Skip Nelson - World Trade Center Alaska
Skip Nelson - World Trade Center Alaska
Skip Nelson - World Trade Center Alaska
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1<br />
SURVIVING A START-UP IN<br />
CHINA<br />
SKIP NELSON<br />
ADS-B TECHNOLOGIES<br />
www.ads-b.com
2004<br />
BUSINESS PLAN<br />
2<br />
2007<br />
ANCHORAGE<br />
Exports ADS-B hardware & software to China<br />
2008<br />
BEIJING and HONG KONG<br />
Garmin Avionics distributor for China<br />
Avionics Component manufacturer for<br />
HONG KONG<br />
Exports General Aviation Aircraft to China<br />
Builds GA infrastructure in Asia<br />
2009 - 2010<br />
Possible Joint Ventures & Teaming With<br />
Chinese Partners
3<br />
CHINA EXPERIENCE<br />
• Since 2004, 37 trips to China<br />
• 90% Export to China, 10% Chinese<br />
manufacturing for sale in U.S.<br />
• ~ $5.1M in air traffic control, avionics<br />
and aircraft sales last 2 years<br />
• Permanent offices in both Beijing and<br />
Hong Kong<br />
• 12 clients: 5 government, 7 private<br />
• Most of our work is in Central and<br />
Western China.
What’s ADS-B?<br />
Automatic Dependent Surveillance - Broadcast<br />
4<br />
The aircraft get their position<br />
from the GNSS constellation<br />
Then they simultaneously l broadcast<br />
their position and other data to<br />
any aircraft, or ground station<br />
equipped to receive it<br />
Ground Stations then transmit the aircraft’s position to Air Traffic Control
FIRST, You Have To Understand China…<br />
5
6<br />
CHINA SUPERLATIVES<br />
It’s BIG!<br />
1.3 Billion people (1/5 th of the <strong>World</strong>’s population)<br />
It’s SAFE<br />
Extremely low rate of Crimes Against Foreigners<br />
It’s FRIENDLY<br />
As in, they are genuinely fond of Americans!<br />
It’s definitely OPEN FOR BUSINESS!<br />
China has had the <strong>World</strong>’s largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in all<br />
but 225 years out of the past 2,000 years. Right now, they have more than<br />
$1 Trillion USD available to buy foreign products and services<br />
(China's GDP is about $3.5 Trillion, and the US GDP is about $14 Trillion)
7<br />
I had a lot of misconceptions!<br />
• I expected to see streets crowded with bicycles and<br />
people in Mao Jackets<br />
• The Central Government was going to be very visible<br />
and heavy-handed<br />
• The people would be somewhat suspicious of<br />
foreigners and hard to approach<br />
• Business methods would be difficult to understand<br />
• Banking and finance would be almost impossible to<br />
deal with
Boy, was I wrong!<br />
8
9<br />
POPULAR CHINA MYTHS<br />
• China is still a “Third <strong>World</strong>” country:<br />
Not even close. Even in rural areas, you’ll see<br />
modern new roads, bridges and communications<br />
infrastructure. The quality and scope of China’s<br />
Internet and cell phone connectivity are<br />
legendary. Several of the most dramatic modern<br />
cityscapes in the world can be seen in China.<br />
• The Central Government controls everything:<br />
Nope! Forget everything you learned about China prior to<br />
1985 -this is, and always has been a country of<br />
aggressive individual businessmen. Provincial<br />
governments now operate somewhat like State<br />
governments in the U.S. Best technique: Ignore politics<br />
and deal with the people (their Government has to…)
10<br />
…and LEGENDS<br />
• The Chinese don’t like Americans and/or are<br />
difficult to deal with:<br />
Of all the countries I’ve visited during the last 40<br />
years, China is probably one of the most outgoing<br />
and friendly to Americans. The average Chinese<br />
remembers our help in WWII and seems to take<br />
genuine pride in the commercial and intellectual<br />
contributions China has made to the U.S. during<br />
the past 20 years.<br />
• Corruption is quite common:<br />
It was, but the Government is leveling the playing<br />
field by instituting some strong new anti-<br />
corruption rules. Your biggest problem will be<br />
other foreigners that have a higher threshold for<br />
“crime”
• The Billion-Person Market:<br />
And still more LEGENDS<br />
(As in, “Wow - I can sell a lot of stuff here…”)<br />
Yes, they have nearly a billion consumers, s but don’t<br />
forget they’ve also got at least 50 million very<br />
aggressive domestic entrepreneurs working the<br />
same sectors!<br />
• China will steal your “stuff”:<br />
Yeah, and so will 75% of the other countries around<br />
the world if you give them half a chance!<br />
Again, the Government is cracking down and there<br />
are fewer IP violations each month.<br />
Know your customer/manufacturer, isolate your IP<br />
and compete fairly (aka’ “Don’t make it worth their<br />
effort to rip you off!”)<br />
11
12<br />
GETTING<br />
STARTED
14<br />
FIRST, YOU HAVE TO ASK YOURSELF….<br />
1. What’s your strategy? – Merely<br />
selling “America” is Old School!<br />
2. How are you going to handle your<br />
business in China – Business-to<br />
to-<br />
Business, or through an AGENT?<br />
3. How are you going to find a<br />
reputable Agent?<br />
4. Do you have the patience to do<br />
business the “Chinese Way”?
15<br />
BUILD YOUR NETWORK<br />
1. <strong>Alaska</strong> Export Assistance <strong>Center</strong><br />
2. U.S. Commercial Service in<br />
China<br />
3. <strong>Alaska</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> <strong>Center</strong><br />
4. Attend a trade fair, or<br />
professional meeting in China<br />
5. Network through other people<br />
doing business in China<br />
Don’t even think about going in cold!
16<br />
OTHER POINTS OF CONTACT<br />
• Professional organizations –<br />
especially those that have full-time<br />
reps in China (OGP, for example)<br />
• Other U.S. government agencies<br />
(FAA, USDA, etc) that have offices in<br />
China<br />
• U.S. US – China Chamber of Commerce<br />
www.usccc.org
17<br />
“AGENTS”<br />
(A Necessary Evil)<br />
1. RULE #1: It’s virtually impossible to do business in<br />
China without a good Agent.<br />
2. RULE # 2: The majority of the agents you’ll<br />
encounter will have only one significant skill: They<br />
are bilingual. (“I speak Chinese, therefore I am a<br />
China Expert…”)<br />
3. Get to know your agent before you sign anything:<br />
a. How long has he worked in the field?<br />
b. Who does he know, what is his experience?<br />
c. Is the U.S. Commercial Service familiar with him?<br />
d. Has he traveled to the U.S.?<br />
e. Is he Chinese-American, Chinese, Taiwanese, or<br />
Singaporean?
TRADE SHOWS<br />
18
19<br />
TRADE SHOWS & FORUMS<br />
1. If you find the right one, they are an excellent<br />
way to meet an Agent and begin to create your<br />
network in China!<br />
2. Virtually every industry has at least one<br />
reputable <strong>Trade</strong> Show in China each year<br />
a. Check with the U.S. Commercial Service<br />
b. How many years have they been operating?<br />
c. How many exhibitors, speakers, etc?<br />
3. Beware of “Forums”!<br />
a. They can be little more than a disguised pitch for an<br />
individual Agent<br />
b. What is the ratio of foreigners to Chinese decision-<br />
makers ?? If the ratio is >1 on 1, then you’re just<br />
talking to yourself!<br />
c. Chose a Forum that will be held in a city close to your<br />
potential market – travel is expensive for the Chinese
20<br />
CLOSING THE DEAL IN<br />
CHINA
21<br />
GUANXI<br />
Guanxi means “connections” – It’s not what you<br />
know, but who you know that t really opens doors in<br />
China!<br />
Building a good network of friends will help you<br />
avoid hearing, “Yan jiu, yan jiu” – Let us consider<br />
for a moment…, or “Mei yo” – There isn’t any<br />
Guanxi is not bribery, even though it might involve<br />
taking an official i out to lunch, or offering small gifts<br />
on special occasions (such as Lunar New Year)<br />
G i t k ti d<br />
Guanxi takes patience and perseverance<br />
(Something most Americans are not too good at!)
22<br />
THE “CHINESE WAY”<br />
Social Contact<br />
30% - 50% of your time. 25% of marketing expense<br />
Informal Agreements<br />
The “Agreement to Agree” starts the real negotiation<br />
Formal Contracts<br />
Things will change up to the very last moment!
23<br />
In other words:<br />
Eat lots of lunches…<br />
Drink lots of tea.<br />
… and then it’s Contract Time!
24<br />
NEGOTIATING<br />
• Know your product, your prices and<br />
your competition cold!<br />
• Expect many rounds of negotiation<br />
• Last minute “Discount” is expected<br />
• Know Export Controls & End Users<br />
• Know Import Duties and Regulations<br />
• Be very careful with Joint Ventures!<br />
Remember: The Chinese have been perfecting their<br />
Remember: The Chinese have been perfecting their<br />
business skills for more than 3,000 years…
25<br />
SPEED BUMPS<br />
• The correct people p<br />
are hard to find!<br />
• Travel is becoming more expensive<br />
Up 60% in the last 2years<br />
• Access is not balanced<br />
• The Exchange Rate can fool you<br />
• Frustration with business methods<br />
• The language barrier !<br />
• Jet lag, airport hassles, etc<br />
• And the biggest problem: Shopping!
26<br />
问 题 ?<br />
(Questions?)<br />
SKIP NELSON<br />
ADS-B TECHNOLOGIES<br />
(907) 258-23722372<br />
www.ads-b.com
27<br />
China has had the <strong>World</strong>’s largest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in all but 225 years out of the past 2,000 years<br />
China's GDP is about $3.5 Trillion, and the US GDP is about $14 Trillion<br />
Their $550B bailout = 14%, ours is ~5% Theirs is going into technology & infrastructure, ours is restoring failing<br />
financial institutions<br />
China's central bank reserves are 987 billion as of November 2008<br />
The country's annual trade surplus or the amount exports exceed imports ballooned to $262.2 billion, up 47.7 percent<br />
from 2006<br />
Exports in the 1 st qtr 2008 amounted to 424.6 billion U.S. dollars, up 21.5 percent, or 6 percentage points less than a<br />
year earlier. Imports were 366.6 billion U.S. dollars, up 27.9 percent, or 8.8 percentage points more than a year earlier.<br />
I watched the Yuan gain almost 20% against the Dollar since 2005.<br />
The US initially welcomed China's July 2005 decision to remove the peg tying the value of the yuan to the US dollar and<br />
link the yuan instead to a vaguely defined basket of currencies. Pressure soon grew in Washington, however, for a faster<br />
rate of appreciation as the US trade deficit with China continued to mount, sucking ever-more dollars into the Chinese<br />
treasury.<br />
When I started in China the Dollar was 8.2 Yuan, The currency hit a record high of 6.8099 on September 23.<br />
There is some indication that the Yuan may be weakened<br />
In September, China surpassed Japan to become the biggest foreign holder of US Treasury debt, with a total of $585<br />
billion. China's $2 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves (the world's largest, followed by Japan's $1 trillion), are primarily<br />
invested in relatively low-yielding US government debt and the until recently considered safe debt of Fannie Mae and<br />
Freddie Mac, the two mortgage-finance companies taken over by the US government three months ago.<br />
Statistics that say the U.S. is producing 70,000 engineers a year vs. 350,000 from India and 600,000 from China<br />
aren't valid, the Duke team says. We're actually graduating more engineers than India, and the Chinese numbers<br />
aren't quite what they seem. In short, America is far ahead by almost any measure, and we're a long way from<br />
losing our edge.<br />
Actually - We found that the U.S. was graduating 222,335 engineers, vs. 215,000 from India. The closest<br />
comparable number reported by China is 644,106, but it includes additional majors. Looking strictly at four-year<br />
degrees and without considering accreditation or quality, the U.S. graduated 137,437 engineers, vs. 112,000 from<br />
India. China reported 351,537537 under a broader category. All of these numbers include information technology<br />
and related majors
28<br />
One in a million = 1,300 like you in China and 1,100 like you in India<br />
1.3 billion people (1/5 of the world’s population)<br />
You can encounter the entire population of North America ( 330M) within a day’s drive of Shanghai<br />
[US = 305M), Mexico = 106M US is the 3 rd largest country on earth<br />
PC Board Assembly & Final Packaging<br />
Full Box build for Electronics & Commercial Applications<br />
Fabrication of Metal & Plastic Molding Parts & Assemblies<br />
Cable and Harness Assembly and other Value-Added Assemblies<br />
General Assembly for Business-to-Business & Retail Applications<br />
Standardized & Customized Components, Parts and Assemblies<br />
Here are some examples of benefits of manufacturing in China:<br />
Reduction in Direct Labor, Material, and Overhead Cost<br />
Reduction in Indirect Engineering, Marketing, Financial Labor & Transactional Cost<br />
Simplify supply chain logistics & service to your Asia customers<br />
<strong>Center</strong> for Material Sourcing throughout Asia for Domestic and China Production<br />
Fast-turnaround of Low Cost Tooling & Fixtures<br />
Currency Transaction Flexibility between Multi-National Countries<br />
Knowledge of Emerging Local Chinese and Asian Markets