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ECF 2011 Annual Report - European Climate Foundation

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Towards a low-carbon future<br />

5.9<br />

GtCO₂e/yr<br />

80% CO2 EMISSION<br />

REDUCTION<br />

The 80% CO2 reduction overall<br />

implies 90-95% reduction in power,<br />

road transport and buildings. This<br />

could be achieved by maximum<br />

abatement within and across sectors.<br />

5.2<br />

GtCO₂e/yr<br />

Power<br />

Within sector1,2: > 95%<br />

Road Transport<br />

Within sector1,2: 20%<br />

Fuel shift: 75%<br />

(electric vehicles, biofuel, fuel cells)<br />

Air & Sea Transport<br />

Within sector1,2: 30%<br />

Fuel shift: 20% (biofuels)<br />

> 95%<br />

-80%<br />

1990 2010<br />

Industry<br />

Within sector1,2: 35% (CCS3)<br />

Fuel shift: 5% (heat pums)<br />

Building<br />

Within sector1,2: 45%<br />

(efficiency & new builds)<br />

Fuel shift: 50% (heat pumps)<br />

Waste<br />

Within sector1,2: 100%<br />

Agriculture<br />

Within sector1,2: 20%<br />

95%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

95%<br />

100%<br />

20%<br />

1.2<br />

GtCO₂e/yr<br />

2050 TOTAL<br />

1 Based on the McKinsey Global GHG Cost Curve<br />

2 Large efficiency improvements already included in the baseline<br />

3 CCS applied to 50% of industry (cement, chemistry, iron and steel, petroleum and gas, not applied to other industries)<br />

Sources: McKinsey Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve; IEA WEO 2009; US EPA; EEA; Roadmap 2050 Technical Analysis.<br />

is no doubt that [Jörg’s] assistance will be invaluable in the success of the Germany-South Africa partnership on SARi.” Rob Davies, Minister for Trade and Industry, South Africa<br />

“The <strong>ECF</strong> is focused<br />

5

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