br />

Ukraine<br />

Index of old/young<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Five year advertising trend<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

% variance<br />

-60<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Advertising off-take / copy<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

Advertising<br />

revenue /<br />

ABC Copy (€)<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

0<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Advertising off-take per capita<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

0<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

Advertising<br />

revenue /<br />

Adult (€)


Source: Zenith Media<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Share of all advertising<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Austria<br />

Benelux<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Source: Zenith media<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Switzerland<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Variance in advertising share<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

-2<br />

-4<br />

-6<br />

-8<br />

Austria<br />

Benelux<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

+/-% variance<br />

-10<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Classified share of newspaper advertising<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

% display<br />

% classified<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Netherlands<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

Source: World Press Trends


Source: World Press Trends<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Sweden<br />

The newspaper industry, today and tomorrow<br />

Advertising as a percentage of revenues<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Belgium<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Netherlands<br />

Norway<br />

Portugal<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper


Key indicators<br />

impact of GDP on newspaper advertising<br />

Relationship between ad-offtake and per capita GDP<br />

800<br />

United-States<br />

Ad revenue per copy<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

Ireland<br />

Australia<br />

400<br />

New-Zealand<br />

Switzerland<br />

Norway<br />

Denmark<br />

Spain<br />

300<br />

Canada<br />

Sweden<br />

Germany<br />

Italy Netherlands<br />

Austria<br />

Finland Belgium<br />

Greece<br />

200<br />

United-Kingdom<br />

Brazil<br />

100<br />

Malaysia<br />

Japan<br />

Poland Hungary Czechia<br />

Thailand Estonia<br />

0 Mongolia India Romania Latvia<br />

Russia<br />

0 5000Bulgaria<br />

10000 15000<br />

20000 25000 30000 35000<br />

GDP per capita<br />

Source: Zenith Media/World Bank


Key indicators<br />

impact of GDP on newspaper circulation<br />

Relationship between newspaper popularity and per capita GDP<br />

700<br />

Japan<br />

Norway<br />

Newspaper sales per capita<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000<br />

Finland<br />

Sweden<br />

Switzerland<br />

United-Kingdom<br />

Germany<br />

Austria<br />

Denmark<br />

Netherlands<br />

United-States<br />

Thailand<br />

Estonia<br />

Canada<br />

Bulgaria<br />

New-Zealand<br />

Russia Hungary Czechia Ireland Australia<br />

Belgium<br />

Latvia Malaysia<br />

Spain Italy<br />

Romania<br />

Greece<br />

India Brazil<br />

Mongolia<br />

Poland<br />

GDP per capita<br />

Source: World Press Trends/World Bank


Key indicators<br />

Influence of GDP on share of advertising<br />

90<br />

Press v TV<br />

Influence of prosperity on media usage<br />

Newspapers<br />

TV<br />

80<br />

% reach<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

India<br />

Pakistan<br />

China<br />

Brazil<br />

Lithuania<br />

Latvia<br />

Estonia<br />

South Korea<br />

Malaysia<br />

Finland<br />

Sweden<br />

Ireland<br />

Germany<br />

United<br />

Kingdom<br />

Denmark<br />

Switzerland<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper<br />

30<br />

Italy<br />

Netherlands<br />

Franc<br />

Belgium<br />

20<br />

Hungary<br />

Romania<br />

Poland<br />

10<br />

Russia<br />

- 5,000 10,000 15,000<br />

20,000 25,000<br />

30,000<br />

Prosperity (per capita GDP)<br />

Spain<br />

Zenith Media/World Bank


For more information contact:<br />

jim.chisholm@futureofthenewspaper.com<br />

Shaping<br />

the <strong>Future</strong><br />

of the Newspaper

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