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Skip Nelson - World Trade Center Alaska

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1<br />

SURVIVING A START-UP IN<br />

CHINA<br />

SKIP NELSON<br />

ADS-B TECHNOLOGIES<br />

www.ads-b.com


2004<br />

BUSINESS PLAN<br />

2<br />

2007<br />

ANCHORAGE<br />

Exports ADS-B hardware & software to China<br />

2008<br />

BEIJING and HONG KONG<br />

Garmin Avionics distributor for China<br />

Avionics Component manufacturer for<br />

HONG KONG<br />

Exports General Aviation Aircraft to China<br />

Builds GA infrastructure in Asia<br />

2009 - 2010<br />

Possible Joint Ventures & Teaming With<br />

Chinese Partners


3<br />

CHINA EXPERIENCE<br />

• Since 2004, 37 trips to China<br />

• 90% Export to China, 10% Chinese<br />

manufacturing for sale in U.S.<br />

• ~ $5.1M in air traffic control, avionics<br />

and aircraft sales last 2 years<br />

• Permanent offices in both Beijing and<br />

Hong Kong<br />

• 12 clients: 5 government, 7 private<br />

• Most of our work is in Central and<br />

Western China.


What’s ADS-B?<br />

Automatic Dependent Surveillance - Broadcast<br />

4<br />

The aircraft get their position<br />

from the GNSS constellation<br />

Then they simultaneously l broadcast<br />

their position and other data to<br />

any aircraft, or ground station<br />

equipped to receive it<br />

Ground Stations then transmit the aircraft’s position to Air Traffic Control


FIRST, You Have To Understand China…<br />

5


6<br />

CHINA SUPERLATIVES<br />

It’s BIG!<br />

1.3 Billion people (1/5 th of the <strong>World</strong>’s population)<br />

It’s SAFE<br />

Extremely low rate of Crimes Against Foreigners<br />

It’s FRIENDLY<br />

As in, they are genuinely fond of Americans!<br />

It’s definitely OPEN FOR BUSINESS!<br />

China has had the <strong>World</strong>’s largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in all<br />

but 225 years out of the past 2,000 years. Right now, they have more than<br />

$1 Trillion USD available to buy foreign products and services<br />

(China's GDP is about $3.5 Trillion, and the US GDP is about $14 Trillion)


7<br />

I had a lot of misconceptions!<br />

• I expected to see streets crowded with bicycles and<br />

people in Mao Jackets<br />

• The Central Government was going to be very visible<br />

and heavy-handed<br />

• The people would be somewhat suspicious of<br />

foreigners and hard to approach<br />

• Business methods would be difficult to understand<br />

• Banking and finance would be almost impossible to<br />

deal with


Boy, was I wrong!<br />

8


9<br />

POPULAR CHINA MYTHS<br />

• China is still a “Third <strong>World</strong>” country:<br />

Not even close. Even in rural areas, you’ll see<br />

modern new roads, bridges and communications<br />

infrastructure. The quality and scope of China’s<br />

Internet and cell phone connectivity are<br />

legendary. Several of the most dramatic modern<br />

cityscapes in the world can be seen in China.<br />

• The Central Government controls everything:<br />

Nope! Forget everything you learned about China prior to<br />

1985 -this is, and always has been a country of<br />

aggressive individual businessmen. Provincial<br />

governments now operate somewhat like State<br />

governments in the U.S. Best technique: Ignore politics<br />

and deal with the people (their Government has to…)


10<br />

…and LEGENDS<br />

• The Chinese don’t like Americans and/or are<br />

difficult to deal with:<br />

Of all the countries I’ve visited during the last 40<br />

years, China is probably one of the most outgoing<br />

and friendly to Americans. The average Chinese<br />

remembers our help in WWII and seems to take<br />

genuine pride in the commercial and intellectual<br />

contributions China has made to the U.S. during<br />

the past 20 years.<br />

• Corruption is quite common:<br />

It was, but the Government is leveling the playing<br />

field by instituting some strong new anti-<br />

corruption rules. Your biggest problem will be<br />

other foreigners that have a higher threshold for<br />

“crime”


• The Billion-Person Market:<br />

And still more LEGENDS<br />

(As in, “Wow - I can sell a lot of stuff here…”)<br />

Yes, they have nearly a billion consumers, s but don’t<br />

forget they’ve also got at least 50 million very<br />

aggressive domestic entrepreneurs working the<br />

same sectors!<br />

• China will steal your “stuff”:<br />

Yeah, and so will 75% of the other countries around<br />

the world if you give them half a chance!<br />

Again, the Government is cracking down and there<br />

are fewer IP violations each month.<br />

Know your customer/manufacturer, isolate your IP<br />

and compete fairly (aka’ “Don’t make it worth their<br />

effort to rip you off!”)<br />

11


12<br />

GETTING<br />

STARTED


14<br />

FIRST, YOU HAVE TO ASK YOURSELF….<br />

1. What’s your strategy? – Merely<br />

selling “America” is Old School!<br />

2. How are you going to handle your<br />

business in China – Business-to<br />

to-<br />

Business, or through an AGENT?<br />

3. How are you going to find a<br />

reputable Agent?<br />

4. Do you have the patience to do<br />

business the “Chinese Way”?


15<br />

BUILD YOUR NETWORK<br />

1. <strong>Alaska</strong> Export Assistance <strong>Center</strong><br />

2. U.S. Commercial Service in<br />

China<br />

3. <strong>Alaska</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> <strong>Center</strong><br />

4. Attend a trade fair, or<br />

professional meeting in China<br />

5. Network through other people<br />

doing business in China<br />

Don’t even think about going in cold!


16<br />

OTHER POINTS OF CONTACT<br />

• Professional organizations –<br />

especially those that have full-time<br />

reps in China (OGP, for example)<br />

• Other U.S. government agencies<br />

(FAA, USDA, etc) that have offices in<br />

China<br />

• U.S. US – China Chamber of Commerce<br />

www.usccc.org


17<br />

“AGENTS”<br />

(A Necessary Evil)<br />

1. RULE #1: It’s virtually impossible to do business in<br />

China without a good Agent.<br />

2. RULE # 2: The majority of the agents you’ll<br />

encounter will have only one significant skill: They<br />

are bilingual. (“I speak Chinese, therefore I am a<br />

China Expert…”)<br />

3. Get to know your agent before you sign anything:<br />

a. How long has he worked in the field?<br />

b. Who does he know, what is his experience?<br />

c. Is the U.S. Commercial Service familiar with him?<br />

d. Has he traveled to the U.S.?<br />

e. Is he Chinese-American, Chinese, Taiwanese, or<br />

Singaporean?


TRADE SHOWS<br />

18


19<br />

TRADE SHOWS & FORUMS<br />

1. If you find the right one, they are an excellent<br />

way to meet an Agent and begin to create your<br />

network in China!<br />

2. Virtually every industry has at least one<br />

reputable <strong>Trade</strong> Show in China each year<br />

a. Check with the U.S. Commercial Service<br />

b. How many years have they been operating?<br />

c. How many exhibitors, speakers, etc?<br />

3. Beware of “Forums”!<br />

a. They can be little more than a disguised pitch for an<br />

individual Agent<br />

b. What is the ratio of foreigners to Chinese decision-<br />

makers ?? If the ratio is >1 on 1, then you’re just<br />

talking to yourself!<br />

c. Chose a Forum that will be held in a city close to your<br />

potential market – travel is expensive for the Chinese


20<br />

CLOSING THE DEAL IN<br />

CHINA


21<br />

GUANXI<br />

Guanxi means “connections” – It’s not what you<br />

know, but who you know that t really opens doors in<br />

China!<br />

Building a good network of friends will help you<br />

avoid hearing, “Yan jiu, yan jiu” – Let us consider<br />

for a moment…, or “Mei yo” – There isn’t any<br />

Guanxi is not bribery, even though it might involve<br />

taking an official i out to lunch, or offering small gifts<br />

on special occasions (such as Lunar New Year)<br />

G i t k ti d<br />

Guanxi takes patience and perseverance<br />

(Something most Americans are not too good at!)


22<br />

THE “CHINESE WAY”<br />

Social Contact<br />

30% - 50% of your time. 25% of marketing expense<br />

Informal Agreements<br />

The “Agreement to Agree” starts the real negotiation<br />

Formal Contracts<br />

Things will change up to the very last moment!


23<br />

In other words:<br />

Eat lots of lunches…<br />

Drink lots of tea.<br />

… and then it’s Contract Time!


24<br />

NEGOTIATING<br />

• Know your product, your prices and<br />

your competition cold!<br />

• Expect many rounds of negotiation<br />

• Last minute “Discount” is expected<br />

• Know Export Controls & End Users<br />

• Know Import Duties and Regulations<br />

• Be very careful with Joint Ventures!<br />

Remember: The Chinese have been perfecting their<br />

Remember: The Chinese have been perfecting their<br />

business skills for more than 3,000 years…


25<br />

SPEED BUMPS<br />

• The correct people p<br />

are hard to find!<br />

• Travel is becoming more expensive<br />

Up 60% in the last 2years<br />

• Access is not balanced<br />

• The Exchange Rate can fool you<br />

• Frustration with business methods<br />

• The language barrier !<br />

• Jet lag, airport hassles, etc<br />

• And the biggest problem: Shopping!


26<br />

问 题 ?<br />

(Questions?)<br />

SKIP NELSON<br />

ADS-B TECHNOLOGIES<br />

(907) 258-23722372<br />

www.ads-b.com


27<br />

China has had the <strong>World</strong>’s largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in all but 225 years out of the past 2,000 years<br />

China's GDP is about $3.5 Trillion, and the US GDP is about $14 Trillion<br />

Their $550B bailout = 14%, ours is ~5% Theirs is going into technology & infrastructure, ours is restoring failing<br />

financial institutions<br />

China's central bank reserves are 987 billion as of November 2008<br />

The country's annual trade surplus or the amount exports exceed imports ballooned to $262.2 billion, up 47.7 percent<br />

from 2006<br />

Exports in the 1 st qtr 2008 amounted to 424.6 billion U.S. dollars, up 21.5 percent, or 6 percentage points less than a<br />

year earlier. Imports were 366.6 billion U.S. dollars, up 27.9 percent, or 8.8 percentage points more than a year earlier.<br />

I watched the Yuan gain almost 20% against the Dollar since 2005.<br />

The US initially welcomed China's July 2005 decision to remove the peg tying the value of the yuan to the US dollar and<br />

link the yuan instead to a vaguely defined basket of currencies. Pressure soon grew in Washington, however, for a faster<br />

rate of appreciation as the US trade deficit with China continued to mount, sucking ever-more dollars into the Chinese<br />

treasury.<br />

When I started in China the Dollar was 8.2 Yuan, The currency hit a record high of 6.8099 on September 23.<br />

There is some indication that the Yuan may be weakened<br />

In September, China surpassed Japan to become the biggest foreign holder of US Treasury debt, with a total of $585<br />

billion. China's $2 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves (the world's largest, followed by Japan's $1 trillion), are primarily<br />

invested in relatively low-yielding US government debt and the until recently considered safe debt of Fannie Mae and<br />

Freddie Mac, the two mortgage-finance companies taken over by the US government three months ago.<br />

Statistics that say the U.S. is producing 70,000 engineers a year vs. 350,000 from India and 600,000 from China<br />

aren't valid, the Duke team says. We're actually graduating more engineers than India, and the Chinese numbers<br />

aren't quite what they seem. In short, America is far ahead by almost any measure, and we're a long way from<br />

losing our edge.<br />

Actually - We found that the U.S. was graduating 222,335 engineers, vs. 215,000 from India. The closest<br />

comparable number reported by China is 644,106, but it includes additional majors. Looking strictly at four-year<br />

degrees and without considering accreditation or quality, the U.S. graduated 137,437 engineers, vs. 112,000 from<br />

India. China reported 351,537537 under a broader category. All of these numbers include information technology<br />

and related majors


28<br />

One in a million = 1,300 like you in China and 1,100 like you in India<br />

1.3 billion people (1/5 of the world’s population)<br />

You can encounter the entire population of North America ( 330M) within a day’s drive of Shanghai<br />

[US = 305M), Mexico = 106M US is the 3 rd largest country on earth<br />

PC Board Assembly & Final Packaging<br />

Full Box build for Electronics & Commercial Applications<br />

Fabrication of Metal & Plastic Molding Parts & Assemblies<br />

Cable and Harness Assembly and other Value-Added Assemblies<br />

General Assembly for Business-to-Business & Retail Applications<br />

Standardized & Customized Components, Parts and Assemblies<br />

Here are some examples of benefits of manufacturing in China:<br />

Reduction in Direct Labor, Material, and Overhead Cost<br />

Reduction in Indirect Engineering, Marketing, Financial Labor & Transactional Cost<br />

Simplify supply chain logistics & service to your Asia customers<br />

<strong>Center</strong> for Material Sourcing throughout Asia for Domestic and China Production<br />

Fast-turnaround of Low Cost Tooling & Fixtures<br />

Currency Transaction Flexibility between Multi-National Countries<br />

Knowledge of Emerging Local Chinese and Asian Markets

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